Age as a Risk Factor for Stroke in Atrial Fibrillation Patients

Sex differences in clinical features, utilization of oral anticoagulant agents, and 1-year outcome in Middle Eastern patients with atrial fibrillation

OBJECTIVE

Studies have revealed that sex can predict differences in multiple aspects of atrial fibrillation (AF). These differences are underreported in the Middle East. This study aims to describe sex-specific differences in risk factors, symptomatology, management, and outcomes in Middle Eastern patients with AF.

METHODS

The JoFib (Jordan-Atrial-Fibrillation) study is an observational, prospective, multicenter, nationwide registry in AF. Comparisons were made between female and male patients using Pearson chi-square and Mann-Whitney U tests. Multivariable regression models were constructed to investigate whether the female sex was predictive of any AF-related outcomes (all-cause death, cardiovascular death, ischemic stroke or systemic embolism [IS/SE], major bleeding, and clinically relevant non-major bleeding).

RESULTS

Of 2,020 patients with AF, 54% (n = 1091) were females. Females with AF were older (median age 71 vs. 69, p <.001), but had less heart failure (20.9% vs. 27.2%, p = .001) and coronary artery disease (7.5% vs. 14.7%, p <.001). Females with AF were more symptomatic (74.7% vs. 66.5%, p <.001) and frequently received anticoagulant therapy (84.4% vs. 78.9%, p = .001). Rhythm control was pursued less frequently in females (23.4% vs. 27.3%, p = .04). All studied outcomes occurred with similar frequencies in females and males, and sex was not significantly predictive of any outcome.

CONCLUSION

Females with AF are more symptomatic, yet they are treated less with rhythm control. Despite higher risk, females have similar risk-adjusted all-cause cardiovascular death and stroke rates compared to males. Future studies should explore how treatments and interventions can influence quality-of-life and cardiovascular outcomes in females with AF.

Fibrinaloid Microclots and Atrial Fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a comorbidity of a variety of other chronic, inflammatory diseases for which fibrinaloid microclots are a known accompaniment (and in some cases, a cause, with a mechanistic basis). Clots are, of course, a well-known consequence of atrial fibrillation. We here ask the question whether the fibrinaloid microclots seen in plasma or serum may in fact also be a cause of (or contributor to) the development of AF. We consider known 'risk factors' for AF, and in particular, exogenous stimuli such as infection and air pollution by particulates, both of which are known to cause AF. The external accompaniments of both bacterial (lipopolysaccharide and lipoteichoic acids) and viral (SARS-CoV-2 spike protein) infections are known to stimulate fibrinaloid microclots when added in vitro, and fibrinaloid microclots, as with other amyloid proteins, can be cytotoxic, both by inducing hypoxia/reperfusion and by other means. Strokes and thromboembolisms are also common consequences of AF. Consequently, taking a systems approach, we review the considerable evidence in detail, which leads us to suggest that it is likely that microclots may well have an aetiological role in the development of AF. This has significant mechanistic and therapeutic implications.

Characteristics and outcomes in elderly patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation and high bleeding risk: subanalysis of the J-RHYTHM Registry

Recently, a once-daily dose of edoxaban (15-mg) has been approved for stroke prevention in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients aged ≥ 80 years, in whom standard oral anticoagulants are not recommended because of high bleeding risk (HBR), based on the ELDERCARE-AF trial. However, information regarding the characteristics and clinical outcomes among such patients is limited. Thus, this study aimed to clarify the characteristics and event rates in elderly patients with NVAF and HBR defined by the ELDERCARE-AF criteria. Of the 7406 NVAF outpatients included in the J-RHYTHM Registry, 60 patients with creatinine clearance (CrCl) < 15 mL/min were excluded. The remaining 7346 patients (age, 69.7 ± 9.9 years; men, 70.9%; warfarin use, 78.7%) were divided into three groups: Group 1, aged < 80 years (n = 6165); Group 2, aged ≥ 80 years without HBR (n = 584); and Group 3, aged ≥ 80 years with HBR (at least one of the followings; CrCl, 15-30 mL/min, history of bleeding, body weight ≤ 45 kg, and antiplatelet use) (n = 597, eligible for 15-mg edoxaban). Patients in Group 3 had a higher prevalence of comorbidities, and therefore, both higher thromboembolic and bleeding risk scores than in the other groups. During the 2-year follow-up period, the incidence rates (per 100 person-years) of thromboembolism in Groups 1, 2, and 3 were 0.7, 1.5, and 2.1 (P < 0.001), major hemorrhage, 0.8, 1.2, and 2.0 (P < 0.001), and all-cause death, 0.8, 2.6, and 4.6 (P < 0.001), respectively. Adjusted hazard ratios of Group 3 were 1.64 (95% confidence interval 0.89-3.04, P = 0.116) for thromboembolism, 1.53 (0.85-2.72, P = 0.154) for major hemorrhage, and 1.84 (1.19-2.85, P = 0.006) for all-cause death compared with Group 1. The NVAF Patients aged ≥ 80 years with HBR defined by the ELDERCARE-AF criteria were certainly at a higher adverse event risk, especially for all-cause death. Clinical trial registration: The J-RHYTHM Registry is registered in the University Hospital Medicine Information Network (UMIN) Clinical Trials Registry (unique identifier: UMIN000001569) http://www.umin.ac.jp/ctr/ .

Clinical outcomes and anticoagulation therapy in elderly non-valvular atrial fibrillation and heart failure patients

AIMS

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF) often coexist. Older age is strongly associated with stroke, HF, and mortality. The association between coexistence of HF and a risk of clinical outcomes and the effectiveness of anticoagulation therapy including direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in elderly patients with AF and HF have not been investigated. We aimed to evaluate 2 years of outcomes and to elucidate the efficacy of DOACs or warfarin in elderly AF patients in the All Nippon AF In the Elderly (ANAFIE) Registry with and without a history of HF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The ANAFIE Registry is a multicentre, prospective observational study following elderly non-valvular AF patients aged ≥75 years for 2 years. Hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated based on the presence or absence of an HF diagnosis and DOAC or warfarin use at enrolment. Among 32 275 eligible patients, 12 116 (37.5%) had been diagnosed with HF. Patients with HF had significantly higher rates of HF hospitalization or cardiovascular death (HR 1.94, P < 0.001), cardiovascular events (HR 1.59, P < 0.001), cardiovascular death (HR 1.49, P < 0.001), all-cause death (HR 1.32, P < 0.001), and net clinical outcome including stroke/systemic embolism, major bleeding, and all-cause death (HR 1.23, P < 0.001), compared with those without HF; however, HRs for stroke/systemic embolism (HR 0.96, P = 0.56) and major bleeding (HR 1.14, P = 0.13) were similar. DOAC use was associated with a low risk of stroke/systemic embolism (HR 0.86, P = 0.19 in HF; HR 0.79, P = 0.016 in non-HF; P for interaction = 0.56), major bleeding (HR 0.71, P = 0.008 in HF; HR 0.75, P = 0.016 in non-HF; P for interaction = 0.74), HF hospitalization or cardiovascular death (HR 0.81, P < 0.001 in HF; HR 0.78, P < 0.001 in non-HF; P for interaction = 0.26), cardiovascular events (HR 0.83, P < 0.001 in HF; HR 0.82, P = 0.001 in non-HF; P for interaction = 0.65), cardiovascular death (HR 0.84, P = 0.12 in HF; HR 0.75, P = 0.035 in non-HF; P for interaction = 0.18), all-cause death (HR 0.89, P = 0.082 in HF; HR 0.80, P = 0.001 in non-HF; P for interaction = 0.091), and net clinical outcome (HR 0.88, P = 0.019 in HF; HR 0.81, P < 0.001 in non-HF; P for interaction = 0.21) compared with warfarin, irrespective of the presence or absence of HF. Analysis using the propensity score matching method showed similar associations.

CONCLUSIONS

Non-valvular AF patients aged ≥75 years with a history of HF had higher risks of cardiovascular events and mortality. DOACs were favourable to warfarin regardless of the coexistence of HF. These results might encourage the use of DOACs in elderly patients with non-valvular AF with or without HF.

Index and Repeat Ablation for Atrial Fibrillation in Older versus Younger Patients: A Propensity-Score Matching Analysis

Catheter ablation is a well-established rhythm control therapy in atrial fibrillation (AF). Although the prevalence of AF increases dramatically with age, the prognosis and safety profile of index and repeat ablation procedures remain unclear in the older population. The primary endpoint of this study was to assess the arrhythmia recurrence, reablation and complication rates in older patients. Secondary endpoints were the identification of independent predictors of arrhythmia recurrence and reablation, including information on pulmonary vein (PV) reconnection and other atrial foci. Older (n=129, ≥70 years) and younger (n=129, <70 years) patients were compared using a propensity-score matching analysis based on age, gender, obesity, hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes mellitus, dilated left atrium, severe obstructive sleep apnea, cardiac disease, left systolic ventricular function, AF pattern and ablation technique. Arrhythmia recurrence and reablation were evaluated in both groups using a Cox regression analysis in order to identify predictors. During a 30-month follow-up period, there were no significant differences between older and younger patients in the arrhythmia-free survival (65.1% and 59.7%; log-rank test p=0.403) and complication (10.1% and 10.9%; p>0.999) rates after the index ablation. However, the reablation rate was significantly different (46.7% and 69.2%; p<0.05, respectively). In those patients who underwent reablation procedure (redo subgroups), there were no differences in the incidence of PV reconnection (38.1% redo-older and 27.8% redo-younger patients; p=0.556). However, the redo-older patients had lower reconnected PVs per patient (p<0.01) and lower atrial foci (2.3 and 3.7; p<0.01) than the redo-younger patients. A further important finding was that age was not an independent predictor of arrhythmia recurrence or reablation. Our data reveal that the AF index ablation in older patients had a similar efficacy and safety profile to younger patients. Therefore, age alone must not be considered a prognostic factor for AF ablation but the presence of limiting factors such as frailty and multiple comorbidities.

