Limitations of ejection fraction for prediction of sudden death risk in patients with coronary artery disease: lessons from the MUSTT study

Metabolomics Profiling Predicts Ventricular Arrhythmia in Patients with an Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillator

Implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICDs) reduce sudden cardiac death (SCD) when patients experience life-threatening ventricular arrhythmias (LTVA). However, current strategies determining ICD patient selection and risk stratification are inefficient. We used metabolomics to assess whether dysregulated metabolites are associated with LTVA and identify potential biomarkers. Baseline plasma samples were collected from 72 patients receiving ICDs. Over a median follow-up of 524.0 days (range 239.0-705.5), LTVA occurred in 23 (31.9%) patients (22 effective ICD treatments and 1 SCD). After confounding risk factors adjustment for age, smoking, secondary prevention, and creatine kinase MB, 23 metabolites were significantly associated with LTVA. Pathway analysis revealed LTVA associations with disrupted metabolism of glycine, serine, threonine, and branched chain amino acids. Pathway enrichment analysis identified a panel of 6 metabolites that potentially predicted LTVA, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.8. Future studies are necessary on biological mechanisms and potential clinical use.

Cardiac MRI as an Imaging Tool in Titin Variant-Related Dilated Cardiomyopathy

Dilated Cardiomyopathy is a common myocardial disease characterized by dilation and loss of function of one or both ventricles. A variety of etiologies have been implicated including genetic variation. Advancement in genetic sequencing, and diagnostic imaging allows for detection of genetic mutations in sarcomere protein titin (TTN) and high resolution assessment of cardiac function. This review article discusses the role of cardiac MRI in diagnosing dilated cardiomyopathy in patients with TTN variant related cardiomyopathy.

Prognostic Value of Different Thresholds for Myocardial Scar Quantification on Cardiac MRI Late Gadolinium Enhancement Images in Patients Receiving Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillators

Purpose

To compare the predictive value of different myocardial scar quantification thresholds using cardiac MRI for appropriate implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) shock and mortality.

Materials and Methods

In this retrospective, two-center observational cohort study, patients with ischemic or nonischemic cardiomyopathy underwent cardiac MRI prior to ICD implantation. Late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) was first determined visually and then quantified by blinded cardiac MRI readers using different SDs above the mean signal of normal myocardium, full-width half-maximum, and manual thresholding. The intermediate signal "gray zone" was calculated as the differences between different SDs.

Results

Among 374 consecutive eligible patients (mean age, 61 years ± 13 [SD]; mean left ventricular ejection fraction, 32% ± 14; secondary prevention, 62.7%), those with LGE had a higher rate of appropriate ICD shock or death than those without (37.5% vs 26.6%, log-rank P = .04) over a median follow-up of 61 months. In multivariable analysis, none of the thresholds for quantifying scar was a significant predictor of mortality or appropriate ICD shock, while the extent of gray zone was an independent predictor (adjusted hazard ratio per 1 g = 1.025; 95% CI: 1.008, 1.043; P = .005) regardless of the presence or absence of ischemic heart disease (P interaction = .57). Model discrimination was highest for the model incorporating the gray zone (between 2 SD and 4 SD).

Conclusion

Presence of LGE was associated with a higher rate of appropriate ICD shock or death. Although none of the scar quantification techniques predicted outcomes, the gray zone both in infarct and nonischemic scar was an independent predictor and may refine risk stratification.Keywords: MRI, Scar Quantification, Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillator, Sudden Cardiac Death Supplemental material is available for this article. © RSNA, 2023.

Strain Imaging and Ventricular Arrhythmia

Ventricular arrhythmia is one of the main causes of sudden cardiac death. Hence, identifying patients at risk of ventricular arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death is important but can be challenging. The indication for an implantable cardioverter defibrillator as a primary preventive strategy relies on the left ventricular ejection fraction as a measure of systolic function. However, ejection fraction is flawed by technical constraints and is an indirect measure of systolic function. There has, therefore, been an incentive to identify other markers to optimize the risk prediction of malignant arrhythmias to select proper candidates who could benefit from an implantable cardioverter defibrillator. Speckle-tracking echocardiography allows for a detailed assessment of cardiac mechanics, and strain imaging has repeatedly been shown to be a sensitive technique to identify systolic dysfunction unrecognized by ejection fraction. Several strain measures, including global longitudinal strain, regional strain, and mechanical dispersion, have consequently been proposed as potential markers of ventricular arrhythmias. In this review, we will provide an overview of the potential use of different strain measures in the context of ventricular arrhythmias.

Abnormal Mechanics Relate to Myocardial Fibrosis and Ventricular Arrhythmias in Patients With Mitral Valve Prolapse

BACKGROUND

The relation between ventricular arrhythmia and fibrosis in mitral valve prolapse (MVP) is reported, but underlying valve-induced mechanisms remain unknown. We evaluated the association between abnormal MVP-related mechanics and myocardial fibrosis, and their association with arrhythmia.

METHODS

We studied 113 patients with MVP with both echocardiogram and gadolinium cardiac magnetic resonance imaging for myocardial fibrosis. Two-dimensional and speckle-tracking echocardiography evaluated mitral regurgitation, superior leaflet and papillary muscle displacement with associated exaggerated basal myocardial systolic curling, and myocardial longitudinal strain. Follow-up assessed arrhythmic events (nonsustained or sustained ventricular tachycardia or ventricular fibrillation).

RESULTS

Myocardial fibrosis was observed in 43 patients with MVP, predominantly in the basal-midventricular inferior-lateral wall and papillary muscles. Patients with MVP with fibrosis had greater mitral regurgitation, prolapse, and superior papillary muscle displacement with basal curling and more impaired inferior-posterior basal strain than those without fibrosis (P<0.001). An abnormal strain pattern with distinct peaks pre-end-systole and post-end-systole in inferior-lateral wall was frequent in patients with fibrosis (81 versus 26%, P<0.001) but absent in patients without MVP with basal inferior-lateral wall fibrosis (n=20). During median follow-up of 1008 days, 36 of 87 patients with MVP with >6-month follow-up developed ventricular arrhythmias associated (univariable) with fibrosis, greater prolapse, mitral annular disjunction, and double-peak strain. In multivariable analysis, double-peak strain showed incremental risk of arrhythmia over fibrosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Basal inferior-posterior myocardial fibrosis in MVP is associated with abnormal MVP-related myocardial mechanics, which are potentially associated with ventricular arrhythmia. These associations suggest pathophysiological links between MVP-related mechanical abnormalities and myocardial fibrosis, which also may relate to ventricular arrhythmia and offer potential imaging markers of increased arrhythmic risk.

