Predictors of mortality and morbidity for acute care surgery patients

Morbidity and Mortality of Neutropenic Patients in Visceral Surgery: A Narrative Review

Leukocytes are essential for the function of the immune system and cell–cell interaction in the human body, but hematological diseases as well as chemotherapeutic treatments due to cancer lead to occasionally or even permanent leukocyte deficiency. Normally, more than 50% of leukocytes are neutrophilic granulocytes, and leukopenia is, therefore, mostly characterized by a decrease in neutrophilic granulocytes. The consequence of neutropenia is increased susceptibility to infection, but also healing disorders are suggestable due to the disturbed cell–cell interaction. While there is no surgical treatment for leucocyte disorders, patients suffering from neutropenia are sometimes in need of surgery for other reasons. Less is known about the morbidity and mortality of this patients, which is why this narrative review critically summarizes the results of recent research in this particular field. The results of this review suggest that neutropenic patients in need of emergency surgery have a higher mortality risk compared to non-neutropenic patients. In contrast, in elective surgery, there was not a clear tendency for a higher mortality risk of neutropenic patients. The role of neutrophilic granulocytes in inflammation and immunity in surgical patients is emphasized by the results, but most of the evaluated studies showed methodological flaws due to small sample sizes or risk of bias. Further research has to evaluate the risk for postoperative complications, particularly of infectious complications such as surgical site infections, in neutropenic patients undergoing elective surgery, and should address the role of neutrophilic function in postoperative morbidity and mortality.

Acute abdomen in the immunocompromised patient: WSES, SIS-E, WSIS, AAST, and GAIS guidelines

Immunocompromised patients are a heterogeneous and diffuse category frequently presenting to the emergency department with acute surgical diseases. Diagnosis and treatment in immunocompromised patients are often complex and must be multidisciplinary. Misdiagnosis of an acute surgical disease may be followed by increased morbidity and mortality. Delayed diagnosis and treatment of surgical disease occur; these patients may seek medical assistance late because their symptoms are often ambiguous. Also, they develop unique surgical problems that do not affect the general population. Management of this population must be multidisciplinary.This paper presents the World Society of Emergency Surgery (WSES), Surgical Infection Society Europe (SIS-E), World Surgical Infection Society (WSIS), American Association for the Surgery of Trauma (AAST), and Global Alliance for Infection in Surgery (GAIS) joined guidelines about the management of acute abdomen in immunocompromised patients.

Mediterranean Diet and White Blood Cell Count-A Randomized Controlled Trial

We aimed to assess the effects of the antioxidant-rich Mediterranean diet (MedDiet) on white blood cell count. Our study population included participants in the PREvención con DIeta MEDiterránea study (average age 67 years old, 58% women, high cardiovascular risk). We assessed whether a MedDiet intervention enriched in extra-virgin olive oil or nuts, versus a low-fat control diet, modified the incidence of leukocytosis (>11 × 10⁹ leukocytes/L), mild leukopenia (<4.5 × 10⁹ leukocytes/L), or severe leukopenia (<3.5 × 10⁹ leukocytes/L) in individuals without the condition at baseline (n = 3190, n = 2925, and n = 3190, respectively). We also examined whether MedDiet modified the association between leukocyte count alterations and all-cause mortality. Both MedDiet interventions were associated with a lower risk of developing leukopenia (incidence rates: 5.06% in control diet, 3.29% in MedDiet groups combined; hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: 0.54 [0.36-0.80]) and severe leukopenia (incidence rates: 1.26% in control diet, 0.46% in MedDiet groups combined; hazard ratio: 0.25 [0.10-0.60]). High cumulative adherence to a MedDiet was linked to lower risk of leukocytosis (incidence rates: 2.08% in quartile 1, 0.65% in quartile 4; HR_Q4-Q1: 0.29 [0.085-0.99]) and attenuated the association between leukopenia and all-cause mortality (P-interaction = 0.032). In brief, MedDiet decreased the incidence of white blood cell count-related alterations in high cardiovascular risk individuals.