Stroke risk in women with atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Female sex is associated with higher rates of stroke in atrial fibrillation (AF) after adjustment for other CHA2DS2-VASc factors. This study aimed to describe sex differences in age and cardiovascular care to examine their relationship with stroke hazard in AF.

METHODS

Population-based cohort study using administrative datasets of people aged ≥66 years diagnosed with AF in Ontario between 2007 and 2019. Cause-specific hazard regression was used to estimate the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for stroke associated with female sex over a 2-year follow-up. Model 1 included CHA2DS2-VASc factors, with age modelled as 66-74 vs. ≥ 75 years. Model 2 treated age as a continuous variable and included an age-sex interaction term. Model 3 further accounted for multimorbidity and markers of cardiovascular care.

RESULTS

The cohort consisted of 354 254 individuals with AF (median age 78 years, 49.2% female). Females were more likely to be diagnosed in emergency departments and less likely to receive cardiologist assessments, statins, or LDL-C testing, with higher LDL-C levels among females than males. In Model 1, the adjusted HR for stroke associated with female sex was 1.27 (95% confidence interval 1.21-1.32). Model 2 revealed a significant age-sex interaction, such that female sex was only associated with increased stroke hazard at age >70 years. Adjusting for markers of cardiovascular care and multimorbidity further decreased the HR, so that female sex was not associated with increased stroke hazard at age ≤80 years.

CONCLUSION

Older age and inequities in cardiovascular care may partly explain higher stroke rates in females with AF.

Initiation of oral anticoagulation in US older adults newly diagnosed with atrial fibrillation during hospitalization

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation is a common cause of stroke among older adults and is often first detected during hospitalization, given frequent use of cardiac telemetry.

METHODS

In a 20% national sample of Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries, we identified patients aged 65-or-older newly diagnosed with atrial fibrillation while hospitalized in 2016. Our primary outcome was an oral anticoagulant claim within 7-days of discharge. Multivariable logistic regression analyses assessed relationships between anticoagulation initiation and thromboembolic and bleeding risk scores while controlling for demographics, frailty, comorbidities, and hospitalization characteristics.

RESULTS

Among 38,379 older adults newly diagnosed with atrial fibrillation while hospitalized (mean age 78.2 [SD 8.4]; 51.8% female; 83.3% white), 36,633 (95.4%) had an indication for anticoagulation and 24.6% (9011) of those initiated an oral anticoagulant following discharge. Higher CHA2 DS2 -VASc score was associated with a small increase in oral anticoagulant initiation (predicted probability 20.5% [95% CI, 18.7%-22.3%] for scores <2 and 24.9% [CI, 24.4%-25.4%] for ≥4). Elevated HAS-BLED score was associated with a small decrease in probability of anticoagulant initiation (25.4% [CI, 24.4%-26.4%] for score <2 and 23.1% [CI, 22.5%-23.8%] for ≥3). Frailty was associated with decreased likelihood of oral anticoagulant initiation (24.7% [CI, 23.2%-26.2%] for non-frail and 18.1% [CI, 16.6%-19.6%] for moderately-severely frail). Anticoagulant initiation varied by primary reason for hospitalization, with predicted probability highest among patients with a primary diagnosis of atrial fibrillation (46.1% [CI, 45.0%-47.3%]) and lowest among those with non-cardiovascular conditions (13.8% [CI, 13.3%-14.3%]) and bleeds (3.6% [CI, 2.4%-4.8%]).

CONCLUSIONS

Oral anticoagulant initiation is uncommon among older adults newly diagnosed with atrial fibrillation during hospitalization, even among patients hospitalized primarily for atrial fibrillation and patients with high thromboembolic risk. Clinicians should discuss risks and benefits of oral anticoagulants with all inpatients found to have atrial fibrillation.

Managing older people with atrial fibrillation and preventing stroke: a review of anticoagulation approaches

INTRODUCTION

Oral anticoagulants (OACs) are the cornerstone of stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation (AF), but prescribing decisions in older people are complicated. Clinicians must assess the net clinical benefit of OAC in the context of multiple chronic conditions, polypharmacy, frailty and life expectancy. The under-representation of high-risk, older adult sub-populations in clinical trials presents the challenge of choosing the right OAC, where a 'one-size-fits-all' approach cannot be taken.

AREAS COVERED

This review discusses OAC approaches for stroke prevention in older people with AF and presents a prescribing aid to support clinicians' decision-making. High-risk older adults with multiple chronic conditions, specifically chronic kidney disease, dementia/cognitive impairment, previous stroke/transient ischemic attack or intracranial hemorrhage, polypharmacy, frailty, low body weight, high falls risk, and those aged ≥75 years are considered.

EXPERT OPINION

Non-vitamin K antagonist OACs are the preferred first-line OAC in older adults with AF, including high-risk subpopulations, after individual assessment of stroke and bleeding risk, except those with mechanical heart valves and moderate-to-severe mitral stenosis. Head-to-head comparisons of NOACs are not available, therefore the choice of drug (and dose) should be based on an individual's risk (stroke and bleeding) and incorporate their treatment preferences. Treatment decisions must be person-centered and principles of shared decision-making applied.

Patterns and outcomes of switching direct oral anticoagulants in non-valvular atrial fibrillation: a real-world experience from Spain

AIMS

The aim is to evaluate a management program for direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients according to their profiles, appropriateness of dosing, patterns of crossover, effectiveness and safety. This is an observational and longitudinal prospective study in a cohort of patients attended in daily clinical practice in a regional hospital in Spain with 3-year a follow-up plan for patients initiating dabigatran, rivaroxaban or apixaban between JAN/2012-DEC/2016.

METHODS

We analyzed 490 episodes of treatment (apixaban 2.5 9.4%, apixaban 5 21.4%, dabigatran 75 0.6%, dabigatran 110 12,4%, dabigatran 150 19.8%, rivaroxaban 15 17.8% and rivaroxaban 20 18.6%) in 445 patients. 13.6% of patients on dabigatran, 9.7% on rivaroxaban, and 3.9% on apixabanswitched to other DOACs or changed dosing.

RESULTS

Apixaban was the most frequent DOAC switched to. The most frequent reasons for switching were toxicity (23.8%), bleeding (21.4%) and renal deterioration (16.7%). Inappropriateness of dose was found in 23.8% of episodes. Rates of stroke/transient ischemic attack (TIA) were 1.64/0.54 events/100 patients-years, while rates of major, clinically relevant non-major (CRNM) bleeding and intracranial bleeding were 2.4, 5, and 0.5 events/100 patients-years. Gastrointestinal and genitourinary bleeding were the most common type of bleeding events (BE). On multivariable analysis, prior stroke and age were independent predictors of stroke/TIA. Concurrent platelet inhibitors, male gender and age were independent predictors of BE.

CONCLUSION

This study complements the scant data available on the use of DOACs in NVAF patients in Spain, confirming a good safety and effectiveness profile.

Comparison of Stroke and Bleeding Risk Profile in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation and Chronic Kidney Disease

Clinical decision making on anticoagulation in patients with chronic kidney disease with atrial fibrillation (AF) is challenging. The current strategies are based on small observational studies with conflicting results. This study explores the impact of glomerular filtration rate (GFR) in the embolic-hemorrhagic balance among a large cohort of patients with AF. The study cohort included 15,457 patients diagnosed with AF between January 2014 and April 2020. The risk of ischemic stroke and major bleeding was determined by competing risk regression. During a mean follow-up of 4.29 ± 1.82 years, 3,678 patients (23.80%) died, 850 (5.50%) had an ischemic stroke, and 961 (6.22%) had a major bleeding. The incidence of stroke and bleeding increased as baseline GFR decreased. Interestingly, in GFR <30 ml/min/1.73 m², the bleeding risk was clearly higher than the embolic risk. As GFR decreased, anticoagulation was associated with an increased bleeding risk (subdistribution hazard ratio 1.700, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.13 to 2.54, p = 0.009 for patients with GFR 30 to 59 ml/min/1.73 m² and 2.00, 95% CI 0.77 to 5.21, p = 0.156 for subjects with <30 ml/min/1.73 m² compared with those with GFR >60 ml/min/1.73 m², respectively), but it was not associated with a decrease in embolic risk in patients with GFR <30 ml/min/1.73 m² (subdistribution hazard ratio 1.91, 95% CI 0.73 to 5.04, p = 0.189) In GFR <30 ml/min/1.73 m², the increase of major bleeding risk was higher than the increase of ischemic stroke risk, with a negative anticoagulation balance (greater increase in bleeding than reduction in embolism).

