Molecular diagnosis of response to neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer

Biomarkers and cell-based models to predict the outcome of neoadjuvant therapy for rectal cancer patients

Rectal cancer constitutes approximately one-third of all colorectal cancers and contributes to considerable mortality globally. In contrast to colon cancer, the standard treatment for localized rectal cancer often involves neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. Tumour response rates to treatment show substantial inter-patient heterogeneity, indicating a need for treatment stratification. Consequently researchers have attempted to establish new means for predicting tumour response in order to assist in treatment decisions. In this review we have summarized published findings regarding potential biomarkers to predict neoadjuvant treatment response for rectal cancer tumours. In addition, we describe cell-based models that can be utilized both for treatment prediction and for studying the complex mechanisms involved.

Predicting pathological response to chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer: a systematic review

Introduction: Pathological complete response (pCR) rates of approximately 20% following neoadjuvant long-course chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer have given rise to non-operative or watch-and-wait (W&W) management. To improve outcomes there has been significant research into predictors of response. The goal is to optimize selection for W&W, avoid chemoradiotherapy in those who won't benefit and improve treatment to maximize the clinical complete response (cCR) rate and the number of patients who can be considered for W&W.Areas covered: A systematic review of articles published 2008-2018 and indexed in PubMed, Embase or Medline was performed to identify predictors of pathological response (including pCR and recognized tumor regression grades) to fluoropyrimidine-based chemoradiotherapy in patients who underwent total mesorectal excision for rectal cancer. Evidence for clinical, biomarker and radiological predictors is discussed as well as potential future directions.Expert opinion: Our current ability to predict the response to chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer is very limited. cCR of 40% has been achieved with total neoadjuvant therapy. If neoadjuvant treatment for rectal cancer continues to improve it is possible that the treatment for rectal cancer may eventually parallel that of anal squamous cell carcinoma, with surgery reserved for the minority of patients who don't respond to chemoradiotherapy.

Genomic and Transcriptomic Characterisation of Response to Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

Standard treatment for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) is neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NACRT), followed by surgical resection. However, >70% of patients do not achieve a complete pathological response and have higher rates of relapse and death. There are no validated pre- or on-treatment factors that predict response to NACRT besides tumour stage and size. We characterised the response of 33 LARC patients to NACRT, collected tumour samples from patients prior to, during and after NACRT, and performed whole exome, transcriptome and high-depth targeted sequencing. The pre-treatment LARC genome was not predictive of response to NACRT. However, in line with the increasing recognition of microbial influence in cancer, RNA analysis of pre-treatment tumours suggested a greater abundance of Fusobacteria in intermediate and poor responders. In addition, we investigated tumour heterogeneity and evolution in response to NACRT. While matched pre-treatment, on-treatment and post-treatment tumours revealed minimal genome evolution overall, we identified cases in which microsatellite instability developed or was selected for during NACRT. Recent research has suggested a role for adaptive mutability to targeted therapy in colorectal cancer cells. We provide preliminary evidence of selection for mismatch repair deficiency in response to NACRT. Furthermore, pre-NACRT genomic landscapes do not predict treatment response but pre-NACRT microbiome characteristics may be informative.

Analysis of KRAS, NRAS, BRAF, PIK3CA and TP53 mutations in a large prospective series of locally advanced rectal cancer patients

Little information is available on the clinical significance of cancer-related genes such as KRAS, NRAS, BRAF, PIK3CA and TP53 in nonmetastatic rectal cancer. We investigated mutations of these genes in a large prospective series of locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) patients who were recruited into two phase II trials. Mutational analyses were performed with diagnostically validated methods including polymerase chain reaction, capillary electrophoresis single-strand conformational analysis, Sanger sequencing and next-generation sequencing. Associations between single or multiple gene mutations and clinicopathological characteristics and treatment outcomes were explored. Of these 269, 210 (78%) patients were assessable. Mutations of KRAS, NRAS, BRAF, PIK3CA and TP53 occurred in 43, 9, 4, 9 and 60% of patients, respectively. Concordance between paired biopsy and resection specimens was 82% for KRAS, 95% for NRAS, 99% for BRAF, 96% for PIK3CA and 63% for TP53. TP53 mutations were associated with extramural venous invasion on baseline MRI (78% vs. 65%, p = 0.04), poor pathological tumour regression (23% vs. 36%, p = 0.05) and a trend toward a worse 5-year progression-free survival (PFS; 60% vs. 74%, HR 1.59, p = 0.06). Patients with tumours harbouring mutation of TP53 and either KRAS or NRAS (32%) had a worse 5-year PFS than those with TP53/KRAS/NRAS wild-type tumours (54% vs. 72%, HR 1.75, p = 0.02). In univariate analysis, BRAF mutation predicted poor 5-year overall survival only among patients treated without cetuximab (20% vs. 73%, HR 3.29, p = 0.03). This is one of the largest biomarker studies in a prospective, largely homogeneous, LARC population. Our findings are hypothesis generating and require validation in independent series.

