Predictive power of the ADHD GWAS 2019 polygenic risk scores in independent samples of bipolar patients with childhood ADHD

Schizophrenia polygenic risk scores, clinical variables and genetic pathways as predictors of phenotypic traits of bipolar I disorder

AIM

We investigated the predictive value of polygenic risk scores (PRS) derived from the schizophrenia GWAS (Trubetskoy et al., 2022) (SCZ3) for phenotypic traits of bipolar disorder type-I (BP-I) in 1878 BP-I cases and 2751 controls from Romania and UK.

METHODS

We used PRSice-v2.3.3 and PRS-CS for computing SCZ3-PRS for testing the predictive power of SCZ3-PRS alone and in combination with clinical variables for several BP-I subphenotypes and for pathway analysis. Non-linear predictive models were also used.

RESULTS

SCZ3-PRS significantly predicted psychosis, incongruent and congruent psychosis, general age-of-onset (AO) of BP-I, AO-depression, AO-Mania, rapid cycling in univariate regressions. A negative correlation between the number of depressive episodes and psychosis, mainly incongruent and an inverse relationship between increased SCZ3-SNP loading and BP-I-rapid cycling were observed. In random forest models comparing the predictive power of SCZ3-PRS alone and in combination with nine clinical variables, the best predictions were provided by combinations of SCZ3-PRS-CS and clinical variables closely followed by models containing only clinical variables. SCZ3-PRS performed worst. Twenty-two significant pathways underlying psychosis were identified.

LIMITATIONS

The combined RO-UK sample had a certain degree of heterogeneity of the BP-I severity: only the RO sample and partially the UK sample included hospitalized BP-I cases. The hospitalization is an indicator of illness severity. Not all UK subjects had complete subphenotype information.

CONCLUSION

Our study shows that the SCZ3-PRS have a modest clinical value for predicting phenotypic traits of BP-I. For clinical use their best performance is in combination with clinical variables.

Association of Occupational Dysfunction and Hospital Admissions With Different Polygenic Profiles in Bipolar Disorder

OBJECTIVE

Many but not all persons with bipolar disorder require hospital care because of severe mood episodes. Likewise, some but not all patients experience long-term occupational dysfunction that extends beyond acute mood episodes. It is not known whether these dissimilar outcomes of bipolar disorder are driven by different polygenic profiles. Here, polygenic scores (PGSs) for major psychiatric disorders and educational attainment were assessed for associations with occupational functioning and psychiatric hospital admissions in bipolar disorder.

METHODS

A total of 4,782 patients with bipolar disorder and 2,963 control subjects were genotyped and linked to Swedish national registers. Longitudinal measures from at least 10 years of registry data were used to derive percentage of years without employment, percentage of years with long-term sick leave, and mean number of psychiatric hospital admissions per year. Ordinal regression was used to test associations between outcomes and PGSs for bipolar disorder, schizophrenia, major depressive disorder, attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), and educational attainment. Replication analyses of hospital admissions were conducted with data from the Bipolar Disorder Research Network cohort (N=4,219).

RESULTS

Long-term sick leave and unemployment in bipolar disorder were significantly associated with PGSs for schizophrenia, ADHD, major depressive disorder, and educational attainment, but not with the PGS for bipolar disorder. By contrast, the number of hospital admissions per year was associated with higher PGSs for bipolar disorder and schizophrenia, but not with the other PGSs.

CONCLUSIONS

Bipolar disorder severity (indexed by hospital admissions) was associated with a different polygenic profile than long-term occupational dysfunction. These findings have clinical implications, suggesting that mitigating occupational dysfunction requires interventions other than those deployed to prevent mood episodes.

Predicting ADHD in alcohol dependence using polygenic risk scores for ADHD

Attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) is a neurodevelopmental disorder with a high degree of comorbidity, including substance misuse. We aimed to assess whether ADHD polygenic risk scores (PRS) could predict ADHD diagnosis in alcohol dependence (AD). ADHD PRS were generated for 1223 AD subjects with ADHD diagnosis information and 1818 healthy controls. ADHD PRS distributions were compared to evaluate the differences between healthy controls and AD cases with and without ADHD. We found increased ADHD PRS means in the AD cohort with ADHD (mean 0.30, standard deviation (SD) 0.92; p = 3.9 × 10-6); and without ADHD (mean - 0.00, SD 1.00; p = 5.2 × 10-5) compared to the healthy control subjects (mean - 0.17, SD 0.99). The ADHD PRS means differed within the AD group with a higher ADHD PRS mean in those with ADHD, odds ratio (OR) 1.34, confidence interval (CI) 1.10 to 1.65; p = 0.002. This study showed a positive relationship between ADHD PRS and risk of ADHD in individuals with co-occurring AD indicating that ADHD PRS may have utility in identifying individuals that are at a higher or lower risk of ADHD. Further larger studies need to be conducted to confirm the reliability of the results before ADHD PRS can be considered as a robust biomarker for diagnosis.