Prevalence and treatment of atrial fibrillation in older adults

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most frequent cardiac arrhythmia with an impact on morbidity and mortality found in the geriatric population.

OBJECTIVE

This retrospective study is the first to investigate the prevalence, treatment and comorbidities of AF in a large cohort of older adults.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Older adults with AF hospitalized between 2010 and 2018. The mean age of the 10,700 AF patients in 2018 was 83.2 ± 6.4 years. The frequency of anticoagulation in older adults with AF between 2010 and 2018 was analyzed. The relationship between comorbidities and anticoagulation in 2018 was examined. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify possible predictive factors for anticoagulation.

RESULTS

The prevalence of AF in 35,887 hospitalized older adults was 29.8% in 2018. The mean CHA₂DS₂VASc score was 4.4 ± 1.3 (male 3.8 ± 1.3, female 4.7 ± 1.2). From 2010 to 2018, the frequency of anticoagulation for patients with AF rose from 32.1% to 64.2%. Statistically significant differences in the examined characteristics between anticoagulated and not anticoagulated patients were found. Furthermore, there were no predictive factors for anticoagulation in multivariate logistic analysis.

CONCLUSION

Hospitalized older adults have an increased prevalence of AF compared to the general population. Despite the higher risk of bleeding, older adults were more frequently anticoagulated in the observation period, preferably with direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs). Patients without anticoagulation had more diagnoses and were worse in functional tests. This study suggests that the decision to give anticoagulants to older adults should be personalized.

Clinical utility of the BIWACO score for patients with atrial fibrillation after percutaneous coronary intervention

No predictive clinical risk scores for net adverse clinical events (NACE) have been developed for patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). We evaluated NACE to develop clinically applicable risk-stratification scores in the Bleeding and thrombotic risk evaluation In patients With Atrial fibrillation under COronary intervention (BIWACO) study, a multicenter survey which has enrolled a total of 7837 patients. We also investigated the current status and time trends for the use of antithrombotic drugs. A total of 188 AF patients who had received PCI were examined. At discharge, 65% of patients were prescribed a triple therapy (TT), 6% were prescribed a dual therapy, the remaining 29% of patients received dual-antiplatelet therapy. After 4 years, the fraction of patients continuing TT decreased by 15%, whereas oral anticoagulant alone was only 2% of patients. NACE developed in 20% of patients, resulting in death in 5% of the patients, and the remaining 13% experienced bleeding events. We developed risk scores for NACE comprising the five strongest predictive items, which we designated BIWACO scores. The area under the curve was 0.774 for NACE. Our study explored the differences in treatment practices and guideline recommendations for antithrombotic therapy. We concluded that our BIWACO score is useful for predicting clinical outcomes in AF-patients after PCI.

Left Atrial Appendage Closure for Atrial Fibrillation in the Elderly >75 Years Old: A Meta-Analysis of Observational Studies

Background: Left atrial appendage closure (LAAC) is an established therapy for patients with atrial fibrillation (AF); however, there is a limited understanding of LAAC in elderly patients (≥75 years old). We conducted a meta-analysis to investigate the procedural complications and long-term outcomes after LAAC in the elderly versus the non-elderly. Methods: We screened PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science. Procedural endpoints of interest included successful implantation LAAC rates, in-hospital mortality, major bleeding events, pericardial effusion/tamponade, stroke, and vascular access complications related to LAAC. Long-term outcomes included all-cause mortality, major bleeding events, and stroke/transient ischemic attack (TIA) during follow-up. Results: Finally, 12 studies were included in the analysis; these included a total of 25,094 people in the elderly group and 36,035 people in the non-elderly group. The successful implantation LAAC rates did not differ between the groups, while the elderly patients experienced more periprocedural mortality (OR 2.62; 95% CI 1.79−3.83, p < 0.01; I2 = 0%), pericardial effusion/tamponade (OR 1.39; 95% CI: 1.06−1.82, p < 0.01; I2 = 0%), major bleeding events (OR 1.32; 95% CI 1.17−1.48, p < 0.01; I2 = 0%), and vascular access complications (OR 1.34; 95% CI 1.16−1.55, p < 0.01; I2 = 0%) than the non-elderly patients. The long-term stroke/TIA rates did not differ between the elderly and the non-elderly at least one year after follow-up. Conclusions: Even though successful implantation LAAC rates are similar, elderly patients have a significantly higher incidence of periprocedural mortality, major bleeding events, vascular access complications, and pericardial effusion/tamponade after LAAC than non-elderly patients. The stroke/TIA rates did not differ between both groups after at least one-year follow-up.

Oral Anticoagulant Use and Appropriateness in Elderly Patients with Atrial Fibrillation in Complex Clinical Conditions: ACONVENIENCE Study

Non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) is the most common arrhythmia in older patients. Although direct-acting oral anticoagulants (DOAC) are the antithrombotic treatment of choice, irrespective of age, certain factors may limit their use. The aim of the ACONVENIENCE study was to consult the opinion of a multidisciplinary panel of experts on the appropriateness of using OACs in elderly patients (>75 years) with NVAF associated with certain complex clinical conditions. A consensus project was performed on the basis of a systematic review of the literature, and application of a two-round Delphi survey. The agreement of 79 panellists on 30 Delphi-type statements was evaluated, and their opinion on the appropriateness of different oral anticoagulants in 16 complex clinical scenarios was assessed. A total of 27 consensus statements were agreed upon, including all statements addressing anticoagulation in older patients and in patients at high risk of bleeding complications, and most of those addressing frailty, dementia, risk of falling, and complex cardiac situations. It was almost unanimously agreed upon that advanced age should not influence the anticoagulation decision. Apixaban was the highest-rated therapeutic option in 14/16 situations, followed by edoxaban. There is a high degree of agreement on anticoagulation in older patients with NVAF. Age should not be the single limiting factor when prescribing OACs, and the decision should be made based on net clinical benefit and a comprehensive geriatric assessment. Apixaban, followed by edoxaban, was considered the most appropriate treatment in the various complex clinical situations examined.

Vertebrobasilar dolichoectasia in patients with cerebrovascular ischemic stroke: does it have a role in cerebral microbleeds?

Background

Vertebrobasilar dolichoectasia (VBD) may account for cerebral microbleeds (CMBs) in ischemic cerebrovascular stroke.

Objectives

To examine whether VBD is associated with the involvement of CMBs in any region and, if so, whether it is associated with CMBs among ischemic stroke patients located in posterior circulation territory. For patients with VBD, we also studied ischemic stroke subtypes, and checked whether dolichoectasia was linked to vascular risk factors.

Methods

Two hundred ischemic stroke patients in whom detailed clinical data and brain MRI sequences were obtained, and stroke subtyping with TOAST classification (Trial of ORG 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment) was performed.

Results

The mean age of patients was (65.22 ± 12.88), male patients were more frequent (67.5%); dyslipidemia was the most frequent risk factor (55%). Cardio-embolic stroke subtype was the most frequent (37%) and (71.5%) of patients had no history of previous use of antithrombotic drugs. Ectasia was found in 28 (14%), dolichosis was found in 50 (25%) and vertebrobasilar dolichoectasia was found in 19 (9.5%) of patients. Cerebral microbleeds were detected in 114 (57%) patients. Mild degree CMBs was the most prevalent among patients 69 (61%) and were located predominantly in both anterior and posterior territories 41 (36%). CMBs were significantly more frequent in hypertensive and older patients.

Conclusions

In patients with VBD, severe degree CMBs were more common and were located as a vascular territory supplied by vessels originating from dolichoectatic parent vessels in the posterior region.

Effectiveness and safety of low-dose versus standard-dose rivaroxaban and apixaban in patients with atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Low-dose direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) use is quite prevalent in clinical practice, but evidence of its effectiveness and safety compared with high-dose DOAC in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) remains limited. We aimed to assess the effectiveness and safety of low-dose and high-dose DOACs in patients with AF with similar baseline characteristics.

METHODS

We used a cohort of hospitalized patients with a primary or secondary diagnosis of AF after discharge to the community, whose data were stored in the Quebec administrative databases, from 2011 to 2017. Older adults with AF newly prescribed with rivaroxaban (15 or 20 mg) or apixaban (2.5 mg or 5 mg) were classified as under treatment (UT) and intent to treat (ITT). We used an inverse probability treatment weighting study of new users of rivaroxaban and apixaban to address confounding by indication. The primary effectiveness outcome was ischemic stroke/systemic embolism (SE), while the primary safety outcome was major bleeding (MB). We used Cox proportional models to estimate the marginal hazard ratios (HRs).

FINDINGS

A total of 1,722 and 4,639 patients used low-dose and standard-dose rivaroxaban, respectively, while 3,833 and 6,773 patients used low-dose and standard-dose apixaban, respectively. No significant difference was observed in the incidence of comparative stroke/SE and MB between low-dose and standard-dose rivaroxaban, except for the risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI), which was increased with the low dose in the UT analysis. For apixaban, no difference was found in the bleeding rates, but the risk of stroke/SE (HR: 1.95; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.38-2.76) and death (HR: 1.99; 95% CI: 1.46-2.70) were greater in the low-dose group than in the standard-dose group in the UT analysis. Similar results were observed for the ITT analysis.

