Systemic inflammation increases across distinct stages of advanced chronic liver disease and correlates with decompensation and mortality

Gut Microbiota and Cytokine Profile in Cirrhosis

Background and Aims

Gut dysbiosis and abnormal cytokine profiles are common in cirrhosis. This study aimed to evaluate the correlations between them.

Methods

In the blood plasma of cirrhosis patients and controls, 27 cytokines were examined using a multiplex assay. The plasma levels of nitrites (stable metabolites of the endothelial dysfunction biomarker nitric oxide) and lipopolysaccharide (LPS) were examined. The fecal microbiota was assessed by 16S rRNA gene sequencing.

Results

Levels of IL-1b, IL-2, IL-6, IL-13, IP-10, IFN-g, TNF-a, LPS, and nitrites were higher in cirrhosis patients than in controls, while levels of IL-4, IL-7, and PDGF-BB were lower. The LPS level was directly correlated with the levels of IL-1b, IL1-Ra, IL-9, IL-17, PDGF-BB, IL-6, TNF-a, and nitrites. The nitrite level was significantly directly correlated with the levels of TNF-a, GM-CSF, IL-17, and IL-12, and inversely correlated with the IL-7 level. TNF-a levels were directly correlated with ascites severity and the abundance of Negativicutes, Enterobacteriaceae, Veillonellaceae, and Klebsiella, while inversely correlated with the abundance of Firmicutes, Clostridia, and Subdoligranulum. IFN-g levels were directly correlated with the abundance of Bacteroidaceae, Lactobacillaceae, Bacteroides, and Megasphaera, and inversely correlated with the abundance of Verrucomicrobiota, Akkermansiaceae, Coriobacteriaceae, Akkermansia, Collinsella, and Gemella. IL-1b levels were directly correlated with the abundance of Comamonadaceae and Enterobacteriaceae and inversely correlated with the abundance of Marinifilaceae and Dialister. IL-6 levels were directly correlated with the abundance of Enterobacteriaceae, hepatic encephalopathy, and ascites severity, and inversely correlated with the abundance of Peptostreptococcaceae, Streptococcaceae, and Streptococcus.

Conclusions

The abundance of harmful gut microbiota taxa and endotoxinemia directly correlates with the levels of proinflammatory cytokines.

Therapeutic potential of Garcinia kola against experimental toxoplasmosis in rats

Cerebral toxoplasmosis, the most common opportunistic infection in immunocompromised individuals, is increasingly reported in immunocompetent individuals due to mutant strains of Toxoplasma gondii, which, furthermore, are reported to be resistant to available treatments. We assessed the therapeutic potential of Garcinia kola, a medicinal plant reported to have antiplasmodial and neuroprotective properties, against experimental toxoplasmosis in rats. Severe toxoplasmosis was induced in male Wistar rats (156.7 ± 4.1 g) by injecting them with 10 million tachyzoites in suspension in 500 µl of saline (intraperitoneal), and exclusive feeding with a low-protein diet [7% protein (weight by weight)]. Then, animals were treated with hexane, dichloromethane, and ethyl acetate fractions of Garcinia kola. Footprints were analysed and open-field and elevated plus maze ethological tests were performed when symptoms of severe disease were observed in the infected controls. After sacrifice, blood samples were processed for Giemsa staining, organs were processed for haematoxylin and eosin staining, and brains were processed for Nissl staining and cell counting. Compared with non-infected animals, the infected control animals had significantly lower body weights (30.27%↓, P = 0.001), higher body temperatures (P = 0.033) during the sacrifice, together with signs of cognitive impairment and neurologic deficits such as lower open-field arena centre entries (P < 0.001), elevated plus maze open-arm time (P = 0.029) and decreased stride lengths and step widths (P < 0.001), as well as neuronal loss in various brain areas. The ethyl acetate fraction of Garcinia kola prevented or mitigated most of these signs. Our data suggest that the ethyl acetate fraction of Garcinia kola has therapeutic potential against cerebral toxoplasmosis.

Hypoalbuminemia contributes to ascites formation via sodium and water retention: Evidence from clinical date and albumin deficient mice

Albumin infusions improve circulatory and renal function in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. However, there is no convincing evidence that hypoalbuminemia contributes to ascites formation in liver cirrhosis. The aim of our study is to determine the exact role of hypoalbuminemia in the formation of ascites caused by liver cirrhosis and its underlying mechanism. Clinical profiles of patients with liver cirrhosis retrospectively analyzed. The details of albumin involved in ascites formation were investigated in rat model and murine model. Statistical analysis demonstrated hypoalbuminemia was an independent risk factor for ascites formation in patients with liver cirrhosis (OR = 0.722, P < 0.001). In carbon tetrachloride (CCl4)-induced rat model of liver cirrhosis, a significant reduction in serum albumin was observed in rats with ascites (13.37 g/L) compared with rats without ascites (21.43 g/L, P < 0.001). In thioacetamide (TAA)-treated mice, ascites amount of heterozygous albumin (Alb+/-) mice (112.0 mg) was larger than that of wild-type (Alb+/+) mice (58.46 mg, P < 0.001). In CCl4-induced chronic liver injury, ascites amounts of Alb+/- or Alb+/+ mice were 80.00 mg or 48.46 mg (P = 0.001). Further study demonstrated 24-h urinary sodium excretion in Alb+/- mice was lower than that of Alb+/+ mice in TAA/CCl4-induce murine models of liver cirrhosis. Additionally, serum sodium concentration of Alb+/- mice was lower than that of Alb+/+ mice. In cirrhotic mice, higher level of antidiuretic hormone was observed in Alb+/- mice compared with the control; and renal aquaporin (AQP2) expression in Alb+/- mice was significantly higher than that of WT mice. These revealed hypoalbuminemia contributed to the occurrence of ascites in liver cirrhosis through sodium and water retention.

Influence of further decompensation on survival across clinical stages of decompensated cirrhosis: The role of portal hypertension and HVPG changes

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Decompensated-cirrhosis encompasses several stages with different prognosis, such as bleeding, ascites and bleeding-plus-ascites. Development of further-decompensation worsens survival, while non-selective β-blockers (NSBBs) can modify the risk. However, how this applies to each stage is uncertain. We aimed to investigate, in each stage of decompensated-cirrhosis, the influence of further-decompensation on mortality and whether changes in portal-pressure (HVPG) under NSBBs influence these outcomes.

METHODS

Patients with variceal bleeding were consecutively included differentiating those with bleeding-alone from those who also had ascites. Patients with ascites and high-risk varices referred for primary-prophylaxis were also investigated. A baseline haemodynamic study was performed and was repeated after 1-3-months under NSBBs. Outcomes were investigated by competing-risk.

RESULTS

Totally 103 patients had bleeding-alone, 186 bleeding-plus-ascites and 187 ascites-alone. Mean follow-up was 32-months (IQR, 12-60). Patients with bleeding-plus-ascites had higher HVPG and were more hyperdynamic than patients with ascites-alone and these than those with bleeding-alone. At each stage, the mortality risk was more than twice in patients developing further-decompensation vs. those without (p < .001). In each stage, HVPG-decrease under NSBBs showed better discrimination to predict further-decompensation than the baseline MELD, Child-Pugh or HVPG, by time-dependent ROC-curves (c-statistic >70%). At each stage, patients without HVPG-decreases, either ≥10% or ≥20% from the baseline, had higher risk of further-decompensation (sHR from 2.43 to 6.73, p < .01) and worse survival.

CONCLUSIONS

In each stage of decompensated cirrhosis, mortality risk significantly and very markedly increase with further-decompensation. HVPG-non-response to NSBBs may adequately stratify the risk of further decompensation and death, in each stage. This suggests potential benefit with pre-emptive therapies in HVPG-non-responders at each-stage.

Cerebral Aspects of Portal Hypertension: Hepatic Encephalopathy

Portal hypertension has cerebral consequences via its causes and complications, namely hepatic encephalopathy (HE), a common and devastating brain disturbance caused by liver insufficiency and portosystemic shunting. The pathogenesis involves hyperammonemia and systemic inflammation. Symptoms are disturbed personality and reduced attention. HE is minimal or grades I to IV (coma). Bouts of HE are episodic and often recurrent. Initial treatment is of events that precipitated the episode and exclusion of nonhepatic causes. Specific anti-HE treatment is lactulose. By recurrence, rifaximin is add-on. Anti-HE treatment is efficacious also for prophylaxis, but emergence of HE marks advanced liver disease and a dismal prognosis.

Fibulin-4 as a potential extracellular vesicle marker of fibrosis in patients with cirrhosis

Chronic liver injury leads to decreased liver function and increased fibrosis. Fibrosis is not only associated with the development of portal hypertension and carcinogenesis, but with the occurrence of events and a poor prognosis, highlighting the importance of non-invasive fibrosis assessment in patients. In the present study, we searched for markers related to liver fibrosis via proteomic analysis of small extracellular vesicles (sEVs). In the discovery cohort, proteomic analysis was carried out in the sEVs extracted from the sera of 5 patients with decompensated cirrhosis, 5 patients with compensated cirrhosis, and 5 controls without liver disease. Interestingly, in this cohort, fibulin-4 was significantly associated with cirrhosis while in the validation cohort [formed by 191 patients: 7 patients without disease, 16 patients without liver disease (other diseases), 38 patients with chronic liver disease (CLD), 75 patients with cirrhosis of Child-Pugh class A (36 without hepatocellular carcinoma [HCC], 29 with HCC), and 65 patients with cirrhosis of Child-Pugh class B-C (39 without HCC, 26 with HCC)], fibulin-4/CD9 levels increased with cirrhosis progression. Furthermore, the fibulin-4/CD9 ratio was significantly higher in patients with varices. Immunostaining also revealed strong fibulin-4 expression in cholangiocytes within the fibrous areas and mesothelial cells in liver tissue blood vessels. Taken together, our results suggest that fibulin-4, essential for lysyl oxidase activation, might be a new liver fibrosis marker found in the sEVs of patients with cirrhosis.

