Biomarkers for prediction of mortality in left-sided infective endocarditis

Prognostic factors for long-term mortality after surgery of left-sided infective endocarditis

BACKGROUND

Infective endocarditis has low prevalence but a high mortality rate. Left-sided infective endocarditis (LSIE) has a higher mortality rate than right-sided infective endocarditis. Surgical treatment is occasionally considered for LSIE; however, few data are available on the long-term prognostic factors for LSIE after surgical treatment. This study investigated the risk factors for long-term mortality in LSIE patients who underwent surgical treatment.

METHODS

This retrospective study enrolled adult patients with LSIE who were admitted to Severance Hospital in South Korea and underwent surgical treatment from November 2005 to August 2017. The primary outcome was risk factors for overall all-cause mortality. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed to identify risk factors for long-term mortality of patients with LSIE who received surgical treatment.

RESULTS

This study enrolled 239 with LSIE who underwent surgery. The median follow-up period was 75.9 months, and there were 34 deaths (14.2%) during the study period. Multivariable Cox analysis showed that central nervous system complications (hazard ratio [HR]: 3.55, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.76-7.17, P <  0.001), chronic liver disease (CLD) (HR: 4.33, 95% CI: 1.57-11.91, P =  0.005), and age ≥  65 years (HR: 2.65, 95% CI: 1.28-5.51, P =  0.009) were risk factors for overall mortality. Kaplan-Meier analysis indicated a significant difference in survival between patients with and without CNS complications (P <  0.001, log-rank).

CONCLUSION

Central nervous system complications, CLD, and older age were associated with long-term mortality in surgically treated patients with LSIE. Preventive strategies for CNS complications would improve the treatment of LSIE.

Early and Long-Term Outcomes of Patients Undergoing Surgery for Native and Prosthetic Valve Endocarditis: The Role of Preoperative Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio, Neutrophil-to-Platelet Ratio, and Monocyte-to Lymphocyte Ratio

Background/Objectives: Previous studies evaluated the prognostic role of hematological parameters in predicting outcome in patients with infective endocarditis (IE). However, only a few studies evaluated the role of hematological parameters in patients undergoing surgery for IE. The aim of this study was to review our 20-year experience with the treatment of native (NVE) and prosthetic (PVE) valve endocarditis and to evaluate the role of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), neutrophil-to-platelet ratio (NPR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), neutrophil-to monocyte ratio (NMR), and systemic inflammatory index (SII) on early and long-term outcomes of patients undergoing surgery for NVE and PVE. Methods: All adult patients undergoing surgery for NVE and PVE at our institution between January 2001 and December 2022 were included in the study. Preoperative NLR, NPR, PLR, MLR, NMR, and SII were calculated using hemograms with complete blood count. Results: During the study period, 503 patients, 371 (74%) males, median age 65 (52-73) years, underwent surgery for NVE (n = 337, 67%) or PVE (n = 166, 33%). Patients with PVE had significantly more aortic annulus abscess (95 (57%) vs. 51 (15%); p < 0.001), longer CPB (180 (131-235) vs. 105 (84-145) min; p < 0.001) and aortic cross-clamping times (129 (96-175) vs. 82 (64-114) min; p < 0.001), and received more aortic homografts (47 (28%) vs. 28 (9%); p < 0.001) and postoperative pacemaker implantation (25 (15%) vs. 20 (6%); p < 0.001 compared to patients with NVE. Preoperative NLR was 3.7 (2.4-6.1), NPR was 23 (16-37), PLR was 159 (106-210), NMR was 8.4 (6.6-12), MRL was 0.41 (0.29-0.62], and SII was 790 (485-1396). NLR, NPR, and MLR were significantly lower in patients with NVE compared to patients with PVE and in survivors compared to non-survivors. Overall mean survival time was 12.2 ± 0.5 years, with patients with NVE having better early and late survival compared to patients with PVE. Patients with preoperative NLR < 3.8, NPR < 30.9, and MLR < 0.4 had significantly better mean survival time compared to patients with preoperative NLR > 3.8, NPR > 30.9, and MLR > 0.4, respectively. Conclusions: In patients undergoing surgery for IE, preoperative higher NLR, NPR, and MLR are associated with increased early and long-term mortality.