What can be learned from crude intensive care unit mortality? Methodological implications

PURPOSE

Demonstrate the practical range of information that can be obtained about ICU mortality/survival from limited administrative data.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Prospectively collected administrative data (length-of stay, survival/mortality, referring service) from a university medical center's General ICU was subjected to retrospective analysis to demonstrate ways of presenting and analyzing mortality/survival information.

RESULTS

16,022 patients (87,624 patient-days) admitted over 23 years were included. 28% of all deaths occurred on ICU day 1. When considering all admissions, mortality on ICU day 1 was 2%, while the overall crude mortality rate revealed that the chances of dying during an ICU stay was 8.6%. Mortality rates in the overall population steadily increased over ICU days 1-5, plateaued during days 6 to 50, decreasing after day 50. The general surgery subgroup had a similar pattern. This contrasted with the internal medicine subgroup where mortality steadily increased over the initial 14 ICU days then plateauing at rates of 40-50%.

INTERPRETATION

Simple calculations using the few variables found in administrative database enhanced information provided by the crude mortality rate and demonstrated that temporal patterns of mortality change as stay lengthens. These results highlight the limitations of just using overall crude mortality rates.

Patient centred variables with univariate associations with unplanned ICU admission: a systematic review

Background

Multiple predictive scores using Electronic Patient Record data have been developed for hospitalised patients at risk of clinical deterioration. Methods used to select patient centred variables for inclusion in these scores varies. We performed a systematic review to describe univariate associations with unplanned Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission with the aim of assisting model development for future scores that predict clinical deterioration.

Methods

Data sources were MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, CENTRAL and the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews. Included studies were published since 2000 describing an association between patient centred variables and unplanned ICU admission determined using univariate analysis. Two authors independently screened titles, abstracts and full texts against inclusion and exclusion criteria. DistillerSR (Evidence Partners, Canada, Ottawa, Ontario) software was used to manage the data and identify duplicate search results. All screening and data extraction forms were implemented within DistillerSR. Study quality was assessed using an adapted version of the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Variables were analysed for strength of association with unplanned ICU admission.

Results

The database search yielded 1520 unique studies; 1462 were removed after title and abstract review; 57 underwent full text screening; 16 studies were included. One hundred and eighty nine variables with an evaluated univariate association with unplanned ICU admission were described.

Discussion

Being male, increasing age, a history of congestive cardiac failure or diabetes, a diagnosis of hepatic disease or having abnormal vital signs were all strongly associated with ICU admission.

Conclusion

These findings will assist variable selection during the development of future models predicting unplanned ICU admission.

Trial registration

This study is a component of a larger body of work registered in the ISRCTN registry (ISRCTN12518261).

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12911-019-0820-1) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Predicting Postoperative Complications after Acute Care Surgery: How Accurate is the ACS NSQIP Surgical Risk Calculator?

The ACS NSQIP Surgical Risk Calculator (SRC) is an evidence-based clinical tool commonly used for evaluating postoperative risk. The goal of this study was to validate SRC-predicted complications by comparing them with observed outcomes in the acute care surgical setting. In this study, pre- and postoperative data from 1693 acute care surgeries (hernia repair, enterolysis, intestinal incision/excision and enterectomy, gastrectomy, debridement, colectomy, appendectomy, cholecystectomy, gastrorrhaphy, and incision and drainage of soft tissue, breast abscesses, and removal of foreign bodies) performed at a Level I trauma center over a five-year time period were abstracted. Predictions for any and serious complications were based on SRC were compared with observed outcomes using various measures of diagnostic. When evaluated as one group, the SRC had good discriminative power for predicting any and serious complications after acute care surgeries (Area Under the Curve (AUC) 0.79, 0.81). In addition, the SRC met Brier score requirements for an informative model overall. However, the predictive accuracy of the SRC varied for various procedures within the acute care patient population. For serious complications, the diagnostic measures ranged from an AUC of 0.61 and negative likelihood ratio of 0.716 for incision & drainage soft tissue to AUC of 0.91 and negative likelihood ratio of 0.064 for gastrorrhaphy. Length of stay was significantly underestimated by the SRC overall (8.56 days, P < 0.01) and for individual procedures. The SRC performs well at predicting complications after acute care surgeries overall; however, there is great variability in performance between procedure types. Further refinements in risk stratification may improve SRC predictions.

