Prognostic capability of different liver disease scoring systems for prediction of early mortality after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt creation

Predictive value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio for long-term adverse outcomes in cirrhosis patients post-transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) may predict outcomes in end-stage liver disease, but its value after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is unclear. This study explored the link between NLR and long-term outcomes in decompensated cirrhosis patients post-TIPS. We retrospectively analyzed 184 patients treated between January 2016 and December 2021, noting demographic data, lab results, and follow-up outcomes, including liver transplantation or death. Cox regression, adjusted for various factors, showed that NLR is an independent predictor of post-TIPS progression (HR 1.665; 95% CI 1.149-2.414; P = 0.007). Patients were divided into tertiles based on NLR. The medium tertile had a 3.51-fold increased risk of progression compared to the lowest (HR 3.510; 95% CI 1.104-11.153, P = 0.033), and the highest tertile had a 5.112-fold increase (HR 5.112; 95% CI 1.653-15.806, P = 0.005). This suggests that NLR is a valuable prognostic marker for long-term progression in these patients, highlighting the role of systemic inflammation.

CIRSE Standards of Practice on Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunts

BACKGROUND

Proposed in the early 1980s as a solution for managing complications of portal hypertension, the percutaneous creation of transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt has consistently gained a central role. Increasingly lower complication rates have been observed thanks to improvements in both technologies and the skills of interventional radiologists.

PURPOSE

This document is aimed at interventional radiologists and provides best practice recommendations for transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt creation, describing patient selection, intraprocedural management and follow-up, in addition to recommendations in paediatric settings.

METHODS

The CIRSE Standards of Practice Committee established a writing group consisting of seven European clinicians with recognised expertise in the creation of transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt. The writing group reviewed the existing literature performing a pragmatic evidence search using PubMed to select relevant publications in the English language and involving human subjects, preferably published from 2009 to 2024. The final recommendations were developed by consensus.

RESULTS

TIPS creation has an established role in the successful management of portal hypertension and its complications. This Standards of Practice document provides up-to-date recommendations for patient selection, materials, its safe performance, and follow-up with complications management.

External validation of the modified CTP score based on ammonia to predict survival in patients with cirrhosis after TIPS placement

This study aimed to perform the first external validation of the modified Child-Turcotte-Pugh score based on plasma ammonia (aCTP) and compare it with other risk scoring systems to predict survival in patients with cirrhosis after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement. We retrospectively reviewed 473 patients from three cohorts between January 2016 and June 2022 and compared the aCTP score with the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI), model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and sodium MELD (MELD-Na) in predicting transplant-free survival by the concordance index (C-index), area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration plot, and decision curve analysis (DCA) curve. The median follow-up time was 29 months, during which a total of 62 (20.74%) patients died or underwent liver transplantation. The survival curves for the three aCTP grades differed significantly. Patients with aCTP grade C had a shorter expected lifespan than patients with aCTP grades A and B (P < 0.0001). The aCTP score showed the best discriminative performance using the C-index compared with other scores at each time point during follow-up, it also showed better calibration in the calibration plot and the lowest Brier scores, and it also showed a higher net benefit than the other scores in the DCA curve. The aCTP score outperformed the other risk scores in predicting survival after TIPS placement in patients with cirrhosis and may be useful for risk stratification and survival prediction.

Artificial intelligence in interventional radiology: state of the art

Artificial intelligence (AI) has demonstrated great potential in a wide variety of applications in interventional radiology (IR). Support for decision-making and outcome prediction, new functions and improvements in fluoroscopy, ultrasound, computed tomography, and magnetic resonance imaging, specifically in the field of IR, have all been investigated. Furthermore, AI represents a significant boost for fusion imaging and simulated reality, robotics, touchless software interactions, and virtual biopsy. The procedural nature, heterogeneity, and lack of standardisation slow down the process of adoption of AI in IR. Research in AI is in its early stages as current literature is based on pilot or proof of concept studies. The full range of possibilities is yet to be explored.Relevance statement Exploring AI's transformative potential, this article assesses its current applications and challenges in IR, offering insights into decision support and outcome prediction, imaging enhancements, robotics, and touchless interactions, shaping the future of patient care.Key points• AI adoption in IR is more complex compared to diagnostic radiology.• Current literature about AI in IR is in its early stages.• AI has the potential to revolutionise every aspect of IR.

Prediction of Mortality and Hepatic Encephalopathy after Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt Placement: Baseline and Longitudinal Body Composition Measurement

PURPOSE

To investigate effects of baseline and early longitudinal body composition changes on mortality and hepatic encephalopathy (HE) after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This is a case-control study with analysis of a TIPS registry (1995-2020) including data from patients with cirrhosis with computed tomography (CT) scans obtained within 1 month before and 3 months after TIPS. Core muscle area (CMA), macroscopic subcutaneous adipose tissue (mSAT), macroscopic visceral adipose tissue (mVAT) area, and muscle adiposity index (MAI) on CT were obtained. Multipredictor Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the effect of body composition variables on mortality or HE.

RESULTS

In total, 280 patients (158 men; median age, 57.0 years; median Model for End-stage Liver Disease-sodium [MELD-Na] score, 14.0) were included. Thirty-four patients had post-TIPS imaging. Median baseline CMA was 68.3 cm2 (interquartile range, 57.7-83.5 cm2). Patients with higher baseline CMA had decreased risks of mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.82; P = .04) and HE (HR: 0.82; P = .009). It improved prediction of mortality over MELD-Na and post-TIPS right atrial pressure alone (confidence interval = 0.729). An increase in CMA (HR: 0.60; P = .043) and mSAT (HR: 0.86; P = .022) or decrease in MAI (HR: 1.50; P = .049) from before to after TIPS was associated with a decreased risk of mortality. An increase in mSAT was associated with an increased risk of HE (HR: 1.11; P = .04).

CONCLUSIONS

CMA on CT scan 1 month before TIPS placement predicts mortality and HE in patients with cirrhosis. Changes in body composition on CT measured 3 months after TIPS placement independently predict mortality and HE.

Novel CABIN score outperforms other prognostic models in predicting in-hospital mortality after salvage transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunting

BACKGROUND

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is now established as the salvage procedure of choice in patients who have uncontrolled or severe recurrent variceal bleeding despite optimal medical and endoscopic treatment.

AIM

To analysis compared the performance of eight risk scores to predict in-hospital mortality after salvage TIPS (sTIPS) placement in patients with uncontrolled variceal bleeding after failed medical treatment and endoscopic intervention.

METHODS

Baseline risk scores for the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II, Bonn TIPS early mortality (BOTEM), Child-Pugh, Emory, FIPS, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), MELD-Na, and a novel 5 category CABIN score incorporating Creatinine, Albumin, Bilirubin, INR and Na, were calculated before sTIPS. Concordance (C) statistics for predictive accuracy of in-hospital mortality of the eight scores were compared using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) analysis.

RESULTS

Thirty-four patients (29 men, 5 women), median age 52 years (range 31-80) received sTIPS for uncontrolled (11) or refractory (23) bleeding between August 1991 and November 2020. Salvage TIPS controlled bleeding in 32 (94%) patients with recurrence in one. Ten (29%) patients died in hospital. All scoring systems had a significant association with in-hospital mortality (P < 0.05) on multivariate analysis. Based on in-hospital survival AUROC, the CABIN (0.967), APACHE II (0.948) and Emory (0.942) scores had the best capability predicting mortality compared to FIPS (0.892), BOTEM (0.877), MELD Na (0.865), Child-Pugh (0.802) and MELD (0.792).

CONCLUSION

The novel CABIN score had the best prediction capability with statistical superiority over seven other risk scores. Despite sTIPS, hospital mortality remains high and can be predicted by CABIN category B or C or CABIN scores > 10. Survival was 100% in CABIN A patients while mortality was 75% for CABIN B, 87.5% for CABIN C, and 83% for CABIN scores > 10.

Updates on the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Score and Impact on the Liver Transplant Waiting List: A Narrative Review

The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score is an established indicator of cirrhosis severity and a predictor of morbidity and mortality in patients undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) creation and for allocation in liver transplantation. Since the adoption of the score, its use has been expanded to multiple new indications requiring model modifications, including relevant clinical and demographic variables, to increase predictive accuracy. The purpose of this report is to provide an update on the modifications made to the MELD score, comparing their performance with C statistics, advantages and disadvantages, and impact on mortality at 3 months after placing a TIPS or awaiting liver transplantation.

