Incremental Accuracy of Blood Biomarkers for Predicting Clinical Outcomes After Intracerebral Hemorrhage

Serum neuritin as a predictive biomarker of early neurological deterioration and poor prognosis after spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage: a prospective cohort study

Objective

Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is a common cerebrovascular disease characterized by high mortality and disability rates. Neuritin, significantly expressed in injured brain tissues, is implicated in the molecular mechanisms underlying acute brain injury. We aimed to explore the prognostic and predictive value of serum neuritin in ICH.

Methods

In this prospective cohort study, serum neuritin levels were measured at admission in 202 patients, on post-ICH days 1, 3, 5, 7, and 10 in 54 of these patients, and at the time of enrollment in 100 healthy controls. The Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) and hematoma volume were used as severity indicators. A poor prognosis was defined as a modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score of 3-6 at 90 days after ICH. END was defined as a decrease of ≥2 points in the GCS score within 24 h of admission. A multivariate logistic regression model was used to assess the independent relationships between serum neuritin levels, END, and poor prognosis.

Results

Serum neuritin levels were significantly increased at the time of patient admission, continued to rise on day 1, peaked on day 3, and then gradually diminished from day 5 until day 10. The levels remained substantially higher in patients compared to healthy controls throughout the 10-day period. The levels were independently related to GCS scores and hematoma volume. In subgroup analyses, the levels showed a linear relationship with the likelihood of experiencing END and poor prognosis at the 90-day mark after ICH. Additionally, the levels were independently associated with END, ordinal mRS scores, and poor prognosis. Under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, serum neuritin levels effectively predicted both END and poor prognosis. Two models incorporating GCS, hematoma volume, and serum neuritin levels were developed and represented using two nomograms separately to estimate END risks and poor prognosis. These models demonstrated clinical efficiency, stability, and validity in ROC, calibration, and decision curve analyses. Internal validation of the models was conducted using a randomly extracted subset of 101 patients. Furthermore, two specific weighted scoring systems were developed to optimize clinical prediction of poor prognosis and END after ICH.

Conclusion

Elevated serum neuritin levels are strongly associated with disease severity, END, and 90-day poor neurological outcomes following ICH, establishing serum neuritin as a potential prognostic biomarker for ICH.

Prognostic biomarkers of intracerebral hemorrhage identified using targeted proteomics and machine learning algorithms

Early prognostication of patient outcomes in intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is critical for patient care. We aim to investigate protein biomarkers' role in prognosticating outcomes in ICH patients. We assessed 22 protein biomarkers using targeted proteomics in serum samples obtained from the ICH patient dataset (N = 150). We defined poor outcomes as modified Rankin scale score of 3-6. We incorporated clinical variables and protein biomarkers in regression models and random forest-based machine learning algorithms to predict poor outcomes and mortality. We report Odds Ratio (OR) or Hazard Ratio (HR) with 95% Confidence Interval (CI). We used five-fold cross-validation and bootstrapping for internal validation of prediction models. We included 149 patients for 90-day and 144 patients with ICH for 180-day outcome analyses. In multivariable logistic regression, UCH-L1 (adjusted OR 9.23; 95%CI 2.41-35.33), alpha-2-macroglobulin (aOR 5.57; 95%CI 1.26-24.59), and Serpin-A11 (aOR 9.33; 95%CI 1.09-79.94) were independent predictors of 90-day poor outcome; MMP-2 (aOR 6.32; 95%CI 1.82-21.90) was independent predictor of 180-day poor outcome. In multivariable Cox regression models, IGFBP-3 (aHR 2.08; 95%CI 1.24-3.48) predicted 90-day and MMP-9 (aOR 1.98; 95%CI 1.19-3.32) predicted 180-day mortality. Machine learning identified additional predictors, including haptoglobin for poor outcomes and UCH-L1, APO-C1, and MMP-2 for mortality prediction. Overall, random forest models outperformed regression models for predicting 180-day poor outcomes (AUC 0.89), and 90-day (AUC 0.81) and 180-day mortality (AUC 0.81). Serum biomarkers independently predicted short-term poor outcomes and mortality after ICH. Further research utilizing a multi-omics platform and temporal profiling is needed to explore additional biomarkers and refine predictive models for ICH prognosis.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, white blood cell, and C-reactive protein predicts poor outcome and increased mortality in intracerebral hemorrhage patients: a meta-analysis

Objective

Inflammation participates in the pathology and progression of secondary brain injury after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). This meta-analysis intended to explore the prognostic role of inflammatory indexes, including neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), white blood cell (WBC), and C-reactive protein (CRP) in ICH patients.

