Cognitive impairment is independently associated with mortality, extended hospital stays and early readmission of older people with emergency hospital admissions: A retrospective cohort study

Development and validation of a predictive model for prolonged length of stay in elderly type 2 diabetes mellitus patients combined with cerebral infarction

Background

This study aimed to identify the predictive factors for prolonged length of stay (LOS) in elderly type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients suffering from cerebral infarction (CI) and construct a predictive model to effectively utilize hospital resources.

Methods

Clinical data were retrospectively collected from T2DM patients suffering from CI aged ≥65 years who were admitted to five tertiary hospitals in Southwest China. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression model and multivariable logistic regression analysis were conducted to identify the independent predictors of prolonged LOS. A nomogram was constructed to visualize the model. The discrimination, calibration, and clinical practicality of the model were evaluated according to the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), calibration curve, decision curve analysis (DCA), and clinical impact curve (CIC).

Results

A total of 13,361 patients were included, comprising 6,023, 2,582, and 4,756 patients in the training, internal validation, and external validation sets, respectively. The results revealed that the ACCI score, OP, PI, analgesics use, antibiotics use, psychotropic drug use, insurance type, and ALB were independent predictors for prolonged LOS. The eight-predictor LASSO logistic regression displayed high prediction ability, with an AUROC of 0.725 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.710-0.739), a sensitivity of 0.662 (95% CI: 0.639-0.686), and a specificity of 0.675 (95% CI: 0.661-0.689). The calibration curve (bootstraps = 1,000) showed good calibration. In addition, the DCA and CIC also indicated good clinical practicality. An operation interface on a web page (https://xxmyyz.shinyapps.io/prolonged_los1/) was also established to facilitate clinical use.

Conclusion

The developed model can predict the risk of prolonged LOS in elderly T2DM patients diagnosed with CI, enabling clinicians to optimize bed management.

Association between cognitive impairment and cardiovascular mortality in mature and older adults: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Cognitive impairment contributes significantly to negative health outcomes. This meta-analysis aimed to investigate the association between cognitive impairment and cardiovascular mortality in mature and older adults.

METHODS

PubMed, Web of Science, and Embase databases were searched until February 10, 2024, to identify the association between cognitive impairment and cardiovascular mortality in mature and older adults (aged 50 years and older) from the general population. The adjusted risk estimates from the included studies were extracted and pooled using a random effects model.

RESULTS

Ten studies were included in the meta-analysis, involving 16,765 participants. The pooled hazard ratio (HR) of cardiovascular mortality was 1.75 (95 % confidence interval [CI] 1.44-2.14; I2 = 48.2 %) for individuals with cognitive impairment compared to those without, even after adjusting for common confounding factors. Subgroup analysis revealed that the prognostic value of cognitive impairment may be influenced by the assessment tools used for measuring cognition. Additionally, cognitive impairment significantly predicted cardiovascular mortality in women (HR 2.40; 95 % CI 1.54-3.74; I2 = 45.4 %) but not in men (HR 1.49; 95 % CI 0.99-2.24; I2 = 44.8 %).

CONCLUSIONS

Cognitive impairment is a significant predictor of cardiovascular mortality in mature and older adults from the general population. However, future studies are needed to evaluate the specific impact of cognitive impairment on different genders.

The mediating roles of depressive symptoms and social participation in the relationship between the effects of pain and cognitive function among Chinese older adults: A longitudinal study

Decline in cognitive function poses a substantial burden on individuals, families, and society. However, the longitudinal potential mechanism underlying the link of pain and cognitive function remains unclear. Using data of 4247 participants aged 60 years and over from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study in 2011, 2013, 2018, and 2020, we discussed the longitudinal predictive effect of pain on cognitive function and the mediating effects of depressive symptoms and social participation. The longitudinal mediation model analysis revealed that pain could not directly influence cognitive function, but it could indirectly predict cognitive function through the independent mediation effects of depressive symptoms and social participation. Moreover, the association between pain and cognitive function was serially mediated by depressive symptoms and social participation. Diversified interventions aimed at relieving pain and depressive symptoms, and increasing social participation in older adults would be beneficial for their cognitive function.

A Scoping Review on Nurse's Pain Management of Older Patients with Dementia in a Hospital Environment

OBJECTIVES

Hospitalized persons living with dementia often experience unrelieved pain. Unmanaged pain during hospitalization has a significant negative effect on quality of life for persons living with dementia. Despite the central role of nurses in pain management, little is known about how nurses manage pain in this patient population in the hospital environment.

DESIGN

A scoping review explored the nurses' pain management practices when caring for persons living with dementia in a hospital setting.

DATA SOURCES AND REVIEW/ANALYSIS METHODS

After an extensive search for all available evidence on how nurses manage pain in hospitalized persons living with dementia, data were extracted on pain management methods that included assessment, intervention, effectiveness of pain management, and the barriers nurses encountered when managing pain. A descriptive content analysis was used to extract data from qualitative studies.

RESULTS

Six articles published between 2016 and 2021 met the inclusion criteria; four utilized qualitative methods, and the others used mixed-methods and quantitative study designs. A narrative description of the findings was summarized after data were categorized into pain management data elements and barriers nurses encountered when managing pain. Barriers were grouped into the subcategories of communication challenges (nurse to patient), information sharing (nurse to nurse), lack of knowledge, time constraints, and nursing stressors.