Multiple psychiatric polygenic risk scores predict associations between childhood adversity and bipolar disorder

BACKGROUND

It remains unclear how adverse childhood experiences (ACE) and increased genetic risk for bipolar disorder (BD) interact to influence BD symptom outcomes. Here we calculated multiple psychiatric polygenic risk scores (PRS) and used the measures of ACE to understand these gene-environment interactions.

METHOD

885 BD subjects were included for analyses. BD, ADHD, MDD and SCZ PRSs were calculated using the PRS-CS-auto method. ACEs were evaluated using the Children Life Event Questionnaire (CLEQ). Participants were divided into groups based on the presence of ACE and the total number of ACEs. The associations between total ACE number, PRSs and their interactions were evaluated using multiple linear and logistic regressions. Secondary analyses were performed to evaluate the influence of ACE and PRS on sub-phenotypes of BD.

RESULTS

The number of ACEs increased with the ADHD PRS. BD participants who had ACEs showed an earlier age of BD onset and higher odds of having rapid cycling. Increased BD PRS was associated with increased odds of developing psychotic symptoms. Higher ADHD PRS was associated with increased odds of having rapid cycling. No prediction effect was observed from MDD and SCZ PRS. And, we found no significant interaction between ACE numbers and any of the PRSs in predicting any selected BD sub-phenotypes.

LIMITATIONS

The study was limited by sample size, ACE definition, and cross-sectional data collection method.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings consolidate the importance of considering multiple psychiatric PRSs in predicting symptom outcomes among BD patients.

Clinical correlates of comorbid attention deficit hyperactivity disorder in adults suffering from bipolar disorder: A meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

Attention deficit hyperactivity disorder is a frequent comorbid condition in adults with bipolar disorder. We performed a meta-analysis aimed at assessing sociodemographic and clinical correlates of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder in bipolar disorder.

METHOD

We searched main electronic databases up to June 2021. Random-effects meta-analyses, with relevant meta-regression and quality-based sensitivity analyses, were carried out to estimate the association between attention deficit hyperactivity disorder and putative correlates, grading the quality of evidence.

RESULTS

We included 43 studies, based on 38 independent samples. Attention deficit hyperactivity disorder participants were more likely to be males (odds ratio = 1.46; p < 0.001) and unemployed (odds ratio = 1.45; p = 0.045), and less likely to be married (odds ratio = 0.62; p = 0.014). They had an earlier onset of bipolar disorder (standardized mean difference = -0.36; p < 0.001); more mood episodes (standardized mean difference = 0.35; p = 0.007), particularly depressive (standardized mean difference = 0.30; p = 0.011) and mixed (standardized mean difference = 0.30; p = 0.031) ones; higher odds of using antidepressants (odds ratio = 1.80; p = 0.024) and attempted suicides (odds ratio = 1.83; p < 0.001) and lower odds of psychotic features (odds ratio = 0.63; p = 0.010). Moreover, they were more likely to have generalized anxiety disorder (odds ratio = 1.50; p = 0.019), panic disorder (odds ratio = 1.89; p < 0.001), social phobia (odds ratio = 1.61; p = 0.017), eating disorders (odds ratio = 1.91; p = 0.007), antisocial personality disorder (odds ratio = 3.59; p = 0.004) and substance (odds ratio = 2.29; p < 0.001) or alcohol (odds ratio = 2.28; p < 0.001) use disorders. Quality of the evidence was generally low or very low for the majority of correlates, except for bipolar disorder onset and alcohol/substance use disorders (high), and suicide attempts (moderate).

CONCLUSION

Comorbid bipolar disorder/attention deficit hyperactivity disorder may have some distinctive clinical features including an earlier onset of bipolar disorder and higher comorbid alcohol/substance use disorder rates. Further research is needed to identify additional clinical characteristics of this comorbidity.