Can the Norton Scale Score Be Used as an Adjunct Tool for Implantable Defibrillator Patient Selection? A Retrospective Single-Center Cohort Study

(1) Background: Implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICDs) have become the standard of care in the prevention of sudden cardiac death, yet studies have shown that competing causes of death may limit ICD benefits. The Norton scale is a pressure ulcer risk score shown to have prognostic value in other fields. The purpose of this study was to assess the use of the Norton scale as an aid for ICD patient selection; (2) Methods: The study was comprised of consecutive patients who underwent defibrillator implantation at Sheba Medical Center between 2008 and 2016. A competing risk analysis was performed to assess the likelihood of death prior to device therapy; (3) Results: 695 patients were included. A total of 59 (8.5%) patients had low admission Norton scale score (ANSS) (≤14), 81 (11.7%) had intermediate ANSS (15−17), and the remainder (79.8%) had high (18−20) ANSS. The cumulative probability of all-cause mortality within one year of ICD implantation in patients with low ANSS was 30%, compared with 20% and 7% among the intermediate- and high-ANSS groups, respectively. Moreover, the one-year mortality rate without ICD therapy in low-ANSS patients was over four-fold compared with that of high-ANSS patients (33% versus 7%, p < 0.0001); (4) Conclusions: The Norton scale could be a useful additional tool in predicting the life expectancy of ICD candidates, thereby improving patient selection.

Impact of late gadolinium enhancement extent, location, and pattern on ventricular tachycardia and major adverse cardiac events in patients with ischemic vs. non-ischemic cardiomyopathy

Background

Left ventricular late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) by cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) has been associated with increased risk for life-threatening ventricular tachyarrhythmias. The differences in association between LGE characteristics and prognosis in patients with ischemic (ICM) vs. non-ischemic (NICM) cardiomyopathy is incompletely understood.

Methods

A total of 168 consecutive patients who underwent CMR imaging with either ICM or NICM were included in our study. LGE extent, location and pattern were examined for association to the primary endpoint of ventricular tachycardia (VT) and secondary endpoint of major adverse cardiac events (MACE).

Results

Of 68 (41%) patients with ICM and 97 (59%) patients with NICM, median LGE mass was 15% (IQR 9–28) for the ICM group and 10% (IQR 6–15) for the NICM group. On multivariate analysis for both groups, LGE characteristics were prognostic while LVEF was not. In patients with ICM, septal and apical segment LGE, and involvement of multiple walls predicted both endpoints on multivariate analysis. LGE extent (≥median) and inferior wall LGE independently predicted the primary endpoint. In patients with NICM, anterior, inferior and apical segment LGE, and involvement of multiple walls predicted both endpoints on multivariate analysis. LGE extent (≥median, number of LGE segments, LGE stratified per 5% increase) and midwall LGE were independent predictors of the primary endpoint.

Conclusions

Although LGE was an independent predictor of prognosis in both groups, LGE extent, location, and pattern characteristics were more powerful correlates to worse outcomes in patients with NICM than ICM.

Toward Better Risk Stratification for Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillator Recipients: Implications of Explainable Machine Learning Models

Background: Current guideline-based implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) implants fail to meet the demands for precision medicine. Machine learning (ML) designed for survival analysis might facilitate personalized risk stratification. We aimed to develop explainable ML models predicting mortality and the first appropriate shock and compare these to standard Cox proportional hazards (CPH) regression in ICD recipients. Methods and Results: Forty-five routine clinical variables were collected. Four fine-tuned ML approaches (elastic net Cox regression, random survival forests, survival support vector machine, and XGBoost) were applied and compared with the CPH model on the test set using Harrell’s C-index. Of 887 adult patients enrolled, 199 patients died (5.0 per 100 person-years) and 265 first appropriate shocks occurred (12.4 per 100 person-years) during the follow-up. Patients were randomly split into training (75%) and test (25%) sets. Among ML models predicting death, XGBoost achieved the highest accuracy and outperformed the CPH model (C-index: 0.794 vs. 0.760, p < 0.001). For appropriate shock, survival support vector machine showed the highest accuracy, although not statistically different from the CPH model (0.621 vs. 0.611, p = 0.243). The feature contribution of ML models assessed by SHAP values at individual and overall levels was in accordance with established knowledge. Accordingly, a bi-dimensional risk matrix integrating death and shock risk was built. This risk stratification framework further classified patients with different likelihoods of benefiting from ICD implant. Conclusions: Explainable ML models offer a promising tool to identify different risk scenarios in ICD-eligible patients and aid clinical decision making. Further evaluation is needed.

Prediction of Sudden Cardiac Death Manifesting With Documented Ventricular Fibrillation or Pulseless Ventricular Tachycardia

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to develop a novel clinical prediction algorithm for avertable sudden cardiac death.

BACKGROUND

Sudden cardiac death manifests as ventricular fibrillation (VF)/ ventricular tachycardia (VT) potentially treatable with defibrillation, or nonshockable rhythms (pulseless electrical activity/asystole) with low likelihood of survival. There are no available clinical risk scores for targeted prediction of VF/VT.

METHODS

Subjects with out-of-hospital sudden cardiac arrest presenting with documented VF or pulseless VT (33% of total cases) were ascertained prospectively from the Portland, Oregon, metro area with population ≈1 million residents (n = 1,374, 2002-2019). Comparisons of lifetime clinical records were conducted with a control group (n = 1,600) with ≈70% coronary disease prevalence. Prediction models were constructed from a training dataset using backwards stepwise logistic regression and applied to an internal validation dataset. Receiver operating characteristic curves (C statistic) were used to evaluate model discrimination. External validation was performed in a separate, geographically distinct population (Ventura County, California, population ≈850,000, 2015-2020).

RESULTS

A clinical algorithm (VFRisk) constructed with 13 clinical, electrocardiogram, and echocardiographic variables had very good discrimination in the training dataset (C statistic = 0.808; [95% CI: 0.774-0.842]) and was successfully validated in internal (C statistic = 0.776 [95% CI: 0.725-0.827]) and external (C statistic = 0.782 [95% CI: 0.718-0.846]) datasets. The algorithm substantially outperformed the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤35% (C statistic = 0.638) and performed well across the LVEF spectrum.

CONCLUSIONS

An algorithm for prediction of sudden cardiac arrest manifesting with VF/VT was successfully constructed using widely available clinical and noninvasive markers. These findings have potential to enhance primary prevention, especially in patients with mid-range or preserved LVEF.

Delayed intrinsicoid deflection: Electrocardiographic harbinger of heart disease

Delayed intrinsicoid deflection (DID) is an emerging electrocardiogram (ECG) marker of major clinical significance that is increasingly getting attention. Intrinsicoid deflection measures ventricular depolarization in the initial portion of the QRS complex, and DID is defined as an R wave peak time of ≥50 ms in leads V₅ and V₆ . Prior studies have identified an independent association between DID and cardiovascular conditions such as left ventricular hypertrophy, heart failure, and sudden cardiac death. The exact mechanism that results in DID remains unknown. Animal models indicate that DID may result from abnormal calcium and potassium conductance as well as extracellular matrix remodeling. DID remains an ECG marker of interest given its potential predictive value of underlying cardiovascular pathology and adverse events. This review provides an update on the proposed mechanisms and associations, as well as the clinical and research implications of DID.