MELD or MELD-Na as a Predictive Model for Mortality Following Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt Placement

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) was originally developed to predict survival after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS). The MELD-sodium (MELD-Na) score has replaced MELD for organ allocation for liver transplantation. However, there are limited studies to compare the MELD with MELD-Na to predict mortality after TIPS.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective chart review of patients who underwent TIPS placement between 2006 and 2016 at our institution. The primary outcome was mortality, and the secondary outcomes sought to assess which variables could provide prognostic information for mortality after TIPS placement. We performed receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to assess the performance of MELD and MELD-Na.

RESULTS

There were 186 eligible patients in the analysis. The mean pre-TIPS MELD and MELD-Na were 13 and 15, respectively. Overall, mortality after TIPS was 15% at 30 days and 16.7% at 90 days. In a comparison of the areas under the ROCs for MELD and MELD-Na, MELD was superior to MELD-Na for 30-day (0.762 vs. 0.709) and 90-day (0.780 vs. 0.730) mortality after TIPS. The optimal cutoff score for 30-day mortality was 15 (0.676-0.848) for MELD and 17 (0.610-0.808) for MELD-Na, whereas the optimal cutoff score for 90-day mortality was 16 (95% CI: 0.705-0.855) for MELD and 17 (95% CI: 0.643-0.817) for MELD-Na. There were 24 patients with high MELD-Na ≥17, but with low MELD <15, and 90-day mortality in this group was 8.3%.

CONCLUSIONS

Although MELD-Na is a superior prognostic tool to MELD for predicting overall mortality in cirrhotic patients, MELD tended to outperform MELD-Na to predict mortality after TIPS.

A comprehensive review of prognostic scoring systems to predict survival after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt placement

Patient prognosis after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement is relatively poor and highly heterogeneous; therefore, a prognostic scoring system is essential for survival prediction and risk stratification. Conventional scores include the Child–Turcotte–Pugh (CTP) and model for end‐stage liver disease (MELD) scores. The CTP score was created empirically and displayed a high correlation with post‐TIPS survival. However, the inclusion of subjective parameters and the use of discrete cut‐offs limit its utility. The advantages of the MELD score include its statistical validation and objective and readily available predictors that contribute to its broad application in clinical practice to predict post‐TIPS outcomes. In addition, multiple modifications of the MELD score, by incorporating additional predictors (e.g., MELD‐Sodium and MELD‐Sarcopenia scores), adjusting coefficients (recalibrated MELD score), or combined (MELD 3.0), have been proposed to improve the prognostic ability of the standard MELD score. Despite several updates to conventional scores, a prognostic score has been proposed (based on contemporary data) specifically for outcome prediction after TIPS placement. However, this novel score (the Freiburg index of post‐TIPS survival, FIPS) exhibited inconsistent discrimination in external validation studies, and its superiority over conventional scores remains undetermined. Additionally, several tools display potential for application in specific TIPS indications (e.g., bilirubin‐platelet grade for refractory ascites), and biomarkers of systemic inflammation, nutritional status, liver disease progression, and cardiac decompensation may provide additional value, but require further validation. Future studies should consider the effect of TIPS placement when exploring predictors, as TIPS is a pathophysiological approach that substantially alters systemic hemodynamics and ameliorates bacterial translocation and malnutrition.

A novel score predicts mortality after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt: MOTS - Modified TIPS Score

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The high risk for severe shunting-related post-interventional complications demands a stringent selection of candidates for transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS). We aimed to develop a simple and reliable tool to accurately predict early post-TIPS mortality.

METHODS

144 cases of TIPS implantation were retrospectively analysed. Using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis of factors predicting mortality within 90 days after TIPS, a score integrating urea, international normalized ratio (INR) and bilirubin was developed. The Modified TIPS-Score (MOTS) ranges from 0 to 3 points: INR >1.6, urea >71 mg/dl and bilirubin >2.2 mg/dl account for one point each. Additionally, MOTS was tested in an external validation cohort (n = 187) and its performance was compared to existing models.

RESULTS

Modified TIPS-Score achieved a significant prognostic discrimination reflected by 90-day mortality of 8% in patients with MOTS 0-1 and 60% in patients with MOTS 2-3 (p < .001). Predictive performance (area under the curve) of MOTS was accurate (c = 0.845 [0.73-0.96], p < .001), also in patients with renal insufficiency (c = 0.830 [0.64-1.00], p = .02) and in patients with refractory ascites (c = 0.949 [0.88-1.00], p < .001), which are subgroups with particular room for improvement of post-TIPS mortality prediction. The results were reproducible in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Modified TIPS-Score is a novel, practicable tool to predict post-TIPS mortality, that can significantly simplify clinical decision making. Its practical applicability should be further investigated.

North American Practice-Based Recommendations for Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunts in Portal Hypertension

Complications of portal hypertension, including ascites, gastrointestinal bleeding, hepatic hydrothorax, and hepatic encephalopathy, are associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Despite few high-quality randomized controlled trials to guide therapeutic decisions, transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) creation has emerged as a crucial therapeutic option to treat complications of portal hypertension. In North America, the decision to perform TIPS involves gastroenterologists, hepatologists, and interventional radiologists, but TIPS creation is performed by interventional radiologists. This is in contrast to other parts of the world where TIPS creation is performed primarily by hepatologists. Thus, the successful use of TIPS in North America is dependent on a multidisciplinary approach and technical expertise, so as to optimize outcomes. Recently, new procedural techniques, TIPS stent technology, and indications for TIPS have emerged. As a result, practices and outcomes vary greatly across institutions and significant knowledge gaps exist. In this consensus statement, the Advancing Liver Therapeutic Approaches group critically reviews the application of TIPS in the management of portal hypertension. Advancing Liver Therapeutic Approaches convened a multidisciplinary group of North American experts from hepatology, interventional radiology, transplant surgery, nephrology, cardiology, pulmonology, and hematology to critically review existing literature and develop practice-based recommendations for the use of TIPS in patients with any cause of portal hypertension in terms of candidate selection, procedural best practices and, post-TIPS management; and to develop areas of consensus for TIPS indications and the prevention of complications. Finally, future research directions are identified related to TIPS for the management of portal hypertension.

FIPS Score for Prediction of Survival After TIPS Placement: External Validation and Comparison With Traditional Risk Scores in a Cohort of Chinese Patients With Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND. Various prognostic scores for patients with chronic liver disease have been applied for predicting survival after TIPS placement. In 2021, the Freiburg index of post-TIPS survival (FIPS) score was developed specifically for predicting survival after TIPS placement. The score has exhibited variable performance in initial investigations conducted in German and U.S. cohorts. OBJECTIVE. The purpose of this study was to compare the utility of the FIPS score and traditional scoring systems for predicting post-TIPS survival in a cohort of Chinese patients with cirrhosis. METHODS. This retrospective validation study compared four prognostic scores (model for end-stage liver disease [MELD], sodium MELD [MELD-Na], Chronic Liver Failure Consortium acute decompensation [CLIF-C AD], and FIPS) in 383 patients (mean age, 54.9 ± 11.7 years; 249 men, 134 women) with cirrhosis who underwent TIPS placement (341 for variceal bleeding, 42 for refractory ascites) at Wuhan Union Hospital between January 2016 and August 2021. Model performance was assessed in terms of discrimination (using concordance index) and calibration (using Brier score and observed-to-predicted ratios) for 6-, 12-, and 24-month post-TIPS survival. Discrimination was further stratified by TIPS indication. Risk stratification was performed using previously proposed cutoffs for each score. RESULTS. During postprocedural follow-up, 72 (18.8%) patients died. Discriminative performance for 6-month survival was highest for FIPS score (concordance index, 0.784), followed by CLIF-C AD (0.743), MELD-Na (0.699), and MELD (0.694). FIPS score also showed the highest calibration in terms of lower Brier scores and observed-to-predicted ratios closer to 1 and showed the strongest prognostic performance for 12- and 24-month survival and in subgroups of patients who underwent TIPS placement for either variceal bleeding or refractory ascites (except for similar performance of FIPS and CLIF-C AD in the refractory ascites subgroup). When prior cutoffs were applied, further application of FIPS score was significantly associated with survival among patients classified as low risk by the other scores. CONCLUSION. FIPS score outperformed traditional risk scores in predicting post-TIPS survival in patients with cirrhosis. CLINICAL IMPACT. The findings support utility of FIPS score in differentiating patients who are optimal candidates for TIPS placement versus those at high risk who may instead warrant close monitoring and early liver transplant.

