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Landau T, Gamrasni K, Levin A, Barlev Y, Sanders O, Benor S, Brandwein M. Development of a predictive model for pediatric atopic dermatitis: A retrospective cross-sectional nationwide database study. Ann Allergy Asthma Immunol 2024:S1081-1206(24)00361-2. [PMID: 38901543 DOI: 10.1016/j.anai.2024.06.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/15/2024] [Revised: 05/09/2024] [Accepted: 06/06/2024] [Indexed: 06/22/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The rise in prevalence of atopic dermatitis (AD) has been correlated with numerous elements of the exposome, modern-day lifestyle, and familial history. The combined analysis of familial history and other risk elements may allow us to understand the driving factors behind the development of AD. OBJECTIVE To develop prediction models to assess the risk of developing AD using a large and diverse cohort (N = 77,525) and easily assessed risk factors. METHODS We analyzed electronic medical record data from Leumit Health System. Documented predictive factors include sex, season of birth, environment (urban/rural), socioeconomic status, household smoking, diagnosed skin conditions, number of siblings, a paternal, maternal, or sibling history of an atopic condition, and antibiotic prescriptions during pregnancy or after birth. Predictive models were trained and validated on the data set. RESULTS Medium (odds ratio [OR] 2.04, CI 1.92-2.17, P < .001) and high (OR 2.13, CI 1.95-2.34, P < .001) socioeconomic status, a previous diagnosis of contact dermatitis (OR 2.57, CI 2.37-2.78, P < .001), presence of siblings with an AD diagnosis (OR 2.21, CI 2.04-2.40, P < .001), and the percentage of siblings with any atopic condition (OR 2.58, CI 2.09-3.17, P < .001) drove risk for AD in a logistic regression model. A random forest prediction model with a sensitivity of 61% and a specificity of 84% was developed. Generalized mixed models accounting for the random effect of familial relationships boasted an area under the curve of 0.98. CONCLUSION Predictive modeling using noninvasive and accessible inputs is a powerful tool to stratify risk for developing AD.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Alex Levin
- MYOR Diagnostics Ltd, Zichron Yaakov, Israel
| | - Yotam Barlev
- MYOR Diagnostics Ltd, Zichron Yaakov, Israel; Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel
| | - Oliver Sanders
- Department of Pediatrics, Hadassah University Medical Center, Jerusalem, Israel
| | - Shira Benor
- Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel; Leumit Health Services, Tel Aviv, Israel; Allergy and Clinical Immunology Unit, Tel Aviv Sourasky Medical Center, Tel Aviv, Israel.
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Wise SK, Damask C, Roland LT, Ebert C, Levy JM, Lin S, Luong A, Rodriguez K, Sedaghat AR, Toskala E, Villwock J, Abdullah B, Akdis C, Alt JA, Ansotegui IJ, Azar A, Baroody F, Benninger MS, Bernstein J, Brook C, Campbell R, Casale T, Chaaban MR, Chew FT, Chambliss J, Cianferoni A, Custovic A, Davis EM, DelGaudio JM, Ellis AK, Flanagan C, Fokkens WJ, Franzese C, Greenhawt M, Gill A, Halderman A, Hohlfeld JM, Incorvaia C, Joe SA, Joshi S, Kuruvilla ME, Kim J, Klein AM, Krouse HJ, Kuan EC, Lang D, Larenas-Linnemann D, Laury AM, Lechner M, Lee SE, Lee VS, Loftus P, Marcus S, Marzouk H, Mattos J, McCoul E, Melen E, Mims JW, Mullol J, Nayak JV, Oppenheimer J, Orlandi RR, Phillips K, Platt M, Ramanathan M, Raymond M, Rhee CS, Reitsma S, Ryan M, Sastre J, Schlosser RJ, Schuman TA, Shaker MS, Sheikh A, Smith KA, Soyka MB, Takashima M, Tang M, Tantilipikorn P, Taw MB, Tversky J, Tyler MA, Veling MC, Wallace D, Wang DY, White A, Zhang L. International consensus statement on allergy and rhinology: Allergic rhinitis - 2023. Int Forum Allergy Rhinol 2023; 13:293-859. [PMID: 36878860 DOI: 10.1002/alr.23090] [Citation(s) in RCA: 77] [Impact Index Per Article: 77.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/09/2022] [Revised: 11/11/2022] [Accepted: 09/13/2022] [Indexed: 03/08/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND In the 5 years that have passed since the publication of the 2018 International Consensus Statement on Allergy and Rhinology: Allergic Rhinitis (ICAR-Allergic Rhinitis 2018), the literature has expanded substantially. The ICAR-Allergic Rhinitis 2023 update presents 144 individual topics on allergic rhinitis (AR), expanded by over 40 topics from the 2018 document. Originally presented topics from 2018 have also been reviewed and updated. The executive summary highlights key evidence-based findings and recommendation from the full document. METHODS ICAR-Allergic Rhinitis 2023 employed