Extracellular volume is an independent predictor of arrhythmic burden in dilated cardiomyopathy

The current stratification of arrhythmic risk in dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) is sub-optimal. Cardiac fibrosis is involved in the pathology of arrhythmias; however, the relationship between cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) derived extracellular volume (ECV) and arrhythmic burden (AB) in DCM is unknown. This study sought to evaluate the presence and extent of replacement and interstitial fibrosis in DCM and to compare the degree of fibrosis between DCM patients with and without AB. This is a prospective, single-center, observational study. Between May 2019 and September 2020, 102 DCM patients underwent CMR T1 mapping. 99 DCM patients (88 male, mean age 45.2 ± 11.8 years, mean EF 29.7 ± 10%) composed study population. AB was defined as the presence of VT or a high burden of PVCs. There were 41 (41.4%) patients with AB and 58 (58.6%) without AB. Replacement fibrosis was assessed with late gadolinium enhancement (LGE), whereas interstitial fibrosis with ECV. Overall, LGE was identified in 41% of patients. There was a similar distribution of LGE (without AB 50% vs. with AB 53.7%; p = 0.8) and LGE extent (without AB 4.36 ± 5.77% vs. with AB 4.68 ± 3.98%; p = 0.27) in both groups. ECV at nearly all myocardial segments and a global ECV were higher in patients with AB (global ECV: 27.9 ± 4.9 vs. 30.3 ± 4.2; p < 0.02). Only indexed left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (HR 1.1, 95%CI 1.0-1.2; p < 0.02) and global ECV (HR 1.12, 95%CI 1.0-1.25; p < 0.02) were independently associated with AB. The global ECV cut-off value of 31.05% differentiated both groups (AUC 0.713; 95%CI 0.598-0.827; p < 0.001). Neither qualitative nor quantitative LGE-based assessment of replacement fibrosis allowed for the stratification of DCM patients into low or high AB. Interstitial fibrosis, expressed as ECV, was an independent predictor of AB in DCM. Incorporation of CMR parametric indices into decision-making processes may improve arrhythmic risk stratification in DCM.

Myocardial strain by cardiac magnetic resonance: A valuable predictor of outcome after infarct revascularization

PURPOSE

To evaluate the prognostic value of left ventricular strains by cardiac magnetic resonance feature tracking (CMR-FT) in patients with re-perfused myocardial infarction (MI).

METHODS

The study enrolled 58 patients with re-vascularized MI who underwent CMR within a week from acute MI. An 18-month follow-up was carried out for the composite endpoint of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). A 3 to 6-month post-MI ejection fraction (EF) was also measured. The predictive value of global longitudinal, circumferential, and radial strains (GLS, GCS, and GRS, respectively) for MACE and the follow-up EF was evaluated.

RESULTS

All the global strains showed significant impairment in MACE positive cases (P < 0.05 for all). On univariate regression, MACE was reversely associated with early post-MI EF (OR: 0.90, 95% CI: 0.83-0.98, P: 0.01), and directly associated with GLS (OR: 1.32, 95% CI: 1.03-1.69, P: 0.02), GCS (OR: 1.23, 95% CI: 1.00-1.50, P: 0.04) and EDVI (OR:1.02, 95 %CI: 1.00-1.04, P: 0.01). On multivariate regression model, only the interaction between EF and GLS showed a significant association with MACE (OR[CI95%]: 1.1 [1.06-1.21]). EF < 30% and GLS > -8.9% had the highest sensitivity (78.9% and 89.5%, respectively) and specificity (45.2% and 54.8%, respectively) to predict MACE. The combination of EF < 30% and GLS > -8.9% increased the sensitivity to 94.7%. In addition, the cutoff values of 35.1% for early post-MI EF and -10% for GLS could identify patients with impaired follow-up EF with more than 80% sensitivity and specificity [AUC (CI95%): 0.893(0.76-1.00) for EF and AUC (CI95%):0.836(0.67-1,00) for GLS, P < 0.05 for both)].

CONCLUSIONS

GLS by CMR-FT is a powerful prognosticator of MACE and functional recovery in MI survivors, with incremental value added to early post-MI EF alone.

The DAPA Trial in the Context of Previous Prophylactic ICD Landmark Trials

In patients with ischaemic cardiomyopathy and severely reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), an arrhythmogenic milieu is created by a complex interplay between myocardial scarring (assessed by cardiac MRI) and multiple other factors (ventricular ectopy, ischaemia and autonomic imbalance), favouring the occurrence of arrhythmic sudden cardiac death (SCD). Currently, a dynamic and robust model of dichotomised SCD risk assessment after primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is lacking, underlining the urgent need for further refinement of the widely accepted and guidelines-based criteria (ischaemic cardiomyopathy, LVEF ≤35%) for primary prevention. This review addresses the potential additional value of the recently published Defibrillator After Primary Angioplasty (DAPA) trial results. The DAPA trial conveys important messages and provides novel perspectives regarding left ventricular function post-primary PCI as an (early) risk marker for SCD and the impact of prophylactic ICD implantation on survival in this cohort. In the context of other previous primary prevention trials, DAPA was the first trial including only ST-elevation MI patients all treated with acute PCI.

Burden of Ventricular Arrhythmias in Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy Defibrillation and Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillator Recipients with Recovered Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction: The Additive Role of Speckle-Tracking Echocardiography

BACKGROUND

Patients with heart failure undergoing cardiac resynchronization therapy with or without defibrillator function may exhibit recovery of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) during follow-up. Mechanical dispersion (MD; the SD of time to peak longitudinal strain by two-dimensional speckle-tracking echocardiography) is a known predictor of life-threatening ventricular arrhythmias (VAs). Relationships among LVEF recovery, changes in MD, and incidence of VA are still not extensively investigated.

METHODS

In this retrospective study, recipients of cardiac resynchronization therapy defibrillation (n = 183) or implantable cardioverter-defibrillators only (n = 87) underwent conventional and speckle-tracking echocardiography, both at baseline and after 10 to 12 months, and were followed clinically. Both a ≥10% increase in LVEF and a final LVEF > 35% defined echocardiographic response (Echo_Resp). Reduction in MD ≥10 msec defined MD response (MD_Resp). Risk for appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator therapy for VAs was assessed using a multivariable Cox hazard model.

RESULTS

The prevalence of Echo_Resp+ and MD_Resp+ was 39% and 46%, respectively. During follow-up (49.8 ± 33.5 months), 74 VA events occurred. The incidence rate (per 100 patient-years) of VAs was lowest in the Echo_Resp+/MD_Resp+ group (1.66%; 95% CI, 0.69%-3.99%), highest in the Echo_Resp-/MD_Resp- group (12.8%; 95% CI, 9.53%-17.2%; P < .0001), and intermediate in the Echo_Resp-/MD_Resp+ (5.5%; 95% CI, 3.3%-9.4%) or Echo_Resp+/MD_Resp- (5.3%; 95% CI, 3.0%-9.4%) group. Multivariable analysis showed that higher MD at follow-up (>71.4 msec) was associated with VAs independent of whether final LVEF was below or above the guideline-reported cutoff of 35% (P < .05).

CONCLUSIONS

Among ICD recipients, improvements in both left ventricular function and MD are associated with reduced risk for VAs. In patients whose follow-up LVEFs improved to >35%, risk for VAs, although substantially decreased, remained elevated in the presence of still elevated MD.

Effect of SAcubitril/Valsartan on left vEntricular ejection fraction and on the potential indication for Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillator in primary prevention: the SAVE-ICD study

PURPOSE

Sacubitril/valsartan has been associated with a positive reverse left ventricular remodelling in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). These patients may also benefit from an ICD implant. We aimed to assess EF improvement after 6 months of treatment with sacubitril/valsartan, evaluating when ICD as primary prevention was no longer indicated.

