Antimüllerian hormone: prediction of cumulative live birth in gonadotropin-releasing hormone antagonist treatment for in vitro fertilization

Acrosin activity negatively influences the cumulative live birth rate in patients undergoing IVF treatment

RESEARCH QUESTION

Is acrosin activity related to cumulative live birth rate (CLBR) over 1 year after IVF, intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) treatment or both?

DESIGN

Retrospective monocentric cohort study of 5704 couples who started IVF/ICSI treatments between 2016 and 2021. Acrosin activity was determined by a modified Kennedy method using a commercial kit. Patients were divided into two groups according to their acrosin activity: below 25 μIU/106 spermatozoa; and an acrosin activity 25 μIU/106 spermatozoa or above. Primary outcome was the CLBR, defined as an ongoing pregnancy leading to live birth that had arisen from all embryo transfers carried out within 1 year after the first ovum retrieval. Both conservative and optimistic methods were used for estimating CLBRs.

RESULTS

The CLBRs of patients with an acrosin activity below 25 μIU/106 spermatozoa were found to be significantly lower than those of patients with an acrosin activity 25 μIU/106 spermatozoa or above by conservative (48.5% versus 55.4%, P = 0.02) and optimistic (63.7% versus 70.3%, P = 0.047) methods after adjusting for confounders. When acrosin activity was regarded as a continuous variable, significant negative relationships between acrosin activity and CLBR were identified in subgroups: young couples (men and women aged younger than 30 years) and couples from whom no more than 10 eggs were retrieved.

CONCLUSION

Low acrosin activity levels were correlated with decreasing CLBRs over 1 year. These findings suggest that acrosin activity can be used as a predictor for CLBRs before starting IVF/ICSI treatment to enhance the effectiveness of counselling.

Prediction of Reproductive Outcomes of Intracytoplasmic Sperm Injection Cycles Using a Multivariate Scoring System

Background

Prediction of in vitro fertilisation (IVF)/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) success is crucial in counselling patients about their real chance of getting a live birth before commencing treatment. A multivariate scoring system proposed by Younis et al., 2010, was amongst the predictive models used to evaluate IVF/ICSI success. The score entitles basal endocrine, clinical and sonographic parameters.

Aims

The objective of this study is to assess the predictability of the Younis multivariate score for pregnancy outcomes in ICSI cycles.

Settings and Design

This prospective observational cohort study (NCT03846388) included patients who pursued IVF or ICSI in a tertiary infertility unit between February 2019 and December 2021.

Materials and Methods

The score variables were age, body mass index, antral follicle count, basal follicle-stimulating hormone (FSH), basal FSH/luteinising hormone ratio, infertility duration, number of previous cancellations and mean ovarian volume. For each woman included in the study, Younis multivariate score was calculated. Then, we correlate the different reproductive outcomes with score levels to validate the score predictability. A score of ≤14 was defined as a low score based on the previous study's results.

Statistical Analysis Used

The student's t-test and Mann-Whitney test were used to compare numerical variables, whereas categorical variables were analysed using the Chi-square test. A receiver operating curve (ROC) and a multivariate logistic regression model were used to investigate the predictability of the Younis scoring model for cycle outcomes.

Results

Two hundred ninety-two ICSI-ET cycles were analysed. Of the total cohort, 143 (48.97%) women included showed a low score (≤14), whereas 149 (51.03%) women showed a high score (>14). Women with low scores had significantly higher pregnancy and live birth rates compared to women with high scores (60.1% vs. 7.4%, respectively, P < 0.001; 44.7% vs. 6.7%, respectively, P < 0.001). The area under the curve (AUC) in the ROC curve analysis showed a higher predictability for the scoring system for live birth rate with an AUC of 0.796, with a sensitivity of 86.5% and specificity of 63.8% when using a cut-off level of ≤14. For pregnancy prediction, the AUC was 0.829, with a sensitivity of 88.66% and a specificity of 70.77% when using the same cut-off. Women who have a low score have a high chance of having frozen embryos. Likewise, women who have a high score have a very high chance of cycle cancellation.

Conclusions

The Younis multivariate score can be used for the prediction of ICSI cycle outcomes and to calculate the chance of cycle cancellation, pregnancy and take-home baby before ICSI.

Using serum anti-Müllerian hormone levels to predict the chance of live birth after spontaneous or assisted conception: a systematic review and meta-analysis

STUDY QUESTION

Is serum anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) level predictive of cumulative live birth (CLB) rate after ART or in women trying to conceive naturally?

SUMMARY ANSWER

Serum AMH level is linked to CLB after IVF/ICSI but data are lacking after IUI or in women trying to conceive without ART.

WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY

Serum AMH level is a marker of ovarian reserve and a good predictor of ovarian response after controlled ovarian stimulation. It is unclear whether AMH measurement can predict CLB in spontaneous or assisted conception.

STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION

A systematic review and meta-analysis was undertaken to assess whether serum AMH level may predict chances of CLB in infertile women undergoing IVF/ICSI or IUI and/or chances of live birth in women having conceived naturally.

PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS

A systematic review and meta-analysis was performed using the following keywords: 'AMH', 'anti-mullerian hormone', 'live-birth', 'cumulative live birth'. Searches were conducted from January 2004 to April 2021 on PubMed and Embase. Two independent reviewers carried out study selection, quality, and risk of bias assessment as well as data extraction. Odds ratios were estimated using a random-effect model. Pre-specified sensitivity analyses and subgroup analyses were performed. The primary outcome was CLB.

MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE

A total of 32 studies were included in the meta-analysis. Overall, 27 articles were included in the meta-analysis of the relation between AMH and CLB or AMH and LB after IVF/ICSI. A non-linear positive relation was found in both cases. A polynomial fraction was the best model to describe it but no discriminant AMH threshold was shown, especially no serum AMH level threshold below which live birth could not be achieved after IVF/ICSI. After IVF-ICSI, only four studies reported CLB rate according to AMH level. No statistically significant differences in mean serum AMH levels were shown between patients with and without CLB, but with a high heterogeneity. After exclusion of two studies with high risks of bias, there was no more heterogeneity [I2 = 0%] and the mean AMH level was statistically significantly higher in women with CLB. There were not enough articles/data to assess the ability of AMH to predict CLB rate or find an AMH threshold after IUI or in women without history of infertility trying to conceive without ART.

LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION

The systematic review and meta-analysis had some limitations owing to the limits and bias of the studies included. In the present meta-analysis, heterogeneity may have been caused by different baseline characteristics in study participants, different stimulating protocols for ART, different serum AMH level thresholds used and the use of various assays for serum AMH. This could explain, in part, the absence of a discriminating AMH threshold found in this analysis.

WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS

Serum AMH level is linked to CLB rate after IVF/ICSI but no discriminating threshold can be established, therefore low serum AMH level should not be used as the sole criterion for rejecting IVF treatment, especially in young patients. Data are lacking concerning its predictive value after IUI or in women trying to conceive without ART. Our findings may be helpful to counsel candidate couples to IVF-ICSI.

STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTERESTS

No external funding was obtained for this study. There are no conflicts of interest.

REGISTRATION NUMBER

PROSPERO CRD42021269332.

High anti-Mullerian hormone level is adversely associated with cumulative live birth rates of two embryo transfers after the first initiated cycle in patients with polycystic ovary syndrome

Objective

Anti-Mullerian hormone (AMH) has been recently identified as a potential predictor of live birth rates (LBRs) following assisted reproductive technology (ART) treatment. This study aimed to investigate the association between AMH levels and the outcomes of in vitro fertilization (IVF) in patients with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS).

Methods

Patients with PCOS initiating their first ovarian stimulation under the gonadotropin-releasing hormone antagonist protocol at the Guangdong Women and Children Hospital, China, were enrolled from November 2014 to September 2018. A total of 157 patients who underwent fresh embryo transfer (ET) cycles were included in group A, whereas 187 patients who underwent frozen-thawed ET cycles were included in group B. After the failure of the first ET cycle, 94 patients underwent the second ET cycle with frozen-thawed embryos. Of these 94 patients, 52 had failed the first fresh ET cycle (group C) and 42 had failed the first frozen-thawed ET cycle (group D). Successful embryo transfer was defined as live birth. This retrospective cohort study addressed the association between AMH levels and pregnancy outcomes using logistic regression approaches. After adjusting for age, body mass index, antral follicle counts, baseline follicle-stimulating hormone levels and baseline progesterone levels, LBRs were compared among the four groups and the cumulative live birth rate after two embryo transfers (TCLBR) was calculated.

Results

The LBRs showed no differences among the four groups. Higher serum AMH levels were found to be associated with a lower TCLBR [adjusted OR 0.937 (0.888-0.987), P = 0.015]. In patients who underwent the second ET cycle, LBRs were inversely proportional to AMH levels [crude OR 0.904 (0.828-0.986), P = 0.022 versus adjusted OR 0.845 (0.754-0.946), P = 0.004, respectively]. In addition, the LBR was approximately 61%-78% lower in the group with AMH levels of >12 ng/mL [crude OR 0.391 (0.168-0.912), P = 0.030 versus adjusted OR 0.217 (0.074-0.635), P = 0.005, respectively].

Conclusions

Among PCOS patients high AMH level (>12 ng/ml) is found to be associated with low TCLBR and low LBR of the second embryo transfer cycles. The results provide limited clinical inferences and warrant further investigation.

Serum levels of anti-Müllerian hormone influence pregnancy outcomes associated with gonadotropin-releasing hormone antagonist treatment: a retrospective cohort study

As a specific predictor of ovarian reserve, serum anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) has become an area of intense research interest in the field of assisted reproductive technology. We assessed the relationship between AMH levels and pregnancy outcomes in Chinese patients and investigate the influencing factors of cumulative live birth in patients with high AMH levels. A total of 1379 patients starting their IVF/ICSI cycle were divided into normal (Group A, 1.1-4.0 ng/ml, n = 639) and high (Group B, > 4.0 ng/ml, n = 740) groups by serum AMH levels. Live birth rate (LBR), cumulative live birth rate (CLBR) and cumulative clinical pregnancy rate (CCPR) were also investigated. Compared with Group A, Group B had a significantly higher CLBR (65.80% vs. 43.95%) and CCPR (76.77% vs. 57.14%), respectively. Binomial logistic regression analysis showed that age over 40 years, LH/FSH > 2.5, total Gn dose and Gn duration, and greater than 4000 ng/ml serum E2 levels on HCG day were significantly associated with CLBR in Group B. The AUC value of CLBR averaged 0.664 (ranging from 0.621 to 0.706) (p < 0.001). The patients with high AMH levels had higher CPR, higher LBR, and lower MR with no statistically significant differences, although there were significant improvements in CLBR. Advanced age (> 40 years) still impacted CLBR, even in women with good ovarian reserves. Consequently, it is still recommended that patients over 40 years old with high AMH levels actively receive IVF treatment if they seek to become pregnant. PCOS diagnoses did not influence the CLBR. In summary, this study showed that serum AMH levels could positively predict patient ovarian responses and further affect pregnancy outcomes.

The reference value of anti-Müllerian hormone to diagnose polycystic ovary syndrome is inversely associated with BMI: a retrospective study

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to evaluate the cut-off value of anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) combined with body mass index (BMI) in the diagnosis of polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) and polycystic ovary morphology (PCOM).

METHODS

This retrospective study included 15,970 patients: 3775 women with PCOS, 2879 women with PCOM, and 9316 patients as controls. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to calculate adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for AMH. We randomly divided the patients into two data sets. In dataset 1, a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was generated to analyze the accuracy of basic AMH levels in diagnosing PCOS and PCOM. The optimal cut-off value was calculated in dataset 1 and validated in dataset 2, expressed as sensitivity and specificity.

RESULTS

In the PCOS group, obese patients had the lowest AMH levels, while underweight patients had the highest AMH level (P < 0.001). After adjusting for age, the ratio of luteinizing hormone (LH) and follicle stimulating hormone (FSH), serum testosterone level, and BMI, AMH was an independent predictor of PCOS and PCOM. In the group with BMI < 18.5 kg/m², the optimistic AMH cut-off value was 5.145 ng/mL with a sensitivity of 84.3% and specificity of 89.1%, whereas in the BMI ≥ 28 kg/m² group, the optimistic AMH cut-off value was 3.165 ng/mL with a sensitivity of 88.7% and specificity of 74.6%. For the BMI range categories of 18.5-24, 24.0-28 kg/m², the optimistic AMH cut-off values were 4.345 ng/mL and 4.115 ng/mL, respectively. The tendency that the group with lower weight corresponded to higher AMH cut-off values was also applicable to PCOM. In the same BMI category, patients with PCOM had a lower AMH diagnosis threshold than those with PCOS (< 18.5 kg/m², 5.145 vs. 4.3 ng/mL; 18.5-24 kg/m², 4.345 vs. 3.635 ng/mL; 24.0-28 kg/m², 4.115 vs. 3.73 ng/mL; ≥ 28 kg /m², 3.165 vs. 3.155 ng/mL). These cut-off values had a good diagnostic efficacy in the validation dataset. Based on different phenotypes and severity of ovulation disorders, the distribution of AMH in PCOS were also significantly different (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

AMH is a potential diagnostic indicator of PCOS and is adversely associated with BMI. The AMH cut-off value for diagnosing PCOS was significantly higher than that for PCOM.

Antral follicle count measured at down-regulation as predictor of ovarian response and cumulative live birth: single center analysis including 2731 long agonist IVF cycles

OBJECTIVE

Evaluate antral follicle count measured after pituitary suppression (AFCaps) with a GnRH agonist as predictor of ovarian response and cumulative live birth (CLB).

