External Validation of a Multiparametric Magnetic Resonance Imaging-based Nomogram for the Prediction of Extracapsular Extension and Seminal Vesicle Invasion in Prostate Cancer Patients Undergoing Radical Prostatectomy

Imaging Assessment of Prostate Cancer Extra-prostatic Extension: From Histology to Controversies

Prostate cancer (PCa) is the most common non-skin malignancy among men and the fourth leading cause of cancer-related deaths globally. Accurate staging of PCa, particularly the assessment of extra-prostatic extension (EPE), is critical for prognosis and treatment planning. EPE, typically evaluated using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), is associated with higher risks of positive surgical margins, biochemical recurrence, metastasis, and reduced overall survival. Despite the widespread use of MRI, there is no consensus on diagnosing EPE via imaging. There are 2 main scores assessing EPE by MRI: the European Society of Urogenital Radiology score and an MRI-based EPE grading system from an American group. While both are widely recognized, their differences can lead to varying interpretations in specific cases. This paper clarifies the anatomical considerations in diagnosing locally advanced PCa, explores EPE's impact on treatment and prognosis, and evaluates the relevance of MRI findings according to different criteria. Accurate EPE diagnosis remains challenging due to MRI limitations and inconsistencies in interpretation. Understanding these variations is crucial for optimal patient management.

Role of [18F]-PSMA-1007 PET radiomics for seminal vesicle invasion prediction in primary prostate cancer

PURPOSE

The purpose of this study is to investigate the diagnostic utility of [18F]-PSMA-1007 PET radiomics combined with machine learning methods to predict seminal vesicle invasion (SVI) after radical prostatectomy (RP) in prostate cancer (PCa) patients.

METHODS

This is a post hoc retrospective analysis for a prospective clinical trial that included a consecutive sample of PCa patients (n = 140) who had [18F]-PSMA-1007 PET/CT prior to RP. The intraprostatic lesion's volume of interest (VOI) was semi-automatically sketched using a threshold of 40 % maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax), namely 40%SUVmax-VOI, and seminal vesicle glands were manually contoured, namely SV-VOI. Models were built using a variety of machine learning methods such as logistic regression, random forest, and support vector machine. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated for different models, and the prediction performances of radiomics models were compared against the radiologists' assessment. Kaplan-Meier analysis was utilized to assess the effectiveness of selected radiomics features to determine the progression-free survival (PFS) probability.

RESULTS

The training set had 112 patients and the test set had 28 patients. The highest AUC for the PET radiomics model of 40%SUVmax-VOI and the PET radiomics model of SV-VOI were 0.85 and 0.96 in the test set, respectively. The PET radiomics model of SV-VOI had a significantly higher AUC compared to the radiologists' assessment (P < 0.05). The Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that PET radiomics features were associated with PFS in patients with PCa.

CONCLUSION

Radiomics models developed by preoperative [18F]-PSMA-1007 PET were proven useful in predicting SVI, and PSMA PET radiomics features were correlated with PFS, suggesting that the PSMA PET radiomics might be an accurate tool for PCa characterization.

Select black men are potential candidates for prostate hemi-ablation based on radical prostatectomy histopathology for intermediate-risk prostate cancer-a multicenter SEARCH cohort study

IMPORTANCE AND OBJECTIVE

Partial gland ablation (PGA) is increasingly popular as a treatment for men with intermediate-risk prostate cancer (IR-PCa) to preserve functional outcomes while controlling their cancer. We aimed to determine the impact of race and clinical characteristics on the risk of upstaging (≥pT2c) and having adverse pathological outcomes including seminal vesicle invasion (SVI), extra prostatic extension (EPE) and lymph node invasion (LNI) at radical prostatectomy (RP) among men with IR disease eligible for PGA with hemi-ablation (HA).

DESIGN

Retrospective analysis.

SETTING

Multicenter.

PARTICIPANTS AND MEASURES

We studied patients diagnosed with unilateral IR-PCa treated with RP between 1988 and 2020 at 9 different Veterans Affairs hospitals within the SEARCH cohort. We analyzed differences in clinicopathological characteristics and outcome variables (odds of ≥pT2c and SVI, EPE and LNI) by race using multivariable logistic regression after adjusting for covariates.

RESULTS

Among 3127 patients, 33% were African American (AA) men with unilateral IR-PCa undergoing RP. Compared to non-AA men, AA individuals were younger (61 vs. 65 years, p < 0.001), presented with a higher prostate specific antigen (PSA) category (≥10 ng/ml; 34 vs. 26%, p < 0.001), and had a lower clinical stage (p < 0.001). Among the 2,798 (89.5%) with ≥pT2c stage, AA men exhibited higher ≥ pT2c rates (93 vs. 89%, p < 0.001), primarily due to increased pT2c staging (64 vs. 57%), where upstaging beyond pT2 was lower than non-AA men (29 vs. 32%). On multivariable analysis, AA men were found to have higher odds of ≥pT2c (odds ratio [OR]: 1.39 CI, 1.02-1.88, p = 0.04), lower odds of EPE (OR: 0.73 CI, 0.58-0.91, p < 0.01) and no statistically significant associations with LNI (OR: 0.79 CI, 0.42-1.46, p = 0.45) and SVI (OR: 1 CI, 0.74-1.35, p = 0.99) compared to non-AA men. On multivariable analysis, clinical features associated with higher odds of ≥pT2c were pre-operative PSA ≥ 15 (OR = 2.07, P = 0.01) and higher number of positive cores (HPC) on biopsy (OR = 1.36, P < 0.001). Similarly, PSA ≥ 15, Gleason grade ≥3 and HPC on biopsy were associated with higher odds of SVI, EPE and LNI, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In men with IR-PCa undergoing RP, AA men demonstrated an overall higher likelihood of ≥pT2c with lower upstaging beyond pT2, lower likelihood of EPE and no significant difference in likelihood of SVI and LNI compared to non-AA men. These findings support select AA men to be potential candidates for PGA, such as HA. Clinical factors are predictive of higher pathological stage and adverse pathological outcomes at RP and could be considered when selecting candidates for PGA.

Predicting Survival in Patients with Neuroendocrine Prostate Cancer: A SEER-Based Comprehensive Study

PURPOSE

Neuroendocrine prostate cancer (NEPC) represents a particularly aggressive subtype of prostate cancer with a challenging prognosis. The purpose of this investigation is to craft and confirm the reliability of nomograms that can accurately forecast the 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) rates for individuals afflicted with NEPC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data pertaining to patients diagnosed with NEPC within the timeframe of 2010 to 2020 was meticulously gathered and examined from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER). To predict OS and CSS, we devised and authenticated two distinct nomograms, utilizing predictive variables pinpointed through both univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses.

RESULTS

The study encompassed 393 of NEPC patients, who were systematically divided into training and validation cohorts at a 2:1 ratio. Key prognostic factors were isolated, verified, and integrated into the respective nomograms for OS and CSS. The performance metrics, denoted by C-indices, stood at 0.730, 0.735 for the training set, and 0.784, 0.756 for the validation set. The precision and clinical relevance of the nomograms were further corroborated by the analysis of receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration plots, and decision curve analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

The constructed nomograms have demonstrated impressive efficacy in forecasting the 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS and rates for patients with NEPC. Implementing these predictive tools in clinical settings is anticipated to considerably enhance the care and treatment planning for individuals diagnosed with this aggressive form of prostate cancer, thus providing tailored and more precise prognostic assessments.

Detecting Adverse Pathology of Prostate Cancer With a Deep Learning Approach Based on a 3D Swin-Transformer Model and Biparametric MRI: A Multicenter Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND

Accurately detecting adverse pathology (AP) presence in prostate cancer patients is important for personalized clinical decision-making. Radiologists' assessment based on clinical characteristics showed poor performance for detecting AP presence.

PURPOSE

To develop deep learning models for detecting AP presence, and to compare the performance of these models with those of a clinical model (CM) and radiologists' interpretation (RI).

STUDY TYPE

Retrospective.

POPULATION

Totally, 616 men from six institutions who underwent radical prostatectomy, were divided into a training cohort (508 patients from five institutions) and an external validation cohort (108 patients from one institution).

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCES

T2-weighted imaging with a turbo spin echo sequence and diffusion-weighted imaging with a single-shot echo plane-imaging sequence at 3.0 T.

ASSESSMENT

The reference standard for AP was histopathological extracapsular extension, seminal vesicle invasion, or positive surgical margins. A deep learning model based on the Swin-Transformer network (TransNet) was developed for detecting AP. An integrated model was also developed, which combined TransNet signature with clinical characteristics (TransCL). The clinical characteristics included biopsy Gleason grade group, Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System scores, prostate-specific antigen, ADC value, and the lesion maximum cross-sectional diameter.

STATISTICAL TESTS

Model and radiologists' performance were assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity. The Delong test was used to evaluate difference in AUC. P < 0.05 was considered significant.

RESULTS

The AUC of TransCL for detecting AP presence was 0.813 (95% CI, 0.726-0.882), which was higher than that of TransNet (0.791 [95% CI, 0.702-0.863], P = 0.429), and significantly higher than those of CM (0.749 [95% CI, 0.656-0.827]) and RI (0.664 [95% CI, 0.566-0.752]).

DATA CONCLUSION

TransNet and TransCL have potential to aid in detecting the presence of AP and some single adverse pathologic features.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

4 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 4.

Radiomics for the identification of extraprostatic extension with prostate MRI: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

Extraprostatic extension (EPE) of prostate cancer (PCa) is predicted using clinical nomograms. Incorporating MRI could represent a leap forward, although poor sensitivity and standardization represent unsolved issues. MRI radiomics has been proposed for EPE prediction. The aim of the study was to systematically review the literature and perform a meta-analysis of MRI-based radiomics approaches for EPE prediction.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Multiple databases were systematically searched for radiomics studies on EPE detection up to June 2022. Methodological quality was appraised according to Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 (QUADAS-2) tool and radiomics quality score (RQS). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) was pooled to estimate predictive accuracy. A random-effects model estimated overall effect size. Statistical heterogeneity was assessed with I2 value. Publication bias was evaluated with a funnel plot. Subgroup analyses were performed to explore heterogeneity.