CONCLUSION

No significant differences were observed in the effectiveness or safety outcome between low-dose and standard-dose rivaroxaban, except for AMI. However, low-dose apixaban was associated with a greater risk of stroke/SE and death without a reduction in the bleeding rates.

Non-persistence to Oral Anticoagulation Treatment in Patients with Non-valvular Atrial Fibrillation in the USA

BACKGROUND

Studies have shown that patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) who discontinue oral anticoagulants (OACs) are at higher risk of complications such as stroke.

OBJECTIVE

This analysis compared the risk of non-persistence with OACs among patients with NVAF.

METHODS

Adult patients with NVAF who initiated apixaban, dabigatran, rivaroxaban, or warfarin were identified using 01JAN2013-30JUN2019 data from Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services and four US commercial claims databases. Non-persistence was defined as discontinuation (no evidence of index OAC use for ≥ 60 days from the last days' supply) or switch to another OAC. Kaplan-Meier curves were generated to illustrate time to non-persistence along with cumulative incidences of non-persistence. Baseline and time-varying covariates were evaluated, and adjusted Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate non-persistence risk.

RESULTS

In total, 363,823 patients receiving apixaban, 57,121 receiving dabigatran, 282,831 receiving rivaroxaban, and 317,337 receiving warfarin were included. Of these, 47-72% discontinued/switched OAC therapy within an average 9-month follow-up. Apixaban was associated with a lower risk of non-persistence than were dabigatran (hazard ratio [HR] 0.62; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.61-0.62), rivaroxaban (HR 0.76; 95% CI 0.75-0.76), and warfarin (HR 0.74; 95% CI 0.74-0.75). Dabigatran was associated with a higher risk of non-persistence than were warfarin (HR 1.21; 95% CI 1.19-1.22) and rivaroxaban (HR 1.23; 95% CI 1.22-1.25), and rivaroxaban was associated with a lower risk of non-persistence than was warfarin (HR 0.98; 95% CI 0.97-0.98). Clinical events (stroke/systemic embolism and major bleeding [MB]) during follow-up were predictors of non-persistence (stroke HR 1.57; 95% CI 1.53-1.61; MB HR 2.96; 95% CI 2.92-3.00).

CONCLUSION

In over one million patients with NVAF, our results suggest differences in anticoagulation treatment persistence across OAC agents, even after accounting for clinical events after OAC initiation. It is important for clinicians and patients to take these differences into consideration, especially as non-persistence to OAC therapy is associated with thromboembolic complications.

Universal Clinician Device for improving risk prediction and management of patients with atrial fibrillation: an assumed benefit analysis

Aim

Atrial fibrillation (AF) management guidelines advise using risk tools to optimize AF treatment. This study aims to develop a dynamic and clinically applicable digital device to assess stroke and bleeding risk, and to facilitate outcome improvements in AF patients. The device will provide tailored treatment recommendations according to easily attainable individual patient data.

Methods and Results

This Universal Clinician Device (UCD) was created using the GARFIELD-AF registry using a split sample approach. The GARFIELD-AF risk tool was adapted with two modifications. First, predictors with ≥1000 missing data points were separated, allowing expected risks estimation. Second, recommendations for modifiable risk factors and associated 2-year outcome estimates were incorporated. Outcomes of interest were all-cause mortality, non-haemorrhagic stroke/systemic embolism (SE), and major bleeding. All patients were randomized to a derivation (n = 34853) and validation cohort (n = 17165). In the derivation cohort, predictors were identified using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression. Cox models were fitted with the selected parameters. The UCD demonstrated superior predictive power compared with CHA₂DS₂VASc for all-cause mortality [0.75(0.75-0.76) vs. 0.71(0.70-0.72)] and non-haemorrhagic stroke/SE [0.68(0.66-0.70) vs. 0.65(0.63-0.67)], and with HAS-BLED for major bleeding [0.69(0.67-0.71) vs. 0.64(0.62-0.65)]. Universal Clinician Device recommendations reduced all-cause mortality (8.45-5.42%) and non-haemorrhagic stroke/SE (2.58-1.50%). Patients with concomitant diabetes and chronic kidney disease benefitted further, reducing mortality risk from 13.15% to 8.67%. One-third of patients with a CHA₂DS₂VASc score of >1 had the lowest risk of stroke.

Conclusion

The UCD simultaneously predicts mortality, stroke, and bleeding risk in patients using easily attainable individual clinical data and guideline-based optimized treatment plans.

Clinical Trial Registration

URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier for GARFIELD-AF: NCT01090362.

Psychometric Properties of the Trail Walking Test for People With Stroke

Objective

To investigate (i) the inter-rater and test–retest reliability of the trail walking test (TWT) and the minimum detectable change in the TWT completion time; (ii) the correlations between the TWT completion time and stroke-specific impairments; and (iii) the cutoff TWT completion time to distinguish between people with stroke and healthy older adults according to dual-tasking ambulation ability.

Design

Cross-sectional study.

Setting

University-based rehabilitation center.

Participants

In total, 104 people with stroke and 53 healthy older adults.

Main Outcome Measures

The TWT, the Fugl–Meyer Assessment of Lower Extremity (FMA-LE), the ankle muscle strength test, the limit of stability (LOS) test, the Berg Balance Scale (BBS), the Timed Up and Go test (TUG), and the Community Integration Measure (CIM).

Results

The mean TWT completion time in subjects with stroke was 124.906 s. The TWT demonstrated excellent inter-rater reliability [intraclass correlation (ICC) = 0.999] and good test–retest reliability (ICC = 0.876) in people with stroke. The TWT performance demonstrated significant negative correlations with the FMA-LE scores (r = −0.409), LOS movement velocity (affected and unaffected sides; r = −0.320 and −0.388, respectively), and LOS endpoint excursion (affected and unaffected sides; r = −0.357 and −0.394, respectively); a significant positive correlation with the LOS reaction time (affected side; r = 0.256); a moderate negative correlation with the BBS scores (r = −0.72); and an excellent positive correlation with the TUG completion time (r = 0.944). The receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed that an optimal cutoff of 69.61 s for the TWT completion time had an outstanding diagnostic power to distinguish between people with stroke and healthy older adults (area under the curve = 0.919) with high sensitivity (88.5%) and specificity (83.0%).

Conclusion

Results of our preliminary study demonstrated that the TWT is a reliable, valid, sensitive, and specific clinical test for evaluating dual-tasking ambulation ability in people with stroke aged 45 years or above and without cognitive impairments. It can differentiate the dual-tasking ambulation ability between people with stroke and healthy older adults.

Atrial Fibrillation Is Not an Independent Determinant of Mortality Among Critically Ill Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients: A Propensity Score-Matched Analysis From the MIMIC-IV Database

Background/Objective

This study was conducted to investigate the clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients with acute ischemic stroke and atrial fibrillation (AF) in intensive care units (ICUs).

Methods

In the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV database, 1,662 patients with acute ischemic stroke were identified from 2008 to 2019. Of the 1,662 patients, 653 had AF. The clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients with and without AF were compared using propensity score matching (PSM). Furthermore, univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyzes were performed.

Results

Of the 1,662 patients, 39.2% had AF. The prevalence of AF in these patients increased in a stepwise manner with advanced age. Patients with AF were older and had higher Charlson Comorbidity Index, CHA2DS2-VASc Score, HAS-BLED score, and Acute Physiology Score III than those without AF. After PSM, 1,152 patients remained, comprising 576 matched pairs in both groups. In multivariate analysis, AF was not associated with higher ICU mortality [hazard ratio (HR), 0.95; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.64–1.42] or in-hospital mortality (HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.79–1.47). In Kaplan–Meier analysis, no difference in ICU or in-hospital mortality was observed between patients with and without AF.

Conclusions

AF could be associated with poor clinical characteristics and outcomes; however, it does not remain an independent short-term predictor of ICU and in-hospital mortality among patients with acute ischemic stroke after PSM with multivariate analysis.

Clinical benefit of left atrial appendage closure in octogenarians

OBJECTIVES

Whether left atrial appendage closure (LAAC) in octogenarians yield similar net clinical benefit compared to younger patients, was the purpose of the present study.

METHODS

Two real-world LAAC registries, enrolling 744 consecutive Amplatzer and Watchman patients from 2009 to 2018, were retrospectively analyzed.

RESULTS

All events are reported per 100 patient-years. Two hundred and sixty one octogenarians and 483 non-octogenarians with a mean follow-up of 1.7 ± 1.3 and 2.3 ± 1.6 years, and a total of 1,502 patient-years were included. Octogenarians had a higher risk for stroke (CHA₂DS₂-VASc score: 5.2 ± 1.2 vs. 4.3 ± 1.7, P < 0.0001) and bleeding (HAS-BLED score: 3.3 ± 0.8 vs. 3.1 ± 1.1, P = 0.001). The combined safety endpoint of major periprocedural complications and major bleeding events at follow-up was comparable (30/446, 6.7% vs. 47/1056, 4.4%; hazard ratio [HR] = 1.2; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.73-1.98;P = 0.48) between the groups. The efficacy endpoint of all-cause stroke, systemic embolism, and cardiovascular/unexplained death occurred more often in octogenarians (61/446, 13.7% vs. 80/1056, 7.6%; HR = 7.0; 95% CI: 4.53-10.93;P < 0.0001). Overall, octogenarians had a lower net clinical benefit, i.e., the composite of all above mentioned hazards, from LAAC compared to younger patients (82/446, 18.4% vs. 116/1056, 11.0%; HR = 4.6; 95% CI: 3.11-7.0;P < 0.0001). Compared to the anticipated stroke rate, the observed rate decreased by 41% in octogenarians and 53% in non-octogenarians. The observed bleeding rate was reduced by 10% octogenarians and 41% non-octogenarians.