METHODS

This study is a large cohort analysis of retrospective data between January 2011 and September 2020 in a tertiary-care university hospital. All first initiated IVF/ICSI cycles in women under 43 years of age for whom AFCaps was registered in our database were included. To evaluate CLB rates (CLBRs), only finalized cycles were analyzed (at least one live birth and/or all embryos transferred), excluding PGT cycles and severe male factor requiring testicular sperm extraction.

RESULTS

AFCaps showed a good predictive ability in predicting ovarian response to ovarian stimulation. Predicting poor response, AFCaps presented an area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC_ROC) of 0.85 (95% CI 0.83-0.87), for high response prediction, the AUC_ROC was 0.80 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.77-0.83).Although AFCaps was statistically higher in patients who achieved at least one live birth (13.6 ± 6.05 vs. 9.79 ± 6.33) and CLBRs per started cycle significantly increase between AFCaps quartiles (15.9%, 36.2%, 45.1% and 52.9%) its ability to predict CLBR was modest, with an AUC_ROC of 0.67 (95% CI 0.65-0.69).

CONCLUSIONS

Women undergoing their first IVF/ICSI cycle following a long agonist GnRH protocol can be counseled with AFCaps measurement about their probability of achieving poor/high response. Based on this marker physicians can personalize ovarian stimulation with the aim of optimizing ovarian response and minimizing its risks. However, AFCaps has failed to predict CLB per started IVF cycle as an isolated marker.

Adaptive data-driven models to best predict the likelihood of live birth as the IVF cycle moves on and for each embryo transfer

PURPOSE

To dynamically assess the evolution of live birth predictive factors' impact throughout the in vitro fertilization (IVF) process, for each fresh and subsequent frozen embryo transfers.

METHODS

In this multicentric study, data from 13,574 fresh IVF cycles and 6,770 subsequent frozen embryo transfers were retrospectively analyzed. Fifty-seven descriptive parameters were included and split into four categories: (1) demographic (couple's baseline characteristics), (2) ovarian stimulation, (3) laboratory data, and (4) embryo transfer (fresh and frozen). All these parameters were used to develop four successive predictive models with the outcome being a live birth event.

RESULTS

Eight parameters were predictive of live birth in the first step after the first consultation, 9 in the second step after the stimulation, 11 in the third step with laboratory data, and 13 in the 4th step at the transfer stage. The predictive performance of the models increased at each step. Certain parameters remained predictive in all 4 models while others were predictive only in the first models and no longer in the subsequent ones when including new parameters. Moreover, some parameters were predictive in fresh transfers but not in frozen transfers.

CONCLUSION

This work evaluates the chances of live birth for each embryo transfer individually and not the cumulative outcome after multiple IVF attempts. The different predictive models allow to determine which parameters should be taken into account or not at each step of an IVF cycle, and especially at the time of each embryo transfer, fresh or frozen.

Anti-müllerian hormone as a predictor for live birth among women undergoing IVF/ICSI in different age groups: an update of systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

To update the evidence of anti-müllerian hormone (AMH) as predictive factors for live birth outcome in women undergoing assisted conception and discover the modulating effect of age.

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, Medline, and Web of Science were searched for studies published until June 2021. We included studies that measured serum AMH levels and reported the subsequent live birth outcomes. Random effects models and hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristics (HSROC) models were used. The QUADAS-2 checklist was employed to assess the quality of the included studies.

RESULTS

We included 27 studies (27,029 women) investigating the relationship between AMH and live birth outcome after assisted conception. The diagnostic odds ratios (DOR) from random effects models were ruled out due to high heterogeneity. Our findings suggested that AMH was associated with live birth. The DOR was 2.21 (95% CI 1.89-2.59), and 2.49 (95% CI 1.26-4.91) for studies on women with unspecified ovarian reserve and women with low ovarian reserve, respectively. The DOR of those with advanced ages was 2.50 (95% CI 1.87-2.60). For younger women, the DOR was 1.41 (95% CI 0.99-2.02). HSROCs showed that AMH had no predictive ability towards live birth in women with diminished ovarian reserve or younger age. Exclusion of Chinese cohorts lowered the heterogeneity.

CONCLUSIONS

This study revealed that AMH had better prediction for live birth in advanced-age women. AMH may have implicative predictive value for assisted conception counseling of couples of advanced ages.

General infertility workup in times of high assisted reproductive technology efficacy

The assessments of oocyte quality and quantity and endocrine profile have traditionally been the cornerstone of the general workup of couples with infertility. Over the years, several clinical, hormonal, and functional biomarkers have been adopted to assess ovarian function and identify endocrine disorders before assisted reproductive technology. Furthermore, the genetic workup of patients has drastically changed, introducing novel markers. This not only allowed the prediction of response to ovarian stimulation but also contributed toward the development of a safer and more efficient management of women undergoing assisted reproductive technology. The scope of this review is to provide an overview of the current and novel strategies adopted for the assessment of ovarian function and ovulatory and endocrine disorders in women planning to conceive. Furthermore, it aims to provide an insight in the role of novel genetic biomarkers and use of expanded carrier screening as part of preliminary workup of women with infertility.

Anti-Müllerian hormone is a predictor of medium-term cumulative live birth following in vitro fertilization/intracytoplasmic sperm injection: A retrospective study

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to examine the capacity of anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) to predict cumulative live birth rate (CLBR) following IVF/ICSI within 36 months since start of treatment.

STUDY DESIGN

This is a cohort study of women seeking IVF/ICSI fertility treatment in a private Australian IVF clinic in a single calendar year. Live births were monitored over three years following start date of IVF/ICSI. The impact of serum AMH level on the CLBR was assessed using Cox's proportional hazard models, and its incremental values in the prediction of CLBR were evaluated.

RESULTS

The CLBRs were significantly higher in women with AMH levels in the highest (>44.5 pmol/L; 87.0%, 95% CI 79.2% - 95.1%) and in the middle two quartiles (between 11.5 and 44.5 pmol/L; 81.0%, 95% CI 74.2% - 87.6%), compared with AMH levels below the 25th percentile (≤11.5 pmol/L; 63.2%, 95% CI 53.2% - 74.5%). Approximately half of the women with AMH in the lowest quartile conceived a live birth within 12 months of starting IVF compared with two-thirds of the women in the upper three quartiles. After adjusting for confounders, AMH remained a significant, albeit slight predictor of CLBR with a fall of 3 pmol/L equating to an 1% decrease in CLBR. The AMH's added values into the prediction of live birth were slight, indicated by a net reclassification improvement of 13.8%. The value is lower than that of maternal age (35.1%).

