Factors Affecting One-year Mortality of Elderly Patients After Surgery for Hip Fracture

Systematic review and meta-analysis of preoperative predictors for early mortality following hip fracture surgery

Hip fractures are a global health problem with a high postoperative mortality rate. Preoperative predictors for early mortality could be used to optimise and personalise healthcare strategies. This study aimed to identify predictors for early mortality following hip fracture surgery. Cohort studies examining independent preoperative predictors for mortality following hip fracture surgery were identified through a systematic search on Scopus and PubMed. Predictors for 30-day mortality were the primary outcome, and predictors for mortality within 1 year were secondary outcomes. Primary outcomes were analysed with random-effects meta-analyses. Confidence in the cumulative evidence was assessed using the GRADE criteria. Secondary outcomes were synthesised narratively. Thirty-three cohort studies involving 462,699 patients were meta-analysed. Five high-quality evidence predictors for 30-day mortality were identified: age per year (OR: 1.06, 95% CI: 1.04-1.07), ASA score ≥ 3 (OR: 2.69, 95% CI: 2.12-3.42), male gender (OR: 2.00, 95% CI: 1.85-2.18), institutional residence (OR: 1.81, 95% CI: 1.31-2.49), and metastatic cancer (OR: 2.83, 95% CI: 2.58-3.10). Additionally, six moderate-quality evidence predictors were identified: chronic renal failure, dementia, diabetes, low haemoglobin, heart failures, and a history of any malignancy. Weak evidence was found for non-metastatic cancer. This review found relevant preoperative predictors which could be used to identify patients who are at high risk of 30-day mortality following hip fracture surgery. For some predictors, the prognostic value could be increased by further subcategorising the conditions by severity.

Perioperative Factors Impact on Mortality and Survival Rate of Geriatric Patients Undergoing Surgery in the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Prospective Cohort Study in Indonesia

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic continues to have an impact on geriatric patients worldwide since geriatrics itself is an age group with a high risk due to declined physiological function and many comorbidities, especially for those who undergo surgery. In this study, we determine the association between perioperative factors with 30-day mortality and a survival rate of geriatric patients undergoing surgery during COVID-19 pandemic. Methods: A prospective cohort study was conducted at 14 central hospitals in Indonesia. The recorded variables were perioperative factors, 30-day mortality, and survival rate. Analyses of associations between variables and 30-day mortality were performed using univariate/multivariable logistic regression, and survival rates were determined with Kaplan−Meier survival analysis. Results: We analyzed 1621 elderly patients. The total number of patients who survived within 30 days of observation was 4.3%. Several perioperative factors were associated with 30-day mortality (p < 0.05) is COVID-19 (OR, 4.34; 95% CI, 1.04−18.07; p = 0.04), CCI > 3 ( odds ratio [OR], 2.33; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03−5.26; p = 0.04), emergency surgery (OR, 3.70; 95% CI, 1.96−7.00; p ≤ 0.01), postoperative ICU care (OR, 2.70; 95% CI, 1.32−5.53; p = 0.01), and adverse events (AEs) in the ICU (OR, 3.43; 95% CI, 1.32−8.96; p = 0.01). Aligned with these findings, COVID-19, CCI > 3, and comorbidities have a log-rank p < 0.05. The six comorbidities that have log-rank p < 0.05 are moderate-to-severe renal disease (log-rank p ≤ 0.01), cerebrovascular disease (log-rank p ≤ 0.01), diabetes with chronic complications (log-rank p = 0.03), metastatic solid tumor (log-rank p = 0.02), dementia (log-rank p ≤ 0.01), and rheumatology disease (log-rank p = 0.03). Conclusions: Having at least one of these conditions, such as COVID-19, comorbidities, emergency surgery, postoperative ICU care, or an AE in the ICU were associated with increased mortality in geriatric patients undergoing surgery during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Low geriatric nutritional risk index is a risk factor for death within 1 year following hip fracture

PURPOSE

Hip fracture is common in older patients and is associated with high mortality and functional impairment. The Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI) evaluates the risk of malnutrition-related complications, and the Barthel Index (BI) evaluates older patients' functional status. The study aim was to determine the risk factors for both death and decreased BI within 1 year after hip fracture.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the records of 108 patients who were treated for hip fractures in 10 public or private hospitals from February to July 2007. Participating facilities comprised eight public or private hospitals with 200-499 beds, and two private or orthopedic hospitals with 20-199 beds. We evaluated several risk factors for death and lower BI within 1 year after hip fracture.

