Cardiovascular risk factors in the Japanese northeastern rural population

Sex- and Age-Specific Associations Between Metabolic Syndrome and Future Functional Disability in the Japanese Older Population

Whether the association between metabolic syndrome (MetS) and functional disability differs depending on sex or age remains unknown. To determine the association between MetS and functional disability in older people separately by sex and age groups. A total of 11 083 participants (4407 men and 6676 women) aged 65 years or over without functional disability were enrolled. MetS was defined according to the revised NCEP ATP III guidelines. Functional disability was defined by a new certification in the long-term care insurance in Japan. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the risk of functional disability with adjustment for possible confounding factors. Over the mean observation period of 10.5 years, 1282 men and 2162 women experienced functional disability. For those aged 65 to 74 years, HRs (95% CIs) for functional disability in the MetS group were 1.33 (1.07-1.66) in men and 1.15 (1.000-1.32) in women. For those aged 75 years or older, there was no significant association in men or women. In subjects with a severe care need level, there was a marginal significant association in men aged 65 to 74 years. Among the MetS components that independently increased the risk of functional disability were glucose intolerance and elevated blood pressure (men and women aged 65-74 years), obesity (women aged 65-74 years), and glucose intolerance (women aged 75 years or older). MetS contributed to an increase in a high risk of future functional disability among individuals aged 65 to 74 years. In this age group, improvement of lifestyle, health promotion and interventions for MetS from middle age may prevent future functional disability.

Rapid weight change as a predictor of disability among community-dwelling Japanese older adults

AIM

To fill the knowledge gap regarding weight change and the onset of disability in community-dwelling Japanese older adults, we investigated the potential effects of rapid weight change on disability risk as defined by Japan's long-term care insurance (LTCI) system.

METHODS

We analyzed data from a longitudinal study of 10 375 community-dwelling older Japanese adults (≥65 years) who were not LTCI needs certified at baseline and joined the study from 2002 to 2005. Weight change (percentage) was calculated by subtracting participants' weight in the previous year from that measured during a physical examination at study commencement. The five weight-change categories ranged from sizable weight loss (≤ -8.0%) to sizable weight gain (≥ +8.0%). Disability was defined according to LTCI certifications at follow-up. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals were calculated for new-onset disability using a Cox proportional hazards model that fitted the proportional subdistribution hazards regression model with weights for competing risks of death.

RESULTS

During the mean 10.5-year follow-up, 2994 participants developed a disability. Sizable weight loss (HR [95% confidence intervals], 1.41 [1.17-1.71]) and weight loss (1.20 [1.05-1.36]) were significant predictors of disability onset. Sizable weight gain (1.45 [1.07-1.97]) corresponded to severe disability. Stratified analyses by lifestyle and initial body mass index categories revealed more pronounced associations between weight change and disability risk in the unhealthy lifestyle and below initial normal body mass index groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Rapid and sizable weight gain could be additional criteria for disability risk in older adults. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2023; 23: 809-816.

Association between Milk Intake and Incident Stroke among Japanese Community Dwellers: The Iwate-KENCO Study

We aimed to evaluate the association between the milk consumption and incident stroke in a Japanese population, where milk consumption is lower than that of Western countries. In total, 14,121 participants (4253 men and 9868 women) aged 40–69 years, free from cardiovascular diseases (CVD) were prospectively followed for 10.7 years. Participants were categorized into four groups according to the milk intake frequency obtained from a brief-type self-administered diet questionnaire. The adjusted HRs of total stroke, ischemic stroke and haemorrhagic stroke associated with milk intake frequency were calculated using the Cox proportional hazards model. During the follow-up, 478 stroke cases were detected (208 men and 270 women). Compared to women with a milk intake of <2 cups/week, those with an intake of 7 to <12 cups/week had a significantly low risk of ischemic stroke in a model adjusting CVD risk factors; the HR (95% CI) was 0.53 (0.32–0.88). No significant associations were found in men. This study suggested that milk intake of 7 to <12 cups/week decreased the risk of ischemic stroke in Japanese women. Milk intake of about 1 to <2 cups/day may be effective in the primary prevention of ischemic stroke in a population with low milk intake.

Utility of urinary albumin excretion as an index for stratifying the residual cardiovascular risk in patients undergoing antihypertensive agents treatment

BACKGROUND

Patients treated with antihypertensive medication, even those with well controlled blood pressure (BP), are at higher risk for the development of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) in comparison to nonhypertensive individuals with optimal risk levels. We hypothesized that this residual risk could be stratified based on urinary albumin excretion (UAE).

METHODS

A total of 13 082 middle-aged and older individuals with SBP/DBP of less than 160/100 mmHg and urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratios (UACRs) of less than 300 mg/g, and who were free from ASCVD events, were followed to investigate the incidence of ASCVD. The baseline BP was classified into four categories: normal BP (BP1), high normal BP (BP2), elevated BP (BP3), and grade 1 hypertension (BP4) based on the 2019 Japanese Society of Hypertension guidelines.

RESULTS

After an average 10.6 ± 2.6 years of follow-up, the multivariable hazard ratio for the development of ASCVD (n = 994) was already increased in medicated hypertensive patients with BP1 in comparison with untreated individuals with BP1; however, among medicated hypertensive patients, this risk was separated between the UAE groups, which were classified according to the median UACR (male, 15.4 mg/g; female, 19.0 mg/g). In medicated hypertensive patients with any category of BP1-BP3, the adjusted risk of the development of ASCVD in those with lower and higher UACRs was comparable to that observed in untreated individuals in the BP1 and BP4 categories, respectively.

CONCLUSION

In medicated patients with well controlled hypertension, UAE is useful for stratifying the residual risk of developing ASCVD in comparison to nonhypertensive individuals with optimal risk levels.

Low educational level increases functional disability risk subsequent to heart failure in Japan: On behalf of the Iwate KENCO study group

Objectives

The risk factors that contribute to future functional disability after heart failure (HF) are poorly understood. The aim of this study was to determine potential risk factors to future functional disability after HF in the general older adult population in Japan.

Methods

The subjects who were community-dwelling older adults aged 65 or older without a history of cardiovascular diseases and functional disability were followed in this prospective study for 11 years. Two case groups were determined from the 4,644 subjects: no long-term care insurance (LTCI) after HF (n = 52) and LTCI after HF (n = 44). We selected the controls by randomly matching each case of HF with three of the remaining 4,548 subjects who were event-free during the period: those with no LTCI and no HF with age +/-1 years and of the same sex, control for the no LTCI after HF group (n = 156), and control for the LTCI after HF group (n = 132). HF was diagnosed according to the Framingham diagnostic criteria. Individuals with a functional disability were those who had been newly certified by the LTCI during the observation period. Objective data including blood samples and several socioeconomic items in the baseline survey were assessed using a self-reported questionnaire.