METHODS

Multicentre, observational, prospective study enrolling all consecutive patients with HFrEF and EF ≤ 35% with an ICD as primary prevention and starting treatment with sacubitril/valsartan (NCT03935087). Resynchronization therapy and patients experiencing appropriate ICD therapies before sacubitril/valsartan were excluded.

RESULTS

Two-hundred-and-thirty patients were enrolled (73.9% males, mean age 64.3 ± 12.1 years) After 6 months of treatment, a reduction in left ventricular end-diastolic and end-systolic volumes was noted and LVEF increased from 28.3 ± 5.6% to 32.2 ± 6.5% (p < 0.001). At 6 months, a non-ischemic aetiology of cardiomyopathy and a final dose of sacubitril/valsartan > 24/26 mg twice daily were associated with a higher probability of an absolute increase of > 5% in LVEF. A total of 5.3% of primary prevention patients still had an arrhythmic event in the first 6 months after treatment with sacubitril/valsartan started.

CONCLUSIONS

Sacubitril/valsartan improves systolic function in HFrEF, mainly due to reverse left ventricular remodelling. Improvement in EF after 6 months of treatment could help prevent ICD implantation in nearly one out of four patients, with important clinical and economic implications. However, the risk of sudden cardiac death in this recovered HFrEF population has not been thoroughly studied, and the present data should be interpreted only as hypothesis-generating.

Usefulness of echocardiography for predicting ventricular tachycardia detected by implantable loop recorder in syncope patients

Ventricular tachycardia (VT) may lead to syncope and sudden cardiac death. Implantable loop recorders (ILR) are recommended in the clinical work-up of patients with unexplained syncope. Our aim was to evaluate if echocardiographic parameters assessed prior to ILR implantation in patients with unexplained syncope may aid in identifying individuals with an increased risk of VT. The present study included 288 ambulatory patients (mean age 58 ± 19 years, 51% women) with syncope (90%) and presyncope (10%) who had an ILR implanted in the diagnostic workup. All patients underwent an echocardiographic examination prior to device implantation (median 3 months [IQR 1 to 6 months]). We examined incident VT, defined as a first-time episode of VT (> 30 s) or non-sustained VT (< 30 s) detected by the ILR. During median follow-up of 2.9 years [IQR 1.3 to 3.5 years] of continuous rhythm monitoring, 36 patients (13%) were diagnosed with incident VT (n = 25 non-sustained VT, n = 11 sustained VT). In unadjusted Cox proportional hazards models, left ventricular (LV) mass index (HR: 1.04 per 1 g/m² increase [1.00 to 1.08], P = 0.047), mean LV wall thickness (HR: 1.36 per 1 mm increase [1.08 to 1.71], P = 0.009), and global longitudinal strain (HR: 1.15 per 1% decrease [1.05 to 1.25], P = 0.002) were significantly associated with VT. After adjusting for age, sex, implantable loop recorder indication and known heart failure, the above-mentioned parameters remained significantly associated with incident VT. LV mass index, LV wall thickness, and GLS may aid in identifying patients with increased risk of incident VT among patients with syncope. Echocardiography may potentially help select patients who can benefit from ILR.

Calcified myocardial scar seen via cardiac imaging correlating with ventricular tachycardia focus

A 74-year-old man presented with presyncope and non-sustained monomorphic ventricular tachycardia in the setting of acute coronary syndrome. On coronary angiogram, a calcified myocardial scar was revealed, which was later identified as the ventricular tachycardia focus via electrophysiological study.

Arrhythmic event prediction in patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction

AIMS

Implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) is an effective treatment to reduce mortality in patients with symptomatic heart failure and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) 35% or less. LVEF presents a low sensitivity for predicting arrhythmic events. Aim of this study was to identify predictors of sustained ventricular arrhythmias (SVAs), overall and according to the cause of heart failure.

METHODS

Single-center, retrospective, cohort study of 193 patients (51 nonischemic and 142 ischemic) with chronic heart failure and LVEF less than 35% who had received ICD for primary prevention of sudden cardiac death. We collected clinical data, echocardiographic parameters and SVAs detected by the ICD.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 1440 days, 32 (16.2%) patients had SVAs. SVAs incidence was similar in patients with nonischemic (15.6%) and ischemic cause of heart failure (16.9%). Hypertension, diabetes, chronic renal failure, atrial fibrillation, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, New York Heart Association class at least III were predictors at univariate analysis of SVAs. A clinical score, assigning one point to each of these variables, was associated with a significantly increased risk of SVAs [odds ratio for each point increase = 1.92, 95% confidence interval 1.40-2.65, P < 0.0001, area under the curve (AUC) 0.73], with 72% sensitivity and 60% specificity for a cutoff at least three and remained significant in nonischemic (AUC 0.84) and ischemic (AUC 0.68) patients.

CONCLUSION

Our study shows the benefit of ICD implantation in primary prevention and its independency of cause. A simple clinical score, based on comorbidities, identifies patients with more benefits from ICD implantation.

Augmented Oscillations in QT Interval Duration Predict Mortality Post Myocardial Infarction Independent of Heart Rate

Objective

This study seeks to decompose QT variability (QTV) into physiological sources and assess their role for risk stratification in patients post myocardial infarction (MI). We hypothesize that the magnitude of QTV that cannot be explained by heart rate or respiration carries important prognostic information.

Background

Elevated beat-to-beat QTV is predictive of cardiac mortality, but the underlying mechanisms, and hence its interpretation, remain opaque.

Methods

We decomposed the QTV of 895 patients post MI into contributions by heart rate, respiration, and unexplained sources.

Results

Cox proportional hazard analysis demonstrates that augmented oscillations in QTV and their level of dissociation from heart rate are associated with a higher 5-year mortality rate (18.4% vs. 4.7%, p < 0.0001). In patients with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) > 35%, a higher QTV risk score was associated with a significantly higher 5-year mortality rate (16% vs. 4%, p < 0.0001). In patients with a GRACE score ≥ 120, a higher QTV risk score was associated with a significantly higher 5-year mortality (25% vs. 11%, p < 0.001).

Conclusion

Augmented oscillations in QTV and discordance from heart rate, possibly indicative of excessive sympathetic outflow to the ventricular myocardium, predict high risk in patients post MI independent from established risk markers.

Clinical Trial Registration

www.ClinicalTrials.gov, identifier NCT00196274.

Primary Prevention Implantable Cardiac Defibrillators: A Townsville District Perspective

Background: Despite major advances in treating patients with severe heart failure, deciding who should receive an implantable cardiac defibrillator (ICD) remains challenging.

Objective: To study the risk factors and mortality in patients after receiving an ICD (January 2008–December 2015) in a regional hospital in Australia.

Methods: Eighty-two primary prevention patients received an ICD for ischemic cardiomyopathy (ICM, n = 41) and non-ischemic cardiomyopathy (NICM, n = 40) with 4.8-yrs follow-up. One patient had mixed ICM/NICM indications. Ventricular arrhythmias were assessed using intracardiac electrograms. Statistical analysis compared the total population and ICM and NICM groups using Kaplan-Meier for survival, Cox regression for mortality predictors, and binary logistic regression for predictors of ventricular arrhythmias (p < 0.05).