Inflammasomes in chronic liver disease: hepatic injury, fibrosis progression and systemic inflammation

Chronic liver disease (CLD) leads to hepatocellular injury that triggers a pro-inflammatory state in several parenchymal and non-parenchymal hepatic cell types ultimately resulting in liver fibrosis, cirrhosis, portal hypertension (PH) and liver failure. Thus, an improved understanding of the inflammasomes - as key molecular drivers of liver injury - supports the development of novel diagnostic or prognostic biomarkers and effective therapeutics. In liver disease, innate immune cells respond to hepatic noxes by activating cell-intrinsic inflammasomes via toll-like receptors (TLRs) and nuclear factor kappa-B (NF-κB) and release of pro-inflammatory cytokines (such as IL-1β, IL-18, TNF-α and IL-6). Subsequently, cells of the adaptive immune system are recruited to fuel hepatic inflammation, and liver parenchymal cells may undergo programmed cell-death mediated by gasdermin D, termed pyroptosis. With liver disease progression, there is a shift towards a type 2 inflammatory response, which promotes tissue repair but also fibrogenesis. Inflammasome activation may also occur at extrahepatic sites, such as the white adipose tissue in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH). In end-stage liver disease, flares of inflammation (e.g., in severe alcohol-related hepatitis) that spark on a dysfunctional immune system, contribute to inflammasome-mediated liver injury and potentially result in organ dysfunctions/failures, as seen in acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). This review provides an overview on current concepts regarding inflammasome activation in liver disease progression and related biomarkers and therapeutic approaches that are being developed for patients with liver disease.

Von Willebrand factor for outcome prediction within different clinical stages of advanced chronic liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The prognostic performance of von Willebrand factor (VWF) may vary across clinical stages of advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). Therefore, we investigated the evolution of VWF and other biomarkers throughout the full ACLD spectrum and evaluated their stage-specific prognostic utility.

METHODS

We retrospectively included Viennese ACLD patients with available information on hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG), C-reactive protein (CRP)/VWF levels and outcomes. ACLD stages were defined according to D'Amico et al. We included an external validation cohort from Padua.

RESULTS

We observed gradual increases in VWF throughout ACLD stages. In contrast, HVPG levelled off in decompensated ACLD (dACLD), whereas MELD showed only minor changes in the early stages and CRP did not increase until stage 3. VWF was associated with hepatic decompensation/liver-related death in compensated ACLD (cACLD) in a fully adjusted model, while it was not independently predictive of ACLF/liver-related death in dACLD. After backward selection, HVPG/CRP/VWF remained the main predictors of hepatic decompensation/liver-related death in cACLD. Notably, the performance of the non-invasive CRP/VWF-based model was comparable to invasive HVPG-based models (C-index:0.765 ± 0.034 vs. 0.756 ± 0.040). The discriminative ability of the CRP/VWF-based model was confirmed in an external validation cohort using another VWF assay which yielded systematically lower values.

CONCLUSION

VWF is the only biomarker that gradually increases across all ACLD stages. It is of particular prognostic value in cACLD, where a CRP/VWF-based model is equivalent to an invasive HVPG-based model. Systematic differences in VWF underline the importance of interlaboratory surveys. Moreover, our findings reinforce the notion that, already in cACLD, inflammation is a key disease-driving mechanism.

FXR-FGF19 signaling in the gut-liver axis is dysregulated in patients with cirrhosis and correlates with impaired intestinal defence

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Experimental studies linked dysfunctional Farnesoid X receptor (FXR)-fibroblast growth factor 19 (FGF19) signaling to liver disease. This study investigated key intersections of the FXR-FGF19 pathway along the gut-liver axis and their link to disease severity in patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

Patients with cirrhosis undergoing hepatic venous pressure gradient measurement (cohort-I n = 107, including n = 53 with concomitant liver biopsy; n = 5 healthy controls) or colonoscopy with ileum biopsy (cohort-II n = 37; n = 6 controls) were included. Hepatic and intestinal gene expression reflecting FXR activation and intestinal barrier integrity was assessed. Systemic bile acid (BA) and FGF19 levels were measured.

RESULTS

Systemic BA and FGF19 levels correlated significantly (r = 0.461; p < 0.001) and increased with cirrhosis severity. Hepatic SHP expression decreased in patients with cirrhosis (vs. controls; p < 0.001), indicating reduced FXR activation in the liver. Systemic FGF19 (r = -0.512, p < 0.001) and BA (r = -0.487, p < 0.001) levels correlated negatively with hepatic CYP7A1, but not SHP or CYP8B1 expression, suggesting impaired feedback signaling in the liver. In the ileum, expression of FXR, SHP and FGF19 decreased in patients with cirrhosis, and interestingly, intestinal FGF19 expression was not linked to systemic FGF19 levels. Intestinal zonula occludens-1, occludin, and alpha-5-defensin expression in the ileum correlated with SHP and decreased in patients with decompensated cirrhosis as compared to controls.

CONCLUSIONS

FXR-FGF19 signaling is dysregulated at essential molecular intersections along the gut-liver axis in patients with cirrhosis. Decreased FXR activation in the ileum mucosa was linked to reduced expression of intestinal barrier proteins. These human data call for further mechanistic research on interventions targeting the FXR-FGF19 pathway in patients with cirrhosis.

CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER

NCT03267615.

Editorial: Recompensation in PBC is good. But is it good enough? Authors' reply

This article is linked to Hofer et al papers. To view these articles, visit https://doi.org/10.1111/apt.17908 and https://doi.org/10.1111/apt.17924

Prognostic performance of non-invasive tests for portal hypertension is comparable to that of hepatic venous pressure gradient

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Non-invasive tests to assess the probability of clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) - including the ANTICIPATE±NASH models based on liver stiffness measurement and platelet count±BMI, and the von Willebrand factor antigen to platelet count ratio (VITRO) - have fundamentally changed the management of compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). However, their prognostic utility has not been compared head-to-head to the gold standard for prognostication in cACLD, i.e. the hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG).

METHODS

Patients with cACLD (liver stiffness measurement ≥10 kPa) who underwent advanced characterization via same-day HVPG/non-invasive test assessment from 2007-2022 were retrospectively included. Long-term follow-up data on hepatic decompensation was recorded.

RESULTS

Four hundred and twenty patients with cACLD of varying etiologies, with a CSPH prevalence of 67.6%, were included. The cumulative incidence of hepatic decompensation at 1 and 2 years was 4.7% and 8.0%, respectively. HVPG, VITRO, and ANTICIPATE±NASH-CSPH-probability showed similar time-dependent prognostic value (AUROCs 0.683-0.811 at 1 year and 0.699-0.801 at 2 years). In competing risk analyses adjusted for MELD score and albumin, HVPG (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio [aSHR] 1.099 [95% CI 1.054-1.150] per mmHg; p <0.001), or VITRO (aSHR 1.134 [95% CI 1.062-1.211] per unit; p <0.001), or ANTICIPATE±NASH-CSPH-probability (aSHR 1.232 [95% CI 1.094-1.387] per 10%; p <0.001) all predicted first decompensation during follow-up. Previously proposed cut-offs (HVPG ≥10 mmHg vs. <10 mmHg, VITRO ≥2.5 vs. <2.5, and ANTICIPATE-CSPH probability ≥60% vs. <60%) all accurately discriminated between patients at negligible risk and those at substantial risk of hepatic decompensation.

CONCLUSIONS

The prognostic performance of ANTICIPATE±NASH-CSPH-probability and VITRO is comparable to that of HVPG, supporting their utility for identifying patients who may benefit from medical therapies to prevent first hepatic decompensation.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Non-invasive tests have revolutionized the diagnosis and management of clinically significant portal hypertension in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). However, limited data exists regarding the prognostic utility of non-invasive tests in direct comparison to the gold standard for prognostication in cACLD, i.e. the hepatic venous pressure gradient. In our study including 420 patients with cACLD, the ANTICIPATE±NASH model and VITRO yielded similar AUROCs to hepatic venous pressure gradient for hepatic decompensation within 1 to 2 years. Thus, non-invasive tests should be applied and updated in yearly intervals in clinical routine to identify patients at short-term risk, thereby identifying patients who may benefit from treatment aimed at preventing hepatic decompensation.

Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor levels predict survival in patients with portal hypertension undergoing TIPS

Background & Aims

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is the most effective therapy for complications of portal hypertension. However, clinical outcomes following TIPS placement vary widely between patients and identifying ideal candidates remains a challenge. Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) is a circulating marker of immune activation that has previously been associated with liver inflammation, but its prognostic value in patients receiving TIPS is unknown. In the present study, we evaluated the potential clinical relevance of suPAR levels in patients undergoing TIPS insertion.

Methods

suPAR concentrations were measured by ELISA in hepatic vein (HV) and portal vein (PV) blood samples from 99 patients (training cohort) as well as peripheral venous blood samples from an additional 150 patients (validation cohort) undergoing TIPS placement. The association between suPAR levels and patient outcomes was assessed using Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox-regression analyses.

Results

suPAR concentrations were significantly higher in HV samples compared to PV samples and correlated with PV concentration, the presence of ascites, renal injury, and consequently with the Child-Pugh and MELD scores. Patients with lower suPAR levels had significantly better short- and long-term survival after TIPS insertion, which remained robust after adjustment for confounders in multivariate Cox-regression analyses. Sensitivity analysis showed an improvement in risk prediction in patients stratified by Child-Pugh or MELD scores. In an independent validation cohort, higher levels of suPAR predicted poor transplant-free survival after TIPS, particularly in patients with Child-Pugh A/B cirrhosis.

Conclusion

suPAR is largely derived from the injured liver and its levels are predictive of outcome in patients undergoing TIPS. suPAR, as a surrogate of hepatic inflammation, may be used to stratify care in patients following TIPS insertion.

Impact and implications

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is the most effective therapy for complications of portal hypertension. However, clinical outcomes following TIPS placement vary widely between patients and identification of the ideal candidates remains challenging. We show that soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR), a circulating marker of immune activation that can easily be measured in routine clinical practice, is a novel marker to identify patients who will benefit from TIPS and those who will not.

Evaluation of potential hepatic recompensation criteria in patients with PBC and decompensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Aetiological therapy improves liver function and may enable hepatic recompensation in decompensated cirrhosis.