RESULTS

The mortality rate within 1 year postoperatively for patients who survived inpatient stay was 6.5% (7/108). The proportion of patients with decreased postoperative BI was 43.6% (44/101). Binomial logistic regression analysis showed that several factors, including low GNRI (odds ratio [OR]: 0.80; 95% confidence interval [CI: 0.68-0.93]), were risk factors for death within 1 year. Postoperative delirium (OR: 8.84 [1.52-51.6]), postinjury dementia (OR: 34.8 [3.01-402]), preinjury BI (OR: 1.05 [1.02-1.08]), and preinjury dementia (OR: 6.22 [1.73-22.4]) were risk factors for decreased postoperative BI.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings indicated that lower GNRI was a risk factor for death within 1 year of hip surgery and that delirium and dementia were among the risk factors for decreased BI 1 year after hip fracture.

Prognostic factors for 1-year functional outcome, quality of life, care demands, and mortality after surgery in Taiwanese geriatric patients with a hip fracture: a prospective cohort study

Background:

Hip fractures are a major public health concern among elderly individuals. This study aimed to investigate potential perioperative factors that predict 1-year functional outcome, quality of life (QoL), care demands, and mortality in geriatric patients with a hip fracture.

Methods:

We prospectively enrolled geriatric patients who had undergone hip fracture surgery in one medical center from December 2017 to December 2019. Basic demographic data, handgrip strength, and responses to questionnaires for QoL and activities of daily living (ADL) before the injury were collected at baseline. QoL, ADL, additional care demands other than family support, and mortality events were monitored at 1 year after the operation.

Results:

Among 281 patients with a hip fracture, 39 (13.9%) died within 1 year of the index operation. The mean follow-up interval for the survivors was 403.3 (range: 358–480) days. Among the 242 survivors, ADL and QoL considerably decreased at approximately 1 year following hip surgery. Up to 33.9% of the participants became severely dependent and needed additional care at 1-year follow up. Prefracture ADL status was the crucial predictor for functional outcome, QoL, and additional care demand at 1-year follow up. Cox regression models indicated that male sex, low preoperative serum creatinine, handgrip strength, long surgical delay after a falling accident, and high Charlson Comorbidity Index were considerably associated with a high 1-year mortality risk in the geriatric hip fracture population.

Conclusion:

Hip fracture has long-lasting effects (e.g. functional loss, decline in QoL, increased care demands, and high postoperative mortality rate) on the geriatric population. A robust screening method must be developed for identifying potential prognostic factors, and a stratified care approach must be used that accounts for personalized risks to improve functional outcomes and reduce mortality after hip fracture in geriatric patients, especially in Taiwan.

One-year mortality rates and factors affecting mortality after surgery for fracture neck of femur in the elderly

Context:

Fractures around hip in elderly are associated with significant morbidity and mortality.

Aim:

This sudy aims to investigate 1-year mortality rates and risk factors associated with this mortality. Effect of delay in surgery on mortality rates will also be studied. Our null-hypothesis was that there is no association between common comorbid conditions or delay in surgery on 1-year mortality rates.

Study Settings and Design:

Patients 60-years and above who underwent operative treatment for fracture of neck of femur between January 2018 and February 2019 were included in this retrospective study.

Materials and Methods:

Demographic and clinical data were collected from hospital information system and inpatient case records. Patients were followed up with quality of life (QoL) assessment with short form-12 (SF-12) at 1 year. Mortality during this period was also evaluated.

Statistical Analysis:

Continuous factors were expressed as means, standard deviations. Different risk factors between the patients alive and dead were studied using Fisher's exact test.