RESULTS

Thirteen studies were included, showing limitations in study design and methodological quality (median RQS 10/36), with high statistical heterogeneity. Pooled AUC for EPE identification was 0.80. In subgroup analysis, test-set and cross-validation-based studies had pooled AUC of 0.85 and 0.89 respectively. Pooled AUC was 0.72 for deep learning (DL)-based and 0.82 for handcrafted radiomics studies and 0.79 and 0.83 for studies with multiple and single scanner data, respectively. Finally, models with the best predictive performance obtained using radiomics features showed pooled AUC of 0.82, while those including clinical data of 0.76.

CONCLUSION

MRI radiomics-powered models to identify EPE in PCa showed a promising predictive performance overall. However, methodologically robust, clinically driven research evaluating their diagnostic and therapeutic impact is still needed.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

Radiomics might improve the management of prostate cancer patients increasing the value of MRI in the assessment of extraprostatic extension. However, it is imperative that forthcoming research prioritizes confirmation studies and a stronger clinical orientation to solidify these advancements.

KEY POINTS

• MRI radiomics deserves attention as a tool to overcome the limitations of MRI in prostate cancer local staging. • Pooled AUC was 0.80 for the 13 included studies, with high heterogeneity (84.7%, p < .001), methodological issues, and poor clinical orientation. • Methodologically robust radiomics research needs to focus on increasing MRI sensitivity and bringing added value to clinical nomograms at patient level.

Competing risk nomogram and risk classification system for evaluating overall and cancer-specific survival in neuroendocrine carcinoma of the cervix: a population-based retrospective study

OBJECTIVE

Neuroendocrine carcinoma of the cervix (NECC) is a rare malignancy with poor clinical prognosis due to limited therapeutic options. This study aimed to establish a risk-stratification score and nomogram models to predict prognosis in NECC patients.

METHODS

Data on individuals diagnosed with NECC between 2000 and 2019 were retrieved from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database and then randomly classified into training and validation cohorts (7:3). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses evaluated independent indicators of prognosis. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis further assisted in confirming candidate variables. Based on these factors, cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) nomograms that predict survival over 1, 3, and 5 years were constructed. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the concordance index (C-index), and the calibration curve estimated the precision and discriminability of the competing risk nomogram for both cohorts. Finally, we assessed the clinical value of the nomograms using decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

Data from 2348 patients were obtained from the SEER database. Age, tumor stage, T stage, N stage, chemotherapy, radiotherapy, and surgery predicted OS. Additionally, histological type was another standalone indicator of CSS prognosis. For predicting CSS, the C-index was 0.751 (95% CI 0.731 ~ 0.770) and 0.740 (95% CI 0.710 ~ 0.770) for the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Furthermore, the C-index in OS prediction was 0.757 (95% CI 0.738 ~ 0.776) and 0.747 (95% CI 0.718 ~ 0.776) for both cohorts. The proposed model had an excellent discriminative ability. Good accuracy and discriminability were also demonstrated using the AUC and calibration curves. Additionally, DCA demonstrated the high clinical potential of the nomograms for CSS and OS prediction. We constructed a corresponding risk classification system using nomogram scores. For the whole cohort, the median CSS times for the low-, moderate-, and high-risk groups were 59.3, 19.5, and 7.4 months, respectively.

CONCLUSION

New competing risk nomograms and a risk classification system were successfully developed to predict the 1-, 3-, and 5-year CSS and OS of NECC patients. The models are internally accurate and reliable and may guide clinicians toward better clinical decisions and the development of personalized treatment plans.

Predictive Factors for Extracapsular Extension of Prostate Cancer to Select the Candidates for Nerve-sparing Radical Prostatectomy

Nerve-sparing radical prostatectomy (NSRP) for prostate cancer (PC) enables better postoperative recovery of continence and potency but may increase the risk of positive surgical margins. This study aimed to investigate preoperative predictive factors for extracapsular extension (ECE) of PC to select patients for NSRP. We retrospectively evaluated 288 patients with PC (576 lobes) diagnosed with 12-core transrectal ultrasound-guided biopsy and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) who underwent laparoscopic or robot-assisted radical prostatectomy at our institution. Surgical specimens and preoperative parameters (prostate-specific antigen, prostate volume, biopsy and MRI findings, preoperative therapy) were analyzed. Of 576 prostate lobes, the incidence Ipsilateral ECE was identified in 97 (16.8%) lobes. The higher number of unilateral positive biopsy cores, the highest Gleason score 8 or more and positive unilateral findings on MRI are significant higher in prostate sides with ECE in univariate analysis. In multivariate analysis, positive unilateral MRI findings (odds ratio [OR], 2.86; p < 0.001) and unilateral biopsy positive core ≥ 3 (OR, 3.73; p < 0.001) were independent predictors of unilateral ECE. The detection rate of unilateral ECE in those cases with two factors (side-specific positive biopsy core 2 or less and side-specific MRI findings negative) was 7.1% (19/269). Patients with fewer unilateral positive biopsy cores and negative unilateral MRI findings might be good candidates for NSRP.

Development of a microultrasound-based nomogram to predict extra-prostatic extension in patients with prostate cancer undergoing robot-assisted radical prostatectomy

OBJECTIVES

To develop a microultrasound-based nomogram including clinicopathological parameters and microultrasound findings to predict the presence of extra-prostatic extension and guide the grade of nerve-sparing.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

All patients underwent microultrasound the day before robot-assisted radical prostatectomy. Variables significantly associated with extra-prostatic extension at univariable analysis were used to build the multivariable logistic model, and the regression coefficients were used to develop the nomogram. The model was subjected to 1000 bootstrap resamples for internal validation. The performance of the microultrasound-based model was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration plot, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

Overall, 122/295 (41.4%) patients had a diagnosis of extra-prostatic extension on definitive pathology. Microultrasound correctly identify extra-prostatic extension in 84/122 (68.9%) cases showing a sensitivity and a specificity of 68.9% and 84.4%, with an AUC of 76.6%. After 1000 bootstrap resamples, the predictive accuracy of the microultrasound-based model was 85.9%. The calibration plot showed a satisfactory concordance between predicted probabilities and observed frequencies of extra-prostatic extension. The DCA showed a higher clinical net-benefit compared to the model including only clinical parameters. Considering a 4% cut-off, nerve-sparing was recommended in 173 (58.6%) patients and extra-prostatic extension was detected in 32 (18.5%) of them.

CONCLUSION

We developed a microultrasound-based nomogram for the prediction of extra-prostatic extension that could aid in the decision whether to preserve or not neurovascular bundles. External validation and a direct comparison with mpMRI-based nomogram is crucial to corroborate our results.

Predicting contralateral extraprostatic extension in unilateral high-risk prostate cancer: a multicentric external validation study

PURPOSE

Accurate prediction of extraprostatic extension (EPE) is crucial for decision-making in radical prostatectomy (RP), especially in nerve-sparing strategies. Martini et al. introduced a three-tier algorithm for predicting contralateral EPE in unilateral high-risk prostate cancer (PCa). The aim of the study is to externally validate this model in a multicentric European cohort of patients.

METHODS

The data from 208 unilateral high-risk PCa patients diagnosed through magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-targeted and systematic biopsies, treated with RP between January 2016 and November 2021 at eight referral centers were collected. The evaluation of model performance involved measures such as discrimination (AUC), calibration, and decision-curve analysis (DCA) following TRIPOD guidelines. In addition, a comparison was made with two established multivariable logistic regression models predicting the risk of side specific EPE for assessment purposes.

RESULTS

Overall, 38%, 48%, and 14% of patients were categorized as low, intermediate, and high-risk groups according to Martini et al.'s model, respectively. At final pathology, EPE on the contralateral prostatic lobe occurred in 6.3%, 12%, and 34% of patients in the respective risk groups. The algorithm demonstrated acceptable discrimination (AUC 0.68), comparable to other multivariable logistic regression models (p = 0.3), adequate calibration and the highest net benefit in DCA. The limitations include the modest sample size, retrospective design, and lack of central revision.

CONCLUSION

Our findings endorse the algorithm's commendable performance, supporting its utility in guiding treatment decisions for unilateral high-risk PCa patients.

Addressing racial disparities in prostate cancer pathology prediction models: external validation and comparison of four models of pathological outcome prediction before radical prostatectomy in the multiethnic SEARCH cohort

BACKGROUND

Certain widely used pathological outcome prediction models that were developed in tertiary centers tend to overpredict outcomes in the community setting; thus, the Michigan Urological-Surgery Improvement Collaborative (MUSIC) model was developed in general urology practice to address this issue. Additionally, the development of these models involved a relatively small proportion of Black men, potentially compromising the accuracy of predictions in this patient group. We tested the validity of the MUSIC and three widely used nomograms to compare their overall and race-stratified predictive performance.

METHODS

We extracted data from 4139 (1138 Black) men from the Shared Equal Access Regional Cancer Hospital (SEARCH) database of the Veterans Affairs health system. The predictive performance of the MUSIC model was compared to the Memorial-Sloan Kettering (MSK), Briganti-2012, and Partin-2017 models for predicting lymph-node invasion (LNI), extra-prostatic extension (EPE), and seminal vesicle invasion (SVI).

RESULTS

The median PSA of Black men was higher than White men (7.8 vs. 6.8 ng/ml), although they were younger by a median of three years and presented at a lower-stage disease. MUSIC model showed comparable discriminatory capacity (AUC:77.0%) compared to MSK (79.2%), Partin-2017 (74.6%), and Briganti-2012 (76.3%), with better calibration for LNI. AUCs for EPE and SVI were 72.7% and 76.9%, respectively, all comparable to the MSK and Partin models. LNI AUCs for Black and White men were 69.6% and 79.6%, respectively, while EPE and SVI AUCs were comparable between races. EPE and LNI had worse calibration in Black men. Decision curve analysis showed MUSIC superiority over the MSK model in predicting LNI, especially among Black men.

CONCLUSION

Although the discriminatory performance of all models was comparable for each outcome, the MUSIC model exhibited superior net benefit to the MSK model in predicting LNI outcomes among Black men in the SEARCH population.