AIMS

We explored the potential for recompensation in patients with decompensated primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) - considering a biochemical response to ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) according to Paris-II criteria as a surrogate for successful aetiological treatment.

METHODS

Patients with PBC were retrospectively included at the time of first decompensation. Recompensation was defined as (i) resolution of ascites and hepatic encephalopathy (HE) despite discontinuation of diuretic/HE therapy, (ii) absence of variceal bleeding and (iii) sustained liver function improvement.

RESULTS

In total, 42 patients with PBC with decompensated cirrhosis (age: 63.5 [IQR: 51.9-69.2] years; 88.1% female; MELD-Na: 13.5 [IQR: 11.0-15.0]) were included and followed for 41.9 (IQR: 11.0-70.9) months after decompensation. Seven patients (16.7%) achieved recompensation. Lower MELD-Na (subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR]: 0.90; p = 0.047), bilirubin (SHR per mg/dL: 0.44; p = 0.005) and alkaline phosphatase (SHR per 10 U/L: 0.67; p = 0.001) at decompensation, as well as variceal bleeding as decompensating event (SHR: 4.37; p = 0.069), were linked to a higher probability of recompensation. Overall, 33 patients were treated with UDCA for ≥1 year and 12 (36%) achieved Paris-II response criteria. Recompensation occurred in 5/12 (41.7%) and in 2/21 (9.5%) patients with vs. without UDCA response at 1 year, respectively. Recompensation was linked to a numerically improved transplant-free survival (HR: 0.46; p = 0.335). Nonetheless, 4/7 recompensated patients presented with liver-related complications after developing hepatic malignancy and/or portal vein thrombosis and 2 eventually died.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with PBC and decompensated cirrhosis may achieve hepatic recompensation under UDCA therapy. However, since liver-related complications still occur after recompensation, patients should remain under close follow-up.

Systematic review of the role of calprotectin in cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Calprotectin is a calcium-binding-S100-protein synthetized mainly in neutrophils which has been demonstrated to be an accurate biomarker of the presence of these cells. Gut barrier dysfunction in patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD), in addition to the lack of noninvasive tools for diagnosis and prognosis of cirrhosis decompensations, has raised interest in this biomarker.

AIMS

Our aim is to summarize the current evidence regarding the role of calprotectin in terms of its diagnostic and prognostic utility in ACLD.

METHODS

We performed a systematic search (PROSPERO registration no. CRD42023389069) of original articles published without any restrictions on the publication date until January 2023 providing information about calprotectin for the prognosis or diagnosis of ACLD and its decompensations in adult patients.

RESULTS

A total 227 articles were identified, and 26 observational studies finally met the inclusion criteria. In 14 studies, calprotectin was measured in ascitic fluid, all of which reported higher calprotectin values in spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, while cut-off points for its diagnosis were proposed in nine studies. Three studies reported higher faecal calprotectin levels in patients with hepatic encephalopathy and portal hypertension. Four studies evaluated faecal calprotectin and one plasma calprotectin as biomarkers for gut barrier integrity and bacterial translocation.

CONCLUSIONS

Calprotectin is emerging as a promising biomarker in ACLD, particularly for the management of bacterial infections and alcohol-related liver disease. Further research with better study designs should help to determine the feasibility of calprotectin measurement in routine clinical practice.

Improving primary prophylaxis of variceal bleeding by adapting therapy to the clinical stage of cirrhosis. A competing-risk meta-analysis of individual participant data

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Non-selective β-blockers (NSBBs) and endoscopic variceal-ligation (EVL) have similar efficacy preventing first variceal bleeding. Compensated and decompensated cirrhosis are markedly different stages, which may impact treatment outcomes. We aimed to assess the efficacy of NSBBs vs EVL on survival in patients with high-risk varices without previous bleeding, stratifying risk according to compensated/decompensated stage of cirrhosis.

METHODS

By systematic review, we identified RCTs comparing NSBBs vs EVL, in monotherapy or combined, for primary bleeding prevention. We performed a competing-risk, time-to-event meta-analysis, using individual patient data (IPD) obtained from principal investigators of RCTs. Analyses were stratified according to previous decompensation of cirrhosis.

RESULTS

Of 25 RCTs eligible, 14 failed to provide IPD and 11 were included, comprising 1400 patients (656 compensated, 744 decompensated), treated with NSBBs (N = 625), EVL (N = 546) or NSBB+EVL (N = 229). Baseline characteristics were similar between groups. Overall, mortality risk was similar with EVL vs. NSBBs (subdistribution hazard-ratio (sHR) = 1.05, 95% CI = 0.75-1.49) and with EVL + NSBBs vs either monotherapy, with low heterogeneity (I2  = 28.7%). In compensated patients, mortality risk was higher with EVL vs NSBBs (sHR = 1.76, 95% CI = 1.11-2.77) and not significantly lower with NSBBs+EVL vs NSBBs, without heterogeneity (I2  = 0%). In decompensated patients, mortality risk was similar with EVL vs. NSBBs and with NSBBs+EVL vs. either monotherapy.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with compensated cirrhosis and high-risk varices on primary prophylaxis, NSBBs significantly improved survival vs EVL, with no additional benefit noted adding EVL to NSBBs. In decompensated patients, survival was similar with both therapies. The study suggests that NSBBs are preferable when advising preventive therapy in compensated patients.

Recompensation in cirrhosis: unravelling the evolving natural history of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

Recompensation has gained increasing attention in the field of cirrhosis, particularly in chronic liver disease with a definite aetiology. The current global prevalence of obesity and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is increasing, but there is currently a lack of a clear definition for recompensation in NAFLD-related cirrhosis. Here, we provide an up-to-date perspective on the natural history of NAFLD, emphasizing the reversible nature of the disease, summarizing possible mechanisms underlying recompensation in NAFLD, discussing challenges that need to be addressed and outlining future research directions in the field. Recompensation is a promising goal in patients with NAFLD-related cirrhosis, and further studies are needed to explore its underlying mechanisms and uncover its clinical features.

Prognostic value of virtual portal pressure gradient response in compensated cirrhotic patients treated with carvedilol

AIM

This study aimed to assess the prognostic significance of virtual portal pressure gradient (vPPG) response to carvedilol in patients with compensated cirrhosis (CC).

METHODS

Compensated cirrhosis patients with high-risk varices were prospectively enrolled to receive carvedilol for prevention of first variceal hemorrhage (VH) and followed up for 1 year. The vPPG response was defined as a reduction of vPPG >10% from baseline after 1-month therapy. Logistic and Cox regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors for vPPG response and first decompensation, respectively. Competitive risk models were constructed to predict disease progression, and validated using the C-index, Kaplan-Meier analysis, competitive risk analysis, and calibration curves.

RESULTS

A total of 129 patients completed this study, of whom 56 (43.4%) achieved vPPG response and were referred as vPPG responders. Baseline vPPG, red color sign, Model for End-stage Liver Disease score, serum monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1), and laminin levels significantly correlated with vPPG response, which itself was further documented as an independent predictor of VH, ascites, and overall decompensation events in CC. Moreover, the red color sign or Child-Turcotte-Pugh score effectively predicted VH, while ascites correlated well with portal flow velocity or MCP-1. The predictive models for VH and ascites showed a good discrimination with C-index values of 0.747 and 0.689 respectively, and the high consistency on calibration curves.

CONCLUSION

The vPPG response could be used as a noninvasive tool for prediction of disease progression in patients with CC.

Lower free triiodothyronine (fT3) levels in cirrhosis are linked to systemic inflammation, higher risk of acute-on-chronic liver failure, and mortality

Background & Aims

Advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) may affect thyroid hormone homeostasis. We aimed to analyze the pituitary-thyroid axis in ACLD and the prognostic value of free triiodothyronine (fT3).

Methods

Patients with ACLD (liver stiffness measurement [LSM] ≥10 kPa) undergoing hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement between June 2009 and September 2022 and available fT3 levels were included. Clinical stages of ACLD were defined as follows: probable ACLD (pACLD; LSM ≥10 kPa and HVPG ≤5 mmHg), S0 (mild portal hypertension [PH]; HVPG 6-9 mmHg), S1 (clinically significant PH), S2 (clinically significant PH with varices), S3 (past variceal bleeding), S4 (past/current non-bleeding hepatic decompensation), and S5 (further decompensation).

Results

Among 297 patients with ACLD, 129 were compensated (pACLD, n = 10; S0, n = 33; S1, n = 42; S2, n = 44), whereas 168 were decompensated (S3, n = 12; S4, n = 97; S5, n = 59). Median levels of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) numerically increased with progressive ACLD stage (from 1.2 μIU/ml [pACLD] to 1.5 μIU/ml [S5]; p = 0.152), whereas fT3 decreased (from 3.2 pg/ml [pACLD] to 2.5 pg/ml [S5]; p <0.001). Free thyroxin levels remained unchanged (p = 0.338). TSH (aB 0.45; p = 0.046) and fT3 (aB -0.17; p = 0.048) were independently associated with systemic C-reactive protein levels. Lower fT3 was linked to higher risk of (further) decompensation (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio [asHR] 0.60; 95% CI 0.37-0.97; p = 0.037), acute-on-chronic liver failure (asHR 0.19; 95% CI 0.08-0.49; p <0.001) and liver-related death (asHR 0.14; 95% CI 0.04-0.51; p = 0.003).

Conclusions

Increasing TSH and declining fT3 levels are observed with progressive ACLD stages. The association of TSH and fT3 with systemic inflammation suggests a liver disease-associated non-thyroidal illness syndrome. Lower fT3 levels in patients with ACLD indicate increased risk for decompensation, acute-on-chronic liver failure, and liver-related death.

Impact and Implications

In a large well-characterized cohort of patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD), we found a decline of free triiodothyronine (fT3) throughout the clinical stages of ACLD, paralleled by a numerical increase of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH). This suggests a progressive development of a non-thyroidal illness syndrome in association with ACLD severity. Importantly, C-reactive protein independently correlated with TSH and fT3, linking thyroid dysbalance in ACLD to systemic inflammation. Lower fT3 indicated an increased risk for subsequent development of hepatic decompensation, acute-on-chronic liver failure, and liver-related death.