Clinical and molecular diagnosis of pathologic complete response in rectal cancer: an update

INTRODUCTION

The standard of care for locally advanced rectal cancer includes neoadjuvant chemoradiation with subsequent total mesorectal excision. This approach has shown various degrees of response to neoadjuvant chemoradiation (ranging from complete response to further tumor growth), which have substantial prognostic and therapeutic implications. A total regression of the tumor is a predictor of superior oncologic outcomes compared with partial responders and non-responders. Further, this concept has opened the possibility of nonoperative strategies for complete responders and explains the widespread research interest in finding clinical, radiographic, pathologic, and biochemical parameters that allow for identification of these patients. Areas covered: The present review evaluates the most recent efforts in the literature to identify predictors of patients likely to achieve a complete response following neoadjuvant treatment for the management of rectal cancer. This includes clinical predictors of pathologic complete response such as tumor location, size, and stage, molecular predictors such as tumor biology and microRNA, serum biomarkers such as carcinoembryogenic antigen and nomograms. Expert commentary: There has been significant progress in our ability to predict pathological complete response. However, more high-quality research is still needed to use this concept to confidently dictate clinical management.

Biomarker-Based Scoring System for Prediction of Tumor Response After Preoperative Chemoradiotherapy in Rectal Cancer by Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction Analysis

BACKGROUND

Numerous molecular markers have been investigated to predict tumor response after preoperative chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of biomarkers for the prediction of tumor response after preoperative chemoradiotherapy.

DESIGN & SETTING

Tumor specimens have been collected prospectively from 80 patients with rectal cancer who underwent curative resection at 8 weeks after completing preoperative chemoradiotherapy.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

With the use of reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction analysis, mRNA expression levels of 7 candidate biomarkers (p53, p21, Ki-67, VEGF, CD133, CD24, and CD44) were evaluated from fresh tumor samples collected before preoperative chemoradiotherapy. The correlation between biomarker expression levels and the pathologic response was assessed based on histopathological staging (pTNM) and tumor regression grade.

RESULTS

The mRNA expression levels of 4 biomarkers (p53, p21, Ki67, and CD133) significantly correlated with tumor regression grade response and pathologic complete response. Patients showing low expression of p53 and/or high expression of p21, Ki67, and CD133 exhibited a significantly greater tumor regression grade response and pathologic complete response rate. A scoring system devised so that 1 point was given for each biomarker whose expression level correlated with pathologic complete response (score range: 0-4) showed that 9 of 62 patients with scores of 0 to 2 achieved pathologic complete response, whereas 15 of 18 patients with scores of 3 to 4 achieved pathologic complete response (14.5% vs 83.3%, p < 0.001). For prediction of pathologic complete response, the scoring system showed 62.5% sensitivity, 94.6% specificity, an 83.3% positive predictive value, and an 85.5% negative predictive value.

LIMITATIONS

Small patient numbers have limitations related to the reproducibility and ability to provide quantitative information. In addition, this study lacks test and validation sets.

CONCLUSIONS

The pretreatment mRNA expression levels of 4 biomarkers correlated with pathologic tumor response after intraoperative chemoradiotherapy in rectal cancer. Furthermore, the scoring system combining values of biomarker expression might have predictive power with high positive and negative predictive values.

