Spatially Distinct Genetic Determinants of Aortic Dimensions Influence Risks of Aneurysm and Stenosis

A predictive model of 30-day mortality in patients with acute type A aortic dissection

OBJECTIVE

Acute type A aortic dissection (ATAAD) is a life-threatening cardiovascular disease that requires an effective predictive model to predict and assess a patient's risk of death. Our study aimed to construct a model for predicting the risk of 30-day death in patients with ATAAD and the prediction accuracy of the German Registry of Acute Aortic Dissection Type A (GERAADA) Score and the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE II) was verified.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Between June 2019 and June 2023, 109 patients with ATAAD underwent surgical treatment at our hospital (35 in the death group and 74 in the survival group). The differences in image parameters between the two groups were compared. Search for independent predictors and develop models that predict 30-day mortality in patients with ATAAD. GERAADA Score and EuroSCORE II were retrospectively calculated and indicated mortality was assessed using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

RESULTS

Logistic regression analysis showed that ascending aortic length and pericardial effusion were independent predictors of death within 30 days in patients with ATAAD. We constructed four models, GERAADA Score (Model 1), EuroSCORE II (Model 2), Model 1, ascending aorta length, and pericardial effusion (Model 3), and Model 2, ascending aorta length, and pericardial effusion (Model 4). The area under the curve (AUC = 0.832) of Model 3 was significantly different from those of Models 1 (AUC = 0.683) and 2 (AUC = 0.599), respectively (p < 0.05, DeLong test).

CONCLUSIONS

Adding ascending aorta length and pericardial effusion to the GERAADA Score can improve the predictive power of 30-day mortality in patients with ATAAD.

Adopting artificial intelligence in cardiovascular medicine: a scoping review

Recent years have witnessed significant transformations in cardiovascular medicine, driven by the rapid evolution of artificial intelligence (AI). This scoping review was conducted to capture the breadth of AI applications within cardiovascular science. Employing a structured approach, we sourced relevant articles from PubMed, with an emphasis on journals encompassing general cardiology and digital medicine. We applied filters to highlight cardiovascular articles published in journals focusing on general internal medicine, cardiology and digital medicine, thereby identifying the prevailing trends in the field. Following a comprehensive full-text screening, a total of 140 studies were identified. Over the preceding 5 years, cardiovascular medicine's interplay with AI has seen an over tenfold augmentation. This expansive growth encompasses multiple cardiovascular subspecialties, including but not limited to, general cardiology, ischemic heart disease, heart failure, and arrhythmia. Deep learning emerged as the predominant methodology. The majority of AI endeavors in this domain have been channeled toward enhancing diagnostic and prognostic capabilities, utilizing resources such as hospital datasets, electrocardiograms, and echocardiography. A significant uptrend was observed in AI's application for omics data analysis. However, a clear gap persists in AI's full-scale integration into the clinical decision-making framework. AI, particularly deep learning, has demonstrated robust applications across cardiovascular subspecialties, indicating its transformative potential in this field. As we continue on this trajectory, ensuring the alignment of technological progress with medical ethics becomes crucial. The abundant digital health data today further accentuates the need for meticulous systematic reviews, tailoring them to each cardiovascular subspecialty.

Using Genomics to Identify Novel Therapeutic Targets for Aortic Disease

Aortic disease, including dissection, aneurysm, and rupture, carries significant morbidity and mortality and is a notable cause of sudden cardiac death. Much of our knowledge regarding the genetic basis of aortic disease has relied on the study of individuals with Mendelian aortopathies and, until recently, the genetic determinants of population-level variance in aortic phenotypes remained unclear. However, the application of machine learning methodologies to large imaging datasets has enabled researchers to rapidly define aortic traits and mine dozens of novel genetic associations for phenotypes such as aortic diameter and distensibility. In this review, we highlight the emerging potential of genomics for identifying causal genes and candidate drug targets for aortic disease. We describe how deep learning technologies have accelerated the pace of genetic discovery in this field. We then provide a blueprint for translating genetic associations to biological insights, reviewing techniques for locus and cell type prioritization, high-throughput functional screening, and disease modeling using cellular and animal models of aortic disease.

Artificial Intelligence in the Screening, Diagnosis, and Management of Aortic Stenosis

The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into clinical management of aortic stenosis (AS) has redefined our approach to the assessment and management of this heterogenous valvular heart disease (VHD). While the large-scale early detection of valvular conditions is limited by socioeconomic constraints, AI offers a cost-effective alternative solution for screening by utilizing conventional tools, including electrocardiograms and community-level auscultations, thereby facilitating early detection, prevention, and treatment of AS. Furthermore, AI sheds light on the varied nature of AS, once considered a uniform condition, allowing for more nuanced, data-driven risk assessments and treatment plans. This presents an opportunity to re-evaluate the complexity of AS and to refine treatment using data-driven risk stratification beyond traditional guidelines. AI can be used to support treatment decisions including device selection, procedural techniques, and follow-up surveillance of transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) in a reproducible manner. While recognizing notable AI achievements, it is important to remember that AI applications in AS still require collaboration with human expertise due to potential limitations such as its susceptibility to bias, and the critical nature of healthcare. This synergy underpins our optimistic view of AI's promising role in the AS clinical pathway.