AKI development is an independent predictor of mortality in infective endocarditis

INTRODUCTION

Infective endocarditis presents a 25% mortality. Acute kidney injury (AKI) develops in up to 70% of the cases. The aim of this study is to evaluate the predictive value of AKI in mortality due to endocarditis and to assess its associated factors.

METHODS

Unicentric and retrospective study including all patients with in-hospital diagnosis of endocarditis between 2015 and 2021. Epidemiological data and comorbidities were collected at baseline. During admission, renal function parameters, infection-related variables and mortality were collected. Using adjusted multivariate models, LRA predictive value was determined.

RESULTS

One hundred and thirty-four patients (63% males, age 72±15 years) were included. Of them 94 (70%) developed AKI (50% AKIN-1, 29% AKIN-2 and 21% AKIN-3). Factors associated to AKI were age (p=0.03), hypertension (p=0.005), previous chronic kidney disease (p=0.001), heart failure (p=0.006), peripheral vascular disease (p=0.022) and glomerular filtration rate (GFR) at baseline (p<0.001). GFR at baseline was the only factor independently associated to AKI (OR 0.94, p=0.001). In-hospital deaths were registered in 46 (34%) patients. Of them, 45 (98%) patients had developed AKI. AKI was independently associated to mortality through diverse multivariate models. GFR loss (OR 1.054, p<0.001) and GFR at baseline (0.963, p=0.012) also predicted mortality during admission.

CONCLUSIONS

AKI development and its severity (GFR loss and AKIN severity) impacts in in-hospital mortality due to infective endocarditis.

B-type natriuretic peptide levels at admission predict the prognosis of patients with infective endocarditis undergoing cardiac surgery

Purpose: The objective of this study was to explore the relationship between elevated B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels and the prognosis of patients with infective endocarditis (IE) undergoing cardiac surgery. Methods: In total, 162 IE patients with recorded BNP levels upon admission were included in the present study. The primary end point was all-cause mortality. Results: Multivariate Cox analysis revealed a significant association between log BNP and all-cause mortality. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed a poorer prognosis for patients with BNP levels ≥ the 75th percentile. Furthermore, the linear trend test indicated a significant link between BNP quartiles and the primary end point within the models. Conclusion: Elevated BNP levels upon admission could predict all-cause mortality in IE patients undergoing cardiac surgery.

Pre-admission and In-Hospital Statin Use is Associated With Reduced Short-Term Mortality in Infective Endocarditis

OBJECTIVE

To investigate for potential protective effects of statin use among patients with infective endocarditis (IE) with consideration for underlying diseases and bacterial culture - variables which have prognostic implications and show considerable geographic variation yet are unappreciated in previous pharmacoepidemiological studies.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients diagnosed with IE between January 1, 1996, and December 31, 2019, were identified. We estimated the effect on mortality of pre-admission statin use (≥90 cumulative days of use before index date) and in-hospital use (use beginning within 2 days of admission), compared with nonusers and discontinued users, respectively, through propensity score analytics.

RESULTS

Of 6700 IE patients (mean age, 58.0 years; 63.3% male [n=4251]), 776 patients had pre-admission statin use, with 626 continuing statin use following admission (in-hospital users). Pre-admission statin users had a 31% lower risk of 1-year mortality (HR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.58 to 0.82) compared with nonusers. In-hospital users had a 48% lower risk of 1-year mortality (HR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.34 to 0.78) compared with discontinued users. Subgroup analyses showed significant protective effects of statin use for patients with varying causative agents, underlying diseases, and with or without prosthetic valves. Results were consistent across different statins, and were dose-dependent.

CONCLUSION

In patients with IE, pre-admission and in-hospital use of statin, when compared with statin nonusers and discontinued users, respectively, were associated with a lower risk of 1-year mortality.

Infective endocarditis: Do we have an effective risk score model? A systematic review

Background

Infective endocarditis (IE) is a rare, highly morbid condition with 17% in-hospital mortality. A total of 25-30% require surgery and there is ongoing debate with regard to markers predicting patient outcomes and guiding intervention. This systematic review aims to evaluate all IE risk scores currently available.

Methods

Standard methodology (PRISMA guideline) was used. Papers with risk score analysis for IE patients were included, with attention to studies reporting area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC/ROC). Qualitative analysis was carried out, including assessment of validation processes and comparison of these results to original derivation cohorts where available. Risk-of-bias analysis illustrated according to PROBAST guidelines.