Prostate Cancer Local Staging with Magnetic Resonance Imaging

Accurate determination of the local stage of prostate cancer is crucial for treatment planning and prognosis. The primary objective of local staging is to distinguish between organ-confined and locally advanced disease, with the latter carrying a worse clinical prognosis. The presence of locally advanced disease features of prostate cancer, such as extra-prostatic extension, seminal vesicle invasion, and positive surgical margin, can impact the choice of treatment. Over the past decade, multiparametric MRI (mpMRI) has become the preferred imaging modality for the local staging of prostate cancer and has been shown to provide accurate information on the location and extent of disease. It has demonstrated superior performance compared to staging based on traditional clinical nomograms. Despite being a relatively new technique, mpMRI has garnered considerable attention and ongoing investigations. Therefore, in this review, we will discuss the current use of mpMRI on prostate cancer local staging.

Use of PIRADS 2.1 to predict capsular invasion in patients with radiologic T3a prostate cancer

Objective

Using multi-parametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) to identify patients with clinical T3a (cT3a) who were overestimated on mpMRI with final pathological T2 (pT2). To suggest that the neurovascular bundle (NVB) can be preserved by evaluating the characteristics of patients according to their pathological grade among cT3a prostate cancer (PCa) patients using mpMRI.

Materials and methods

Patients who underwent robot-assisted laparoscopic radical prostatectomy (RALP) were retrospectively analyzed and those patients with clinical T3aN0M0 were enrolled. These enrolled patients were divided into a localized cancer group with pT2 PCa and a locally advanced group with pT3a or higher. Factors affecting the diagnosis of localized PCa after RALP in patients with cT3a PCa were evaluated.

Results

Among the preoperative parameters of patients with cT3a PCa, the prostate specific antigen density (PSAD) (OR: 3.76, 95% CI: 1.85-7.64, p<0.001), international society of urological pathology (ISUP) grade (p<0.05), and index lesion size (OR: 1.44, 95% CI: 1.85-7.64, p<0.001) were significantly associated with pathological locally advanced PCa. Optimal cut-off values for prediction of pT3a or higher were 0.36 ng/mL2 for PSAD (sensitivity: 55.7%, specificity: 70.8%), 1.77 cm for index lesion size (sensitivity: 54.3%, specificity: 66.0%), and 2.5 for ISUP grading (sensitivity: 67.6%, specificity: 53.2%). For prediction of pT3a or higher among patients with cT3a PCa, a nomogram was developed using ISUP grade, index lesion size, and PSAD on prostate biopsy (area under the curve: 0.71, 95% CI: 0.670-0.754, p<0.001). PSAD less than 0.36 index lesion size less than 1.77 cm, and biopsy ISUP grade 1-2 are highly likely to indicate that there is no actual extracapsular extension in cT3a PCa patients.

Conclusions

PSAD, ISUP, and index lesion size showed significant associations with the classification of pathologic localized and locally advanced PCa in patients with cT3a PCa. A nomogram including these features can predict the diagnosis of locally advanced PCa in patients with cT3a PCa.

Development and Validation of Nomograms Based on Nutritional Risk Index for Predicting Extracapsular Extension and Seminal Vesicle Invasion in Patients Undergoing Radical Prostatectomy

Background

The aim of the study was to investigate the predictive value of the nutritional risk index (NRI) for extracapsular extension (ECE) and seminal vesicle invasion (SVI) in prostate cancer (PCa) patients undergoing radical prostatectomy (RP), and further develop and validate predictive nomograms for ECE and SVI based on the NRI.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed 734 PCa patients who underwent RP between 2010 and 2020 in the Department of Urology at Peking University Third Hospital. The enrolled patients were randomly divided into a primary cohort (n = 489) and a validation cohort (n = 245) in a 2:1 manner. The baseline NRI of patients was calculated using serum albumin level and body mass index, and a malnutrition status was defined as NRI ≤ 98. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify predictors for ECE and SVI. Nomograms for predicting ECE and SVI were established based on the results of the multivariate logistic regression analysis. The performance of the nomograms was estimated using Harrell's concordance index (C-index), the area under curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and the calibration curves.

Results

In the primary cohort, 70 (14.3%) patients with NRI ≤ 98 were classified as malnutrition, while the remaining 419 (85.7%) patients with NRI > 98 were considered to have normal nutrition. The nomograms for predicting ECE and SVI shared common factors including NRI, percentage of positive biopsy cores (PPC) and biopsy Gleason score, while prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels and PSA density (PSAD) were only incorporated in ECE nomogram. The C-indexes of the nomograms for predicting ECE and SVI were 0.785 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.745 - 0.826) and 0.852 (95% CI: 0.806 - 0.898), respectively. The calibration curves demonstrated excellent agreement between the predictions by the nomograms and the actual observations. The results remained reproducible when the nomograms were applied to the validation cohort.

Conclusions

The NRI is significantly associated with ECE and SVI in PCa patients. The nomogram established based on the NRI in our study can provide individualized risk estimation for ECE and SVI in PCa patients, and may be valuable for clinicians in making well-informed decisions regarding treatment strategies and patient management.

A Novel Nomogram to Identify Candidates for Focal Therapy Among Patients with Localized Prostate Cancer Diagnosed via Magnetic Resonance Imaging-Targeted and Systematic Biopsies: A European Multicenter Study

BACKGROUND

Suitable selection criteria for focal therapy (FT) are crucial to achieve success in localized prostate cancer (PCa).

OBJECTIVE

To develop a multivariable model that better delineates eligibility for FT and reduces undertreatment by predicting unfavorable disease at radical prostatectomy (RP).

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Data were retrospectively collected from a prospective European multicenter cohort of 767 patients who underwent magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-targeted and systematic biopsies followed by RP in eight referral centers between 2016 and 2021. The Imperial College of London eligibility criteria for FT were applied: (1) unifocal MRI lesion with Prostate Imaging-Reporting and Data System score of 3-5; (2) prostate-specific antigen (PSA) ≤20 ng/ml; (3) cT2-3a stage on MRI; and (4) International Society of Urological Pathology grade group (GG) 1 and ≥6 mm or GG 2-3. A total of 334 patients were included in the final analysis.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

The primary outcome was unfavorable disease at RP, defined as GG ≥4, and/or lymph node invasion, and/or seminal vesicle invasion, and/or contralateral clinically significant PCa. Logistic regression was used to assess predictors of unfavorable disease. The performance of the models including clinical, MRI, and biopsy information was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration plots, and decision curve analysis. A coefficient-based nomogram was developed and internally validated.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

Overall, 43 patients (13%) had unfavorable disease on RP pathology. The model including PSA, clinical stage on digital rectal examination, and maximum lesion diameter on MRI had an AUC of 73% on internal validation and formed the basis of the nomogram. Addition of other MRI or biopsy information did not significantly improve the model performance. Using a cutoff of 25%, the proportion of patients eligible for FT was 89% at the cost of missing 30 patients (10%) with unfavorable disease. External validation is required before the nomogram can be used in clinical practice.

CONCLUSIONS

We report the first nomogram that improves selection criteria for FT and limits the risk of undertreatment.

PATIENT SUMMARY

We conducted a study to develop a better way of selecting patients for focal therapy for localized prostate cancer. A novel predictive tool was developed using the prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level measured before biopsy, tumor stage assessed via digital rectal examination, and lesion size on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans. This tool improves the prediction of unfavorable disease and may reduce the risk of undertreatment of localized prostate cancer when using focal therapy.

Intraoperative Frozen Section via Neurosafe During Robotic Radical Prostatectomy in the Era of Preoperative Risk Stratifications and Primary Staging With mpMRI and PSMA-PET CT: Is There a Perfect Candidate?

BACKGROUND

We aimed to analyze the effect of preoperative risk assessment including Ga-68 PSMA PET and multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) on nerve sparing practices, positive surgical margin (PSM) rates and oncological outcomes based on a comparison between patients underwent RARP with and without Neurosafe (NS).

METHODS

Patients underwent RARP with NS (RARP-NS) or without (RARP-only) NS retrospectively evaluated. Suspicion for extracapsular extension on mpMRI and/or Ga-68 PSMA PET was recorded as i(imaging)T3. NS was performed according to the Martini-Klinik technique. PSM at preserved bundle side were called PSM at region of interest (ROI) while the others were elsewhere.

RESULTS

A total of 208 patients (90 in RARP-NS, 118 in RARP-only groups) were included. Preoperatively the RARP-only group showed significantly higher mean PSA (p = .01) and PIRADS 5 (p = .002) findings and had more D'Amico high risk (DAHR) patients (p = .08). The overall PSM rates for pT2 versus pT3 disease were 7.5% versus 21.6 and 15.6% versus 55% in RARP-NS and RARP-only groups, respectively. NS resulted in more bilaterally preserved bundles (81.1% vs. 66.3%) and less PSM at the ROI (3.3% vs. 23.4%) than RARP-only group. NS outperformed RARP-only in all clinical settings had its highest differential benefit in more bilateral nerve sparing and less PSM at ROI in patients with both DAHR and iT3 disease. BCR rates were 2.2% and 2.5% for RARP-NS and RARP only groups, respectively (p = .4). One patient in RARP-NS and 9 in RARP-only groups had PSA persistence (p = .02).

CONCLUSION

RARP-NS led to more preserved bundles with less PSM. It was especially useful in DAHR patients with preoperative extracapsular extension suspicion in imaging simultaneously.

Diagnostic performance of prediction models for extraprostatic extension in prostate cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

In recent decades, diverse nomograms have been proposed to predict extraprostatic extension (EPE) in prostate cancer (PCa). We aimed to systematically evaluate the accuracy of MRI-inclusive nomograms and traditional clinical nomograms in predicting EPE in PCa. The purpose of this meta-analysis is to provide baseline summative and comparative estimates for future study designs.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane databases were searched up to May 17, 2023, to identify studies on prediction nomograms for EPE of PCa. The risk of bias in studies was assessed by using the Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool (PROBAST). Summary estimates of sensitivity and specificity were obtained with bivariate random-effects model. Heterogeneity was investigated through meta-regression and subgroup analysis.

RESULTS

Forty-eight studies with a total of 57 contingency tables and 20,395 patients were included. No significant publication bias was observed for either the MRI-inclusive nomograms or clinical nomograms. For MRI-inclusive nomograms predicting EPE, the pooled AUC of validation cohorts was 0.80 (95% CI: 0.76, 0.83). For traditional clinical nomograms predicting EPE, the pooled AUCs of the Partin table and Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) nomogram were 0.72 (95% CI: 0.68, 0.76) and 0.79 (95% CI: 0.75, 0.82), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Preoperative risk stratification is essential for PCa patients; both MRI-inclusive nomograms and traditional clinical nomograms had moderate diagnostic performance for predicting EPE in PCa. This study provides baseline comparative values for EPE prediction for future studies which is useful for evaluating preoperative risk stratification in PCa patients.

CRITICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

This meta-analysis firstly evaluated the diagnostic performance of preoperative MRI-inclusive nomograms and clinical nomograms for predicting extraprostatic extension (EPE) in prostate cancer (PCa) (moderate AUCs: 0.72-0.80). We provide baseline estimates for EPE prediction, these findings will be useful in assessing preoperative risk stratification of PCa patients.

KEY POINTS

• MRI-inclusive nomograms and traditional clinical nomograms had moderate AUCs (0.72-0.80) for predicting EPE. • MRI combined clinical nomogram may improve diagnostic accuracy of MRI alone for EPE prediction. • MSKCC nomogram had a higher specificity than Partin table for predicting EPE. • This meta-analysis provided baseline and comparative estimates of nomograms for EPE prediction for future studies.

Extracapsular extension of transitional zone prostate cancer miss-detected by multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging

OBJECTIVES

To demonstrate the importance of extracapsular extension (ECE) of transitional zone (TZ) prostate cancer (PCa), examine the causes of its missed detection by Mp-MRI, and develop a new predictive model by integrating multi-level clinical variables.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study included 304 patients who underwent laparoscopic radical prostatectomy after 12 + X needle transperineal transrectal ultrasound (TRUS)-MRI-guided targeted prostate biopsy from 2018 to 2021 in our center was performed.

RESULTS

In this study, the incidence rates of ECE were similar in patients with MRI lesions in the peripheral zone (PZ) and TZ (P = 0.66). However, the missed detection rate was higher in patients with TZ lesions than in those with PZ lesions (P < 0.05). These missed detections result in a higher positive surgical margin rate (P < 0.05). In patients with TZ lesions, detected MP-MRI ECE may have grey areas: the longest diameters of the MRI lesions were 16.5-23.5 mm; MRI lesion volumes were 0.63-2.51 ml; MRI lesion volume ratios were 2.75-8.86%; PSA were 13.85-23.05 ng/ml. LASSO regression was used to construct a clinical prediction model for predicting the risk of ECE in TZ lesions from the perspective of MRI and clinical features, including four variables: the longest diameter of MRI lesions, TZ pseudocapsule invasion, ISUP grading of biopsy pathology, and number of positive biopsy needles.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with MRI lesions in the TZ have the same incidence of ECE as those with lesions in the PZ, but a higher missed detection rate.

MRI-based nomograms and radiomics in presurgical prediction of extraprostatic extension in prostate cancer: a systematic review

PURPOSE

Prediction of extraprostatic extension (EPE) is essential for accurate surgical planning in prostate cancer (PCa). Radiomics based on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has shown potential to predict EPE. We aimed to evaluate studies proposing MRI-based nomograms and radiomics for EPE prediction and assess the quality of current radiomics literature.

METHODS

We used PubMed, EMBASE, and SCOPUS databases to find related articles using synonyms for MRI radiomics and nomograms to predict EPE. Two co-authors scored the quality of radiomics literature using the Radiomics Quality Score (RQS). Inter-rater agreement was measured using the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) from total RQS scores. We analyzed the characteristic s of the studies and used ANOVAs to associate the area under the curve (AUC) to sample size, clinical and imaging variables, and RQS scores.

RESULTS

We identified 33 studies-22 nomograms and 11 radiomics analyses. The mean AUC for nomogram articles was 0.783, and no significant associations were found between AUC and sample size, clinical variables, or number of imaging variables. For radiomics articles, there were significant associations between number of lesions and AUC (p < 0.013). The average RQS total score was 15.91/36 (44%). Through the radiomics operation, segmentation of region-of-interest, selection of features, and model building resulted in a broader range of results. The qualities the studies lacked most were phantom tests for scanner variabilities, temporal variability, external validation datasets, prospective designs, cost-effectiveness analysis, and open science.

CONCLUSION

Utilizing MRI-based radiomics to predict EPE in PCa patients demonstrates promising outcomes. However, quality improvement and standardization of radiomics workflow are needed.

Added value of shear-wave elastography in the prediction of extracapsular extension and seminal vesicle invasion before radical prostatectomy

The purpose of this study was to analyze the value of transrectal shear-wave elastography (SWE) in combination with multivariable tools for predicting adverse pathological features before radical prostatectomy (RP). Preoperative clinicopathological variables, multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mp-MRI) manifestations, and the maximum elastic value of the prostate (Emax) on SWE were retrospectively collected. The accuracy of SWE for predicting adverse pathological features was evaluated based on postoperative pathology, and parameters with statistical significance were selected. The diagnostic performance of various models, including preoperative clinicopathological variables (model 1), preoperative clinicopathological variables + mp-MRI (model 2), and preoperative clinicopathological variables + mp-MRI + SWE (model 3), was evaluated with area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) analysis. Emax was significantly higher in prostate cancer with extracapsular extension (ECE) or seminal vesicle invasion (SVI) with both P < 0.001. The optimal cutoff Emax values for ECE and SVI were 60.45 kPa and 81.55 kPa, respectively. Inclusion of mp-MRI and SWE improved discrimination by clinical models for ECE (model 2 vs model 1, P = 0.031; model 3 vs model 1, P = 0.002; model 3 vs model 2, P = 0.018) and SVI (model 2 vs model 1, P = 0.147; model 3 vs model 1, P = 0.037; model 3 vs model 2, P = 0.134). SWE is valuable for identifying patients at high risk of adverse pathology.

MRI versus non-MRI diagnostic pathways before radical prostatectomy: Impact on nerve-sparing, positive surgical margins, and biochemical recurrence

PURPOSE

Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) prior to biopsy has improved detection of clinically significant prostate cancer (CaP), but its impact on surgical outcomes is less well established. We compared MRI vs. non-MRI diagnostic pathways among patients receiving radical prostatectomy (RP) for impact on surgical outcomes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Men diagnosed with CaP and receiving RP at Loyola University Medical Center (2014-2021) were categorized into MRI or non-MRI diagnostic pathways based on receipt of MRI before prostate biopsy. Primary outcomes of interest included positive surgical margin (PSM) rates, the performance of bilateral nerve-sparing, and biochemical recurrence (BCR). Multivariable logistic regression models, Kaplan-Meier curves, and Cox proportional hazards regression were employed.

RESULTS

Of 609 patients, 281 (46.1%) were in the MRI and 328 (53.9%) in the non-MRI groups. MRI patients had similar PSA, biopsy grade group (GG) distribution, RP GG, pT stage, and RP CaP volume compared to non-MRI patients. PSM rates were not statistically different for the MRI vs. non-MRI groups (22.8% vs. 26.8%, P = 0.25). Bilateral nerve-sparing rates were higher for the MRI vs. non-MRI groups (OR 1.95 (95%CI 1.32-2.88), P = 0.001). The MRI group demonstrated improved BCR (HR 0.64 (95%CI 0.41-0.99), P = 0.04) after adjustment for age, PSA, RP GG, pT, pN, and PSM status. On meta-analysis, a 5.2% PSM reduction was observed but high heterogeneity for use of nerve-sparing.

CONCLUSIONS

An MRI-based diagnostic approach selected patients for RP with a small reduction in PSM rates, greater utilization of bilateral nerve-sparing, and improved cancer control by BCR compared to a non-MRI approach even after adjustment for known prognostic factors.

Pre-operative prediction of extracapsular extension of prostate cancer: first external validation of the PRECE model on an independent dataset

INTRODUCTION

The PRECE is a model predicting the risk of extracapsular extension (ECE) of prostate cancer: it has been developed on more than 6000 patients who underwent robotic radical prostatectomy (RARP) at the Global Robotic Institute, FL, USA. Up to now, it is the single tool predicting either the side and the amount of ECE. The model has a free user-friendly interface and is made up from simple and available covariates, namely age, PSA, cT, GS and percent of positive core, the latter topographically distributed within the prostate gland. Despite the successful performance at internal validation, the model is still lacking an external validation (EV). The aim of the paper is to externally validate the PRECE model on an Italian cohort of patients elected to RARP.

METHODS

269 prostatic lobes from 141 patients represented the validation dataset. The EV was performed with the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves and calibration, to address the ability of PRECE to discriminate between patients with or without ECE.

RESULTS

Overall, an ECE was found in 91 out of the 269 prostatic lobes (34%). Twenty-five patients out of pT3 had a bilateral ECE. The ROC curve showed an AUC of 0.80 (95% CI 0.74-0.85). Sensitivity and specificity were 77% and 69%, respectively. The model showed an acceptable calibration with tendency towards overestimation.

CONCLUSIONS

From the current EV, the PRECE displays a good predictive performance to discriminate between cases with and without ECE; despite preliminary, outcomes may support the generalizability of the model in dataset other than the development one.

External validation of cone-beam computed tomography- and panoramic radiography-featured prediction models for inferior alveolar nerve injury after lower third molar removal: proposal of a risk calculator

We previously developed basic and extended models to predict inferior alveolar nerve injuries (IANI) after lower third molar (LM3) removal based on cone-beam computed tomography (CBCT) images. Although these models comprised predictors, including increased age and inferior alveolar canal-related CBCT factors, external validations were lacking. Therefore, this study externally validated these models and compared them with other related models based on their performance. Original and newly validated samples included patients who underwent LM3 removal following CBCT. Subsequently, 39 and 25 patients with IANI, then 457 and 295 randomly selected patients without IANI were chosen of the observed 1573 and 1052 patients, respectively. CBCT- and panoramic radiograph (PAN)-featured models were validated. Then, models' discrimination and calibration abilities were assessed using C-statistics and calibration plots, respectively. Brier scores were also quantified, after which logistic recalibration was achieved to optimize calibration, and a risk calculator was developed. During the external validation, the extended model exhibited the best C-statistic (0.822) and Brier score (0.064), whereas two CBCT- and two PAN-featured models showed lower performances with C-statistics (0.764, 0.706, 0.584, and 0.627) and Brier scores (0.069, 0.074, 0.075, and 0.072). Besides, all models showed a tendency to overpredict its high-risk range. However, recalibration of the extended model resulted in excellent calibration performance. CBCT-featured models, especially the extended model, conclusively showed a superior predictive performance to PAN models. Therefore, the risk calculator on the extended CBCT model is proposed to be a clinical decision-aid tool that preoperatively predicts IANI risk.