Clinical presentation, outcomes, and threshold for repair by sex in degenerative saccular vs fusiform aneurysms in the descending thoracic aorta

OBJECTIVE

Saccular-shaped thoracic aortic aneurysms (TAAs) are often treated at smaller diameters compared with fusiform TAAs, despite a lack of strong clinical evidence to support this practice. The aim of this study was to examine differences in presentation, treatment, and outcomes between saccular TAAs and fusiform TAAs in the descending thoracic aorta. We also examined the need for sex-specific treatment thresholds for TAAs.

METHODS

All Vascular Quality Initiative (VQI) patients undergoing thoracic endovascular aneurysm repair (TEVAR) for degenerative TAAs in the descending thoracic aorta from 2012 through 2022 were reviewed. Patients were stratified by urgency: emergent/urgent vs elective repairs (ruptured/symptomatic). Demographics, comorbidities, anatomical/procedural characteristics, and outcomes for fusiform TAAs and saccular TAAs were compared. Cumulative distribution curves were used to plot the proportion of patients who underwent emergent/urgent repair according to sex-stratified aortic diameter.

RESULTS

Among 655 emergent/urgent TEVARs, 37% were performed for saccular TAAs, whereas among 1352 elective TEVARs, 35% had saccular TAA morphology. Compared with fusiform TAAs, saccular TAAs more frequently underwent emergent/urgent (ruptured/symptomatic) TEVAR below the repair threshold in both females (<50 mm: 38% vs 10%; relative risk, 3.39; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.04-5.70; P < .001), and males (<55 mm: 47% vs 21%; relative risk, 2.26; 95% CI, 1.60-3.18; P < .001). Moreover, among patients with emergent/urgent fusiform TAAs, females presented at smaller diameters compared with males, whereas there was no difference in preoperative aneurysm diameter among patients with saccular TAAs. Regarding outcomes, emergent/urgent treated saccular TAAs had similar postoperative outcomes and 5-year mortality compared with fusiform TAAs. Nevertheless, in the elective cohort, patients with saccular TAAs had similar postoperative mortality compared with those with fusiform TAAs, but a lower rate of postoperative spinal cord ischemia (0.7% vs 3.2%; P = .010). Furthermore, patients with saccular TAAs had a higher rate of 5-year mortality compared with their fusiform counterparts (23% vs 17%; hazard ratio, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.12-2.10; P = .010).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with saccular TAAs underwent emergent/urgent TEVAR at smaller diameters than those with fusiform TAAs, supporting current clinical practice guideline recommendations that saccular TAAs warrant treatment at smaller diameters. Furthermore, these data support a sex-specific treatment threshold for patients with fusiform TAAs, but not for those with saccular TAAs. Although there were no differences in outcomes following TEVAR between morphologies in the emergent/urgent cohort, patients with saccular TAAs who were treated electively were associated with higher 5-year mortality compared with those with fusiform TAAs.

Machine Learning and Omics Analysis in Aortic Aneurysm

Aortic aneurysm is a life-threatening condition and mechanisms underlying its formation and progression are still incompletely understood. Omics approach has brought new insights to identify a broad spectrum of biomarkers and better understand cellular and molecular pathways involved. Omics generate a large amount of data and several studies have highlighted that artificial intelligence (AI) and techniques such as machine learning (ML)/deep learning (DL) can be of use in analyzing such complex datasets. However, only a few studies have so far reported the use of ML/DL for omics analysis in aortic aneurysms. The aim of this study is to summarize recent advances on the use of ML/DL for omics analysis to decipher aortic aneurysm pathophysiology and develop patient-tailored risk prediction models. In the light of current knowledge, we discuss current limits and highlight future directions in the field.