CONCLUSION

We identified six articles that met our inclusion criteria, highlighting a noticeable gap in the literature. Managing pain in this population is complex and lacks organizational support. Review findings indicate that pain management methods lack consistency and standardization, making it difficult to assess their effectiveness. Nurses also described knowledge deficits resulting in practice gaps that, when combined with barriers and challenges, result in underrecognized and undermanaged pain.

Associations Between Postdischarge Care and Cognitive Impairment-Related Hospital Readmissions for Ketoacidosis and Severe Hypoglycemia in Adults With Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

Patients with severe hypoglycemia (SH) or diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA) experience high hospital readmission after being discharged. Cognitive impairment (CI) may further increase the risk, especially in those experiencing an interruption of medical care after discharge. This study examined the effect modification role of postdischarge care (PDC) on CI-associated readmission risk among U.S. adults with diabetes initially admitted for DKA or SH.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We used the Nationwide Readmissions Database (NRD) (2016-2018) to identify individuals hospitalized with a diagnosis of DKA or SH. Multivariate Cox regression was used to compare the all-cause readmission risk at 30 days between those with and without CI identified during the initial hospitalization. We assessed the CI-associated readmission risk in the patients with and without PDC, an effect modifier with the CI status.

RESULTS

We identified 23,775 SH patients (53.3% women, mean age 65.9 ± 15.3 years) and 140,490 DKA patients (45.8% women, mean age 40.3 ± 15.4 years), and 2,675 (11.2%) and 1,261 (0.9%), respectively, had a CI diagnosis during their index hospitalization. For SH and DKA patients discharged without PDC, CI was associated with a higher readmission risk of 23% (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.23, 95% confidence interval 1.08-1.40) and 35% (aHR 1.35, 95% confidence interval 1.08-1.70), respectively. However, when patients were discharged with PDC, we found PDC was an effect modifier to mitigate CI-associated readmission risk for both SH and DKA patients (P < 0.05 for all).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that PDC can potentially mitigate the excessive readmission risk associated with CI, emphasizing the importance of postdischarge continuity of care for medically complex patients with comorbid diabetes and CI.

Association of functional and cognitive impairment severity with discharge to long-term care facilities in older patients admitted to a general acute care hospital from home

BACKGROUND

The early recognition of hospitalized patients at risk of being discharged to long-term care facilities (LTCFs) may help to identify those who require transitional care programs and interventions that support discharge to home. We examined the association of functional and cognitive impairment severity with discharge to LTCFs among older hospitalized patients.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, we used an administrative claims database linked with geriatric assessment data from a general acute care hospital in Japan. We analyzed patients aged ≥65 years discharged between July 2016 and December 2018. The severity of functional and cognitive impairments was assessed using the Dementia Assessment Sheet for Community-based Integrated Care System 8-items (DASC-8) scale. Based on their DASC-8 scores, patients were designated as Category I (no impairment), Category Ⅱ (mild impairment), or Category III (moderate/severe impairment). We conducted logistic regression analyses to examine the association between the severity of impairments and discharge to LTCFs after adjusting for patient-level factors.

RESULTS

We analyzed 9,060 patients (mean age: 79.4 years). Among the 112 patients (1.2%) discharged to LTCFs, 62.3%, 18.6%, and 19.2% fell under Category I, Category Ⅱ, and Category III, respectively. Category II was not significantly associated with discharge to LTCFs. However, Category III had a significantly higher odds of discharge to LTCFs than Category I (Adjusted odds ratio: 2.812, 95% confidence interval: 1.452-5.449).

CONCLUSION

Patients identified as Category III by the DASC-8 on admission may benefit from enhanced transitional care and interventions that promote discharge to home.

Assessing cognitive decline in the aging brain: lessons from rodent and human studies

As life expectancy continues to increase worldwide, age-related dysfunction will largely impact our societies in the future. Aging is well established to promote the deterioration of cognitive function and is the primary risk factor for the development of prevalent neurological disorders. Even in the absence of dementia, age-related cognitive decline impacts specific types of memories and brain structures in humans and animal models. Despite this, preclinical and clinical studies that investigate age-related changes in brain physiology often use largely different methods, which hinders the translational potential of findings. This review seeks to integrate what is known about age-related changes in the brain with analogue cognitive tests used in humans and rodent studies, ranging from "pen and paper" tests to virtual-reality-based paradigms. Finally, we draw parallels between the behavior paradigms used in research compared to the enrollment into clinical trials that aim to study age-related cognitive decline.

Risk-Sensitive Assessment of Decision-Making Capacity: A Comprehensive Defense

Should the assessment of decision-making capacity (DMC) be risk sensitive, that is, should the threshold for DMC vary with risk? The debate over this question is now nearly five decades old. To many, the idea that DMC assessments should be risk sensitive is intuitive and commonsense. To others, the idea is paternalistic or incoherent, or both; they argue that the riskiness of a given decision should increase the epistemic scrutiny in the evaluation of DMC, not increase the threshold for DMC. We respond to the critics' main concerns by providing a comprehensive account of how risk-sensitive DMC is coherent, avoids paternalism, and best fulfills the epistemic goal of DMC evaluations.