CONCLUSIONS

LAAC can be performed with similar safety in octogenarians as compared to younger patients. On the long-term, it both reduces stroke and bleeding events, although to a lesser extent than in non-octogenarians.

Perceptions and knowledge gaps on CHA2DS2-VASc score components: a joint survey of Chinese clinicians and clinical pharmacists

BACKGROUND

The CHA₂DS₂-VASc score is a guideline-recommended stroke risk stratification scheme for patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Accurately calculating the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score and recognizing the stroke risk in AF patients is the foundation of optimal anticoagulation therapy. This survey aims to obtain a comprehensive understanding of perceptions and knowledge gaps on CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores among Chinese medical professionals for future education programs.

METHODS

A cross-sectional survey was conducted among clinicians, including cardiologists, neurologists, emergency physicians (EPs), general practitioners (GPs) and clinical pharmacists (CPs) using a self-administered questionnaire on the Chinese mainland. The survey contained 21 questions in combination with single-choice questions, multiple-choice questions, and an open-ended question, which was distributed online via e-mail or social media.

RESULTS

A total of 562 participants (40.9% cardiologists, 19.2% neurologists, 8.5% EPs, 10.3% GPs, and 21.0% CPs) completed the survey. Most respondents across all specialties reported skills requiring improvements in the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score. In general, cardiologists, neurologists, and CPs had a relatively better understanding than GPs and EPs about the application of CHA₂DS₂-VASc score. Considering 'H' and 'D' components, more than 90% of respondents chose the correct answer in single-choice questions, whereas the correctness rate declined concerning detailed scoring criteria. Regarding 'C,' 'A₂,' 'S₂,' and 'V' components, partly correct answers were commonly observed in most multiple-choice questions. The majority of cardiologists believed themselves to be very familiar or at least familiar with the score and its components, while around 70% of EPs and GPs felt relatively unfamiliar with the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score. Mobile apps, AF guidelines and notebooks/handbooks were popular referencing scoring tools for respondents.

CONCLUSIONS

Chinese medical professionals, especially EPs and GPs, revealed a lack of knowledge and insufficient skills for CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores and their components. Improvements in the awareness of the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score and its detailed scoring criteria are urgently needed for Chinese medical professionals. Therefore, education programs concerning the introduction of stroke risk evaluation for AF patients and the development of referencing scoring tools are necessary.

Atrial fibrillation: a geriatric perspective on the 2020 ESC guidelines

BACKGROUND

The Task Force for the diagnosis and management of atrial fibrillation (AF) of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) published in 2020 the updated Guidelines for the Diagnosis and Management of Atrial Fibrillation with the contribution of the European Heart Rhythm Association (EHRA) of the ESC and the European Association for Cardiothoracic Surgery (EACTS).

METHODS AND RESULTS

In this narrative viewpoint, we approach AF from the perspective of aging medicine and try to provide the readers with information usually neglected in clinical routine, mainly due to the fact that while the large majority of AF patients in real life are older, frail and cognitively impaired, these are mostly excluded from clinical trials, and physicians' attitudes often prevail over standardized algorithms.

CONCLUSIONS

On the basis of existing evidence, (1) opportunistic AF screening by pulse palpation or ECG rhythm strip is cost-effective, and (2) whereas advanced chronological age by itself is not a contraindication to AF treatment, a Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA) including frailty, cognitive impairment, falls and bleeding risk may assist in clinical decision making to provide the best individualized treatment.

Direct oral anticoagulants for secondary stroke prevention in patients over 80 years of age: the role of geriatric functional status

Prescribing anticoagulation therapy in very old (≥ 80-years) patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) is an emerging clinical issue, but current knowledge and recommendations are insufficient. We aimed to determine the efficacy and safety of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in secondary stroke prevention in very old patients and to explore the related geriatric functional status of these patients. Three hundred fifty-three consecutive ≥ 80-year-old patients treated for transient ischemic attack (TIA) or ischemic stroke (IS) at the neurological clinic at UMC Ljubljana, who were prescribed DOACs for AF between December 2012 and May 2020, were included. Data regarding recurrent TIA/IS, major bleeds, intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) and death were collected. Data were descriptively compared with data from RCTs- including younger patients. Patients prescribed DOACs between January 2018 and May 2020 were contacted in December 2020, and their functional status was assessed using the Barthel index (BI). The efficacy of secondary stroke prevention with DOACs was comparable to RCTs for significantly younger patients. Major bleeds occurred more often, but most incidences were gastrointestinal, and the rate of ICH was comparable. Importantly, most patients were highly independent determined by BI. Overall, our real world results suggest that DOACs are as effective at preventing IS in secondary prevention in very old patients than in younger patients and that geriatric functional assessment could be a useful tool in the decision-making process.

Evaluation of the Risk of Stroke Without Anticoagulation Therapy in Men and Women With Atrial Fibrillation Aged 66 to 74 Years Without Other CHA2DS2-VASc Factors

Importance

There are limited clinical trial data and discrepant recommendations regarding use of anticoagulation therapy in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) aged 65 to 74 years without other stroke risk factors.

Objectives

To evaluate the risk of stroke without anticoagulation therapy in men and women with AF aged 66 to 74 years without other CHA2DS2-VASc (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years, diabetes, stroke, vascular disease, age 65-74 years, female sex) risk factors and examine the association of stroke incidence with patient age.

Design, Setting, and Participants

A population-based retrospective cohort study was conducted using linked administrative databases. The population included 16 351 individuals aged 66 to 74 years who were newly diagnosed with AF in Ontario, Canada, between April 1, 2007, and March 31, 2017. Exclusion criteria included long-term care residence, prior anticoagulation therapy, valvular disease, heart failure, hypertension, diabetes, stroke, and vascular disease. The cumulative incidence function was used to estimate the 1-year incidence of stroke in patients who did not receive anticoagulation therapy. Fine-Gray regression was used to study the association of patient characteristics with stroke incidence and derive estimates of stroke risk at each age. Death was treated as a competing risk and patients were censored if they initiated anticoagulation therapy. Inverse probability of censoring weights was used to account for patient censoring. Data analysis was performed from May 26, 2019, to December 9, 2020.

Exposures

Atrial fibrillation and age.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Hospitalizations for stroke.

Results

Of the 16 351 individuals with AF (median [interquartile range] age, 70 [68-72] years), 8352 (51.1%) were men; 6314 individuals (38.6%) started anticoagulation therapy during follow-up. The overall 1-year stroke incidence among patients who did not receive anticoagulation therapy was 1.1% (95% CI, 1.0%-1.3%) and the incidence of death without stroke was 8.1% (95% CI, 7.7%-8.5%). The incidence of stroke was not significantly associated with sex. The estimated 1-year stroke risk increased with patient age from 66 years (0.7%; 95% CI, 0.5%-0.9%) to 74 years (1.7%; 95% CI, 1.3%-2.1%).

Conclusions and Relevance

The risk of stroke more than doubled in this study as men and women with AF but no other CHA2DS2-VASc risk factors aged from 66 to 74 years. These data suggest that anticoagulation therapy is more likely to benefit older individuals within this group of patients, whereas younger individuals are less likely to gain net clinical benefit from anticoagulation therapy.

Major bleeding in users of direct oral anticoagulants in atrial fibrillation: A pooled analysis of results from multiple population-based cohort studies

Objective

To establish the risk of major bleeding in direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) users (overall and by class) versus vitamin K antagonist (VKA) users, using health care databases from four European countries and six provinces in Canada.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study was performed according to a similar protocol. First‐users of VKAs or DOACs with a diagnosis of non‐valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) were included. The main outcome of interest was major bleeding and secondary outcomes included gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding and intracranial haemorrhage (ICH). Incidence rates of events per 1000 person years were calculated. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were estimated using a Cox proportional hazard regression model. Exposure and confounders were measured and analysed in a time‐dependant way. Risk estimates were pooled using a random effect model.

Results

421 523 patients were included. The risk of major bleeding for the group of DOACs compared to VKAs showed a pooled HR of 0.94 (95% CI: 0.87–1.02). Rivaroxaban showed a modestly increased risk (HR 1.11, 95% CI: 1.06–1.16). Apixaban and dabigatran showed a decreased risk of respectively HR 0.76 (95% CI: 0.69–0.84) and HR 0.85 (95% CI: 0.75–0.96).

Conclusions

This study confirms that the risk of major bleeding of DOACs compared to VKAs is not increased when combining all DOACs. However, we observed a modest higher risk of major bleeding for rivaroxaban, whereas for apixaban and dabigatran lower risks of major bleeding were observed compared to VKAs.