Results

Of 75 articles initially identified, 32 papers were analyzed for a total of 20 proposed scores (range 66-13,000 patients), 14 of which were specific for IE. The number of variables per score ranged from 3 to 14 with only 50% including microbiological variables and 15% including biomarkers. The following scores had good performance (AUC > 0.8) in studies proposing the score (often the derivation cohort); however fared poorly when applied to a new cohort: PALSUSE, DeFeo, ANCLA, RISK-E, EndoSCORE, MELD-XI, COSTA, and SHARPEN. DeFeo score demonstrated the largest discrepancy with initial AUC of 0.88, compared to 0.58 when applied to different cohorts. The inflammatory response in IE has been well documented and CRP has been found to be an independent predictor for worse outcomes. There is ongoing investigation on alternate inflammatory biomarkers which may assist in IE management. Of the scores identified in this review, only three have included a biomarker as a predictor.

Conclusion

Despite the variety of available scores, their development has been limited by small sample size, retrospective collection of data and short-term outcomes, with lack of external validation, limiting their transportability. Future population studies and large comprehensive registries are required to address this unmet clinical need.

Epidemiologic and clinical characteristics of infective endocarditis: a single-center retrospective study in the Bronx, New York

OBJECTIVE

There is paucity of data on the epidemiological, microbiological, and clinical characteristics of patients admitted with infective endocarditis (IE) in the Bronx, New York.

PATIENT AND METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study at Jacobi Medical Center, a tertiary care hospital in the Bronx. All adult patients who were hospitalized with a primary diagnosis of new-onset IE between January 1st, 2010 and September 30th, 2020 were included. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. A logistic regression model was used to identify baseline variables associated with in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

182 patients were included in this analysis (female sex: 38.5%, median age: 54 years). 46 patients (25.3%) reported intravenous drug use. 153 patients (84.1%) had positive blood cultures. Staphylococcus aureus (S. aureus) was the most common isolated pathogen (45.1% of monomicrobial IE). Nearly half of the cases secondary to S. aureus were methicillin resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) (34/69). 164 patients (90.1%) were diagnosed with native valve IE. The mitral valve was involved in 32.4% of patients followed by the aortic valve (19.8%). The in-hospital mortality was 18.1%. The mortality was higher in the cohort 2010-2015 compared to the cohort 2016-2020 (22.1% vs 14.6%). Increasing age, MRSA IE, and active malignancy were the only variables found to have significant association with in-hospital death.

CONCLUSION

S. aureus was the most common causative agent and MRSA accounted for about half of the S. aureus IE cases. The incidence of IE in patients with intravenous drug use increased over time, while the median age decreased. The in-hospital death rate was higher in 2010-2015 compared to 2016-2020.

Dissecting the correlates of N-terminal prohormone brain natriuretic peptide in acute infective endocarditis

Purpose

To explore the prognostic value and the correlates of NT-proBNP in patients with acute infective endocarditis, a life-threatening disease, with an often unpredictable outcome given by the lack of reliable prognostic parameters.

Methods

We retrospectively studied 337 patients admitted to our centre between January 1, 2006 and September 30, 2020 with available NT-proBNP level at admission. Our analyses were performed considering NT-proBNP as both a categorical variable, using the median value as the cut-off level, and numerical variable. Study end points were in-hospital mortality, cardiac surgery and 1 year survival.

Results

NT-proBNP was an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality (OR 14.9 [95%C.I. 2.46–90.9]; P = .003). Levels below 2926 pg/mL were highly predictive of a favorable in-hospital outcome (negative predictive value 96.6%). Patients with higher NT-proBNP levels showed a significantly lower survival rate at 1 year follow-up (log-rank P = .005). NT-proBNP was strongly associated with chronic kidney disease (P < .001) and significantly higher in patients with prior chronic heart failure (P = .001). NT-proBNP was tightly related to staphylococcal IE (P = .001) as well as with higher CRP and hs-troponin I (P = 0.023, P < .001, respectively).

Conclusion

Our results confirm the remarkable prognostic role of NT-proBNP in patients with IE and provide novel evidences of its multifaceted correlates in this unique clinical setting. Our data strongly support the incorporation of NT-proBNP into the current diagnostic work-up of IE.