Association between the mental domain of the comprehensive geriatric assessment and prolonged length of stay in hospitalized older adults with mild to moderate frailty

Introduction

Previous researches have shown the risk factors of prolonged length of stay (PLOS) in hospitalized older adults, but it is unclear what are the risk factors of PLOS in hospitalized older adults with mild to moderate frailty.

Objective

To identify the risk factors of PLOS in hospitalized older adults with mild to moderate frailty.

Methods

We recruited adults aged ≥65 years old with mild to moderate frailty admitted to a tertiary medical center in the southern Taiwan from June 2018 to September 2018. Each individual underwent a structural questionnaire interview within 72 h after admission and 72 h after discharge. The data were collected face-to-face, including demographic characteristics, comorbidities, length of stay (LOS), and multiple domains of the comprehensive geriatric assessment. The main outcome was PLOS.

Results

Individuals who had two or more drugs, were female, did not have cognitive impairment and had a Geriatric Depression Scale score ≥ 1 had a higher risk of PLOS (probability = 0.81), and these individuals accounted for 29% of the overall study population. Among male individuals younger than 87 years old, those with cognitive impairment had a higher risk of PLOS (probability = 0.76), and among male individuals without cognitive impairment, living alone was associated with a higher risk of PLOS (probability = 0.88).

Conclusion

Early detection and management of mood and cognition in older adults, together with comprehensive discharge planning and transition care, may be an important part of reducing LOS in hospitalized older adults with mild to moderate frailty.

The effect of all-cause hospitalization on cognitive decline in older adults: a longitudinal study using databases of the National Health Insurance Service and the memory clinics of a self-run hospital

BACKGROUND

Cognitive decline is common in older adults and imposes a burden on public health. Especially for older adults, hospitalization can be related to decreased physical fitness. This study aimed to investigate the quantitative association between hospitalization and cognitive decline.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study. We performed a longitudinal study by using the combined database from the Korean National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) and memory clinic data of its self-run hospital. We identified whether hospitalized, the number of hospitalizations, and the total hospitalization days through the claim information from the NHIS database. We also identified whether hospitalization was accompanied by delirium or surgery with general anesthesia for subgroup analysis. Primary outcome was the clinical dementia rating-sum of boxes (CDR-SB) score. Secondary outcomes were mini-mental state examination (MMSE) score, clinical dementia rating (CDR) grade, and Korean-instrumental activities of daily living (KIADL) score. Multivariable mixed models were established.

RESULTS

Of the 1810 participants, 1200 experienced hospitalization at least once during the observation period. The increase in CDR-SB was significantly greater in the hospitalized group (β = 1.5083, P < .001). The same results were seen in the total number of hospitalizations (β = 0.0208, P < .001) or the total hospitalization days (β = 0.0022, P < .001) increased. In the group that experienced hospitalization, cognitive decline was also significant in terms of CDR grade (β = 0.1773, P < .001), MMSE score (β = - 1.2327, P < .001), and KIADL score (β = 0.2983, P < .001). Although delirium (β = 0.2983, P < .001) and nonsurgical hospitalization (β = 0.2983, P < .001) were associated with faster cognitive decline, hospitalization without delirium and with surgery were also related to faster cognitive decline than in the no hospitalization group.

CONCLUSION

Cognitive decline was quantitatively related to all-cause hospitalization in older adults. Moreover, hospitalizations without delirium and surgery were also related to cognitive decline. It is vital to prevent various conditions that need hospitalization to avoid and manage cognitive dysfunction.

Retrospective study of more than 5 million emergency admissions to hospitals in England: Epidemiology and outcomes for people with dementia

INTRODUCTION

People living with dementia (PwD) admitted in emergency to an acute hospital may be at higher risk of inappropriate care and poorer outcomes including longer hospitalisations and higher risk of emergency re-admission or death. Since 2009 numerous national and local initiatives in England have sought to improve hospital care for PwD. We compared outcomes of emergency admissions for cohorts of patients aged 65+ with and without dementia at three points in time.

METHODS

We analysed emergency admissions (EAs) from the Hospital Episodes Statistics datasets for England 2010/11, 2012/13 and 2016/17. Dementia upon admission was based on a diagnosis in the patient's hospital records within the last five years. Outcomes were length of hospital stays (LoS), long stays (> = 15 days), emergency re-admissions (ERAs) and death in hospital or within 30 days post-discharge. A wide range of covariates were taken into account, including patient demographics, pre-existing health and reasons for admission. Hierarchical multivariable regression analysis, applied separately for males and females, estimated group differences adjusted for covariates.

RESULTS

We included 178 acute hospitals and 5,580,106 EAs, of which 356,992 (13.9%) were male PwD and 561,349 (18.6%) female PwD. Uncontrolled differences in outcomes between the patient groups were substantial but were considerably reduced after control for covariates. Covariate-adjusted differences in LoS were similar at all time-points and in 2016/17 were 17% (95%CI 15%-18%) and 12% (10%-14%) longer for male and female PwD respectively compared to patients without dementia. Adjusted excess risk of an ERA for PwD reduced over time to 17% (15%-18%) for males and 17% (16%-19%) for females, but principally due to increased ERA rates amongst patients without dementia. Adjusted overall mortality was 30% to 40% higher for PwD of both sexes throughout the time-period; however, adjusted in-hospital rates of mortality differed only slightly between the patient groups, whereas PwD had around double the risk of dying within 30 days of being discharged.