Clinical trial number

Vienna Cirrhosis Study (VICIS; NCT: NCT03267615).

Decreased platelet activation predicts hepatic decompensation and mortality in patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Patients with cirrhosis show alterations in primary hemostasis, yet prognostic implications of changes in platelet activation remain controversial, and assay validity is often limited by thrombocytopenia. We aimed to study the prognostic role of platelet activation in cirrhosis, focusing on bleeding/thromboembolic events, decompensation, and mortality.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We prospectively included 107 patients with cirrhosis undergoing a same-day hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) and platelet activation measurement. Platelet activation was assessed using flow cytometry after protease-activated receptor (PAR)-1, PAR-4, or epinephrine stimulation. Over a follow-up of 25.3 (IQR: 15.7-31.2) months, first/further decompensation occurred in 29 patients and 17 died. More pronounced platelet activation was associated with an improved prognosis, even after adjusting for systemic inflammation, HVPG, and disease severity. Specifically, higher PAR-4-inducible platelet activation was independently linked to a lower decompensation risk [adjusted HR per 100 MFI (median fluorescence intensity): 0.95 (95% CI: 0.90-0.99); p =0.036] and higher PAR-1-inducible platelet activation was independently linked to longer survival [adjusted HR per 100 MFI: 0.93 (95% CI: 0.87-0.99); p =0.040]. Thromboembolic events occurred in eight patients (75% nontumoral portal vein thrombosis [PVT]). Higher epinephrine-inducible platelet activation was associated with an increased risk of thrombosis [HR per 10 MFI: 1.07 (95% CI: 1.02-1.12); p =0.007] and PVT [HR per 10 MFI: 1.08 (95% CI: 1.02-1.14); p =0.004]. In contrast, of the 11 major bleedings that occurred, 9 were portal hypertension related, and HVPG thus emerged as the primary risk factor.

CONCLUSIONS

Preserved PAR-1- and PAR-4-inducible platelet activation was linked to a lower risk of decompensation and death. In contrast, higher epinephrine-inducible platelet activation was a risk factor for thromboembolism and PVT.

Portal Hypertension in Malnutrition and Sarcopenia in Decompensated Cirrhosis-Pathogenesis, Implications and Therapeutic Opportunities

Malnutrition and sarcopenia are highly prevalent in patients with decompensated cirrhosis and are associated with poorer clinical outcomes. Their pathophysiology is complex and multifactorial, with protein-calorie malnutrition, systemic inflammation, reduced glycogen stores and hormonal imbalances all well reported. The direct contribution of portal hypertension to these driving factors is however not widely documented in the literature. This review details the specific mechanisms by which portal hypertension directly contributes to the development of malnutrition and sarcopenia in cirrhosis. We summarise the existing literature describing treatment strategies that specifically aim to reduce portal pressures and their impact on nutritional and muscle outcomes, which is particularly relevant to those with end-stage disease awaiting liver transplantation.

Novel prognostic biomarkers in decompensated cirrhosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Patients with decompensated cirrhosis experience high mortality rates. Current prognostic scores, including the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), may underperform in settings other than in those they were initially developed. Novel biomarkers have been proposed to improve prognostication accuracy and even to predict development of complications.

METHODS

We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis on novel urine and blood biomarkers and their ability to predict 90-day mortality in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Secondary outcomes included 28-day and 1-year mortality, and development of acute-on-chronic liver failure, acute kidney injury and other complications. To overcome differences in units, temporal changes in assays and reporting heterogeneity, we used the ratio of means (RoM) as measure of association for assessing strength in predicting outcomes. An RoM>1 implies that the mean biomarker level is higher in those that develop the outcome than in those that do not.

RESULTS

Of 6629 unique references, 103 were included, reporting on 29 different biomarkers, with a total of 31 362 biomarker patients. Most studies were prospective cohorts of hospitalised patients (median Child-Pugh-Turcotte score of 9 and MELD score of 18). The pooled 90-day mortality rate was 0.27 (95% CI 0.24 to 0.29). The RoM for predicting 90-day mortality was highest for interleukin 6 (IL-6) (2.56, 95% CI 2.39 to 2.74), followed by urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (uNGAL) (2.42, 95% CI 2.20 to 2.66) and copeptin (2.33, 95% CI 2.17 to 2.50). These RoMs were all higher than for MELD (1.44, 95% CI 1.42 to 1.46).

CONCLUSION

Novel biomarkers, including IL-6, uNGAL and copeptin, can probably improve prognostication of patients with decompensated cirrhosis compared with MELD alone.

Von Willebrand factor processing in patients with advanced chronic liver disease and its relation to portal hypertension and clinical outcome

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Endothelial dysfunction and portal hypertension (PH) are reflected by increased von Willebrand factor antigen (VWF-Ag) levels in advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). This study investigated VWF release and cleavage and their association with PH and clinical outcomes.

METHODS

Levels of VWF-Ag, VWF-N (VWF-propeptide), and VWF-A (VWF processed by the main VWF-cleaving protease ADAMTS13) were assessed in 229 patients with clinically stable ACLD (hepatic venous pressure gradient [HVPG] ≥ 6 mmHg; absence of bacterial infections or acute decompensation) undergoing HVPG-measurement. Liver-healthy individuals served as controls (n = 24).

RESULTS

VWF-Ag and VWF-N were similarly accurate for the identification of clinically significant PH (CSPH; HVPG ≥ 10 mmHg) in compensated ACLD (AUROC: VWF-Ag 0.748; VWF-N 0.728). ADAMTS13 activity was similar between patients with ACLD and controls and did not correlate with PH and disease severity, whereas VWF cleavage decreased in patients with CSPH (i.e., VWF-Ag/-A-ratio increased). In vitro VWF activity strongly reflected VWF-Ag levels (Spearman's r = 0.874, p < 0.001), but decreased (vs. controls) in patients with CSPH when normalized to VWF-Ag levels (VWF-activity/-Ag-ratio). VWF-Act/-Ag ratio correlated negatively with ADAMTS13 activity (r =- 0.256, p < 0.001). ADAMTS13 activity was independently predictive for (i) portal vein thrombosis (PVT) and (ii) hepatic decompensation or liver-related death.

CONCLUSIONS

VWF-Ag levels and its propeptide are similarly suitable surrogates of PH in patients with compensated ACLD. ADAMTS13-Act was not linked to disease and PH severity, however, when normalized to VWF-Ag, both VWF cleavage and VWF activity were decreased in patients with CSPH, as compared to liver-healthy individuals. Low ADAMTS13-Act was associated with presumably more procoagulant VWF and adverse outcomes.

CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER

NCT03267615.

Atorvastatin for patients with cirrhosis. A randomized, placebo-controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Patients with cirrhosis and portal hypertension face a high risk of complications. Besides their anti-inflammatory and antifibrotic effects, statins may reduce portal pressure and thus the risk of complications and mortality. We aimed to investigate the effects of atorvastatin on hospital admissions, mortality, inflammation, and lipidomics in cirrhosis with portal hypertension.

METHODS

We performed a double-blinded, randomized, placebo-controlled clinical trial among patients with cirrhosis and portal hypertension. Atorvastatin (10-20 mg/d) was administered for 6 months. We measured splanchnic hemodynamics, analyzed inflammatory markers, and performed lipidomics at baseline and after 6 months.

RESULTS

Seventy-eight patients were randomized, with 38 patients allocated to atorvastatin and 40 patients to placebo. Fifty-nine patients completed 6 months of intervention. Comparisons between changes in each group were calculated. Liver-related complications and mortality were similar between the groups. The HVPG and Model for End-stage Liver Disease score did not change between groups (p=0.95 and 0.87, respectively). Atorvastatin decreased 3 of 42 inflammatory markers, CD62-L-selectin, matrix metalloproteinases-2, and TNF-α (p-values: 0.005, 0.011, and 0.023, respectively), while lipidomics was not significantly changed.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with cirrhosis, atorvastatin was safe to use, but did not reduce mortality, the risk of liver-related complications, or the HVPG. Atorvastatin induced minor anti-inflammatory effects and minor effects on lipids during a 6-month treatment period.

Significance of malnutrition defined with Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition criteria in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatic resection

AIM

A recent study reported the utility of the definition of malnutrition according to the Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition (GLIM) criteria in many types of cancers and chronic inflammatory disease. The present retrospective study aimed to investigate the significance of malnutrition defined with GLIM criteria in patients with hepatic resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and also to compare malnutrition using handgrip strength.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed data from 174 patients who had undergone curative hepatic resection for HCC including both skeletal muscle area and handgrip strength. Patients were divided according to malnutrition defined by GLIM or modified GLIM and clinicopathologic and short- and long-term outcomes were analyzed. The modified GLIM criteria was defined using both handgrip strength and skeletal muscle area.

RESULTS

Malnutrition defined by GLIM criteria was diagnosed in 47 patients (26.7%) and malnutrition defined by modified GLIM criteria was diagnosed in 21 patients (11.9%). Malnutrition defined by GLIM or modified GLIM criteria was associated with poorer liver function and malignant tumor behavior, but modified GLIM criteria predicted the postoperative complication and recurrence-free survival outcome independently. In patients with poor liver function, malnutrition defined by modified GLIM criteria predicted postoperative complication and overall and recurrence-free survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Malnutrition defined by modified GLIM criteria using both handgrip strength and skeletal muscle area can more accurately predict short- and long-term outcomes compared to malnutrition defined by the GLIM criteria. Nutritional and exercise therapy could become more important in patients with malnutrition and poor liver function.

