Prognostic significance of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 in unresectable locally advanced pancreatic cancer treated with dose-escalated intensity modulated radiation therapy and concurrent full-dose gemcitabine: analysis of a prospective phase 1/2 dose escalation study

Competing Risk Analysis of Outcomes of Unresectable Pancreatic Cancer Patients Undergoing Definitive Radiotherapy

PURPOSE

We investigated potential factors, including clinicopathological features, treatment modalities, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 level, tumor responses correlating with overall survival (OS), local progression (LP), and distant metastases (DMs), in patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC) who received definitive radiotherapy (RT).

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed demographic characteristics; biologically effective doses (BED10, calculated with an α/β of 10) of RT; and clinical outcomes of 57 unresectable LAPC (all pancreatic adenocarcinoma) patients receiving definitive RT using modern techniques with and without systemic therapy between January 2009 and March 2019 at our institution. We used Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) version 1.1 to evaluate the radiographic tumor response after RT. The association between prognostic factors and OS was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier analysis and a Cox regression model, whereas baseline characteristics and treatment details were collected for competing-risk regression of the association with LP and DM using the Fine-Gray model.

RESULTS

A median BED10 of 67.1 Gy resulted in a disease control rate of 87.7%, and the median OS was 11.8 months after a median follow-up of 32.1 months. The 1-year OS rate, cumulative incidences of LP, and DM were 49.2%, 38.5%, and 62.9%, respectively. Multivariate analyses showed that pre-RT NLR ≥3.5 (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 8.245, p < 0.001), CA19-9 reduction rate ≥50% (adjusted HR = 0.261, p = 0.005), RT without concurrent chemoradiotherapy (adjusted HR = 5.903, p = 0.004), and administration of chemotherapy after RT (adjusted HR = 0.207, p = 0.03) were independent prognostic factors for OS. Positive lymph nodal metastases (adjusted subdistribution HR [sHR] = 3.712, p = 0.003) and higher tumor reduction after RT (adjusted sHR = 0.922, p < 0.001) were significant prognostic factors for LP, whereas BED10 ≥ 67.1 Gy (adjusted sHR = 0.297, p = 0.002), CA19-9 reduction rate ≥50% (adjusted sHR = 0.334, p = 0.023), and RT alone (adjusted sHR = 2.633, p = 0.047) were significant prognostic factors for DM.

CONCLUSION

Our results indicate that pre-RT NLR and post-RT monitoring of CA19-9 and tumor size reduction can help identify whether patients belong to the good or poor prognostic group of LAPC. The incorporation of new systemic treatments during and after a higher BED10 RT dose for LAPC patients is warranted.

Predicting overall survival and resection in patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer treated with FOLFIRINOX: Development and internal validation of two nomograms

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC) are increasingly treated with FOLFIRINOX, resulting in improved survival and resection of tumors that were initially unresectable. It remains unclear, however, which specific patients benefit from FOLFIRINOX. Two nomograms were developed predicting overall survival (OS) and resection at the start of FOLFIRINOX for LAPC.

METHODS

From our multicenter, prospective LAPC registry in 14 Dutch hospitals, LAPC patients starting first-line FOLFIRINOX (April 2015-December 2017) were included. Stepwise backward selection according to the Akaike Information Criterion was used to identify independent baseline predictors for OS and resection. Two prognostic nomograms were generated.

RESULTS

A total of 252 patients were included, with a median OS of 14 months. Thirty-two patients (13%) underwent resection, with a median OS of 23 months. Older age, female sex, Charlson Comorbidity Index ≤1, and CA 19.9 < 274 were independent factors predicting a better OS (c-index: 0.61). WHO ps >1, involvement of the superior mesenteric artery, celiac trunk, and superior mesenteric vein ≥ 270° were independent factors decreasing the probability of resection (c-index: 0.79).

CONCLUSIONS

Two nomograms were developed to predict OS and resection in patients with LAPC before starting treatment with FOLFIRINOX. These nomograms could be beneficial in the shared decision-making process and counseling of these patients.

Selecting chemotherapy for pancreatic cancer: Far away or so close?