Results

Significantly associated risk factors were lower educational levels (odds ratio (OR) [95% confidence interval (CI)]: 3.72 [1.63–8.48]) in the LTCI after HF group and hypertension (2.20 [1.10–4.43]) in no LTCI after HF group. Regular alcohol consumption and unmarried status were marginally significantly associated with LTCI after HF (OR [95% CI]; drinker = 2.69 [0.95–7.66]; P = 0.063; unmarried status = 2.54 [0.91–7.15]; P = 0.076).

Conclusion

Preventive measures must be taken to protect older adults with unfavorable social factors from disability after HF via a multidisciplinary approach.

Poor self-rated health predicts the incidence of functional disability in elderly community dwellers in Japan: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Although previous large population studies showed elderly with poor self-rated health (SRH) to be at a high risk of functional disability in Western countries, there have been few studies in which the association between SRH and functional disability was investigated in Japanese community dwellers. The association between SRH and functional disability, defined as certification of the long-term care insurance (LTCI) system, in Japanese elderly community dwellers was examined in this study.

METHODS

A total of 10,690 individuals (39.5% men, mean age of 71.4 years) who were 65 years of age or more who did not have a history of cardiovascular disease or LTCI certification were followed in this prospective study for 10.5 years. SRH was classified into four categories: good, rather good, neither good nor poor, and poor. A Cox proportional-hazards model was used to determine the hazard ratios (HRs) for the incidence of functional disability among the SRH groups for each sex.

RESULTS

The number of individuals with functional disability was 3377. Men who rated poor for SRH scored significantly higher for functional disability (HR [95% confidence interval]: poor = 1.74 [1.42, 2.14]) while women who rated rather good, neither good nor poor, and poor scored significantly higher for functional disability (rather good =1.12 [1.00, 1.25], neither good nor poor = 1.29 [1.13, 1.48], poor = 1.92 [1.65, 2.24]: p for trend < 0.001 in both sexes).

CONCLUSION

Self-rated health, therefore, might be a useful predictor of functional disability in elderly people.

Additional prognostic value of electrocardiographic left ventricular hypertrophy in traditional cardiovascular risk assessments in chronic kidney disease

BACKGROUND

Left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) is a common predictor of the cardiovascular prognosis in chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, whether or not electrocardiography-derived LVH (ECG-LVH) has prognostic value in patients with various degrees of CKD and improves the cardiovascular risk stratification based on traditional risk factors remains unclear.

METHODS

A total of 7206 participants at least 40 years of age who were free from cardiovascular events in a general population were followed for the incidence of cardiovascular events. CKD was confirmed by either the presence of a reduced estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (<60 ml/min per 1.73 m) or albuminuria, defined as a urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) of at least 30 mg/g Cr.

RESULTS

A total of 1886 (26.2%) had CKD, of which 1471 (78.0%) had a preserved eGFR (CKD stage 1-2). After an average 11.3 years of follow-up, the adjusted hazard ratio for the incidence of cardiovascular events significantly increased for ECG-LVH according to the Sokolow--Lyon voltage, Cornell voltage, or Cornell voltage product among participants with CKD (hazard ratio 1.47, P = 0.002), in contrast to those without CKD (hazard ratio 1.15, P = 0.210). The inclusion of any ECG-LVH parameters improved the accuracy of reclassification in any risk prediction model based on the eGFR, UACR, or Framingham 10-year risk score in the CKD participants (net reclassification improvement = 0.13-0.32, all P values <0.040).

CONCLUSION

In patients with CKD stage 1-5, ECG-LVH is useful for predicting the risk of future cardiovascular events and adds prognostic information to traditional cardiovascular risk assessments.

Ten-Year Cerebrovascular Disease Trend Occurrence by Population-based Stroke Registry in an Aging Japan Local Prefecture

BACKGROUND

Cerebrovascular diseases are a major cause of death for Japanese people, but up-to-date national or prefectural incidences are unknown. We calculated the last 10-year cerebrovascular diseases incidence in an aging local prefecture in Japan with 1.2 million inhabitants and used the data to predict the future incidence.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed inventory surveys from the Iwate Stroke Registry (data from the whole Iwate Prefecture) from 2008 to 2017. We compared age-adjusted and age-specific incidence rates between the first half period from 2008 to 2012 and the last half period from 2013 to 2017. We used the incidence change rate and the forecasted population number to predict the future incidence.

RESULTS

In a decade, the age-adjusted cerebrovascular diseases incidence rate per 100,000 person-years in the Japan standard population decreased from 212.1 to 176.8 in men and from 123.1 to 97.0 in women. The age-specific incidence rates and the number of incidences of those younger than 55 years decreased only slightly, but those of people 55 years or older decreased. The total number of incidence in 2040 will decrease to two-thirds of the value in 2015, but the number of incidence of those 85 years and older will increase by 2040.

CONCLUSIONS

The cerebrovascular diseases rate and number of incidence decreased during the last decade and will decrease in the future, but the incidence in the oldest-old will increase. Specific nursing care and social measures to treat cerebrovascular diseases in the oldest-old will be needed.

The heart's exposure to radiation increases the risk of cardiac toxicity after chemoradiotherapy for superficial esophageal cancer: a retrospective cohort study

Background

Chemoradiotherapy effectively treats superficial esophageal cancer and is optimal to preserve organs. However, late toxicity, particularly in cardiac diseases, obstructs clinical outcomes. We revealed the risk factors for cardiac event development post-chemoradiotherapy.

Methods

Data from 80 patients who were diagnosed with submucosal invasive esophageal cancer without metastasis (confirmed using multiple modalities) and who underwent chemoradiotherapy between 2006 and 2014 were analyzed. Patients were 11% (9/80) female, and the median age and follow-up were 66.5 y and 73 mo, respectively. We calculated the individual radiation dose to the heart and analyzed relationships between the cardiac event occurrence rate and each clinical factor.

Results

The 5-y overall and recurrence-free survival rates were 74.6 and 62.4%, respectively. Among the total number of deaths, 34.6% was caused by esophageal cancer. During the follow-up, 13 patients developed severe cardiac events (ischemic heart diseases, n = 7; pericardial effusion, n = 3, atrial fibrillation, n = 1; and sudden death, n = 2). The significant risk factor for cardiac events post-chemoradiotherapy was the level of the heart’s exposure to radiation, with higher exposure associated with greater occurrence. History of smoking, obesity, comorbidity, and history of cardiac disease were unrelated to cardiac event occurrence post-chemoradiotherapy.

