Cost-effectiveness analysis of a universal infant immunization program with meningococcal C conjugate vaccine in Brazil

Surveillance of invasive meningococcal disease in southern Brazil: considerations of an immunization programme

Invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) is a major cause of meningitis and septicaemia worldwide. Changes in serogroup predominance contribute to the unpredictable nature of the disease, with significant health impact. This study aimed to determine the epidemiological profile of IMD in Rio Grande do Sul, Santa Catarina and Paraná, three states in southern Brazil. We analysed 1024 IMD cases that had been confirmed by clinical and/or laboratory criteria and reported to the national information system for notifiable diseases between 2015 and 2019. Additionally, we calculated the proportions of serogroup and incidence by age. Of 1024 cases, 562 (55 %) were caused by serogroup C. Furthermore, serogroup W was responsible for almost half of the cases among children younger than 5 years between 2017 and 2018, with an overall incidence of 1.5 cases/100 000 infants. IMD remains a significant healthcare issue in southern Brazil despite reduced serogroup C incidence after the introduction of the meningococcal C conjugate vaccine into the childhood immunization programme. Changes in disease epidemiology were observed, and serogroup W was the most common serogroup among children younger than 5 years in 2017 and 2018. Although future cost-effectiveness studies are necessary, our results could have future implications for meningococcal vaccination programmes.

Impact of meningococcal C conjugate vaccine on incidence of invasive meningococcal disease in an 18-year time-series in Brazil and in distinct Brazilian regions

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the impact of meningococcal C conjugate (MCC) vaccine in Brazil.

METHODS

Ecological study assessing all invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) and meningococcal C disease (MenC) cases reported in all age groups, from 2001 to 2019. MCC was implemented in 2010. Data were collected on the DATASUS platform. Joinpoint regression was performed to assess the Annual Percent Change (APC) of the incidence rate.

RESULTS

IMD incidence decreased in all Brazilian regions from 2001 onwards, without apparent additional reduction attributable to MCC vaccine in the North, Northeast and South. The higher and statistically significant APC reduction in all age groups, in the North and South, and in children <5 years, in the Northeast, occurred between 2001-2011 (-15.4%), 2004-2012 (-14.4%), and 2001-2013 (-10.3%), respectively, before MCC vaccine implementation. Annual incidence of MenC in under 5 years significantly fell in the North (-6.8%; 2011-2018), Southeast (-40.6%; 2010-2015) and Midwest (-48.6%; 2010-2014), which may be attributable to MCC implementation.

CONCLUSION

IMD and MenC behaved differently after MCC vaccine implementation in Brazil during this 18-year time-series analysis. This suggests that the control of IMD should be based on multiple public health care measures and considered on a regional basis.

Inclusion of Additional Unintended Consequences in Economic Evaluation: A Systematic Review of Immunization and Tuberculosis Cost-Effectiveness Analyses

OBJECTIVE

Our objective was to review economic evaluations of immunization and tuberculosis to determine the extent to which additional unintended consequences were taken into account in the analysis and to describe the methodological approaches used to estimate these, where possible.

METHODS

We sourced the vaccine economic evaluations from a previous systematic review by Nymark et al. (2009-2015) and searched PubMed/MEDLINE and Embase from 2015 to 2019 using the same search strategy. For tuberculosis economic evaluations, we extracted studies from 2009 to 2019 that were published in a previous review by Siapka et al. We followed Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidance. Studies were classified according to the categories and subcategories (e.g., herd immunity, non-specific effects, and labor productivity) defined in a framework identifying additional unintended consequences by Nymark and Vassall. Where possible, methods for estimating the additional unintended consequences categories and subcategories were described. We evaluated the reporting quality of included studies according to the Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards (CHEERS) extraction guideline.

RESULTS

We identified 177 vaccine cost-effectiveness analyses (CEAs) between 2009 and 2019 that met the inclusion criteria. Of these, 98 included unintended consequences. Of the total 98 CEAs, overall health consequence categories were included 73 times; biological categories: herd immunity 43 times; pathogen response: resistance 15 times; and cross-protection 15 times. For health consequences pertaining to the supply-side (health systems) categories, side effects were included five times. On the nonhealth demand side (intrahousehold), labor productivity was included 60 times. We identified 29 tuberculosis CEAs from 2009 to 2019 that met the inclusion criteria. Of these, six articles included labor productivity, four included indirect transmission effects, and one included resistance. Between 2009 and 2019, only 34% of tuberculosis CEAs included additional unintended consequences, compared with 55% of vaccine CEAs.

