A novel explainable COVID-19 diagnosis method by integration of feature selection with random forest

A tree-based explainable AI model for early detection of Covid-19 using physiological data

With the outbreak of COVID-19 in 2020, countries worldwide faced significant concerns and challenges. Various studies have emerged utilizing Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Data Science techniques for disease detection. Although COVID-19 cases have declined, there are still cases and deaths around the world. Therefore, early detection of COVID-19 before the onset of symptoms has become crucial in reducing its extensive impact. Fortunately, wearable devices such as smartwatches have proven to be valuable sources of physiological data, including Heart Rate (HR) and sleep quality, enabling the detection of inflammatory diseases. In this study, we utilize an already-existing dataset that includes individual step counts and heart rate data to predict the probability of COVID-19 infection before the onset of symptoms. We train three main model architectures: the Gradient Boosting classifier (GB), CatBoost trees, and TabNet classifier to analyze the physiological data and compare their respective performances. We also add an interpretability layer to our best-performing model, which clarifies prediction results and allows a detailed assessment of effectiveness. Moreover, we created a private dataset by gathering physiological data from Fitbit devices to guarantee reliability and avoid bias.The identical set of models was then applied to this private dataset using the same pre-trained models, and the results were documented. Using the CatBoost tree-based method, our best-performing model outperformed previous studies with an accuracy rate of 85% on the publicly available dataset. Furthermore, this identical pre-trained CatBoost model produced an accuracy of 81% when applied to the private dataset. You will find the source code in the link: https://github.com/OpenUAE-LAB/Covid-19-detection-using-Wearable-data.git .

LSTM-Powered COVID-19 prediction in central Thailand incorporating meteorological and particulate matter data with a multi-feature selection approach

The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly impacted public health and necessitated urgent actions to mitigate its spread. Monitoring and predicting the outbreak's progression have become vital to devise effective strategies and allocate resources efficiently. This study presents a novel approach utilizing Multivariate Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) to analyze and predict COVID-19 trends in Central Thailand, particularly emphasizing the multi-feature selection process. To consider a comprehensive view of the pandemic's dynamics, our research dataset encompasses epidemiological, meteorological, and particulate matter features, which were gathered from reliable sources. We propose a multi-feature selection technique to identify the most relevant and influential features that significantly impact the spread of COVID-19 in the region to enhance the model's performance. Our results highlight that relative humidity is the key factor driving COVID-19 transmission in Central Thailand. The proposed multi-feature selection technique significantly improves the model's accuracy, ensuring that only the most informative variables contribute to the predictions, avoiding the potential noise or redundancy from less relevant features. The proposed LSTM model demonstrates its capability to forecast COVID-19 cases, facilitating informed decision-making for public health authorities and policymakers.

Weighted Combination of Łukasiewicz implication and Fuzzy Jaccard similarity in Hybrid Ensemble Framework (WCLFJHEF) for Gene Selection

A framework is developed for gene expression analysis by introducing fuzzy Jaccard similarity (FJS) and combining Łukasiewicz implication with it through weights in hybrid ensemble framework (WCLFJHEF) for gene selection in cancer. The method is called weighted combination of Łukasiewicz implication and fuzzy Jaccard similarity in hybrid ensemble framework (WCLFJHEF). While the fuzziness in Jaccard similarity is incorporated by using the existing Gödel fuzzy logic, the weights are obtained by maximizing the average F-score of selected genes in classifying the cancer patients. The patients are first divided into different clusters, based on the number of patient groups, using average linkage agglomerative clustering and a new score, called WCLFJ (weighted combination of Łukasiewicz implication and fuzzy Jaccard similarity). The genes are then selected from each cluster separately using filter based Relief-F and wrapper based SVMRFE (Support Vector Machine with Recursive Feature Elimination). A gene (feature) pool is created by considering the union of selected features for all the clusters. A set of informative genes is selected from the pool using sequential backward floating search (SBFS) algorithm. Patients are then classified using Naïve Bayes'(NB) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) separately, using the selected genes and the related F-scores are calculated. The weights in WCLFJ are then updated iteratively to maximize the average F-score obtained from the results of the classifier. The effectiveness of WCLFJHEF is demonstrated on six gene expression datasets. The average values of accuracy, F-score, recall, precision and MCC over all the datasets, are 95%, 94%, 94%, 94%, and 90%, respectively. The explainability of the selected genes is shown using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values and this information is further used to rank them. The relevance of the selected gene set are biologically validated using the KEGG Pathway, Gene Ontology (GO), and existing literatures. It is seen that the genes that are selected by WCLFJHEF are candidates for genomic alterations in the various cancer types. The source code of WCLFJHEF is available at http://www.isical.ac.in/~shubhra/WCLFJHEF.html.