Side-specific, Microultrasound-based Nomogram for the Prediction of Extracapsular Extension in Prostate Cancer

Background

Prediction of extracapsular extension (ECE) is essential to achieve a balance between oncologic resection and neural tissue preservation. Microultrasound (MUS) is an attractive alternative to multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) in the staging scenario.

Objective

To create a side-specific nomogram integrating clinicopathologic parameters and MUS findings to predict ipsilateral ECE and guide nerve sparing.

Design setting and participants

Prospective data were collected from consecutive patients who underwent robotic-assisted radical prostatectomy from June 2021 to May 2022 and had preoperative MUS and mpMRI. A total of 391 patients and 612 lobes were included in the analysis.

Outcome measurements and statistical analysis

ECE on surgical pathology was the primary outcome. Multivariate regression analyses were carried out to identify predictors for ECE. The resultant multivariable model's performance was visualized using the receiver-operating characteristic curve. A nomogram was developed based on the coefficients of the logit function for the MUS-based model. A decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed to assess clinical utility.

Results and limitations

The areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUCs) of the MUS-based model were 81.4% and 80.9% (95% confidence interval [CI] 75.6, 84.6) after internal validation. The AUC of the mpMRI-model was also 80.9% (95% CI 77.2, 85.7). The DCA demonstrated the net clinical benefit of the MUS-based nomogram and its superiority compared with MUS and MRI alone for detecting ECE. Limitations of our study included its sample size and moderate inter-reader agreement.

Conclusions

We developed a side-specific nomogram to predict ECE based on clinicopathologic variables and MUS findings. Its performance was comparable with that of a mpMRI-based model. External validation and prospective trials are required to corroborate our results.

Patient summary

The integration of clinical parameters and microultrasound can predict extracapsular extension with similar results to models based on magnetic resonance imaging findings. This can be useful for tailoring the preservation of nerves during surgery.

Effect of Preoperative Multiparametric Magnetic Resonance Imaging on Oncologic and Functional Outcomes Following Radical Prostatectomy

Background

Advancements in imaging technology have been associated with changes to operative planning in treatment of localized prostate cancer. The impact of these changes on postoperative outcomes is understudied.

Objective

To compare oncologic and functional outcomes between men who had computed tomography (CT) and those who had multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) prior to undergoing radical prostatectomy.

Design setting and participants

In this retrospective cohort study, we identified all men who underwent radical prostatectomy (n = 1259) for localized prostate cancer at our institution between 2009 and 2016. Of these, 917 underwent preoperative CT and 342 mpMRI.

Outcome measurements and statistical analysis

Biochemical recurrence-free survival, positive margin status, postoperative complications, and 1-yr postprostatectomy functional scores (using the 26-item Expanded Prostate Cancer Index Composite [EPIC-26] questionnaire) were compared between those who underwent preoperative CT and those who underwent mpMRI using propensity score weighted Cox proportional hazard regression, logistic regression, and linear regression models.

Results and limitations

Baseline and 1-yr follow-up EPIC-26 data were available for 449 (36%) and 685 (54%) patients, respectively. After propensity score weighting, no differences in EPIC-26 functional domains were observed between the imaging groups at 1-yr follow-up. Positive surgical margin rates (odds ratio 1.03, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.77-1.38, p = 0.8) and biochemical recurrence-free survival (hazard ratio 1.21, 95% CI 0.84-1.74, p = 0.3) were not significantly different between groups. Early and late postoperative complications occurred in 219 and 113 cases, respectively, and were not different between imaging groups. Our study is limited by a potential selection bias from the lack of functional scores for some patients.

Conclusions

In this single-center study of men with localized prostate cancer undergoing radical prostatectomy, preoperative mpMRI had minimal impact on functional outcomes and oncologic control compared with conventional imaging. These findings challenge the assumptions that preoperative mpMRI improves operative planning and perioperative outcomes.

Patient summary

In this study, we assessed whether the type of prostate imaging performed prior to surgery for localized prostate cancer impacted outcomes. We found that urinary and sexual function, cancer control, and postoperative complications were similar regardless of whether magnetic resonance imaging or computed tomography was utilized prior to surgery.

External Validation of Models for Prediction of Side-specific Extracapsular Extension in Prostate Cancer Patients Undergoing Radical Prostatectomy

BACKGROUND

Predicting the risk of side-specific extracapsular extension (ECE) is essential for planning nerve-sparing radical prostatectomy (RP) in patients with prostate cancer (PCa).

OBJECTIVE

To externally validate available models for prediction of ECE.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Sixteen models were assessed in a cohort of 737 consecutive PCa patients diagnosed via multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-targeted and systematic biopsies and treated with RP between January 2016 and November 2021 at eight referral centers.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Model performance was evaluated in terms of discrimination using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

Overall, ECE was identified in 308/1474 (21%) prostatic lobes. Prostatic lobes with ECE had higher side-specific clinical stage on digital rectal examination and MRI, number of positive biopsy cores, and International Society of Urological Pathology grade group in comparison to those without ECE (all p < 0.0001). Less optimistic performance was observed in comparison to previous published studies, although the models described by Pak, Patel, Martini, and Soeterik achieved the highest accuracy (AUC ranging from 0.73 to 0.77), adequate calibration for a probability threshold <40%, and the highest net benefit for a probability threshold >8% on DCA. Inclusion of MRI-targeted biopsy data and MRI information in models improved patient selection and clinical usefulness. Using model-derived cutoffs suggested by their authors, approximately 15% of positive surgical margins could have been avoided. Some available models were not included because of missing data, which constitutes a limitation of the study.

CONCLUSIONS

We report an external validation of models predicting ECE and identified the four with the best performance. These models should be applied for preoperative planning and patient counseling.

PATIENT SUMMARY

We validated several tools for predicting extension of prostate cancer outside the prostate gland. These tools can improve patient selection for surgery that spares nerves affecting recovery of sexual potency after removal of the prostate. They could potentially reduce the risk of finding cancer cells at the edge of specimens taken for pathology, a finding that suggests that not all of the cancer has been removed.

Multiparametric MRI-based nomograms in predicting positive surgical margins of prostate cancer after laparoscopic radical prostatectomy

Background

Positive surgical margins (PSMs) are an independent risk factor of biochemical recurrence in patients with prostate cancer (PCa) after laparoscopic radical prostatectomy; however, limited MRI-based predictive tools are available. This study aimed to develop a novel nomogram combining clinical and multiparametric MRI (mpMRI) parameters to reduce PSMs by improving surgical planning.

Methods

One hundred and three patients with PCa (55 patients with negative surgical margins [NSMs] and 48 patients with PSMs) were included in this retrospective study. The following parameters were obtained using GE Functool post-processing software: diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI); intravoxel incoherent motion model (IVIM); and diffusion kurtosis imaging (DKI). Patients were divided into different training sets and testing sets for different targets according to a ratio of 7:3. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression algorithm was used to analyze the data set to select the optimal MRI predictors. Preoperatively clinical parameters used to build a clinical nomogram (C-nomogram). Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to build an MRI nomogram (M-nomogram) by introducing the MRI parameters. Based on the MRI and clinical parameters, build an MRI combined with clinical parameters nomogram (MC-nomogram). Comparisons with the M-nomogram and MC-nomogram were based on discrimination, calibration, and decision curve analysis (DCA). A 3-fold cross-validation method was used to assess the stability of the nomogram.

Results

There was no statistical difference in AUC between the C-nomogram (sensitivity=64%, specificity=65% and AUC=0.683), the M-nomogram (sensitivity=57%, specificity=88% and AUC=0.735) and the MC-nomogram (sensitivity= 64%, specificity=82% and AUC=0.756). The calibration curves of the three nomograms used to predict the risk of PSMs in patients with PCa showed good agreement. The net benefit of the MC-nomogram was higher than the others (range, 0.2-0.7).

Conclusions

The mpMRI-based nomogram can predict PSMs in PCa patients. Although its AUC (0.735) is not statistically different from that of the clinical-based nomogram AUC (0.683). However, mpMRI-based nomogram has higher specificity (88% VS. 63%), model stability, and clinical benefit than clinical-based nomogram. And the predictive ability of mpMRI plus clinical parameters for PSMs is further improved.

Diagnostic and prognostic nomograms for newly diagnosed intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma with brain metastasis: A population-based analysis

Brain metastasis (BM) is one of the rare metastatic sites of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC). ICC with BM can seriously affect the quality of life of patients and lead to a poor prognosis. The aim of this study was to establish two nomograms to estimate the risk of BM in ICC patients and the prognosis of ICC patients with BM. Data on 19,166 individuals diagnosed with ICC were retrospectively collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Independent risk factors and prognostic factors were identified by the logistic and the Cox regression, respectively. Next, two nomograms were developed, and their discrimination was estimated by concordance index (C-index) and calibration plots, while the clinical benefits of the prognostic nomogram were evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, the decision curve analysis (DCA), and the Kaplan-Meier analyses. The independent risk factors for BM were T stage, N stage, surgery, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level, and tumor size. T stage, surgery, radiotherapy, and bone metastasis were prognostic factors for overall survival (OS). For the prognostic nomogram, the C-index was 0.759 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.745-0.773) and 0.764 (95% CI = 0.747-0.781) in the training and the validation cohort, respectively. The calibration curves revealed a robust agreement between predictions and actual observations probability. The area under curves (AUCs) for the 3-, 6-, and 9-month OS were 0.721, 0.727, and 0.790 in the training cohort and 0.702, 0.777, and 0.853 in the validation cohort, respectively. The DCA curves yielded remarkable positive net benefits over a wide range of threshold probabilities. The Kaplan-Meier analysis illustrated that the nomogram could significantly distinguish the population with different survival risks. We successfully established the two nomograms for predicting the incidence of BM and the prognosis of ICC patients with BM, which may assist clinicians in choosing more effective treatment strategies.

Multiparametric MRI for Staging of Prostate Cancer: A Multicentric Analysis of Predictive Factors to Improve Identification of Extracapsular Extension before Radical Prostatectomy

Simple Summary

In this multicentric study, we tested the accuracy of multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) in detecting extracapsular extension (ECE) out of the prostate in order to plan surgical sparing of neurovascular bundles in radical prostatectomy. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify other risk factors for ECE. We found that it has a good ability to exclude extracapsular extension but a poor ability to identify it correctly. Risk factors other than mpMRI that predicted ECE were as follows: prostatic specific antigen, digital rectal examination, ratio of positive cores, and biopsy grade group. We suggest that using mpMRI exclusively should not be recommended to decide on surgical approaches.

