Increasing Incidence of Melanoma in the Elderly: An Epidemiological Study in Olmsted County, Minnesota

Incidence and mortality trends of primary cutaneous melanoma: A 50-year Rochester Epidemiologic Project study

Background

National cancer reporting-based registry data, although robust, lacks granularity for incidence trends. Expert opinion remains conflicted regarding the possibility of melanoma overdiagnosis in the context of rising incidence without a corresponding rise in mortality.

Objective

To characterize 10- and 50-year trends in melanoma incidence and mortality.

Methods

Multicenter, population-based epidemiologic study utilizing the Rochester Epidemiology Project for Olmsted County, Minnesota residents diagnosed with melanoma from 01/01/1970 to 12/21/2020. Age- and sex-adjusted incidence and disease-specific mortality are calculated.

Results

Two thousand three hundred ten primary cutaneous melanomas were identified. Current age- and sex-adjusted incidence rates increased 11.1-fold since 1970s (P < .001). Over the last decade, there is an overall 1.21-fold (P < .002) increase, with a 1.36-fold increase (P < .002) among females and no significant increase among males (1.09-fold increase, P < .329). Melanoma-specific mortality decreased from 26.7% in 1970s to 1.5% in 2010s, with a hazard ratio (HR) reduction of 0.73 (P < .001) per 5-year period. Increased mortality was associated with Breslow thickness (HR 1.35, P < .001), age at diagnosis (HR 1.13, P = .001) left anatomic site (HR 1.98, P = .016), and nodular histogenic subtype (HR 3.08, P < .001).

Limitations

Retrospective nature and focused geographic investigation.

Conclusion

Melanoma incidence has continued to increase over the past decade, most significantly in females aged 40+. Trend variations among age and sex cohorts suggests external factors beyond overdiagnosis may be responsible. Disease-specific mortality of melanoma continues to decrease over the last 50 years.

The benefit of sentinel lymph node biopsy in elderly patients with melanoma: A retrospective analysis of SEER Medicare data (2010-2018)

BACKGROUND

Sentinel lymph node status is critical for melanoma staging and treatment. However, the factors influencing SLNB and its oncologic benefits in elderly patients are unclear.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis of patients aged ≥65 with clinically node-negative melanoma and Breslow depth ≥1 ​mm, using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Medicare database (2010-2018). Multivariable logistic regression assessed SLNB likelihood by demographic and clinical factors, and Cox-proportional hazard models evaluated overall and melanoma-specific mortality (MSM) for SLNB recipients versus non-recipients.

RESULTS

Of 13,160 melanoma patients, 62.29 ​% underwent SLNB. SLNB was linked to reduced all-cause mortality (HR: 0.65 [95%CI 0.61-0.70]) and MSM (HR: 0.76 [95%CI 0.67-0.85]). Older age, non-White race, male sex, and unmarried status was associated with decreased SLNB likelihood, while cardiopulmonary, neurologic, and secondary cancer comorbidities were associated with increased SLNB likelihood.

CONCLUSIONS

Though less frequently performed, SLNB is associated with lower mortality in elderly melanoma patients. Advanced age alone should not contraindicate SLNB.

Increasing Incidence and Decreasing Mortality of Melanoma in Elderly Adults: An Epidemiologic Study in Olmsted County, Minnesota

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Primary cutaneous melanoma incidence is increasing in elderly individuals. This population-based cohort examines incidence and mortality rates among adults aged 61 years and older with cutaneous melanoma.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Using the Rochester Epidemiology Project, patients aged 61 years of age or older with a first lifetime diagnosis of cutaneous melanoma between January 1, 1970 and December 31, 2020 were identified.

RESULTS

The age- and sex-adjusted incidence rate increased from 16.4 (95% CI, 8.2-24.6) per 100,000 person-years in 1970 to 1979 to 201.5 (95% CI, 185.1-217.8) per 100,000 person-years in 2011 to 2020 (12.3-fold increase). There was a 16.0x increase in males and an 8.5× increase in females. Melanoma incidence has stabilized in males (1.2-fold increase, p = .11) and continues to significantly increase in females (2.7-fold increase, p < .001). Older age at diagnosis was significantly associated with an increased risk of death (HR 1.23 per 5-year increase in age at diagnosis, 95% CI, 1.02-1.47).

CONCLUSION

Melanoma incidence continues to increase since 1970. The incidence has risen in elderly females, but has stabilized in males. Mortality has decreased throughout this period.