CONCLUSION

Over the six-year period, covariate-adjusted hospital LoS, ERA rates and in-hospital mortality rates for PwD were only slightly elevated compared to similar patients without dementia and remaining differences potentially reflect uncontrolled confounding. PwD however, were around twice as likely to die shortly after discharge, the reasons for which require further investigation. Despite being widely used for service evaluation, LoS, ERA and mortality may lack sensitivity to changes in hospital care and support to PwD.

Handgrip strength rather than chair stand test should be used to diagnose sarcopenia in geriatric rehabilitation inpatients: REStORing health of acutely unwell adulTs (RESORT)

BACKGROUND

according to the revised sarcopenia definition proposed by the European Working Group on Sarcopenia in Older People (EWGSOP2) and revised definition of the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia (AWGS2019), handgrip strength (HGS) and chair stand test (CST) can be used interchangeably as initial diagnostic measures.

OBJECTIVE

to assess the agreement between sarcopenia prevalence, using either HGS or CST, and their association with adverse outcomes in geriatric rehabilitation inpatients.

METHODS

REStORing health of acutely unwell adulTs is an observational, longitudinal cohort of geriatric rehabilitation inpatients. Cohen's kappa (κ) was used to assess the agreement between sarcopenia prevalence (no, probable and confirmed and severe sarcopenia) according to EWGSOP2 and AWGS2019 using either HGS or CST. Associations between HGS and CST and readmission, institutionalisation and mortality were assessed by binomial regression.

RESULTS

patients (n = 1,250, 57% females) had a median age of 83.1 years (interquartile range: [77.5-88.3]). There was no agreement between probable sarcopenia prevalence using HGS or CST for EWGSOP2 and AWGS2019, respectively (HGS: 70.9% and 76.2%; CST: 95.5% and 98.4%; κ = 0.08 and 0.02). Agreement between confirmed and severe sarcopenia prevalence using either HGS or CST was strong to almost perfect. HGS was associated with 3-month institutionalisation and 3-month and 1-year mortality, whereas CST was not associated.

CONCLUSIONS

HGS and CST cannot be used interchangeably as diagnostic measures for probable sarcopenia in geriatric rehabilitation inpatients. CST is not useful to predict adverse outcomes in geriatric rehabilitation inpatients.

The contribution of functional cognition screening during acute illness hospitalization of older adults in predicting participation in daily life after discharge

Background

Cognitive assessment in acutely hospitalized older adults is mainly limited to neuropsychological screening measures of global cognition. Performance-based assessments of functional cognition better indicate functioning in real-life situations. However, their predictive validity has been less studied in acute hospital settings. The aim of this study was to explore the unique contribution of functional cognition screening during acute illness hospitalization in predicting participation of older adults one and three months after discharge beyond traditional neuropsychological measures.

Methods

This prospective longitudinal study included 84 older adults ≥ 65 years hospitalized in internal medicine wards due to acute illness, followed by home visits at one month and telephone interviews at three months (n = 77). Participation in instrumental activities of daily living, social and leisure activities was measured by the Activity Card Sort. In-hospital factors included cognitive status (telephone version of the Mini-Mental State Examination, Color Trails Test), functional cognition screening (medication sorting task from the alternative Executive Function Performance Test), emotional status (Hospital Anxiety and Depression scale), functional decline during hospitalization (modified Barthel index), length of hospital stay, the severity of the acute illness, symptoms severity and comorbidities.

Results

Functional cognition outperformed the neuropsychological measures in predicting participation declines in a sample of relatively high-functioning older adults. According to a hierarchical multiple linear regression analysis, the overall model explained 28.4% of the variance in participation after one month and 19.5% after three months. Age and gender explained 18.6% of the variance after one month and 13.5% after three months. The medication sorting task explained an additional 5.5% of the variance of participation after one month and 5.1% after three months, beyond age and gender. Length of stay and the Color Trails Test were not significant contributors to the change in participation.

Conclusions

By incorporating functional cognition into acute settings, healthcare professionals would be able to better detect older adults with mild executive dysfunctions who are at risk for participation declines. Early identification of executive dysfunctions can improve continuity of care and planning of tailored post-discharge rehabilitation services, especially for high-functioning older adults, a mostly overlooked population in acute settings. The results support the use of functional cognition screening measure of medication management ability in acute settings.

Mild Cognitive Impairment Is Associated with Poorer Nutritional Status on Hospital Admission and after Discharge in Acutely Hospitalized Older Patients

In acutely hospitalized older patients (≥65 years), the association between mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and malnutrition is poorly described. We hypothesized that (1) MCI is associated with nutritional status on admission and after discharge; (2) MCI is associated with a change in nutritional status; and (3) a potential association is partly explained by frailty, comorbidity, medication use, and age. We combined data from a randomized controlled trial (control group data) and a prospective cohort study (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01964482 and NCT03052192). Nutritional status was assessed on admission and follow-up using the Mini Nutritional Assessment—Short Form. MCI or intact cognition (noMCI) was classified by three cognitive performance tests at follow-up. Data on frailty, comorbidity, medication use, and age were drawn from patient journals. MCI (n = 42) compared to noMCI (n = 47) was associated with poorer nutritional status with an average difference of −1.29 points (CI: −2.30; −0.28) on admission and −1.64 points (CI: −2.57; −0.70) at 4-week follow-up. Only age influenced the estimates of −0.85 (CI: −1.86; 0.17) and −1.29 (CI: −2.25; −0.34), respectively. In acutely hospitalized older patients, there is an association between MCI and poorer nutritional status upon admission and four weeks after discharge. The association is partly explained by higher age.