COVID-19 diagnosis using clinical markers and multiple explainable artificial intelligence approaches: A case study from Ecuador

The COVID-19 pandemic erupted at the beginning of 2020 and proved fatal, causing many casualties worldwide. Immediate and precise screening of affected patients is critical for disease control. COVID-19 is often confused with various other respiratory disorders since the symptoms are similar. As of today, the reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test is utilized for diagnosing COVID-19. However, this approach is sometimes prone to producing erroneous and false negative results. Hence, finding a reliable diagnostic method that can validate the RT-PCR test results is crucial. Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) applications in COVID-19 diagnosis has proven to be beneficial. Hence, clinical markers have been utilized for COVID-19 diagnosis with the help of several classifiers in this study. Further, five different explainable artificial intelligence techniques have been utilized to interpret the predictions. Among all the algorithms, the k-nearest neighbor obtained the best performance with an accuracy, precision, recall and f1-score of 84%, 85%, 84% and 84%. According to this study, the combination of clinical markers such as eosinophils, lymphocytes, red blood cells and leukocytes was significant in differentiating COVID-19. The classifiers can be utilized synchronously with the standard RT-PCR procedure making diagnosis more reliable and efficient.

CVD22: Explainable artificial intelligence determination of the relationship of troponin to D-Dimer, mortality, and CK-MB in COVID-19 patients

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

COVID-19, which emerged in Wuhan (China), is one of the deadliest and fastest-spreading pandemics as of the end of 2019. According to the World Health Organization (WHO), there are more than 100 million infectious cases worldwide. Therefore, research models are crucial for managing the pandemic scenario. However, because the behavior of this epidemic is so complex and difficult to understand, an effective model must not only produce accurate predictive results but must also have a clear explanation that enables human experts to act proactively. For this reason, an innovative study has been planned to diagnose Troponin levels in the COVID-19 process with explainable white box algorithms to reach a clear explanation.

METHODS

Using the pandemic data provided by Erzurum Training and Research Hospital (decision number: 2022/13-145), an interpretable explanation of Troponin data was provided in the COVID-19 process with SHApley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) algorithms. Five machine learning (ML) algorithms were developed. Model performances were determined based on training, test accuracies, precision, F1-score, recall, and AUC (Area Under the Curve) values. Feature importance was estimated according to Shapley values by applying the SHApley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method to the model with high accuracy. The model created with Streamlit v.3.9 was integrated into the interface with the name CVD22.

RESULTS

Among the five-machine learning (ML) models created with pandemic data, the best model was selected with the values of 1.0, 0.83, 0.86, 0.83, 0.80, and 0.91 in train and test accuracy, precision, F1-score, recall, and AUC values, respectively. As a result of feature selection and SHApley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) algorithms applied to the XGBoost model, it was determined that DDimer mean, mortality, CKMB (creatine kinase myocardial band), and Glucose were the features with the highest importance over the model estimation.

CONCLUSIONS

Recent advances in new explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) models have successfully made it possible to predict the future using large historical datasets. Therefore, throughout the ongoing pandemic, CVD22 (https://cvd22covid.streamlitapp.com/) can be used as a guide to help authorities or medical professionals make the best decisions quickly.

A Decision Support System for Diagnosis of COVID-19 from Non-COVID-19 Influenza-like Illness Using Explainable Artificial Intelligence

The coronavirus pandemic emerged in early 2020 and turned out to be deadly, killing a vast number of people all around the world. Fortunately, vaccines have been discovered, and they seem effectual in controlling the severe prognosis induced by the virus. The reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test is the current golden standard for diagnosing different infectious diseases, including COVID-19; however, it is not always accurate. Therefore, it is extremely crucial to find an alternative diagnosis method which can support the results of the standard RT-PCR test. Hence, a decision support system has been proposed in this study that uses machine learning and deep learning techniques to predict the COVID-19 diagnosis of a patient using clinical, demographic and blood markers. The patient data used in this research were collected from two Manipal hospitals in India and a custom-made, stacked, multi-level ensemble classifier has been used to predict the COVID-19 diagnosis. Deep learning techniques such as deep neural networks (DNN) and one-dimensional convolutional networks (1D-CNN) have also been utilized. Further, explainable artificial techniques (XAI) such as Shapley additive values (SHAP), ELI5, local interpretable model explainer (LIME), and QLattice have been used to make the models more precise and understandable. Among all of the algorithms, the multi-level stacked model obtained an excellent accuracy of 96%. The precision, recall, f1-score and AUC obtained were 94%, 95%, 94% and 98% respectively. The models can be used as a decision support system for the initial screening of coronavirus patients and can also help ease the existing burden on medical infrastructure.