Results: Major risk factors were hypercholesterolemia (70.7%), hypertension (47.6%), and obesity (41.5%). Severe obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) was found exclusively in NICM patients (23.7%, p = 0.001). Mortality was 30.5% after 4.8-yrs. The majority of patients (n=67) had no sustained ventricular arrhythmias yet 28% received therapy (n = 23), 18.51% were appropriate (n = 15), and 13.9% inappropriate (n = 11). Patients receiving ≥2 incidences of inappropriate shocks were 18-times more likely to die (p = 0.013). Three sudden cardiac deaths (SCD) (3.7%) were prevented by the ICD.

Conclusion: Patients implanted with an ICD in Townsville had 30.5% all-cause mortality after 4.8-yrs. Only 28% of patients received ICD therapy and 13.9% were inappropriate. OSA may have contributed to the fourfold increase in inappropriate therapy in NICM patients. Our study raises important efficacy, ethical and healthcare cost questions about who should receive an ICD, and possible regional and urban center disparities.

A propensity score-matched analysis indicates screening for asymptomatic coronary artery disease does not predict cardiac events in kidney transplant recipients

Screening for asymptomatic coronary artery disease prior to kidney transplantation aims to reduce peri- and post-operative cardiac events. It is uncertain if this is achieved. Here, we investigated whether pre-transplant screening with a stress test or coronary angiogram associated with any difference in major adverse cardiac events (MACE) up to five years post-transplantation. We examined a national prospective cohort recruited to the Access to Transplant and Transplant Outcome Measures study who received a kidney transplant between 2011-2017, and linked patient demographics and details of cardiac screening investigations to outcome data extracted from the Hospital Episode Statistics dataset and United Kingdom Renal Registry. Propensity score matched groups were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox survival analyses. Overall, 2572 individuals were transplanted in 18 centers; 51% underwent screening and the proportion undergoing screening by center ranged from 5-100%. The incidence of MACE at 90 days, one and five years was 0.9%, 2.1% and 9.4% respectively. After propensity score matching based on the presence or absence of screening, 1760 individuals were examined (880 each in screened and unscreened groups). There was no statistically significant association between screening and MACE at 90 days (hazard ratio 0.80, 95% Confidence Interval 0.31-2.05), one year (1.12, 0.51-2.47) or five years (1.31, 0.86-1.99). Age, male sex and history of ischemic heart disease were associated with MACE. Thus, there is no association between screening for asymptomatic coronary artery disease and MACE up to five years post-transplant. Practices involving unselected screening of transplant recipients should be reviewed.

Long-Term Outcome of the Randomized DAPA Trial

Background:

The randomized DAPA trial (Defibrillator After Primary Angioplasty) aimed to evaluate the survival benefit of prophylactic implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) implantation in early selected high-risk patients after primary percutaneous coronary intervention for ST-segment–elevation myocardial infarction.

Methods:

A randomized, multicenter, controlled trial compared ICD versus conventional medical therapy in high-risk patients with primary percutaneous coronary intervention, based on one of the following factors: left ventricular ejection fraction <30% within 4 days after ST-segment–elevation myocardial infarction, primary ventricular fibrillation, Killip class ≥2 or TIMI (Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction) flow <3 after percutaneous coronary intervention. ICD was implanted 30 to 60 days after MI. Primary end point was all-cause mortality at 3 years follow-up. The trial prematurely ended after inclusion of 266 patients (38% of the calculated sample size). Additional survival assessment was performed in February 2019 for the primary end point.

Results:

A total of 266 patients, 78.2% males, with a mean age of 60.8±11.3 years, were enrolled. One hundred thirty-one patients were randomized to the ICD arm and 135 patients to the control arm. All-cause mortality was significant lower in the ICD group (5% versus 13%, hazard ratio, 0.37 [95% CI, 0.15–0.95]) after 3 years follow-up. Appropriate ICD therapy occurred in 9 patients at 3 years follow-up (5 within the first 8 months after implantation). After a median long-term follow-up of 9 years (interquartile range, 3–11), total mortality (18% versus 38%; hazard ratio, 0.58 [95% CI, 0.37–0.91]), and cardiac mortality (hazard ratio, 0.52 [95% CI, 0.28–0.99]) was significant lower in the ICD group. Noncardiac death was not significantly different between groups. Left ventricular ejection fraction increased ≥10% in 46.5% of the patients during follow-up, and the extent of improvement was similar in both study groups.

Conclusions:

In this prematurely terminated and thus underpowered randomized trial, early prophylactic ICD implantation demonstrated lower total and cardiac mortality in patients with high-risk ST-segment–elevation myocardial infarction treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention.

Registration:

URL: https://www.trialregister.nl ; Unique identifier: Trial NL74 (NTR105).

Arrhythmic burden among asymptomatic patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy and an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator

BACKGROUND

The clinical benefit of primary prevention implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) therapy in asymptomatic patients (New York Heart Association [NYHA] functional class I) with ischemic cardiomyopathy and left ventricular dysfunction is continually disputed.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the incidence of ventricular arrhythmias, mortality rates, and appropriate device therapies by NYHA class in a prospective national ICD registry.

METHODS

The study comprised 1670 consecutive patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy who were implanted with a primary prevention ICD and enrolled in the prospective national Israeli ICD Registry from 2010. The risk for clinical and arrhythmic events was assessed by NYHA class.

RESULTS

Asymptomatic patients (NYHA I) composed 19% of the study cohort. Comparison according to NYHA class showed that the highest mortality rate was in the NYHA III-IV group vs NYHA I and NYHA II (10.5% vs 5.4% and 5.8%, respectively; log rank P = .003). Conversely, cumulative incidence of appropriate ICD therapies, corrected for death as a competing risk, were higher among patients with NYHA I (11% vs 7%; P = .021). In a multivariate model, NYHA I vs ≥II remained independently associated with a significant 2-fold risk for appropriate ICD therapy (hazard ratio 2.03; 95% confidence interval 1.28-3.24).

CONCLUSION

Our findings indicate that patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy without heart failure symptoms have a higher risk of appropriate ICD therapy compared with symptomatic patients after adjustment for the competing risk of death, suggesting possible incremental benefit of primary ICD implantation in this population.

Myocardial Fibrosis as a Pathway of Prediction of Ventricular Arrhythmias and Sudden Cardiac Death in Patients With Nonischemic Dilated Cardiomyopathy

The mechanism of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in patients with nonischemic dilated cardiomyopathy (NIDCM) is mostly due to sustained ventricular tachycardia and ventricular fibrillation. The clinical guidelines for the therapeutic management of this set of patients are mostly based on left ventricular ejection fraction value which has a low specificity to differentiate the risk of SCD from the risk of mortality associated with heart failure or other comorbidities. Moreover, since SCD can occur in patients with normal or mildly depressed ejection fraction, it is necessary to identify new markers to improve the prognostic stratification of SCD. Several studies that analyzed the ventricular arrhythmia substrate found that myocardial fibrosis plays an important role in the genesis of ventricular arrhythmias in patients with NIDCM. The surrounding zone of the area of fibrosis is a heterogeneous medium, where tissue with different levels of fibrosis coexists, resulting in both viable and nonviable myocardium. This myocardial fibrosis may constitute a substrate for ventricular arrhythmias, where slow and heterogeneous conduction may favor the genesis of reentry mechanism increasing the chance to develop sustained ventricular tachycardia or ventricular fibrillation. Therefore, the evaluation of ventricular fibrosis by late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) cardiac magnetic resonance imaging has been suggested as an indicator for SCD risk stratification. Indeed, LGE in patients with NIDCM is associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality, heart failure hospitalization, and SCD. Detection of myocardial fibrosis as LGE by cardiac magnetic resonance imaging can be considered as a useful pathway of prediction of malignant ventricular arrhythmias since it has excellent prognostic characteristics and may help guide risk stratification and management in patients with NIDCM.