New horizons for caring for people with dementia in hospital: the DEMENTIA CARE pointers for service change

Approximately two-thirds of hospital admissions are older adults and almost half of these are likely to have some form of dementia. People with dementia are not only at an increased risk of adverse outcomes once admitted, but the unfamiliar environment and routinised practices of the wards and acute care can be particularly challenging for them, heightening their confusion, agitation and distress further impacting the ability to optimise their care. It is well established that a person-centred care approach helps alleviate some of the unfamiliar stress but how to embed this in the acute-care setting remains a challenge. In this article, we highlight the challenges that have been recognised in this area and put forward a set of evidence-based 'pointers for service change' to help organisations in the delivery of person-centred care. The DEMENTIA CARE pointers cover areas of: dementia awareness and understanding, education and training, modelling of person-centred care by clinical leaders, adapting the environment, teamwork (not being alone), taking the time to 'get to know', information sharing, access to necessary resources, communication, involving family (ask family), raising the profile of dementia care, and engaging volunteers. The pointers extend previous guidance, by recognising the importance of ward cultures that prioritise dementia care and institutional support that actively seeks to raise the profile of dementia care. The pointers provide a range of simple to more complex actions or areas for hospitals to help implement person-centred care approaches; however, embedding them within the organisational cultures of hospitals is the next challenge.

The association between cognitive impairment and 30-day mortality among older Chinese inpatients

Purpose

Although the association between cognitive impairment and mortality has been widely described among community-dwelling older adults, this association in hospitalized patients was limited.

Objectives

This study's purpose was to explore the association between cognitive impairment and 30-day mortality after adjustment of factors among Chinese in-patients.

Methods

This was a large-scale prospective study based on a cohort of patients aged 65 years and older, whose cognitive function was assessed using the Mini-Cog instrument, followed up at 30-days for mortality. Multivariate logistic regression models were used to assess the association between cognitive impairment and 30-day mortality.

Results

There were 9,194 inpatients in our study, with an average age of 72.41 ± 5.72. The prevalence of cognitive impairment using the Mini-Cog instrument was 20.5%. Multivariable analyses showed that patients with cognitive impairment have an increased risk of 30-day mortality, compared to those with normal cognitive function (OR = 2.83,95%CI:1.89–4.24) in an unadjusted model. In the fully adjusted model, Patients with cognitive impairment had an increased risk of 30-day mortality compared to those with normal cognitive function in the completely adjusted model (OR = 1.76,95% CI: 1.14–2.73). Additionally, this association still existed and was robust after performing a stratified analysis of age, gender, frailty and depression, with no significant interaction (P > 0.05).

Conclusions

Our study found that older Chinese in-patients with cognitive impairment have a 1.76-fold risk of 30-day mortality compared to patients with normal cognitive function, suggesting that clinicians and nurses need to early implement cognitive function screening and corresponding interventions to improve clinical outcomes for older in-patients.

Junior medical doctors' decision making when using advance care directives to guide treatment for people with dementia: a cross-sectional vignette study

Background

Junior medical doctors have a key role in discussions and decisions about treatment and end-of-life care for people with dementia in hospital. Little is known about junior doctors’ decision-making processes when treating people with dementia who have advance care directives (ACDs), or the factors that influence their decisions. To describe among junior doctors in relation to two hypothetical vignettes involving patients with dementia: (1) their legal compliance and decision-making process related to treatment decisions; (2) the factors influencing their clinical decision-making; and (3) the factors associated with accurate responses to one hypothetical vignette.

Method

A cross-sectional survey of junior doctors, including trainees, interns, registrars and residents, on clinical rotation in five public hospitals located in one Australian state. The anonymous, investigator-developed survey was conducted between August 2018 and June 2019. Two hypothetical vignettes describing patients with dementia presenting to hospital with an ACD and either: (1) bacterial pneumonia; or (2) suspected stroke were presented in the survey. Participants were asked to indicate whether they would commence treatment, given the ACD instructions described in each vignette.

Results

Overall, 116 junior doctors responded (35% consent rate). In Vignette 1, 58% of respondents (n = 67/116) selected the legally compliant option (i.e. not commence treatment). Participants who chose the legally compliant option perceived ‘following patient wishes’ (n = 32/67; 48%) and ‘legal requirements to follow ACDs’ (n = 32/67; 48%) as equally important reasons for complying with the ACD. The most common reason for not selecting the legally compliant option in Vignette 1 was the ‘ACD is relevant in my decision-making process, but other factors are more relevant’ (n = 14/37; 38%). In Vignette 2, 72% of respondents (n = 83/116) indicated they would commence treatment (i.e. not follow the ACD) and 18% (n = 21/116) selected they would not commence treatment. (i.e. follow the ACD). Similar reasons influenced participant decision-making in Vignette 2, a less legally certain scenario.

Conclusions

There are critical gaps in junior doctors’ compliance with the law as it relates to the implementation of ACDs. Despite there being differences in relation to the legal answer and its certainty, clinical and ethical factors guided decision-making over and above the law in both vignettes. More education and training to guide junior doctors’ clinical decision-making and ensure compliance with the law is required.