Pancreatic cancer is a lethal disease with a very poor prognosis. In contrast to treatments for many other tumor types, cytotoxic agents are still the first-line drugs for pancreatic cancer in both the palliative and adjuvant settings. Some progress has been made in recent years, but most large phase 3 studies have not shown significant improvements in survival. Because the available drugs and regimens are limited in both type and effect, the selection of chemotherapy based on clinicopathologic characteristics may be consequential for pancreatic cancer. In the present report, we focused on 7 landmark clinical trials for pancreatic cancer. We observed that FOLFIRINOX (oxaliplatin, irinotecan, fluorouracil, and leucovorin) and NG (nab-paclitaxel and gemcitabine), 2 first-line regimens, exerted opposite effects on metastatic pancreatic cancer patients with different baseline carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) levels. This suggested that not only the performance status but possibly also CA19-9 levels should be considered when making a therapeutic choice for patients with advanced pancreatic cancer. Moreover, we found that patients with a diagnosis of pancreatic cancer who have undergone a surgical resection with a negative margin (R0) may benefit more from fluorouracil and/or oral prodrugs of fluorouracil-based adjuvant therapy than from gemcitabine. Conversely, gemcitabine or gemcitabine-based regimens may be more effective for patients with a positive resection margin (R1). Based on these findings, we propose flowcharts for selecting chemotherapy for both advanced and resected pancreatic cancer. Furthermore, we present possible mechanisms and interpretations underlying the selection of chemotherapy for pancreatic cancer and propose the tumor burden as a key variable in this process. Regardless of the possible bias and exact treatment selection process, this study offers an opportunity to improve patient outcomes by using agents currently used in the therapy of pancreatic cancer. Although these conclusions are based on indirect evidence, we provide insights and possibilities to drive the selection of chemotherapy for pancreatic cancer.

Association between precystectomy epithelial tumor marker response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy and oncological outcomes in urothelial bladder cancer

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

We previously reported that elevated precystectomy serum levels of epithelial tumor markers predict worse oncological outcome in patients with invasive bladder cancer (BC). Herein, we evaluated the effect of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) on elevated tumor marker levels and their association with oncological outcomes.

METHODS

Under IRB approval, serum levels of Carbohydrate Antigen 125 (CA-125), Carbohydrate Antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9) and Carcinoembryonic Antigen (CEA) were prospectively measured in 480 patients with invasive BC from August 2011 through December 2016. In the subgroup undergoing NAC, markers were measured prior to the first and after the last cycle of chemotherapy (prior to cystectomy).

RESULTS

Three hundred and thirty-seven patients were eligible for the study, with a median age was 71 years (range 34-93) and 81% (272) male. Elevated precystectomy level of any tumor markers (31% of patients) was independently associated with worse recurrence-free survival (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.81; P < 0.001) and overall survival (HR = 3.97; P < 0.001). One hundred and twenty-five (37%) patients underwent NAC, of whom 59 had a complete tumor marker profile and 30 (51%) had an elevated pre-NAC tumor marker. Following completion of chemotherapy, 10/30 (33%) patients normalized their tumor markers, while 20/30 (67%) had one or more persistently elevated markers. There was no difference in clinical or pathological stage between groups (P = 0.54 and P = 0.09, respectively). Further analysis showed a significantly lower rate and longer median time to recurrence/progression in the responder group (50% in responders vs. 90% in nonresponders at a median time of 22 vs. 4.8 months, respectively; P = 0.015). There was also significant difference in mortality rates and median overall survival between the study groups (30% in responders vs. 70% in nonresponders at a median time of 27.3 vs. 11.6 months respectively; P = 0.037). Two of the three patients that died in the normalized tumor marker group had tumor marker relapse at recurrence prior to their death.

CONCLUSIONS

To our knowledge, this is the first study showing tumor marker response to NAC. Patients with persistently elevated markers following NAC have a very poor prognosis following cystectomy, which may help identifying chemotherapy-resistant tumors. A larger, controlled study with longer follow up is needed to determine their role in predicting survival.

Tumor Marker Kinetics as Prognosticators in Patients with Unresectable Gallbladder Adenocarcinoma Undergoing Palliative Chemotherapy

Background/Aims

To determine the prognostic value of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 in gallbladder cancer (GBC) during palliative chemotherapy.

Methods

One hundred and twenty-three patients with pathologically confirmed unresectable GBC were included. Differences in serum CEA and CA 19-9 levels before and after chemotherapy were measured. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, Kaplan-Meier analyses of CEA, CA 19-9, and combined changes were performed to assess the optimal cutoff values and survival rates.