Conclusions

Chemoradiotherapy is a favorable intervention for superficial esophageal cancer. Reducing the radiation dose to the heart likely contributes to preventing cardiac toxicity post-chemoradiotherapy.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12885-019-5421-y) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Burden of high blood pressure as a contributing factor to stroke in the Japanese community-based diabetic population

Diabetes mellitus is characterized by alterations in blood glucose (BG) metabolism, and glycated hemoglobin (HbA₁c) has been widely used as a marker of the BG concentration. Diabetes often coexists with high blood pressure (BP). High BP and hyperglycemia are well-known risk factors of stroke. We examined the extent to which the increased risk of stroke in diabetic individuals is attributable to BP and BG using prospectively collected data from the Japanese general population. During an average 8.3 ± 2.2 years of follow-up, out 1606 diabetic individuals aged ≥40 years who were free of cardiovascular disease, 119 participants (7.4%) developed stroke. In multivariable analysis, a significant difference in the risk of incident stroke was noted among the BP categories, including normotension (BP1), prehypertension (BP2), and hypertension (BP3; P for trend = 0.001). By contrast, no difference was noted among the BG categories, including HbA₁c levels <7.0% (HB1), 7.0–7.9% (HB2), and ≥8.0% (HB3; P for trend = 0.430). Compared with the category that included both BP1 and HB1, the population-attributable fraction (PAF) for stroke incidence was 52.0% from the BP2 and BP3 categories and 24.1% from the HB2 and HB3 categories, and the increased incidence from the HB2 and HB3 categories was mostly caused from coexistent BP2 and BP3 categories. In conclusion, in the Japanese community-based diabetic population, concomitant BP elevation largely contributes to the increased incidence of stroke and links BG elevation, as indicated by HbA₁c, to the increased risk of stroke.

The urine albumin-creatinine ratio is a predictor for incident long-term care in a general population

Background

Several types of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) impair the physical and mental status. The purpose of this study was to assess the predictive ability of several cardiovascular biomarkers for identifying the incidence of disability as future recipients of public long-term care (LTC) service.

Methods

The subjects of this study were community-dwelling elderly individuals ≥ 65 years of age without a history of CVD (n = 5,755; mean age, 71 years). The endpoint of this study was official certification as a recipient of LTC. The cohort was divided into quartiles (Qs) based on the levels of three CVD biomarkers: the urinary albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR), plasma B-type natriuretic peptide concentration (BNP), and serum high-sensitivity C-reactive protein concentration (hsCRP). A time-dependent Cox proportional hazard model was used to determine the multi-adjusted relative hazard ratios (HRs) for incident LTC among the quartiles of each biomarker.

Results

During the follow-up (mean 5.6 years), 710 subjects were authorized as recipients of LTC. The HR was only significantly increased in the higher Qs of UACR (Q3, p < 0.01; Q4, p < 0.001). However, other biomarkers were not significantly associated with the endpoint. The risk predictive performance for the incidence of LTC as evaluated by an essential model (i.e. age- and sex-adjusted) was significantly improved by incorporating the UACR (net reclassification improvement = 0.084, p < 0.01; integrated discrimination improvement = 0.0018, p < 0.01).

Conclusions

These results suggest that an increased UACR is useful for predicting physical and cognitive dysfunction in an elderly general population.

Review of screening studies for atrial fibrillation in rural populations of 11 countries

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common cardiac arrhythmia, and pathological burden can be influenced by environmental factors. The rural environment may influence the burden of AF, although no systematic review studies have been conducted to address this issue. We performed a systematic review of AF screening studies conducted in rural global populations to determine the burden, risk factors, and screening methods surrounding AF in these settings. Out of the 1792 articles gathered from a keyword search of medical databases and reference lists, 18 publications from 11 countries were included in our analysis. The pooled prevalence of AF across the studies was 2.05% (95% confidence interval, 1.97%-2.13%) and ranged from 0.3% to 10.87%. Only one study utilized a handheld electrocardiogram to screen AF, while the rest used the 12-lead electrocardiogram. AF risk factors reported across studies varied and included increasing age, male gender, hypertension, diabetes, prior myocardial infarction or stroke, obesity, hyperlipidemia/hypercholesterolemia, alcohol consumption, and heart failure. However, none of the studies assessed all risk factors. We suggest that future research on AF in rural communities examine a complete checklist of AF risk factors to better understand their influence on AF burden and development. This will aid in understanding rural prevention strategies and the management of detected AF cases specific to rural areas. At present, the burden of AF in rural communities is poorly understood and has been underreported.

The Impact and Effectivity of an Inventory Survey for a Stroke Registry in Iwate Prefecture

BACKGROUND

The accuracy of a stroke registration program in Iwate prefecture was greatly affected by cooperation from medical facilities and doctors in the field. The number of registered cases from noncore hospitals was less, but the accuracy of registration was unknown. This report presents the impact and effectivity of an inventory survey of the stroke registry.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

Details of subjects living in coastal and northern regions of Iwate Prefecture who developed a cerebrovascular attack between 2012 and 2014 were obtained from the Iwate Stroke Registry through an inventory survey. Annual incidence rate from core hospitals and noncore hospitals were compared. To evaluate factors registered from noncore hospitals, multivariate analyses were performed for sex, age, living area, type of stroke, and past history of cerebrovascular diseases.

RESULTS

Annual crude incidence rate for 100,000 residual populations were 428.8 in men and 351.2 in women from core hospitals and 38.5 in men and 43.7 in women from noncore hospitals. Ratios of noncore hospitals against all the hospitals were 8.3% for men and 11.1% for women. Multivariate analyses for age, ischemic type of stroke, past history of cerebrovascular diseases, and living in areas without a core hospital were significant; however, sex was not a significant factor.

CONCLUSION

The inventory survey of the stroke registry program in the Iwate prefecture was useful to prevent missing data of stroke cases from noncore hospitals, including patients who are elderly, with ischemic stroke onset, with a past history of stroke, or living in areas without core hospitals.

Epidemiology of Atrial Fibrillation: The Australian and Asia-Pacific Perspective

The epidemic of atrial fibrillation (AF) is increasingly recognised as a growing health problem worldwide. Although epidemiological studies on AF in the Asia-Pacific region are scarce, given the increasing age and size of populations in this region, the burden of AF is expected to be far greater than in North America and Europe. This is not only due to the growing, ageing population but also an increased incidence of risk factors for AF, such as hypertension, obesity, metabolic syndrome and diabetes, in the Asia-Pacific region. While further, high quality data on such aspects as risk factors, racial disparities and clinical implications is urgently required, there is an immediate need for increased focus on appropriate stroke prophylaxis and risk factor management to minimise the clinical complications and societal burden of AF.

Risk of stroke and heart failure attributable to atrial fibrillation in middle-aged and elderly people: Results from a five-year prospective cohort study of Japanese community dwellers

Background

The relative and absolute risks of stroke and heart failure attributable to atrial fibrillation (AF) have not been sufficiently examined.

