Hospital Readmissions in Children with Pulmonary Hypertension: A Multi-Institutional Analysis

Cost-utility analysis of prenatal diagnosis of congenital cardiac diseases using deep learning

BACKGROUND

Deep learning (DL) is a new technology that can assist prenatal ultrasound (US) in the detection of congenital heart disease (CHD) at the prenatal stage. Hence, an economic-epidemiologic evaluation (aka Cost-Utility Analysis) is required to assist policymakers in deciding whether to adopt the new technology.

METHODS

The incremental cost-utility ratios (CUR), of adding DL assisted ultrasound (DL-US) to the current provision of US plus pulse oximetry (POX), was calculated by building a spreadsheet model that integrated demographic, economic epidemiological, health service utilization, screening performance, survival and lifetime quality of life data based on the standard formula: CUR = Increase in Intervention Costs - Decrease in Treatment costs Averted QALY losses of adding DL to US & POX US screening data were based on real-world operational routine reports (as opposed to research studies). The DL screening cost of 145 USD was based on Israeli US costs plus 20.54 USD for reading and recording screens.

RESULTS

The addition of DL assisted US, which is associated with increased sensitivity (95% vs 58.1%), resulted in far fewer undiagnosed infants (16 vs 102 [or 2.9% vs 15.4%] of the 560 and 659 births, respectively). Adoption of DL-US will add 1,204 QALYs. with increased screening costs 22.5 million USD largely offset by decreased treatment costs (20.4 million USD). Therefore, the new DL-US technology is considered "very cost-effective", costing only 1,720 USD per QALY. For most performance combinations (sensitivity > 80%, specificity > 90%), the adoption of DL-US is either cost effective or very cost effective. For specificities greater than 98% (with sensitivities above 94%), DL-US (& POX) is said to "dominate" US (& POX) by providing more QALYs at a lower cost.

CONCLUSION

Our exploratory CUA calculations indicate the feasibility of DL-US as being at least cost-effective.

Birth Weight and Gestational Age as Modifiers of Rehospitalization after Neonatal Intensive Care Unit Admission

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to assess interaction effects between gestational age and birth weight on 30-day unplanned hospital readmission following discharge from the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU).

STUDY DESIGN

This is a retrospective study that uses the study site's Children's Hospitals Neonatal Database and electronic health records. Population included patients discharged from a NICU between January 2017 and March 2020. Variables encompassing demographics, gestational age, birth weight, medications, maternal data, and surgical procedures were controlled for. A statistical interaction between gestational age and birth weight was tested for statistical significance.

RESULTS

A total of 2,307 neonates were included, with 7.2% readmitted within 30 days of discharge. Statistical interaction between birth weight and gestational age was statistically significant, indicating that the odds of readmission among low birthweight premature patients increase with increasing gestational age, whereas decrease with increasing gestational age among their normal or high birth weight peers.

CONCLUSION

The effect of gestational age on odds of hospital readmission is dependent on birth weight.

KEY POINTS

· Population included patients discharged from a NICU between January 2017 and March 2020.. · A total of 2,307 neonates were included, with 7.2% readmitted within 30 days of discharge.. · The effect of gestational age on odds of hospital readmission is dependent on birth weight..

Lung Transplantation for Pulmonary Vascular Disease in Children: A United Network for Organ Sharing Analysis