BRAF V600E Expression in Primary Melanoma and Its Association With Death: A Population-Based, Retrospective, Cross-Sectional Study

Approximately 50% of melanomas contain BRAF mutations; the effects on survival are unclear. We aimed to determine whether mutant BRAF expression in melanoma differs according to age, sex, and melanoma-specific survival. A total of 638 patients who resided in Olmsted County, Minnesota, with a first lifetime diagnosis of melanoma between 1970 and 2009 were identified from the Rochester Epidemiology Project (REP). Available tissue was analyzed for a BRAF V600E mutation with immunohistochemistry.

Regional variability of melanoma incidence and prevalence in Hungary. Epidemiological impact of ambient UV radiation and socioeconomic factors

BACKGROUND

The incidence of cutaneous melanoma has risen faster than almost any other type of cancer in the last 50 years. Ultraviolet (UV) radiation and genetic susceptibility are the most important risk factors.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to determine the epidemiologic indicators of melanoma in Hungary, a country with an estimated population of 9.8 million and an area of 93 030 km2.

METHODS

Anonymized patient records from the National Health Insurance Fund Management covering the entire population were used to determine the incidence and prevalence of melanoma in the counties of Hungary from 2013 to 2017. Altogether 20 030 melanoma cases were identified for inclusion in this study.

RESULTS

The prevalence of melanoma increased over the investigated period and was significantly higher among women than men. The incidence of melanoma stagnated during this period and the incidence rate was the highest among the elderly. Interestingly, the incidence was higher in males in the elderly population, while the incidence was higher in females in the younger (<60 years) population. Geographical variations in ambient UV radiation did not show statistically significant correlation with the regional variability of epidemiologic indicators, probably due to small differences in the number of bright sunshine hours per year between regions. Although Hungary is a relatively small country, we observed regional heterogeneity in socioeconomic factors. Notably, a significant and strong negative correlation was found between single-person household rates and melanoma prevalence.

CONCLUSION

In addition to ambient UV radiation, melanoma incidence and prevalence appear to be related to age, gender and socioeconomic factors.

Increasing melanoma incidence in the elderly in North-East Hungary: is this a more serious problem than we thought?

There is a great need for efficient and cost-effective melanoma screening, but this is not yet solved. Epidemiological studies on trends in melanoma incidence by tumour thickness, anatomical site and demographical data can help to improve public health efforts regarding earlier melanoma diagnosis. We aimed to study the trends in the incidence and characteristics of patients and their melanoma in North-East Hungary from 2000 to 2014. Data were obtained from a university hospital-based registry. A total of 1509 cutaneous invasive melanomas of 1464 patients were included in the study. A moderate but significant increase in incidence was observed in the region [average annual percentage change: 3.04 (0.07; 6.11); P = 0.045], with a breakpoint in 2007. From 2001 to 2007, the trend was increasing [APC: 9.84 (3.52; 16.55); P=0.006], but it stalled from 2007 [APC: -2.45 (-5.99; 1.23); P = 0.164]. However, in the age groups over the age of 60 years, where the standardised incidence was the highest, the incidence continued to rise. Furthermore, older age, male sex and trunk or lower extremity localization were found to be associated with thicker melanomas. Our results support that regular screening examination for melanoma would be desirable for people over the age of 60 years.

NVD-BM-mediated genetic biosensor triggers accumulation of 7-dehydrocholesterol and inhibits melanoma via Akt1/NF-ĸB signaling

Aberrant activation of the cholesterol biosynthesis supports tumor cell growth. In recent years, significant progress has been made by targeting rate-limiting enzymes in cholesterol biosynthesis pathways to prevent carcinogenesis. However, precise mechanisms behind cholesterol degradation in cancer cells have not been comprehensively investigated. Here, we report that codon optimization of the orthologous cholesterol 7-desaturase, NVD-BM from Bombyx mori, significantly slowed melanoma cell proliferation and migration, and inhibited cancer cell engraftment in nude mice, by converting cholesterol to toxic 7-dehydrocholesterol. Based on these observations, we established a synthetic genetic circuit to induce melanoma cell regression by sensing tumor specific signals in melanoma cells. The dual-input signals, RELA proto-oncogene (RELA) and signal transducer and activator of transcription 1 (STAT1), activated NVD-BM expression and repressed melanoma cell proliferation and migration. Mechanically, we observed that NVD-BM decreased Akt1-ser473 phosphorylation and inhibited cytoplasmic RELA translocation. Taken together, NVD-BM was identified as a tumor suppressor in malignant melanoma, and we established a dual-input biosensor to promote cancer cell regression, via Akt1/NF-κB signaling. Our results demonstrate the potential therapeutic effects of cholesterol 7-desaturase in melanoma metabolism, and provides insights for genetic circuits targeting 7-dehydrocholesterol accumulation in tumors.