Preoperative serum albumin: a promising indicator of early mortality after surgery for infective endocarditis

Background

Despite novel improvements in the diagnosis and treatment of infective endocarditis (IE), there has been no significant improvement in the survival rate of IE, which indicates that many details still need to be optimized in the preoperative assessment. We sought to evaluate preoperative serum albumin as a biomarker for predicting early mortality after IE surgery.

Methods

Between October 2013 and June 2019, patients with a definite diagnosis of IE were enrolled in this study. Patients’ albumin levels at admission were used as the preoperative albumin levels. Restricted cubic spline and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to evaluate the relationship between albumin and early mortality. Receiver operating characteristic curve analyses were performed to assess the role of albumin in predicting early mortality and compare the predictive capacity of traditional models with models that included albumin.

Results

Of the 276 IE patients, 20 (7.2%) died in hospital or within 30 days of surgery. Hypoalbuminemia (an albumin level <3.5 g/dL) was present in 109 (39.5%) patients. The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that preoperative albumin was inversely associated with early mortality [adjusted odds ratio (OR) =0.22 per 1 g/dL, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.07–0.65, P=0.006] after full adjustment. Preoperative albumin had value in predicting early mortality [area under the curve (AUC) =0.72, 95% CI: 0.61–0.84; P<0.01]. After adding albumin to the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) and Charlson score, the predictive ability of the model was further improved (EuroSCORE II: AUC =0.55; 95% CI: 0.42–0.67 to AUC =0.72; 95% CI: 0.61–0.84; Charlson score: AUC =0.73; 95% CI: 0.64–0.83 to AUC =0.78; 95% CI: 0.68–0.88).

Conclusions

Preoperative serum albumin is inversely associated with early mortality after IE surgery, and is a promising prognostic indicator in preoperative risk stratification assessments of IE patients.

C-Reactive Protein at Hospital Discharge and 1-Year Mortality in Acute Infective Endocarditis: A Prospective Observational Study

Background: An accurate biomarker at hospital discharge is needed to identify patients with acute infective endocarditis (IE) who are at high risk of mortality. This prospective observational study evaluated the prognostic value of C-reactive protein (CRP).

Methods: Patients with acute IE (n = 343) and hospitalized at 2 university-affiliated medical centers from January 2014 to December 2019 were enrolled. Patients were categorized as having low or high CRP (n = 217 and 126, respectively) at hospital discharge according to the optimal cutoff (CRP = 6.5 mg/L) determined via receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis. The primary endpoint was all-cause death, from hospital discharge to 1 year. The secondary endpoint was the cumulative rate of rehospitalization or paravalvular abscess at 1 year.

Results: At the 12-month follow-up, the mortality rate of the high-CRP group (21.43%) was significantly higher than that of the low-CRP group (2.76%, log-rank P < 0.0001). The multivariate regression analysis indicated that the high-CRP group had a higher excess mortality hazard risk (HR = 4.182; 95% CI: 2.120, 5.211; P < 0.001). The cumulative 1-year incidence of paravalvular abscess of the high-CRP group (11.90%) was significantly higher than that of the low-CRP (5.07%; P = 0.022). The cumulative rate of heart rehospitalizations of the 2 groups were similar (18.25% cf. 14.29%, P = 0.273).

Conclusion: For hospitalized patients with acute IE, a high CRP at discharge suggests a poor prognosis for 1-year mortality and paravalvular abscess.

Comparison of outcome between blood culture positive and negative infective endocarditis patients undergoing cardiac surgery

Background

Up to 30% or even more of all infective endocarditis (IE) cases are recognized as blood culture negative, meaning that the causative agent is left unidentified. The prompt diagnosis together with the identification of causative microorganism and targeted antibiotic treatment can significantly impact the prognosis of the disease and further patient’s health status. In some studies, blood culture negative endocarditis has been shown to be associated with delayed diagnosis, worse outcome and course of the disease, and a greater number of intra and postoperative complications.

Methods

We retrospectively analysed the medical records of all patients who underwent cardiac surgery for endocarditis between years 2016 and 2019. The aim of this study was to analyse short and long-term mortality and differences of laboratory, clinical and echocardiography parameters in patients with blood culture positive endocarditis (BCPE) and blood culture negative endocarditis (BCNE) and its possible impact on the clinical outcome.