Pulmonary vascular disease (PVD) represents an important clinical indication for lung transplant (LTx) in infants, children, and adolescents. There is limited information on LTx outcomes in these patients. We explored LTx volumes and post-LTx survival in children with PVD compared to other diagnoses. The UNOS Registry was queried from 1989 to 2020 to identify first-time pediatric LTx recipients (< 18 yo). PVD was categorized as idiopathic pulmonary arterial hypertension (IPAH) and non-idiopathic arterial hypertension (non-IPAH) and compared to all other patients as other diagnoses. Univariate and multivariate regression models were performed. 984 pediatric LTx patients (593 before 2010 and 391 during/after 2010) were identified, of which 145 (14.7%) had PVD. There has been no significant change in annual rate of all LTxs over comparative eras. However, there has been a decrease in rate of LTxs for PVD patients. Children with PVD had similar survival to other LTx groups in the early era (p = 0.2) and the latter era (p = 0.9). Univariate Cox models, showed that LTx in patients with PVD was associated with a significantly less risk of mortality for children aged 6-11 years compared to younger and older cohorts (HR = 0.4 [0.17-0.98]; p = 0.045), whereas multivariate analysis showed a trend toward higher mortality in 11-17-year-olds (HR = 1.54 [0.97-2.45]; p = 0.06). For PVD patients, oxygen supplementation and ventilator support at LTx were associated with worse post-transplant survival (p = 0.029 and p = 0.01). There has been a decrease in LTx volume for pediatric patients with PVD in the modern era. Post-LTx outcomes for children with PVD are similar to those of other diagnoses in both eras, with children aged 6-11 years having the best survival. Given these findings, LTx should be considered for this patient population.

Lung Transplantation for Pulmonary Vascular Disease in Children: A United Network for Organ Sharing Analysis

Background

Pulmonary vascular disease (PVD) represents an important clinical indication for lung transplant (LTx) in infants, children, and adolescents. There is limited information on LTx outcomes in these patients. We explored LTx volumes and post-LTx survival in children with PVD compared to other diagnoses.

Methods

The UNOS Registry was queried from 1989-2020 to identify first-time pediatric LTx recipients (<18 yo). PVD was categorized as idiopathic pulmonary arterial hypertension (IPAH) and non-idiopathic arterial hypertension (non-IPAH) and compared to all other patients as other diagnoses. Univariate and multivariate regression models were performed.

Results

984 pediatric LTx patients (593 before 2010 and 391 during/after 2010) were identified, of which 145 (14.7%) had PVD. There has been no significant change in annual rate of all LTxs over comparative eras. However, there has been a decrease in rate of LTxs for PVD patients. Children with PVD had similar survival to other LTx groups in the early era (p=0.2) and the latter era (p=0.9). Univariate Cox models, showed that LTx in patients with PVD was associated with a significantly less risk of mortality for children aged 6-11 years compared to younger and older cohorts (HR=0.4 [0.17-0.98];p=0.045), whereas multivariate analysis showed a trend towards higher mortality in 11-17-year-olds (HR=1.54 [0.97-2.45];p=0.06). For PVD patients, oxygen supplementation and ventilator support at LTx were associated with worse post-transplant survival (p=0.029 and p=0.01).

Conclusions

There has been a decrease in LTx volume for pediatric patients with PVD in the modern era. Post-LTx outcomes for children with PVD are similar to those of other diagnoses in both eras, with children aged 6-11 years having the best survival. Given these findings, LTx should be considered for this patient population.

Outcomes for Children With Pulmonary Hypertension Undergoing Tracheostomy Placement: A Multi-Institutional Analysis

OBJECTIVES

To describe epidemiology, interventions, outcomes, and the health services experience for a cohort of children with pulmonary hypertension (PH) who underwent tracheostomy placement and to identify risk factors for inhospital mortality and 30-day readmissions.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study of the Pediatric Health Information System database.

SETTING

Thirty-seven freestanding U.S. children's hospitals.