Pathological Assessment of Rectal Cancer after Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy: Distribution of Residual Cancer Cells and Accuracy of Biopsy

We investigated the distribution of residual cancer cells (RCCs) within different layers of the bowel wall in surgical specimens and the value of biopsies of primary rectal lesion after preoperative volumetric modulated arc therapy (VMAT) with concurrent chemotherapy in patients with rectal cancer. Between April 2011 and April 2013, 178 patients with rectal cancer who received preoperative VMAT, concurrent chemotherapy, and surgery were evaluated; 79 of the patients received a biopsy of the primary lesion after chemoradiotherapy and prior to surgery. The distribution of RCCs in the surgical specimens and the sensitivity and specificity of the biopsy of primary rectal lesions for pathological response were evaluated. Fifty-two patients had a complete pathological response in the bowel wall. Of the 120 patients with ypT2-4, the rate of detection of RCCs in the mucosa, submucosa, and muscularis propria was 20%, 36.7%, 69.2%, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of biopsies of primary rectal lesions was 12.9% and 94.1%, respectively. After chemoradiotherapy, the RCCs were primarily located in the deeper layers of the bowel wall, and the biopsy results for primary rectal lesions were unreliable due to poor sensitivity.

Predicting pathological complete response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in locally advanced rectal cancer: a systematic review

AIM

Approximately 20% of patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) for locally advanced rectal cancer achieve a pathological complete response (pCR) while the remainder derive the benefit of improved local control and downstaging and a small proportion show a minimal response. The ability to predict which patients will benefit would allow for improved patient stratification directing therapy to those who are likely to achieve a good response, thereby avoiding ineffective treatment in those unlikely to benefit.

METHOD

A systematic review of the English language literature was conducted to identify pathological factors, imaging modalities and molecular factors that predict pCR following chemoradiotherapy. PubMed, MEDLINE and Cochrane Database searches were conducted with the following keywords and MeSH search terms: 'rectal neoplasm', 'response', 'neoadjuvant', 'preoperative chemoradiation', 'tumor response'. After review of title and abstracts, 85 articles addressing the prediction of pCR were selected.

RESULTS

Clear methods to predict pCR before chemoradiotherapy have not been defined. Clinical and radiological features of the primary cancer have limited ability to predict response. Molecular profiling holds the greatest potential to predict pCR but adoption of this technology will require greater concordance between cohorts for the biomarkers currently under investigation.

CONCLUSION

At present no robust markers of the prediction of pCR have been identified and the topic remains an area for future research. This review critically evaluates existing literature providing an overview of the methods currently available to predict pCR to nCRT for locally advanced rectal cancer. The review also provides a comprehensive comparison of the accuracy of each modality.

Metabolic and molecular relative percentage coreduction in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer treated with neoadjuvant therapy

PURPOSE

Vascular endothelial growth factor receptor-2 (VEGFR-2), epidermal growth factor receptor-1 (EGFR) and cyclooxygenase-2 (COX-2) stimulate key processes involved in tumour progression and are important targets for cancer therapeutics. (18)F-FDG maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) on PET/CT is a marker of tumour metabolic activity. The purpose of this study was to measure percentage reductions in SUVmax (∆SUVmax%), VEGFR-2 (∆VEGFR-2%), EGFR (∆EGFR%) and COX-2 (∆COX-2%) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) after preoperative treatment, and to correlate the changes in these markers of response with pathological response in terms of tumour regression grade (TRG) using Rödel's scale and long-term clinical outcome.

METHODS

VEGFR-2, EGFR and COX-2 were measured using a quantitative and qualitative compound immunohistochemistry analysis (immunoreactive score) of the pretreatment endoscopic biopsy and definitive surgical specimens. Composite indexes using ∆SUVmax% and the three molecules were developed to differentiate patients with metabolic and molecular responses from nonresponders. Cox proportional hazards model was used to explore associations between the tumour markers, disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

The analysis included 38 patients with a median follow-up of 86 months (range 5 - 113 months). The ∆VEGFR-2%/∆SUVmax% index correctly identified 13 of 19 pathological responders (TRG 3 and 4) and 17 of 19 nonresponders (TRG 0 - 2) (sensitivity 68 %, specificity 89 %, accuracy 79 %, positive predictive value 87 %, negative predictive value 74 %). In multivariate analysis, only the ∆VEGFR-2%/∆SUVmax% index was associated with DFS (HR 0.11, p = 0.001) and OS (HR 0.15, p = 0.02).