CONCLUSIONS

The inclusion of additional unintended consequences in economic evaluations of immunization and tuberculosis continues to be limited. Additional unintended consequences of economic benefits, such as those examined in this review and especially those that occur outside the health system, offer valuable information to analysts. Further work on appropriate ways to value these additional unintended consequences is still warranted.

Surveillance of invasive meningococcal disease in the south of Brazil: considerations of immunization programme

Invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) is a major cause of meningitis and septicaemia worldwide. The switches in serogroup predominance contribute to the unpredictable nature of the disease with significant health impacts. The aim of this study was to determine the epidemiological profile of IMD in Rio Grande do Sul, Santa Catarina and Paraná, three states in the south of Brazil. All meningitis cases confirmed by clinical and/or laboratory criteria notified to the national information system for notifiable diseases between 2015 and 2019 were analysed. Proportions of serogroup and incidence by age were calculated. A total of 17 894 cases of IMD were reported during this period. Of these, 9029 cases (50 %) were due to serogroup C. Furthermore, serogroup W was responsible for almost half of the cases among children younger than 5 years old during 2017 and 2018, with an overall incidence of 33.3 cases per 100 000 infants. Despite the reduction in serogroup C after the introduction of meningococcal C conjugate vaccine into a childhood immunization programme in Brazil, it remains a significant healthcare issue in the south of the country. Changes in disease epidemiology were observed and serogroup W was the most common among children below 5 years of age in 2017 and 2018. Although future cost-effectiveness studies are necessary, our results could have future implications for meningococcal vaccination programmes.

Health impact and cost-effectiveness of introducing the vaccine (Bexsero) against MenB disease into the Brazilian immunization programme

Invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) is associated with a high mortality and severe sequelae. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the potential cost-effectiveness of the Bexsero vaccine in Brazil. We used a cohort model to compare routine vaccination against MenB disease with no vaccination. Epidemiological and cost estimates were obtained from the Brazilian Health Information System. The cost per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was estimated assuming a 3-dose vaccination schedule, at R$90 (£ 20.50) per vaccine dose, 82.0% vaccine efficacy against MenB disease and a vaccine uptake of 90.0%. We estimated that 1,527 MenB cases would be prevented and 78 deaths averted. This strategy would cost R$ 762,381, 000 (£ 174,059,503) with a R$ 4,364,280 (£ 996,410) reduction in disease treatment costs. However, at an ICER of 372,256 (£ 84,990) per DALY averted, a vaccination programme is unlikely to be cost-effective.

Screening for hepatitis D and PEG-Interferon over Tenofovir enhance general hepatitis control efforts in Brazil

Background

Hepatitis D virus (HDV), which requires the presence of hepatitis B virus (HBV), is a deadly yet neglected disease that rapidly leads to liver cancer and disease-induced mortality. This co-dependence creates complex transmission dynamics that make it difficult to predict the efficacy of interventions aimed at HBV and/or HDV control in endemic regions, such as certain municipalities of Brazil, where up to 65% of HBV-infected persons are co-infected.

Methodology

We created a mathematical model that captures the joint transmission dynamics of HBV and HDV, incorporating mother-to-child, sexual and household transmission. With an aim to minimize the number of total infections and disease-induced mortality in 2027, we then determined optimal strategies for Brazil and its sub-regions under a constrained budget, which was dynamically allocated among HBV and HDV screening, HBV and HDV treatment, HBV newborn and adult vaccination, and awareness programs. Three treatment options were considered, namely: Tenofovir, PEGylated-Interferon, and nucleic acid polymers (NAP).

Results

The additional cost of HDV screening and the use of a more expensive PEGylated-Interferon are offset by not wasting resources on treating co-infected persons with Tenofovir. The introductory price of NAP treatment must be less than $16,000 per course to become competitive with Tenofovir and PEGylated-Interferon in Brazil.

Conclusion

Additional screening for HDV is beneficial, even in a low HBV and HDV endemic regions of Brazil. We recommend PEGylated-Interferon, wherever possible, for both HBV and HDV. If PEGylated-Interferon is not available in abundance, PEGylated-Interferon for co-infections and 4-year Tenofovir treatment for mono-infections is recommended.