Covered TIPS Procedure-Related Major Complications: Incidence, Management and Outcome From a Single Center

Background and Objective

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is a well-established procedure for treating complications of portal hypertension. Due to the complexity of anatomy and difficulty of the puncture technique, the procedure itself might brought potential complications, such as puncture failure, bleeding, infection, and, rarely, death. The aim of this study is to explore the incidence, management, and outcome of TIPS procedure-related major complications using covered stents.

Methods

Patients who underwent TIPS implantation from January 2015 to December 2020 were recruited retrospectively. Major complications after TIPS were screened and analyzed.

Results

Nine hundred and forty-eight patients underwent the TIPS procedure with 95.1% (n = 902) technical success in our department. TIPS procedure-related major complications occurred in 30 (3.2%) patients, including hemobilia (n = 13; 1.37%), hemoperitoneum (n = 7; 0.74%), accelerated liver failure (n = 6; 0.63%), and rapidly progressive organ failure (n = 4; 0.42%). Among them, 8 patients died because of hemobilia (n = 1), accelerated liver failure (n = 4), and rapidly progressive organ failure (n = 3).

Conclusion

The incidence of major complications related to TIPS procedure is relatively low, and some of them could recover through effective medical intervention. In our cohort, the overall incidence is about 3%, which causes 0.84% death. The most fatal complication is organ failure and hemobilia.

FIB-4 and APRI as Predictive Factors for Short- and Long-Term Survival in Patients with Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Stent Shunts

(1) Background: Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is a standard therapy for portal hypertension. We aimed to explore the association of established baseline scores with TIPS outcomes. (2) Methods: In total, 136 liver cirrhosis patients underwent TIPS insertion, mainly to treat refractory ascites (86%), between January 2016 and December 2019. An external validation cohort of 187 patients was chosen. (3) Results: The majority of the patients were male (62%); the median follow-up was 715 days. The baseline Child—Turcotte−Pugh stage was A in 14%, B in 75% and C in 11%. The patients’ liver-transplant-free (LTF) survival rates after 3, 12 and 24 months were 87%, 72% and 61%, respectively. In the univariate analysis, neither bilirubin, nor the international normalized ratio (INR), nor liver enzymes were associated with survival. However, both the APRI (AST-to-platelet ratio index) and the FIB-4 (fibrosis-4 score) were associated with LTF survival. For patients with FIB-4 > 3.25, the hazard ratio for mortality after 2 years was 3.952 (p < 0.0001). Liver-related clinical events were monitored for 24 months. High FIB-4 scores were predictive of liver-related events (HR = 2.404, p = 0.001). Similarly, in our validation cohort, LTF survival was correlated with the APRI and FIB-4 scores. (4) Conclusions: Well-established scores that reflect portal hypertension and biochemical disease activity predict long-term outcomes after TIPS and support clinical decisions over TIPS insertion.

Prognostic value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in cirrhosis patients undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte-ratio (NLR) is used as an inflammatory index and has proven to be an accurate prognostic indicator for decompensated cirrhotics; however, its role in patients undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) has not been evaluated. We examined whether NLR is associated with mortality in decompensated cirrhosis patients undergoing TIPS.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective review of 268 decompensated cirrhotics who underwent TIPS from January 2011 to December 2015 at an academic medical center. NLR, patient demographics, manifestations of cirrhosis, TIPS indications and mortality were recorded. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses for prognostic factors associated with 30-day and 90-day post TIPS mortality were performed.

RESULTS

A total of 129 (48%) patients received TIPS for refractory ascites with 79 (29%) for variceal bleeding, 14 (5%) for hepatic hydrothorax, and 46 (17%) for other indications. Cirrhosis etiology included hepatitis C (36%), alcohol (28%), nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (20%), or other (15%). Median NLR was 4.42 (IQR 2.75-7.19). Univariate and multivariate analysis showed NLR as an independent predictive factor of 30-day and 90-day mortality. Furthermore, in patients with a Model of End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) ≤ 15, NLR is superior to MELD/MELD-Na score in predicting 30-day and 90-day mortality. In patients with MELD > 15, MELD/MELD-Na score is superior to NLR.

CONCLUSION

Our data indicate that elevated NLR independently predicts 30-day and 90-day mortality. In patients with a MELD ≤ 15, NLR is a better prognostic factor than MELD or MELD-Na in predicting short-term mortality.

Low Serum Cholinesterase Identifies Patients With Worse Outcome and Increased Mortality After TIPS

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is an effective treatment for portal hypertension-related complications. However, careful selection of patients is crucial. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of serum cholinesterase (CHE) for outcomes and mortality after TIPS insertion. In this multicenter study, 389 consecutive patients with cirrhosis receiving a TIPS at Hannover Medical School, University Hospital Essen, or Medical University of Vienna were included. The Hannover cohort (n = 200) was used to initially explore the role of CHE, whereas patients from Essen and Vienna served as a validation cohort (n = 189). Median age of the patients was 58 years and median Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score was 12. Multivariable analysis identified MELD score (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.16; P < 0.001) and CHE (HR: 0.61; P = 0.008) as independent predictors for 1-year survival. Using the Youden Index, a CHE of 2.5 kU/L was identified as optimal threshold to predict post-TIPS survival in the Hannover cohort (P < 0.001), which was confirmed in the validation cohort (P = 0.010). CHE < 2.5 kU/L was significantly associated with development of acute-on-chronic liver failure (P < 0.001) and hepatic encephalopathy (P = 0.006). Of note, CHE was also significantly linked to mortality in the subgroup of patients with refractory ascites (P = 0.001) as well as in patients with high MELD scores (P = 0.012) and with high-risk FIPS scores (P = 0.004). After propensity score matching, mortality was similar in patients with ascites and CHE < 2.5 kU/L if treated by TIPS or by paracentesis. Contrarily, in patients with CHE ≥ 2.5 kU/L survival was significantly improved by TIPS as compared to treatment with paracentesis (P < 0.001). Conclusion: CHE is significantly associated with mortality and complications after TIPS insertion. Therefore, we suggest that CHE should be evaluated as an additional parameter for selecting patients for TIPS implantation.

Prediction of Patient Survival with Psoas Muscle Density Following Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunts: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Background

Psoas muscle density (PMD) as a nutritional indicator is a tool to evaluate sarcopenia, which is commonly diagnosed in patients with liver cirrhosis. However, there are limited data on its role in patients who have received a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS). We aimed to determine the utility of PMD in predicting mortality of patients with TIPS implantation and to compare the clinical value of PMD, Child-Pugh score, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, and MELD paired with serum sodium measurement (MELD-Na) score in predicting post-TIPS survival in 1 year.

Material/Methods

This retrospective study included 273 patients who met the criteria for study inclusion. All participants underwent computed tomography (CT) scans, Child-Pugh score evaluation, MELD-Na scoring, and MELD scoring. Post-TIPS survival time was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier survival curve. The prognostic values of scoring models such as the Child-Pugh score, MELD, MELD-Na, and PMD were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curves.

Results

During the 1-year follow-up period, 31 of 273 (11.36%) post-TIPS patients died. Multivariate analysis identified PMD as an independent protective factor. PMD showed a good ability to predict the occurrence of an endpoint within 1 year after TIPS. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves for PMD, Child-Pugh score, MELD score, and MELD-Na for predicting mortality were, respectively, 0.72 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.663–0.773), 0.59 (95% CI: 0.531–0.651), 0.60 (95% CI: 0.535–0.655), and 0.58 (95% CI: 0.487–0.608).

Conclusions

PMD has appreciable clinical value for predicting the mortality of patients with TIPS implantation. In addition, PMD is superior to established scoring systems for identifying high-risk patients with a poor prognosis.

Performance of artificial intelligence for prognostic prediction with the albumin-bilirubin and platelet-albumin-bilirubin for cirrhotic patients with acute variceal bleeding undergoing early transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to validate and compare the prognostic performance of the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, platelet-albumin-bilirubin (PALBI) grade, Child-Pugh (CP) grade, and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score in predicting the 1-year variceal rebleeding probability using artificial intelligence for patients with cirrhosis and variceal bleeding undergoing early transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) procedures.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This dual-center retrospective study included two cohorts, with patients enrolled between January 2016 and September 2018 in the training cohort and January 2017 and September 2018 in the validation cohort. In the training cohort, independent risk factors associated with the 1-year variceal rebleeding probability were identified using univariate and multivariate logistic analyses. ALBI-, PALBI-, Child-Pugh-, and MELD-based nomograms and an artificial neural network (ANN) model were established and validated internally in the training cohort and externally in the validation cohort, which included patients with variceal bleeding who were treated with preventive TIPS.