Examining the impact of ADHD polygenic risk scores on ADHD and associated outcomes: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Early identification of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) is critical for mitigating the many negative functional outcomes associated with its diagnosis. Because of the strong genetic basis of ADHD, the use of polygenic risk scores (PRS) could potentially aid in the early identification of ADHD and associated outcomes. Therefore, a systematic search of the literature on the association between ADHD and PRS in pediatric populations was conducted. All articles were screened for a priori inclusion and exclusion criteria, and, after careful review, 33 studies were included in our systematic review and 16 studies with extractable data were included in our meta-analysis. The results of the review were categorized into three common themes: the associations between ADHD-PRS with 1) the diagnosis of ADHD and ADHD symptoms 2) comorbid psychopathology and 3) cognitive and educational outcomes. Higher ADHD-PRS were associated with increased odds of having a diagnosis (OR = 1.37; p<0.001) and more symptoms of ADHD (β = 0.06; p<0.001). While ADHD-PRS were associated with a persistent diagnostic trajectory over time in the systematic review, the meta-analysis did not confirm these findings (OR = 1.09; p = 0.62). Findings showed that ADHD-PRS were associated with increased odds for comorbid psychopathology such as anxiety/depression (OR = 1.16; p<0.001) and irritability/emotional dysregulation (OR = 1.14; p<0.001). Finally, while the systematic review showed that ADHD-PRS were associated with a variety of negative cognitive outcomes, the meta-analysis showed no significant association (β = 0.08; p = 0.07). Our review of the available literature suggests that ADHD-PRS, together with risk factors, may contribute to the early identification of children with suspected ADHD and associated disorders.

A phenome-wide association study of polygenic scores for attention deficit hyperactivity disorder across two genetic ancestries in electronic health record data

Testing the association between genetic scores for Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) and health conditions, can help us better understand its complex etiology. Electronic health records linked to genetic data provide an opportunity to test whether genetic scores for ADHD correlate with ADHD and additional health outcomes in a health care context across different age groups. We generated polygenic scores (ADHD-PGS) trained on summary statistics from the latest genome-wide association study of ADHD (N = 55,374) and applied them to genome-wide data from 12,383 unrelated individuals of African-American ancestry and 66,378 unrelated individuals of European ancestry from the Vanderbilt Biobank. Overall, only Tobacco use disorder (TUD) was associated with ADHD-PGS in the African-American ancestry group (Odds ratio [95% confidence intervals] = 1.23[1.16-1.31], p = 9.3 × 10-09 ). Eighty-six phenotypes were associated with ADHD-PGS in the European ancestry individuals, including ADHD (OR[95%CIs] = 1.22[1.16-1.29], p = 3.6 × 10-10 ), and TUD (OR[95%CIs] = 1.22[1.19-1.25], p = 2.8 × 10-46 ). We then stratified outcomes by age (ages 0-11, 12-18, 19-25, 26-40, 41-60, and 61-100). Our results suggest that ADHD polygenic scores are associated with ADHD diagnoses early in life and with an increasing number of health conditions throughout the lifespan (even in the absence of ADHD diagnosis). This study reinforces the utility of applying trait-specific PGSs to biobank data, and performing exploratory sensitivity analyses, to probe relationships among clinical conditions.

Systematic Review: Molecular Studies of Common Genetic Variation in Child and Adolescent Psychiatric Disorders

OBJECTIVE

A systematic review of studies using molecular genetics and statistical approaches to investigate the role of common genetic variation in the development, persistence, and comorbidity of childhood psychiatric traits was conducted.

METHOD

A literature review was performed using the PubMed database, following PRISMA guidelines. There were 131 studies meeting inclusion criteria, having investigated at least one type of childhood-onset or childhood-measured psychiatric disorder or trait with the aim of identifying trait-associated common genetic variants, estimating the contribution of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) to the amount of variance explained (SNP-based heritability), investigating genetic overlap between psychiatric traits, or investigating whether the stability in traits or the association with adult traits is explained by genetic factors.

RESULTS

The first robustly associated genetic variants have started to be identified for childhood psychiatric traits. There were substantial contributions of common genetic variants to many traits, with variation in single nucleotide polymorphism heritability estimates depending on age and raters. Moreover, genetic variants also appeared to explain comorbidity as well as stability across a range of psychiatric traits in childhood and across the life span.