Challenges and opportunities for meningococcal vaccination in the developing world

Meningococcal disease continues to be a life threatening infection with high morbidity and mortality even in appropriately treated patients. Meningococcal vaccination plays a major role in the control of the disease; however, implementing vaccination remains problematic in the developing world. The objective of this review is to identify the challenges facing the use of meningococcal vaccines in the developing world in order to discuss the opportunities and available solutions to improve immunization in these countries. Inadequate epidemiologic information necessary to implement vaccination and financial challenges predominate. Multiple measures are needed to achieve the successful implementation of meningococcal conjugate vaccination programs that protect against circulating serogroups in developing countries including enhanced surveillance systems, financial support and aid through grants, product development partnerships that are the end result of effective collaboration and communication between different interdependent stakeholders to develop affordable vaccines, and demonstration of the cost-effectiveness of new meningococcal vaccines.

[Cost-effectiveness in health in Brazil: a systematic review]

A systematic review was performed with the aim of describing the landscape and evolution of cost-effectiveness studies in health in Brazil. The search for articles on cost-effectiveness was performed in the main electronic health databases. The review identified 83 cost-effectiveness studies conducted nationwide. Between the years 1990-2005 there were few studies published on cost-effectiveness, though between 2006 and 2014 there was a significant increase in the number of publications. As for the themes and objectives of the studies, the chronic degenerative diseases and infectious/contagious diseases reflect the epidemiological diversity of Brazil. A predominance of studies on health intervention/treatment was identified. Thus, this review reveals a compatible Brazilian epidemiological reality scenario, indicating a need to increase research and investment of funds in the area of preventive health.

A comparison of average wages with age-specific wages for assessing indirect productivity losses: analytic simplicity versus analytic precision

OBJECTIVES

Numerous approaches are used to estimate indirect productivity losses using various wage estimates applied to poor health in working aged adults. Considering the different wage estimation approaches observed in the published literature, we sought to assess variation in productivity loss estimates when using average wages compared with age-specific wages.

METHODS

Published estimates for average and age-specific wages for combined male/female wages were obtained from the UK Office of National Statistics. A polynomial interpolation was used to convert 5-year age-banded wage data into annual age-specific wages estimates. To compare indirect cost estimates, average wages and age-specific wages were used to project productivity losses at various stages of life based on the human capital approach. Discount rates of 0, 3, and 6 % were applied to projected age-specific and average wage losses.

RESULTS

Using average wages was found to overestimate lifetime wages in conditions afflicting those aged 1-27 and 57-67, while underestimating lifetime wages in those aged 27-57. The difference was most significant for children where average wage overestimated wages by 15 % and for 40-year-olds where it underestimated wages by 14 %.

CONCLUSIONS

Large differences in projecting productivity losses exist when using the average wage applied over a lifetime. Specifically, use of average wages overestimates productivity losses between 8 and 15 % for childhood illnesses. Furthermore, during prime working years, use of average wages will underestimate productivity losses by 14 %. We suggest that to achieve more precise estimates of productivity losses, age-specific wages should become the standard analytic approach.

A systematic review of health economic evaluations of vaccines in Brazil

BACKGROUND

In Brazil, since 2005, the Ministry of Health requires Health Economic Evaluation (HEE) of vaccines for introduction into the National Immunization Program.

OBJECTIVES

To describe and analyze the full HEE on vaccines conducted in Brazil from 1980 to 2013.

METHODS

Systematic review of the literature. We searched multiple databases. Two researchers independently selected the studies and extracted the data. The methodological quality of individual studies was evaluated using CHEERS items.

RESULTS

Twenty studies were reviewed. The most evaluated vaccines were pneumococcal (25%) and HPV (15%). The most used types of HEE were cost-effectiveness analysis (45%) and cost-utility analysis (20%). The research question and compared strategies were stated in all 20 studies and the target population was clear in 95%. Nevertheless, many studies did not inform the perspective of analysis or data sources.

CONCLUSIONS

HEE of vaccines in Brazil has increased since 2008. However, the studies still have methodological deficiencies.