CONCLUSIONS

Serum AMH level was a significant slight predictor of CLBR following IVF/ICSI. AMH should not be used to exclude women from IVF/ICSI however, women with low AMH should be counselled on the likelihood of taking longer to achieve a live birth than individuals with normal AMH levels.

Cumulative live birth rates for low-prognosis women over 5 years or 9 frozen-thawed embryo transfer cycles

Background

For heterogeneous populations of low-prognosis women, it remains unclear as to how long individuals should continue undergoing ART when attempting to have a baby, as there have been insufficient studies to date tracking the cumulative live birth rates (CLBRs) for these women over the entire course of their ART treatment, particularly over extended time periods.

Methods

This was a retrospective analysis of 17,698 women at a tertiary care academic medical center who had begun undergoing IVI/ICSI cycles using a progestin-primed ovarian stimulation (PPOS) approach between January 2013 and January 2019. Low-prognosis patients were stratified into four groups based upon POSEIDON criteria, with patients exhibiting normal or high ovarian reserves and response to stimulation (defined as AFC ≥5, > 9 oocytes retrieved) being included as controls (group 5). The CLBR within 5 years or 9 FET cycles from the ovum pick-up (OPU) day of the first cycle was the primary endpoint for this study, including all repetitive oocyte retrieval cycles and subsequent FET cycles. Optimistic and conservative approaches were used for the analysis of CLBRs and the depiction of cumulative incidence curves.

Results

Under both optimistic and conservative model analyses, normal and good responders exhibited the highest CLBR within 5 years or 9 FET cycles, followed by younger unexpected poor responders, younger expected poor responders, older unexpected poor responders, and older expected poor responders. Upward trends in CLBRs were evident across the five groups with the prolongation of time or an increase in FET cycle counts. Within the first 2 years or 3 FET cycles, the CLBRs rose rapidly, followed by more moderate increases over the following 2–3.5 years or 4–6 cycles, with expected poor responders exhibiting the most obvious improvements. All Patients reached a CLBR plateau after 3.5 years or 6 FET cycles.

Conclusions

All low-prognosis women should undergo ART treatment for a minimum of 2 years or 3 FET cycles, and exhibit better outcomes when extending ART treatment to 3.5 years or 6 FET cycles (particularly for POSEIDON groups 3 and 4), but should consider ceasing further treatment thereafter due to a lack of apparent benefit.

AMH Highly Correlates With Cumulative Live Birth Rate in Women with Diminished Ovarian Reserve Independent of Age

CONTEXT

Antimüllerian hormone (AMH) level is strongly associated with ovarian response in assisted reproductive technology (ART) cycles but is a poor predictor of live birth. It is unknown whether AMH is associated with cumulative live birth rates (CLBRs) in women with diminished ovarian reserve (DOR).

OBJECTIVE

To examine the association between serum AMH and CLBR among women with DOR undergoing ART.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of Society for Assisted Reproductive Technology Clinic Outcome Reporting System database 2014-16. A total of 34 540 index retrieval cycles of women with AMH <1 ng/mL. The main outcome measure was cumulative live birth.

RESULTS

A total of 34 540 (25.9%) cycles with AMH <1 ng/mL out of 133 442 autologous index retrieval cycles were analyzed. Cycles with preimplantation genetic testing or egg/embryo banking were excluded. Data were stratified according to AMH and, age and regression analysis of AMH and CLBR was performed for each age stratum. Multiple logistic regression demonstrated that AMH is an independent predictor of CLBR (odds ratio [OR] 1.39, 95% CI 1.18-1.64). Serum AMH was strongly associated with number of oocytes retrieved, embryos cryopreserved, mean number of cumulative embryos transferred, and percentage of cycles that had an embryo transfer. Linear regression analysis demonstrated that AMH highly correlated with CLBR in each age stratum.

CONCLUSION

Serum AMH is highly correlated with CLBR in women with DOR independent of age. The addition of AMH to current age-based prognostication counseling particularly in women with DOR would provide more informative and personalized CLBR prediction prior to ART.

Age-specific definition of low anti-Mullerian hormone and associated pregnancy outcome in women undergoing IVF treatment

BACKGROUND

The age-specific definition of low anti-müllerian hormone (AMH) is lacking. This study aims to define an age-specific reference for low AMH and to evaluate the associated outcome in women undergoing IVF treatment.

METHODS

A retrospective study was performed in women receiving IVF treatment at the Shenzhen maternity and child healthcare hospital between September 2016 and September 2018. We excluded cases without AMH concentration. Polynomial least-squares regression was used to estimate the age-specific reference ranges for AMH after log-transformed. The age-specific 10th centile was defined as the threshold of low AMH concentration.

RESULTS

A total of 909 patients were analyzed in this study. The age-specific reference ranges for AMH were established using linear regression model and resulted in an age-specific equation for mean: mean of LnAMH = (- 0.085 × age) + 3.722 (ng/ml, in unit). Women with AMH level higher than 10th centile had favorable outcomes in ovarian stimulation compared to those with low AMH level. In patients younger than 35 years, the rates of clinical pregnancy per transfer and ongoing pregnancy per transfer in the subgroup with AMH level higher than 10th centile were significantly higher than that in the subgroup of low AMH level, 57% versus 31.3% p = 0.003 and 51.9% versus 21.9% p = 0.001, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Women with AMH lower than age-specific 10th centile had significantly unfavorable outcomes after IVF treatment. The age-specific 10th centile of AMH concentration may be useful to predict the outcome of IVF treatment.

Anti-Müllerian hormone is correlated with cumulative live birth in minimal ovarian stimulation with clomiphene citrate: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Several studies have investigated the correlation between the serum anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) level and in vitro fertilization (IVF) outcomes in controlled ovarian stimulation cycles; however, studies regarding the correlation of the serum AMH level with IVF outcomes in minimal ovarian stimulation cycles remain limited. In this study, we aimed to analyze the correlation of the serum AMH level with ovarian responsiveness, embryonic outcomes, and cumulative live birth rates in clomiphene citrate (CC)-based minimal ovarian stimulation cycles.

METHODS

Clinical records of 689 women whose entire ovarian stimulation regimen consisted solely of minimal stimulation cycle IVF using CC alone from November 2017 to October 2019 were retrospectively reviewed. The association between IVF outcomes and the serum AMH level before the initiation of the first fertility treatment was analyzed. Furthermore, the correlation of the serum AMH level with cumulative live birth rates after IVF treatment was assessed. The Cochran-Armitage test, Pearson's chi-squared test, Spearman rank correlation test, Student's t-test, one-way analysis of variance, logistic regression analysis, Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards model were used to analyze the data.

