Biophysics-based statistical learning: Application to heart and brain interactions

Electroacupuncture attenuates myocardial ischemia-reperfusion injury by inhibiting microglial engulfment of dendritic spines

A major side effect of reperfusion therapy following myocardial infarction is myocardial ischemia-reperfusion injury (MIRI). Electroacupuncture preconditioning (EA-pre) has a long history in the treatment of cardiovascular diseases. Here, we demonstrate how EA-pre attenuates MIRI by affecting the phagocytosis of neuronal dendritic spines of microglia of the fastigial nucleus (FNmicroglia). We observed that EA-pre increased activity in FNGABA and then improved myocardial injury by inhibiting abnormal activities of glutaminergic neurons of the FN (FNGlu) during MIRI. Interestingly, we observed changes in the quantity and shape of FN microglia in mice treated with EA-pre and a decrease in the phagocytosis of FNGABA neuronal dendritic spines by microglia. Furthermore, the effects of improving MIRI were reversed when EA-pre mice were chemically activated by intra-FN lipopolysaccharide injection. Overall, our results provide new insight indicating that EA-pre regulates microglial engulfment capacity, thus promoting the improvement of cardiac sympathetic nervous disorder during MIRI.

Kimesurface Representation and Tensor Linear Modeling of Longitudinal Data

Many modern techniques for analyzing time-varying longitudinal data rely on parametric models to interrogate the time-courses of univariate or multivariate processes. Typical analytic objectives include utilizing retrospective observations to model current trends, predict prospective trajectories, derive categorical traits, or characterize various relations. Among the many mathematical, statistical, and computational strategies for analyzing longitudinal data, tensor-based linear modeling offers a unique algebraic approach that encodes different characterizations of the observed measurements in terms of state indices. This paper introduces a new method of representing, modeling, and analyzing repeated-measurement longitudinal data using a generalization of event order from the positive reals to the complex plane. Using complex time (kime), we transform classical time-varying signals as 2D manifolds called kimesurfaces. This kime characterization extends the classical protocols for analyzing time-series data and offers unique opportunities to design novel inference, prediction, classification, and regression techniques based on the corresponding kimesurface manifolds. We define complex time and illustrate alternative time-series to kimesurface transformations. Using the Laplace transform and its inverse, we demonstrate the bijective mapping between time-series and kimesurfaces. A proposed general tensor regression based linear model is validated using functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (fMRI) data. This kimesurface representation method can be used with a wide range of machine learning algorithms, artificial intelligence tools, analytical approaches, and inferential techniques to interrogate multivariate, complex-domain, and complex-range longitudinal processes.

Combined In-silico and Machine Learning Approaches Toward Predicting Arrhythmic Risk in Post-infarction Patients

Background: Remodeling due to myocardial infarction (MI) significantly increases patient arrhythmic risk. Simulations using patient-specific models have shown promise in predicting personalized risk for arrhythmia. However, these are computationally- and time- intensive, hindering translation to clinical practice. Classical machine learning (ML) algorithms (such as K-nearest neighbors, Gaussian support vector machines, and decision trees) as well as neural network techniques, shown to increase prediction accuracy, can be used to predict occurrence of arrhythmia as predicted by simulations based solely on infarct and ventricular geometry. We present an initial combined image-based patient-specific in silico and machine learning methodology to assess risk for dangerous arrhythmia in post-infarct patients. Furthermore, we aim to demonstrate that simulation-supported data augmentation improves prediction models, combining patient data, computational simulation, and advanced statistical modeling, improving overall accuracy for arrhythmia risk assessment.

Methods: MRI-based computational models were constructed from 30 patients 5 days post-MI (the “baseline” population). In order to assess the utility biophysical model-supported data augmentation for improving arrhythmia prediction, we augmented the virtual baseline patient population. Each patient ventricular and ischemic geometry in the baseline population was used to create a subfamily of geometric models, resulting in an expanded set of patient models (the “augmented” population). Arrhythmia induction was attempted via programmed stimulation at 17 sites for each virtual patient corresponding to AHA LV segments and simulation outcome, “arrhythmia,” or “no-arrhythmia,” were used as ground truth for subsequent statistical prediction (machine learning, ML) models. For each patient geometric model, we measured and used choice data features: the myocardial volume and ischemic volume, as well as the segment-specific myocardial volume and ischemia percentage, as input to ML algorithms. For classical ML techniques (ML), we trained k-nearest neighbors, support vector machine, logistic regression, xgboost, and decision tree models to predict the simulation outcome from these geometric features alone. To explore neural network ML techniques, we trained both a three - and a four-hidden layer multilayer perceptron feed forward neural networks (NN), again predicting simulation outcomes from these geometric features alone. ML and NN models were trained on 70% of randomly selected segments and the remaining 30% was used for validation for both baseline and augmented populations.

Results: Stimulation in the baseline population (30 patient models) resulted in reentry in 21.8% of sites tested; in the augmented population (129 total patient models) reentry occurred in 13.0% of sites tested. ML and NN models ranged in mean accuracy from 0.83 to 0.86 for the baseline population, improving to 0.88 to 0.89 in all cases.

Conclusion: Machine learning techniques, combined with patient-specific, image-based computational simulations, can provide key clinical insights with high accuracy rapidly and efficiently. In the case of sparse or missing patient data, simulation-supported data augmentation can be employed to further improve predictive results for patient benefit. This work paves the way for using data-driven simulations for prediction of dangerous arrhythmia in MI patients.