RESULTS

A total of 259 patients were included. The median follow-up periods were 24.1 and 18.9 months, and the 1-year variceal rebleeding rates were 12.3% (14/114) and 10.3% (15/145) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. In the training cohort, all four variables were identified as independent risk factors. Four nomograms were then established and showed comparable prognostic performances after internal (C-index: 0.879, 0.829, 0.874, and 0.798) and external (C-index: 0.720, 0.719, 0.718, and 0.703) validation. The ANN demonstrated that these four variables had comparable importance in predicting the 1-year variceal rebleeding probability.

CONCLUSION

None of the four variables are optimal in predicting the 1-year variceal rebleeding probability for patients with cirrhosis and variceal bleeding undergoing early TIPS.

Portal vein puncture-related complications during transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt creation: Colapinto needle set vs Rösch-Uchida needle set

Transjugular portal vein puncture is considered the riskiest step in TIPS creation with possible incidence of portal vein puncture-related complications (PVPC). The Colapinto and the Rösch-Uchida needle sets are two different needle sets currently available. To date, there have been no randomized control trials or systematic reviews which compare the incidence of PVPC when using the two different needle sets. The aim of this literature review is to assess the rate of PVPC associated with the different needle sets used in the creation of TIPS. From the described search, 1500 articles were identified and 34 met the inclusion criteria. Outcome measured was the prevalence of PVPC using the different needle sets. Overall 212 (3.6%) PVPC were reported in 5865 patients; 142 (3.5%) reported in 4000 cases using the Rösch-Uchida set and 70 (3.7%) in 1865 patients using the Colapinto set (p = 0.69). PVPC in TIPS creation are not related to the choice of needle set used in the procedure. To our knowledge, this is the first review of its kind, the results of which support the theory that while the rate of PVPC is influenced by many factors, choice of needle set does not seem to be one of them.

Enzymatic liver function measured by LiMAx is superior to current standard methods in predicting transplant-free survival after TIPS implantation

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is one of the main treatment options in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis but is still associated with partly severe complications. For adequate patient selection, prognostic parameters are of crucial importance. The liver maximum capacity (LiMAx) breath test measures enzymatic liver function and could potentially represent an efficient prognostic marker. We therefore aimed to assess the role of LiMAx in predicting survival of TIPS patients in a prospective analysis. LiMAx was performed for patients who underwent TIPS implantation between October 2016 and February 2018. Associations with transplant-free survival after 24 weeks were assessed by logistic regression. A total number of 30 patients were included, of whom seven received liver transplantation (N = 2) or died (N = 5) during follow-up. LiMAx values after (P = 0.01, OR = 1.24, 95% CI = 1.04-1.47) and before (P = 0.03, OR 1.21, 95% CI = 1.02-1.43) TIPS implantation and MELD score (P = 0.03, OR = 0.79, 95% CI = 0.63-0.98) were significantly associated with transplant-free survival according to univariate logistic regression. In AUROC analysis, LiMAx at day one after TIPS (sensitivity 85.7%, specificity 78.3%, AUROC 0.85, cut-off ≤ 165 µg/kg/h), LiMAx value at the day before TIPS (sensitivity 100%, specificity 73.9%, AUROC 0.82, cut-off ≤ 205 µg/kg/h) and MELD score (sensitivity 71.4%, specificity 73.9%, AUROC 0.82, cut-off ≥ 15) had the highest prognostic accuracy. LiMAx values prior and after TIPS procedure seem to be good prognostic parameters regarding prediction of transplant-free survival of patients undergoing TIPS implantation.

Prediction of overt hepatic encephalopathy after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt treatment: a cohort study

Background/purpose

Overt hepatic encephalopathy (HE) risk should be preoperatively predicted to identify patients suitable for curative transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) instead of palliative treatments.

Methods

A total of 185 patients who underwent TIPS procedure were randomised (130 in the training dataset and 55 in the validation dataset). Clinical factors and imaging characteristics were assessed. Three different models were established by logistic regression analyses based on clinical factors (ModelC), imaging characteristics (ModelI), and a combination of both (ModelCI). Their discrimination, calibration, and decision curves were compared, to identify the best model. Subgroup analysis was performed for the best model.

Results

ModelCI, which contained two clinical factors and two imaging characteristics, was identified as the best model. The areas under the curve of ModelC, ModelI, and ModelCI were 0.870, 0.963, and 0.978 for the training dataset and 0.831, 0.971, and 0.969 for the validation dataset. The combined model outperformed the clinical and imaging models in terms of calibration and decision curves. The performance of ModelCI was not influenced by total bilirubin, Child–Pugh stages, model of end-stage liver disease score, or ammonia. The subgroup with a risk score ≥ 0.88 exhibited a higher proportion of overt HE (training dataset: 13.3% vs. 97.4%, p  < 0.001; validation dataset: 0.0% vs. 87.5%, p  < 0.001).

Conclusion

Our combination model can successfully predict the risk of overt HE post-TIPS. For the low-risk subgroup, TIPS can be performed safely; however, for the high-risk subgroup, it should be considered more carefully.

Graphic abstract

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s12072-021-10188-5.

ACR Appropriateness Criteria® Radiologic Management of Portal Hypertension

Cirrhosis is a heterogeneous disease that cannot be studied as a single entity and is classified in two main prognostic stages: compensated and decompensated cirrhosis. Portal hypertension, characterized by a pathological increase of the portal pressure and by the formation of portal-systemic collaterals that bypass the liver, is the initial and main consequence of cirrhosis and is responsible for the majority of its complications. A myriad of treatment options exists for appropriately managing the most common complications of portal hypertension, including acute variceal bleeding and refractory ascites. The American College of Radiology Appropriateness Criteria are evidence-based guidelines for specific clinical conditions that are reviewed annually by a multidisciplinary expert panel. The guideline development and revision include an extensive analysis of current medical literature from peer reviewed journals and the application of well-established methodologies (RAND/UCLA Appropriateness Method and Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation or GRADE) to rate the appropriateness of imaging and treatment procedures for specific clinical scenarios. In those instances where evidence is lacking or equivocal, expert opinion may supplement the available evidence to recommend imaging or treatment.

Prognostic Value of the CLIF-C AD Score in Patients With Implantation of Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt

Prognostic assessment of patients with liver cirrhosis allocated for implantation of a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is a challenging task in clinical practice. The aim of our study was to assess the prognostic value of the CLIF-C AD (Acute Decompensation) score in patients with TIPS implantation. Transplant-free survival (TFS) and 3-month mortality were reviewed in 880 patients who received de novo TIPS implantation for the treatment of cirrhotic portal hypertension. The prognostic value of the CLIF-C AD score was compared with the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, Child-Pugh score, and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score using Harrell's C concordance index. The median TFS after TIPS implantation was 40.0 (34.6-45.4) months. The CLIF-C AD score (c = 0.635 [0.609-0.661]) was superior in the prediction of TFS in comparison to MELD score (c = 0.597 [0.570-0.623], P = 0.006), Child-Pugh score (c = 0.579 [0.552-0.606], P < 0.001), and ALBI score (c = 0.573 [0.545-0.600], P < 0.001). However, the CLIF-C AD score did not perform significantly better than the MELD-Na score (c = 0.626 [0.599-0.653], P = 0.442). There were no profound differences in the scores' ranking with respect to indication for TIPS implantation, stent type, or underlying liver disease. Subgroup analyses revealed that a CLIF-C AD score >45 was a predictor of 3-month mortality in the supposed low-risk group of patients with a MELD score ≤12 (14.7% vs. 5.1%, P < 0.001). Conclusion: The CLIF-C AD score is suitable for prognostic assessment of patients with cirrhotic portal hypertension receiving TIPS implantation. In the prediction of TFS, the CLIF-C AD score is superior to MELD score, Child-Pugh score, and ALBI score but not the MELD-Na score.