Assessment of valvular function in over 47,000 people using deep learning-based flow measurements

Valvular heart disease is associated with a high global burden of disease. Even mild aortic stenosis confers increased morbidity and mortality, prompting interest in understanding normal variation in valvular function at scale. We developed a deep learning model to study velocity-encoded magnetic resonance imaging in 47,223 UK Biobank participants. We calculated eight traits, including peak velocity, mean gradient, aortic valve area, forward stroke volume, mitral and aortic regurgitant volume, greatest average velocity, and ascending aortic diameter. We then computed sex-stratified reference ranges for these phenotypes in up to 31,909 healthy individuals. In healthy individuals, we found an annual decrement of 0.03cm ² in the aortic valve area. Participants with mitral valve prolapse had a 1 standard deviation [SD] higher mitral regurgitant volume (P=9.6 × 10 ^-12 ), and those with aortic stenosis had a 4.5 SD-higher mean gradient (P=1.5 × 10 ^-431 ), validating the derived phenotypes' associations with clinical disease. Greater levels of ApoB, triglycerides, and Lp(a) assayed nearly 10 years prior to imaging were associated with higher gradients across the aortic valve. Metabolomic profiles revealed that increased glycoprotein acetyls were also associated with an increased aortic valve mean gradient (0.92 SD, P=2.1 x 10 ^-22 ). Finally, velocity-derived phenotypes were risk markers for aortic and mitral valve surgery even at thresholds below what is considered relevant disease currently. Using machine learning to quantify the rich phenotypic data of the UK Biobank, we report the largest assessment of valvular function and cardiovascular disease in the general population.

Current status of real-world big data research in the cardiovascular field in Japan

Real-world data (RWD) are observational data obtained by collecting, structuring, and accumulating patient information among the medical big data. RWD are derived from a variety of patient medical care and health information outside of conventional research data, and include electronic health records, claims data, registry data of disease, drug and device, health check-up data, and more recently, patient information data from wearable devices. They are currently being utilized in various forms for optimal medical care and real-world evidence (RWE) is constructed through a process of hypothesis generation and verification based on the RWD research. Together with classic clinical research and pragmatic trials, RWE shapes the learning healthcare system and contributes to the improvement of medical care. In the cardiovascular medical care of the current super-aged society, the need for a variety of RWE and the research is increasing, since the guidelines established over time and the medical care based on it cannot necessarily be the best in accordance with the current medical situation. In this review, we focus on the RWD and RWE studies in the cardiovascular medical field and outlines their current status in Japan. Furthermore, we discuss the potential for extending the studies and issues related to the use of medical big data and RWD.

Genetics and mechanisms of thoracic aortic disease

Aortic disease has many forms including aortic aneurysm and dissection, aortic coarctation or abnormalities in aortic function, such as loss of aortic distensibility. Genetic analysis in humans is one of the most important experimental approaches in uncovering disease mechanisms, but the relative infrequency of thoracic aortic disease compared with other cardiovascular conditions such as coronary artery disease has hindered large-scale identification of genetic associations. In the past decade, advances in machine learning technology coupled with large imaging datasets from biobank repositories have facilitated a rapid expansion in our capacity to measure and genotype aortic traits, resulting in the identification of dozens of genetic associations. In this Review, we describe the history of technological advances in genetic discovery and explain how newer technologies such as deep learning can rapidly define aortic traits at scale. Furthermore, we integrate novel genetic observations provided by these advances into our current biological understanding of thoracic aortic disease and describe how these new findings can contribute to strategies to prevent and treat aortic disease.

A machine learning approach for predicting descending thoracic aortic diameter

Background

To establish models for predicting descending thoracic aortic diameters and provide evidence for selecting the size of the stent graft for TBAD patients.

Methods

A total of 200 candidates without severe deformation of aorta were included. CTA information was collected and 3D reconstructed. In the reconstructed CTA, a total of 12 cross-sections of peripheral vessels were made perpendicular to the axis of flow of the aorta. Parameters of the cross sections and basic clinical characteristics were used for prediction. The data was randomly split into the training set and the test set in an 8:2 ratio. To fully describe diameters of descending thoracic aorta, three predicted points were set based quadrisection, and a total of 12 models at three predicted points were established using four algorithms included linear regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM), Extra-Tree regression (ETR) and random forest regression (RFR). The performance of models was evaluated by mean square error (MSE) of the prediction value, and the ranking of feature importance was given by Shapley value. After modeling, prognosis of five TEVAR cases and stent oversizing were compared.

Results

We identified a series of parameters which affect the diameter of descending thoracic aorta, including age, hypertension, the area of proximal edge of superior mesenteric artery, etc. Among four predictive models, all the MSEs of SVM models at three different predicted position were less than 2 mm², with approximately 90% predicted diameters error less than 2 mm in the test sets. In patients with dSINE, stent oversizing was about 3 mm, while only 1 mm in patients without complications.

Conclusion

The predictive models established by machine learning revealed the relationship between basic characteristics and diameters of different segment of descending aorta, which help to provide evidence for selecting the matching distal size of the stent for TBAD patients, thereby reducing the incidence of TEVAR complications.

