Brain age prediction using fMRI network coupling in youths and associations with psychiatric symptoms

Brain-age prediction: Systematic evaluation of site effects, and sample age range and size

Structural neuroimaging data have been used to compute an estimate of the biological age of the brain (brain-age) which has been associated with other biologically and behaviorally meaningful measures of brain development and aging. The ongoing research interest in brain-age has highlighted the need for robust and publicly available brain-age models pre-trained on data from large samples of healthy individuals. To address this need we have previously released a developmental brain-age model. Here we expand this work to develop, empirically validate, and disseminate a pre-trained brain-age model to cover most of the human lifespan. To achieve this, we selected the best-performing model after systematically examining the impact of seven site harmonization strategies, age range, and sample size on brain-age prediction in a discovery sample of brain morphometric measures from 35,683 healthy individuals (age range: 5-90 years; 53.59% female). The pre-trained models were tested for cross-dataset generalizability in an independent sample comprising 2101 healthy individuals (age range: 8-80 years; 55.35% female) and for longitudinal consistency in a further sample comprising 377 healthy individuals (age range: 9-25 years; 49.87% female). This empirical examination yielded the following findings: (1) the accuracy of age prediction from morphometry data was higher when no site harmonization was applied; (2) dividing the discovery sample into two age-bins (5-40 and 40-90 years) provided a better balance between model accuracy and explained age variance than other alternatives; (3) model accuracy for brain-age prediction plateaued at a sample size exceeding 1600 participants. These findings have been incorporated into CentileBrain (https://centilebrain.org/#/brainAGE2), an open-science, web-based platform for individualized neuroimaging metrics.

Flexible parametrization of graph-theoretical features from individual-specific networks for prediction

Statistical techniques are needed to analyze data structures with complex dependencies such that clinically useful information can be extracted. Individual-specific networks, which capture dependencies in complex biological systems, are often summarized by graph-theoretical features. These features, which lend themselves to outcome modeling, can be subject to high variability due to arbitrary decisions in network inference and noise. Correlation-based adjacency matrices often need to be sparsified before meaningful graph-theoretical features can be extracted, requiring the data analysts to determine an optimal threshold. To address this issue, we propose to incorporate a flexible weighting function over the full range of possible thresholds to capture the variability of graph-theoretical features over the threshold domain. The potential of this approach, which extends concepts from functional data analysis to a graph-theoretical setting, is explored in a plasmode simulation study using real functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) data from the Autism Brain Imaging Data Exchange (ABIDE) Preprocessed initiative. The simulations show that our modeling approach yields accurate estimates of the functional form of the weight function, improves inference efficiency, and achieves a comparable or reduced root mean square prediction error compared to competitor modeling approaches. This assertion holds true in settings where both complex functional forms underlie the outcome-generating process and a universal threshold value is employed. We demonstrate the practical utility of our approach by using resting-state fMRI data to predict biological age in children. Our study establishes the flexible modeling approach as a statistically principled, serious competitor to ad-hoc methods with superior performance.

How the intrinsic functional connectivity patterns of the semantic network support semantic processing

Semantic processing, a core of language comprehension, involves the activation of brain regions dispersed extensively across the frontal, temporal, and parietal cortices that compose the semantic network. To comprehend the functional structure of this semantic network and how it prepares for semantic processing, we investigated its intrinsic functional connectivity (FC) and the relation between this pattern and semantic processing ability in a large sample from the Human Connectome Project (HCP) dataset. We first defined a well-studied brain network for semantic processing, and then we characterized the within-network connectivity (WNC) and the between-network connectivity (BNC) within this network using a voxel-based global brain connectivity (GBC) method based on resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI). The results showed that 97.73% of the voxels in the semantic network displayed considerably greater WNC than BNC, demonstrating that the semantic network is a fairly encapsulated network. Moreover, multiple connector hubs in the semantic network were identified after applying the criterion of WNC > 1 SD above the mean WNC of the semantic network. More importantly, three of these connector hubs (i.e., the left anterior temporal lobe, angular gyrus, and orbital part of the inferior frontal gyrus) were reliably associated with semantic processing ability. Our findings suggest that the three identified regions use WNC as the central mechanism for supporting semantic processing and that task-independent spontaneous connectivity in the semantic network is essential for semantic processing.

A growth chart of brain function from infancy to adolescence based on EEG

BACKGROUND

In children, objective, quantitative tools that determine functional neurodevelopment are scarce and rarely scalable for clinical use. Direct recordings of cortical activity using routinely acquired electroencephalography (EEG) offer reliable measures of brain function.