PATIENTS

Patients 31 days to 21 years old who were discharged from the hospital between January 1, 2009, and December 31, 2017, with a diagnosis of primary or secondary PH, and who underwent tracheostomy placement. Outcomes were examined over a 2-year period from the time of discharge from the index encounter.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

There were 793 patients with PH who underwent tracheostomy placement. The overall inhospital mortality rate was 23.7%. Secondary PH due to congenital heart disease (CHD) was significantly associated with overall inhospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 2.36; 95% CI, 1.38-4.04). The rate of 30-day readmissions for patients over the 2-year follow-up period was 33.3%. Tracheostomy during the index encounter and the diagnosis of secondary PH due to CHD were significantly associated with lower rates of 30-day readmissions (adjusted OR, 0.34; 95% CI, 0.19-0.61; and adjusted OR, 0.43; 95% CI, 0.24-0.77, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

In the context of expanding utilization of tracheostomy and long-term ventilation, children with PH are among the highest risk cohorts for extended and repeated hospitalization and death. Tracheostomy placement during the index encounter was associated with fewer 30-day readmissions over the 2-year follow-up period. Further understanding of which subgroups may benefit from earlier intervention and which subgroups are at highest risk may offer important clinical insight when considering optimal timing of tracheostomy and may enhance informed decision-making for all stakeholders.

Explainable machine learning models for predicting 30-day readmission in pediatric pulmonary hypertension: A multicenter, retrospective study

Background

Short-term readmission for pediatric pulmonary hypertension (PH) is associated with a substantial social and personal burden. However, tools to predict individualized readmission risk are lacking. This study aimed to develop machine learning models to predict 30-day unplanned readmission in children with PH.

Methods

This study collected data on pediatric inpatients with PH from the Chongqing Medical University Medical Data Platform from January 2012 to January 2019. Key clinical variables were selected by the least absolute shrinkage and the selection operator. Prediction models were selected from 15 machine learning algorithms with excellent performance, which was evaluated by area under the operating characteristic curve (AUC). The outcome of the predictive model was interpreted by SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP).

Results

A total of 5,913 pediatric patients with PH were included in the final cohort. The CatBoost model was selected as the predictive model with the greatest AUC for 0.81 (95% CI: 0.77–0.86), high accuracy for 0.74 (95% CI: 0.72–0.76), sensitivity 0.78 (95% CI: 0.69–0.87), and specificity 0.74 (95% CI: 0.72–0.76). Age, length of stay (LOS), congenital heart surgery, and nonmedical order discharge showed the greatest impact on 30-day readmission in pediatric PH, according to SHAP results.

Conclusions

This study developed a CatBoost model to predict the risk of unplanned 30-day readmission in pediatric patients with PH, which showed more significant performance compared with traditional logistic regression. We found that age, LOS, congenital heart surgery, and nonmedical order discharge were important factors for 30-day readmission in pediatric PH.

Post-operative course of pulmonary artery pressure after complete atrioventricular canal defect repair

Complete atrioventricular canal defect is a CHD associated with intra-cardiac shunting of blood, which can lead to irreversible changes in pulmonary vascular resistance and pulmonary artery hypertension if unrepaired. Patients with Trisomy 21 are at risk for early development of pulmonary artery hypertension if left uncorrected.1,2.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study is to describe the evolution of pulmonary artery hypertension after repair of complete atrioventricular canal defect and to determine the time to normalisation of pulmonary artery pressure in both patients with and without Trisomy 21.

METHODS

This is a single centre, retrospective analysis of patients with complete atrioventricular canal defect admitted for surgical repair at the University of Maryland Medical Center from 2005 to 2015. T-test or Mann-Whitney test and Chi-Square or Fisher's exact tests were used to compare the two groups (patients with Trisomy 21 and those without). Repeated measures of analysis of variance and serial measurement analysis were performed.

RESULTS

Twenty-nine patients meeting the inclusion criteria underwent repair of complete atrioventricular defects during the study period. The right ventricular pressure estimate remained elevated over time and did not show a significant difference between the two groups. Right ventricular to systolic blood pressure ratios for all patients remained > 0.5 over the time periods assessed.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study suggests that in patients with complete atrioventricular canal defects, the right ventricular pressure remains elevated and does not normalise on echocardiograms performed up to one year after surgery, suggesting a sustained elevation in pulmonary vascular resistance.