Methods

Embase, PubMed, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library were searched until June 2023. Two outcomes, including poor outcome and mortality were extracted and measured. Odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were presented for outcome assessment.

Results

Forty-six studies with 25,928 patients were included in this meta-analysis. The high level of NLR [OR (95% CI): 1.20 (1.13-1.27), p < 0.001], WBC [OR (95% CI): 1.11 (1.02-1.21), p = 0.013], and CRP [OR (95% CI): 1.29 (1.08-1.54), p = 0.005] were related to poor outcome in ICH patients. Additionally, the high level of NLR [OR (95% CI): 1.06 (1.02-1.10), p = 0.001], WBC [OR (95% CI): 1.39 (1.16-1.66), p < 0.001], and CRP [OR (95% CI): 1.02 (1.01-1.04), p = 0.009] were correlated with increased mortality in ICH patients. Nevertheless, PLR was not associated with poor outcome [OR (95% CI): 1.00 (0.99-1.01), p = 0.749] or mortality [OR (95% CI): 1.00 (0.99-1.01), p = 0.750] in ICH patients. The total score of risk of bias assessed by Newcastle-Ottawa Scale criteria ranged from 7-9, which indicated the low risk of bias in the included studies. Publication bias was low, and stability assessed by sensitivity analysis was good.

Conclusion

This meta-analysis summarizes that the high level of NLR, WBC, and CRP estimates poor outcome and higher mortality in ICH patients.

Association between circulating inflammatory biomarkers and functional outcome or perihaematomal oedema after ICH: a systematic review & meta-analysis

Background

Currently, there are no specific medical treatments for intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH), but the inflammatory response may provide a potential route to treatment. Given the known effects of acute brain injury on peripheral immunity, we hypothesised that inflammatory biomarkers in peripheral blood may be associated with clinical outcome following ICH, as well as perihaematomal oedema (PHO), which is an imaging marker of the neuroinflammatory response.

Methods

We searched OVID Medline and EMBASE on 07 April 2021 for studies of humans with ICH measuring an inflammatory biomarker in peripheral blood and PHO or clinical outcome. Risk of bias was assessed both by using a scale comprising features of the Newcastle-Ottawa Assessment Scale, STROBE-ME and REMARK guidelines, and for studies included in meta-analysis, also by the QUIPS tool.We used random effects meta-analysis to pool standardised mean differences (SMD) if ≥1 study quantified the association between identical biomarkers and measures of PHO or functional outcome.

Results

Of 8,615 publications, 16 examined associations between 21 inflammatory biomarkers and PHO (n=1,299 participants), and 93 studies examined associations between ≥1 biomarker and clinical outcome (n=17,702 participants). Overall, 20 studies of nine biomarkers (n=3,199) met criteria for meta-analysis of associations between inflammatory biomarkers and clinical outcome. Death or dependency (modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 3‒6) 90 days after ICH was associated with higher levels of fibrinogen (SMD 0.32; 95%CI [0.04, 0.61]; p=0.025), and high mobility group box protein 1 (HMGB1) (SMD 1.67; 95%CI [0.05, 3.30]; p=0.04). Higher WBC was associated with death or dependency at 90 days (pooled SMD 0.27; 95% CI [0.11, 0.44]; p=0.001; but the association was no longer significant when the analysis was restricted to studies with a low risk of bias (pooled SMD 0.22; 95% CI -0.04-0.48). Higher CRP seemed to be associated with death or dependency at 90 days (pooled SMD 0.80; 95% CI [0.44, 1.17]; p<0.0001) but this association was no longer significant when adjusted OR were pooled (OR 0.99 (95% CI 0.98-1.01)).

Conclusions

Higher circulating levels of, fibrinogen and HMGB1 are associated with poorer outcomes after ICH. This study highlights the clinical importance of the inflammatory response to ICH and identifies additional research needs in determining if these associations are mediated via PHO and are potential therapeutic targets.

Registration

PROSPERO ( CRD42019132628; 28/05/2019).