Results

Patients with decreased tumor markers had significantly better progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) than patients with increased tumor markers. The pre- and postchemotherapy CA 19-9 ratio had the highest area-under-the-curve values for predicting 3-month PFS and 1-year OS. In the multivariate analysis, increases in serum CA 19-9 during palliative chemotherapy in patients with unresectable GBC was an independent prognosticator of poor PFS and OS, with hazard ratios of 2.20 (p=0.001) and 1.67 (p=0.020), respectively. Patients with increases >10-fold were considered to have progressive disease, whereas individuals with increases >3-fold were likely to benefit from early imaging follow-up.

Conclusions

CA 19-9 kinetics was a reliable prognosticator of PFS and OS in patients with unresectable GBC who underwent palliative chemotherapy.

A single institutional experience of combined carbon-ion radiotherapy and chemotherapy for unresectable locally advanced pancreatic cancer

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to evaluate the efficacy and safety of carbon-ion radiotherapy (C-ion RT) for unresectable locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC).

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Patients with LAPC treated with definitive C-ion RT between April 2014 and July 2017 were analyzed retrospectively. The prescribed dose was 55.2 Gy (relative biological effectiveness [RBE] weighted absorbed dose) in 12 fractions. Overall survival (OS), local control (LC), progression free survival (PFS), and toxicity were evaluated.

RESULTS

Sixty-four patients were enrolled. All patients completed planned course of C-ion RT. The median follow-up time for survivors from the initiation of C-ion RT was 24.4 months (range, 5.1-46.1 months). Median survival time was 25.1 months. Two-year OS, LC, and PFS were 53% (95% confidence interval [CI], 39%-66%), 82% (95% CI, 66%-91%), and 23% (95% CI, 14%-36%), respectively. Four patients experienced acute grade 3 toxicities including 3 gastrointestinal (GI) toxicities. There was no grade 3 or more late toxicity.

CONCLUSIONS

The clinical results of C-ion RT for LAPC at our institution were comparable to those of a recent multi-institutional analysis.

Dose-escalated radiotherapy for unresectable or locally recurrent pancreatic cancer: Dose volume analysis, toxicity and outcome of 28 consecutive patients

PURPOSE

The role of radiotherapy for unresectable pancreatic cancer is controversial. A benefit of additional radiotherapy is supported by some observations. A dose-effect relationship was recently found by dose escalation employing image guided and intensity modulated radiotherapy.

METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated 28 consecutive patients, all with history of extensive prior therapies for unresectable locally advanced/ recurrent pancreatic cancer (LAPC/LRPC). Treatment was delivered by helical tomotherapy after daily position verification with computed tomography. Dose to the planned target volume (PTV) was 51 Gy, while the dose to the macroscopic tumor was escalated by a simultaneous integrated boost to a median cumulative dose of 66 Gy (60-66 Gy). Concomitant chemotherapy consisted mainly of capecitabine (n = 23).

RESULTS

10 of 28 patients presented acute toxicities > grade 2, one patient succumbed to gastrointestinal bleeding after treatment. No correlations of toxicities and dose volume histograms (DVH) of retrospectively delineated small bowel loops were observed, although average small bowel volume receiving ≥ 20 Gy was 374 ml. DVH analyses revealed a correlation of splenic parameters and acute toxicity: Vomiting, anorexia, dehydration, hematologic toxicity, fatigue, combined gastro-intestinal toxicity wit R-values between 0.392 and 0.561 (all p-values > 0.05). Only one patient developed late toxicities > grade 2. With an average follow-up time in surviving patients of 14 months median overall survival time was 19 months and median time to local recurrence 13 months. In 8 patients with available imaging of local recurrence: 5 in field recurrences, 2 marginal recurrences and one lymph node recurrence outside the high dose radiation field were observed. In univariate analysis only ΔCA-19-9 during radiotherapy was associated with local control (p = 0.029) and overall survival (p = 0.049).

CONCLUSION

Dose escalated normo-fractionated radiotherapy for LAPC/LRPC seems feasible and suitable to prolong local control and in consequence long-term survival. However, in-field local progression is still frequently observed and possibilities to increase the local effectiveness should be evaluated. Exposure of the spleen was predictive for acute toxicity and should be further investigated.