CONCLUSION

In patients with LARC the ∆VEGFR-2%/∆SUVmax% response index is associated with outcome. Determination of the optimal diagnostic cut-off level for this novel biomarker association should be explored. Evaluation in a clinical trial is required to determine whether selected patients could benefit from treatment with a VEGFR-targeted therapeutic agent.

The outcome and the frequency of pathological complete response after neoadjuvant radiotherapy in curative resections for advanced rectal cancer: a population-based study

AIM

Pathological complete response (ypCR) after neoadjuvant treatment for rectal cancer is associated with favourable survival and a low rate of local recurrence. The aim of the study was to assess the incidence of ypCR among patients with advanced rectal cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and curative resection and to explore factors associated with survival.

METHOD

From 2000 to 2009, 1384 patients enrolled in the national population- based colorectal cancer registry of Norway with advanced T3 and T4 rectal cancer with N0-2, M0 received neoadjuvant long-course (chemo)radiation. The duration of follow-up was a median of 5 years.

RESULTS

ypCR was achieved in 147 (10.6%) patients. The estimated 5-year overall survival rate was 87% (confidence interval ± 5.4) among ypCR and 67% among non-ypCR (confidence interval ± 2.7) (P < 0.0001). Distant metastasis developed in 12 (8%) of 147 and 328 (26.5%) of 1237 patients respectively (P < 0.001). In a Cox proportional hazards ratio model the effect of ypCR on survival was adjusted for age [hazard ratio (HR) 1.056, P = 0.0001], metachronous metastasis (HR 4.7, P = 0.0001), local recurrence (HR 4.3, P = 0.0001) and surgical procedure (HR 1.48, P = 0.0001). The independent effect of ypCR (HR 0.65, P = 0.041) on survival almost disappeared compared with the univariate analysis.

CONCLUSION

The rate of ypCR in advanced rectal cancer was about 10%. This phenomenon seems to occur in tumours with a low risk of metastasizing. The contribution of neoadjuvant therapy to ypCR on survival was small or absent.

Assessing pathological complete response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in locally advanced rectal cancer: a systematic review

AIM

Pathological complete response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy is found in 20% of patients with rectal cancer undergoing long-course chemoradiotherapy. Some authors have suggested that these patients do not need to undergo surgery and can be managed with careful follow-up, with surgery only used in the event of clinical failure. Widespread adoption of this regimen is limited by the accuracy of methods to confirm a pathological complete response (pCR).

METHOD

A systematic search of PubMed, Medline and Cochrane databases was conducted to identify clinical, histological and radiological features in those patients with rectal cancer who achieved a pCR following chemoradiotherapy. Searches were conducted with the following keywords and MeSH search terms: 'rectal neoplasm', 'response', 'neoadjuvant', 'preoperative chemoradiation' and 'tumour response'. After review of title and abstracts, 89 articles addressing the assessment of pCR were identified.

RESULTS

Histology and clinical assessment are the most effective methods of assessment of pCR, with histology considered the gold standard. Clinical assessment is limited to low rectal tumours and is open to significant inter-rater variability, while histological examination requires a surgical specimen. Diffusion-weighted MRI and (18) F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/CT demonstrate the greatest potential for the assessment of pCR, but both modalities have limited accuracy.

CONCLUSION

Determination of a pCR is crucial if a nonoperative approach is to be undertaken proactively. Various methods are available, but currently they lack sufficient sensitivity and specificity to define management. This is likely to be an area of further research in the future.

Nonoperative management of rectal cancer after chemoradiation opposed to resection after complete clinical response. A comparative study

INTRODUCTION

Surgery is the standard treatment of rectal cancer after neoadjuvant therapy. Some authors advocate a nonoperative management (NOM) after complete clinical response (cCR) following chemoradiotherapy (CRT). We compare our results with NOM to standard resection in a retrospective analysis.

METHODS

Rectal adenocarcinomas submitted to NOM after CRT between September 2002 and December 2013 were compared to surgical patients that had pathological complete response (pCR) during the same period. Endpoints were Overall Survival (OS), Disease Free Survival (DFS), Local Relapse (LR) and Distant Relapse (DR).