Results

In our study population were 114 (55.1%) blood culture positive and 93 (44.9%) blood culture negative cases of infectious endocarditis. The most common pathogens in the blood culture positive IE group were S.aureus in 36 cases (31.6%), Streptococcus spp. in 27 (23.7%), E.faecalis in 24 (21.1%), and other microorganisms in 27 (23.7%). Embolic events were seen in 60 patients (28.9%). In univariate analyses, detection of microorganism, elevated levels of procalcitonin were found to be significantly associated with intrahospital death, however it did not reach statistical significance in multivariate analyses. Among microorganisms, S.aureus was significantly associated with intrahospital death in both univariate and multivariate analyses.

Conclusions

There are no statistically significant differences between groups of BCPE and BCNE in terms of intrahospital mortality, hospital and ICU stay or 3-year mortality.

There were higher levels of procalcitonin in BCPE group, however procalcitonin failed to show independent association with mortality in multivariate analysis.

The most common microorganism in the BCPE group was S.aureus. It was associated with independently higher intrahospital mortality when compared to other causative microorganisms.

Diagnosis, Investigation and Management of Patients with Acute and Chronic Myocardial Injury

The application of high-sensitivity cardiac troponins in clinical practice has led to an increase in the recognition of elevated concentrations in patients without myocardial ischaemia. The Fourth Universal Definition of Myocardial Infarction encourages clinicians to classify such patients as having an acute or chronic myocardial injury based on the presence or absence of a rise or a fall in cardiac troponin concentrations. Both conditions may be caused by a variety of cardiac and non-cardiac conditions, and evidence suggests that clinical outcomes are worse than patients with myocardial infarction due to atherosclerotic plaque rupture, with as few as one-third of patients alive at 5 years. Major adverse cardiovascular events are comparable between populations, and up to three-fold higher than healthy individuals. Despite this, no evidence-based strategies exist to guide clinicians in the investigation of non-ischaemic myocardial injury. This review explores the aetiology of myocardial injury and proposes a simple framework to guide clinicians in early assessment to identify those who may benefit from further investigation and treatment for those with cardiovascular disease.

Perioperative management after elective cardiac surgery: the predictive value of procalcitonin for infective and noninfective complications

Objective: Procalcitonin (PCT) has been associated with adverse outcomes after cardiac surgery. Nevertheless, there is no consensus on thresholds and timing of PCT measurement to predict adverse outcomes. Materials & methods: A total of 960 patients undergoing elective cardiac surgery were retrospectively evaluated. PCT levels were measured from the first to the seventh postoperative day (POD). The onset of complications was recorded. Results: Complications occurred in 421 (44%) patients. PCT on the third POD was associated with the occurrence of any kind of complications (odds ratio: 1.06; p: 0.037), and noninfectious complications (odds ratio: 1.05; p: 0.035), after adjusting. PCT above the median value at the third POD (>0.33 μg/l) predicted postoperative complications (incidence rate ratio: 1.13; p = 0.035). Conclusion: PCT seems to predict postoperative complications in cardiac surgery. The determination at the third POD yields the greatest sensitivity and specificity.

Association of cardiac biomarkers and comorbidities with increased mortality, severity, and cardiac injury in COVID-19 patients: A meta-regression and decision tree analysis

BACKGROUND

Coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) has a deleterious effect on several systems, including the cardiovascular system. We aim to systematically explore the association of COVID-19 severity and mortality rate with the history of cardiovascular diseases and/or other comorbidities and cardiac injury laboratory markers.

METHODS

The standardized mean difference (SMD) or odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were applied to estimate pooled results from the 56 studies. The prognostic performance of cardiac markers for predicting adverse outcomes and to select the best cutoff threshold was estimated by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Decision tree analysis by combining cardiac markers with demographic and clinical features was applied to predict mortality and severity in patients with COVID-19.

RESULTS

A meta-analysis of 17 794 patients showed patients with high cardiac troponin I (OR = 5.22, 95% CI = 3.73-7.31, P < .001) and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) levels (OR = 3.64, 95% CI = 2.84-4.66, P < .001) were more likely to develop adverse outcomes. High troponin I more than 13.75 ng/L combined with either advanced age more than 60 years or elevated AST level more than 27.72 U/L was the best model to predict poor outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

COVID-19 severity and mortality are complicated by myocardial injury. Assessment of cardiac injury biomarkers may improve the identification of those patients at the highest risk and potentially lead to improved therapeutic approaches.