2020 Asian Pacific Society of Cardiology Consensus Recommendations on Antithrombotic Management for High-risk Chronic Coronary Syndrome

The unique characteristics of patients with chronic coronary syndrome (CCS) in the Asia-Pacific region, heterogeneous approaches because of differences in accesses and resources and low number of patients from the Asia-Pacific region in pivotal studies, mean that international guidelines cannot be routinely applied to these populations. The Asian Pacific Society of Cardiology developed these consensus recommendations to summarise current evidence on the management of CCS and provide recommendations to assist clinicians treat patients from the region. The consensus recommendations were developed by an expert consensus panel who reviewed and appraised the available literature, with focus on data from patients in Asia-Pacific. Consensus statements were developed then put to an online vote. The resulting recommendations provide guidance on the assessment and management of bleeding and ischaemic risks in Asian CCS patients. Furthermore, the selection of long-term antithrombotic therapy is discussed, including the role of single antiplatelet therapy, dual antiplatelet therapy and dual pathway inhibition therapy.

Real-world persistence to direct oral anticoagulants in patients with atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and network meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To conduct a systematic review and network meta-analysis of real-world evidence comparing adherence, persistence, cost, and utilization between oral anticoagulant (OAC) in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients.

METHODS

A systematic search of MEDLINE and Embase (inception-July 2019) was conducted for published observational cohort studies comparing outcomes between ≥2 OACs. A network meta-analysis was performed to estimate odds ratios for non-persistence using a random-effects model.

RESULTS

There were 80 studies evaluating the outcomes of interest. However, due to a paucity in adherence studies and heterogeneity in adherence, cost, and utilization definitions, persistence was the focus of this network meta-analysis. There were 36 studies evaluating non-persistence in 395,593 participants, 24 of which used 3 gap definitions (30-, 60-, and 90-days); 18 unique studies evaluating non-persistence at 12 months were included in the network meta-analysis. Using 30- and 90-day gaps, all NOACs, when compared with VKAs, had lower odds of non-persistence (30-day OR (95%CI): apixaban: 0.63 (0.58, 0.69); rivaroxaban: 0.69 (0.62, 0.76); dabigatran: 0.89 (0.82, 0.97); 90-day OR (95%CI): apixaban: 0.33 (0.22, 0.47); rivaroxaban: 0.47 (0.36, 0.61); dabigatran 0.61 (0.44, 0.85)). When using a 60-day gap, dabigatran had higher odds of non-persistence vs VKAs (OR: 1.35; 95%CI: 1.12, 1.61), but there were no significant differences for apixaban and rivaroxaban. Apixaban had the lowest probability of non-persistence across the 3-gap definitions (95.7% with 30-day gap, 76.9% with 60-day gap, 98.4% with 90-day gap).

CONCLUSIONS

The current findings, despite multiple limitations, can raise awareness and understanding of real-world persistence associated with OAC therapy in NVAF patients.

GARFIELD-AF risk score for mortality, stroke and bleeding within 2 years in patients with atrial fibrillation

Aims

To determine whether the Global Anticoagulant Registry in the FIELD–Atrial Fibrillation (GARFIELD-AF) integrated risk tool predicts mortality, non-haemorrhagic stroke/systemic embolism, and major bleeding for up to 2 years after new-onset AF and to assess how this risk tool performs compared with CHA₂DS₂-VASc and HAS-BLED.

Methods and results

Potential predictors of events included demographic and clinical characteristics, choice of treatment, and lifestyle factors. A Cox proportional hazards model was identified for each outcome by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator methods. Indices were evaluated in comparison with CHA₂DS₂-VASc and HAS-BLED risk predictors. Models were validated internally and externally in ORBIT-AF and Danish nationwide registries. Among the 52 080 patients enrolled in GARFIELD-AF, 52 032 had follow-up data. The GARFIELD-AF risk tool outperformed CHA₂DS₂-VASc for all-cause mortality in all cohorts. The GARFIELD-AF risk score was superior to CHA₂DS₂-VASc for non-haemorrhagic stroke, and it outperformed HAS-BLED for major bleeding in internal validation and in the Danish AF cohort. In very low- to low-risk patients [CHA₂DS₂-VASc 0 or 1 (men) and 1 or 2 (women)], the GARFIELD-AF risk score offered strong discriminatory value for all the endpoints when compared to CHA₂DS₂-VASc and HAS-BLED. The GARFIELD-AF tool also included the effect of oral anticoagulation (OAC) therapy, thus allowing clinicians to compare the expected outcome of different anticoagulant treatment decisions [i.e. no OAC, non-vitamin K antagonist (VKA) oral anticoagulants, or VKAs].

Conclusions

The GARFIELD-AF risk tool outperformed CHA₂DS₂-VASc at predicting death and non-haemorrhagic stroke, and it outperformed HAS-BLED for major bleeding in overall as well as in very low- to low-risk group patients with AF.

Clinical trial registration

URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier for GARFIELD-AF: NCT01090362, ORBIT-AF I: NCT01165710; ORBIT-AF II: NCT01701817.

Comparative effectiveness and safety of high-dose rivaroxaban and apixaban for atrial fibrillation: A propensity score-matched cohort study

STUDY OBJECTIVE

Observational studies assessing direct oral anticoagulant (DOACs) dosage in atrial fibrillation (AF) reported that a lower proportion of patients received high-dose DOACs compared to those in randomized controlled trials (RCTs). Effectiveness and safety of high-dose DOACs relative to apixaban in a real-world AF population need to be addressed. The aim is to assess comparative effectiveness and safety of high-dose rivaroxaban relative to apixaban.

DESIGN

We conducted a cohort study. Setting We built a cohort of patients hospitalized and discharged in community with a primary or secondary AF diagnosis from 2011-2017 using Quebec administrative databases (Med-Echo and RAMQ). Patients Cohort entry was defined as the first OAC claim in new users of high-dose rivaroxaban and apixaban, with no OAC claims in the prior year. Intervention To compare effectiveness and safety of high-dose rivaroxaban to apixaban. Measurement We ascertained patient demographics, comorbidities, CHA2DS2-VASc and HASBLED scores and Charlson score within 3 years prior to cohort entry. Primary effectiveness and safety were a composite of ischemic stroke/systemic thrombosis, death, myocardial infarction, and of intracranial bleeding (ICH), extracranial major bleeding, in the first year following drug initiation. We conducted propensity score matching and estimated hazard ratios (HRs) for outcomes using Cox proportional hazard models. All the analyses were conducted to account for competing risks. Main results The cohort consisted of 4,632 and 6,771 patients received high-dose rivaroxaban and apixaban, respectively. High-dose rivaroxaban users were younger with a mean age of 73.2 years, presented less associated comorbidities and had lower CHA2DS2-VASc scores compared to apixaban. High-dose rivaroxaban at the intention to treat was associated with a higher risk of stroke/SE/death (HR 1.21, 95% CI 1.04-1.40) and worse composite effectiveness (HR 1.21: 1.05-1.40); under treatment exposure, those values were at HR (1.66: 1.21-2.29) and HR (1.58:1.19-2.10), respectively. And, rivaroxaban presented a less favorable safety profile relative to apixaban. Conclusion In this study, composite effectiveness and safety varied between rivaroxaban and apixaban. High-dose apixaban was observed to have a better effectiveness and safety.

Epidemiology of Atrial Fibrillation: Geographic/Ecological Risk Factors, Age, Sex, Genetics

Atrial fibrillation is the most common arrhythmia globally. The global prevalence of atrial fibrillation is positively correlated with the sociodemographic index of different regions. Advancing age, male sex, and Caucasian race are risk factors; female sex is correlated with higher atrial fibrillation mortality worldwide likely owing to thromboembolic risk. African American ethnicity is associated with lower atrial fibrillation risk, same as Asian and Hispanic/Latino ethnicities compared with Caucasians. Atrial fibrillation may be heritable, and more than 100 genetic loci have been identified. A polygenic risk score and clinical risk factors are feasible and effective in risk stratification of incident disease.

Comparison in Patients < 75 Years of Age - Versus - Those > 75 Years on One-year-Events With Atrial Fibrillation and Left Atrial Appendage Occluder (From the Prospective Multicenter German LAARGE Registry)

Left atrial appendage closure (LAAC) is an alternative to oral anticoagulation therapy in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation for the prevention of embolic stroke and systemic embolism. Although elderly patients (>75 years) have both higher ischemic and bleeding risk as compared with younger patients, they benefit from optimal anticoagulation. The subanalysis aimed to assess the indications, the safety, efficacy, and 1-year outcomes of interventional LAAC in elderly patients (≥ 75 years) compared with younger (< 75 years) patients in clinical practice. We analyzed data from the prospective Left-Atrium-Appendage Occluder Registry Germany. A total of 638 patients were included in the registry, 402 (63%) were aged ≥ 75 years. Compared with younger subjects, patients aged ≥75 were more likely to have higher CHA2DS2-VASC and HAS-BLED scores. Procedural success rate was high und similar in both groups (97.6%). Periprocedural adverse events were not statistically significant in groups (11.9% in <75 years vs 12.9% in ≥75 years; p = 0.80). At 1 year follow-up, all-cause mortality was higher in patients aged ≥75 compared withwith younger group (13.0% vs 7.8 %,p = 0.04), mainly due to non-cardiovascular causes (10.6% vs 6.0%). No significant differences in major bleeding, stroke, systemic embolism were observed. In conclusion, LAAC is feasible and safe in patients with AF at high stroke risk and with contraindications for OAC and should be considered as candidates for LAA closure. Elderly patients often present these characteristics and could benefit from this novel therapy.