Cardiac Imaging With 123I-meta-iodobenzylguanidine and Analogous PET Tracers: Current Status and Future Perspectives

Autonomic innervation plays an important role in proper functioning of the cardiovascular system. Altered cardiac sympathetic function is present in a variety of diseases, and can be assessed with radionuclide imaging using sympathetic neurotransmitter analogues. The most studied adrenergic radiotracer is cardiac ¹²³I-meta-iodobenzylguanidine (¹²³I-mIBG). Cardiac ¹²³I-mIBG uptake can be evaluated using both planar and tomographic imaging, thereby providing insight into global and regional sympathetic innervation. Standardly assessed imaging parameters are the heart-to-mediastinum ratio and washout rate, customarily derived from planar images. Focal tracer deficits on tomographic imaging also show prognostic utility, with some data suggesting that the best approach to tomographic image interpretation may differ from conventional methods. Cardiac ¹²³I-mIBG image findings strongly correlate with the severity and prognosis of many cardiovascular diseases, especially heart failure and ventricular arrhythmias. Cardiac ¹²³I-mIBG imaging in heart failure is FDA approved for prognostic purposes. With the robustly demonstrated ability to predict occurrence of potentially fatal arrhythmias, cardiac ¹²³I-mIBG imaging shows promise for better selecting patients who will benefit from an implantable cardioverter defibrillator, but clinical use has been hampered by lack of the randomized trial needed for incorporation into societal guidelines. In patients with ischemic heart disease, cardiac ¹²³I-mIBG imaging aids in assessing the extent of damage and in identifying arrhythmogenic regions. There have also been studies using cardiac ¹²³I-mIBG for other conditions, including patients following heart transplantation, diabetic related cardiac abnormalities and chemotherapy induced cardiotoxicity. Positron emission tomographic adrenergic radiotracers, that improve image quality, have been investigated, especially ¹¹C-meta-hydroxyephedrine, and most recently ¹⁸F-fluorbenguan. Cadmium-zinc-telluride cameras also improve image quality. With better spatial resolution and quantification, PET tracers and advanced camera technologies promise to expand the clinical utility of cardiac sympathetic imaging.

CHA2DS2-VASc Score and the Risk of Ventricular Tachyarrhythmic Events and Mortality in MADIT-CRT

Background

We hypothesized that multiple cardiovascular comorbidities, incorporated in the CHA₂DS₂‐VASc score, may be useful in the assessment of ventricular tachyarrhythmias (VTAs) and mortality risk in heart failure (HF) patients.

Methods and Results

We evaluated the association between the CHA₂DS₂‐VASc score (dichotomized as high at the upper quartile [≥5] and further assessed as a continuous measure) and the risk of VTA and death among 1804 patients enrolled in MADIT‐CRT (Multicenter Automatic Defibrillator Implantation Trial With Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy). A high CHA₂DS₂‐VASc score (n=464; 26%) was inversely associated with the risk of any VTA (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.64; P=0.001), fast VTA >200 beats/min (HR; 0.51; P<0.001), and appropriate implantable cardioverter‐defibrillator shocks (HR: 0.60; P<0.001). In contrast, a high score was directly correlated with mortality risk (HR: 1.92; P<0.001) and the risk of HF or death (HR: 1.60; P<0.001). Consistently, each 1‐U increment in CHA₂DS₂‐VASc was associated with a significant 13% (P=0.003) reduction in VTA risk but a corresponding 33% (P<0.001) increase in mortality risk. Patients with a high CHA₂DS₂‐VASc score and left bundle‐branch block derived a pronounced 53% (P<0.001) reduction in the risk of HF or death with cardiac resynchronization therapy with defibrillator versus implantable cardioverter‐defibrillator–only therapy.

Conclusions

Our findings suggest that a high CHA₂DS₂‐VASc score can be used to identify patients with mild HF who have low VTA risk and high morbidity or mortality risk and may derive a pronounced clinical benefit from cardiac resynchronization therapy without a defibrillator. These data suggest a possible role for the CHA₂DS₂‐VASc score in device selection among candidates for biventricular pacing.

The risk and prevention of sudden death in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Patients with heart failure are at increased risk of sudden cardiac death. The methods to predict patients at high risk of sudden cardiac death in heart failure are neither sensitive nor specific; both overestimating risk in those with ejection fractions less than 35% and not identifying those at risk with ejection fractions greater than 35%.

RECENT FINDINGS

The absolute risk of sudden cardiac death in patients with heart failure have decreased over the past 20 years. New novel tools are being developed and tested to identify those at higher risk of sudden cardiac death. Reduction in the risk of sudden cardiac death has been achieved with the use of beta-blockers, spironolactone, sacubitril-valsartan, cardiac resynchronization and implantable cardioverter defibrillators.

SUMMARY

The use of contemporary treatments for patients with heart failure can reduce the risk of sudden cardiac death, but research is required to identify those at highest risk.

Risk Stratification for Sudden Cardiac Death After Myocardial Infarction

Sudden cardiac death (SCD) accounts for ∼50% of mortality after myocardial infarction (MI). Most SCDs result from ventricular tachyarrhythmias, and the tachycardias that precipitate cardiac arrest result from multiple mechanisms. As a result, it is highly unlikely that any single test will identify all patients at risk for SCD. Current guidelines for use of implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICDs) to prevent SCD are based primarily on measurement of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Although reduced LVEF is associated with increased total cardiac mortality after MI, the focus of current guidelines on LVEF omits ∼50% of patients who die suddenly. In addition, there is no evidence of a mechanistic link between reduced LVEF and arrhythmias. Thus, LVEF is neither sensitive nor specific as a tool for post-MI risk stratification. Newer tests to screen for predisposition to ventricular arrhythmias and SCD examine abnormalities of ventricular repolarization, autonomic nervous system function, and electrical heterogeneity. These tests, as well as older methods such as programmed stimulation, the signal-averaged electrocardiogram, and spontaneous ventricular ectopy, do not perform well in patients with LVEF ≤30%. Recent observational studies suggest, however, that these tests may have greater utility in patients with LVEF >30%. Because SCD results from multiple mechanisms, it is likely that combinations of risk factors will prove more precise for risk stratification. Prospective trials that evaluate the performance of risk stratification schema to determine ICD use are necessary for cost-effective reduction of the incidence of SCD after MI.