Abstract

The correct identification of extracapsular extension (ECE) of prostate cancer (PCa) on multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) is crucial for surgeons in order to plan the nerve-sparing approach in radical prostatectomy. Nerve-sparing strategies allow for better outcomes in preserving erectile function and urinary continence, notwithstanding this can be penalized with worse oncologic results. The aim of this study was to assess the ability of preoperative mpMRI to predict ECE in the final prostatic specimen (PS) and identify other possible preoperative predictive factors of ECE as a secondary end-point. We investigated a database of two high-volume hospitals to identify men who underwent a prostate biopsy with a pre-biopsy mpMRI and a subsequent RP. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of mpMRI in predicting ECE were calculated. A univariate analysis was performed to find the association between image staging and pathological staging. A multivariate logistic regression was performed to investigate other preoperative predictive factors. A total of 1147 patients were selected, and 203 out of the 1147 (17.7%) patients were classified as ECE according to the mpMRI. ECE was reported by pathologists in 279 out of the 1147 PS (24.3%). The PPV was 0.58, the NPV was 0.72, the sensitivity was 0.32, and the specificity was 0.88. The multivariate analysis found that PSA (OR 1.057, C.I. 95%, 1.016–1.100, p = 0.006), digital rectal examination (OR 0.567, C.I. 95%, 0.417–0.770, p = 0.0001), ratio of positive cores (OR 9.687, C.I. 95%, 3.744–25.006, p = 0.0001), and biopsy grade in prostate biopsy (OR 1.394, C.I. 95%, 1.025–1.612, p = 0.0001) were independent factors of ECE. The mpMRI has a great ability to exclude ECE, notwithstanding that low sensitivity is still an important limitation of the technique.

Computational Detection of Extraprostatic Extension of Prostate Cancer on Multiparametric MRI Using Deep Learning

The localization of extraprostatic extension (EPE), i.e., local spread of prostate cancer beyond the prostate capsular boundary, is important for risk stratification and surgical planning. However, the sensitivity of EPE detection by radiologists on MRI is low (57% on average). In this paper, we propose a method for computational detection of EPE on multiparametric MRI using deep learning. Ground truth labels of cancers and EPE were obtained in 123 patients (38 with EPE) by registering pre-surgical MRI with whole-mount digital histopathology images from radical prostatectomy. Our approach has two stages. First, we trained deep learning models using the MRI as input to generate cancer probability maps both inside and outside the prostate. Second, we built an image post-processing pipeline that generates predictions for EPE location based on the cancer probability maps and clinical knowledge. We used five-fold cross-validation to train our approach using data from 74 patients and tested it using data from an independent set of 49 patients. We compared two deep learning models for cancer detection: (i) UNet and (ii) the Correlated Signature Network for Indolent and Aggressive prostate cancer detection (CorrSigNIA). The best end-to-end model for EPE detection, which we call EPENet, was based on the CorrSigNIA cancer detection model. EPENet was successful at detecting cancers with extraprostatic extension, achieving a mean area under the receiver operator characteristic curve of 0.72 at the patient-level. On the test set, EPENet had 80.0% sensitivity and 28.2% specificity at the patient-level compared to 50.0% sensitivity and 76.9% specificity for the radiologists. To account for spatial location of predictions during evaluation, we also computed results at the sextant-level, where the prostate was divided into sextants according to standard systematic 12-core biopsy procedure. At the sextant-level, EPENet achieved mean sensitivity 61.1% and mean specificity 58.3%. Our approach has the potential to provide the location of extraprostatic extension using MRI alone, thus serving as an independent diagnostic aid to radiologists and facilitating treatment planning.

Magnetic Resonance Imaging-Targeted Biopsy and Pretherapeutic Prostate Cancer Risk Assessment: a Systematic Review: Biopsie ciblée par Imagerie par résonance magnétique et évaluation pré-thérapeutique du risque de cancer de la prostate : revue systématique

INTRODUCTION

Multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has been included in prostate cancer (PCa) diagnostic pathway and may improve disease characterization. The aim of this systematic review is to assess the added value of MRI-targeted biopsy (TB) in pre-therapeutic risk assessment models over existing tools based on systematic biopsy (SB) for localized PCa.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

A systematic search was conducted using Pubmed (Medline), Scopus and ScienceDirect databases according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analysis (PRISMA) statement. We included studies through October 2021 reporting on TB in pretherapeutic risk assessment models.

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

We identified 24 eligible studies including 24'237 patients for the systematic review. All included studies were retrospective and conducted in patients undergoing radical prostatectomy. Nine studies reported on the risk of extraprostatic extension, seven on the risk of lymph node invasion, three on the risk of biochemical recurrence and nine on the improvement of PCa risk stratification. Overall, the combination of TB with imaging, clinical and biochemical parameters outperformed current pretherapeutic risk assessment models. External validation studies are lacking for certain endpoints and the absence of standardization among TB protocols, including number of TB cores and fusion systems, may limit the generalizability of the results.

CONCLUSION

TB should be incorporated in pretherapeutic risk assessment models to improve clinical decision making. Further high-quality studies are required to determine models' generalizability while there is an urgent need to reach consensus on a standardized TB protocol. Long-term outcomes after treatment are also awaited to confirm the superiority of such models over classical risk classifications only based on SB. © 2022 Elsevier Masson SAS. All rights reserved.

Grade and stage misclassification in intermediate unfavorable-risk prostate cancer radiotherapy candidates

BACKGROUND

We tested for upgrading (Gleason grade group [GGG] ≥ 4) and/or upstaging to non-organ-confined stage ([NOC] ≥ pT3/pN1) in intermediate unfavorable-risk (IU) prostate cancer (PCa) patients treated with radical prostatectomy, since both change the considerations for dose and/or type of radiotherapy (RT) and duration of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT).

METHODS

We relied on Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (2010-2015). Proportions of (a) upgrading, (b) upstaging, or (c) upgrading and/or upstaging were tabulated and tested in multivariable logistic regression models.

RESULTS

We identified 7269 IU PCa patients. Upgrading was recorded in 479 (6.6%) and upstaging in 2398 (33.0%), for a total of 2616 (36.0%) upgraded and/or upstaged patients, who no longer fulfilled the IU grade and stage definition. Prostate-specific antigen, clinical stage, biopsy GGG, and percentage of positive cores, neither individually nor in multivariable logistic regression models, discriminated between upgraded and/or upstaged patients versus others.

CONCLUSIONS

IU PCa patients showed very high (36%) upgrading and/or upstaging proportion. Interestingly, the overwhelming majority of those were upstaged to NOC. Conversely, very few were upgraded to GGG ≥ 4. In consequence, more than one-third of IU PCa patients treated with RT may be exposed to suboptimal dose and/or type of RT and to insufficient duration of ADT, since their true grade and stage corresponded to high-risk PCa definition, instead of IU PCa. Data about magnetic resonance imaging were not available but may potentially help with better stage discrimination.

Contemporary seminal vesicle invasion rates in NCCN high-risk prostate cancer patients

BACKGROUND

Contemporary seminal vesicle invasion (SVI) rates in National Cancer Comprehensive Network (NCCN) high-risk prostate cancer (PCa) patients are not well known but essential for treatment planning. We examined SVI rates according to individual patient characteristics for purpose of treatment planning.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Within Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (2010-2015), 4975 NCCN high-risk patients were identified. In the development cohort (SEER geographic region of residence: South, North-East, Mid-West, n = 2456), we fitted a multivariable logistic regression model predicting SVI. Its accuracy, calibration, and decision curve analyses (DCAs) were then tested versus previous models within the external validation cohort (SEER geographic region of residence: West, n = 2519).

RESULTS

Out of 4975 patients, 28% had SVI. SVI rate ranged from 8% to 89% according to clinical T stage, prostate-specific antigen (PSA), biopsy Gleason Grade Group and percentage of positive biopsy cores. In the development cohort, these variables were independent predictors of SVI. In the external validation cohort, the current model achieved 77.6% accuracy vs 73.7% for Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Centre (MSKCC) vs 68.6% for Gallina et al. Calibration was better than for the two alternatives: departures from ideal predictions were 6.0% for the current model vs 9.8% for MSKCC vs 38.5% for Gallina et al. In DCAs, the current model outperformed both alternatives. Finally, different nomogram cutoffs allowed to discriminate between low versus high SVI risk patients.

CONCLUSIONS

More than a quarter of NCCN high-risk PCa patients harbored SVI. Since SVI positivity rate varies from 8% to 89%, the currently developed model offers a valuable approach to distinguish between low and high SVI risk patients.

Establishment of a Novel Combined Nomogram for Predicting the Risk of Progression Related to Castration Resistance in Patients With Prostate Cancer

Background: The emergence of castration resistance is fatal for patients with prostate cancer (PCa); however, there is still a lack of effective means to detect the early progression. In this study, a novel combined nomogram was established to predict the risk of progression related to castration resistance.

Methods: The castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC)-related differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were identified by R packages “limma” and “WGCNA” in GSE35988-GPL6480 and GSE70768-GPL10558, respectively. Relationships between DEGs and progression-free interval (PFI) were analyzed using the Kaplan–Meier method in TCGA PCa patients. A multigene signature was built by lasso-penalized Cox regression analysis, and assessed by the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve and Kaplan–Meier curve. Finally, the univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to establish a combined nomogram. The prognostic value of the nomogram was validated by concordance index (C-index), calibration plots, ROC curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results: 15 CRPC-related DEGs were identified finally, of which 13 genes were significantly associated with PFI and used as the candidate genes for modeling. A two-gene (KIFC2 and BCAS1) signature was built to predict the risk of progression. The ROC curve indicated that 5-year area under curve (AUC) in the training, testing, and whole TCGA dataset was 0.722, 0.739, and 0.731, respectively. Patients with high-risk scores were significantly associated with poorer PFI (p < 0.0001). A novel combined nomogram was successfully established for individualized prediction integrating with T stage, Gleason score, and risk score. While the 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year AUC were 0.76, 0.761, and 0.762, respectively, the good prognostic value of the nomogram was also validated by the C-index (0.734), calibration plots, and DCA.