Non-vitamin K vs vitamin K oral anticoagulants in patients aged > 80 year with atrial fibrillation and low body weight

BACKGROUND

Octogenarian patients are at high risk of both ischaemic and bleeding events, and the low body weight is considered a risk factor for major bleeding in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients on anticoagulation therapy. The aim of our study was to compare the safety and effectiveness of NOACs versus well-controlled VKA therapy among patients aged > 80 year with AF and low body weight in real-life setting.

METHODS

Data for this study were sourced from the multicenter prospectively maintained Atrial Fibrillation Research Database (NCT03760874). From this, we selected AF patients aged ≥ 80 years and weighted ≤ 60 kg who received NOACs or VKAs treatment (only those with a time in therapeutic range > 70%). 279 patients (136 in NOAC group and 143 in VKA group) were selected.

RESULTS

A total of 71 patients (17 in NOAC vs 54 in VKA group) died during the follow-up. The incidence rate of all-cause mortality was 27.70 per 100 person-years (14.91 in NOAC vs 37.94 in VKA group, adjusted hazard ratio 0.43; 95% CI 0.25 to 0.975; P = .003). 22 patients (9 in NOAC vs 13 in VKA group, P = .6) had major bleeding events. Diabetes mellitus, COPD and age resulted positively associated with death, whereas NOACs, parossistic AF and weight negatively associated with mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Our real-world data might suggest the safe and efficacy use of NOACs in this setting of population, justified by a reduction in overall mortality over VKAs. Further studies are needed to confirm these data.

[How to anticoagulate elderly and fragile patients?]

Risks of thrombosis, bleeding and renal impairment are increasing with age. The efficacy and safety of the direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in fragile patients (age > 75 years and/or creatinine clearance levels < 50 ml/min and/or body weight below 50 kg) with indication for anticoagulation is one of the most challenging topic in cardiovascular medicine. New registry data from subgroup analyses of landmark studies and registries point towards to superiority of DOACs. This article summarizes new insights and describes pathways for anticoagulation in fragile patients.

Clinical profile of direct oral anticoagulants versus vitamin K anticoagulants in octogenarians with atrial fibrillation: a multicentre propensity score matched real-world cohort study

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia in clinical practice and its prevalence increases with age. Few data are available about the clinical performance of direct oral anticoagulant (DOACs) in patients aged ≥ 80 years with AF. The aim of our propensity score matched cohort study was to compare the safety and efficacy of DOACs versus well-controlled VKA therapy among octogenarians with AF in real life setting. Data for this study were sourced from the multicenter prospectively maintained Atrial Fibrillation Research Database (NCT03760874), which includes all AF patients followed by the participating centers, through outpatient visits every 3 to 6 months. The database was queried for AF patients aged ≥ 80 years who received DOACs or VKAs treatment. The primary effectiveness endpoint was the occurrence of thromboembolic events (a composite of stroke, transient ischemic attack, systemic embolism); the primary safety endpoint was the occurrence of major bleeding; the secondary endpoint was all-cause mortality. The database query identified 774 AF patients aged ≥ 80 years treated with VKAs and 279 with DOACs. Propensity score (2:1) matching selected 252 DOAC and 504 VKA recipients. The mean follow-up was 31.07 ± 14.09 months. The incidence rate of thromboembolic events was 13.79 per 1000 person-years [14.80 in DOAC vs 13.34 in VKA group, Hazard Ratio 1.10; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.49 to 2.45; P = 0.823]. The incidence rate of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) was 8.06 per 1000 person-years (3.25 in DOAC vs 10.23 in VKA group, HR 0.33; 95% CI 0.07 to 1.45; P = 0.600). Through these incidence rates, we found a positive net clinical benefit (NCB) of DOACs over VKAs, equal to + 9.01. The incidence rate of all-cause mortality was 105.05 per 1000 person-years (74.67 in DOAC vs 118.67 in VKA group, Hazard Ratio 0.65; 95% CI 0.47 to 0.90; P = 0.010). The concomitant use of antiinflammatory drugs (HR 7.90; P < 0.001) were found to be independent predictor of major bleeding. Moreover, age (HR 1.17; P < 0.002) and chronic kidney disease (HR 0.34; P = 0.019) were found to be independently associated with thromboembolic events. In our study no significant difference in terms of both thromboembolic and major bleeding events, but a significant lower incidence of all-cause mortality, was detected in AF patients aged ≥ 80 years treated with DOACs vs VKAs.

Clinical Outcomes of Direct Oral Anticoagulants and Warfarin in Japanese Patients with Atrial Fibrillation Aged ≥ 85 Years: A Single-Center Observational Study

Background

Increasing age is associated with an increase in stroke in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). Elderly patients have several comorbidities and increased bleeding risk.

Objective

The aim of this study was to evaluate the clinical outcomes of Japanese patients with NVAF aged ≥ 85 years who were treated with direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) or warfarin.

Methods

We retrospectively studied the records of 358 patients with NVAF aged ≥ 85 years who had taken DOACs or warfarin between 2014 and 2018. The primary endpoints were the first occurrences of thromboembolic and bleeding events and death. The secondary endpoint was the discontinuation of oral anticoagulation (OAC) therapy.

Results

During a median follow-up period of 17 months, 24 patients died. The incidence (per 100 patient-years [PY]) of thromboembolic events was 1.8 in patients treated with DOACs and 2.2 in those treated with warfarin (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR] 0.69; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.23–2.12 in a competing model), and the incidence of major bleeding events was 3.1 and 4.2 in patients treated with DOACs and warfarin, respectively (adjusted SHR 0.95; 95% CI 0.32–2.86). The most common cause of bleeding events was gastrointestinal bleeding. A total of 33 patients permanently discontinued OAC therapy, at a median age of 89 years and with no differences between DOACs and warfarin. The most common reason for discontinuing OAC therapy was bleeding events.

Conclusion

Our results revealed that the incidences of thromboembolism and major bleeding among patients with NVAF aged ≥ 85 years were similar for those treated with DOACs and those treated with warfarin. Approximately 10% of patients permanently discontinued OAC therapy.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s40801-020-00209-4) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Direct Oral Anticoagulants in Octogenarians With Atrial Fibrillation: It Is Never Too Late

Atrial fibrillation is the most common arrhythmia in clinical practice, and age is one of the strongest predictors/risk factors for ischemic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation. Elderly patients, in particular patients aged 80 years and older, are at higher risk of both ischemic and bleeding events compared with younger patients. Vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) reduce the risk of ischemic stroke, especially in the elderly, but increase the bleeding risk. In addition, frequent international normalized ratio monitoring is needed to ensure the optimal level of anticoagulation. Furthermore, VKAs have multiple drug and food interactions. Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) have recently emerged as alternatives to VKAs and are gradually increasing their popularity mainly because of their fewer drug and food interactions and ease of use. Their effectiveness and safety have been well-established in the general population, but the benefit in the very elderly (≥80 years old) is still unclear. Data about the safety and the effectiveness of DOACs in patients older than 75 years are available in literature, but the evidences of the use of DOACs in patients aged 80 years and older are lacking. This review aims to give light to the differences, in terms of benefits and safety, of the DOACs in this subset of patients.

Identification of atrial fibrillation in secondary care diabetes and vascular clinics: a pilot study

Aim: To determine the feasibility and utility of the AliveCor® handheld ECG device in screening for asymptomatic atrial fibrillation in high-risk patients attending secondary care clinics. Materials & methods: Patients were recruited from diabetes and vascular outpatient clinics, and the AliveCor device used to store a 30-second ECG recording. Clinical risk stratification systems (CHAD2S2-VASc and HAS-BLED) assessed individual suitability for oral anticoagulation. Results: Atrial fibrillation was detected in 2 of 149 patients (1.3%), with CHA2DS2-VASc-derived annual stroke risk of 4%. Given low bleeding susceptibility (HAS-BLED), oral anticoagulation was strongly indicated. Conclusion: AliveCor technology offers a simple approach to retrieve large volumes of ECG data. A follow-up study with a larger cohort would reinforce the clinical utility of screening this high-risk population.

The problem of underdosing with direct-acting oral anticoagulants in elderly patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation

Unless contraindicated, anticoagulant therapy should be prescribed to elderly patients with atrial fibrillation. Direct-acting oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are superior to vitamin K antagonists for preventing stroke. This, together with their higher net clinical benefit, makes DOACs the treatment of choice in this population. However, due to the concerns about bleeding and the need for dose adjustment based on clinical variables, underdosing of DOACs is common and the risk of stroke high. Drugs with more easily adjusted doses are likely associated with a lower risk of dosing errors and, therefore, a greater protective effect. Correct dosing can ensure a maximal net benefit of DOACs in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation.

Clinical characteristics and antithrombotic prescription in elderly hospitalized atrial fibrillation patients: A cross-sectional analysis of a Swedish single-center clinical cohort

BACKGROUND

Antithrombotic treatment represents a dilemma in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation since both risk of thromboembolism and bleeding are age-dependent complications. A paradigm shift occurred over the past 10 years when aspirin was overcome by warfarin and further by the direct oral anticoagulants. Here we present a clinical practice-based analysis of a cohort of elderly inpatient atrial fibrillation patients and investigate the influence of clinical factors in the choice of antithrombotic strategy.