Methods

A prospective study of 23,731 community-dwelling Japanese individuals was conducted. Participants were divided into two groups based on the presence or absence of prevalent AF (n = 338 and n = 23,393, respectively). Excess events (EE) due to AF and relative risks (RRs) determined using the non-AF group as the reference for incident stroke and heart failure were estimated using Poisson regression stratified by age groups (middle-aged: 40–69 years old; elderly: 70 years of age or older) after adjustment for sex and age.

Results

There were 611 cases of stroke and 98 cases of heart failure during the observation period (131,088 person-years). AF contributed to a higher risk of stroke both in middle-aged individuals (EE 10.4 per 1000 person-years; RR 4.88; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.88–8.29) and elderly individuals (EE 18.3 per 1000 person-years; RR 3.05; 95% CI, 2.05–4.54). AF also contributed to a higher risk of heart failure in middle-aged individuals (EE 3.7 per 1000 person-years; RR 8.18; 95% CI, 2.41–27.8) and elderly individuals (EE 15.4 per 1000 person-years; RR 7.82; 95% CI, 4.11–14.9). Results obtained from multivariate-adjusted analysis were similar (stroke: EE 8.9 per 1000 person-years; RR 4.40; 95% CI, 2.57–7.55 in middle-aged and EE 17.4 per 1000 person-years; RR 2.97; 95% CI, 1.99–4.43 in elderly individuals; heart failure: EE 3.1 per 1000 person-years; RR 7.22; 95% CI, 2.06–25.3 in middle-aged and EE 14.1 per 1000 person-years; RR 7.41; 95% CI, 3.86–14.2 in elderly individuals).

Conclusions

AF increased the risk of stroke by the same magnitude as that reported previously in Western countries. AF increased the RR of heart failure more than that in Western populations.

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Incidence rates for stroke and HF were estimated in Japanese community dwellers.

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Subjects were divided into AF and non-AF groups separately by age (40–69 and ≥70).

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AF increased the risk of stroke by the same magnitude as in Western populations.

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AF increased the risk of HF more than that in Western populations.

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The absolute risk differences of outcomes were larger in the elderly individuals.

Prevalence of atrial fibrillation in the Malaysian communities

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia encountered in clinical practice. The REDISCOVER (Responding to Increasing Cardiovascular disease prevalence) study is an observational longitudinal community-based study that tracks changing lifestyles, risk factors and chronic disease in urban and rural areas of Malaysia. In this study, we aim to study the prevalence of AF and its associated risk factors.

METHODS

The study was conducted between 2007 and 2014. Participants were required to complete questionnaires on cardiovascular risk factors and medical history, and undergo physical examinations, blood tests, ECG and echocardiography examinations. Demographic variables including weight, height, blood pressure, serum glucose and serum lipid were recorded. Participants with AF were identified from their baseline ECG and at 3-year follow up.

RESULTS

A total of 10 805 subjects participated in the study. Mean age was 52.6(±11.6) years and 56% were female; 4.4% of subjects had a diagnosis of ischaemic heart disease, 1.3% had a previous stroke, 16.7% had diabetes mellitus and 45.6% had hypertension. There were 53 subjects diagnosed with AF at baseline, giving a prevalence of 0.49%, and 0.54% at 3 years. AF was more prevalent in males (58.5% in the AF group compared to 43.9% in sinus rhythm (SR) subjects; p=0.03) and the older age group. Ischaemic heart disease was more prevalent in AF subjects (22.6%) compared to SR subjects (4.4%) (p<0.001). In the AF group previous stroke had occurred in 1.9% of subjects compared to 1.3% in the SR population (p=0.51), and 24.5% of subjects in the AF group had diabetes compared to 16.6% in the SR group (p=0.12). There was a significant difference in the prevalence of hypertension between the AF group (59.6%) compared to the SR subjects (45.5%) (p=0.04).

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of AF in the Malaysian population was low at 0.54% compared to the global average of 1%. We found that AF was associated with older age, male sex, hypertension, and ischaemic heart disease.

Low-grade albuminuria and incidence of cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality in nondiabetic and normotensive individuals

BACKGROUND

Recent studies indicate that, in people with diabetes or hypertension and in the general population, low-grade albuminuria (LGA) below the microalbuminuria threshold is a predictor for incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality. However, it remains unclear whether LGA predicts the risk of CVD incidence and death in nondiabetic and normotensive individuals.

METHODS

A total of 3599 individuals aged not less than 40 years from the general population who are free of CVD in nondiabetic and normotensive individuals with preserved glomerular filtration rate were followed for CVD incidence and all-cause death. LGA was defined as urinary albumin to creatinine ratio (UACR) less than 30  mg/g. It was examined whether there is an association between LGA and CVD incidence or all-cause death.

RESULTS

During the average 5.9 years of follow-up, 61 individuals had first CVD events, and 85 individuals died. The hazard ratios (HRs) for CVD incidence and all-cause death after full adjustment by potential confounders increased significantly in the top tertile of LGA (UACR ≥ 9.6  mg/g for men, ≥ 12.0  mg/g for women) compared with the first tertile [HR = 2.79, 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.41-5.52, HR = 1.69, 95% CI, 1.00-2.84, respectively]. Population-attributable fractions of the top tertile of LGA for CVD incidence and all-cause death were 37.9 and 20.1%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

In apparently healthy individuals with optimal blood pressure and no diabetes, LGA independently predicts CVD incidence and all-cause death, particularly with the large contribution to the excessive incidence of CVD.

Comparison between urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio and urine protein dipstick testing for prevalence and ability to predict the risk for chronic kidney disease in the general population (Iwate-KENCO study): a prospective community-based cohort study

Background

This study compared the combination of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) vs. eGFR and urine protein reagent strip testing to determine chronic kidney disease (CKD) prevalence, and each method’s ability to predict the risk for cardiovascular events in the general Japanese population.

Methods

Baseline data including eGFR, UACR, and urine dipstick tests were obtained from the general population (n = 22 975). Dipstick test results (negative, trace, positive) were allocated to three levels of UACR (<30, 30–300, >300), respectively. In accordance with Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes CKD prognosis heat mapping, the cohort was classified into four risk grades (green: grade 1; yellow: grade 2; orange: grade 3, red: grade 4) based on baseline eGFR and UACR levels or dipstick tests.

Results

During the mean follow-up period of 5.6 years, 708 new onset cardiovascular events were recorded. For CKD identified by eGFR and dipstick testing (dipstick test ≥ trace and eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m²), the incidence of CKD was found to be 9 % in the general population. In comparison to non-CKD (grade 1), although cardiovascular risk was significantly higher in risk grades ≥3 (relative risk (RR) = 1.70; 95 % CI: 1.28–2.26), risk predictive ability was not significant in risk grade 2 (RR = 1.20; 95 % CI: 0.95–1.52). When CKD was defined by eGFR and UACR (UACR ≥30 mg/g Cr and eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m²), prevalence was found to be 29 %. Predictive ability in risk grade 2 (RR = 1.41; 95 % CI: 1.19–1.66) and risk grade ≥3 (RR = 1.76; 95 % CI: 1.37–2.28) were both significantly greater than for non-CKD. Reclassification analysis showed a significant improvement in risk predictive abilities when CKD risk grading was based on UACR rather than on dipstick testing in this population (p < 0.001).