Association between Cognitive Frailty and Adverse Outcomes among Older Adults: A Meta-Analysis

OBJECTIVES

This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to pool the effect size of the association between cognitive frailty and adverse outcomes (e.g., falls, disability, and hospitalization) among older adults.

DESIGN

Systematic review and meta-analysis.

METHODS

PubMed, ScienceDirect, and Embase were searched from their respective inceptions to June 1, 2022. We extracted prospective cohort studies that reported the association between cognitive frailty and adverse outcomes. Random or fixed-effects models based on heterogeneity were used to pool the effect sizes of independent associations of cognitive frailty, frailty only, and cognitive impairment only with each adverse outcome.

RESULTS

Fifteen studies involving 49,122 older adults were included in the meta-analysis. Older adults with cognitive frailty had higher odds ratios (OR) for falls (1.82, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.29-2.58), disability (3.17, 95%CI: 2.24-4.48), and hospitalization (1.78, 95%CI: 1.48-2.14) compared with those without frailty and cognitive impairment. Older adults with frailty only demonstrated a high risk for falls (pooled OR 1.76, 95%CI: 1.25-2.48), disability (pooled OR 1.82, 95%CI: 1.43-2.33), and hospitalization (pooled OR 1.64, 95% CI: 1.45-1.85). The influence of cognitive impairment only on adverse outcomes was lower compared with cognitive frailty or frailty. Subgroup analyses showed that those with cognitive frailty (defined by the frailty phenotype plus Mini-Mental State Examination) were at greater risk for developing adverse outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Our findings indicate that cognitive frailty is an independent risk factor for adverse outcomes (e.g., falls, disability, and hospitalization). Early screening and comprehensive intervention may improve cognitive frailty and reduce the risk for adverse outcomes among older adults.

Reducing ambulance conveyance for older people with and without dementia: evidence of the role of social care from a regional, year-long service evaluation using retrospective routine data

Introduction

Older people, especially those with dementia, have a high risk of deterioration following admission to hospital. More than 60% of older people attended by South Central Ambulance Service (SCAS) clinicians are conveyed to hospital, although many conveyances may not have been due to life-threatening conditions. We aimed to understand patterns of conveyance and alternative referral pathways used following ambulance attendance to an older person.

Methods

Service evaluation, using routinely collected, anonymised electronic records.

Participants

Electronic records of people aged ≥75 years for whom an ambulance was dispatched between April 2016 and March 2017 within the geographical boundaries of SCAS NHS Foundation Trust, who were alive on arrival of the ambulance. Conveyance rates are described according to patient and emergency-call characteristics. Logistic regression was used to produce adjusted odds ratios for conveyance. Alternative referral pathways used are described.

Results

Of 110,781 patients attended, 64% were conveyed to hospital. Factors associated with reduced odds of conveyance included out-of-hours calls (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 0.82 [0.79-0.85]), living alone with a care package or with family plus care package (aOR 0.66 [0.62-0.69]; aOR 0.58 [0.54-0.62] respectively) and a record of dementia (0.91 [0.87-0.96]). Living in a nursing home was associated with an increased risk of conveyance (aOR 1.25 [1.15-1.36]). Patients with dementia with more income were significantly less likely to be conveyed than those with less income. Alternative referral services were used in 22% of non-conveyed patients, most commonly GP, out-of-hours and falls services.

Discussion

People aged ≥75 years have high rates of conveyance, which are influenced by factors such as out-of-hours calls, dementia and receipt of social care. Low use of alternative referral services may reflect limited availability or difficulty in access. A better understanding of how these factors influence ambulance clinician decision-making is integral to improvement of outcomes for older people.

Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment and Clinical Outcomes in the Older People at the Emergency Department

Visits by older people to the Emergency Department (ED) have increased in recent decades with higher revisiting and admission rates after discharge, particularly for those with frailties. This study used a before-after design aimed at evaluating Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA) screening in older ED patients (aged ≥ 75 years) during the 12-month preintervention period. Additionally, a CGA-based structured follow-up program after ED discharge was executed during the next 12-month intervention period. Amongst the 358 participants (median age 82 years), involving 122 in the preintervention period and 236 in the intervention period, 77 participants (21.5%) were identified as pre-frailty, while 274 (76.5%) were identified as frail using the Fried frailty phenotype. One-hundred ten (110) (30.7%) patients revisited the ED with 73 (20.4%) being admitted and 20 (5.6%) dying within three months after ED discharge. Compared with preintervention and intervention period, it was shown that the rates of admission at the index ED visit (50.8% vs. 23.1%), and mortality (10.7% vs. 3.0%), were both were significantly reduced. Using multivariate regression analysis, it was shown frailty was significantly associated with three-month mortality after adjusting for potential confounders. On the contrary, the program significantly decreased admission and death rate. It is suggested that frailty was prevalent amongst the older ED patients, and should be screened for in order to decrease revisits/admissions after ED discharge.

Cognition predicts days-alive-out-of-hospital after LVAD implantation

OBJECTIVE

Cognition influences hospitalization rates for a variety of patient groups but this association has not been examined in heart failure (HF) patients undergoing left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation. We used cognition to predict days-alive-out-of-hospital (DAOH) in patients after LVAD surgery.