Change in carbohydrate antigen 19-9 level as a prognostic marker of overall survival in locally advanced pancreatic cancer treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy

PURPOSE

To investigate the significance of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) levels for survival in locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC) treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT).

METHODS/PATIENTS

We retrospectively reviewed data from 97 LAPC patients treated with CCRT between 2000 and 2013. CA19-9 levels (initial and post-CCRT) and their changes [{(post-CCRT CA19-9 level - initial CA19-9 level)/(initial CA19-9 level)} × 100] were analyzed for overall survival. A cut-off point of 37 U/mL was used to analyze initial and post-CCRT CA19-9 levels. In order to define an optimal cut-off point for change in CA19-9 level, the maxstat package of R was applied.

RESULTS

Median overall survival was 14.7 months (95% CI 13.4-16.0), and the 2-year survival rate was 16.5%. The estimated optimal cut-off point of CA19-9 level change was 94.4%. On univariate analyses, CA19-9 level change between initial and post-CCRT was significantly correlated with overall survival (median survival time 9.7 vs 16.3 months, p < 0.001). Multivariate analyses confirmed that CA19-9 level change from initial to post-CCRT was the only prognostic factor (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Change in CA19-9 level between initial and post-CCRT was a significant prognostic marker for overall survival in LAPC treated with CCRT. A CA19-9 level increase >94.4% might serve as a surrogate marker for poor survival in patients with LAPC undergoing CCRT, and the prognostic power surpassed other CA19-9 variables including initial and post-CCRT values.

Serum CA242, CA199, CA125, CEA, and TSGF are Biomarkers for the Efficacy and Prognosis of Cryoablation in Pancreatic Cancer Patients

This study aimed to compare the changes and determine the clinical significance of carbohydrate antigens CA242, CA199, CA125, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), and tumor-specific growth factor (TSGF) before and after cryoablation by Cryocare system. Thirty-one pancreatic cancer patients were selected to receive cryoablation by Cryocare system. The serum expression levels of CA242, CA199, CA125, CEA, and TSGF before and 1 month after treatment were determined. Meanwhile, the serum level of these factors was also determined in 31 healthy volunteers. The parameter changes were analyzed with the clinical pathological data. The serum levels of CA242, CA199, CA125, CEA, and TSGF in the pancreatic cancer group were significantly higher than those of the control group both before and after the cryoablation treatment (P < 0.05). The serum CA199, CEA, and TSGF dramatically decreased 1 month after the treatment, which were statistically different (P < 0.05). The positive rates of serum CA242, CA199, CA125, and CEA in the pancreatic cancer group were much higher than those in the control group both before and after treatment (P < 0.05), and the positive rate of TSGF was significantly higher than that of the control group before the treatment (P < 0.05). The positive rate of CA199, CEA, and TSGF after the treatment was significantly lower than that before the treatment (P < 0.05). Serum level of CA242 was correlated with the tumor diameter, clinical staging, tumor differentiation, lymph node, and liver metastasis (P < 0.05). Except gender, CA199 was correlated with all the other clinical pathological parameters (P < 0.05). The serum levels of CA125 and CEA were correlated with all the other clinical pathological parameters (P < 0.05). The serum level of TSGF was only correlated with tumor differentiation (P < 0.05). Cryoablation treatment by Cryocare system can decrease the serum levels of CA199, CEA, TSGF, and the positive rate. Serum CA199, CEA, and TSGF can be important index for pancreatic cancer treatment assessment. Serum levels of CA242, CA199, CA125, and CEA are of great clinical value for metastasis assessment and prognosis in pancreatic cancer patients.

Prognostic value of CA 19-9 kinetics during gemcitabine-based chemotherapy in patients with advanced cholangiocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Little is known of the prognostic value of CEA/CA 19-9 kinetics during chemotherapy in patients with advanced cholangiocarcinoma (CCA).

METHODS

A total of 236 patients with pathologically confirmed advanced CCA received gemcitabine-based chemotherapy were reviewed, and 179 were eligible for analysis. Baseline, pre-, and post-treatment (after two cycles of chemotherapy) CEA and CA 19-9 values were checked, and survival was compared according to various cutting points of baseline measurement or extent of change of tumor marker level.