Results:

Nineteen out of 95 patients died at the end of 1 year. Smoking, hypertension, diabetes, low hemoglobin, raised total leukocyte count, low serum albumin, delay in surgery (>1 week), higher American Society of Anesthesiologist grade, and postoperative blood transfusion were significantly associated with higher mortality rates. Mean SF-12 QoL scores at 1 year was 35.6 ± 6.3.

Conclusion:

Hip fractures in elderly are associated with higher mortality rates. Results of this study indicate that patients at a higher risk of mortality may be identified and help in preoperative optimization with the aim to reduce mortality. However, these findings need to be verified by further studies with a relatively larger sample size and longer follow-up period.

One-year postoperative mortality rate among the elderly with hip fractures at a single tertiary care center

BACKGROUND

Hip fractures are one of the leading causes of disability and dependency among the elderly. The rate of hip fractures has been progressively increasing due to the continuing increase in average life expectancy. Surgical intervention is the mainstay of treatment, but with an increasing prevalence of comorbid conditions and decreased functional capacity in elderly patients, more patients are prone to postoperative complications.

OBJECTIVES

Assess the value of surgical intervention for hip fractures among the elderly by quantifying the 1-year mortality rate and assessing factors associated with mortality.

DESIGN

Medical record review.

SETTING

Tertiary care center.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

All patients 60 years o age or older who sustained a hip fracture between the period of 2008 to 2018 in a single tertiary healthcare center. Data was obtained from case files, using both electronic and paper files.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The 1-year mortality rate for hip fracture, postoperative complications and factors associated with mortality.

SAMPLE SIZE

802 patients.

RESULTS

The majority of patients underwent surgical intervention (93%). Intra- and postoperative complications were 3% and 16%, respectively. Four percent of the sample died within 30 days, and 11% died within one year. In a multivariate analysis, an increased risk of 1-year mortality was associated with neck of femur fractures and postoperative complications (P=.034, <.001, respectively) CONCLUSION: The 1-year mortality risk in our study reinforces the importance of aggressive surgical intervention for hip fractures.

LIMITATION

Single-centered study.

CONFLICT OF INTEREST

None.

Hemiarthroplasty versus total hip arthroplasty for femoral neck fractures in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

PURPOSE

This study sought to delineate whether total hip arthroplasty (THA) or hip hemiarthroplasty (HHA) had more complication rates following the treatment of femoral neck fractures (FNF) in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The ACS-NSQIP database was queried for all patients with a history of COPD who had undergone THA and HHA with FNFs, isolated by CPT codes and ICD-9/ICD-10 codes. Propensity score matching without replacement in a 1:1 manner was done to control for patient demographics/preoperative comorbidities. Multivariate logistic regression models were utilized to assess the independent effect of HHA in comparison to THA.

RESULTS

The propensity-matched (PM) HHA cohort was significantly older (76.14 years vs. 73.33 years, p = 0.001) and had significantly higher rates of pneumonia (p = 0.017), extended length of stay (LOS) (p = 0.017), and mortality (p = 0.002), but lower rates of blood transfusions (p = 0.016) and reoperation (p = 0.020). HHA was independently associated with an increased risk of pneumonia (p = 0.043), extended LOS (p = 0.050), and death (p = 0.044) but a decreased risk for blood transfusions (p = 0.008) and reoperation (p = 0.028) when compared to THA.

DISCUSSION

Patients with more comorbidities are more likely to receive HHA than THA, which may explain some of the increased complications and mortality associated with HHA for FNFs compared to THA. Patients undergoing THA were at increased risk for blood transfusion and reoperation. THA does not appear to result in increased morbidity in this population compared to HHA. While THA should be considered in these patients given improved functional outcomes, further prospective studies are needed to establish superiority.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

III.