RESULTS

The serum AMH level positively correlated with the number of retrieved oocytes, blastocyst formation rate, blastocyst cryopreservation rate, and live birth rate per oocyte retrieval in CC-based minimal ovarian stimulation cycles without any exogenous gonadotropin administration. Furthermore, the cumulative live birth rate and treatment period required for conceiving were strongly associated with the serum AMH level at the initiation of fertility treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

A low serum AMH level correlated with low ovarian responsiveness, impaired pre-implantation embryonic development, and decreased cumulative live birth rate in CC-based minimal ovarian stimulation cycles. Therefore, the cycle success rate would be predicted by measuring the serum AMH level in minimal ovarian stimulation with CC alone.

Cumulative live birth rate of low prognosis patients with POSEIDON stratification: a single-centre data analysis

RESEARCH QUESTION

Does patient-oriented strategies encompassing individualized oocyte number (POSEIDON) classification help stratify the reproductive potential of patients with low prognosis more effectively from the perspective of prognosis; and as cumulative live birth rate (CLBR) is an effect indication, how is CLBR in patients stratified using POSEIDON?

DESIGN

A retrospective cohort study of 10,615 women who underwent IVF treatment at the Peking University Third Hospital between January 2017 and December 2017. Patients were stratified according to POSEIDON criteria. Clinical characteristics, fresh embryo transfer outcomes and CLBR during the first two ovarian stimulation cycles were recorded.

RESULTS

Gonadotrophin-releasing hormone antagonist protocol was the most used treatment in both ovarian stimulation cycles. After the failure of the first IVF treatment, 2063 (29.2%) women continued the second treatment, and 10.9% of them switched to the micro-stimulation protocol. Compared with the non-POSEIDON group, the CLBR of the first cycle in each POSEIDON group was lower (P < 0.001). The CLBRs of the second cycle in older patients (POSEIDON groups 2b and 4) and in younger patients with poor ovarian reserve (POSEIDON group 3) were lower than that in non-POSEIDON group (group 2b, P = 0.001; group 3, P = 0.019; group 4, P < 0.001). Subgroup analysis showed that younger patients had higher CLBR than older patients in both cycles (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The CLBRs vary among different POSEIDON groups. The results may help reproductive specialists to understand the characteristics of low prognosis patients better and to develop individualized treatment plans.

Cumulative live birth rates in low-prognosis women

STUDY QUESTION

Do cumulative live birth rates (CLBRs) over multiple IVF/ICSI cycles confirm the low prognosis in women stratified according to the POSEIDON criteria?

SUMMARY ANSWER

The CLBR of low-prognosis women is ~56% over 18 months of IVF/ICSI treatment and varies between the POSEIDON groups, which is primarily attributable to the impact of female age.

WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY

The POSEIDON group recently proposed a new stratification for low-prognosis women in IVF/ICSI treatment, with the aim to define more homogenous populations for clinical trials and stimulate a patient-tailored therapeutic approach. These new criteria combine qualitative and quantitative parameters to create four groups of low-prognosis women with supposedly similar biologic characteristics.

STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION

This study analyzed the data of a Dutch multicenter observational cohort study including 551 low-prognosis women, aged <44 years, who initiated IVF/ICSI treatment between 2011 and 2014 and were treated with a fixed FSH dose of 150 IU/day in the first treatment cycle.

PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS

Low-prognosis women were categorized into one of the POSEIDON groups based on their age (younger or older than 35 years), anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) level (above or below 0.96 ng/ml), and the ovarian response (poor or suboptimal) in their first cycle of standard stimulation. The primary outcome was the CLBR over multiple complete IVF/ICSI cycles, including all subsequent fresh and frozen-thawed embryo transfers, within 18 months of treatment. Cumulative incidence curves were obtained using an optimistic and a conservative analytic approach.

MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE

The CLBR of the low-prognosis women was on average ~56% over 18 months of IVF/ICSI treatment. Younger unexpected poor (n = 38) and suboptimal (n = 179) responders had a CLBR of ~65% and ~68%, respectively, and younger expected poor responders (n = 65) had a CLBR of ~59%. The CLBR of older unexpected poor (n = 41) and suboptimal responders (n = 102) was ~42% and ~54%, respectively, and of older expected poor responders (n = 126) ~39%. For comparison, the CLBR of younger (n = 164) and older (n = 78) normal responders with an adequate ovarian reserve was ~72% and ~58% over 18 months of treatment, respectively. No large differences were observed in the number of fresh treatment cycles between the POSEIDON groups, with an average of two fresh cycles per woman within 18 months of follow-up.

LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION

Small numbers in some (sub)groups reduced the precision of the estimates. However, our findings provide the first relevant indication of the CLBR of low-prognosis women in the POSEIDON groups. Small FSH dose adjustments between cycles were allowed, inducing therapeutic disparity. Yet, this is in accordance with current daily practice and increases the generalizability of our findings.

WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS

The CLBRs vary between the POSEIDON groups. This heterogeneity is primarily determined by a woman's age, reflecting the importance of oocyte quality. In younger women, current IVF/ICSI treatment reaches relatively high CLBR over multiple complete cycles, despite reduced quantitative parameters. In older women, the CLBR remains relatively low over multiple complete cycles, due to the co-occurring decline in quantitative and qualitative parameters. As no effective interventions exist to counteract this decline, clinical management currently relies on proper counselling.

STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S)

No external funds were obtained for this study. J.A.L. is supported by a Research Fellowship grant and received an unrestricted personal grant from Merck BV. S.C.O., T.C.v.T., and H.L.T. received an unrestricted personal grant from Merck BV. C.B.L. received research grants from Merck, Ferring, and Guerbet. K.F. received unrestricted research grants from Merck Serono, Ferring, and GoodLife. She also received fees for lectures and consultancy from Ferring and GoodLife. A.H. declares that the Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University Medical Centre Groningen received an unrestricted research grant from Ferring Pharmaceuticals BV, the Netherlands. J.S.E.L. has received unrestricted research grants from Ferring, Zon-MW, and The Dutch Heart Association. He also received travel grants and consultancy fees from Danone, Euroscreen, Ferring, AnshLabs, and Titus Healthcare. B.W.J.M. is supported by an National Health and Medical Research Council Practitioner Fellowship (GNT1082548) and reports consultancy work for ObsEva, Merck, and Guerbet. He also received a research grant from Merck BV and travel support from Guerbet. F.J.M.B. received monetary compensation as a member of the external advisory board for Merck Serono (the Netherlands) and Ferring Pharmaceuticals BV (the Netherlands) for advisory work for Gedeon Richter (Belgium) and Roche Diagnostics on automated AMH assay development, and for a research cooperation with Ansh Labs (USA). All other authors have nothing to declare.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

Not applicable.

Can we predict the IVF/ICSI live birth rate?

Objectives:

To find a pretreatment predictor for achieving a live birth. Assisted reproduction technology with IVF/ICSI is the ultimate chance for some couples to conceive a child. The expectations are high and it is important to give them a realistic perspective about the chances of achieving a live birth.