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt in cirrhosis: An exhaustive critical update

More than five decades after it was originally conceptualized as rescue therapy for patients with intractable variceal bleeding, the transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) procedure continues to remain a focus of intense clinical and biomedical research. By the impressive reduction in portal pressure achieved by this intervention, coupled with its minimally invasive nature, TIPS has gained increasing acceptance in the treatment of complications of portal hypertension. The early years of TIPS were plagued by poor long-term patency of the stents and increased incidence of hepatic encephalopathy. Moreover, the diversion of portal flow after placement of TIPS often resulted in derangement of hepatic functions, which was occasionally severe. While the incidence of shunt dysfunction has markedly reduced with the advent of covered stents, hepatic encephalopathy and instances of early liver failure continue to remain a significant issue after TIPS. It has emerged over the years that careful selection of patients and diligent post-procedural care is of paramount importance to optimize the outcome after TIPS. The past twenty years have seen multiple studies redefining the role of TIPS in the management of variceal bleeding and refractory ascites while exploring its application in other complications of cirrhosis like hepatic hydrothorax, portal hypertensive gastropathy, ectopic varices, hepatorenal and hepatopulmonary syndromes, non-tumoral portal vein thrombosis and chylous ascites. It has also been utilized to good effect before extrahepatic abdominal surgery to reduce perioperative morbidity and mortality. The current article aims to review the updated literature on the status of TIPS in the management of patients with liver cirrhosis.

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic stent-shunt in the management of portal hypertension

These guidelines on transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic stent-shunt (TIPSS) in the management of portal hypertension have been commissioned by the Clinical Services and Standards Committee (CSSC) of the British Society of Gastroenterology (BSG) under the auspices of the Liver Section of the BSG. The guidelines are new and have been produced in collaboration with the British Society of Interventional Radiology (BSIR) and British Association of the Study of the Liver (BASL). The guidelines development group comprises elected members of the BSG Liver Section, representation from BASL, a nursing representative and two patient representatives. The quality of evidence and grading of recommendations was appraised using the GRADE system. These guidelines are aimed at healthcare professionals considering referring a patient for a TIPSS. They comprise the following subheadings: indications; patient selection; procedural details; complications; and research agenda. They are not designed to address: the management of the underlying liver disease; the role of TIPSS in children; or complex technical and procedural aspects of TIPSS.

MELD or Sodium MELD: A Comparison of the Ability of Two Scoring Systems to Predict Outcomes After Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt Placement

OBJECTIVE. The purpose of this study was to compare the ability of the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and sodium MELD (MELD-Na) scoring systems to predict outcomes after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement. MATERIALS AND METHODS. Two hundred and nineteen consecutive patients who underwent TIPS placement were retrospectively reviewed. The primary outcomes were death within 30 days and 90 days after TIPS placement (30- and 90-day mortality, respectively), and secondary outcomes included death within 365 days after TIPS placement (365-day mortality), length of hospital stay, and readmission to the hospital within 30 days of TIPS placement. RESULTS. Mortality rates within 30, 90, and 365 days after TIPS placement were 2.3% (5/219), 8.2% (17/207), and 21.7% (41/189), respectively. Logistic regression showed that the MELD score predicted 30-day mortality (odds ratio [OR], 1.13; 95% CI, 1.00-1.27; p = 0.04) and trended toward predicting 90-day mortality (OR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.00-1.18; p = 0.06), whereas the MELD-Na score did not predict 30-day mortality (OR, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.97-1.06; p = 0.51) or 90-day mortality (OR, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.98-1.15; p = 0.44). In a comparison of the ROC AUCs for MELD and MELD-Na, MELD showed improved prediction of 30-day mortality (p = 0.06) but did not significantly vary in prediction of 90- and 365-day mortality (p = 0.80 and p = 0.76, respectively). When the maximal inflection point for MELD and MELD-Na was analyzed on the basis of 90-day mortality, a score of 23 was found to be most significant for both MELD (OR, 6.6; 95% CI, 1.5-29.1; p = 0.01) and MELD-Na (OR, 3.3; 95% CI, 1.1-9.6; p = 0.03). MELD and MELD-Na both accurately predicted the length of hospital stay after TIPS placement (p = 0.005 and p = 0.01, respectively). CONCLUSION. MELD is superior to MELD-Na for predicting 30-day and, perhaps, 90-day mortality after TIPS placement. At present, decisions regarding patient selection for TIPS placement should be made on the basis of the MELD score rather than the MELD-Na score.

Safety and feasibility of transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt in elderly patients with liver cirrhosis and refractory ascites

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The management of patients with refractory ascites (RA) is challenging, particularly at higher age. Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is an established treatment for RA, but safety data in elderly patients are rare. Our aim was to evaluate the safety and feasibility of TIPS in elderly patients with RA.

METHODS

Overall, 160 consecutive cirrhotic patients receiving a TIPS for RA at Hannover Medical School between 2012 and 2018 were considered for this retrospective analysis. Periinterventional complications such as acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) as well as survival were compared between patients <65 and ≥65 years. Propensity score matching was conducted to match elderly TIPS patients and patients treated with paracentesis.

RESULTS

A number of 53 out of the 160 patients were ≥65 years (33%). Periinterventional course in those ≥65 years appeared to be slightly more complicated than in <65 years as reflected by a significantly longer hospital stay (p = 0.030) and more ACLF-episodes (21% vs. 9%; p = 0.044). 28-day mortality was similar between both groups (p = 0.350), whereas survival of the younger patients was significantly higher at 90 days (p = 0.029) and numerically higher at 1 year (p = 0.171). In the multivariate analysis age ≥65 years remained an independent predictor for 90-day mortality (HR: 2.58; p = 0.028), while it was not associated with 28-day and 1-year survival. Importantly, after matching for potential confounders 1-year survival was similar in elderly patients if treated with TIPS or paracentesis (p = 0.419).

CONCLUSIONS

TIPS placement in elderly patients with RA appears to be slightly more complicated compared to younger individuals, but overall feasible and at least not inferior to paracentesis.

Machine Learning Offers Exciting Potential for Predicting Postprocedural Outcomes: A Framework for Developing Random Forest Models in IR

PURPOSE

To demonstrate that random forest models trained on a large national sample can accurately predict relevant outcomes and may ultimately contribute to future clinical decision support tools in IR.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patient data from years 2012-2014 of the National Inpatient Sample were used to develop random forest machine learning models to predict iatrogenic pneumothorax after computed tomography-guided transthoracic biopsy (TTB), in-hospital mortality after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS), and length of stay > 3 days after uterine artery embolization (UAE). Model performance was evaluated with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and maximum F1 score. The threshold for AUROC significance was set at 0.75.

RESULTS

AUROC was 0.913 for the TTB model, 0.788 for the TIPS model, and 0.879 for the UAE model. Maximum F1 score was 0.532 for the TTB model, 0.357 for the TIPS model, and 0.700 for the UAE model. The TTB model had the highest AUROC, while the UAE model had the highest F1 score. All models met the criteria for AUROC significance.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates that machine learning models may suitably predict a variety of different clinically relevant outcomes, including procedure-specific complications, mortality, and length of stay. Performance of these models will improve as more high-quality IR data become available.

Perioperative factors impacting intensive care outcomes following Whipple procedure: A retrospective study

Background and Aims

Whipple procedure is associated with perhaps the most perioperative morbidity and mortality amongst surgical procedures. Current data regarding their ICU profile and outcomes are lacking. Thus, in the present study, we aimed to determine perioperative factors affecting patient-centred outcomes following the Whipple procedure.

Methods

In a cohort of patients undergoing pylorus-sparing pancreaticoduodenectomies, we strove to determine perioperative variables that may impact outcomes. Unfavourable outcomes (composite of mortality, prolonged ICU stay of more than 14 days or ICU readmission) of patients who underwent the procedure were recorded and logistic regressions analysis of significant variables conducted.

Results

Around 68 patients recruited over a 20-month period which included 57 males (83.8%); mean age was 53.4(±11.2) with mean acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE) II score12.5 (±6.1). Nineteen patients remained intubated at the end of procedures (27.9%). Median ICU stay was 2 days (IQR 2-3). Unfavourable ICU outcomes were 14 in number (20.6%) and 2 (2.9%) hospital deaths occurred. Pulmonary complications occurred in 12 patients (17.7%) and non-pulmonary complications occurred in 41 patients (60.3%). In a multiple logistic regression analysis, the APACHE score 1.34 (1.09-1.64) and pulmonary complications 17.3 (2.1-145) were variables that were identified as predictors of unfavourable outcomes.

Conclusion

The APACHE II score may reliably predict adverse outcomes following Whipple procedure. Although non-pulmonary complications are common, pulmonary complications in these patients adversely impact patient outcomes.