established evidence-based review with recommendation (EBRR) methodology to individually evaluate each topic. Stepwise iterative peer review and consensus was performed for each topic. The final document was then collated and includes the results of this work. RESULTS ICAR-Allergic Rhinitis 2023 includes 10 major content areas and 144 individual topics related to AR. For a substantial proportion of topics included, an aggregate grade of evidence is presented, which is determined by collating the levels of evidence for each available study identified in the literature. For topics in which a diagnostic or therapeutic intervention is considered, a recommendation summary is presented, which considers the aggregate grade of evidence, benefit, harm, and cost. CONCLUSION The ICAR-Allergic Rhinitis 2023 update provides a comprehensive evaluation of AR and the currently available evidence. It is this evidence that contributes to our current knowledge base and recommendations for patient evaluation and treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sarah K Wise
- Otolaryngology-HNS, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Cecelia Damask
- Otolaryngology-HNS, Private Practice, University of Central Florida, Lake Mary, Florida, USA
| | - Lauren T Roland
- Otolaryngology-HNS, Washington University, St. Louis, Missouri, USA
| | - Charles Ebert
- Otolaryngology-HNS, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
| | - Joshua M Levy
- Otolaryngology-HNS, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Sandra Lin
- Otolaryngology-HNS, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin, USA
| | - Amber Luong
- Otolaryngology-HNS, McGovern Medical School of the University of Texas, Houston, Texas, USA
| | - Kenneth Rodriguez
- Otolaryngology-HNS, University Hospitals Cleveland Medical Center, Cleveland, Ohio, USA
| | - Ahmad R Sedaghat
- Otolaryngology-HNS, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, Ohio, USA
| | - Elina Toskala
- Otolaryngology-HNS, Thomas Jefferson University, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | | | - Baharudin Abdullah
- Otolaryngology-HNS, Universiti Sains Malaysia, Kubang, Kerian, Kelantan, Malaysia
| | - Cezmi Akdis
- Immunology, Infectious Diseases, Swiss Institute of Allergy and Asthma Research, Davos, Switzerland
| | - Jeremiah A Alt
- Otolaryngology-HNS, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA
| | | | - Antoine Azar
- Allergy/Immunology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Fuad Baroody
- Otolaryngology-HNS, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA
| | | | | | - Christopher Brook
- Otolaryngology-HNS, Harvard University, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Raewyn Campbell
- Otolaryngology-HNS, Macquarie University, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Thomas Casale
- Allergy/Immunology, University of South Florida College of Medicine, Tampa, Florida, USA
| | - Mohamad R Chaaban
- Otolaryngology-HNS, Cleveland Clinic, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, Ohio, USA
| | - Fook Tim Chew
- Allergy/Immunology, Genetics, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Jeffrey Chambliss
- Allergy/Immunology, University of Texas Southwestern, Dallas, Texas, USA
| | - Antonella Cianferoni
- Allergy/Immunology, Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | | | | | | | - Anne K Ellis
- Allergy/Immunology, Queens University, Kingston, ON, Canada
| | | | - Wytske J Fokkens
- Otorhinolaryngology, Amsterdam University Medical Centres, Amsterdam, Netherlands
| | | | - Matthew Greenhawt
- Allergy/Immunology, Pediatrics, University of Colorado, Children's Hospital Colorado, Aurora, Colorado, USA
| | - Amarbir Gill
- Otolaryngology-HNS, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
| | - Ashleigh Halderman
- Otolaryngology-HNS, University of Texas Southwestern, Dallas, Texas, USA
| | - Jens M Hohlfeld
- Respiratory Medicine, Fraunhofer Institute for Toxicology and Experimental Medicine ITEM, Hannover Medical School, German Center for Lung Research, Hannover, Germany
| | | | - Stephanie A Joe
- Otolaryngology-HNS, University of Illinois Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA
| | - Shyam Joshi
- Allergy/Immunology, Oregon Health and Science University, Portland, Oregon, USA
| | | | - Jean Kim
- Otolaryngology-HNS, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Adam M Klein
- Otolaryngology-HNS, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Helene J Krouse
- Otorhinolaryngology Nursing, University of Texas Rio Grande Valley, Edinburg, Texas, USA
| | - Edward C Kuan
- Otolaryngology-HNS, University of California Irvine, Orange, California, USA
| | - David Lang