Usefulness of Serum Translocator Protein as a Potential Predictive Biochemical Marker of Three-Month Cognitive Impairment After Acute Intracerebral Hemorrhage: A Prospective Observational Cohort Study

Background

Translocator protein (TSPO) is a biomarker of neuroinflammation and brain injury. This study aimed to ascertain the potential of serum TSPO as a predictor of cognitive impairment after acute intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH).

Methods

In this prospective observational cohort study, 276 patients with supratentorial ICH were randomly assigned to two groups (184 patients in the study group and 92 in the validation group) in a 2:1 ratio. Serum TSPO levels were gauged at admission, and cognitive status was assessed using the Montreal Cognitive Assessment Scale (MoCA) post-stroke 3 months. A MoCA score of < 26 was considered indicative of cognitive impairment.

Results

Serum TSPO levels were inversely correlated with MoCA scores (ρ=-0.592; P<0.001). Multivariate linear regression analysis showed that serum TSPO levels were independently associated with MoCA scores (β, -0.934; 95% confidence interval (CI), -1.412--0.455; VIF, 1.473; P<0.001). Serum TSPO levels were substantially higher in patients with cognitive impairment than in the remaining patients (median, 2.7 versus 1.6 ng/mL; P<0.001). Serum TSPO levels were linearly correlated with the risk of cognitive impairment under a restricted cubic spline (P=0.325) and independently predicted cognitive impairment (odds ratio, 1.589; 95% CI, 1.139-2.216; P=0.016). Subgroup analysis showed that the relationship between serum TSPO levels and cognitive impairment was not markedly influenced by other parameters, such as age, sex, drinking, smoking, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, body mass index, and dyslipidemia (all P for interaction > 0.05). The model, which contained serum TSPO, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale scores and hematoma volume, performed well under the receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curve and decision curve, and using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test. This model was validated in the validation group.

Conclusion

Serum TSPO level upon admission after ICH was independently associated with cognitive impairment, substantializing serum TSPO as a reliable predictor of post-ICH cognitive impairment.

Association of Homocysteine with Acute Stroke and Its Subtypes in the Chinese Population

Purpose

Homocysteine (Hcy) is recognized as a risk factor for stroke. Our study examined the relationship between plasma Hcy levels and stroke, along with its subtypes, among Chinese patients who experienced an acute stroke episode.

Patients and Methods

We retrospectively enrolled patients with acute stroke and age- and sex-matched healthy controls admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University from October 2021 to September 2022. Ischemic stroke subtypes were classified using the modified TOAST criteria. Multivariate logistic regression models were employed to probe the associations of plasma Hcy levels with total stroke, ischemic stroke and its subtypes, and hypertensive intracerebral hemorrhage (HICH), and the correlation between plasma Hcy levels and the National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS).

Results

The mean age of the total group was 63 years, with women representing 30.6% (246 individuals). Elevated Hcy levels were significantly associated with total stroke (OR 1.054, 95% CI: 1.038-1.070), HICH (OR 1.040, 95% CI: 1.020-1.060), ischemic stroke (OR 1.049, 95% CI: 1.034-1.065), and the TOAST subtypes of ischemic stroke in large-artery atherosclerosis (LAA) (OR 1.044, 95% CI: 1.028-1.062) and small-artery occlusion (SAO) (OR 1.035, 95% CI: 1.018-1.052), but not with cardioembolic (CE) stroke. Moreover, only in the case of SAO stroke were the Hcy levels positively correlated with the NIHSS score (B=0.030, 95% CI: 0.003-0.056, P=0.030).

Conclusion

Plasma Hcy levels were found to be positively correlated with the risk of stroke, particularly in the context of LAA, SAO stroke, and HICH. Additionally, Hcy levels demonstrated a positive correlation with stroke severity in patients presenting with SAO stroke. These findings suggest potential clinical implications in stroke prevention, particularly for ischemic stroke (LAA, SAO subtypes) and HICH by employing homocysteine-lowering therapies. Future investigations are warranted to fully elucidate these associations.

The role of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein serum levels in the prognosis for patients with stroke: a meta-analysis

Background

The impact of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) as a biomarker of inflammation on the prognosis of stroke patients remains controversial, this study was conducted to evaluate the prognostic value of hs-CRP levels for patients with stroke.

Methods

PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases were searched from inception to October 28, 2022. Outcome measures were all-cause mortality, recurrent stroke, and poor prognosis. The relationship between the highest versus lowest levels of hs-CRP or per unit increment and outcomes as measured by risk ratio (RR) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI).