RESULTS

Patients with a ≥ 50% decline in CA 19-9 level had better survival than the others (16.0 vs 9.0 months). However, CEA decline did not predict survival gain. Significant favorable prognostic factors of survival in multivariable analysis included initial treatment response (HR 0.61), distal location of tumor (HR 0.46), baseline CA 19-9 level ≤ 1000 U/mL (HR 0.58), and ≥ 50% decline in CA 19-9 level (HR 0.50). Subgroup analysis was conducted in 114 patients with pre-treatment CA 19-9 > 37 U/mL and bilirubin ≤ 2 mg/dL. Decline ≥ 50% in CA 19-9 level still showed an independent prognostic significance (HR 0.45).

CONCLUSION

CA 19-9 but not CEA kinetics serves as a predictor of better survival in patients with advanced CCA on gemcitabine-based chemotherapy. A ≥ 50% decline in CA 19-9 level after two cycles of chemotherapy may have clinical utility as an early indicator of better response to gemcitabine-based chemotherapy.

A Novel Biomarker Panel Examining Response to Gemcitabine with or without Erlotinib for Pancreatic Cancer Therapy in NCIC Clinical Trials Group PA.3

Purpose

NCIC Clinical Trials Group PA.3 was a randomized control trial that demonstrated improved overall survival (OS) in patients receiving erlotinib in addition to gemcitabine for locally advanced or metastatic pancreatic cancer. Prior to therapy, patients had plasma samples drawn for future study. We sought to identify biomarkers within these samples.

Experimental Design

Using the proximity ligation assay (PLA), a probe panel was built from commercially available antibodies for 35 key proteins selected from a global genetic analysis of pancreatic cancers, and used to quantify protein levels in 20 uL of patient plasma. To determine if any of these proteins levels independently associated with OS, univariate and mulitbaraible Cox models were used. In addition, we examined the associations between biomarker expression and disease stage at diagnosis using Fisher's exact test. The correlation between Erlotinib sensitivity and each biomarkers was assessed using a test of interaction between treatment and biomarker.

Results and Conclusion

Of the 569 eligible patients, 480 had samples available for study. Samples were randomly allocated into training (251) and validation sets (229). Among all patients, elevated levels of interleukin-8 (IL-8), carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), hypoxia-inducible factor 1-alpha (HIF-1 alpha), and interleukin-6 were independently associated with lower OS, while IL-8, CEA, platelet-derived growth factor receptor alpha and mucin-1 were associated with metastatic disease. Patients with elevated levels of receptor tyrosine-protein kinase erbB-2 (HER2) expression had improved OS when treated with erlotinib compared to placebo. In conclusion, PLA is a powerful tool for identifying biomarkers from archived, small volume serum samples. These data may be useful to stratify patient outcomes regardless of therapeutic intervention.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00040183

Pretreatment C-reactive protein level predicts outcome and patterns of failure after chemoradiotherapy for locally advanced pancreatic cancer

OBJECTIVES

In this study we evaluated the predictive value of pretreatment C-reactive protein (CRP) levels on patterns of failure and survival outcomes in patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC) who received chemoradiotherapy (CRT).

METHODS

Data from 65 patients who underwent CRT for LAPC from July 2001 to May 2013 were retrospectively collected. Factors, including age, gender, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (PS), histological confirmation, tumor size, tumor location, biliary drainage, stage, induction chemotherapy, CRP levels, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-lymphocyte ratio, albumin and carbohydrate antigen 19-9, were evaluated with regard to overall survival (OS) and patterns of failure using a Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

The 1-year OS and median follow-up for all of the patients were 63.9% and 15.2 months, respectively. The median survival time and 1-year OS were 18.0 months and 72.5%, respectively, in the patients with lower CRP levels (≤3.0 mg/L), whereas 11.0 months and 30.8%, respectively, in the patients with higher CRP levels (>3.0 mg/L). Thirty-seven patients had tumor recurrence after CRT. All of the patients with higher CRP levels developed distant metastases as a primary sign of treatment failure. In a multivariate analysis, higher CRP levels were significantly correlated with distant disease-free survival (p = 0.004, HR = 4.50) and OS (p = 0.004, HR = 3.001). By contrast, local progression-free survival was not significantly different between the CRP subgroups.

CONCLUSION

The CRP levels were a significant predictor of survival and distant disease control for the LAPC patients who received CRT.