Conclusion: The combined nomogram can be used to predict the individualized risk of progression related to castration resistance for PCa patients and has been preliminarily verified to have good predictive ability.

Negative mpMRI Rules Out Extra-Prostatic Extension in Prostate Cancer before Robot-Assisted Radical Prostatectomy

Background: The accuracy of multi-parametric MRI (mpMRI) in the pre-operative staging of prostate cancer (PCa) remains controversial. Objective: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the ability of mpMRI to accurately predict PCa extra-prostatic extension (EPE) on a side-specific basis using a risk-stratified 5-point Likert scale. This study also aimed to assess the influence of mpMRI scan quality on diagnostic accuracy. Patients and Methods: We included 124 men who underwent robot-assisted RP (RARP) as part of the NeuroSAFE PROOF study at our centre. Three radiologists retrospectively reviewed mpMRI blinded to RP pathology and assigned a Likert score (1-5) for EPE on each side of the prostate. Each scan was also ascribed a Prostate Imaging Quality (PI-QUAL) score for assessing the quality of the mpMRI scan, where 1 represents the poorest and 5 represents the best diagnostic quality. Outcome measurements and statistical analyses: Diagnostic performance is presented for the binary classification of EPE, including 95% confidence intervals and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Results: A total of 231 lobes from 121 men (mean age 56.9 years) were evaluated. Of these, 39 men (32.2%), or 43 lobes (18.6%), had EPE. A Likert score ≥3 had a sensitivity (SE), specificity (SP), NPV, and PPV of 90.4%, 52.3%, 96%, and 29.9%, respectively, and the AUC was 0.82 (95% CI: 0.77-0.86). The AUC was 0.76 (95% CI: 0.64-0.88), 0.78 (0.72-0.84), and 0.92 (0.88-0.96) for biparametric scans, PI-QUAL 1-3, and PI-QUAL 4-5 scans, respectively. Conclusions: MRI can be used effectively by genitourinary radiologists to rule out EPE and help inform surgical planning for men undergoing RARP. EPE prediction was more reliable when the MRI scan was (a) multi-parametric and (b) of a higher image quality according to the PI-QUAL scoring system.

Development and Validation of Novel Nomograms to Predict the Overall Survival and Cancer-Specific Survival of Cervical Cancer Patients With Lymph Node Metastasis

Objective

The objective of this study was to establish and validate novel individualized nomograms for predicting the overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in cervical cancer patients with lymph node metastasis.

Methods

A total of 2,956 cervical cancer patients diagnosed with lymph node metastasis (American Joint Committee on Cancer, AJCC N stage=N1) between 2000 and 2018 were included in this study. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression models were applied to identify independent prognostic predictors, and the nomograms were established to predict the OS and CSS. The concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were applied to estimate the precision and discriminability of the nomograms. Decision-curve analysis (DCA) was used to assess the clinical utility of the nomograms.

Results

Tumor size, log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS), radiotherapy, surgery, T stage, histology, and grade resulted as significant independent predictors both for OS and CSS. The C-index value of the prognostic nomogram for predicting OS was 0.788 (95% CI, 0.762–0.814) and 0.777 (95% CI, 0.758–0.796) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Meanwhile, the C-index value of the prognostic nomogram for predicting CSS was 0.792 (95% CI, 0.767–0.817) and 0.781 (95% CI, 0.764–0.798) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The calibration curves for the nomograms revealed gratifying consistency between predictions and actual observations for both 3- and 5-year OS and CSS. The 3- and 5-year area under the curves (AUCs) for the nomogram of OS and CSS ranged from 0.781 to 0.828. Finally, the DCA curves emerged as robust positive net benefits across a wide scale of threshold probabilities.

Conclusion

We have successfully constructed nomograms that could predict 3- and 5-year OS and CSS of cervical cancer patients with lymph node metastasis and may assist clinicians in decision-making and personalized treatment planning.

Use of high-resolution micro-ultrasound to predict extraprostatic extension of prostate cancer prior to surgery: a prospective single-institutional study

PURPOSE

We aim to evaluate the accuracy of micro-ultrasound (microUS) in predicting extraprostatic extension (EPE) of Prostate Cancer (PCa) prior to surgery.

METHODS

Patients with biopsy-proven PCa scheduled for robot-assisted radical prostatectomy (RARP) were prospectively recruited. The following MRI-derived microUS features were evaluated: capsular bulging, visible breach of the prostate capsule (visible extracapsular extension; ECE), presence of hypoechoic halo, and obliteration of the vesicle-prostatic angle. The ability of each feature to predict EPE was determined.

RESULTS

Overall, data from 140 patients were examined. All predictors were associated with non-organ-confined disease (p < 0.001). Final pathology showed that 79 patients (56.4%) had a pT2 disease and 61 (43.3%) ≥ pT3. Rate of non-organ-confined disease increased from 44% in those individuals with only 1 predictor (OR 7.71) to 92.3% in those where 4 predictors (OR 72.00) were simultaneously observed. The multivariate logistic regression model including clinical parameters showed an area under the curve (AUC) of 82.3% as compared to an AUC of 87.6% for the model including both clinical and microUS parameters. Presence of ECE at microUS predicted EPE with a sensitivity of 72.1% and a specificity of 88%, a negative predictive value of 80.5% and positive predictive value of 83.0%, with an AUC of 80.4%.

CONCLUSIONS

MicroUS can accurately predict EPE at the final pathology report in patients scheduled for RARP.

Postoperative Adjuvant Imatinib Therapy-Associated Nomogram to Predict Overall Survival of Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumor

BACKGROUND

Adjuvant imatinib therapy has been shown to improve overall survival (OS) of gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST) significantly. Few nomograms combining the use of adjuvant imatinib and clinicopathological characteristics estimate the outcome of patients. We aimed to establish a more comprehensive nomogram for predicting OS in patients with GIST.

METHODS

In total, 1310 GIST patients undergoing curative resection at four high-volume medical centers between 2001 and 2015 were enrolled. Independent prognostic factors were identified by multivariate Cox analysis. Eligible patients were randomly assigned in a ratio of 7:3 into a training set (916 cases) and a validation set (394 cases). A nomogram was established by R software and its predictive power compared with that of the modified National Institutes of Health (NIH) classification using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and calibration plot.

RESULTS

Age, tumor site, tumor size, mitotic index, postoperative imatinib and diagnostic delay were identified as independent prognostic parameters and used to construct a nomogram. Of note, diagnostic delay was for the first time included in a prognostic model for GIST. The calibrated nomogram resulted in predicted survival rates consistent with observed ones. And the decision curve analysis suggested that the nomogram prognostic model was clinically useful. Furthermore, time-dependent ROC curves showed the nomogram exhibited greater discrimination power than the modified NIH classification in 3- and 5-year survival predictions for both training and validation sets (all P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Postoperative adjuvant imatinib therapy improved the survival of GIST patients. We developed and validated a more comprehensive prognostic nomogram for GIST patients, and it could have important clinical utility in improving individualized predictions of survival risks and treatment decision-making.

Integration of magnetic resonance imaging into prostate cancer nomograms

The decision whether to undergo prostate biopsy must be carefully weighed. Nomograms have widely been utilized as risk calculators to improve the identification of prostate cancer by weighing several clinical factors. The recent inclusion of multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) findings into nomograms has drastically improved their nomogram's accuracy at identifying clinically significant prostate cancer. Several novel nomograms have incorporated mpMRI to aid in the decision-making process in proceeding with a prostate biopsy in patients who are biopsy-naïve, have a prior negative biopsy, or are on active surveillance. Furthermore, novel nomograms have incorporated mpMRI to aid in treatment planning of definitive therapy. This literature review highlights how the inclusion of mpMRI into prostate cancer nomograms has improved upon their performance, potentially reduce unnecessary procedures, and enhance the individual risk assessment by improving confidence in clinical decision-making by both patients and their care providers.

A Prognostic Nomogram and Heat Map to Predict Survival in Stage II/III Gastric Cancer Patients After Curative Gastrectomy Followed by Adjuvant Chemotherapy

Purpose

This study aimed to study the prognostic value of clinicopathological data, inflammation and nutritional indicators, and to design an effective prognostic nomogram and heat map to predict cancer-specific survival (CSS) and disease-free survival (DFS) of stage II/III GC patients who underwent curative gastrectomy with adjuvant chemotherapy.

Patients and Methods

We retrospectively analyzed the data of 611 patients with stage II/III GC after curative gastrectomy followed by adjuvant chemotherapy from 3 GC disease centers. Patients were divided into a training cohort (n = 503) and an external validation cohort (n = 108). Nomograms were established based on independent predictors identified by Cox regression analysis in the training cohort. The consistency index (C-index) and the calibration curve were used to evaluate the discriminative ability and accuracy of the nomogram. Heat maps were constructed with the prognostic factors and the corresponding survival probability. We further divided the patients into low-risk and high-risk groups based on the risk score of the nomogram.

Results

Through univariate and multivariate survival analysis, the independent risk factors common to CSS and DFS were identified. Then these predictors were incorporated into the nomograms, and the established nomograms used to predict CSS and DFS had high discriminative power in the training cohort. Meanwhile, the calibration curves of CSS and DFS probability also showed good agreement between the prediction based on the nomograms and the actual observation results. The above independent predictors were applied to establish heat maps. Compared with low-risk patients, the high-risk patients calculated according to the nomogram had a shorter survival time and a worse prognosis.

Conclusion

We established a nomogram and heat map, which could be used to assess the survival rate of stage II/III GC patients who underwent curative gastrectomy with adjuvant chemotherapy. These tools had high prognostic prediction accuracy and provided inspiration for clinical decision-making.