Results

A total of 39 articles were eligible for meta-analysis. High hs-CRP levels at admission were associated with mortality among patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) [RR = 3.84, 95% CI (2.41 ~ 6.111); p < 0.001], risk of recurrent stroke [RR = 1.88, 95%CI (1.41 ~ 2.52); p < 0.001], and poor prognosis [RR = 1.77, 95% CI (1.59 ~ 1.97); p < 0.001]. The risk ratios for the association of per unit increase in hs-CRP levels with mortality, risk of recurrent stroke, and poor prognosis were as follows, respectively: 1.42 [95% CI (1.19-1.69); p < 0.001], 1.03 [95% CI (1.01-1.04); p = 0.003], and 1.27 [95% CI (1.10-1.47); p = 0.001]. For hemorrhagic stroke (HS), the risk ratios (RR) for the highest versus the lowest (reference) category of hsCRP or per unit increment to all-cause mortality were 4.36 [95% CI (1.38-13.73); p = 0.012] and 1.03 [95% CI (0.98-1.08); p = 0.238].

Conclusion

Hs-CRP levels are strongly associated with mortality, risk of stroke recurrence and poor prognosis in stroke patients. Therefore, hs-CRP levels may contribute to the prognosis prediction of these patients.

Low estimated glomerular filtration rate explains the association between hyperhomocysteinemia and in-hospital mortality among patients with ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack or intracerebral hemorrhage: Results from the Chinese Stroke Center Alliance

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the association between hyperhomocysteinemia (HHcy) and in-hospital mortality following ischemic stroke (IS), transient ischemic attack (TIA), or intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH).

METHODS

Data on patients with ischemic cerebrovascular disease (IS/TIA) or ICH enrolled in the Chinese Stroke Center Alliance (CSCA) from 2015 to 2019 were extracted. Patient characteristics and in-hospital mortality were analyzed and multiple adjusted logistic regression analyses performed to investigate the association between blood tHcy (total homocysteine) and in-hospital mortality in patients with HHcy (tHcy ⩾ 15 µmol) and patients with normohomocysteinemia (nHcy) (tHcy < 15 µmol).

RESULTS

A total of 823,622 participants were included. Mean (SD) age was 65.9 (12.1), and 62.5% (n = 514,888) were male. A total of 379,807 (46.0%) patients were identified as having HHcy, and 70,364 (8.5%) patients had an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 60 mL/min/1.73 m². An eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m² was the strongest independent risk factor for HHcy in both patients with IS/TIA (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 2.67, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.49-2.86), and those with ICH (2.94, 2.46-3.50). On multivariable logistic regression, after adjusting for potential confounding factors, HHcy was associated with in-hospital mortality (aOR: 1.25, 95% CI: 1.13-1.37 for patients with IS/TIA; aOR: 1.40, 95% CI: 1.12-1.76 for patients with ICH). However, after additionally adjusting for eGFR, this association disappeared among patients with both IS/TIA (aOR: 1.09, 95% CI: 0.99-1.20) and those with ICH (aOR: 1.17, 9% CI: 0.96-1.43).

CONCLUSION

HHcy was associated with in-hospital mortality among the patients with IS/TIA or ICH but this association disappeared after controlling for eGFR, suggesting HHcy was acting as a marker of poor renal function which itself was the predictor of poor outcome. Our results suggest the prevention and management of renal impairment may be an important measure in the reduction of mortality in patients with HHcy after IS/TIA or ICH.

Inhibitors of early mobilization in the acute phase of intracerebral hemorrhage: A retrospective observational study

OBJECTIVES

The association between early mobilization and functional prognosis in the acute phase of intracerebral hemorrhage has been reported, but only a few studies have investigated the inhibitors of early mobilization in the acute phase of intracerebral hemorrhage. This study aimed to investigate the inhibitors of early mobilization.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The study enrolled 322 patients with intracerebral hemorrhage. In the early mobilization group, mobilization was started within 72 h from onset, and in the delayed mobilization group, mobilization was started at or after 72 h from onset. The association between the start of mobilization timing and baseline characteristics was investigated using univariate and multivariate analyses to clarify the inhibitors of early mobilization in the acute phase of intracerebral hemorrhage.