Markers of inflammation predict survival in newly diagnosed cirrhosis: a prospective registry study

The inflammatory activity in cirrhosis is often pronounced and related to episodes of decompensation. Systemic markers of inflammation may contain prognostic information, and we investigated their possible correlation with admissions and mortality among patients with newly diagnosed liver cirrhosis. We collected plasma samples from 149 patients with newly diagnosed (within the past 6 months) cirrhosis, and registered deaths and hospital admissions within 180 days. Ninety-two inflammatory markers were quantified and correlated with clinical variables, mortality, and admissions. Prediction models were calculated by logistic regression. We compared the disease courses of our cohort with a validation cohort of 86 patients with cirrhosis. Twenty of 92 markers of inflammation correlated significantly with mortality within 180 days (q-values of 0.00-0.044), whereas we found no significant correlations with liver-related admissions. The logistic regression models yielded AUROCs of 0.73 to 0.79 for mortality and 0.61 to 0.73 for liver-related admissions, based on a variety of modalities (clinical variables, inflammatory markers, clinical scores, or combinations thereof). The models performed moderately well in the validation cohort and were better able to predict mortality than liver-related admissions. In conclusion, markers of inflammation can be used to predict 180-day mortality in patients with newly diagnosed cirrhosis. Prediction models for newly diagnosed cirrhotic patients need further validation before implementation in clinical practice.Trial registration: NCT04422223 (and NCT03443934 for the validation cohort), and Scientific Ethics Committee No.: H-19024348.

Predicting the risk of variceal rehemorrhage in cirrhotic patients with portal vein thrombosis: A two-center retrospective study

OBJECTIVES

Although portal vein thrombosis (PVT) was thought to deteriorate portal hypertension and contribute to poor prognosis, risk stratification remains unclear. This study aimed to evaluate its effect on the risk of variceal rehemorrhage and to develop a competitive risk model in cirrhotic patients with PVT.

METHODS

Cirrhotic patients with and without PVT admitted for acute variceal hemorrhage were retrospectively included after matching (1:1) for age, gender and etiology of cirrhosis from two tertiary centers with 1-year follow-up. Those with PVT were subsequently divided into the training and validation cohorts. Cox regression analysis was performed to identify risk factors and develop a competitive risk model, of which the predictive performance and optimal decision threshold were evaluated by C-index, competitive risk curves, calibration curves and decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

Among 398 patients, PVT significantly increased the variceal rehemorrhage risk. Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified that the Child-Turcotte-Pugh score (P = 0.013), chronic PVT (P = 0.025), C-reactive protein (P < 0.001), and aspartate aminotransferase (P = 0.039) were independently associated with variceal rehemorrhage, which were incorporated into the competitive risk model, with high C-index (0.804 and 0.742 of the training and validation cohorts, respectively), risk stratification ability, and consistency. The optimal decision range of the threshold probability was 0.2-1.0.

CONCLUSION

We confirmed the adverse effect of PVT on variceal rehemorrhage and developed a competitive risk model for variceal rehemorrhage in cirrhotic patients with PVT, which might be conveniently used for clinical decision-making.

Dynamics in Liver Stiffness Measurements Predict Outcomes in Advanced Chronic Liver Disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Liver stiffness measurements (LSMs) provide an opportunity to monitor liver disease progression and regression noninvasively. We aimed to determine the prognostic relevance of LSM dynamics over time for liver-related events and death in patients with chronic liver disease.

METHODS

Patients with chronic liver disease undergoing 2 or more reliable LSMs at least 180 days apart were included in this retrospective cohort study and stratified at baseline (BL) as nonadvanced chronic liver disease (non-ACLD, BL-LSM < 10 kPa), compensated ACLD (cACLD; BL-LSM ≥ 10 kPa), and decompensated ACLD. Data on all consecutive LSMs and clinical outcomes were collected.

RESULTS

There were 2508 patients with 8561 reliable LSMs (3 per patient; interquartile range, 2-4) included: 1647 (65.7%) with non-ACLD, 757 (30.2%) with cACLD, and 104 (4.1%) with decompensated ACLD. Seven non-ACLD patients (0.4%) and 83 patients with cACLD (10.9%) developed hepatic decompensation (median follow-up, 71 months). A 20% increase in LSM at any time was associated with an approximately 50% increased risk of hepatic decompensation (hazard ratio, 1.58; 95% CI, 1.41-1.79; P < .001) and liver-related death (hazard ratio, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.28-1.68; P < .001) in patients with cACLD. LSM dynamics yielded a high accuracy to predict hepatic decompensation in the following 12 months (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve = 0.933). The performance of LSM dynamics was numerically better than dynamics in Fibrosis-4 score (0.873), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (0.835), and single time-point LSM (BL-LSM: 0.846; second LSM: 0.880). Any LSM decrease to <20 kPa identified patients with cACLD with a substantially lower risk of hepatic decompensation (hazard ratio, 0.13; 95% CI, 0.07-0.24). If reliable, LSM also confers prognostic information in decompensated ACLD.

CONCLUSIONS

Repeating LSM enables an individual and updated risk assessment for decompensation and liver-related mortality in ACLD.

Diabetes impairs the haemodynamic response to non-selective betablockers in compensated cirrhosis and predisposes to hepatic decompensation

BACKGROUND

Non-selective betablockers (NSBBs) reduce the risk of hepatic decompensation in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). Metabolic co-morbidities (MetC) are increasingly observed in cACLD patients.

AIMS

To investigate the impact of MetC on the haemodynamic effects of NSBB and hepatic decompensation in cACLD.

METHODS

cACLD patients undergoing paired hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurements before/under NSBB therapy were retrospectively considered for this study. We recorded baseline characteristics on MetC (obesity, dyslipidaemia and diabetes), as well as hepatic decompensation and liver-related mortality during follow-up.

RESULTS

We included 92 patients (Child-A n = 80, 87%; Child-B n = 12, 13%). MetC were found in 34 (37%) patients: 19 (20.7%) with obesity, 14 (15.2%) with dyslipidaemia and 23 (34.8%) with diabetes. The median baseline HVPG of 18 (IQR:15-21) mmHg decreased to 15 (IQR:9-12) mmHg under NSBB. HVPG-response (decrease ≥10% or to ≤12 mmHg) was achieved in 60 (65.2.%) patients. Patients with diabetes (OR: 0.35, p = 0.021) and higher BMI (OR: 0.89 per kg/m2 , p = 0.031) were less likely to achieve HVPG-response. During a median follow-up of 2.3 (0.5-4.2) years, 18 (19.5%) patients experienced hepatic decompensation. Child-B (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio, aSHR: 4.3 [95% CI:1.5-12.2], p = 0.006), HVPG-response (aSHR: 0.3 [95% CI:0.1-0.9], p = 0.037) and diabetes (aSHR: 2.8 [95% CI:1.1-7.2], p = 0.036) were independently associated with hepatic decompensation.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with cACLD, diabetes and a higher BMI impair the HVPG-response to NSBB. Furthermore, diabetes-independently from Child B and lack of HVPG-response-increases the risk of hepatic decompensation.

Low geriatric nutritional risk index predicts poor prognosis in patients with cirrhosis: a retrospective study

Aim

Malnutrition, which increases the risk of liver disease-related events and mortality, is a serious complication in cirrhosis. This study aimed to investigate whether the geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) could predict the long-term prognosis in patients with cirrhosis.

Methods

We retrospectively evaluated 266 patients with cirrhosis and classified them into two groups based on baseline GNRI scores: risk (≤98, n = 104) and no-risk groups (>98, n = 162). The cumulative survival rates were compared between the two groups in patients with compensated and decompensated cirrhosis, respectively. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to identify significant and independent factors associated with mortality.

Results

The median observation period was 54.9 (33.6-61.7) months and 65 (24.4%) liver disease-related deaths occurred during the follow-up period. The GNRI scores significantly and inversely correlated with Child-Pugh score (r = -0.579), model for end-stage liver disease score (r = -0.286), and Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer (r = -0.494). Multivariate analysis identified low GNRI as a significant and independent factor associated with mortality [overall cohort: hazard ratio (HR), 0.926; p < 0.001; compensated cirrhosis: HR, 0.947; p = 0.003; decompensated cirrhosis: HR, 0.923; p < 0.001]. The risk group demonstrated significantly lower cumulative survival rates than the no-risk group in overall cohort, and patients with compensated and decompensated cirrhosis (p < 0.001, <0.001, and = 0.013, respectively).

Conclusion

Low GNRI was associated with poor long-term prognosis in both patients with compensated and decompensated cirrhosis. Therefore, the GNRI is a simple and useful tool for predicting prognosis and modifying the nutritional status in patients with cirrhosis.

Late-stage presentation with decompensated cirrhosis is alarmingly common but successful etiologic therapy allows for favorable clinical outcomes

INTRODUCTION

Liver cirrhosis accounts for considerable morbidity and mortality worldwide and late presentation limits therapeutic options. We aimed to assess characteristics of patients with liver cirrhosis at the time of first presentation and during their clinical course.

METHODS

Patients with cirrhosis as evident by presence of varices at endoscopy, liver stiffness ≥15kPa at elastography, or ascites requiring paracentesis between Q1/2015-Q2/2020 were retrospectively included. Clinical, laboratory, and imaging data were collected from medical records at presentation and last follow-up.

RESULTS

476 patients were included (alcohol-related liver disease, ALD: 211, 44.3%; viral hepatitis: 163, 34.2%). Of these, 106 patients (22.3%) and 160 patients (33.6%) presented already with Child-Pugh C and MELD >15, respectively, and decompensation events were registered in 50% (238 patients) at baseline, and even in 75.4% of ALD patients. During a median follow-up of 11.0 (IQR 4-24) months, 116 patients died. Two-year survival was worse for patients with ALD than for viral hepatitis (71.1% vs. 90.2%, log rank p<0.001). We observed the highest percentage of portal-vein thrombosis (30.0%), hepatocellular carcinoma (15.0%), and death (45.0%) in the MAFLD group (n = 20). Patients cured from hepatitis C showed significant improvements in platelet count (147 to 169 G/L, p<0.001) and liver stiffness (26.2 to 17.7 kPa, p<0.001), while ALD patients improved in Child-Pugh score (8.6 to 7.6, p<0.001) during follow-up. With increasing Child Pugh score and MELD, we found increasing serum concentrations of CRP (p<0.001) and an inverse correlation with serum HDL (Spearman's ρ = -0.573 and -0.529, respectively, p<0.001).