Melanoma in older patients: declining gap in survival between younger and older patients with melanoma

Background: Older people have the highest incidence of melanoma and the population in most Western countries is ageing. We evaluated how the gap in incidence and survival between younger and older patients has developed during the past decades.Material and methods: All patients diagnosed with cutaneous melanoma between 1989 and 2015 (n = 84,827) were identified from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. Elderly were defined as aged ≥70 years. Differences in patient and tumor characteristics were described, age-specific incidence rates were calculated, and relative survival (RS) and multivariable analyses estimating the Relative Excess Rate of dying (RER) were conductedResults: In older men, the melanoma age-standardized incidence increased from 18 to 103/100,000 person-years (py) between 1989 and 2015 and in older women from 23 to 70/100,000 py. In younger men and women, it increased from 8 to 21 and from 13 to 28/100,000 py, respectively. Median Breslow thickness declined from 1.8 to 1.1 mm and from 1.6 to 1.1 mm in older men and women (2003 versus 2015), and from 1.1 to 0.9 mm and 0.9 to 0.8 mm in younger men and women. In older men, 5-year RS increased from 67% (95% CI: 63%-72%) in 1989-1997 to 85% (95% CI: 83%-87%) in 2007-2015 and in older women from 81% (95% CI: 78%-85%) to 89% (95% CI: 87%-91%). In younger men and women, RS increased from 82% (95% CI: 81%-83%) to 90% (95% CI: 90%-91%) and from 92% (95% CI: 92%-93%) to 96% (95% CI: 95%-96%). After case-mix correction , older men and women no longer showed an improved survival over time (RER 2010-2015 versus 2003-2009: 0.97; 95% CI: 0.81-1.16 and 0.95; 95% CI: 0.79-1.16). Whereas in younger men and women survival remained improved (RER 0.75; 95% CI: 0.67-0.83 and 0.77; 95%CI: 0.67-0.89).Conclusion: The gap in melanoma incidence between younger and older people is increasing due to a strong increase in incidence in older adults. Disparities in survival are declining, related to a narrowing gap in Breslow thickness.

Stage III melanoma incidence and impact of transitioning to the 8th AJCC staging system: a US population-based study

Aim: To estimate incidence of stage III melanoma using the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging, 7th and 8th edition. Patients & methods: The SEER US cancer registry was analyzed (2010–2014). AJCC7 stages were recorded in the data; AJCC8 stages were inferred. Results: Of 106,195 melanoma patients, 7669 and 7342 had stage III melanoma by AJCC7 and AJCC8, respectively (95% overlap). Nearly 30% of patients with AJCC7 stage III melanoma were reclassified in a higher stage III group by AJCC8 versus 7% in lower stage group. Regardless of the AJCC edition, incidence of stage III melanoma has increased from 2010 to 2014 both overall and within each stage III group. Conclusion: Providing appropriate management to this growing population of high-risk patients is a priority.

Improvement and persistent disparities in completion lymph node dissection: Lessons from the National Cancer Database

BACKGROUND

Completion lymph node dissection (CLND) is recommended for melanoma patients with positive sentinel lymph node biopsies (SLNB); however, 50% do not undergo CLND. We sought to determine CLND trends over time, and factors contributing to variability.

METHODS

The NCDB was queried for patients undergoing wide local excision (WLE), with or without SLNB and CLND. Cohorts were created based on demographic/socioeconomic variables and era of treatment (Era 1: 2003-07, Era 2: 2008-12). Univariate and multivariate analyses identified factors associated with performance of or trends in CLND.

RESULTS

122 849 underwent WLE with SLNB. Of 24 267 (19.8%) with +SLNB, 13 594 (56.0%) continued to CLND. In multivariate analyses, Medicaid (OR 0.78; P = 0.04) or Medicare (OR 0.79; P < 0.01) in Era 1 and patients without insurance in Era 2 (OR 0.78; P = 0.01) underwent less CLND. In both eras, Blacks (OR 0.45; P < 0.01, OR 0.59; P < 0.01), head/neck lesions (OR 0.72; P < 0.01, OR 0.66; P < 0.01) and lower extremity lesions (OR 0.75; P < 0.01, OR 0.72; P < 0.01) underwent less CLND. However, Blacks experienced greatest increase in CLND usage (+9.2%).

CONCLUSIONS

CLND usage continues to be low and racial/socioeconomic disparities persist. Until the results of MSLT-2 become available, continued focus on understanding poor adherence to, and improving rates of CLND is necessary.