Methods:

A retrospective cohort study of all IVF/ICSI cycles performed in our center between 2012 and 2016. We considered only those cycles with a live birth delivery after 24 weeks, or cycles with no surplus embryos left. The following data was evaluated: AMH; AFC; age; BMI; previous diagnosis; type of treatment; number of previous deliveries; ethnicity, smoking status. Univariate and multivariate analysis were used to examine the association of live birth with baseline patient characteristics. We determined the odds-ratio for all the statistically significant variables (p<0.05), in a multivariate model. The results are presented according to the predictors founded.

Results:

739 cycles were evaluated: 9.1% were canceled; 10.2% did not have oocytes; 15.6% did not have D2 embryos; 31.4% achieved a live birth. The univariate analysis revealed statistically significant differences regarding AMH, AFC and women’s age between couples with and without a live birth (p<0.001), and the cause of infertility. We found no association with live births in other variables. These variables were categorized and used in a multivariate analysis.

Conclusion:

Age, AMH, AFC and cause, when sub-classified, are independently associated with the results of an IVF/ICSI treatment. These results enable couples to face real expectations in their particular scenario.

Performance of anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) levels measured by Beckman Coulter Access AMH assay to predict oocyte yield following controlled ovarian stimulation for in vitro fertilization

PURPOSE

We evaluated the performance of anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) measured by the Beckman Coulter fully automated Access assay to predict oocyte yield following controlled ovarian stimulation (COS) for in vitro fertilization (IVF).

METHODS

The correlation between the Access assay and the pre-mixing method with Generation II ELISA assay (Gen II pre-mix assay) was assessed using 230 blood samples. The relationship of AMH level measured by the Access assay and the actual number of oocytes retrieved following COS was assessed using 3296 IVF cycles. The performances of AMH, follicle stimulating hormone (FSH), and estradiol (E2) in predicting the responses to COS were also evaluated by constructing receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

RESULTS

The AMH levels measured just before oocyte retrieval by the Access assay and the number of oocytes retrieved following COS showed a good correlation with R = 0.655. The ROC analysis revealed that the sensitivity of AMH was comparable with or lower than that of E2 but higher than that of FSH.

CONCLUSIONS

With the improved Access AMH assays, AMH was as sensitive as E2 and could become an accurate marker of ovarian response to COS in more than 3000 Japanese IVF patients.

Age-specific anti-Mullerian hormone (AMH) levels poorly affects cumulative live birth rate after intra-uterine insemination

Objective

To evaluate the impact of age-specific anti-Mullerian (AMH) levels on the cumulative live birth rate after 4 intra uterine inseminations (IUI).

Study Design

The retrospective study study involved 509 couples who underwent their first IUI between January 2011 and July 2017 in the Toulouse University Hospital. All IUI were performed after an ovarian stimulation combining recombinant FSH and GnRH antagonist. The main measure outcome was the cumulative live birth rate (LBR) defined as the number of deliveries with at least one live birth resulting from a maximum of 4 IUI attempts.

Results

When compared to normal or high levels, low age-specific AMH (<25th of the AMH in each age group) was associated to a non-significant lower live birth rate (31%, 38% and 42% respectively for low, normal and high age-specific groups; P = 0.170) and non-significant higher miscarriage rate (26%; 19% and 14% respectively for low, normal and high age-specific groups; P = 0.209). However, it must be pointed out that in low age-specific AMH the initial FSH doses used for stimulation were higher than in the other groups.

Conclusion

This study shows that the age-specific levels of AMH have only a slight effect on IUI outcome when adapting the stimulation protocols to their level.

Age-specific values of Access anti-Müllerian hormone immunoassay carried out on Japanese patients with infertility: a retrospective large-scale study

BACKGROUND

The ovarian reserve in women is known to correlate with anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) levels, and currently the latest, third-generation, fully-automated AMH immunoassays, such as Access and Cobas, are beginning to be used for measuring AMH levels. However, the age-specific reference values obtained for AMH levels have been based on samples from an American population, measured using first-generation immunoassays. In this study, we attempted to determine the age-specific AMH reference values based on a large set of samples taken from Japanese infertile women measured by Access so that they could be used by infertility centers treating Japanese and those with similar racial and life-style characteristics.

METHODS

The study included 5483 Japanese patients who enrolled in infertility treatment programs at two in-vitro fertilization centers, Shimbashi YUME Clinic and Natural ART Clinic Nihombashi in Tokyo, and who had their serum AMH levels measured between December 2015 and November 2017 by Access. Each patient was represented only once in the study. The mean, median, and standard deviation values were obtained from the measured values for single-year intervals from 28 through 48 years of age (21 age groups in total). The 3D-fitted curve of age-specific mean and median values measured by Access was obtained by regression analysis.

RESULTS

The mean and median values decreased with advancing age (mean: R² = 0.9864; median: R² = 0.9926). In all age groups, the mean values were higher than the median values; however, the differences between these values decreased with increasing age.

CONCLUSIONS

The age-specific AMH reference values measured by Access in this study may serve as a useful diagnostic marker in infertility centers, especially those treating Japanese patients or patients with similar characteristics.

Individualization of FSH Doses in Assisted Reproduction: Facts and Fiction

The art of ovarian stimulation for IVF/ICSI treatment using exogenous FSH should be balanced against the relative contribution of other steps of the ART process such as the IVF-lab-phase and the Embryo-Transfer. The aim of ovarian stimulation is to obtain a certain number of oocytes, that will enable the best probability of achieving a live birth. It has been suggested that more oocytes will create a better prospect for pregnancy, but studies on the question whether the retrieval of a few oocytes less or more will make the difference are not clearly supportive for this mantra. Personalization strategies have been the subject of many studies over the past 20 years. Creating the optimal response in a patient in terms of live birth prognosis as well as OHSS risks may be based on information from the Ovarian Reserve testing using the Antral Follicle Count or Anti-Mullerian Hormone, the patient's bodyweight, the ovarian response in a previous cycle, and the dosage level of FSH. Taken together, steering the ovarian response into a supposed optimal range may appear difficult as the interrelation for each of these factors with the egg number is weak. Using OR testing for choosing FSH dosage, compared to a standard normal dosage of 150 IU, has been studied in several trials. Dosage individualization, in general, does not appear to improve the prospects for live birth, but the reduction in OHSS risk may be substantial. This implies that the use of high dosages of FSH in predicted LOW responders lacks any cost-benefit for the patient and may be abandoned, while in predicted HIGH responders, reduction of the usual dosage level of 150 IU may create better safety, provided that in case of an unexpected LOW response cancelation of the cycle is refrained from. In view of recent developments in using GnRH agonist triggering of final oocyte maturation, the trend could be that with the Antagonist co-medication system and a standard dosage of 150 IU of FSH, prior ovarian reserve testing may become futile, as safety can be managed well in actual HIGH responders by replacing the high dose hCG trigger.