- Allergy/Immunology, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio, USA
| | | | | | - Matt Lechner
- Otolaryngology-HNS, University College London, Barts Health NHS Trust, London, UK
| | - Stella E Lee
- Otolaryngology-HNS, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Victoria S Lee
- Otolaryngology-HNS, University of Illinois Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA
| | - Patricia Loftus
- Otolaryngology-HNS, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Sonya Marcus
- Otolaryngology-HNS, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, New York, USA
| | - Haidy Marzouk
- Otolaryngology-HNS, State University of New York Upstate, Syracuse, New York, USA
| | - Jose Mattos
- Otolaryngology-HNS, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, USA
| | - Edward McCoul
- Otolaryngology-HNS, Ochsner Clinic, New Orleans, Louisiana, USA
| | - Erik Melen
- Pediatric Allergy, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - James W Mims
- Otolaryngology-HNS, Wake Forest University, Winston Salem, North Carolina, USA
| | - Joaquim Mullol
- Otorhinolaryngology, Hospital Clinic Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Jayakar V Nayak
- Otolaryngology-HNS, Stanford University, Palo Alto, California, USA
| | - John Oppenheimer
- Allergy/Immunology, Rutgers, State University of New Jersey, Newark, New Jersey, USA
| | | | - Katie Phillips
- Otolaryngology-HNS, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, Ohio, USA
| | - Michael Platt
- Otolaryngology-HNS, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | | | | | - Chae-Seo Rhee
- Rhinology/Allergy, Seoul National University Hospital and College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Sietze Reitsma
- Otolaryngology-HNS, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands
| | - Matthew Ryan
- Otolaryngology-HNS, University of Texas Southwestern, Dallas, Texas, USA
| | - Joaquin Sastre
- Allergy, Fundacion Jiminez Diaz, University Autonoma de Madrid, Madrid, Spain
| | - Rodney J Schlosser
- Otolaryngology-HNS, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, South Carolina, USA
| | - Theodore A Schuman
- Otolaryngology-HNS, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, Virginia, USA
| | - Marcus S Shaker
- Allergy/Immunology, Dartmouth Geisel School of Medicine, Lebanon, New Hampshire, USA
| | - Aziz Sheikh
- Primary Care, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland
| | - Kristine A Smith
- Otolaryngology-HNS, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA
| | - Michael B Soyka
- Otolaryngology-HNS, University of Zurich, University Hospital of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Masayoshi Takashima
- Otolaryngology-HNS, Houston Methodist Academic Institute, Houston, Texas, USA
| | - Monica Tang
- Allergy/Immunology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA
| | | | - Malcolm B Taw
- Integrative East-West Medicine, University of California Los Angeles, Westlake Village, California, USA
| | - Jody Tversky
- Allergy/Immunology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Matthew A Tyler
- Otolaryngology-HNS, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA
| | - Maria C Veling
- Otolaryngology-HNS, University of Texas Southwestern, Dallas, Texas, USA
| | - Dana Wallace
- Allergy/Immunology, Nova Southeastern University, Ft. Lauderdale, Florida, USA
| | - De Yun Wang
- Otolaryngology-HNS, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Andrew White
- Allergy/Immunology, Scripps Clinic, San Diego, California, USA
| | - Luo Zhang
- Otolaryngology-HNS, Beijing Tongren Hospital, Beijing, China
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Xiong Z, Zhou L, Chen Y, Wang J, Zhao L, Li M, Chen I, Krewski D, Wen SW, Xie RH. Prevalence of eczema between cesarean-born and vaginal-born infants within 1 year of age: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Eur J Pediatr 2022; 181:2237-2247. [PMID: 35303168 DOI: 10.1007/s00431-022-04436-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/31/2021] [Revised: 02/21/2022] [Accepted: 03/04/2022] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