CONCLUSION

Half of the patients with cirrhosis had decompensated cirrhosis at presentation. This calls for increased awareness and strategies for earlier diagnosis of chronic liver disease and cirrhosis.

An impaired pituitary-adrenal signalling axis in stable cirrhosis is linked to worse prognosis

Background & Aims

Inadequate adrenal function has been described in patients with cirrhosis. We investigated (i) the pituitary-adrenal axis at different clinical stages and (ii) the clinical impact of decreased serum cortisol levels in stable patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD).

Methods

We included 137 outpatients with ACLD undergoing hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement in the prospective VICIS study (NCT03267615). Patients were stratified into six clinical stages: S0: subclinical portal hypertension (PH) (HVPG 6-9 mmHg), S1: clinically significant PH (HVPG ≥10 mmHg) without varices, S2: presence of varices, S3: previous variceal bleeding, S4: previous non-bleeding decompensation, and S5: further decompensation.

Results

Fifty-one patients had compensated ACLD (S0: n = 13; S1: n = 12; S2: n = 26), whereas 86 patients had decompensated ACLD (S3: n = 7; S4: n = 46; S5: n = 33). Serum total cortisol (t-Cort) showed a strong correlation with estimated serum free cortisol (f-Cort; Spearman's ρ: 0.889). With progressive clinical stage, median ACTH levels (from S0: 44.0 pg/ml to S5: 20.0 pg/ml; p = 0.006), t-Cort (from S0: 13.9 μg/dl to S5: 9.2 μg/dl; p = 0.091), and cortisol binding globulin (from S0: 49.3 μg/ml to S5: 38.9 μg/ml; p <0.001) decreased, whereas f-Cort (p = 0.474) remained unchanged. Lower t-Cort levels independently predicted bacterial infections (asHR: 1.11; 95% CI: 1.04-1.19; p = 0.002), further decompensation (asHR: 1.08; 95% CI: 1.02-1.12; p = 0.008), acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF; asHR: 1.11; 95% CI: 1.04-1.19; p = 0.002), and liver-related death (asHR: 1.09; 95% CI: 1.01-1.18; p = 0.045).

Conclusions

The pituitary-ACTH-adrenal-cortisol axis is progressively suppressed with increasing severity of cirrhosis. Lower t-Cort is an independent risk factor for bacterial infections, further decompensation of ACLF, and liver-related mortality-even in stable outpatients with cirrhosis.

Clinical trial number

Vienna Cirrhosis Study (VICIS; NCT: NCT03267615).

Impact and Implications

In a cohort of stable outpatients, we observed progressive suppression of the pituitary-adrenal axis with increasing clinical stage of advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). Increased levels of bile acids and systemic inflammation (assessed by interleukin-6 levels) could be involved in this suppression. Serum total cortisol (t-Cort) was strongly correlated with serum free cortisol (f-Cort) and lower t-Cort levels were independently associated with a higher risk of adverse clinical outcomes, including bacterial infections, further decompensation, acute-on-chronic liver failure, and liver-related death.

Bacterial translocation occurs early in cirrhosis and triggers a selective inflammatory response

BACKGROUND

Experimental data suggest that bacterial translocation (BT) promotes systemic inflammation, portal hypertension, and circulatory dysfunction in advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD).

METHODS

Patients with ACLD undergoing hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement and absence of acute decompensation or infections were included (n = 249). Serum biomarkers of BT (lipopolysaccharide [LPS], lipoteichoic acid [LTA], bacterial DNA [bactDNA]), systemic inflammation and markers of circulatory dysfunction were assessed. T-cell subsets in intestinal biopsies (n = 7 ACLD, n = 4 controls) were analyzed by flow cytometry.

RESULTS

Patients had a median HVPG of 18 (12-21) mmHg and 56% had decompensated ACLD. LPS (0.04 [0.02-0.06] vs. 0.64 [0.30-1.06] EU/mL), LTA (4.53 [3.58-5.97] vs. 43.2 [23.2-109] pg/mL), and detection of bactDNA (≥ 5 pg/mL; 5% vs. 41%) were markedly higher in patients with ACLD than healthy controls (n = 40; p < 0.001) but were similar between different clinical stages of compensated and decompensated ACLD and displayed no meaningful correlation with HVPG and systemic hemodynamics. TNF-α and IL-10 correlated with LPS (Spearman's rs = 0.523, p < 0.001/rs = 0.143, p = 0.024) but not with LTA. Presence of bactDNA was associated with higher LPS (0.54 [0.28-0.95] vs. 0.88 [0.32-1.31] EU/mL, p = 0.001) and TNF-α (15.3 [6.31-28.1] vs. 20.9 [13.8-32.9] pg/mL). Patients with ACLD exhibited a decreased CD4:CD8-ratio and increased TH1-cells in the intestinal mucosa as compared to controls. During a median FU of 14.7 (8.20-26.5) months, bacterial antigens did not predict decompensation or liver-related death (in contrast to HVPG, IL-6, and MAP) as well as infections at 24 months.

CONCLUSION

BT occurs already in early ACLD stages and triggers a systemic inflammatory response via TNF-α and IL-10. Interestingly, BT markers showed no clear correlation with portal hypertension and circulatory dysfunction in patients with stable ACLD.

CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER

NCT03267615.

Challenges in Diagnosis and Therapeutic Approach of Acute on Chronic Liver Failure-A Review of Current Evidence

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a syndrome characterized by acute and severe decompensation of chronic liver disease (CLD) correlated with multiple organ failure, poor prognosis, and increased mortality. In 40-50% of ACLF cases, the trigger is not recognized; for many of these patients, bacterial translocation associated with systemic inflammation is thought to be the determining factor; in the other 50% of patients, sepsis, alcohol consumption, and reactivation of chronic viral hepatitis are the most frequently described trigger factors. Other conditions considered precipitating factors are less common, including acute alcoholic hepatitis, major surgery, TIPS insertion, or inadequate paracentesis without albumin substitution. Host response is likely the primary factor predicting ACLF severity and prognosis, the host immune response having a particular significance in this syndrome, together with the inflammatory cascade. The management of ACLF includes both the prevention of the precipitating factors that lead to acute liver decompensation and the support of vital functions, the prevention and management of complications, the estimation of prognosis, and the opportunity for liver transplantation.

Kidney disease in patients with chronic liver disease: Does sex matter?

Kidney disease in patients with liver disease is serious and increases mortality. Up to 50% of patients hospitalized experience an episode of acute kidney injury. In general, men with liver disease are thought to be at increased risk of kidney disease. However, this association should be considered with caution because most studies use creatinine-based inclusion criteria, which is negatively biased against women. In this review, we synthesize data on sex differences in kidney disease in patients with chronic liver disease in the clinical setting and discuss potential physiologic underpinnings.

Emerging roles of tyrosine kinases in hepatic inflammatory diseases and therapeutic opportunities

Inflammation has been convicted of causing and worsening many liver diseases like acute liver failure, fibrosis, cirrhosis, fatty liver and liver cancer. Pattern recognition receptors (PRRs) like TLRs 4 and 9 localized on resident or recruited immune cells are well known cellular detectors of pathogen and damage-associated molecular patterns (PAMPs/DAMPs). Stimulation of these receptors generates the sterile and non-sterile inflammatory responses in the liver. When these responses are repeated, there will be a sustained liver injury that may progress to fibrosis and its outcomes. Crosstalk between inflammatory/fibrogenic-dependent streams and certain tyrosine kinases (TKs) has recently evolved in the context of hepatic diseases. Because of TKs increasing importance, their role should be elucidated to highlight effective approaches to manage the diverse liver disorders. This review will give a brief overview of types and functions of some TKs like BTK, JAKs, Syk, PI3K, Src and c-Abl, as well as receptors for TAM, PDGF, EGF, VEGF and HGF. It will then move to discuss the roles of these TKs in the regulation of the proinflammatory, fibrogenic and tumorigenic responses in the liver. Lastly, the therapeutic opportunities for targeting TKs in hepatic inflammatory disorders will be addressed. Overall, this review sheds light on the diverse TKs that have substantial roles in hepatic disorders and potential therapeutics modulating their activity.

Podoplanin-positive dilated lymphatic vessels in duodenum associates with three-month mortality in patients with cirrhosis

Dilated and dysfunctional gut lymphatic vessels (LVs) have been reported in experimental cirrhosis. Here, we studied LVs in duodenal (D2)-biopsies of liver cirrhosis patients and investigated the prognostic role of a LV marker, podoplanin (PDPN), in predicting the mortality of patients with cirrhosis. A prospective, single-center cohort study was performed in liver cirrhosis patients (n = 31) and matched healthy controls (n = 9). D2-biopsies were obtained during endoscopy procedure, immunostained with PDPN, and scored based on 1) intensity and 2) density of positively-stained LVs per high power field. Gut and systemic inflammation were estimated by quantifying duodenal CD3⁺ intraepithelial lymphocytes (IELs), CD68⁺ macrophages, and serum TNF-α and IL-6 levels, respectively. Gut permeability and inflammation as assessed by quantifying gene expression of TJP1, OCLN, TNF-α, and IL-6 in D2-biopsies. Gene expression of LV markers, PDPN (8-fold), and LYVE1 (3-fold) was enhanced in D2-biopsies of cirrhosis patients compared to control (p < 0.0001). The mean PDPN score in decompensated cirrhosis patients (6.91 ± 1.26, p < 0.0001) was significantly increased as compared to those with compensated (3.25 ± 1.60). PDPN score positively and significantly correlated with the number of IELs (r = 0.33), serum TNF-α (r = 0.35), and IL-6 (r = 0.48) levels, while inversely correlated with TJP1 expression (r = -0.46, p < 0.05 each). In Cox regression, the PDPN score was a significant and independent 3-month-mortality predictor in patients (HR: 5.61; 1.08-29.109; p = 0.04). The area under the curve for the PDPN score was 84.2, and cutoff value for predicting mortality was ≥6.5 with 100% sensitivity and 75% specificity. Collectively, dilated LVs with high PDPN expression in D2-biopsies is a characteristic feature of patients with decompensated cirrhosis. PDPN score correlates with enhanced gut and systemic inflammation and also associates with 3-month mortality in cirrhosis.