The value of acoustic respiratory rate monitoring in a patient with postoperative hemorrhage after thyroidectomy: a case report

Acoustic respiratory rate (RRa) monitoring is a non-invasive method of monitoring respiratory rate in spontaneously breathing individuals. The aim of this report is to highlight the clinical utility of this monitoring system in post-thyroidectomy patients by presenting a case of respiratory compromise due to post-thyroidectomy hematoma, in which the alarm of the respiratory rate monitor alerted the nursing staff about the complication. A 61-year-old woman who uneventfully underwent right thyroid lobectomy for adenomatous goiter under general anesthesia with endotracheal intubation was being monitored postoperatively using the RRa monitoring system. The alarm of the monitor suddenly indicated tachypnea, with an increase in respiratory rate from 8 to 30 breaths/min over less than 3 min, although with normal oxygenation (SaO₂ 99%). Physical examination revealed the presence of a hematoma due to postoperative bleeding, which was emergently treated surgically under general anesthesia with awake videolaryngoscopy-assisted endotracheal intubation, with adequate preparations for emergency tracheostomy, if required. Videolaryngoscopy before the intubation revealed mild laryngopharyngeal edema and tracheal displacement, although awake endotracheal intubation could be easily performed with a metallic tube. Thereafter, after anesthesia induction, the hematoma was drained, hemostasis was achieved, and the wound was closed after surgical drain insertion. The patient was extubated postoperatively without any further respiratory events. The information on respiratory rate disorders provided by RRa monitoring, including the tachypnea alarm, can contribute to early detection of postoperative respiratory complications and to avoiding life-threatening situations following certain operations, such as thyroidectomy.

Logistical factors associated with adverse outcomes following emergency surgery in an acute care surgical unit

PURPOSE

The Acute Care Surgical Unit at Groote Schuur Hospital was established in 2010 and is the first of its kind in Africa. The aim of this study was to describe the outcomes of emergency surgical cases, as well as determine the logistical factors associated with adverse outcomes following surgery within the unit.

METHODS

This study was a retrospective audit which reviewed the folders of adult patients who underwent an emergency surgical procedure from July 2016 to July 2017. The primary outcome was a major adverse event (AE) which was defined by a Clavien-Dindo score of 3-5. A number of logistical factors related to patient admission and operation were evaluated for association with outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 271 patients were included with a mean age of 47 years, with 48% females and 52% males. A major AE was recorded for 13% of patients. The following factors were found to be predictive of a major AE: referral from outside the hospital, urgent booking colour code, reoperation, and consultant most senior surgeon present during procedure. Patient admission/surgery performed outside of normal working hours, being booked for surgery on admission, as well as delay to surgery beyond colour code were not associated with a major AE.

CONCLUSION

Apart from the traditional clinical parameters, factors related to perioperative logistics may contribute to the risk of a major AE after emergency surgery and should be considered for inclusion in more comprehensive predictive models for adverse outcomes within an acute care surgery unit.

Comorbidities in the first 2 years after arthroscopic hip surgery: substantial increases in mental health disorders, chronic pain, substance abuse and cardiometabolic conditions

Objectives

We aimed to identify the rate of seven comorbidities (mental health disorders, chronic pain, substance abuse disorders, cardiovascular disorders, metabolic syndrome, systemic arthropathy and sleep disorders) that occurred within 2 years after hip arthroscopy.

Methods

Data from individuals (ages 18–50 years) undergoing arthroscopic hip surgery between 2004 and 2013 were collected from the Military Health System (MHS) Data Repository (MDR). The MDR captures all healthcare encounters in all settings and locations for individuals within the MHS. Person-level data over 36 months were pulled and aggregated. Seven comorbidities related to poor outcomes from musculoskeletal disorders (mental health disorders, chronic pain, substance abuse disorders, cardiovascular disorders, metabolic syndrome, systemic arthropathy and sleep disorders) were examined 12 months prior and 24 months after surgery. Changes in frequencies were calculated as were differences in proportions between presurgery and postsurgery.