CONCLUSION

Common genetic variation plays a substantial role in childhood psychiatric traits. Increased sample sizes will lead to increased power to identify genetic variants and to understand genetic architecture, which will ultimately be beneficial to targeted and prevention strategies. This can be achieved by harmonizing phenotype measurements, as is already proposed by large international consortia and by including the collection of genetic material in every study.

Clinical and Genetic Correlates of Bipolar Disorder With Childhood-Onset Attention Deficit Disorder

BACKGROUND

Bipolar disorder (BD) with co-occurring attention deficit-hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) is associated with an unfavorable course of illness. We aimed to identify potential clinical and genetic correlates of BD with and without ADHD.

METHODS

Among patients with BD (N = 2,198) enrolled in the Mayo Clinic Bipolar Biobank we identified those with ADHD diagnosed in childhood (BD+cADHD; N = 350), those with adult-onset attention deficit symptoms (BD+aAD; N = 254), and those without ADHD (N = 1,594). We compared the groups using linear or logistic regression adjusting for age, sex, and recruitment site. For genotyped patients (N = 1,443), logistic regression was used to compare ADHD and BD polygenic risk scores (PRSs) between the BD groups, as well as to non-BD controls (N = 777).

RESULTS

Compared to the non-ADHD BD group, BD+cADHD patients were younger, more often men and had a greater number of co-occurring anxiety and substance use disorders (all p < 0.001). Additionally, BD+cADHD patients had poorer responses to lithium and lamotrigine (p = 0.005 and p = 0.007, respectively). In PRS analyses, all BD patient subsets had greater genetic risk for BD and ADHD when compared to non-BD controls (p < 0.001 in all comparisons). BD+cADHD patients had a higher ADHD-PRS than non-ADHD BD patients (p = 0.012). However, BD+aAD patients showed no evidence of higher ADHD-PRS than non-ADHD BD patients (p = 0.38).

CONCLUSIONS

BD+cADHD was associated with a greater number of comorbidities and reduced response to mood stabilizing treatments. The higher ADHD PRS for the BD+cADHD group may reflect a greater influence of genetic factors on early presentation of ADHD symptoms.

Association of Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder and Depression Polygenic Scores with Lithium Response: A Consortium for Lithium Genetics Study

Response to lithium varies widely between individuals with bipolar disorder (BD). Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) can uncover pharmacogenomics effects and may help predict drug response. Patients (N = 2,510) with BD were assessed for long-term lithium response in the Consortium on Lithium Genetics using the Retrospective Criteria of Long-Term Treatment Response in Research Subjects with Bipolar Disorder score. PRSs for attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), major depressive disorder (MDD), and schizophrenia (SCZ) were computed using lassosum and in a model including all three PRSs and other covariates, and the PRS of ADHD (β = -0.14; 95% confidence interval [CI]: -0.24 to -0.03; p value = 0.010) and MDD (β = -0.16; 95% CI: -0.27 to -0.04; p value = 0.005) predicted worse quantitative lithium response. A higher SCZ PRS was associated with higher rates of medication nonadherence (OR = 1.61; 95% CI: 1.34-1.93; p value = 2e-7). This study indicates that genetic risk for ADHD and depression may influence lithium treatment response. Interestingly, a higher SCZ PRS was associated with poor adherence, which can negatively impact treatment response. Incorporating genetic risk of ADHD, depression, and SCZ in combination with clinical risk may lead to better clinical care for patients with BD.

Systematic Review: How the Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder Polygenic Risk Score Adds to Our Understanding of ADHD and Associated Traits

OBJECTIVE

To investigate, by systematically reviewing the literature, whether the attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) polygenic risk score (PRS) associates with ADHD and related traits in independent clinical and population samples.

METHOD

PubMed, Embase and PsychoInfo were systematically searched, alongside study bibliographies. Quality assessments were conducted, and a best-evidence synthesis was applied. Studies were excluded when the predictor was not based on the latest ADHD genome-wide association study, when PRS was not based on genome-wide results, or when the study was a review. Initially, 197 studies were retrieved (February 22, 2020), and a second search (June 3, 2020) yielded a further 49 studies. From both searches, 57 studies were eligible, and 44 studies met inclusion criteria.