RESULTS

Forty-two NOM patients compared to 69 pCR patients operated after a median interval of 35 weeks after CRT. NOM tumors were distal (83.3% vs 59.4%, p = 0.011), less obstructive (26.2% vs 54.4%, p = 0.005) and had a lower digital rectal score (p = 0.024). Twelve (28.0%) recurrences in NOM group and eight (11.5%) in the surgical group occurred after a follow-up of 47.7 and 46.7 months respectively. Isolated LR occurred in five (11%) NOM patients and one (1.4%) in the surgical group. Four (80%) LR were surgically salvaged in NOM group. No difference in OS was found (71.6% vs 89.9%, p = 0.316) but there was a higher DFS favoring surgical group (60.9% vs 82.8%, p = 0.011). Distal tumors had worse OS compared to proximal tumors in surgical group (5-year OS of 85.5% vs 96.2%, p = 0.038).

CONCLUSION

The NOM achieved OS comparable to surgical treatment and spared patients from surgical morbidity but it resulted in more recurrences. This approach cannot be advocated routinely and controlled trials are warranted.

Germline and somatic genetic predictors of pathological response in neoadjuvant settings of rectal and esophageal cancers: systematic review and meta-analysis

Oncologists have pointed out an urgent need for biomarkers that can be useful for clinical application to predict the susceptibility of patients to preoperative therapy. This review collects, evaluates and combines data on the influence of reported somatic and germline genetic variations on histological tumor regression in neoadjuvant settings of rectal and esophageal cancers. Five hundred and twenty-seven articles were identified, 204 retrieved and 61 studies included. Among 24 and 14 genetic markers reported for rectal and esophageal cancers, respectively, significant associations in meta-analyses were demonstrated for the following markers. In rectal cancer, major response was more frequent in carriers of the TYMS genotype 2 R/2 R-2 R/3 R (rs34743033), MTHFR genotype 677C/C (rs1801133), wild-type TP53 and KRAS genes. In esophageal cancer, successful therapy appeared to correlate with wild-type TP53. These results may be useful for future research directions to translate reported data into practical clinical use.

Immediate surgery or clinical follow-up after a complete clinical response?

Neoadjuvant chemoradiation (CRT) is considered as one of the preferred treatment strategies for patients with locally advanced rectal cancer. This treatment strategy may lead to significant tumor regression, ultimately leading to complete pathological response in up to 42% of patients. Assessment of tumor response following CRT and before radical surgery may identify patients with complete clinical response that could be managed non operatively with strict follow-up (Watch & Wait Strategy).

Clinical significance of VEGFR-2 and ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT SUVmax pretreatment score in predicting the long-term outcome of patients with locally advanced rectal cancer treated with neoadjuvant therapy

PURPOSE

Vascular endothelial growth factor receptor-2 (VEGFR-2), epidermal growth factor receptor-1 (EGFR), and cyclooxygenase-2 (COX-2) stimulate key processes involved in tumor progression and are important targets for cancer drugs. (18)F-FDG maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) is a marker of tumor metabolic activity. The purpose of this study was to measure SUVmax combined with VEGFR-2, EGFR and COX-2 proteins in pretreatment tumor biopsies from patients with locally advanced rectal cancer receiving intensive neoadjuvant treatment and to correlate the findings with clinical outcome.

METHODS

VEGFR-2, EGFR and COX-2 were measured using the immunoreactive score (IRS). SUVmax (median 8.4) was quantified in tumors with molecular overexpression (IRS ≥3 + SUVmax ≥ 8.4 indicating active tumors; SUVmax <8.4 indicating inactive tumors). The Cox proportional hazards model was used to explore associations between tumor markers, disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

The study group comprised 38 patients with a median follow-up of 69.3 months (range 4.5 - 92 months). Multivariate analysis showed that active tumors (overexpressing VEGFR-2, high SUVmax) were associated with worse DFS (HR 4.73, 95 % CI 1.18 - 22.17; p = 0.04) and OS (HR 4.28, 95 % CI 1.04 - 20.12; p = 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Active tumors overexpressing VEGFR-2 are associated with a worse overall outcome in patients with rectal cancer treated with induction chemotherapy followed by pelvic chemoradiation and surgery. The optimal diagnostic cut-off level for this novel biomarker association should be investigated. Evaluation in a clinical trial is required to determine whether selected patients could benefit from a VEGFR-targeting drug.