Poor nutritional status but not cognitive or functional impairment per se independently predict 1 year mortality in elderly patients with hip-fracture

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Hip fractures are strongly associated with mortality in the elderly. Studies investigating predisposing factors have suggested a negative impact of poor nutritional, cognitive and functional status on patient survival, however their independent prognostic impact as well as their interactions remain undefined. This study aimed to determine whether poor nutritional status independently predicts 1 year post-fracture mortality after adjusting for cognitive and functional status and for other clinically relevant covariates.

METHODS

1211 surgically treated hip fracture elderly (age ≥ 65) patients consecutively admitted to the Orthopaedic Surgery Unit of the "Azienda Sanitaria Universitaria Integrata Trieste" (ASUITs), Cattinara Hospital, Trieste, Italy and managed by a dedicated orthogeriatric team. Pre-admission nutritional status was evaluated by Mini Nutritional Assessment (MNA) questionnaire, cognitive status by Short Portable Mental Status Questionnaire (SPMSQ) and functional status by Activity of Daily Living (ADL) questionnaire. All other clinical data, including comorbidities, type of surgery, post-operative complications (delirium, deep vein thrombosis, cardiovascular complications, infections, need for blood transfusions) were obtained by hospital clinical records and by mortality registry.

RESULTS

Poor nutritional status (defined as MNA ≤23.5), increased cognitive and functional impairment were all associated with 3-, 6- and 12 month mortality (p < 0.001). Both cognitive and functional impairment were associated with poor nutritional status (p < 0.001). Logistic regression analysis demonstrated that the association between nutritional status and 3-, 6- and 12- month mortality was independent of age, gender, comorbidities, type of surgery and post-operative complications as well as of cognitive and functional impairment (p < 0.001). In contrast, the associations between mortality and cognitive and functional impairment were independent (p < 0.001) of demographic (age, gender) and clinical covariates but not of malnutrition. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a lower mean survival time (p < 0.001) in patients with poor nutritional status compared with those well-nourished.

CONCLUSIONS

In hip fracture elderly patients, poor nutritional status strongly predicts 1 year mortality, independently of demographic, functional, cognitive and clinical risk factors. The negative prognostic impact of functional and cognitive impairment on mortality is mediated by their association with poor nutritional status.

Preventable risk factors of mortality after hip fracture surgery: Systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

Although many studies have reported risk factors of mortality following hip fracture surgery, the preventable risk factors of mortality following hip fracture surgery have not been well-identified. The aim of this study was to identify the preventable risk factors of mortality following hip fracture surgery.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, Web of Science, Google scholar, and the Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) databases from January 1997 to March 2017 for studies reporting risk factors of mortality following hip fracture surgery. The primary outcomes assessed in this meta-analysis were time to surgery, residential status, smoking, cardiovascular disease, pulmonary disease, diabetes, and malignancy. All analyses were conducted using Stata/SE version 11.0 software.

RESULTS

Sixteen studies involving 25 349 patients meeting the inclusion criteria were included. Statistically significant associations between the mortality after hip fracture surgery and the risk factors, including the time to surgery (>2days/<2days) (odds ratio[OR] = 1.91; 95%CI, 1.14-3.18; P = 0.013), residential status (nursing home/home) (OR = 1.97; 95%CI, 1.02-3.78; P = 0.043), cardiovascular disease (OR = 1.14; 95%CI, 1.03-1.26; P = 0.012), pulmonary disease (OR = 1.52; 95%CI, 1.37-1.69; P < 0.001), diabetes (OR = 1.41; 95%CI, 1.19-1.67; P < 0.001), and malignancy (OR = 2.99, 95%CI, 1.14-7.83; P = 0.013) were established. However, the available data failed to demonstrate an association between the mortality, and time to surgery (>1day/<1day) (OR = 1.25; 95%CI, 0.93-1.66; P = 0.136) and smoking (OR = 0.89; 95%CI, 0.69-1.14; P = 0.340).

CONCLUSION

This meta-analysis explicitly indicated that malignancy, nursing home residence, time to surgery (>2days/<2days), pulmonary disease, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease significantly increased the risk of mortality after hip fracture surgery. These preventable risk factors may be used to create algorithms that are more effective and pertinent to reduce the mortality following hip fracture surgery.