Demographics and Risk Factors of Pediatric Pulmonary Hypertension Readmissions

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Pulmonary hypertension (PH) leads to significant morbidity and mortality in pediatric patients and increases the readmission rates for hospitalizations. This study evaluates the risk factors and comorbidities associated with an increase in 30-day readmissions among pediatric PH patients.

METHODS

National Readmission Database (NRD) 2017 was searched for patients less than 18 years of age who were diagnosed with PH based on the International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision (ICD-10). Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS) software v25.0 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY) was used for statistical analysis.

RESULTS

Of 5.52 million pediatric encounters, 10,501 patients met the selection criteria. The 30-day readmission rate of 14.43% (p < 0.001) was higher than hospitalizations from other causes {Odds Ratio (OR) 4.02 (3.84-4.20), p < 0.001}. The comorbidities of sepsis {OR 0.75 (0.64-0.89), p < 0.02} and respiratory infections {OR 0.75 (0.67-0.85), p < 0.001} were observed to be associated with lower 30-day readmissions. Patients who required invasive mechanical ventilation via endotracheal tube {OR 1.66 (1.4-1.96), p < 0.001} or tracheostomy tube {OR 1.35 (1.15-1.6), p < 0.001} had increased unplanned readmissions. Patients with higher severity of illness based on All Patients Refined Diagnosis Related Groups (APR-DRG) were more likely to get readmitted {OR 7.66 (3.13-18.76), p < 0.001}.

CONCLUSION

PH was associated with increased readmission rates compared to the other pediatric diagnoses, but the readmission rate in this study was lower than one previous pediatric study. Invasive mechanical ventilation, Medicaid insurance, higher severity of illness, and female gender were associated with a higher likelihood of readmission within 30 days.

Racial, ethnic, and socioeconomic disparities in paediatric critical care in the USA

In an era of tremendous medical advancements, it is important to characterise and address inequities in the provision of health care and in outcomes. There is a large body of evidence describing such disparities by race or ethnicity and socioeconomic position in critically ill adults; however, this important issue has received less attention in children and adolescents (aged ≤21 years). This Review presents a summary of the available evidence on disparities in outcomes in paediatric critical illness in the USA as a result of racism and socioeconomic privilege. The majority of evidence of racial and socioeconomic disparities in paediatric critical care originates from the USA and is retrospective, with only one prospective intervention-based study. Although there is mixed evidence of disparities by race or ethnicity and socioeconomic position in general paediatric intensive care unit admissions and outcomes in the USA, there are striking trends within some disease processes. Notably, there is evidence of disparities in management and outcomes for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest, asthma, severe trauma, sepsis, and oncology, and in families' perceptions of care. Furthermore, there is clear evidence that critical care research is limited by under-enrolment of participants from minority race or ethnicity groups. We advocate for rigorous research standards and increases in the recruitment and enrolment of a diverse range of participants in paediatric critical care research to better understand the disparities observed, including the effects of racism and poverty. A clearer understanding of when, where, and how such disparities affect patients will better enable the development of effective strategies to inform practice, interventions, and policy.

Intensive care management of right ventricular failure and pulmonary hypertension crises

Pulmonary hypertension (PH), an often unrelenting disease that carries with it significant morbidity and mortality, affects not only the pulmonary vasculature but, in turn, the right ventricle as well. The survival of patients with PH is closely related to the right ventricular function. Therefore, having an understanding of how to manage right ventricular failure (RVF) and acute pulmonary hypertensive crises is imperative for clinicians who encounter these patients. This review addresses the management of these patients in detail, addressing: (a) the pathophysiology of RVF, (b) intensive care monitoring of these patients in the intensive care unit, (c) imaging of the right ventricle, (d) intubation and mechanical ventilation, (e) inotrope and vasopressor selection, (f) pulmonary vasodilator use, (g) interventional and surgical procedures for the acutely failing right ventricle, and (h) mechanical support for RVF.