Estimating costs of care for meningitis infections in low- and middle-income countries

Meningitis infections are often associated with high mortality and risk of sequelae. The costs of treatment and care for meningitis are a great burden on health care systems, particularly in resource-limited settings. The objective of this study is to review data on the costs of care for meningitis in low- and middle-income countries, as well as to show how results could be extrapolated to countries without sound data. We conducted a systematic review of the literature from six databases to identify studies examining the cost of care in low- and middle-income countries for all age groups with suspected, probable, or confirmed meningitis. We extracted data on treatment costs and sequelae by infectious agent and/or pathogen, where possible. Using multiple regression analysis, a relationship between hospital costs and associated determinants was investigated in order to predict costs in countries with missing data. This relationship was used to predict treatment costs for all 144 low- and middle-income countries. The methodology of conducting a systematic review, extrapolating, and setting up a standard database can be used as a tool to inform cost-effectiveness analyses in situations where cost of care data are poor. Both acute and long-term costs of meningitis could be extrapolated to countries without reliable data. Although only bacterial causes of meningitis can be vaccine-preventable, a better understanding of the treatment costs for meningitis is crucial for low- and middle-income countries to assess the cost-effectiveness of proposed interventions in their country. This cost information will be important as inputs in future cost-effectiveness studies, particularly for vaccines.

A consensus statement: meningococcal disease among infants, children and adolescents in Latin America

Invasive meningococcal disease is a serious infection that occurs worldwide. Neisseria meningitidis remains one of the leading causes of bacterial meningitis in all ages. Despite the availability of safe and effective vaccines against invasive meningococcal disease, few countries in Latin America implemented routine immunization programs with these vaccines. The Americas Health Foundation along with Fighting Infectious Disease in Emerging Countries recently sponsored a consensus conference. Six experts in infectious diseases from across the region addressed questions related to this topic and formulated the following recommendations: (1) standardized passive and active surveillance systems should be developed and carriage studies are mandatory; (2) a better understanding of the incidence, case fatality rates and prevalent serogroups in Latin America is needed; (3) countries should make greater use of the polymerase chain reaction assays to improve the sensitivity of diagnosis and surveillance of invasive meningococcal disease; (4) vaccines with broader coverage and more immunogenicity are desirable in young infants; (5) prevention strategies should include immunization of young infants and catch-up children and adolescents and (6) because of the crowded infant immunization schedule, the development of combined meningococcal vaccines and the coadministration with other infant vaccines should be explored.

The current situation of meningococcal disease in Latin America and recommendations for a new case definition from the Global Meningococcal Initiative

The Global Meningococcal Initiative (GMI) is an international group of scientists and clinicians with expertise in meningococcal disease (MD). It promotes MD prevention through education and research. Given geographic differences in disease epidemiology, prevention strategies (e.g., vaccination) should be country-specific to ensure local needs are met. However, regional policies/recommendations and standardized disease diagnostic criteria should be implemented to improve surveillance and control strategies, and allow for more robust data comparisons. Consequently, the GMI convened a meeting with Latin American representatives to discuss the burden of MD and vaccination practices/policies, and consider if the global GMI recommendations could be tailored. The group determined that as robust, uniform epidemiologic data are required to make informed health-policy decisions, it would be useful to first summarize the regional situation herein (including disease surveillance, case definitions, epidemiology, vaccination and outbreak control strategies) and then determine a consensus-based meningococcal case definition for use throughout the region.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of universal childhood hepatitis A vaccination in Brazil: regional analyses according to the endemic context

OBJECTIVE

To conduct a cost-effectiveness analysis of a universal childhood hepatitis A vaccination program in Brazil.

METHODS

An age and time-dependent dynamic model was developed to estimate the incidence of hepatitis A for 24 years. The analysis was run separately according to the pattern of regional endemicity, one for South+Southeast (low endemicity) and one for the North+Northeast+Midwest (intermediate endemicity). The decision analysis model compared universal childhood vaccination with current program of vaccinating high risk individuals. Epidemiologic and cost estimates were based on data from a nationwide seroprevalence survey of viral hepatitis, primary data collection, National Health Information Systems and literature. The analysis was conducted from both the health system and societal perspectives. Costs are expressed in 2008 Brazilian currency (Real).

RESULTS

A universal immunization program would have a significant impact on disease epidemiology in all regions, resulting in 64% reduction in the number of cases of icteric hepatitis, 59% reduction in deaths for the disease and a 62% decrease of life years lost, in a national perspective. With a vaccine price of R$16.89 (US$7.23) per dose, vaccination against hepatitis A was a cost-saving strategy in the low and intermediate endemicity regions and in Brazil as a whole from both health system and society perspective. Results were most sensitive to the frequency of icteric hepatitis, ambulatory care and vaccine costs.

CONCLUSIONS

Universal childhood vaccination program against hepatitis A could be a cost-saving strategy in all regions of Brazil. These results are useful for the Brazilian government for vaccine related decisions and for monitoring population impact if the vaccine is included in the National Immunization Program.