Conclusions

Although prevalence of CKD was higher when detected by UACR rather than urine dipstick testing, the predictive ability for cardiovascular events from UACR-based risk grading was superior to that of dipstick-based risk grading in the general population.

Standardized Prevalence Ratios for Atrial Fibrillation in Adult Dialysis Patients in Japan

Background

While it is assumed that dialysis patients in Japan have a higher prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) than the general population, the magnitude of this difference is not known.

Methods

Standardized prevalence ratios (SPRs) for AF in dialysis patients (n = 1510) were calculated compared to data from the general population (n = 26 454) living in the same area.

Results

The prevalences of AF were 3.8% and 1.6% in dialysis patients and the general population, respectively. In male subjects, these respective values were 4.9% and 3.3%, and in female subjects they were 1.6% and 0.6%. The SPRs for AF were 2.53 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.88–3.19) in all dialysis patients, 1.80 (95% CI, 1.30–2.29) in male dialysis patients, and 2.13 (95% CI, 0.66–3.61) in female dialysis patients.

Conclusions

The prevalence of AF in dialysis patients was twice that in the population-based controls. Since AF strongly contributes to a higher risk of cardiovascular mortality and morbidity in the general population, further longitudinal studies should be conducted regarding the risk of several outcomes attributable to AF among Japanese dialysis patients.

Prevalence, incidence, and lifetime risk of atrial fibrillation in China: new insights into the global burden of atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Much of the epidemiology of atrial fibrillation (AF) is based on data from Western populations. Despite the huge population of Asia, data on the clinical epidemiology of AF in Asian countries are limited. The current study aimed to investigate the prevalence and incidence of newly diagnosed (ie, incident) AF, as well as lifetime risk, in China and to determine the clinical risk factors contributing to its development.

METHODS

Using a medical insurance database involving > 10 million individuals for the years 2001 to 2012 in the southwest of China, trends in incident AF were calculated using Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox regression. The usefulness of the CHADS2 (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age, diabetes, stroke [doubled]) and CHA2DS2-VASc (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥ 75 [doubled], diabetes, stroke [doubled], vascular disease, age 65-74, and sex category [female]) scores was tested in predicting the occurrence of incident AF.

RESULTS

A total of 471,446 individuals (aged ≥ 20 years) were studied, with 1,924,975 person-years of experience. We identified 921 patients with incident AF (62% male; mean age, 62 years). The prevalence of incident AF in subjects aged ≥ 20 years was 0.2 per 100 people, with an incidence of AF of 0.05 per 100 person-years overall. Over an 11-year period, the prevalence of AF increased 20-fold, whereas AF-related stroke increased 13-fold. The lifetime risk of AF was approximately one in five among Chinese adults, and it increased with advancing age. The CHA2DS2-VASc score was superior to the CHADS2 score in predicting the risk of incident AF in our Chinese population (DeLong test, Z = 6.621, P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

The AF burden, as well as the risk of AF-related stroke, has increased significantly over the past 11 years in the southwest of China. The public health burden of AF and its complications are greatest in the very elderly, with major implications for health-care systems given the global burden of this common arrhythmia.

Extent of flood damage increased cerebrovascular disease incidences in Iwate prefecture after the great East Japan earthquake and tsunami of 2011

BACKGROUND

Several studies have reported on increases in the incidence of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases after huge earthquakes. An increase in the incidence of cerebrovascular diseases was observed after the Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami of 2011. To assess whether tsunami damage or the earthquake was responsible for this trend, we assessed the relative impact of earthquake magnitude and flood damage on cerebrovascular disease.

METHODS

A total of 12 coastal municipalities facing the epicenter were divided into 4 flood severity groups according to the percentage of people living in the flooded areas (<20, 20-40, 40-60, and ≥60%) and 3 groups according to the Japanese Meteorological Agency seismic intensity of the main shock (<4.5, 4.5-5.0 and ≥5.0). The standard incidence ratios (SIRs) of cerebrovascular diseases in the first 4 weeks after the disaster compared with the same periods in 2008-2010 were calculated for each flood severity group and each earthquake severity group. Odds ratios (ORs) of disease incidence and the adjusted ORs for seismic intensity (using the Mantel-Haenszel method) between the higher (≥40%) and the lower flooded area (<40%) were compared with the same periods in 2008-2010. Likewise, ORs and adjusted ORs for flood severity in the high seismic intensity area (≥4.9) were compared with those in the low seismic intensity area (<4.9).

RESULTS

SIRs increased with the increased flood severity: 0.94 (0.59-1.30) at <20%, 1.02 (0.70-1.34) at 20-40%, 1.26 (0.66-1.86) at 40-60% and 1.98 (1.25-2.72) at ≥60%. However, SIRs did not increase with increased seismic intensity: 0.95 (0.60-1.29) at <4.5, 1.52 (1.07-1.98) at 4.5-5.0 and 1.17 (0.80-1.54) at ≥5.0. ORs and adjusted ORs for seismic intensity in the high flood area compared with the low flood area were significant: 1.68 (1.07-2.65) and 1.78 (1.08-2.96), respectively. However, ORs and adjusted ORs for flood severity in the high seismic intensity area compared with the low intensity area were not significant: 1.33 (0.82-2.17) and 1.19 (0.62-2.31), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Cerebrovascular disease incidences after the Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami of 2011 increased because of tsunami damage and not because of the earthquake magnitude.

Associations of number of teeth with risks for all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality in middle-aged and elderly men in the northern part of Japan: the Iwate-KENCO study

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study was to determine the associations of number of teeth with all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality among middle-aged and elderly Japanese men.

METHODS

A total of 7779 men aged 40-79 years who were free from cardiovascular disease (CVD) were followed up prospectively for 5.6 years. Participants were categorized into four groups (no teeth, 1-9 teeth, 10-19 teeth, and ≥20 teeth) by a self-administered questionnaire. Using Cox's proportional hazard model, multivariate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for mortality from all causes, CVD, cancer, and noncancer, non-CVD according to number of teeth were estimated with adjustments for age, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, total- and HDL-cholesterol, HbA1c, current smoking, current alcohol drinking, and low level of education.