Emergent Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt Creation in Acute Variceal Bleeding

Emergent transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) creation is most commonly employed in the setting of acute variceal hemorrhage. Given a propensity for decompensation, these patients often require a multidisciplinary, multimodal approach involving prompt diagnosis, pharmacologic therapy, and endoscopic intervention. While successful in the majority of cases, failure to medically control initial bleeding can prompt interventional radiology consultation for emergent portal decompression via TIPS creation. This article discusses TIPS creation in emergent, acute variceal hemorrhage, reviewing the natural history of gastroesophageal varices, presentation and diagnosis of acute variceal hemorrhage, pharmacologic therapy, endoscopic approaches, patient selection and risk stratification for TIPS, technical considerations for TIPS creation, adjunctive embolotherapy, and the role of salvage TIPS versus early TIPS in acute variceal hemorrhage.

Computed tomography-based score model/nomogram for predicting technical and midterm outcomes in transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt treatment for symptomatic portal cavernoma

BACKGROUND

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) may be technically difficult in patients with cavernous transformation of the portal vein (CTPV). Computed tomography (CT) is widely used for assessing the situation of the portal vein and its tributaries before TIPS, and an ultrasound-based Yerdel grading system has been developed, which is deemed useful for liver transplantation. Therefore, we hypothesized that a CT-based CTPV scoring system could be useful for predicting technical and midterm outcomes in TIPS treatment for symptomatic portal cavernoma.

AIM

To investigate the clinical significance of a CT-based score model/nomogram for predicting technical success and midterm outcome in TIPS treatment for symptomatic CTPV.

METHODS

Patients with symptomatic CTPV who had undergone TIPS from January 2010 to June 2017 were retrospectively analysed. The CTPV was graded with a score of 1-4 based on contrast-CT imaging findings of the diseased vessel. Outcome measures were technical success rate, stent patency rate, and midterm survival. Cohen’s kappa statistic, the Kaplan-Meier and log-rank tests, and uni- and multivariable analyses were performed. A nomogram was constructed and verified by calibration and decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 76 patients (45 men and 31 women; mean age, 52.3 ± 14.7 years) were enrolled in the study. The inter-reader agreement (κ) of the CTPV score was 0.81. TIPS was successfully placed in 78% of patients (59/76). The independent predictor of technical success was CTPV score (odds ratio [OR] = 5.56, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.55-9.67, P = 0.002). The independent predictors of primary TIPS patency were CTPV score and splenectomy (OR = 9.22, 95%CI: 4.78-13.45, P = 0.009; OR = 4.67, 95%CI: 2.59-7.44, P = 0.017). The survival rates differed significantly between the TIPS success and failure groups. The clinical nomogram was made up of patient age, model for end-stage liver disease score, and CTPV score. The calibration curves and decision curve analysis verified the usefulness of the CTPV score-based nomogram for clinical practice.

CONCLUSION

TIPS should be considered a safe and feasible therapy for patients with symptomatic CTPV. Furthermore, the CT-based score model/nomogram might aid interventional radiologists in therapeutic decision-making.

Relative Sarcopenia With Excess Adiposity Predicts Survival After Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt Creation

OBJECTIVE. The purpose of this study was to assess the impact of relative sarcopenia with excess adiposity on mortality after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) creation. MATERIALS AND METHODS. In this single-institution retrospective study, patients underwent abdominal CT scans within 100 days before or 30 days after TIPS creation. Subcutaneous and visceral adipose tissue and muscle were segmented at the L3 vertebral level. Relative sarcopenia with excess adiposity was defined as the lowest sex-specific quartile of muscle area divided by muscle plus adipose. Dates of death, liver transplantation, TIPS occlusion, and hepatic encephalopathy (HE) after TIPS creation were identified. Mortality was evaluated using competing risks survival analysis. Number of HE episodes and time to first episode were analyzed using negative binomial regression and competing risks survival analysis, respectively. RESULTS. A total of 141 patients (91 men; mean age, 56 years) were included in this study. In univariate analyses, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score (hazard ratio [HR], 1.09 per point; CI, 1.05-1.13; p < 0.001) and relative sarcopenia with excess adiposity (HR, 2.70; CI, 1.55-4.69; p < 0.001) were significant risk factors for shorter survival after TIPS. In multivariate analysis, both MELD score (HR, 1.09; CI, 1.03-1.15; p = 0.003) and relative sarcopenia with excess adiposity (HR, 2.65; CI, 1.56-4.51; p < 0.001) were significant predictors of worse survival. The C-index at 30 days was 0.71 for MELD score, 0.72 for relative sarcopenia with excess adiposity, and 0.80 for a model including both. There was no association between relative sarcopenia with excess adiposity and number of HE episodes (incidence rate ratio, 1.08; CI, 0.49-2.40; p = 0.84) or time to first HE episode (HR, 0.89; CI, 0.51-1.54; p = 0.67). CONCLUSION. Relative sarcopenia with excess adiposity is a risk factor for mortality after TIPS and contributes additional prognostic information beyond MELD score.

Evaluation of model performance to predict survival after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt placement

Background/Aims

The MELD score was developed to predict survival after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement. Given changes in practice patterns and development of new prognostic tools in cirrhosis, we aimed to evaluate common models to predict mortality after TIPS placement.

Methods

Analysis of consecutive patients who underwent TIPS placement for ascites or bleeding. Performance to predict 90-day mortality was assessed by C statistic for six models (MELD, MELD-Na, CLIF-C ACLF, Child-Pugh, Platelet-Albumin-Bilirubin, and Emory score). Added predictive value to MELD score was assessed for univariate predictors of 90-day mortality. Stratified analysis by TIPS indication, emergent placement status, and TIPS stent type was performed.

Results

413 patients were analyzed (248 with variceal bleeding, 165 with refractory ascites). 90-day mortality was 27% (113/413). Mean MELD score was 15 ± 7.9. MELD score best predicted mortality for all patients (c = 0.779), for variceal bleeding (c = 0.844), and for emergent TIPS (c = 0.817). CLIF-C ACLF score best predicted mortality for refractory ascites (c = 0.707). Addition of sodium to the MELD score did not improve predictive value across multiple strata. Addition of hemoglobin improved MELD score’s predictive value in variceal bleeding. Addition of age improved MELD score’s predictive value in refractory ascites.

Conclusions

MELD score best predicted 90-day mortality. Addition of sodium to the MELD score did not improve its performance, though mortality prediction was improved using Age-MELD for ascites and Hemoglobin-MELD for bleeding. An individualized risk stratification approach may be best when considering candidates for TIPS placement.

Portal pressure gradient and serum albumin: A simple combined parameter associated with the appearance of ascites in decompensated cirrhosis treated with transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt

Background/Aims

In recent years, greater assessment accuracy after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) to ascertain prognosis has become important in decompensated cirrhosis due to portal hypertension. The aim of this study was to assess the ratio of the portal pressure gradient (PPG) pre-TIPS (pre-PPG) to albumin (PPA), which influence ascites formation in cirrhotic patients in the 6-months after TIPS placement, and is a metric introduced in our study.

Methods

This was a retrospective cohort study of 58 patients with decompensated cirrhosis admitted to an academic hospital for the purpose of TIPS placement. We collected the following data: demographics, laboratory measures, and PPG during the TIPS procedure. Then we analyzed the association between the above data and ascites formation postTIPS in cirrhosis patients.

Results

Twenty-two patients with ascites and 28 without ascites were evaluated. Univariate and binary logistic regression analysis were adjusted for the following variables: to determine prognosis; Child-Pugh scores, lymphocyte count, platelet count, hemoglobin level, albumin level and pre-PPG or PPA. The outcome showed that PPA was better than pre-PPG and albumin for predicting ascites according to area under receiver operating characteristic curves and a statistical model that also showed PPA’s influence 6-months post-TIPS.

Conclusions

The combined measurement of pre-PPG and albumin, defined as PPA, may provide a better way to predict post-TIPS ascites in decompensated cirrhosis, which underlines the need for a large clinical trial in the future.

Shear wave elastography prior to transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt may predict the decrease in hepatic vein pressure gradient

BACKGROUND

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is a procedure used to treat portal hypertension complications. Our aim was to evaluate liver and spleen stiffness measurement (LSM and SSM, respectively) changes using acoustic radiation force impulse imaging (ARFI) in comparison to Child-Pugh scores for predicting hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) decreases after TIPS implantation.

METHODS

This prospective study included 31 consecutive clinically significant portal hypertension patients with TIPS indication. All patients received LSM and SSM before TIPS, at baseline, 2 days (follow-up 1) and 6 weeks (follow-up 2) post-implantation. HVPG was performed during the TIPS procedure.