E-Cadherin, Integrin Alpha2 (Cd49b), and Transferrin Receptor-1 (Tfr1) Are Promising Immunohistochemical Markers of Selected Adverse Pathological Features in Patients Treated with Radical Prostatectomy

In patients treated for prostate cancer (PCa) with radical prostatectomy (RP), determining the risk of extraprostatic extension (EPE) and nodal involvement (NI) remains crucial for planning nerve-sparing and extended lymphadenectomy. The study aimed to determine proteins that could serve as immunohistochemical markers of locally advanced PCa. To select candidate proteins associated with adverse pathologic features (APF) reverse-phase protein array data of 498 patients was retrieved from The Cancer Genome Atlas. The analysis yielded 6 proteins which were then validated as predictors of APF utilizing immunohistochemistry in a randomly selected retrospective cohort of 53 patients. For univariate and multivariate analysis, logistic regression was used. Positive expression of TfR1 (OR 13.74; p = 0.015), reduced expression of CD49b (OR 10.15; p = 0.013), and PSA (OR 1.29; p = 0.013) constituted independent predictors of EPE, whereas reduced expression of e-cadherin (OR 10.22; p = 0.005), reduced expression of CD49b (OR 24.44; p = 0.017), and PSA (OR 1.18; p = 0.002) were independently associated with NI. Both models achieved high discrimination (AUROC 0.879 and 0.888, respectively). Immunohistochemistry constitutes a straightforward tool that might be easily utilized before RP. Expression of TfR1 and CD49b is associated with EPE, whereas expression of e-cadherin and CD49b is associated with NI. Since following immunohistochemical markers predicts respective APFs independently from PSA, in the future they might supplement existing preoperative nomograms or be implemented in novel tools.

Selection of patients for nerve sparing surgery in robot‐assisted radical prostatectomy

Context

Robot‐assisted radical prostatectomy (RARP) has become the standard surgical procedure for localized prostate‐cancer (PCa). Nerve‐sparing surgery (NSS) during RARP has been associated with improved erectile function and continence rates after surgery. However, it remains unclear what are the most appropriate indications for NSS.

Objective

The objective of this study is to systematically review the available parameters for selection of patients for NSS. The weight of different clinical variables, multiparametric magnetic‐resonance‐imaging (mpMRI) findings, and the impact of multiparametric‐nomograms in the decision‐making process on (side‐specific) NSS were assessed.

Evidence acquisition

This systematic review searched relevant databases and included studies performed from January 2000 until December 2020 and recruited a total of 15 840 PCa patients. Studies were assessed that defined criteria for (side‐specific) NSS and associated them with oncological safety and/or functional outcomes. Risk of bias assessment was performed.

Evidence synthesis

Nineteen articles were eligible for full‐text review. NSS is primarily recommended in men with adequate erectile function, and with low‐risk of extracapsular extension (ECE) on the side‐of NSS. Separate clinical and radiological variables have low accuracy for predicting ECE, whereas nomograms optimize the risk‐stratification and decision‐making process to perform or to refrain from NSS when oncological safety (organ‐confined disease, PSM rates) and functional outcomes (erectile function and continence rates) were assessed.

Conclusions

Consensus exists that patients who are at high risk of ECE should refrain from NSS. Several multiparametric preoperative nomograms were developed to predict ECE with increased accuracy compared with single clinical, pathological, or radiological variables, but controversy exists on risk thresholds and decision rules on a conservative versus a less‐conservative surgical approach. An individual clinical judgment on the possibilities of NSS set against the risks of ECE is warranted.

Patient summary

NSS is aimed at sparing the nerves responsible for erection. NSS may lead to unfavorable tumor control if the risk of capsule penetration is high. Nomograms predicting extraprostatic tumor‐growth are probably most helpful.

MRI and Targeted Biopsy Essential Tools for an Accurate Diagnosis and Treatment Decision Making in Prostate Cancer

Prostate cancer (PCa) is one of the most frequent causes of cancer death worldwide. Historically, diagnosis was based on physical examination, transrectal (TRUS) images, and TRUS biopsy resulting in overdiagnosis and overtreatment. Recently magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has been identified as an evolving tool in terms of diagnosis, staging, treatment decision, and follow-up. In this review we provide the key studies and concepts of MRI as a promising tool in the diagnosis and management of prostate cancer in the general population and in challenging scenarios, such as anteriorly located lesions, enlarged prostates determining extracapsular extension and seminal vesicle invasion, and prior negative biopsy and the future role of MRI in association with artificial intelligence (AI).

Biparametric Magnetic Resonance Imaging-Derived Nomogram to Detect Clinically Significant Prostate Cancer by Targeted Biopsy for Index Lesion

BACKGROUND

Currently, it is necessary to investigate how to combine biparametric magnetic resonance imaging (bpMRI) with various clinical parameters for the detection of clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa).

PURPOSE

To develop a multivariate prebiopsy nomogram using clinical and bpMRI parameters for estimating the probability of csPCa.

STUDY TYPE

Retrospective, single-center study.

SUBJECTS

Two hundred and twenty-six patients who underwent targeted biopsy (TBx) for the MRI-suspected index lesion because of clinical suspicions of PCa.

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

A 3 T MRI including turbo spin-echo T₂ -weighted and diffusion-weighted single-shot echo-planar imaging sequences.

ASSESSMENT

Prebiopsy clinical and bpMRI parameters were patient age, biopsy history (biopsy-naïve or repeated biopsy status), prostate-specific antigen density (PSAD), Prostate Imaging-Reporting and Data System version 2.1 (PI-RADSv2.1), and apparent diffusion coefficient ratio (ADCR). ADCR was defined as mean ADC of the index lesion divided by mean ADC of the contralateral prostatic region. A multivariate prebiopsy nomogram for csPCa (i.e. Gleason sum ≥7) was developed. Area under the curve (AUC) of each parameter and prebiopsy nomogram was assessed. Five-fold cross-validation was performed for robust estimation of performance of the prebiopsy nomogram.

STATISTICAL TESTS

Logistic regression, receiver-operating curve, and 5-fold cross-validation. P-value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

Proportion of csPCa was 31.9% (72/226). The AUCs of age, biopsy-naïve status, PSAD, PI-RADSv2.1, ADCR, and prebiopsy nomogram were 0.657 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.580-0.733), 0.593 (95% CI, 0.525-0.660), 0.762 (95% CI, 0.697-0.826), 0.824 (95% CI, 0.770-0.878), 0.829 (95% CI, 0.769-0.888), and 0.906 (95% CI, 0.863-0.948), respectively: AUC of nomogram was significantly different than that of individual parameter. In the 5-fold cross-validation, the mean AUC of the prebiopsy nomogram for csPCa was 0.888 (95% CI, 0.786-0.983).

DATA CONCLUSIONS

This multivariate prebiopsy nomogram using clinical and bpMRI parameters may help estimate the probability of csPCa in patients undergoing TBx. ADCR seems to enhance the role of bpMRI in detecting csPCa.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

3 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.

[Recent advances in high-risk prostate cancer surgery]

The management of high-risk prostate cancer has greatly evolved in recent years. Advances in imaging helps to better define the actual aggressiveness of the disease, to plan the surgical procedure, and to improve the prognostic evaluation of this high-risk of recurrence disease. The information obtained by MRI and by targeted biopsies improves management before surgery. Advances in nuclear medicine and generalization of PSMA-PET scans are beginning to improve the initial stage of diagnosis, thanks to a better detection of lymph node and distant metastases. The oncological interest of these new imaging techniques, which then influence the therapeutic plan, remains to be defined. The curative impact of an extensive lymph node dissection, as currently recommended, remains to be proved, and recently published randomized trials do not provide firm conclusions. The new hormone therapies pave the way for an intensification of perioperative systemic treatment, with a significant action on the tumor tissue, but an impact on survival, which remains to be defined in the context of ongoing randomized trials.

Development and Validation of a Prognostic Model for Predicting Overall Survival in Patients With Bladder Cancer: A SEER-Based Study

OBJECTIVE

To establish a prognostic model for Bladder cancer (BLCA) based on demographic information, the American Joint Commission on Cancer (AJCC) 7th staging system, and additional treatment using the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results (SEER) database.

METHODS

Cases with BLCA diagnosed from 2010-2015 were collected from the SEER database, while patient records with incomplete information on pre-specified variables were excluded. All eligible cases were included in the full analysis set, which was then split into training set and test set with a 1:1 ratio. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were conducted to identify prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) in BLCA patients. With selected independent prognosticators, a nomogram was mapped to predict OS for BLCA. The nomogram was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis and calibration plot in both the training and test sets. The area under curve [AUC] of the nomogram was calculated and compared with clinicopathological indicators using the full analysis set. Statistical analyses were conducted using the R software, where P-value <0.05 was considered significant.

RESULTS

The results indicated that age, race, sex, marital status, histology, tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stages based on the AJCC 7th edition, and additional chemotherapy were independent prognostic factors for OS in patients with BLCA. Patients receiving chemotherapy tend to have better survival outcomes than those without. The proposed nomogram showed decent classification (AUCs >0.8) and prediction accuracy in both the training and test sets. Additionally, the AUC of the nomogram was observed to be better than that of conventional clinical indicators.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed nomogram incorporated independent prognostic factors including age, race, sex, marital status, histology, tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stages, and additional chemotherapy. Patients with BLCA benefit from chemotherapy on overall survival. The nomogram-based prognostic model could predict overall survival for patients with BLCA with accurate stratification, which is superior to clinicopathological factors.

Artificial intelligence is a promising prospect for the detection of prostate cancer extracapsular extension with mpMRI: a two-center comparative study

PURPOSE

A balance between preserving urinary continence as well as sexual potency and achieving negative surgical margins is of clinical relevance while implementary difficulty. Accurate detection of extracapsular extension (ECE) of prostate cancer (PCa) is thus crucial for determining appropriate treatment options. We aimed to develop and validate an artificial intelligence (AI)-based tool for detecting ECE of PCa using multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI).

METHODS

Eight hundred and forty nine consecutive PCa patients who underwent mpMRI and prostatectomy without previous radio- or hormonal therapy from two medical centers were retrospectively included. The AI tool was built on a ResNeXt network embedded with a spatial attention map of experts' prior knowledge (PAGNet) from 596 training patients. Model validation was performed in 150 internal and 103 external patients. Performance comparison was made between AI, two experts using a criteria-based ECE grading system, and expert-AI interaction.

RESULTS

An index PAGNet model using a single-slice image yielded the highest areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.857 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.827-0.884), 0.807 (95% CI, 0.735-0.867), and 0.728 (95% CI, 0.631-0.811) in training, internal, and external validation data, respectively. The performance of two experts (AUC, 0.632 to 0.741 vs 0.715 to 0.857) was lower (paired comparison, all p values < 0.05) than that of AI assessment. When experts' interpretations were adjusted by AI assessments, the performance of two experts was improved.

CONCLUSION

Our AI tool, showing improved accuracy, offers a promising alternative to human experts for ECE staging using mpMRI.