Development of a Prediction Model for Ascending Aortic Diameter Among Asymptomatic Individuals

IMPORTANCE

Ascending thoracic aortic disease is an important cause of sudden death in the US, yet most aortic aneurysms are identified incidentally.

OBJECTIVE

To develop and validate a clinical score to estimate ascending aortic diameter.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Using an ongoing magnetic resonance imaging substudy of the UK Biobank cohort study, which had enrolled participants from 2006 through 2010, score derivation was performed in 30 018 participants and internal validation in an additional 6681. External validation was performed in 1367 participants from the Framingham Heart Study (FHS) offspring cohort who had undergone computed tomography from 2002 through 2005, and in 50 768 individuals who had undergone transthoracic echocardiography in the Community Care Cohort Project, a retrospective hospital-based cohort of longitudinal primary care patients in the Mass General Brigham (MGB) network between 2001-2018.

EXPOSURES

Demographic and clinical variables (11 covariates that would not independently prompt thoracic imaging).

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Ascending aortic diameter was modeled with hierarchical group least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. Correlation between estimated and measured diameter and performance for identifying diameter 4.0 cm or greater were assessed.

RESULTS

The 30 018-participant training cohort (52% women), were a median age of 65.1 years (IQR, 58.6-70.6 years). The mean (SD) ascending aortic diameter was 3.04 (0.31) cm for women and 3.32 (0.34) cm for men. A score to estimate ascending aortic diameter explained 28.2% of the variance in aortic diameter in the UK Biobank validation cohort (95% CI, 26.4%-30.0%), 30.8% in the FHS cohort (95% CI, 26.8%-34.9%), and 32.6% in the MGB cohort (95% CI, 31.9%-33.2%). For detecting individuals with an ascending aortic diameter of 4 cm or greater, the score had an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve of 0.770 (95% CI, 0.737-0.803) in the UK Biobank, 0.813 (95% CI, 0.772-0.854) in the FHS, and 0.766 (95% CI, 0.757-0.774) in the MGB cohorts, although the model significantly overestimated or underestimated aortic diameter in external validation. Using a fixed-score threshold of 3.537, 9.7 people in UK Biobank, 1.8 in the FHS, and 4.6 in the MGB cohorts would need imaging to confirm 1 individual with an ascending aortic diameter of 4 cm or greater. The sensitivity at that threshold was 8.9% in the UK Biobank, 11.3% in the FHS, and 18.8% in the MGB cohorts, with specificities of 98.1%, 99.2%, and 96.2%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

A prediction model based on common clinically available data was derived and validated to predict ascending aortic diameter. Further research is needed to optimize the prediction model and to determine whether its use is associated with improved outcomes.

Aortic Cellular Diversity and Quantitative Genome-Wide Association Study Trait Prioritization Through Single-Nuclear RNA Sequencing of the Aneurysmal Human Aorta

BACKGROUND

Mural cells in ascending aortic aneurysms undergo phenotypic changes that promote extracellular matrix destruction and structural weakening. To explore this biology, we analyzed the transcriptional features of thoracic aortic tissue.

METHODS

Single-nuclear RNA sequencing was performed on 13 samples from human donors, 6 with thoracic aortic aneurysm, and 7 without aneurysm. Individual transcriptomes were then clustered based on transcriptional profiles. Clusters were used for between-disease differential gene expression analyses, subcluster analysis, and analyzed for intersection with genetic aortic trait data.

RESULTS

We sequenced 71 689 nuclei from human thoracic aortas and identified 14 clusters, aligning with 11 cell types, predominantly vascular smooth muscle cells (VSMCs) consistent with aortic histology. With unbiased methodology, we found 7 vascular smooth muscle cell and 6 fibroblast subclusters. Differentially expressed genes analysis revealed a vascular smooth muscle cell group accounting for the majority of differential gene expression. Fibroblast populations in aneurysm exhibit distinct behavior with almost complete disappearance of quiescent fibroblasts. Differentially expressed genes were used to prioritize genes at aortic diameter and distensibility genome-wide association study loci highlighting the genes JUN, LTBP4 (latent transforming growth factor beta-binding protein 1), and IL34 (interleukin 34) in fibroblasts, ENTPD1, PDLIM5 (PDZ and LIM domain 5), ACTN4 (alpha-actinin-4), and GLRX in vascular smooth muscle cells, as well as LRP1 in macrophage populations.

CONCLUSIONS

Using nuclear RNA sequencing, we describe the cellular diversity of healthy and aneurysmal human ascending aorta. Sporadic aortic aneurysm is characterized by differential gene expression within known cellular classes rather than by the appearance of novel cellular forms. Single-nuclear RNA sequencing of aortic tissue can be used to prioritize genes at aortic trait loci.