Ventricular Arrhythmias

Ventricular tachycardia is commonly seen in medical practice. It may be completely benign or portend high risk for sudden cardiac death. Therefore, it is important that clinicians be familiar with and able to promptly recognize and manage ventricular tachycardia when confronted with it clinically. In many cases, curative therapy for a given ventricular arrhythmia may be provided after a thorough understanding of the underlying substrate and mechanism. In this article, the authors broadly review the current classification of the different ventricular arrhythmias encountered in medical practice, provide brief background regarding the different mechanisms, and discuss practical diagnosis and management scenarios.

Risk stratification for cardiac mortality using electrocardiographic markers based on 24-hour Holter recordings: the JANIES-SHD study

BACKGROUND

Recent guidelines have stated that left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is the gold standard marker for identifying patients at risk for cardiac mortality. However, little information is present regarding electrocardiographic (ECG) markers. This study aimed to assess ECG markers for predicting mortality or serious arrhythmia in patients with structural heart disease (SHD).

METHODS

In total, 1829 patients were enrolled into the Japanese Multicenter Observational Prospective Study (JANIES study). In this study, we analyzed data of 719 patients (569 men, age 64 ± 13 years) with SHD including mainly ischemic heart disease (65.8%). As ECG markers based on 24-hour Holter recordings, nonsustained ventricular tachycardia (NSVT), ventricular late potentials, and heart rate turbulence (HRT) were assessed. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality, and the secondary endpoint was fatal arrhythmic events.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up of 21 ± 11 months, all-cause mortality was eventually observed in 39 patients (5.4%). Among those patients, 32 patients (82%) suffered from cardiac causes such as heart failure and arrhythmia. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that after adjustment for age and LVEF, documented NSVT [hazard ratio = 2.46, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.16-5.18, p = 0.02] and abnormal HRT (hazard ratio = 2.40, 95% CI: 1.16-4.93, p = 0.02) were significantly associated with the primary endpoint. These two ECG markers also had significant predictive values with the secondary endpoint. The combined assessment of two ECG markers improved predictive accuracy.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrated that combined assessment of documented NSVT and abnormal HRT based on 24-hour Holter ECG recordings are recommended for predicting future serious events in this population.

Joint Shock/Death Risk Prediction Model for Patients Considering Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillators

BACKGROUND

The risk of death or appropriate therapy varies widely among recipients of implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICDs). The goals of this study were to develop a risk prediction tool that jointly considers future outcome probabilities of ICD shock and death.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We performed a secondary analysis of patients receiving ICDs as part of the SCD-HeFT trial (Sudden Cardiac Death in Heart Failure Trial). We applied an illness-death regression model to jointly model both ICD shocks and death under the semi-competing risks framework, which predicts for each patient their probability of having received ICD shocks, dying, or both at any given point in time. Among 803 ICD recipients (mean age, 60 years; 23% women) followed for a median of 41.1 months, 430 (53.5%) patients completed the study without dying or receiving an ICD shock, 206 (25.7%) received at least 1 shock but survived, 113 (14.1%) died before experiencing a shock, and 54 (6.7%) received at least 1 shock and subsequently died. Predicted outcome probabilities based on baseline demographic and clinical variables reveal substantial heterogeneity in joint shock and death risks, both between patients at each time point and for each single patient across time. Overall, predictive performance for ICD shock and death individually was adequate, based on area under the curve at 5 years of 0.65 for shocks and of 0.79 for death.

CONCLUSIONS

Our analysis of outcomes after ICD implantation provides an alternative predictive model for individual risk of death or ICD shocks. If validated, this may provide a useful tool for individualized counseling regarding likely outcomes after device implantation, while also informing the design of further studies to focus the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of ICD therapy.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00000609.

Use of Contemporary Imaging Techniques for Electrophysiological and Device Implantation Procedures

Recent technological advances in cardiac imaging allow the visualization of anatomic details up to millimeter size in 3-dimensional format. Thus, it is not surprising that electrophysiologists increasingly rely upon cardiac imaging for the diagnosis, treatment, and subsequent management of patients affected by various arrhythmic disorders. Cardiac imaging methods reviewed in the present work involve: 1) the prediction of arrhythmic risk for sudden cardiac death in patients with heart disease; 2) catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation or ventricular tachycardia; and 3) cardiac resynchronization therapy. Future integration of diagnostic and interventional cardiac imaging will further increase the effectiveness of cardiac electrophysiological procedures and will help in delivering patient-specific therapies with ablation and cardiac implantable electronic devices.

Association of Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillators With Survival in Patients With and Without Improved Ejection Fraction: Secondary Analysis of the Sudden Cardiac Death in Heart Failure Trial

Importance

Improvement in left ventricular ejection fraction (EF) to >35% occurs in many patients with reduced EF at baseline. To our knowledge, whether implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) therapy improves survival for these patients is unknown.

Objective

To examine the efficacy of ICD therapy in reducing risk of all-cause mortality and sudden cardiac death among patients with an EF ≤35% at baseline, with or without an improvement in EF to >35% during follow-up.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This retrospective analysis examined data collected in the Sudden Cardiac Death in Heart Failure Trial (SCD-HeFT), which randomly assigned 2521 patients to placebo, amiodarone, or ICD between 1997 and 2001. A subset of 1902 participants (75.4%) of the SCD-HeFT had a repeated assessment of EF a mean (SD) of 13.5 (6) months after randomization. We stratified these patients by EF ≤35% and >35% based on the first repeated EF measurement after randomization and compared all-cause mortality in 649 patients randomized to placebo vs 624 patients randomized to ICD. Follow-up started with the repeated EF assessment. Analysis was performed between January 2016 and July 2016.

Exposures

Implantable cardioverter-defibrillator therapy.

Main Outcomes and Measures

All-cause mortality and sudden cardiac death.

Results

Of the included 1273 patients, the mean (SD) age was 59 (12) years, and 977 (76.7%) were male and 1009 (79.3%) were white. Repeated EF was >35% in 186 participants (29.8%) randomized to ICD and 185 participants (28.5%) randomized to placebo. During a median follow-up of 30 months, the all-cause mortality rate was lower in the ICD vs placebo group, both in patients whose EF remained ≤35% (7.7 vs 10.7 per 100 person-year follow-up) and in those whose EF improved to >35% (2.6 vs 4.5 per 100 person-year follow-up). Compared with placebo, the adjusted hazard ratio for the effect of ICD on mortality was 0.64 (95% CI, 0.48-0.85) in patients with a repeated EF of ≤35% and 0.62 (95% CI, 0.29-1.30) in those with a repeated EF >35%. There was no interaction between treatment assignment and repeated EF for predicting mortality.

Conclusions and Relevance

Among participants in the SCD-HeFT who had a repeated EF assessment during the course of follow-up, those who had an improvement in EF to >35% accrued a similar relative reduction in mortality with ICD therapy as those whose EF remained ≤35%. Prospective randomized clinical trials are needed to test ICD efficacy in patients with an EF >35%.

Trial Registration

clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT01114269.

Global Longitudinal Strain as a Predictor of First and Subsequent Arrhythmic Events in Remotely Monitored ICD Patients With Structural Heart Disease

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to assess speckle-tracking-derived parameters as predictors of first and subsequent ventricular events in patients with structural heart disease and implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICD).