Dose escalation with a vessel boost in pancreatic adenocarcinoma treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiation

PURPOSE

Patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PAC) are often treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiation (NACRT) in hopes of downstaging their disease for potential surgical resection. We hypothesized that increasing the radiation dose to the area of the tumor abutting the vessel(s) of concern would increase the rate of surgical resection in patients with borderline resectable PAC (BRPAC) and locally advanced PAC (LAPAC) treated with NACRT.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

We retrospectively reviewed consecutive cases of BRPAC and LAPAC treated with NACRT from January 2006 to December 2013, with or without a vessel boost (VB), at a single institution. The primary endpoints were rate of R0/R1 potentially curative surgical resection and acute toxicity. Univariate analysis with the Fisher exact test was performed to evaluate the effect of each variable. Multiple logistic regression was used to adjust for the following covariates: year of diagnosis, age, sex, carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) level at diagnosis, and BRPAC or LAPAC.

RESULTS

Of the 104 patients identified, 22% (n = 23) received a VB (median, 54 Gy; range, 54-64 Gy), and 78% (n = 81) received no boost (median, 50.4 Gy; range, 48.6-52.2 Gy). More patients in the VB group were treated from 2010 to 2013 (P < .001) and with intensity modulated radiation therapy (P = .002). Other baseline characteristics were balanced. After adjustment for covariates, there was a statistical trend toward increased surgical resection in patients who received a VB (odds ratio [OR], 2.77; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.89-8.57; P = .077). Age (≥70 years; OR, 0.42; 95% CI, 0.16-1.05; P = .064) and LAPAC (OR, 0.32; 95% CI, 0.09-1.09; P = .068) also trended toward significance. CA19-9 ≥47.9 U/mL (OR, 0.24; 95% CI, 0.08-0.71; P = .010) was significant on multivariate analysis. There was no significant difference in acute or late toxicity between groups.

CONCLUSIONS

In our retrospective series, dose escalation was associated with an improved surgical resection rate in BRPAC and LAPAC patients treated with NACRT, although this improvement was not statistically significant.

Definitive Chemoradiation With Full-dose Gemcitabine for Unresectable Pancreatic Cancer: Efficacy of Involved-Field Radiotherapy

OBJECTIVES

Definitive chemoradiotherapy for unresectable pancreatic cancer has traditionally involved 5-fluorouracil-based chemotherapy. Our institution has a long history of combining gemcitabine and radiotherapy (RT), and performed a retrospective review of all patients treated in this manner.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We reviewed the records of 180 patients treated from 1999 to 2012. Mean RT dose was 40.9 Gy in 2.2-Gy fractions, and targeted only radiographically apparent disease. Ninety-six percent of patients received full-dose gemcitabine-based chemotherapy with RT. Kaplan-Meier was used to analyze time-to-event endpoints, and Cox regression models were used to assess significant prognostic variables.

RESULTS

Eighty-nine percent of patients completed RT without a toxicity-related treatment break. Median follow-up was 10.2 months. Twenty-nine percent of patients had a radiographic decrease in primary tumor size following treatment. Median overall survival was 11.8 months, time to distant metastasis (TDM) was 6.7 months, and time to local recurrence (TLR) was 8.3 months. On multivariate analysis, male sex, lower performance status, and higher posttreatment CA 19-9 level predicted for worse overall survival. Posttreatment, CA 19-9 was also associated with TDM and TLR, and radiographic tumor response was associated with better TLR.

CONCLUSION

Definitive chemoradiation using full-dose gemcitabine is well tolerated and achieves survival outcomes comparable to reported trials in the literature.

Paraneoplastic thrombocytosis independently predicts poor prognosis in patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Platelets are believed to promote tumor growth and metastasis but their prognostic role in locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC) remains largely unknown. We assessed whether pretreatment platelet counts independently predict survival outcomes in patients with LAPC treated with chemoradiation (CRT).

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the MD Anderson pancreatic cancer database and identified 199 patients with LAPC treated with CRT between 2006 and 2012. Induction chemotherapy was used prior to consolidative CRT in 177 (89%) patients. Median radiation dose was 50.4 Gy. Concurrent radiosensitizers were gemcitabine-based (13%) or capecitabine-based (84%) regimens. Actuarial univariate and multivariate statistical methods were used to determine significant prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) calculated from the start of treatment.