New developments in colorectal surgery

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The field of colorectal surgery continues to move forward as technical innovations emerge and as surgeons ask critical questions. The results of subsequent investigations often lead to changes in practice. This review examines recent publications that describe these practice changes.

RECENT FINDINGS

We identified and reviewed recent publications in the areas of rectal cancer controversies, genetic risk profiling, practice improvements, diverticulitis, enhanced recovery protocols, fecal incontinence, and single incision laparoscopic surgery.

SUMMARY

New technologies and practice innovations will continue to enhance patient outcomes. Multiinstitutional studies, randomized when able, are necessary to further define the safety and efficacy of new surgical techniques and to further define best practices in colorectal surgery.

P53 status as a predictive biomarker for patients receiving neoadjuvant radiation-based treatment: a meta-analysis in rectal cancer

Background

Numerous studies have yielded inconsistent results regarding the relationship between p53 status and the response to neoadjuvant radiation-based therapy in patients with rectal cancer. We conducted a meta-analysis to clarify the relationship between p53 status and response to radiation-based therapy in rectal cancer.

Methods/Findings

A total of 30 previously published eligible studies including 1,830 cases were identified and included in this meta-analysis. Wild-type form of p53 status (low expression of p53 protein and/or wild-type p53 gene) was associated with pathologic response in rectal cancer patients who received neoadjuvant radiation-based therapy (good response: risk ratio [RR] = 1.30; 95% confidence intervals [CI] = 1.14–1.49; p<0.001; complete response RR = 1.65; 95% CI = 1.19–2.30; p = 0.003; poor response RR = 0.85; 95% CI = 0.75–0.96; p = 0.007). In further stratified analyses, this association remained for sub-groups of good and poor response in neoadjuvant radiotherapy (RT) setting, good and complete response in chemoradiotherapy (CRT) setting. And the association between response and the presence of p53 gene mutations was stronger than that between response and protein positivity.

Conclusion

The results of the present meta-analysis indicate that P53 status is a predictive factor for response in rectal cancer patient undergoing neoadjuvant radiation-based therapy.

Chromosomal copy number alterations are associated with persistent lymph node metastasis after chemoradiation in locally advanced rectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Lymph node metastasis is an important indicator of oncologic outcome for patients with rectal cancer. Identifying predictive biomarkers of lymph node metastasis could therefore be clinically useful.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to assess whether chromosomal copy number alterations can assist in predicting persistent lymph node metastasis in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer treated with preoperative chemoradiation therapy.

DESIGN

This is a nonrandomized, prospective phase II study.

SETTING

This study took place in a multi-institutional setting.

PATIENTS

Ninety-five patients with stage II (cT3-4, cN0) or stage III (any cT, cN1-2) rectal cancer were included.

INTERVENTION

Patients were treated with preoperative chemoradiation therapy followed by total mesorectal excision. Pretreatment biopsy tumor DNA and surgical margin control DNA were extracted and analyzed by oligonucleotide array-based comparative genomic hybridization. Chromosomal copy number alterations were correlated with persistent lymph node metastasis. Finally, a model for predicting persistent lymph node metastasis was built.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcomes assessed were whether chromosomal copy number alterations are associated with persistent lymph node metastasis in patients with rectal cancer and the accuracy of oligonucleotide array-based comparative genomic hybridization for predicting lymph node metastasis.

RESULTS

Twenty-five of 95 (26%) patients had lymph node metastasis after chemoradiation. Losses of 28 chromosomal regions, most notably in chromosome 4, were significantly associated with lymph node metastasis. Our predictive model contained 65 probes and predicted persistent lymph node metastasis with 68% sensitivity, 93% specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of 77% and 89%. The use of this model accurately predicted lymph node status (positive or negative) after chemoradiation therapy in 82 of 95 patients (86%).

LIMITATIONS

The patient cohort was not completely homogeneous, which may have influenced their clinical outcome. In addition, although we performed rigorous, statistically sound internal validation, external validation will be important to further corroborate our findings.