Current clinical applications of antimullerian hormone

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Determine if literature supports the use of anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) as a useful biomarker of reproductive potential when cumulative live birth rates (CLBRs) per retrieval are used as the outcome variable.

RECENT FINDINGS

Advances in technology used in in-vitro fertilization (IVF) permit the use of single embryo transfer to achieve expected pregnancy success rates. Many IVF cycles result in the creation of more than a single embryo suitable for transfer per oocyte retrieval. Cryopreservation permits subsequent use of other embryos with no loss in total reproductive potential from single retrievals. Therefore, an emerging concept in IVF is the CLBR per retrieval as an indicator of the patient's reproductive potential. Using the total reproductive potential from a single retrieval may help patients decide on IVF. As such, any predictor of success that relies upon the live birth rate for a single transfer, as opposed to CLBR per retrieval, is inadequate to estimate the true reproductive potential for patient. AMH has been proposed as a biomarker for reproductive potential, but most studies have correlated an AMH value to a single embryo transfer.

SUMMARY

A more appropriate way to use AMH levels may be to correlate the AMH with CLBR per retrieval. AMH may thus prove to be a useful biomarker when counseling patients about what to expect from their treatment.

The efficacy of non-assisted reproductive technology treatment might be limited in infertile patients with advanced endometriosis in their 30s

AIM

To determine the efficacious treatment for infertile couples, we assessed the impact of infertility factors including endometriosis on assisted reproductive technology (ART) and non-ART treatment, and the effect of age in infertility treatment outcomes was also investigated.

METHODS

The medical records of 1864 females, infertile patients from January 2000 to December 2015 at our hospital, were retrospectively reviewed under the approval of the Institutional Review Board. We extracted 10 representative factors and calculated the cumulative live birth rate (CLBR) in these patients. Multivariate analysis of ART and non-ART treatment was performed to assess the impact of infertility factors, and the age-related decline in cumulative live birth rate was calculated by creating eight age-stratified subgroups.

RESULTS

In total, 21.9% and 49.4% of the patients conceived after being treated with non-ART and ART, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that age > 35, advanced endometriosis defined by the revised American Society for Reproductive Medicine classification system stages III to IV, and the past history or current presence of uterine fibroid had significantly negative impact on the outcome of non-ART. Age stratification revealed that advanced endometriosis adversely affected the outcome of non-ART, especially for patients in their 30s. Assisted reproductive technology treatment for patients with advanced endometriosis was shown to be efficacious because the negative impact had been diminished.

CONCLUSION

Considering that non-ART treatment had limited role in patients with advanced endometriosis, prompt initiation of ART in these patients aged as young as 30 years can be recommended to achieve conception.

Endometrioma-related reduction in ovarian reserve (ERROR): a prospective longitudinal study

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate whether endometrioma is associated with a progressive decline in ovarian reserve, and to compare the rate of decline with natural decline in ovarian reserve.

DESIGN

Prospective, observational study.

SETTING

Tertiary university hospital, endometriosis clinic.

PATIENT(S)

Forty women with endometrioma and 40 age-matched healthy controls.

INTERVENTION(S)

Women with endometriomas who did not need hormonal/surgical treatment at the time of recruitment and were expectantly managed. Controls were age-matched, healthy women. All participants underwent serum antimüllerian hormone (AMH) testing twice, 6 months apart. Sexually active patients with endometrioma also underwent antral follicle count.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S)

Change in serum AMH levels.

RESULT(S)

Median (25th-75th percentile) serum AMH level at recruitment was 2.83 (0.70-4.96) ng/mL in the endometrioma group and 4.42 (2.26-5.57) ng/mL in the control group. The median percent decline in serum AMH level was 26.4% (11.36%-55.41%) in the endometrioma group and 7.4% (-11.98%, 29.33%) in the control groups. Twenty-two women with endometrioma who had antral follicle count (AFC) had median AFC of 10 (8-12) at recruitment and 8 (6.3-10) at 6 months.

CONCLUSION(S)

Women with endometrioma experience a progressive decline in serum AMH levels, which is faster than that in healthy women.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT02438735.

Cumulative live birth rates after IVF in patients with polycystic ovaries: phenotype matters

RESEARCH QUESTION

Do cumulative live birth rates (CLBR) vary among women with different polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) phenotypes who undergo IVF/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) treatment?

DESIGN

In this retrospective cohort study, data from 567 patients undergoing an assisted reproductive technology (ART) cycle between January 2010 and December 2015 were collected. Demographical traits, cycle characteristics and clinical and laboratory data were analysed.

RESULTS

After conventional ovarian stimulation using a gonadotrophin-releasing hormone antagonist protocol, the median number of oocytes retrieved ranged between 11 and 13.5 and did not differ significantly among the studied groups. Live birth rate (LBR) after fresh embryo transfer and CLBR after transfer of all fresh and vitrified embryos were significantly lower in women with hyperandrogenic PCOS phenotypes A (LBR 16.7%, CLBR 25.8%) and C (LBR 18.5%, CLBR 27.8%) compared with women with normoandrogenic PCOS phenotype D (LBR 33.7%, CLBR 48%) (P-value for LBR 0.01 and 0.03, respectively; P-value for CLBR 0.002 and 0.01, respectively) and controls with a polycystic ovarian morphology (LBR 37.1%, CLBR 53.3%) (P-value for LBR 0.002 and 0.01, respectively; P-value for CLBR <0.001 and 0.001, respectively). Multivariate regression analysis indicated that after adjustment for relevant confounders, PCOS phenotype was an independent predictor for CLBR.

CONCLUSIONS

Hyperandrogenic PCOS phenotypes confer significantly lower CLBR compared with their normoandrogenic counterparts. These findings may imply the need for adapted counselling and tailored approaches when treating PCOS patients with hyperandrogenism who require ART.

What are the likely IVF/ICSI outcomes if there is a discrepancy between serum AMH and FSH levels? A multicenter retrospective study

OBJECTIVE

The principal outcome was to assess the ovarian response to controlled hyperstimulation during in vitro fertilization (IVF) with or without micro-injection (ICSI) in patients whom ovarian reserve testing revealed a discrepancy between the serum levels of FSH and AMH. The secondary outcome was to determine whether AMH and FSH profiles could predict the IVF/ICSI response.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a multicenter, retrospective study analysing all controlled ovarian hyperstimulation cycles with attempted fresh embryo transfer(s) carried out during IVF/ICSI treatment and in which the AMH level had been assayed between January 01, 2008 and December 31, 2011. This enabled us to form 2 control groups (NOR, normal ovarian reserve: normal AMH and FSH and DOR, diminished ovarian reserve: diminished AMH, increased FSH) and 2 study groups (DAMH: diminished AMH, normal FSH and NAMH: normal AMH, increased FSH). The principal assessment criterion was quantitative ovarian response to stimulation defined by the mean number of oocytes punctured, the secondary assessment criterion the qualitative response to stimulation defined by the pregnancy rate per cycle.