Baseline Severity and Inflammation Would Influence the Effect of Simvastatin on Clinical Outcomes in Cirrhosis Patients

BACKGROUND

Simvastatin administration to decompensated cirrhosis patients improved Child-Pugh (CP) at the end of a safety trial (EST).

AIM

To evaluate whether simvastatin reduces cirrhosis severity through a secondary analysis of the safety trial.

METHODS

Thirty patients CP class (CPc) CPc A (n = 6), CPc B (n = 22), and CPc C (n = 2) received simvastatin for one year.

PRIMARY ENDPOINT

cirrhosis severity. Secondary endpoints: health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and hospitalizations for cirrhosis complications.

RESULTS

Cirrhosis severity decreased baseline versus EST only across CP score (7.3 ± 1.3 versus 6.7 ± 1.7, P = 0.041), and CPc: 12 patients lessened from CPc B to CPc A, and three patients increased from CPc A to CPc B (P = 0.029). Due to cirrhosis severity changes and differences in clinical outcomes, 15 patients completed the trial as CPc A_EST and another 15 as CPc B/C. At baseline, CPc A_EST showed greater albumin and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol concentrations than CPc B/C (P = 0.036 and P = 0.028, respectively). Comparing EST versus baseline, only in CPc A_EST, there was a reduction in white-cell blood (P = 0.012), neutrophils (P = 0.029), monocytes (P = 0.035), and C-reactive protein (P = 0.046); an increase in albumin (P = 0.011); and a recovery in HRQoL (P < 0.030). Finally, admissions for cirrhosis complications decreased in CPc A_EST versus CPc B/C (P = 0.017).

CONCLUSIONS

Simvastatin would reduce cirrhosis severity only in CPc B at baseline in a suitable protein and lipid milieu, possibly due to its anti-inflammatory effects. Furthermore, only in CPc A_EST would improve HRQoL and reduce admissions by cirrhosis complications. However, as these outcomes were not primary endpoints, they require validation.

Dysregulated biomarkers of innate and adaptive immunity predict infections and disease progression in cirrhosis

Background & Aims

Cirrhosis-associated immune dysfunction (CAID) affects both innate and adaptive immunity. This study investigated the complement system, immunoglobulins, and acute-phase proteins and their prognostic relevance in patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD).

Methods

Patients with ACLD (hepatic venous pressure gradient [HVPG] ≥6 mmHg) but without acute decompensation/infections were characterised by HVPG and by clinical EASL stages: compensated (cACLD; S0-2) vs. decompensated ACLD (dACLD) with previous variceal bleeding (S3), non-bleeding decompensation (S4), or further decompensation (S5). Complement factors (C3c, C4, CH50), immunoglobulins (IgA, IgM, IgG, IgG1-4), acute-phase proteins and systemic inflammation biomarkers (white blood cells, C-reactive protein, IL-6, procalcitonin) were measured.

Results

A total of 245 patients (median model for end-stage liver disease score: 11 [9-15], median HVPG: 17 [12-21] mmHg) were included with 150 (61%) presenting dACLD. Complement levels and activity significantly decreased in dACLD substages S4 and S5 (p <0.001). Total IgA/IgM/IgG and IgG1-4 subtype levels increased in patients with dACLD (all p <0.05). Complement and immunoglobulin levels correlated negatively and positively, respectively, with systemic inflammation (all p <0.05). High IgG-1 (adjusted hazard ratio per 100 mg/dl: 1.12, 1.04-1.19, p = 0.002) and IL-6 (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.03, 1.00-1.05, p = 0.023) levels predicted the development of infections during follow-up. High IgA (stratified by median; log-rank p <0.001), high IgG1 (log-rank p = 0.043) and low C3c (log-rank p = 0.003) indicated a higher risk of first/further decompensation or liver-related death (composite endpoint). Next to HVPG and IL-6, low C3c (adjusted hazard ratio per mg/dl: 0.99, 0.97-0.99, p = 0.040) remained independently associated with the composite endpoint on multivariate Cox regression analysis.

Conclusions

Complement levels and immunoglobulins may serve as surrogates of cirrhosis-associated immune dysfunction and associate with cirrhosis severity and systemic inflammation. Low complement C3c predicted decompensation and liver-related death, whereas high IgG-1 indicated an increased risk for infections.

Impact and Implications

Patients with cirrhosis are at increased risk for infections, which worsen their prognosis. We found a significant dysregulation of several essential components of the immune system that was linked to disease severity and indicated a risk for infections and other complications. Simple blood tests identify patients at particularly high risk, who may be candidates for preventive measures.

Clinical Trials Registration

This study is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03267615).

Gut-liver axis: barriers and functional circuits

The gut and the liver are characterized by mutual interactions between both organs, the microbiome, diet and other environmental factors. The sum of these interactions is conceptualized as the gut-liver axis. In this Review we discuss the gut-liver axis, concentrating on the barriers formed by the enterohepatic tissues to restrict gut-derived microorganisms, microbial stimuli and dietary constituents. In addition, we discuss the establishment of barriers in the gut and liver during development and their cooperative function in the adult host. We detail the interplay between microbial and dietary metabolites, the intestinal epithelium, vascular endothelium, the immune system and the various host soluble factors, and how this interplay establishes a homeostatic balance in the healthy gut and liver. Finally, we highlight how this balance is disrupted in diseases of the gut and liver, outline the existing therapeutics and describe the cutting-edge discoveries that could lead to the development of novel treatment approaches.

Determinants of Short-term Mortality in Liver Cirrhosis with Acute Kidney Injury: A Prospective Observational Study

Background: Acute kidney injury (AKI) occurs in 20-50% of patients with cirrhosis and is associated with a poor prognosis. The aim of the study is to identify the baseline factors affecting mortality in these patients at 30 and 90 days. Methods: We enrolled 117 patients with cirrhosis and AKI and followed them up prospectively. Results: Distribution of International club of ascites AKI stages was: 26 (22.03%) stage 1, 59 (50%) stage 2, and 33 (28%) stage 3. Mortalities at 30 and 90 days were 27 (22.8%) and 33 (27.9%) respectively. On multivariate analysis, variables affecting mortality at 30 days were serum creatinine level>2 mg% at 48 hours after AKI development (adjusted OR 7.93, P=0.02) and leukocytosis (total leucocyte count>11000/mm3 ) at admission (adjusted OR 6.54, P=0.002). Only leukocytosis at admission was a predictor of 90 days mortality (adjusted OR 4.76, P=0.01). Though not statistically significant, patients not responding to standard medical treatment had 3 times higher mortality at 30 days, while the maximum AKI stages (2 and 3) had eight times higher mortality at 90 days. Conclusion: In cirrhosis, AKI increases short-term mortality. High serum creatinine at 48 hours affects mortality at 30 days, while leukocytosis at baseline predicts mortality at 30 and 90 days. Progression to a higher AKI stage impacts prognosis.

Impact of ammonia levels on outcome in clinically stable outpatients with advanced chronic liver disease

Background & Aims

Ammonia levels predicted hospitalisation in a recent landmark study not accounting for portal hypertension and systemic inflammation severity. We investigated (i) the prognostic value of venous ammonia levels (outcome cohort) for liver-related outcomes while accounting for these factors and (ii) its correlation with key disease-driving mechanisms (biomarker cohort).

Methods

(i) The outcome cohort included 549 clinically stable outpatients with evidence of advanced chronic liver disease. (ii) The partly overlapping biomarker cohort comprised 193 individuals, recruited from the prospective Vienna Cirrhosis Study (VICIS: NCT03267615).

Results

(i) In the outcome cohort, ammonia increased across clinical stages as well as hepatic venous pressure gradient and United Network for Organ Sharing model for end-stage liver disease (2016) strata and were independently linked with diabetes. Ammonia was associated with liver-related death, even after multivariable adjustment (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 1.05 [95% CI: 1.00-1.10]; p = 0.044). The recently proposed cut-off (≥1.4 × upper limit of normal) was independently predictive of hepatic decompensation (aHR: 2.08 [95% CI: 1.35-3.22]; p <0.001), non-elective liver-related hospitalisation (aHR: 1.86 [95% CI: 1.17-2.95]; p = 0.008), and - in those with decompensated advanced chronic liver disease - acute-on-chronic liver failure (aHR: 1.71 [95% CI: 1.05-2.80]; p = 0.031). (ii) Besides hepatic venous pressure gradient, venous ammonia was correlated with markers of endothelial dysfunction and liver fibrogenesis/matrix remodelling in the biomarker cohort.

Conclusions

Venous ammonia predicts hepatic decompensation, non-elective liver-related hospitalisation, acute-on-chronic liver failure, and liver-related death, independently of established prognostic indicators including C-reactive protein and hepatic venous pressure gradient. Although venous ammonia is linked with several key disease-driving mechanisms, its prognostic value is not explained by associated hepatic dysfunction, systemic inflammation, or portal hypertension severity, suggesting direct toxicity.

Impact and implications

A recent landmark study linked ammonia levels (a simple blood test) with hospitalisation/death in individuals with clinically stable cirrhosis. Our study extends the prognostic value of venous ammonia to other important liver-related complications. Although venous ammonia is linked with several key disease-driving mechanisms, they do not fully explain its prognostic value. This supports the concept of direct ammonia toxicity and ammonia-lowering drugs as disease-modifying treatment.

Recompensation in Cirrhosis: Current Evidence and Future Directions

The natural history of cirrhosis has usually been conceptualized in the context of progression from compensated cirrhosis to subsequent stages of decompensation. While this unidirectional concept is the most common pathophysiological trajectory, there has been an emerging understanding of a subgroup of patients which undergo recompensation. While literature mostly based on transplant waitlist registries have indicated towards such a population who experience disease regression, the overall literature about this entity remains inexplicit. An effort to generate consensus on defining recompensation has been attempted which comes with its own nuances and limitations. We summarize the available literature on this emerging yet controversial concept of recompensation in cirrhosis and delve into future implications and impact on real-life practice.

Clinical and pathophysiological understanding of the hepatorenal syndrome: Still wrong or still not exactly right?