RESULTS

The numbers (proportions) of participants with no teeth, 1-9 teeth, 10-19 teeth, and ≥20 teeth were 1613 (20.7%), 1650 (21.2%), 1721 (22.1%), and 2795 (35.9%), respectively. During follow-up, a total of 455 deaths (including 175 deaths from cancer, 98 deaths from CVD, and 130 deaths from noncancer, non-CVD) were recorded. In total participants, an inverse relationship between number of teeth and all-cause mortality was found (P for trend = 0.049). Among men aged 40-64 years, inverse relationships were also found in risks for mortality from all causes, CVD, and cancer: multivariate-adjusted HRs (95% CI) for all-cause mortality in men with no teeth, 1-9 teeth, and 10-19 teeth relative to men with ≥20 teeth were 2.75 (1.37-5.49), 1.89 (0.99-3.63), and 1.94 (1.09-3.43), respectively. However, there were no associations of number of teeth with all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality among men aged 65-79 years.

CONCLUSIONS

The number of teeth is an important predictive factor for mortality among middle-aged Japanese men.

High risks of all-cause and cardiovascular deaths in apparently healthy middle-aged people with preserved glomerular filtration rate and albuminuria: A prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The reason why coexistence of preserved estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albuminuria contributes to a high risk of death and which cause of death increases all-cause mortality have not been elucidated.

METHODS

A total of 16,759 participants aged 40 to 69 years with normal or mildly reduced eGFR (45-119 ml/min/1.73 m(2)) were enrolled and divided into six groups (group 1, eGFR: 90-119 without albuminuria; group 2, eGFR: 90-119 with albuminuria; group 3, eGFR: 60-89 without albuminuria (reference); group 4, eGFR: 60-89 with albuminuria; group 5, eGFR: 45-59 without albuminuria; group 6, eGFR: 45-59 with albuminuria) based on GFR estimated by using the CKD-EPI study equation modified by a Japanese coefficient and albuminuria (urine albumin-creatinine ratio ≥ 30 mg/g). Outcomes included all-cause death (ACD), cardiovascular death (CVD) and neoplasm-related death (NPD). Multivariable-adjusted mortality rate ratios (RR) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) in the groups were estimated by Poisson's regression analysis.

RESULTS

The highest risk of ACD (RR (95% CIs): 3.95 (2.08-7.52)), CVD (7.15 (2.25-22.7)) and NPB (3.25 (1.26-8.38)) was observed in group 2. Subjects in group 2 were relatively young and had the highest levels of body mass index, blood pressure and HbA1c and the highest prevalence of diabetes and metabolic syndrome.

CONCLUSION

Coexistence of preserved eGFR and albuminuria increases risks for ACD, CVD and NPD. Relatively young metabolic persons having both preserved eGFR and albuminuria should be considered as a very high-risk population.

Predictive value of lipoprotein indices for residual risk of acute myocardial infarction and sudden death in men with low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels <120 mg/dl

Several epidemiologic studies have demonstrated that plasma low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) profile is a key risk indicator for coronary heart disease (CHD). However, almost half of all patients with CHD have normal LDL-C levels. A total of 7,931 male subjects aged ≥40 years from the general population with no cardiovascular history and no use of lipid-lowering agents were followed for incidence of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and sudden death. Of the 4,827 participants with LDL-C levels <120 mg/dl, 55 subjects had a first AMI/sudden death during an average of 5.5 years of follow-up. After adjustment for confounding factors, multiadjusted hazard ratios (HRs) were increased by 1 SD for non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C; HR = 1.36, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02 to 1.81), total cholesterol (TC)/HDL-C ratio (HR = 1.40, 95% CI: 1.11 to 1.78) and LDL-C/HDL-C ratio (HR = 1.32, 95% CI: 1.02 to 1.73) but not for LDL-C (HR = 1.09, 95% CI: 0.82 to 1.44) and HDL-C (HR = 0.84, 95% CI: 0.68 to 1.04). When stratified as categorical variables on the basis of points with highest accuracy on receiver operating characteristic analysis, non-HDL-C levels >126 mg/dl (HR = 1.25, 95% CI: 1.03 to 1.51), TC/HDL-C ratio above 3.5 (HR = 1.22, 95% CI: 1.01 to 1.48) and LDL-C/HDL-C ratio >1.9 (HR = 1.25, 95% CI: 1.04 to 1.51) had increased multiadjusted HRs for AMI/sudden death. In conclusion, in men with LDL-C levels <120 mg/dl, non HDL-C, TC/HDL-C, and LDL-C/HDL-C ratios have predictive value for residual risk of AMI/sudden death.

Factors related to tooth loss among community-dwelling middle-aged and elderly Japanese men

Background

Using data from a large-scale community-based Japanese population, we attempted to identify factors associated with tooth loss in middle-aged and elderly men.

Methods

A total of 8352 men aged 40 to 79 years who lived in the north of the main island of Japan and underwent health checkups were enrolled between 2002 and 2005. Number of teeth was assessed by the question, “How many teeth do you have (0, 1–9, 10–19, or ≥20)?”. On the basis of the answer to this question, participants were classified into 2 groups (≤19 teeth or ≥20 teeth). Using multivariate logistic regression, factors related to having 19 or fewer teeth were estimated.

Results

The numbers (percentages) of participants who had 0, 1 to 9, 10 to 19, and 20 or more teeth were 1764 (21.1%), 1779 (21.3%), 1836 (22.0%), and 2973 (35.6%), respectively. Among the participants overall and those aged 65 to 79 years, having 19 or fewer teeth was significantly associated with older age, smoking status (current smoking and ex-smoking), and low education level. In addition, men with 19 or fewer teeth were more likely to have a low body mass index and low serum albumin level and less likely to be current alcohol drinkers. Among men aged 40 to 64 years, but not men aged 65 to 79 years, those with 19 or fewer teeth were more likely to have a low serum high-density lipoprotein cholesterol level and high glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) level.

Conclusions

Smoking, low education level, and poor nutritional status were associated with tooth loss among middle-aged and elderly Japanese men.

Influence of the great East Japan earthquake and tsunami 2011 on occurrence of cerebrovascular diseases in Iwate, Japan

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Little information is available regarding the occurrence of cerebrovascular diseases after tsunamis. This study was performed to determine the influence of the tsunami damage caused by the Great East Japan earthquake on occurrence of cerebrovascular diseases.

METHODS

Subjects from the coastline and inland areas of Iwate Prefecture who developed cerebrovascular diseases before and after the disaster were included in the analysis. Standardized incidence ratios of 2011 against the previous 3 years were calculated in two 4-week periods before and four 4-week periods after the disaster, according to stroke subtype, sex, age group, and flood damage.

RESULTS

The standard incidence ratio for cerebrovascular diseases was 1.20 (1.00-1.40) in the first 4-week period after the disaster and was not significant in other periods. The standard incidence ratios in the first 4-week period for cerebral infarction, intracerebral hemorrhage, and subarachnoid hemorrhage were 1.22 (0.98-1.46), 1.15 (0.76-1.55), and 1.20 (0.52-1.88), respectively. These values were 1.51 (1.19-1.88) for men, 1.35 (1.06-1.64) for subjects aged ≥ 75 years, and 1.35 (1.06-1.64) for the high flooding areas. The standard incidence ratio of cerebral infarction in the first 4-week period for men aged ≥ 75 years in the high flooding areas was 2.34 (1.34-3.34).