UNLABELLED This study aims to quantify the difference in prevalence of eczema between cesarean-born and vaginal-born infants within 1 year of age through a systematic review and meta-analysis. Six electronic databases were searched from inception to August 31, 2021. Studies were included if they reported the prevalence of eczema in infants within 1 year of age with specified mode of delivery. The quality of included studies was assessed using the Joanna Briggs Instrument Critical Appraisal Checklist. Pooled prevalence and odds ratio (OR) were estimated by meta-analyses of included studies. Meta-regression was conducted to explore factors affecting heterogeneity of the prevalence of eczema. Nine studies were included with 3,758 cesarean-born infants and 9,631 vaginal-born infants. The prevalence of eczema in cesarean-born infants [27.8%; 95% confidence interval (CI): 17.7-39.2] was higher than in vaginal-born infants (20.1%; 95% CI: 13.9-28.1), with a pooled OR of 1.31 (95% CI: 1.04-1.65). Subgroup analyses showed that the prevalence of eczema in cesarean-born infants varied according to country, study design, and method of ascertainment. Additionally, the pooled prevalence of eczema in vaginal-born infants differed by age at which eczema was identified. Meta-regression analysis showed that study design and eczema ascertainment method were significant sources of heterogeneity. CONCLUSION About 28% of cesarean-born infants within 1 year of age developed eczema, significantly higher than the 20% rate or occurrence seen in vaginal-born infants. PROTOCOL REGISTRATION CRD 42,020,152,437. WHAT IS KNOWN • Eczema, a complex inflammatory cutaneous disorder characterized by immune mediated inflammation and epidermal barrier dysfunction, is one of the most common allergic disorders in infants. • Eczema may increase the risk of immune-mediated inflammatory disease such as food allergy, asthma, and allergic rhinitis, leading to psychological and social burdens on affected individuals and their families. • Mode of delivery may be associated with the risk of developing eczema, although further studies are needed to clarify such differences. WHAT IS NEW • This is the first systematic review designed to estimate the prevalence of eczema in cesarean- and vaginal-born infants within 1 year of age. • Cesarean delivery may increase the risk of developing eczema in infants within the first year of life.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ziyu Xiong
- Department of Nursing, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Southern Medical University, 28 Liguan Rd, Lishui, Foshan, Guangdong, 528244, China
- General Practice Center, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Southern Medical University, Foshan, Guangdong, China
| | - Lepeng Zhou
- Department of Nursing, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Southern Medical University, 28 Liguan Rd, Lishui, Foshan, Guangdong, 528244, China
- General Practice Center, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Southern Medical University, Foshan, Guangdong, China
| | - Yanfang Chen
- Department of Nursing, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Southern Medical University, 28 Liguan Rd, Lishui, Foshan, Guangdong, 528244, China
- General Practice Center, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Southern Medical University, Foshan, Guangdong, China
| | - Jie Wang
- Department of Nursing, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Southern Medical University, 28 Liguan Rd, Lishui, Foshan, Guangdong, 528244, China
- General Practice Center, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Southern Medical University, Foshan, Guangdong, China
| | - Liuhong Zhao
- Department of Nursing, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Southern Medical University, 28 Liguan Rd, Lishui, Foshan, Guangdong, 528244, China
- General Practice Center, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Southern Medical University, Foshan, Guangdong, China
| | - Meng Li
- Department of Obstetrics, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Southern Medical University, Foshan, Guangdong, China
| | - Innie Chen
- Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, ON, Canada
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada
- School of Epidemiology and Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada
| | - Daniel Krewski
- School of Epidemiology and Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada
- McLaughlin Centre for Population Health Risk Assessment, Faculty of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada
- Risk Science International, Ottawa, ON, Canada
| | - Shi Wu Wen
- Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, ON, Canada
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada
- School of Epidemiology and Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada
| | - Ri-Hua Xie
- Department of Nursing, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Southern Medical University, 28 Liguan Rd, Lishui, Foshan, Guangdong, 528244, China.
- General Practice Center, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Southern Medical University, Foshan, Guangdong, China.
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