RESULTS

Included studies were published in the last 3 years. Over 80% of the studies were rated excellent, based on a standardized quality assessment. Evidence of associations between ADHD PRS and the following categories was strong: ADHD, ADHD traits, brain structure, education, externalizing behaviors, neuropsychological constructs, physical health, and socioeconomic status. Evidence for associations with addiction, autism, and mental health were mixed and were, so far, inconclusive. Odds ratios for PRS associating with ADHD ranged from 1.22% to 1.76%; variance explained in dimensional assessments of ADHD traits was 0.7% to 3.3%.

CONCLUSION

A new wave of high-quality research using the ADHD PRS has emerged. Eventually, symptoms may be partly identified based on PRS, but the current ADHD PRS is useful for research purposes only. This review shows that the ADHD PRS is robust and reliable, associating not only with ADHD but many outcomes and challenges known to be linked to ADHD.

Genetic contributions to bipolar disorder: current status and future directions

Bipolar disorder (BD) is a highly heritable mental disorder and is estimated to affect about 50 million people worldwide. Our understanding of the genetic etiology of BD has greatly increased in recent years with advances in technology and methodology as well as the adoption of international consortiums and large population-based biobanks. It is clear that BD is also highly heterogeneous and polygenic and shows substantial genetic overlap with other psychiatric disorders. Genetic studies of BD suggest that the number of associated loci is expected to substantially increase in larger future studies and with it, improved genetic prediction of the disorder. Still, a number of challenges remain to fully characterize the genetic architecture of BD. First among these is the need to incorporate ancestrally-diverse samples to move research away from a Eurocentric bias that has the potential to exacerbate health disparities already seen in BD. Furthermore, incorporation of population biobanks, registry data, and electronic health records will be required to increase the sample size necessary for continued genetic discovery, while increased deep phenotyping is necessary to elucidate subtypes within BD. Lastly, the role of rare variation in BD remains to be determined. Meeting these challenges will enable improved identification of causal variants for the disorder and also allow for equitable future clinical applications of both genetic risk prediction and therapeutic interventions.

Cognitive heterogeneity in the offspring of patients with schizophrenia or bipolar disorder: a cluster analysis across family risk

BACKGROUND

Neurocognitive impairment is considered to lie on a continuum of severity across schizophrenia (SZ) and bipolar disorder (BP), possibly reflecting a gradient of neurodevelopmental load. Cluster analyses have identified different levels of impairment across the two disorders, from none to widespread and severe. We for the first time used this approach to examine cognitive function pooling together children and adolescents at familial risk of SZ or BP.

METHODS

220 participants, 49 offspring of individuals with schizophrenia (SZO), 90 offspring of individuals with bipolar disorder (BPO) and 81 offspring of healthy control parents (HC), aged 6 to 17 years, underwent a comprehensive clinical and cognitive assessment. Cognitive measures were used to group SZO and BPO using K-means clustering. Cognitive performance within each of the clusters was compared to that of HC and clinical variables were compared between clusters.

RESULTS

We identified three cognitive subgroups: a moderate impairment group, a mild impairment group, and a cognitively intact group. Both SZO and BPO were represented in each of the clusters, yet not evenly, with a larger proportion of the SZO in the moderately impaired cluster, but also a subgroup of BPO showing moderate cognitive dysfunction.

LIMITATIONS

Participants have yet to reach the age of onset for the examined disorders.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings point to a range of neurodevelopmental loadings across youth at familial risk of both SZ and BP. They have therefore important implications for the stratification of cognitive functioning and the possibility to tailor interventions to individual levels of impairment.

A principal component approach to improve association testing with polygenic risk scores

Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) have become an increasingly popular approach for demonstrating polygenic influences on complex traits and for establishing common polygenic signals between different traits. PRSs are typically constructed using pruning and thresholding (P+T), but the best choice of parameters is uncertain; thus multiple settings are used and the best is chosen. Optimization can lead to inflated Type I error. Permutation procedures can correct this, but they can be computationally intensive. Alternatively, a single parameter setting can be chosen a priori for the PRS, but choosing suboptimal settings results in loss of power. We propose computing PRSs under a range of parameter settings, performing principal component analysis (PCA) on the resulting set of PRSs, and using the first PRS-PC in association tests. The first PC reweights the variants included in the PRS to achieve maximum variation over all PRS settings used. Using simulations and a real data application to study PRS association with bipolar disorder and psychosis in bipolar disorder, we compare the performance of the proposed PRS-PCA approach with a permutation test and an a priori selected p-value threshold. The PRS-PCA approach is simple to implement, outperforms the other strategies in most scenarios, and provides an unbiased estimate of prediction performance.