CONCLUSIONS

In the areas highly flooded by the tsunami caused by the Great East Japan earthquake, the occurrence of cerebral infarction among elderly men more than doubled in the first 4 weeks after the disaster.

The global burden of atrial fibrillation and stroke: a systematic review of the epidemiology of atrial fibrillation in regions outside North America and Europe

BACKGROUND

Although atrial fibrillation (AF) is accepted as the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia, most published epidemiologic studies focus on predominantly white populations in North America or Europe, and information on AF in nonwhite populations is scarce. The objective of this study was to undertake a systematic review of the published literature on the epidemiology of AF in other regions.

METHODS

Systematic literature searches (MEDLINE; 1990-2010) identified epidemiologic studies reporting on the prevalence or incidence of AF, stroke in AF, risk factors for AF, or the use of antithrombotic therapy in countries outside North America and Europe. This report presents a descriptive analysis of the data; no meta-analysis was planned.

RESULTS

Many of the 38 articles identified were from the Far East, although Australia, New Zealand, the Middle East, and South America were also represented. The reported prevalence of AF varied among countries, with different ranges in community- and hospital-based studies (0.1%-4% and 2.8%-14%, respectively). The use of anticoagulant therapy varied widely among countries and studies, as did the reported prevalence of stroke in patients with AF (2.8%-24.2%).

CONCLUSIONS

High-quality epidemiologic studies are clearly required to improve understanding of the worldwide burden of AF and stroke in AF. Major improvements in the provision of thromboprophylaxis are also needed in many countries, given the high proportion of untreated patients who are, hence, at risk of stroke.

Incidence rate of cerebrovascular diseases in northern Japan determined from the Iwate Stroke Registry with an inventory survey system

BACKGROUND

Long-term stroke registries in large populations often fail to maintain accuracy. This study presents an inventory survey system for stroke registries and the incidence rate of cerebrovascular diseases in a region with the highest stroke mortality rate in Japan.

METHODS

Using the data of the stroke registry determined with the inventory survey from 2004 to 2008 in northern Iwate Prefecture, with a population of 235,280 (111,584 men and 123,696 women), the age-specific annual incidence rates, the age-adjusted annual incidence rates, and the ratio of incidence rate relative to mortality rate of the cerebrovascular diseases were investigated.

RESULTS

A total of 3415 cases (1714 men and 1701 women) were registered and analyzed in this study. The age-adjusted incidence rates by the 1985 model population of Japan and by the world standard population (range 35-64 years) were 100.4 and 89.4 per 100,000 population in men and 49.8 and 29.7 in women for cerebral infarction; 53.6 and 77.2 in men and 34.2 and 39.5 in women for intracerebral hemorrhage; 12.9 and 23.3 in men and 21.1 and 34.6 in women for subarachnoid hemorrhage; and 166.9 and 189.8 in men and 105.0 and 103.7 in women for all subtypes. The ratios of incidence rate relative to mortality rate were 1.66 for all stroke subtypes, 1.69 for cerebral infarction, 1.76 for intracerebral hemorrhage, and 1.31 for subarachnoid hemorrhage.

CONCLUSIONS

High incidence rates of cerebrovascular diseases were revealed in the stroke registry with a good inventory survey in northern Iwate Prefecture, Japan.

Poor self-rated health is significantly associated with elevated C-reactive protein levels in women, but not in men, in the Japanese general population

OBJECTIVE

Self-rated health (SRH) is associated with risk for mortality, but its biological basis is poorly understood. We examined the association between SRH and low-grade inflammation in a Japanese general population.

METHODS

A total of 5142 men and 11,114 women aged 40 to 69years were enrolled. SRH was assessed by a single question and classified into four categories: good, rather good, neither good nor poor, and poor. Serum high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) levels were measured by the latex-enhanced immunonephelometric method. Elevated CRP was defined as hsCRP level of 1.0mg/L or higher. The association between SRH and elevated CRP was evaluated by using logistic regression with adjustment for age, socioeconomic status (job status, education and marital status), health-related behaviors (smoking status, drinking status, exercise habits and sleep duration), and cardiovascular risk factors (body mass index, systolic blood pressure, total- and HDL-cholesterol, HbA1c and prevalent stroke and/or myocardial infarction).

RESULTS

Compared to persons with good SRH, persons with poor SRH had significantly higher risk for elevated CRP: age-adjusted ORs (95% CIs) were 1.33 (1.01-1.76) in men and 1.66 (1.36-2.02) in women. The significant association remained even after adjustment for socioeconomic status, health-related behaviors and cardiovascular risk factors in women, whereas the significance disappeared in men.

CONCLUSION

Poor SRH is associated with low-grade inflammation in both sexes. In women, but not in men, the association is independent of potential confounders. These findings provide an insight into the biological background of SRH in a general population.

Sex-specific threshold levels of plasma B-type natriuretic peptide for prediction of cardiovascular event risk in a Japanese population initially free of cardiovascular disease

Elevated plasma B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels have been reported to be related to a high risk for cardiovascular (CV) disease in the general population. However, there has been no accurate determination of the threshold levels of plasma BNP that indicate an increased potential for the development of general CV events (i.e., heart failure, stroke, and myocardial infarction) and the validity of these levels for predicting CV events compared to classic risk markers. To establish gender-specific thresholds of plasma BNP levels associated with increased risk for CV disease in the general population, baseline BNP levels were determined in community-dwelling adults (n = 13,209, mean age 62 ± 10 years,) and CV events in the cohort were captured prospectively. The cohort was divided by deciles of plasma BNP level in each gender. A Cox proportional-hazards model was used to determine the relative hazard ratios among the deciles. In addition, to compare the utility of plasma BNP to the Framingham 10-year risk score for predicting general CV events, receiver-operating characteristic analysis was performed. During follow-up, CV events were identified in 429 patients in the cohort. Compared to the reference decile level (first to fourth), the hazard ratio was significantly increased from the ninth decile in men (greater than approximately 37 pg/ml) and the highest decile in women (greater than approximately 55 pg/ml). The area under the curve generated on receiver-operating characteristic analysis of plasma BNP testing was comparable to that for the Framingham risk scoring system (0.67 vs 0.68 in men, 0.63 vs 0.68 in women; p = NS for both). In conclusion, within a community-based general population with no CV history, plasma BNP levels higher than defined thresholds show increased risk for general CV events, and the predictive ability for CV events occurring within several years may be comparable to that of an established long-standing risk score.