METHODS

Study participants (n = 2943) are consecutive patients aged 75-104 years discharged from a Swedish university hospital with atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter as main diagnosis between November 1st 2010 and December 31st 2017. Cardiovascular risk factors, comorbidities and antithrombotic treatment at discharge were manually extracted from medical charts. A logistic regression analysis was performed to estimate predictors of the probability to receive direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) compared to warfarin.

RESULTS

Patients aged ≥90 y (n = 446, women 73%) showed the highest prevalence of cardiovascular comorbidities and the highest bleeding and thromboembolic risk. DOACs became more commonly prescribed than warfarin in 2016/2017 across all ages. However, the probability to receive DOAC as compared to warfarin was lower in the presence of high bleeding risk (OR 0,55; 95% CI 0,40-0,77; p = 0,00) and high thromboembolic risk (OR 0,74; 95% CI 0,59-0,94; p = 0,01).

CONCLUSION

Elderly atrial fibrillation patients represent a heterogenous group where the oldest (≥90 years) show both a very high thromboembolic and bleeding risk profile. In the presence of high thromboembolic and bleeding risk, warfarin was still preferred over DOAC.

Determinants of Antithrombotic Treatment for Atrial Fibrillation in Octogenarians: Results of the OCTOFA Study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Atrial fibrillation, the most frequent form of arrhythmia, affects 5-15% individuals aged > 80 years. Stroke is a major risk for atrial fibrillation patients. The benefits of anticoagulant therapy clearly outweigh the risk of hemorrhage, even in the elderly. Despite the efficacy of warfarin, many eligible patients receive no prophylactic antithrombotic therapy. New generation oral anticoagulants compare favorably with vitamin K antagonists in the prevention of thromboembolic events and hemorrhage. These new agents are likely to influence the prescribing habits of anticoagulants in atrial fibrillation. The aim of this study to investigate both the frequency and the determining factors of anticoagulant prescriptions in AF patients aged ≥ 80 years and followed up by private-practice cardiologists in France.

METHODS

The OCTOFA (Atrial Fibrillation in Octogenarians) Study assessed the anticoagulant prescribing habits of cardiologists in France. The volunteer cardiologists recruited all consecutive patients fulilling the inclusion criteria.

RESULTS

Between June 2013 and September 2016, 89 cardiologists recruited 738 eligible patients: age ≥ 80 years, non-valvular atrial fibrillation, no other compelling indication for anticoagulation therapy, no recent acute coronary syndrome or stroke. Most (90.7%) patients were on oral anticoagulant therapy: vitamin K antagonist or non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants, low molecular weight heparin (1.4%), aspirin (5.7%), and no antithrombotic treatment (2.2%). Patients on vitamin K antagonists were older (p < 0.001), had lower renal function (p = 0.033), and had a more frequent history of myocardial infarction (p < 0.001), heart failure (p = 0.001), peripheral artery disease (p = 0.033), major hemorrhage (p = 0.025), and falls (p = 0.045). Four determining factors of anticoagulant prescriptions were statistically significant: high CHA₂DS₂-VASc score (p < 0.001), high HAS-BLED score (p < 0.001), age > 90 years (p = 0.001), and moderate/severe cognitive impairment (p = 0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

Most private-practice cardiologists prescribe anticoagulant treatment according to current guidelines in elderly atrial fibrillation patients. Non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants represent a significant proportion of prescriptions.

CHA2DS2-VASc Score and In-Hospital Mortality in Critically Ill Patients With New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation

OBJECTIVE

To examine the role of the CHA₂DS₂-VASc (Congestive heart failure; Hypertension; Age ≥75 years [doubled]; Diabetes; previous Stroke, transient ischemic attack, or thromboembolism [doubled]; Vascular disease; Age 65-75 years; and Sex category) score as a prognostic marker of in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients who develop new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF).

DESIGN

Retrospective analyses.

SETTING

A single-center study in a tertiary care academic medical center.

PARTICIPANTS

The study comprised all adult patients with NOAF admitted to noncardiac intensive care units (ICUs) at a tertiary care academic institution between January 2009 and March 2016.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

The authors retrospectively reviewed electronic medical records of all adult patients admitted to noncardiac ICUs at a tertiary care academic institution between January 2009 and March 2016. Patients with NOAF were identified and their CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was calculated. The authors evaluated the association of CHA₂DS₂-VASc score and its individual components with in-hospital mortality in these patients. A total of 640 (1.7% [38,708 patients]; 95% CI 1.5%-1.8%) patients developed NOAF during the study period. The in-hospital mortality rate in patients included in the analysis was 14.3%. There was no association between in-hospital mortality and CHA₂DS₂VASc score. However, the likelihood of in-hospital death was 1.56  times greater for patients having atrial fibrillation and concomitant vascular disease (95% CI 1.003-2.429; p = 0.049).

CONCLUSIONS

New-onset atrial fibrillation is common in critically ill patients and is associated with high in-hospital mortality. The authors found that the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score itself is not a reliable prognostic marker of in-hospital mortality in these patients. However, the presence of vascular disease in patients with NOAF may increase the mortality associated with this disease.

Healthcare resource utilization and expenditures among newly-diagnosed elderly non-valvular atrial fibrillation patients initiating oral anticoagulants

Aims: Non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) prevalence increases with age. Hence, evaluating the economic burden among older-aged patients is vital. This study aimed to compare healthcare resource utilization (HRU) and costs among newly-diagnosed older-aged NVAF patients treated with warfarin, rivaroxaban, or apixaban vs. dabigatran.Materials and Methods: Newly-diagnosed older-aged (aged ≥65 years) NVAF patients initiating dabigatran, warfarin, rivaroxaban, or apixaban (first prescription date = index date) from 01JAN2010-31DEC2015 and with continuous enrollment for ≥12 months pre-index date were included from 100% Medicare database. Patient data were assessed until drug discontinuation/switch/dose change/death/disenrollment/study end (up to 12 months). Dabigatran initiators were 1:1 propensity score-matched (PSM) with warfarin, rivaroxaban, or apixaban initiators. Generalized linear models were used to compare all-cause HRU and costs per-patient-per-month (PPPM) between the matched cohorts.Results: After PSM with dabigatran, 70,531 warfarin, 51,673 rivaroxaban, and 25,209 apixaban patients were identified. Dabigatran patients had significantly fewer generalized-linear-model-adjusted PPPM hospitalizations (0.114 vs. 0.123; 0.111 vs. 0.121), and outpatient visits (2.864 vs. 4.201; 2.839 vs. 2.949) than warfarin and rivaroxaban patients, respectively, but had significantly more PPPM hospitalizations (0.103 vs. 0.090) and outpatient visits (2.780 vs. 2.673) than apixaban patients (all p < .0001). Dabigatran patients incurred significantly lower adjusted total PPPM costs ($3,309 vs. $3,362; $3,285 vs. $3,474) than warfarin and rivaroxaban patients, respectively (all p < .01) but higher total PPPM costs ($3,192 vs. $2,986) than apixaban patients (all p < .0001).Limitations: This study is subject to the inherent limitations of any claims dataset, including potential bias from coding errors and identification of medical conditions using diagnosis codes as opposed to clinical evidence. Medications filled over-the-counter or provided as samples by the physician are never captured in claims data.Conclusions: Newly-diagnosed older-aged NVAF patients initiating dabigatran incurred significantly lower adjusted all-cause HRU and costs than warfarin and rivaroxaban patients but higher adjusted HRU and costs than apixaban patients.

Identification of Markers Associated With Development of Stroke in "Clinically Low-Risk" Atrial Fibrillation Patients

Background

Stroke and thromboembolic events may still occur in “clinically low‐risk” atrial fibrillation (AF) patients as categorized by CHA₂DS₂‐VASc score. Our aim was to assess the proportion of “clinically low‐risk” patients using a nongender CHA₂DS₂‐VASc (ie, CHA₂DS₂‐VA) score of 0 to 1 among patients who experienced AF‐associated stroke and to identify markers associated with stroke in “clinically low‐risk” patients.

Methods and Results

We retrospectively recruited nonvalvular AF patients who experienced embolic stroke between 2013 and 2016 from 9 institutes in Korea. AF patients with CHA₂DS₂‐VA score of 0 to 1 at the time of stroke were analyzed and compared with “clinically low‐risk” AF patients without stroke. A total of 3033 subjects with AF‐associated stroke were recruited. Of these, 583 patients (19.2%) had CHA₂DS₂‐VA score of 0 to 1. On multivariate analysis, age (≥60 years), N‐terminal pro B‐type natriuretic peptide (≥300 pg/mL), creatinine clearance (<50 mL/min), and left atrial dimension (≥45 mm) were independently associated with stroke. With the combined application of these 4 factors (collectively, ABCD score) to the “clinically low‐risk” patients, the c‐index was 0.858 (95% CI 0.838–0.877; P<0.001).

Conclusions

The present study suggests a new insight into how additional use of markers can further refine stroke risk differentiation among AF patients initially classified as “clinically low‐risk.”

Clinical Trial Registration

URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT03147911.