The hepatorenal syndrome (HRS) is one major extrahepatic complication of end-stage liver diseases. While circulatory dysregulation is considered as primary etiology for HRS, cirrhosis-related (systemic) inflammation and/or cardial dysfunction may also play a key pathogenic role in HRS development. Exclusion of other causes of acute kidney injury (AKI) is required for diagnosis of HRS-AKI by the definition of the International Club of Ascites. However, the pathophysiology of HRS is not understood completely and there are still limited therapeutic options. Reversibility of renal dysfunction after liver transplantation indicates that HRS-AKI is a functional disorder caused by altered cellular function. The interplay between systemic inflammation and the onset of kidney-related hypometabolism may have a key role and needs to be studied in depth. This minireview challenges simplified views of the HRS in the context of diagnostics and therapy stressing the need for further evidence to advance the knowledge on this syndrome.

Severity of systemic inflammation is the main predictor of ACLF and bleeding in individuals with acutely decompensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Hypercoagulability and hypofibrinolysis in acutely decompensated cirrhosis (AD) may be implicated in disease progression and haemostatic complications. We conducted a prospective study to: (1) characterise haemostatic alterations in AD; (2) evaluate whether such alterations can predict acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) and bleeding/thrombosis.

METHODS

Hospitalised individuals with AD were prospectively recruited and underwent an extensive haemostatic profiling including coagulation factors, thrombomodulin-modified thrombin generation assay with evaluation of endogenous thrombin potential (ETP; marker for plasmatic hypercoagulability), fibrinolytic factors, and plasmin-antiplasmin complex (fibrinolysis activation marker). Inflammation severity was assessed by C-reactive protein (CRP). In part 1 of the study, we compared haemostasis in AD vs. controls (stable decompensated and compensated cirrhosis). In part 2 of the study, we prospectively followed individuals with AD for 1 year and investigated predictors of ACLF and bleeding/thrombosis.

RESULTS

A total of 169 individuals with AD were recruited (median model for end-stage liver disease score 20; CLIF-C AD 54). Compared with controls, AD was associated with more pronounced hypercoagulability (ETP: 871 vs. 750 vs. 605 nmol/L per min; p <0.0001), without differences in fibrinolysis activation. During follow-up, 55 individuals developed ACLF. CLIF-C AD, CRP, and Child-Pugh were independently associated with ACLF. A predictive model combining these variables (Padua model) accurately identified individuals at higher risk of ACLF (AUROC 0.857; 95% CI 0.798-0.915; sensitivity 74.5%, specificity 83.3%). Notably, CRP and progression to ACLF, but not baseline coagulopathy, were associated with bleeding (n = 11); CRP and antifibrinolytic factor PAI-1 >50 ng/ml were associated with thrombosis (n = 14). The prognostic value of the Padua model was validated in an independent, bicentric European cohort (N = 301).

CONCLUSIONS

Inflammation severity, and not coagulopathy, is the most important predictor of ACLF and bleeding in AD. The Padua model can be used to identify individuals with AD at risk of ACLF.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

A better understanding of haemostasis in individuals with acutely decompensated cirrhosis may help to identify those at higher risk of progression and complications. In this prospective study, we found no significant association between alterations of haemostasis and cirrhosis progression, indicating that the assessment of haemostatic alterations is not useful to identify those at risk. However, we found that C-reactive protein (a simple blood test that reflects severity of inflammation) and severity of chronic liver disease itself (as assessed by specific scores) were associated with cirrhosis progression and development of bleeding complications. Therefore, we developed a simple predictive model - based on C-reactive protein and liver disease scores - that, if validated by independent studies, could be used in clinical practice to assist physicians in identifying individuals with decompensated cirrhosis at higher risk of disease progression and death (i.e. in whom to consider an expedited evaluation for liver transplantation).

Assessment of portal hypertension severity using machine learning models in patients with compensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

In individuals with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD), the severity of portal hypertension (PH) determines the risk of decompensation. Invasive measurement of the hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) is the diagnostic gold standard for PH. We evaluated the utility of machine learning models (MLMs) based on standard laboratory parameters to predict the severity of PH in individuals with cACLD.

METHODS

A detailed laboratory workup of individuals with cACLD recruited from the Vienna cohort (NCT03267615) was utilised to predict clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH, i.e., HVPG ≥10 mmHg) and severe PH (i.e., HVPG ≥16 mmHg). The MLMs were then evaluated in individual external datasets and optimised in the merged cohort.

RESULTS

Among 1,232 participants with cACLD, the prevalence of CSPH/severe PH was similar in the Vienna (n = 163, 67.4%/35.0%) and validation (n = 1,069, 70.3%/34.7%) cohorts. The MLMs were based on 3 (3P: platelet count, bilirubin, international normalised ratio) or 5 (5P: +cholinesterase, +gamma-glutamyl transferase, +activated partial thromboplastin time replacing international normalised ratio) laboratory parameters. The MLMs performed robustly in the Vienna cohort. 5P-MLM had the best AUCs for CSPH (0.813) and severe PH (0.887) and compared favourably to liver stiffness measurement (AUC: 0.808). Their performance in external validation datasets was heterogeneous (AUCs: 0.589-0.887). Training on the merged cohort optimised model performance for CSPH (AUCs for 3P and 5P: 0.775 and 0.789, respectively) and severe PH (0.737 and 0.828, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Internally trained MLMs reliably predicted PH severity in the Vienna cACLD cohort but exhibited heterogeneous results on external validation. The proposed 3P/5P online tool can reliably identify individuals with CSPH or severe PH, who are thus at risk of hepatic decompensation.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

We used machine learning models based on widely available laboratory parameters to develop a non-invasive model to predict the severity of portal hypertension in individuals with compensated cirrhosis, who currently require invasive measurement of hepatic venous pressure gradient. We validated our findings in a large multicentre cohort of individuals with advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) of any cause. Finally, we provide a readily available online calculator, based on 3 (platelet count, bilirubin, international normalised ratio) or 5 (platelet count, bilirubin, activated partial thromboplastin time, gamma-glutamyltransferase, choline-esterase) widely available laboratory parameters, that clinicians can use to predict the likelihood of their patients with cACLD having clinically significant or severe portal hypertension.

Biomarkers of hepatocellular synthesis in patients with decompensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Since hepatocytes produce majority of serum proteins, patients with cirrhosis display substantial alterations in the serum proteome. The aim of the current study was to characterize these changes and to study the prognostic utility of hepatocellular proteins available in routine clinical testing.

METHODS

Sera from 29 healthy controls and 43 patients with cirrhosis were subjected to untargeted proteomic analysis. Unsupervised hierarchical clustering was performed with Perseus software and R. Ingenuity pathway analysis (IPA) suggested upstream regulators that were validated in liver tissues. The behavior and prognostic usefulness of selected biomarkers was investigated in 61 controls and 285 subjects with decompensated cirrhosis.

RESULTS

Proteomics uncovered 65 and 16 hepatocellular serum proteins that are significantly downregulated or upregulated in patients with cirrhosis vs. controls. Hierarchical clustering revealed two main clusters and six sub-clusters. IPA identified HNF4α and IL-6 as the two major upstream regulators that were confirmed by hepatic gene expression analyses. Among pseudocholinesterase, transferrin, transthyretin, albumin, and apolipoprotein AI (Apo-AI), Apo-AI was the best predictor of 90-days transplant-free survival (AUROC 0.678; p = 0.0001) and remained an independent predictor in multivariable Cox independently of the presence of acute-on-chronic liver failure.

CONCLUSION

Our study reveals cirrhosis-associated changes in hepatocellular serum proteins and underlying transcription factors. Serum apolipoprotein AI may constitute a useful prognostic adjunct in patients with decompensated cirrhosis.

The systemic and hepatic alternative renin-angiotensin system is activated in liver cirrhosis, linked to endothelial dysfunction and inflammation

We aimed to assess the systemic and hepatic renin-angiotensin-system (RAS) fingerprint in advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). This prospective study included 13 compensated (cACLD) and 12 decompensated ACLD (dACLD) patients undergoing hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement. Plasma components (all patients) and liver-local enzymes (n = 5) of the RAS were analyzed using liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. Patients with dACLD had significantly higher angiotensin (Ang) I, Ang II and aldosterone plasma levels. Ang 1-7, a major mediator of the alternative RAS, was almost exclusively detectable in dACLD (n = 12/13; vs. n = 1/13 in cACLD). Also, dACLD patients had higher Ang 1-5 (33.5 pmol/L versus cACLD: 6.6 pmol/L, p < 0.001) and numerically higher Ang III and Ang IV levels. Ang 1-7 correlated with HVPG (ρ = 0.655; p < 0.001), von Willebrand Factor (ρ = 0.681; p < 0.001), MELD (ρ = 0.593; p = 0.002) and interleukin-6 (ρ = 0.418; p = 0.047). Considerable activity of ACE, chymase, ACE2, and neprilysin was detectable in all liver biopsies, with highest chymase and ACE2 activity in cACLD patients. While liver-local classical and alternative RAS activity was already observed in cACLD, systemic activation of alternative RAS components occurred only in dACLD. Increased Ang 1-7 was linked to severe liver disease, portal hypertension, endothelial dysfunction and inflammation.

The Baveno VII concept of cirrhosis recompensation

Traditionally, the progression from compensated to decompensated cirrhosis has been regarded as a point of no return in the natural history of the disease. However, this point of view is increasingly being challenged by new evidence on disease regression and hepatic recompensation upon suppression/cure of the underlying aetiology. In order to create a uniform definition of recompensated cirrhosis, standardised criteria have been set out by the Baveno VII consensus, which include the removal of the primary aetiological factor, the resolution of any decompensating events and a sustained improvement in hepatic function. Initial insights into the concept of hepatic recompensation come from previous studies, which have demonstrated that a cure/suppression of the underlying aetiology in patients with prior decompensation leads to significant clinical improvements and favourable outcomes and can even enable the delisting of transplant candidates. Nevertheless, future studies are required to shed light on the natural history of hepatic recompensation, assess modifying factors and potential non-invasive biomarkers of recompensation and explore the molecular mechanisms of disease regression.