Atrial fibrillation is a major risk factor for stroke, especially in women: the Jichi Medical School cohort study

Background

Only a few population-based cohort studies have investigated the impact of atrial fibrillation (AF) on stroke in Japan.

Methods

A total of 10 929 participants (4147 men and 6782 women) were included in this population-based prospective cohort study. Baseline data, including electrocardiograms (ECGs) to ascertain AF status, were obtained from April 1992 through July 1995 in 12 areas in Japan. Cox proportional hazards models were used to analyze the association of AF with stroke.

Results

A total of 54 participants had AF (0.49%). The mean follow-up period was 10.7 years, during which 405 strokes were identified; 12 of these occurred in participants with AF. The crude incidence of stroke in participants with and without AF was 14.9 and 4.5 per 1000 person-years in men, respectively, and 39.3 and 2.7 per 1000 person-years in women. After adjusting for geographical area, sex, age, smoking status, drinking status, obesity, hypertension, dyslipidemia, and diabetes mellitus, the hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) of AF in all participants and in male and female participants were 4.11 (2.28–7.41), 2.12 (0.77–5.84), and 10.6 (5.01–22.4), respectively. The population attributable fraction (PAF) of stroke caused by AF was 2.2%; the PAFs were 1.0% and 3.6% in men and women, respectively.

Conclusions

The present Japanese population-based prospective cohort study showed that AF is a major risk factor for stroke, especially in women.

Prehypertension subtype with elevated C-reactive protein: risk of ischemic stroke in a general Japanese population

BACKGROUND

Prehypertension (PreHT) and low-grade inflammation are both known to be related to the incidence of cardiovascular events. This cohort study investigated whether the high-risk group for future ischemic stroke among PreHT subjects can be predicted by stratification of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP).

METHODS

A total of 22,676 subjects aged 40-80 years from the general population who had no cardiovascular history underwent baseline measurement of serum hsCRP, and were followed for the incidence of ischemic stroke.

RESULTS

During the mean follow-up period of 2.7 years, 143 subjects had a first ischemic stroke. In a Cox multivariable model after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors, there was no significant difference in hazard ratio (HR) for incidence of ischemic stroke between the normotension (NT) and PreHT subjects (HR = 1.72, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.93-3.18, vs. NT subjects). In contrast, the HR for incidence of ischemic stroke in PreHT subjects with higher hsCRP levels (≥0.5 mg/l in men, ≥0.4 mg/l in women, more than median levels according to sex) was increased compared to NT subjects with lower hsCRP levels (HR = 2.63, 95% CI: 1.11-6.24). Moreover, the HR for incidence of ischemic stroke in PreHT subjects with lower CRP levels (HR = 0.91, 95% CI: 0.31-2.73) did not differ from that in NT subjects with lower hsCRP levels.

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed that, in a Japanese general population, hsCRP was a marker for relatively short-term risk of ischemic stroke in PreHT subjects.

Health promotion behaviors of residents with hypertension in Iwate, Japan and North Carolina, USA

AIM

The aim of this study was to compare the health promotion practises of rural residents in northern Japan (n = 212) to those in south-eastern North Carolina, USA (n = 105), using the Health Promotion Lifestyle II (HPLP) scale.

METHODS

A comparative and descriptive design examined the relationships between health-related behaviors and demographic and physiological variables, and compared cross-cultural patterns.

RESULTS

The Japanese participants scored significantly higher on the total HPLP II score, as well as on the subscales of health responsibility, nutrition, interpersonal support, and stress management. No significant differences were found in the HPLP II subscales for spiritual growth or physical activity between the groups. The subscale scores for both the participants from Japan and the participants from North Carolina were lowest for physical activity. For the participants from North Carolina, the HPLP II subscale scores were highest for spirituality and interpersonal relationships. The predictive factors of variation in the scores of the HPLP II for the participants from North Carolina included being married and not working. No significant demographic predictor was found for the HPLP II scores of the Japanese participants.

CONCLUSIONS

The study's findings add to an increased understanding of the cultural variations in the health-promoting behaviors of persons with hypertension. Providing health promotion strategies for hypertension remains an urgent issue for nurses and other health-care providers in both Japan and North Carolina, USA.

Plasma B-type natriuretic peptide level and cardiovascular events in chronic kidney disease in a community-based population

BACKGROUND

Plasma B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels are confounded by renal dysfunction, so this study examined whether plasma BNP might be a reliable biomarker of the onset of cardiovascular (CV) events in a population-based cohort with impaired renal function.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Baseline data, including plasma BNP, serum creatinine, and urinary protein levels, were determined in participants from a community-based population. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was calculated, and chronic kidney disease (CKD) was defined as either: eGFR <60 mlxmin(-1)x1.73 m(-2) and/or proteinuria (CKD definition-1) or GFR <60 mlxmin(-1)x1.73 m(-2) (CKD definition-2). The CV endpoint was surveyed prospectively. The cohorts were followed for 5,275 person-years for CKD definition-1, and for 4,350 person-years for CKD definition-2. The CV event-free survival rate in the highest BNP quartile in either CKD definition was the lowest among the quartile groups (P<0.001). In multivariate Cox regression models adjusted by traditional CV risk factors and atrial fibrillation, relative risk (RR) for CV events was significantly higher in the highest BNP quartile compared with the lowest BNP quartile (CKD definition-1, RR 3.51, P<0.01: CKD definition-2, RR 4.67, both P<0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Plasma BNP level provides strong predictive information about the future onset of CV events in CKD subjects selected from the general population.

[Association between homebound status and newly certified need of care among elderly in a rural community: the Iwate-Kenpoku cohort (Iwate-KENCO) study]

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the association between homebound status and newly certified need of care among elderly in a rural community and to clarify the characteristics of those in homebound status.

METHODS

The Iwate-KENpoku COhort (Iwate-KENCO) study (26,469 participants) spanned the period from 2002 to 2004 and was conducted in northern Iwate Prefecture, Japan. In the present study, 12,056 elderly (men, 4,751; women, 7,305) participated after being screened for eligibility (> or =65 years of age; without certification for need of care; and without a history of stroke, cardiac heart failure, or ischemic heart disease). Being homebound was operationally defined as walking outdoors for less than 5 minutes per day. Cox's proportional hazard model was used to estimate the hazard risk (HR) for newly certified need of care and the 95% confidence interval (95% CI) after controlling for confounding factors by gender.

RESULTS

After a mean follow-up period of 2.65 years, 200 men (4.2%) and 412 women (5.6%) obtained certification for need of care. Homebound status was significantly associated with newly certified need of care in women (HR=1.64, 95%CI=1.29-2.09), but not in men (HR=1.07, 95%CI=0.76-1.52). Homebound status among elderly women was associated with nutritional status, missing teeth, and irregular daily rhythms.

CONCLUSION

These findings suggest that being homebound is a risk factor for elderly women receiving certification for need of care.