Analyzing the vaccination debate in social media data Pre- and Post-COVID-19 pandemic

Understanding the determinants of vaccine hesitancy in the United States: A comparison of social surveys and social media

The COVID-19 pandemic prompted governments worldwide to implement a range of containment measures, including mass gathering restrictions, social distancing, and school closures. Despite these efforts, vaccines continue to be the safest and most effective means of combating such viruses. Yet, vaccine hesitancy persists, posing a significant public health concern, particularly with the emergence of new COVID-19 variants. To effectively address this issue, timely data is crucial for understanding the various factors contributing to vaccine hesitancy. While previous research has largely relied on traditional surveys for this information, recent sources of data, such as social media, have gained attention. However, the potential of social media data as a reliable proxy for information on population hesitancy, especially when compared with survey data, remains underexplored. This paper aims to bridge this gap. Our approach uses social, demographic, and economic data to predict vaccine hesitancy levels in the ten most populous US metropolitan areas. We employ machine learning algorithms to compare a set of baseline models that contain only these variables with models that incorporate survey data and social media data separately. Our results show that XGBoost algorithm consistently outperforms Random Forest and Linear Regression, with marginal differences between Random Forest and XGBoost. This was especially the case with models that incorporate survey or social media data, thus highlighting the promise of the latter data as a complementary information source. Results also reveal variations in influential variables across the five hesitancy classes, such as age, ethnicity, occupation, and political inclination. Further, the application of models to different MSAs yields mixed results, emphasizing the uniqueness of communities and the need for complementary data approaches. In summary, this study underscores social media data's potential for understanding vaccine hesitancy, emphasizes the importance of tailoring interventions to specific communities, and suggests the value of combining different data sources.

Lexicon-based sentiment analysis to detect opinions and attitude towards COVID-19 vaccines on Twitter in Italy

The paper proposes a methodology based on Natural Language Processing (NLP) and Sentiment Analysis (SA) to get insights into sentiments and opinions toward COVID-19 vaccination in Italy. The studied dataset consists of vaccine-related tweets published in Italy from January 2021 to February 2022. In the considered period, 353,217 tweets have been analyzed, obtained after filtering 1,602,940 tweets with the word "vaccin". A main novelty of the approach is the categorization of opinion holders in four classes, Common users, Media, Medicine, Politics, obtained by applying NLP tools, enhanced with large-scale domain-specific lexicons, on the short bios published by users themselves. Feature-based sentiment analysis is enriched with an Italian sentiment lexicon containing polarized words, expressing semantic orientation, and intensive words which give cues to identify the tone of voice of each user category. The results of the analysis highlighted an overall negative sentiment along all the considered periods, especially for the Common users, and a different attitude of opinion holders towards specific important events, such as deaths after vaccination, occurring in some days of the examined 14 months.

Information propagation on cyber, relational and physical spaces about covid-19 vaccine: Using social media and splatial framework

With the advent of social media, human dynamics studied in purely physical space have been extended to that of a cyber and relational context. However, connections and interactions between these hybrid spaces have not been sufficiently investigated. The "space-place (Splatial)" framework proposed in recent years allows capturing human activities in the hybrid of spaces. This study applies the Splatial framework to examine the information propagation between cyber, relational, and physical spaces through a case study of Covid-19 vaccine debates in New York State (NYS). Whereby the physical space represents the regional boundaries and locations of social media (i.e., Twitter) users in NYS, the relational space indicates the social networks of these NYS users, and the cyber space captures the larger conversational context of the vaccination debate. Our results suggest that the Covid-19 vaccine debate is not polarized across all three spaces as compared to that of other vaccines. However, the rate of users with a pro-vaccine stance decreases from physical to relational and cyber spaces. We also found that while users from different spaces interact with each other, they also engage in local communications with users from the same region or same space, and distance-based and boundary-confined clusters exist in cyber and relational space communities. These results based on the Splatial framework not only shed light on the vaccination debates but also help to define and elucidate the relationships between the three spaces. The intense interactions between spaces suggest incorporating people's relational network and cyber presence in physical place-making.