METHODS

We retrospectively identified 59 HF patients with cognitive assessment prior to LVAD. Cognitive tests of attention, memory, language, and visual motor speed were averaged into one score. DAOH was converted to a percentage based on total days from LVAD surgery to either heart transplant or 900 days post-LVAD. Variables significantly associated with DAOH in univariate analyses were included in a linear regression model to predict DAOH.

RESULTS

A linear regression model including LVAD type (continuous or pulsatile flow) and cognition significantly predicted DAOH (F(2,54) = 6.44, p = 0.003, R² = .19). Inspection of each variable revealed that cognition was a significant predictor in the model (β = .11, SE = .04, p = 0.007) but LVAD type was not (p = 0.08).

CONCLUSIONS

Cognitive performance assessed prior to LVAD implantation predicted how much time patients spent out of the hospital following surgery. Further studies are warranted to identify the impact of pre-LVAD cognition on post-LVAD hospitalization.

Development and Validation of a Nomogram Based on Motoric Cognitive Risk Syndrome for Cognitive Impairment

Objective

To develop and validate a prediction nomogram based on motoric cognitive risk syndrome for cognitive impairment in healthy older adults.

Methods

Using two longitudinal cohorts of participants (aged ≥ 60 years) with 4-year follow-up, we developed (n = 1,177) and validated (n = 2,076) a prediction nomogram. LASSO (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) regression model and multivariable Cox regression analysis were used for variable selection and for developing the prediction model, respectively. The performance of the nomogram was assessed with respect to its calibration, discrimination, and clinical usefulness.

Results

The individualized prediction nomogram was assessed based on the following: motoric cognitive risk syndrome, education, gender, baseline cognition, and age. The model showed good discrimination [Harrell’s concordance index (C-index) of 0.814; 95% confidence interval, 0.782–0.835] and good calibration. Comparable results were also seen in the validation cohort, which includes good discrimination (C-index, 0.772; 95% confidence interval, 0.776–0.818) and good calibration. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the prediction nomogram was clinically useful.

Conclusion

This prediction nomogram provides a practical tool with all necessary predictors, which are accessible to practitioners. It can be used to estimate the risk of cognitive impairment in healthy older adults.

Association of cognitive impairment severity with potentially avoidable readmissions: A retrospective cohort study of 8897 older patients

INTRODUCTION

Understanding the association between cognitive impairment severity and potentially avoidable readmissions (PARs) in older patients may facilitate the identification of at-risk individuals who would benefit from readmission prevention measures.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study was conducted using claims data linked with routinely collected cognitive impairment assessment results from a general acute care hospital in Tokyo, Japan. Patients were 65 years or age or older who were discharged from the subject hospital to home or a facility between July 2016 and September 2018.

RESULTS

A multivariable logistic regression analysis adjusted for covariates showed that the odds of PARs within 90 days to the subject hospital for patients with moderate and severe cognitive impairment were 1.418 times (95% confidence interval: 1.005-2.002) and 2.212 times (95% confidence interval: 1.206-4.058) higher, respectively, that for patients with normal cognition.

DISCUSSION

Older inpatients with later-stage cognitive impairment may represent a suitable target population for transitional care programs aimed at reducing readmissions.

The association between ward staffing levels, mortality and hospital readmission in older hospitalised adults, according to presence of cognitive impairment: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Lower nurse staffing levels are associated with increased hospital mortality. Older patients with cognitive impairments (CI) have higher mortality rates than similar patients without CI and may be additionally vulnerable to low staffing.

OBJECTIVES

To explore associations between registered nurse (RN) and nursing assistant (NA) staffing levels, mortality and readmission in older patients admitted to general medical/surgical wards.

RESEARCH DESIGN

Retrospective cohort.

PARTICIPANTS

All unscheduled admissions to an English hospital of people aged ≥75 with cognitive screening over 14 months.

MEASURES

The exposure was defined as deviation in staffing hours from the ward daily mean, averaged across the patient stay. Outcomes were mortality in hospital/within 30 days of discharge and 30-day re-admission. Analyses were stratified by CI.

RESULTS

12,544 admissions were included. Patients with CI (33.2%) were exposed to similar levels of staffing as those without. An additional 0.5 RN hours per day was associated with 10% reduction in the odds of death overall (odds ratio 0.90 [95% CI 0.84-0.97]): 15% in patients with CI (OR 0.85 [0.74-0.98]) and 7% in patients without (OR 0.93 [0.85-1.02]). An additional 0.5 NA hours per day was associated with a 15% increase in mortality in patients with no impairment. Readmissions decreased by 6% for an additional 0.5 RN hours in patients with CI.

CONCLUSIONS

Although exposure to low staffing was similar, the impact on mortality and readmission for patients with CI was greater. Increased mortality with higher NA staffing in patients without CI needs exploration.

Emergency department outcome of elderly patients assisted by professional home services, the EPIGER study

BACKGROUND

For the elderly population living at home, the implementation of professional services tends to mitigate the effect of loss of autonomy and increases their quality of life. While helping in avoiding social isolation, home services could also be associated to different healthcare pathways. For elderly patients, Emergency Departments (EDs) are the main entrance to hospital where previous loss of autonomy is associated to worst hospital outcomes. Part of elderly patients visiting EDs are still admitted to hospital for having difficulties coping at home without presenting any acute medical issue. There is a lack of data concerning elderly patients visiting EDs assisted by home services. Our aim was to compare among elderly patients visiting ED those assisted by professional home services to those who do not in terms of emergency resources' use and patients' outcome.