Results

1870 subjects were identified (mean age 32.24 years; 55.5% men) and analysed. There were statistically significant increases (p<0.001) proportionally for all comorbidities after surgery. Relative to baseline, cases of mental health disorders rose 84%, chronic pain diagnoses increased 166%, substance abuse disorders rose 57%, cardiovascular disorders rose by 71%, metabolic syndrome cases rose 85.9%, systemic arthropathy rose 132% and sleep disorders rose 111%.

Conclusions

Major (potentially ‘hidden’) clinical comorbidities increased substantially after elective arthroscopic hip surgery when compared with preoperative status. These comorbidities appear to have been overlooked in major studies evaluating the benefits and risks of arthroscopic hip surgery.

Level of evidence

Prognostic, level III.

Post-operative serious adverse events in a mixed surgical population - a retrospective register study

BACKGROUND

The number of surgical procedures is increasing, and knowledge of surgical risk factors, post-operative mortality and serious adverse events (SAE) is essential. The aim with our study was to determine the risk of a composite outcome of post-operative: death; myocardial infarction; pulmonary embolism; stroke; gastrointestinal bleeding; dialysis or reoperation.

METHODS

Data of surgical procedures in the period from January 1, 2012 to June 30, 2012 were retrieved from the Danish Anaesthesia Database (DAD). Follow-up of all patients undergoing hip or knee replacement, abdominal or gynaecological surgery was conducted retrieving data from The Danish Civil Registration System and the National Patient Register. Total observation time was from January 1, 2012 to June 6, 2013.

RESULTS

A total7449 adult patients were included in the final analysis. The risk of the composite outcome during a follow-up until 342 days after inclusion of the last patient was estimated to 8.3%, 95% Confidence Intervals (CI) (7.8-9.0), with a median observation time of 437 days (IQR 387-485, range 0-522). The risk of the composite outcome within 90- and 180-day follow-up of each patient was 4.8% (4.4-5.3) and 5.9% (5.4-6.5), respectively. Mortality within longest follow-up as well as 90 and 180 days post-operatively was 3.6% (3.1-4.0), 1.7% (1.4-2.0), and 2.2% (1.9-2.6), respectively.

CONCLUSION

We found a risk of one or more events in the composite outcome within 342 days after inclusion of the last patients of 8.3% (7.8-9.0). The results are applicable in estimations of adequate sample sizes in future clinical trials investigating effects of interventions on SAEs.

Risk factors for infectious readmissions following radical cystectomy: results from a prospective multicenter dataset

INTRODUCTION

Radical cystectomy (RC) is the gold standard treatment for muscle-invasive bladder cancer. This procedure has a high rate of perioperative complications, many of which are infectious in nature. The objective of our study was to evaluate demographic, intrinsic and extrinsic patient variables associated with developing readmission within 30 days due to infectious complications following RC.

METHODS

We acquired data available from the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program. We queried this dataset to identify all patients who underwent RC for muscle-invasive malignant disease (CPT 188.x) in 2012 based on CPT coding. Logistic regression analysis was used to investigate the relationship between preoperative variables and readmissions for infectious complications.

RESULTS

Of the 961 patients undergoing cystectomy for malignancy, 159 (17%) required readmission for any indications at a median of 16 days (interquartile range 13-22 days) postoperatively. We identified 71 of a total of 159 (45%) readmissions, which were due to infectious complications. Smoking was more prevalent in the patient population readmitted for an infectious complication compared with the patient population readmitted for a non-infectious complication (37% versus 25%; p = 0.03). Using logistic regression analysis smoking was associated with a significant risk for readmission due to an infectious cause (odds ratio 2.28, 95% confidence interval 1.82-2.97, p = 0.02). Readmission due to an infectious etiology was not associated with other perioperative factors including type of urinary diversion, sex, duration of operation, hypertension, or recent weight loss.

CONCLUSION

Readmission following RC is a common occurrence and infectious complications drive readmission in almost half of the cases. Current smoking was the only independent risk factor for an infectious readmission. Counseling patients in smoking cessation prior to the procedure may provide an avenue for quality improvement to limit readmissions.