Explainable Machine Learning to Predict Successful Weaning of Mechanical Ventilation in Critically Ill Patients Requiring Hemodialysis

Lungs and kidneys are two vital and frequently injured organs among critically ill patients. In this study, we attempt to develop a weaning prediction model for patients with both respiratory and renal failure using an explainable machine learning (XML) approach. We used the eICU collaborative research database, which contained data from 335 ICUs across the United States. Four ML models, including XGBoost, GBM, AdaBoost, and RF, were used, with weaning prediction and feature windows, both at 48 h. The model's explanations were presented at the domain, feature, and individual levels by leveraging various techniques, including cumulative feature importance, the partial dependence plot (PDP), the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) plot, and local explanation with the local interpretable model-agnostic explanations (LIME). We enrolled 1789 critically ill ventilated patients requiring hemodialysis, and 42.8% (765/1789) of them were weaned successfully from mechanical ventilation. The accuracies in XGBoost and GBM were better than those in the other models. The discriminative characteristics of six key features used to predict weaning were demonstrated through the application of the SHAP and PDP plots. By utilizing LIME, we were able to provide an explanation of the predicted probabilities and the associated reasoning for successful weaning on an individual level. In conclusion, we used an XML approach to establish a weaning prediction model in critically ill ventilated patients requiring hemodialysis.

Optimal feature selection using novel flamingo search algorithm for classification of COVID-19 patients from clinical text

Though several AI-based models have been established for COVID-19 diagnosis, the machine-based diagnostic gap is still ongoing, making further efforts to combat this epidemic imperative. So, we tried to create a new feature selection (FS) method because of the persistent need for a reliable system to choose features and to develop a model to predict the COVID-19 virus from clinical texts. This study employs a newly developed methodology inspired by the flamingo's behavior to find a near-ideal feature subset for accurate diagnosis of COVID-19 patients. The best features are selected using a two-stage. In the first stage, we implemented a term weighting technique, which that is RTF-C-IEF, to quantify the significance of the features extracted. The second stage involves using a newly developed feature selection approach called the improved binary flamingo search algorithm (IBFSA), which chooses the most important and relevant features for COVID-19 patients. The proposed multi-strategy improvement process is at the heart of this study to improve the search algorithm. The primary objective is to broaden the algorithm's capabilities by increasing diversity and support exploring the algorithm search space. Additionally, a binary mechanism was used to improve the performance of traditional FSA to make it appropriate for binary FS issues. Two datasets, totaling 3053 and 1446 cases, were used to evaluate the suggested model based on the Support Vector Machine (SVM) and other classifiers. The results showed that IBFSA has the best performance compared to numerous previous swarm algorithms. It was noted, that the number of feature subsets that were chosen was also drastically reduced by 88% and obtained the best global optimal features.

Autopsy Findings and Inflammatory Markers in SARS-CoV-2: A Single-Center Experience

Purpose

The systemic inflammatory response related to COVID-19 can be easily investigated in living patients. Unfortunately, not every biomarker is suitable for postmortem analysis since several factors may interfere. The aim of this study was to summarize key histopathological findings within each organ system due to COVID-19 and to assess if serological inexpensive and widely available biomarkers such as CRP, IL-6, fibrinogen and d-Dimers, associated with adverse outcomes in COVID-19, can be implemented in a post-mortem assessment.

Patients and Methods

A total of 60 subjects divided in 2 groups were included. All subjects died outside a hospital setting and therefore did not receive specific or symptomatic therapies that could have modulated the inflammatory response. The first group included 45 subjects in which mandatory autopsy was performed in order to establish the cause of death and macroscopic examination of the lungs was highly suggestive of SARS-CoV-2 infection. As controls (Group 2), 20 subjects who died from polytrauma in high velocity car accidents and suicide were selected. Bronchial fluids collected during the autopsy procedure were used for the RT-PCR diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 and serum samples were sent for analysis of IL-6, CRP, d-Dimers and fibrinogen.

Results

Compared with the control group, the subjects of the COVID-19 group were older (59±19.5 vs.38±19.15 years, p=0.0002) and had more underlying comorbidities such as hypertension (60% vs 35%, p=0.06) or were overweight (53.3% vs 30%, p=0.08). The levels of CRP, IL-6, fibrinogen and d-Dimers in postmortem plasma samples were significantly higher in COVID-19 subjects than in control group (p< 0.0001). Moreover, the level of IL-6 was significantly higher in overweight patients (r=0.52, P<0.001). In all COVID-19 subjects, the histological examination revealed features corresponding to the exudative and/or proliferative phases of diffuse alveolar damage. Large pulmonary emboli were observed in 7 cases. Gross cardiac enlargement with left ventricular hypertrophy was observed in 19 cases. The most frequent pathological finding of the central nervous system was acute/early-subacute infarction.

Conclusion

Due to the complexity of the inflammatory response, we postulate that a combination of biomarkers, rather than a single laboratory parameter, might be more effective in obtaining a reliable postmortem COVID-19 diagnosis.