BACKGROUND

Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), the current primary parameter of risk stratification for ventricular arrhythmias (VAs) in structural heart diseases is burdened by many limitations.

METHODS

In this retrospective, observational study, all consecutive patients with structural heart disease were admitted for ICD implantation. Patients not followed by a home-monitoring system were excluded. Two-dimensional (2D) speckle-tracking analysis was used to derive global longitudinal strain (GLS), mechanical dispersion (MD), and delta contraction duration (DCD) of all patients at enrollment. Home monitoring was checked weekly to detect all VAs and ICD therapies. A recurrent event statistical approach (Prentice, Williams, and Peterson model) was applied to evaluate subsequent events after the first ones.

RESULTS

A total of 203 patients were consecutively enrolled and followed for a median of 2.2 years. Kaplan-Meier curves showed an increased risk of antitachycardia pacing or shock (log-rank p = 0.003) and VAs (log-rank p = 0.001) associated with lower quartiles of GLS. An impaired GLS was independently associated with an increased risk for the first ICD therapy (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.94; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.30 to 2.91; p = 0.001) and (HR: 1.42; 95% CI: 1.01 to 1.98; p = 0.04) for the first VA. GLS impairment was not significantly associated with an increased risk of recurrent ICD therapies or VAs. LVEF, MD, and DCD were not associated with an increased risk of first, second, and third ICD therapies or VA.

CONCLUSIONS

Impaired GLS is associated with an increased risk of VAs and appropriate ICD therapies in a consecutive "real-world," unselected population of remotely monitored patients with structural heart disease, although it does not seem reliable in predicting further arrhythmic events after the first one. MD and DCD do not predict first or subsequent arrhythmic events in ICD patients with structural heart disease.

BEtablocker Treatment After acute Myocardial Infarction in revascularized patients without reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (BETAMI): Rationale and design of a prospective, randomized, open, blinded end point study

BACKGROUND

Current guidelines on the use of β-blockers in post-acute myocardial infarction (MI) patients without reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) are based on studies before the implementation of modern reperfusion and secondary prevention therapies. It remains unknown whether β-blockers will reduce mortality and recurrent MI in contemporary revascularized post-MI patients without reduced LVEF.

DESIGN

BETAMI is a prospective, randomized, open, blinded end point multicenter study in 10,000 MI patients designed to test the superiority of oral β-blocker therapy compared to no β-blocker therapy. Patients with LVEF ≥40% following treatment with percutaneous coronary intervention or thrombolysis and/or no clinical signs of heart failure are eligible to participate. The primary end point is a composite of all-cause mortality or recurrent MI obtained from national registries over a mean follow-up period of 3 years. Safety end points include rates of nonfatal MI, all-cause mortality, ventricular arrhythmias, and hospitalizations for heart failure obtained from hospital medical records 30 days after randomization, and from national registries after 6 and 18 months. Key secondary end points include recurrent MI, heart failure, cardiovascular and all-cause mortality, and clinical outcomes linked to β-blocker therapy including drug adherence, adverse effects, cardiovascular risk factors, psychosocial factors, and health economy. Statistical analyses will be conducted according to the intention-to-treat principle. A prespecified per-protocol analysis (patients truly on β-blockers or not) will also be conducted.

CONCLUSIONS

The results from the BETAMI trial may have the potential of changing current clinical practice for treatment with β-blockers following MI in patients without reduced LVEF. EudraCT number 2018-000590-75.

New Concepts in Sudden Cardiac Arrest to Address an Intractable Epidemic: JACC State-of-the-Art Review

Sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) is one of the largest causes of mortality globally, with an out-of-hospital survival below 10% despite intense research. This document outlines challenges in addressing the epidemic of SCA, along the framework of respond, understand and predict, and prevent. Response could be improved by technology-assisted orchestration of community responder systems, access to automated external defibrillators, and innovations to match resuscitation resources to victims in place and time. Efforts to understand and predict SCA may be enhanced by refining taxonomy along phenotypical and pathophysiological "axes of risk," extending beyond cardiovascular pathology to identify less heterogeneous cohorts, facilitated by open-data platforms and analytics including machine learning to integrate discoveries across disciplines. Prevention of SCA must integrate these concepts, recognizing that all members of society are stakeholders. Ultimately, solutions to the public health challenge of SCA will require greater awareness, societal debate and focused public policy.

Evaluation of Need for Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillator by Thallium-201 Scintigraphy Among Japanese Patients With Prior Myocardial Infarction

BACKGROUND

Identifying who among current Japanese patients with prior myocardial infarction (MI) would benefit from an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) is imperative. Accordingly, this study seeks to determine whether single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) can help identify such patients.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This retrospective study enrolled 60 consecutive patients with prior MI who underwent stress thallium-201 SPECT and ICD implantation from February 2000 to October 2014. Occurrence of arrhythmic death and/or or appropriate ICD therapy, defined as shock or antitachycardia pacing for ventricular fibrillation or tachycardia, was identified until November 2016. During the median follow-up interval of 6.6 years, 18 (30%) patients experienced arrhythmic death and/or appropriate ICD therapy. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis revealed that the summed stress score (SSS) [hazard ratio (HR)=1.14; P=0.005] and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) at rest (HR=0.92; P=0.038) were significantly associated with the occurrence of arrhythmic events. Patients with SSS ≥21 and LVEF ≤30%, which were determined to be the best cutoff points, had significantly higher incidence of the arrhythmic events than the other patients (64% vs. 11%; HR=7.18; log-rank P=0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

SSS using stress thallium-201 SPECT in combination with LVEF can help determine the need for ICD therapy among current Japanese patients with prior MI.

The role of heart rate variability, heart rate turbulence, and deceleration capacity in predicting cause-specific mortality in chronic heart failure

BACKGROUND

The volume of regional denervated myocardium (D-M) on positron emission tomography has been recently suggested as a strong independent predictor of cause-specific mortality from sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) in chronic heart failure. We sought to evaluate whether ECG indices of global autonomic function predict risk of SCA to a similar degree as regional D-M.

METHODS

Subjects enrolled in the Prediction of Arrhythmic Events using Positron Emission Tomography (PAREPET) study were included in this study. Patients completed a 24-hour Holter ECG at enrollment and were followed up at 3-month intervals. SCA events were adjudicated by two board-certified cardiologists. Other cardiovascular death events were classified as nonsudden cardiac death (NSCD). Eight measures of heart rate variability were analyzed: SDNN, RMSSD, low-frequency (LF) and high-frequency (HF) power, heart rate turbulence onset and slope, and acceleration and deceleration capacity. We used competing risk regression to delineate cause-specific mortality from SCA versus NSCD.

RESULTS

Our sample included 127 patients (age 67 ± 12, 92% male). After a median follow-up of 4.1 years, there were 22 (17%) adjudicated SCA and 18 (14%) adjudicated NSCD events. In multivariate Cox-regression, LF power was the only HRV parameter to predict time-to-SCA. However, in competing risk analysis, reduced LF power was preferentially associated with NSCD rather than SCA (HR = 0.92 [0.85-0.98], p = 0.019).

CONCLUSION

Depressed LF power might indicate impaired vagal reflex, which suggests that increasing vagal tone in these patients would have a protective effect against NSCD beyond that achieved by the mere slowing of heart rate using β-blockers.