RESULTS

Significant differences between the early mobilization and delayed mobilization groups were observed in the lesion site, leukocyte count at admission, neutrophil count at admission, C-reactive protein level at admission, surgery, use of mechanical ventilation, consciousness level at admission, hematoma volume, and hematoma growth. In the multiple logistic regression analysis, five items were adopted, namely, low consciousness level at admission, lesion below the tent, surgery, C-reactive protein at admission, and hematoma growth.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, low consciousness level at admission, lesion below the tent, surgery, C-reactive protein level at admission, and hematoma growth affected delayed mobilization. Therefore, it is recommended to judge the start of mobilization timing by a systematic evidenced-based assessment for each case.

Homocysteine and Clinical Outcomes in Intracerebral Hemorrhage Patients: Results from the China Stroke Center Alliance

OBJECTIVE

Elevated homocysteine (Hcy) levels play a detrimental role in ischemic stroke. Acute spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) accounts for nearly 25% of all stroke cases. However, the influence of Hcy levels and ICH severity on clinical outcomes is unclear.

PARTICIPANTS AND STUDY LOCATION

Data were obtained from 85,705 ICH patients enrolled in the China Stroke Center Alliance (CSCA) study, a national, hospital-based, multicenter, voluntary, quality assessment and improvement initiative performed in China. Patients were divided into high and normal Hcy groups according to their Hcy levels observed at admission.

OUTCOME MEASURES

The outcome indices included severe ICH, in-hospital mortality, and a poor functional outcome at discharge. Multivariable logistic regression was used to analyze the association of different Hcy levels with outcomes.

RESULTS

The final analysis included 55,793 ICH patients. High homocysteine (HHcy) levels had higher adjusted odds ratios for severe ICH (OR 1.09, 95% CI 1.01-1.10, P<0.0001) and a poor functional outcome at discharge (OR 1.06, 95% CI 1.01-1.10, P=0.0100) compared with normal Hcy levels. There was no significant difference between HHcy and in-hospital mortality. In the subgroup analysis, stratified by sex and history of hypertension, significant interactions were observed between HHcy and severe ICH (P for interactions was 0.0138 and 0.0120, respectively). HHcy levels exhibited greater associations for severe ICH in female patients (OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.02-1.12) and patients without hypertension (OR 1.20, 95% CI 1.09-1.33).

CONCLUSION

An elevated Hcy level exhibited significant association with severe ICH on admission and a poor functional outcome at discharge. The relationship between HHcy and ICH severity on admission was more robust in female patients and patients without hypertension. Hcy might be a valuable biomarker for ICH patients to predict severity at onset and functional outcome at discharge.

Plasma SIRT3 as a Biomarker of Severity and Prognosis After Acute Intracerebral Hemorrhage: A Prospective Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

SIRT3 may act as a brain-protective factor. We measured the plasma SIRT3 levels of patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and further determined the relationship between plasma SIRT3 and clinical outcome plus severity of ICH.

METHODS

In this prospective cohort study, we quantified plasma SIRT3 levels in 105 ICH patients and 72 healthy controls. Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score and hematoma volume were used to assess severity. Poor prognosis was defined as a Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS) score of 1-3 at 90 days after ICH.

RESULTS

Plasma SIRT3 levels were markedly lower in patients than in controls (median, 10.19 versus 13.17 ng/mL; P<0.001). Among all patients, plasma SIRT3 levels were independently correlated with hematoma volume (beta, -0.098; 95% confidence interval, -0.158--0.039; t, -3.282; P=0.001) and GCS score (beta, 0.465; 95% confidence interval, 0.107-0.823; t, 2.576; P=0.011). A total of 46 cases had a poor prognosis at post-stroke 90 days. The plasma levels of SIRT3 significantly decreased in patients with a poor prognosis, compared with those with a good prognosis (median, 6.1 versus 11.2 ng/mL; P<0.001). Plasma SIRT3 was an independent predictor for 90-day poor prognosis of patients (odds ratio, 0.837; 95% confidence interval, 0.708-0.990; P=0.038). Plasma SIRT3 levels distinguished the development of poor prognosis with area under receiver operating characteristic curve at 0.801 (95% confidence interval, 0.711-0.872) and plasma SIRT3 levels ≤7.38 ng/mL predicted poor prognosis with 63.04% sensitivity and 93.22% specificity.

CONCLUSION

Declined plasma SIRT3 levels are highly associated with hemorrhagic severity and poor 90-day outcome, thus suggesting that plasma SIRT3 may serve as a potential prognostic biomarker for ICH.