RESULTS

We were able to analyse 1803 stimulation cycles. The mean number of oocytes punctured was significantly reduced in the DAMH and DOR groups compared to the NAMH and NOR groups (5.2±3.9 and 4.1±3.3 vs. 11.5±7 and 9.5±5.6, respectively [P<0.01]). The pregnancy rate per initiated cycle was significantly reduced in the DAMH and DOR groups compared to the NAMH and NOR groups (20% and 24% vs. 32 and 35%, respectively [P<0.01]). Live birth rates did not differ between the groups however. Multivariate analysis with logistic regression revealed that AMH, FSH and age independently had an effect on the number of oocytes punctured, although the effect exerted by AMH seemed to be preponderant (OR: 2.75: 95%CI [2.39-3.19]). AMH appeared to be the sole factor independently predictive of pregnancy per cycle.

CONCLUSION

The serum AMH level appears to provide an additional item of discriminatory information, which should not be overlooked. Ovarian reserve work-up should include routine AMH assay.

Anti-Müllerian hormone does not predict time to pregnancy: results of a prospective cohort study

In order to study whether ovarian reserve tests (ORTs) can predict time to ongoing pregnancy, we conducted a prospective cohort study in a cohort of healthy pregnancy planners. A total of 102 pregnancy planners were followed for 1 year, or until ongoing pregnancy occurred, after cessation of contraceptives). A baseline measurement of anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH), follicle-stimulating hormone (FSH) and antral follicle count (AFC) was conducted. At the end of follow-up, a semen analysis was performed and chlamydia antibody titres were assessed. A univariate prediction model demonstrated age and the AFC to be significantly capable of predicting time to pregnancy (hazard ratio 0.92, 95% CI 0.87-0.98, p = 0.01; 1.04, 95% CI 1.01-1.07, p = 0.02 respectively). In the multivariate model, however, correcting for female age, we found no predictive effect of AMH, basal FSH or the AFC for time to ongoing pregnancy (hazard ratios 1.43, 95% CI 0.84-2.46, p = 0.36; 0.96, 95% CI 0.86-1.06, p = 0.43; 1.03, 95% CI 1.00-1.07, p = 0.08, respectively). This was confirmed by the low C-statistic. We therefore concluded that baseline AMH, AFC or FSH levels do not predict time to ongoing pregnancy in a cohort of healthy pregnancy planners. These results limit the usability of these ORTs in the assessment of current fertility.

Factors associated with a poor prognosis for the IVF-ICSI live birth rate in women with rAFS stage III and IV endometriosis

PURPOSE

To assess the factors associated with a poor prognosis for a cumulative IVF live birth rate (LBR) in women with stage III and IV endometriosis according to the revised classification of the American Fertility Society (rAFS).

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2014, in our Reproductive Medicine Center. We analyzed different factors associated with a poor prognosis for a cumulative IVF LBR in women with rAFS stage III and IV endometriosis. A total of 101 patients were included, representing 232 IVF-ICSI cycles and 212 embryo transfers. The primary endpoint was the cumulative LBR per cycle and per patient.

RESULTS

The cumulative LBR per cycle was 14.7% (n = 34) and that per patient was 31.7% (n = 32). The cumulative LBR was significantly decreased by active smoking [_adjOR = 3.4, 95% CI (1.12-10.60), p = 0.031], poor ovarian response (POR) according to the Bologna criteria [_adjOR = 11.5, 95% CI (1.37-96.83), p = 0.024], and rAFS stage IV [_adjOR = 3.2, 95% CI (1.13-8.95), p = 0.024]. The cumulative LBR per women was 59.4% without factors associated with a poor prognosis and 25.6% in the case of one factor, and it decreased to 7.7% in the case of two or three factors (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Active smoking, POR according to the Bologna criteria, and rAFS stage IV endometriosis had a negative impact on the IVF-ICSI cumulative LBR for women with rAFS stage III and IV endometriosis. Because smoking dramatically decreases the LBR with endometriosis, stopping smoking before IVF-ICSI should be strongly advised.

Trends in 'poor responder' research: lessons learned from RCTs in assisted conception

BACKGROUND

A substantial minority of women undergoing IVF will under-respond to controlled ovarian hyperstimulation. These women-so-called 'poor responders'-suffer persistently reduced success rates after IVF. Currently, no single intervention is unanimously accepted as beneficial in overcoming poor ovarian response (POR). This has been supported by the available research on POR, which consists mainly of randomized controlled trials (RCTs ) with an inherent high-risk of bias. The aim of this review was to critically appraise the available experimental trials on POR and provide guidance towards more useful-less wasteful-future research.

METHODS

A comprehensive review was undertaken of RCTs on 'poor responders' published in the last 15 years. Data on various methodological traits as well as important clinical characteristics were extracted from the included studies and summarized, with a view to identifying deficiencies from which lessons can be learned. Based on this analysis, recommendations were provided for further research in this field of assisted conception.

RESULTS

We selected and analysed 75 RCTs. A valid, 'low-risk' randomization method was reported in three out of four RCTs. An improving trend in reporting concealment of patient allocation was also evident over the 15-year period. In contrast, <1 in 10 RCTs 'blinded' patients and <1 in 5 RCTs 'blinded' staff to the proposed intervention. Only 1 in 10 RCTs 'blinded' ultrasound practitioners to patient allocation, when assessing the outcome of early pregnancy. The majority of trials reported an intention-to-treat analysis for at least one of their outcomes, with an improving trend in the recent years. Substantial variation was noted in the definitions used for 'poor responders', the most popular being 'low ovarian response at previous stimulation'. The preferred cut-off value for defining previous low response has been 'less or equal to three retrieved oocytes'. The most popular tests used for diagnosing diminished ovarian reserve have been antral follicle count and FSH. Although the Bologna criteria for POR were only recently introduced, they are expected to become a popular definition in future 'poor responder' trials. Numerous interventions have been studied on 'poor responders'. Most of these have been applied before/during controlled ovarian hyperstimulation. The antagonist protocol, the microdose flare protocol and the long down-regulation protocol have been among the most popular interventions. The analysis of outcomes revealed a clear improving trend in reporting live birth. In contrast, only 10% of RCTs reported significant improvement in reproductive outcomes among tested interventions. Twelve 'significant' interventions were reported, each supported by a single 'positive' RCT. Finally, trials of higher methodological quality were more likely to have been published in a high-impact journal.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, the majority of published trials on POR suffer from methodological flaws and are, thus, regarded as being high-risk for bias. The same trials have used a variety of definitions for their poor responders and a variety of interventions for their head-to-head comparisons. Not surprisingly, discrepancies are also evident in the findings of trials comparing similar interventions. Based on the identified deficiencies, this novel type of 'methodology and clinical' review has introduced custom recommendations on how to improve future experimental research in the 'poor responder' population.