RESULTS

The mean decrease in HVPG after TIPS was 63%. LSM and SSM decreased significantly between baseline and follow-up 2 (p < 0.001 and p < 0.001, respectively). At baseline, follow-up 1 and follow-up 2, significant correlations were detected between mean SSM and mean HVPG (p = 0.026; p = 0.018; p = 0.002, respectively). HVPG decreased to ≤ 10 mmHg in 61% of patients for which LSM, SSM, and Child-Pugh score were predictors (p = 0.033, p = 0.002 and p = 0.030, respectively). The area under the curve (AUC) for LSM, SSM, and Child-Pugh was 0.88, 0.90, and 0.84, respectively, with close sensitivity and specificity. SSM had the highest diagnostic accuracy for predicting an HVPG decrease to ≤ 10 mmHg in comparison to LSM and Child-Pugh score.

CONCLUSION

Spleen stiffness is superior to liver stiffness and Child-Pugh score as a non-invasive surveillance tool for evaluating patients with clinically significant portal hypertension (HVPG ≥ 10 mmHg) prior to TIPS.

No Increased Mortality After TIPS Compared with Serial Large Volume Paracenteses in Patients with Higher Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Score and Refractory Ascites

PURPOSE

To compare survival after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) creation versus serial large volume paracenteses (LVP) in patients with refractory ascites and higher Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this retrospective study, from 1/1/2013 to 10/1/2018, 478 patients (294 male; mean age 58, range 23-89) underwent serial LVP (n = 386) or TIPS (n = 92) for ascites. Propensity-matched cohorts were constructed based on age, MELD, Charlson comorbidity index, varices, and hepatic encephalopathy. Survival was analyzed using a Cox proportional hazards model in which MELD score and TIPS were treated as time-dependent covariates. An interaction term was used to assess the impact of TIPS versus serial LVP on survival as a function of increasing MELD.

RESULTS

In the overall patient sample, higher MELD score predicted worse survival after either serial LVP or TIPS [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.13; p < 0.001], but there was no significant interaction between TIPS and higher MELD score conferring worse survival (HR = 1.01; p = 0.55). In 92 propensity-matched serial LVP and 92 TIPS patients, higher MELD score predicted worse survival after either serial LVP or TIPS (HR = 1.19; p < 0.001), but there was no significant survival interaction between TIPS and higher MELD (HR = 0.97; p = 0.22). In 30 propensity-matched serial LVP patients and 30 TIPS patients with baseline MELD greater than 18, TIPS did not predict worse survival (HR = 0.97; p = 0.94).

CONCLUSION

Higher MELD predicts poorer survival after either serial LVP or TIPS, but TIPS creation is not associated with worse survival compared to serial LVP in patients with higher MELD scores LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level 4, case series.

Model for end-stage liver disease score and hemodynamic instability as a predictor of poor outcome in early transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt treatment for acute variceal hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the outcome of early transjugular portosystemic shunt (TIPS) treatment in patients with a trial-compatible high-risk variceal bleeding and secondly to disclose other predictors of early mortality.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A cohort study was conducted on patients referred for a TIPS procedure with or without combined variceal embolization to control acute esophageal variceal bleeding. A total of 32 patients with Child-Pugh C score less than 14 or Child-Pugh B plus active bleeding at endoscopy, admitted for early-TIPS treatment (<72 h), were included.

RESULTS

We noted one (3.7%) failure to control bleeding and no rebleeding during 1-year follow-up. Ten (31.3%) patients died within 6 weeks after TIPS placement. Early mortality was associated with model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score (P=0.025), MELD score of at least 19 (P=0.008) and hemodynamic instability at time of admission (P=0.001). If hemodynamic instability is associated with a high MELD score, the 6-week mortality peaks at 77.8% (P=0.000).

CONCLUSION

This study confirms the excellent survival results of early-TIPS treatment for acute variceal bleeding in a selected patient group with a low MELD score. Poor survival in hemodynamically unstable patients with high MELD scores (≥19) contests the guidelines that patients with Child-Pugh class C cirrhosis or Child-Pugh class B with active bleeding on endoscopy should deliberately receive preemptive TIPS treatment after endoscopic haemostasis.

Albumin-Bilirubin and Platelet-Albumin-Bilirubin Grades Do Not Predict Survival After Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt Creation

PURPOSE

To evaluate the capability of albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) and platelet-albumin-bilirubin (PALBI) grades in predicting transplant-free survival (TFS) in patients undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) creation.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This single-center retrospective study included 342 ALBI and 337 PALBI patients (62% men; age 53-54 years) with cirrhosis (median MELD 15) and portal hypertension complications (variceal bleeding, 55%; ascites, 35%; other, 10%) who underwent TIPS between 1998 and 2017. Serum albumin, bilirubin, and platelet levels within 24 h prior to TIPS were used to calculate ALBI and PALBI grades. The influence of ALBI and PALBI grade on 30-day, 90-day, and overall post-TIPS TFS was assessed using C-indices, binary logistic regression, and the Cox proportional model, adjusting for Child-Pugh (CP) and MELD scores.

RESULTS

The cohort spanned 110 (32%) and 232 (68%) ALBI grades 2 and 3 patients, and 40 (12%) and 297 (88%) PALBI grades 2 and 3 patients. While there were no differences in 30-day survival between ALBI and PALBI grades 2/3 (P > 0.05), 90-day and overall TFS showed statistically significant differences in survival between ALBI and PALBI grades 2/3 (P < 0.05). Nonetheless, using univariate logistic regression, ALBI-PALBI C-indices (0.55-0.58) were inferior to the MELD score (0.81-0.84). Moreover, ALBI-PALBI did not associate with TFS on multivariable models adjusting for CP and MELD. Only MELD independently associated with TFS (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

ALBI and PALBI grades do not stratify survival outcomes beyond MELD score following TIPS. MELD score remains the most robust metric for predicting post-TIPS survival outcomes.

Primary constrained TIPS for treating refractory ascites or variceal bleeding secondary to hepatic cirrhosis

OBJECTIVE

To report an initial experience using a primary constrained transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) technique for treating cirrhotic patients with refractory ascites or variceal bleeding.

METHODS

All patients undergoing primary constrained (n = 9) and conventional (n = 18) TIPS between July 2014 and June 2016 were retrospectively reviewed. Preprocedure demographics, Child-Pugh, model for end-stage liver disease and technical variables were recorded. Outcomes measured included technical and clinical success, complications, 30-day mortality, as well as necessity for TIPS revision. Average (SD) and median follow-up was 237 (190) and 226 days.

RESULTS

All constrained and conventional TIPS were technically successful (100%). Clinical success as defined as a reduction or improvement in presenting symptoms was 88.9% (8/9) and 100% (18/18) in the constrained and conventional groups, respectively (p = 1). The average reduction in portosystemic gradient was lower in the constrained group, 6.1 mmHg compared with 10.6 mmHg in the conventional group (p = 0.73). The rate of hepatic encephalopathy following TIPS placement was higher in the conventional group [16.7% (3/18)] compared with 0% in the constrained group (p = 0.52). The percentage of patients requiring TIPS revision was lower in the constrained group, although the results were not significant (11.1 vs 22.2%, p = 0.63).

CONCLUSION

Primary constrained TIPS is a feasible modification to conventional TIPS with similar technical and clinical success rates. A trend towards a smaller reduction in the portosystemic gradient and need for revision was observed in the constrained group. Advances in knowledge: Primary constrained TIPS allows for greater stepwise control over shunt diameter and may represent an improved technique for patients at risk for hepatic encephalopathy.

Primary constrained TIPS for treating refractory ascites or variceal bleeding secondary to hepatic cirrhosis

OBJECTIVE

To report an initial experience using a primary constrained transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) technique for treating cirrhotic patients with refractory ascites or variceal bleeding.

METHODS

All patients undergoing primary constrained (n = 9) and conventional (n = 18) TIPS between July 2014 and June 2016 were retrospectively reviewed. Preprocedure demographics, Child-Pugh, model for end-stage liver disease and technical variables were recorded. Outcomes measured included technical and clinical success, complications, 30-day mortality, as well as necessity for TIPS revision. Average (SD) and median follow-up was 237 (190) and 226 days.