COVID-19 identification in chest X-ray images using intelligent multi-level classification scenario

COVID-19 is an evolving respiratory transmittable disease, and it holds all daily activity worldwide as a global pandemic. It appeared in the city of Wuhan (China) in November 2019 and slowly started spreading to the rest of the world. The number of cases keeps increasing drastically, leading to a shortage of medical resources and testing kids worldwide. As the physicians facing this problem, several scientists and specialists in Artificial Intelligent (AI) are rendering their support to healthcare professionals in the early detection of COVID-19 using chest X-ray image samples to determine the level of severity at a low cost. This paper proposed Genetic Deep Learning Convolutional Neural Network (GDCNN) architecture that includes Huddle Particle Swarm Optimization as an alternative to Gradient descent. Huddle PSO performs better when clubbed with GDCNN architecture. Based on publicly available datasets, trained chest X-ray images are used to predict and identify various pneumonia diseases. The proposed model performed better with an accuracy of 97.23%, a sensitivity of 98.62%, specificity of 97.0%, and precision of 93.0%. The proposed model act as a tool for earlier detection of COVID-19. In the future, we plan to apply the proposed model for the larger dataset and to predict various lung diseases.

SEL-COVIDNET: An intelligent application for the diagnosis of COVID-19 from chest X-rays and CT-scans

COVID-19 detection from medical imaging is a difficult challenge that has piqued the interest of experts worldwide. Chest X-rays and computed tomography (CT) scanning are the essential imaging modalities for diagnosing COVID-19. All researchers focus their efforts on developing viable methods and rapid treatment procedures for this pandemic. Fast and accurate automated detection approaches have been devised to alleviate the need for medical professionals. Deep Learning (DL) technologies have successfully recognized COVID-19 situations. This paper proposes a developed set of nine deep learning models for diagnosing COVID-19 based on transfer learning and implementation in a novel architecture (SEL-COVIDNET). We include a global average pooling layer, flattening, and two dense layers that are fully connected. The model’s effectiveness is evaluated using balanced and unbalanced COVID-19 radiography datasets. After that, our model’s performance is analyzed using six evaluation measures: accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, precision, F1-score, and Matthew’s correlation coefficient (MCC). Experiments demonstrated that the proposed SEL-COVIDNET with tuned DenseNet121, InceptionResNetV2, and MobileNetV3Large models outperformed the results of comparative SOTA for multi-class classification (COVID-19 vs. No-finding vs. Pneumonia) in terms of accuracy (98.52%), specificity (98.5%), sensitivity (98.5%), precision (98.7%), F1-score (98.7%), and MCC (97.5%). For the COVID-19 vs. No-finding classification, our method had an accuracy of 99.77%, a specificity of 99.85%, a sensitivity of 99.85%, a precision of 99.55%, an F1-score of 99.7%, and an MCC of 99.4%. The proposed model offers an accurate approach for detecting COVID-19 patients, which aids in the containment of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Novel Insights in Spatial Epidemiology Utilizing Explainable AI (XAI) and Remote Sensing

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected many aspects of human life around the world, due to its tremendous outcomes on public health and socio-economic activities. Policy makers have tried to develop efficient responses based on technologies and advanced pandemic control methodologies, to limit the wide spreading of the virus in urban areas. However, techniques such as social isolation and lockdown are short-term solutions that minimize the spread of the pandemic in cities and do not invert long-term issues that derive from climate change, air pollution and urban planning challenges that enhance the spreading ability. Thus, it seems crucial to understand what kind of factors assist or prevent the wide spreading of the virus. Although AI frameworks have a very efficient predictive ability as data-driven procedures, they often struggle to identify strong correlations among multidimensional data and provide robust explanations. In this paper, we propose the fusion of a heterogeneous, spatio-temporal dataset that combine data from eight European cities spanning from 1 January 2020 to 31 December 2021 and describe atmospheric, socio-economic, health, mobility and environmental factors all related to potential links with COVID-19. Remote sensing data are the key solution to monitor the availability on public green spaces between cities in the study period. So, we evaluate the benefits of NIR and RED bands of satellite images to calculate the NDVI and locate the percentage in vegetation cover on each city for each week of our 2-year study. This novel dataset is evaluated by a tree-based machine learning algorithm that utilizes ensemble learning and is trained to make robust predictions on daily cases and deaths. Comparisons with other machine learning techniques justify its robustness on the regression metrics RMSE and MAE. Furthermore, the explainable frameworks SHAP and LIME are utilized to locate potential positive or negative influence of the factors on global and local level, with respect to our model’s predictive ability. A variation of SHAP, namely treeSHAP, is utilized for our tree-based algorithm to make fast and accurate explanations.