CONCLUSIONS

Copy number alterations can help identify patients with rectal cancer who are at risk of lymph node metastasis after chemoradiation.

Identification of a biomarker profile associated with resistance to neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy in rectal cancer

OBJECTIVE

To identify a biomarker profile associated with tumor response to chemoradiation (CRT) in locally advanced rectal cancer.

BACKGROUND

Rectal cancer response to neoadjuvant CRT is variable. Whereas some patients have a minimal response, others achieve a pathologic complete response (pCR) and have no viable cancer cells in their surgical specimens. Identifying biomarkers of response will help select patients more likely to benefit from CRT.

METHODS

This study includes 132 patients with locally advanced rectal cancer treated with neoadjuvant CRT followed by surgery. Tumor DNA from pretreatment tumor biopsies and control DNA from paired normal surgical specimens was screened for mutations and polymorphisms in 23 genes. Genetic biomarkers were correlated with tumor response to CRT (pCR vs non-pCR), and the association of single or combined biomarkers with tumor response was determined.

RESULTS

Thirty-three of 132 (25%) patients achieved a pCR and 99 (75%) patients had non-pCR. Three individual markers were associated with non-pCR; v-Ki-ras2 Kirsten rat sarcoma viral oncogene homolog mutation (P = 0.0145), cyclin D1 G870A (AA) polymorphism (P = 0.0138), and methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (NAD(P)H) C677T (TT) polymorphism (P = 0.0120). Analysis of biomarker combinations revealed that none of the 27 patients with both tumor protein p53 (p53) and v-Ki-ras2 Kirsten rat sarcoma viral oncogene homolog mutations had a pCR. Further, in patients with both p53 and v-Ki-ras2 Kirsten rat sarcoma viral oncogene homolog mutations or the cyclin D1 G870A (AA) polymorphism or the methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (NAD(P)H) C677T (TT) polymorphism (n = 52) the association with non-pCR was further strengthened; 51 of 52 (98%) of patients were non-pCR. These biomarker combinations had a validity of more than 70% and a positive predictive value of 97% to 100%, predicting that patients harboring these mutation/polymorphism profiles will not achieve a pCR.

CONCLUSIONS

A specific biomarker profile is strongly associated with non-pCR to CRT and could be used to select optimal oncologic therapy in rectal cancer patients. ClinicalTrials.org Identifier: NCT00335816.

Chromosomal copy number alterations are associated with tumor response to chemoradiation in locally advanced rectal cancer

Rectal cancer response to chemoradiation (CRT) varies from no response to a pathologic complete response (pCR). Identifying predictive biomarkers of response would therefore be useful. We assessed whether chromosomal copy number alterations (CNAs) can assist in predicting pCR. Pretreatment tumor biopsies and paired normal surgical tissues from the proximal resection margin were collected from 95 rectal cancer patients treated with preoperative CRT and total mesorectal excision in a prospective Phase II study. Tumor and control DNA were extracted, and oligonucleotide array-based comparative genomic hybridization (aCGH) was used to identify CNAs, which were correlated with pCR. Ingenuity pathway analysis (IPA) was then used to identify functionally relevant genes in aberrant regions. Finally, a predictive model for pCR was built using support vector machine (SVM), and leave-one-out cross validation assessed the accuracy of aCGH. Chromosomal regions most commonly affected by gains were 20q11.21-q13.33, 13q11.32-23, 7p22.3-p22.2, and 8q23.3-q24.3, and losses were present at 18q11.32-q23, 17p13.3-q11.1, 10q23.1, and 4q32.1-q32.3. The 25 (26%) patients who achieved a pCR had significantly fewer high copy gains overall than non-pCR patients (P = 0.01). Loss of chromosomal region 15q11.1-q26.3 was significantly associated with non-pCR (P < 0.00002; Q-bound < 0.0391), while loss of 12p13.31 was significantly associated with pCR (P < 0.0003; Q-bound < 0.097). IPA identified eight genes in the imbalanced chromosomal regions that associated with tumor response. SVM identified 58 probes that predict pCR with 76% sensitivity, 97% specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of 91% and 92%. Our data indicate that chromosomal CNAs can help identify rectal cancer patients more likely to develop a pCR to CRT.