METHODS

A multicenter, prospective cohort study was performed in 124 French EDs during a 24-h period on March 2016.Consecutive patients living at home aged ≥80 years were included. The primary objective was to assess the risk of mortality for patients assisted by professional home services vs. those who were not. Secondary objectives included admission rate and specific admission rate for "having difficulties coping at home". The primary endpoint was in-hospital mortality. Cox proportional-hazards regression model was used to test the association between professional home services and the primary endpoint. Multi variables logistic regressions were performed to assess secondary endpoints.

RESULTS

One thousand one hundred sixty-eight patients were included, median age 86(83-89) years old,32% were assisted by professional home services. The overall in-hospital mortality rate was 7%. Assisted patients had more investigations performed. Home services were not associated with increased in-hospital mortality (HR = 1.34;95%CI [0.68-2.67]), nor with the admission rate (OR = 0.92;95%CI [0.65-1.30]). Assisted patients had a lower risk of being admitted for "having difficulties coping at home" (OR = 0.59;95%CI [0.38-0.92]).

CONCLUSION

Professional home services which assist one-third of elderly patients visiting EDs, were not associated to lower in-hospital mortality or to an increased admission rate. Assisted patients were associated to a lower risk of being admitted for «having difficulties coping at home».Professional home services could result in avoiding some admissions and their corollary complications.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Clinicaltrial.gov - NCT02900391 , 09/14/2016, retrospectively registered.

Association of Geriatric-Specific Variables with 30-Day Hospital Readmission Risk of Elderly Surgical Patients: A NSQIP Analysis

BACKGROUND

Elderly patients (65 years of age and older) undergo an increasing number of operations performed annually in the US and they present with unique healthcare needs. Preventing postoperative readmission remains an important challenge to improving surgical care. This study examined whether geriatric-specific variables were independently associated with postoperative readmissions of elderly patients.

METHODS

The American College of Surgeons (ACS) Geriatric Surgery Research File (GSRF) was joined with the ACS NSQIP Participant Use Data Files for 2014 to 2016. This data set included 13 GSRF variables and 26 ACS NSQIP variables. Associations between clinically relevant variables and readmission were tested with multivariable logistic regression.

RESULTS

The data represented 6,039 general surgery patients age 65 years and older. Fifty-eight percent of patients had colorectal operations, 19% pancreatic or hepatobiliary, 15% hernia, 4% thyroid or esophageal, and 3% had appendix operations. Twenty-four percent of patients experienced an NSQIP-defined 30-day postoperative complication and 3% died within 30 days after operation. Eleven percent of patients had unplanned 30-day readmission. Standard NSQIP variables, including 30-day composite morbidity (odds ratio [OR] 5.11; 95% CI, 4.24 to 6.16; p < 0.001), reoperation (OR 2.8; 95% CI, 2.07 to 3.79; p < 0.001), and steroid use (1.42; 95% CI, 1.03 to 1.96; p = 0.03) were associated with readmission. In addition, GSRF variables, including incompetent on admission (OR 1.63; 95% CI, 1.11 to 2.38; p = 0.01), fall risk at discharge (OR 1.42; 95% CI, 1.11 to 1.82; p = 0.005), use of mobility aid (OR 1.26; 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.56; p = 0.03), and discharged home with skilled care (OR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.0 to 1.49; p = 0.04) were associated with readmission.

CONCLUSIONS

Four GSRF and 3 current standard ACS NSQIP variables were important in the evaluation of postoperative readmission of elderly patients. Geriatric-specific variables contributed to the explanation of the relationship between clinical variables and readmissions in elderly surgical patients.

SPMSQ for risk stratification of older patients in the emergency department : An exploratory prospective cohort study

Background

Risk stratification of older patients in the emergency department (ED) is seen as a promising and efficient solution for handling the increase in demand for geriatric emergency medicine. Previously, the predictive validity of commonly used tools for risk stratification, such as the identification of seniors at risk (ISAR), have found only limited evidence in German geriatric patient samples. Given that the adverse outcomes in question, such as rehospitalization, nursing home admission and mortality, are substantially associated with cognitive impairment, the potential of the short portable mental status questionnaire (SPMSQ) as a tool for risk stratification of older ED patients was investigated.

Objective

To estimate the predictive validity of the SPMSQ for a composite endpoint of adverse events (e.g. rehospitalization, nursing home admission and mortality).

Method

This was a prospective cohort study with 260 patients aged 70 years and above, recruited in a cardiology ED. Patients with a likely life-expectancy below 24 h were excluded. Follow-up examinations were conducted at 1, 3, 6 and 12 month(s) after recruitment.

Results

The SPMSQ was found to be a significant predictor of adverse outcomes not at 1 month (area under the curve, AUC 0.55, 95% confidence interval, CI 0.46–0.63) but at 3 months (AUC 0.61, 95% CI 0.54–0.68), 6 months (AUC 0.63, 95% CI 0.56–0.70) and 12 months (AUC 0.63, 95% CI 0.56–0.70) after initial contact.

Conclusion

For longer periods of observation the SPMSQ can be a predictor of a composite endpoint of adverse outcomes even when controlled for a range of confounders. Its characteristics, specifically the low sensitivity, make it unsuitable as an accurate risk stratification tool on its own.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00391-019-01626-z) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.