RESULTS

Median follow-up was 9.9 months. Median OS and PFS durations were 17.7 and 10.7 months, respectively. On univariate analysis, platelet count > 300 K/μl, KPS ≤ 80, ≥ 5% weight loss and pretreatment CA19-9 above the median were associated with inferior OS or PFS. Median OS was lower in patients with platelet count > 300 K/μl compared to patients with platelet count ≤ 300 K/μl (10.2 vs. 19 months; p = 0.0002). Corresponding median PFS times were 7.8 months and 11.1 months (p = 0.004), respectively. On multivariate analysis, platelet count > 300 K/μl (p = 0.012), ≥ 5% weight loss (p = 0.002) and elevated pretreatment CA19-9 (p = 0.005) were independent prognostic factors for OS. Platelet count > 300 K/μl (p = 0.03) and KPS ≤ 80 (p = 0.05) independently predicted PFS.

CONCLUSIONS

Our analysis suggests that pretreatment thrombocytosis independently predicts inferior OS and PFS in LAPC.

Prognostic impact of CA 19-9 on outcome after neoadjuvant chemoradiation in patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND

To asses the impact of CA 19-9 and weight loss/gain on outcome after neoadjuvant chemoradiation (CRT) in patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC).

METHODS

We analyzed 289 patients with LAPC treated with CRT for LAPC. All patients received concomitant chemotherapy parallel to radiotherapy and adjuvant treatments. CA 19-9 and body weight were collected as prognostic and predictive markers. All patients were included into a regular follow-up with reassessment of resectability.

RESULTS

Median overall survival in all patients was 14 months. Actuarial overall survival was 37 % at 12 months, 12 % at 24 months, and 4 % at 36 months. Secondary resectability was achieved in 35 % of the patients. R0/R1 resection was significantly associated with increase in overall survival (p = 0.04). Intraoperative radiotherapy was applied in 50 patients, but it did not influence overall survival (p = 0.05). Pretreatment CA 19-9 significantly influenced overall survival using different cutoff values. With increase in CA 19-9 levels, the possibility of secondary surgical resection decreased from 46 % in patients with CA 19-9 levels below 90 U/ml to 31 % in the group with CA 19-9 levels higher than 269 U/ml.

DISCUSSION

This large group of patients with LAPC treated with neoadjuvant CRT confirms that CA 19-9 and body weight are strong predictive and prognostic factors of outcome. In the future, individual patient factors should be taken into account to tailor treatment.

The addition of erlotinib to gemcitabine and cisplatin does not appear to improve median survival in metastatic pancreatic cancer

Metastatic pancreatic cancer carries a poor prognosis, with median survival on the order of several months. There is evidence that combining gemcitabine with either erlotinib or cisplatin may be superior to single agent gemcitabine in patients with good performance (PS 0-1). We retrospectively compared outcomes of patients treated with either the three drug regimen of gemcitabine, cisplatin, and erlotinib (GCE) or the doublet of gemcitabine and cisplatin (GC) in order to assess the potential benefit of erlotinib. We also evaluated the role of erlotinib among smokers and non-smokers. We retrospectively analyzed 145 patients who presented between 2006 and 2009 with previously untreated metastatic pancreatic cancer initially treated at the M.D. Anderson cancer center with either GC or GCE. Information on tumor characteristics and overall survival time (OS) was collected by medical record review. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to estimate OS. Log rank tests were used to compare OS between groups. The Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to evaluate the ability of patient prognostic variables or treatment group to predict OS. A total of 71 patients were treated with GC, while 74 were treated with GCE. Cox analyses found no significant difference in overall survival (median 5.5 vs. 8.0 months, respectively, p-value=0.1). Small sampling numbers may have contributed to this result. One year survival was 23 % in the GCE group and 13 % in the GC group. Patients with poor performance status (PS=2-3) had worse survival as compared to patients with better performance status (PS=0-1, p=0.001). As in earlier studies, patients treated with more lines of therapy tended to have better survival (p <0.0001), and CA19-9 was found to be a significant predictor for OS (p=0.001). No statistical evidence of a survival difference was found between smokers and non-smokers in both treatment groups (p=0.72). In conclusion, though there was a trend towards improved survival with the addition of erlotinib to gemcitabine and cisplatin, this does not reach statistical significance.