RESULTS

All constrained and conventional TIPS were technically successful (100%). Clinical success as defined as a reduction or improvement in presenting symptoms was 88.9% (8/9) and 100% (18/18) in the constrained and conventional groups, respectively (p = 1). The average reduction in portosystemic gradient was lower in the constrained group, 6.1 mmHg compared with 10.6 mmHg in the conventional group (p = 0.73). The rate of hepatic encephalopathy following TIPS placement was higher in the conventional group [16.7% (3/18)] compared with 0% in the constrained group (p = 0.52). The percentage of patients requiring TIPS revision was lower in the constrained group, although the results were not significant (11.1 vs 22.2%, p = 0.63).

CONCLUSION

Primary constrained TIPS is a feasible modification to conventional TIPS with similar technical and clinical success rates. A trend towards a smaller reduction in the portosystemic gradient and need for revision was observed in the constrained group. Advances in knowledge: Primary constrained TIPS allows for greater stepwise control over shunt diameter and may represent an improved technique for patients at risk for hepatic encephalopathy.

Age-related Morbidity and Mortality After Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunts

AIM

To compare age-related morbidity and mortality after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunts (TIPS).

METHODS

We performed a retrospective chart review of patients who underwent TIPS at the University of California Los Angeles Medical Center between 2008 to 2014. Elderly patients (65 y and older) were matched with nonelderly patients (controls, below 65 y) by model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score (±3), indication for TIPS (refractory ascites vs. variceal bleeding), serum sodium level (±5), in a ratio of 1:1. Endpoints measures were hospital stay post-TIPS, rifaximin, or lactulose use, TIPS failure at 30 days, readmission at 90 days, MELD at 90 days, and mortality at 90 days.

RESULTS

A total of 30 patient matches were included in this study: 30 control and 30 elderly patients. The median [interquartile (IQR)] MELD scores for controls and elderly were 11 (9, 13.8) for the controls and 11.5 (9, 14.8) for elderly patients (P=0.139). There were no significant differences in serum sodium and indication for TIPS. Thirty and 90-day follow-up laboratory test results were also similar between elderly and control patients. Event-free survival at 90 days was similar between controls and elderly patients [odds ratio (OR), 0.86; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.3-2.5; P>0.05]. There was a trend toward greater hospitalization (OR, 1.76; 95% CI, 0.52-5.95; P=0.546) and mortality (OR, 3.3; 95% CI, 0.3-14.01; P=0.182).

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study suggest event-free survival is similar between nonelderly and elderly patients. Although statistically significant, there is a tendency toward greater mortality and hospitalization in the elderly.

Transjugular Intrahepatic Porto-Systemic Shunt in Patients with Liver Cirrhosis and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease ≥15

BACKGROUND

It is not known whether transjugular intrahepatic porto-systemic shunt (TIPS) is safe in patients with advanced liver cirrhosis. The aim of our study was to evaluate the impact of TIPS on transplant-free survival in patients with liver cirrhosis and MELD score ≥15.

METHODS

All adult patients who underwent TIPS at our institution between 2004 and 2011 were identified (N = 470). A total of 144 patients had MELD ≥15 at the time of TIPS. These patients were matched 1:1 to patients with liver cirrhosis who did not undergo TIPS based on age and MELD score using the greedy algorithm. Patients were followed up until time of death or liver transplantation. Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests were used to test for differences in survival outcome between the two groups.

RESULTS

A total of 288 patients with liver cirrhosis were included, of whom 144 underwent TIPS and 144 did not. The two groups were matched based on age and MELD score and were comparable with regard to gender and ethnicity. Mean MELD and Child-Pugh scores in the study population were 20.9 ± 6.5 and 10.5 ± 1.8, respectively. The most common indication for TIPS was varices (49 %), followed by refractory ascites (42 %). In the first 2 months post-TIPS, there was increased mortality or liver transplantation in patients who had TIPS compared to those who did not, but this did not reach statistical significance (p = 0.07). However, after 2 months, TIPS is associated with 56 % lower risk of dying or needing liver transplantation (p < 0.01) than cirrhotic patients who did not undergo TIPS.

CONCLUSION

In patients with liver cirrhosis and MELD ≥15, TIPS might improve transplant-free survival for patients who live for at least 2 months after the procedure.

Portal Venous Interventions: State of the Art

In recent decades, there have been numerous advances in the management of liver cancer, cirrhosis, and diabetes mellitus. Although these diseases are wide ranging in their clinical manifestations, each can potentially be treated by exploiting the blood flow dynamics within the portal venous system, and in some cases, adding cellular therapies. To aid in the management of these disease states, minimally invasive transcatheter portal venous interventions have been developed to improve the safety of major hepatic resection, to reduce the untoward effects of sequelae from end-stage liver disease, and to minimize the requirement of exogenously administered insulin for patients with diabetes mellitus. This state of the art review therefore provides an overview of the most recent data and strategies for utilization of preoperative portal vein embolization, transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt placement, balloon retrograde transvenous obliteration, and islet cell transplantation.

The presence of spontaneous portosystemic shunts increases the risk of complications after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement

PURPOSE

The goal of this study was to identify clinical and imaging variables that are associated with an unfavorable outcome during the 30 days following transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Fifty-four consecutive patients with liver cirrhosis (Child-Pugh 6-13, Model for End-stage Liver Disease 7-26) underwent TIPS placement for refractory ascites (n=25), recurrent or uncontrolled variceal bleeding (n=23) or both (n=6). Clinical, biological and imaging variables including type of stent (covered n=40; bare-stent n=14), presence of spontaneous portosystemic shunt (n=31), and variations in portosystemic pressure gradient were recorded. Early severe complication was defined as the occurrence of overt hepatic encephalopathy or death within the 30days following TIPS placement.

RESULTS

Sixteen patients (30%) presented with early severe complication after TIPS placement. Child-Pugh score was independently associated with complication (HR=1.52, P<0.001). Among the imaging variables, opacification of spontaneous portosystemic shunt during TIPS placement but before its creation was associated with an increased risk of early complication (P=0.04). The other imaging variables were not associated with occurrence of complication.

CONCLUSION

Identification of spontaneous portosystemic shunt during TIPS placement reflects the presence of varices and is associated with an increased risk of early severe complication.

Pharmacokinetic drug interactions in liver disease: An update

Inhibition and induction of drug-metabolizing enzymes are the most frequent and dangerous drug-drug interactions. They are an important cause of serious adverse events that have often resulted in early termination of drug development or withdrawal of drugs from the market. Management of such interactions by dose adjustment in clinical practice is extremely difficult because of the wide interindividual variability in their magnitude. This review examines the genetic, physiological, and environmental factors responsible for this variability, focusing on an important but so far neglected cause of variability, liver functional status. Clinical studies have shown that liver disease causes a reduction in the magnitude of interactions due to enzyme inhibition, which is proportional to the degree of liver function impairment. The effect of liver dysfunction varies quantitatively according to the nature, reversible or irreversible, of the inhibitory interaction. The magnitude of reversible inhibition is more drastically reduced and virtually vanishes in patients with advanced hepatocellular insufficiency. Two mechanisms, in order of importance, are responsible for this reduction: decreased hepatic uptake of the inhibitory drug and reduced enzyme expression. The extent of irreversible inhibitory interactions is only partially reduced, as it is only influenced by the decreased expression of the inhibited enzyme. Thus, for appropriate clinical management of inhibitory drug interactions, both the liver functional status and the mechanism of inhibition must be taken into consideration. Although the inducibility of drug-metabolizing enzymes in liver disease has long been studied, very conflicting results have been obtained, mainly because of methodological differences. Taken together, the results of early animal and human studies indicated that enzyme induction is substantially preserved in compensated liver cirrhosis, whereas no definitive conclusion as to whether it is significantly reduced in the decompensated state of cirrhosis was provided. Since ethical constraints virtually preclude the possibility of performing methodologically rigorous investigations in patients with severe liver dysfunction, studies have recently been performed in animals rigorously stratified according to the severity of liver insufficiency. The results of these studies confirmed that enzyme induction is virtually unaffected in compensated cirrhosis and indicated that the susceptibility of enzyme induction to severe liver dysfunction depends on the type of nuclear receptor involved and also varies among enzyme isoforms under the transcriptional control of the same nuclear receptor. These findings make it clear that no general conclusion can be reached from the study of any particular enzyme and partly explain the conflicting results obtained by previous studies. Since no general guidelines can be provided for the management of drug interactions resulting from enzyme induction, both the effects and the plasma concentration of the induced drug should be strictly monitored. The findings discussed in this review have important methodological implications as they indicate that, contrary to current guidelines, the magnitude of metabolic drug-drug interactions in patients with liver disease cannot be inferred from studies in healthy subjects.