METHODS

We developed and validated a measure of functional brain age (FBA) using a residual neural network-based interpretation of the paediatric EEG. In this cross-sectional study, we included 1056 children with typical development ranging in age from 1 month to 18 years. We analysed a 10- to 15-min segment of 18-channel EEG recorded during light sleep (N1 and N2 states).

FINDINGS

The FBA had a weighted mean absolute error (wMAE) of 0.85 years (95% CI: 0.69-1.02; n = 1056). A two-channel version of the FBA had a wMAE of 1.51 years (95% CI: 1.30-1.73; n = 1056) and was validated on an independent set of EEG recordings (wMAE = 2.27 years, 95% CI: 1.90-2.65; n = 723). Group-level maturational delays were also detected in a small cohort of children with Trisomy 21 (Cohen's d = 0.36, p = 0.028).

INTERPRETATION

A FBA, based on EEG, is an accurate, practical and scalable automated tool to track brain function maturation throughout childhood with accuracy comparable to widely used physical growth charts.

FUNDING

This research was supported by the National Health and Medical Research Council, Australia, Helsinki University Diagnostic Center Research Funds, Finnish Academy, Finnish Paediatric Foundation, and Sigrid Juselius Foundation.

Data leakage inflates prediction performance in connectome-based machine learning models

Predictive modeling is a central technique in neuroimaging to identify brain-behavior relationships and test their generalizability to unseen data. However, data leakage undermines the validity of predictive models by breaching the separation between training and test data. Leakage is always an incorrect practice but still pervasive in machine learning. Understanding its effects on neuroimaging predictive models can inform how leakage affects existing literature. Here, we investigate the effects of five forms of leakage-involving feature selection, covariate correction, and dependence between subjects-on functional and structural connectome-based machine learning models across four datasets and three phenotypes. Leakage via feature selection and repeated subjects drastically inflates prediction performance, whereas other forms of leakage have minor effects. Furthermore, small datasets exacerbate the effects of leakage. Overall, our results illustrate the variable effects of leakage and underscore the importance of avoiding data leakage to improve the validity and reproducibility of predictive modeling.

Deep learning-based BMI inference from structural brain MRI reflects brain alterations following lifestyle intervention

Obesity is associated with negative effects on the brain. We exploit Artificial Intelligence (AI) tools to explore whether differences in clinical measurements following lifestyle interventions in overweight population could be reflected in brain morphology. In the DIRECT-PLUS clinical trial, participants with criterion for metabolic syndrome underwent an 18-month lifestyle intervention. Structural brain MRIs were acquired before and after the intervention. We utilized an ensemble learning framework to predict Body-Mass Index (BMI) scores, which correspond to adiposity-related clinical measurements from brain MRIs. We revealed that patient-specific reduction in BMI predictions was associated with actual weight loss and was significantly higher in active diet groups compared to a control group. Moreover, explainable AI (XAI) maps highlighted brain regions contributing to BMI predictions that were distinct from regions associated with age prediction. Our DIRECT-PLUS analysis results imply that predicted BMI and its reduction are unique neural biomarkers for obesity-related brain modifications and weight loss.

Relative brain age is associated with socioeconomic status and anxiety/depression problems in youth

Brain age, a measure of biological aging in the brain, has been linked to psychiatric illness, principally in adult populations. Components of socioeconomic status (SES) associate with differences in brain structure and psychiatric risk across the lifespan. This study aimed to investigate the influence of SES on brain aging in childhood and adolescence, a period of rapid neurodevelopment and peak onset for many psychiatric disorders. We reanalyzed data from the Healthy Brain Network to examine the influence of SES components (occupational prestige, public assistance enrollment, parent education, and household income-to-needs ratio [INR]) on relative brain age (RBA). Analyses included 470 youth (5-17 years; 61.3% men), self-identifying as White (55%), African American (15%), Hispanic (9%), or multiracial (17.2%). Household income was 3.95 ± 2.33 (mean ± SD) times the federal poverty threshold. RBA quantified differences between chronological age and brain age using covariation patterns of morphological features and total volumes. We also examined associations between RBA and psychiatric symptoms (Child Behavior Checklist [CBCL]). Models covaried for sex, scan location, and parent psychiatric diagnoses. In a linear regression, lower RBA is associated with lower parent occupational prestige (p = .01), lower public assistance enrollment (p = .03), and more parent psychiatric diagnoses (p = .01), but not parent education or INR. Lower parent occupational prestige (p = .02) and lower RBA (p = .04) are associated with higher CBCL anxious/depressed scores. Our findings underscore the importance of including SES components in developmental brain research. Delayed brain aging may represent a potential biological pathway from SES to psychiatric risk. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA, all rights reserved).

The effects of data leakage on connectome-based machine learning models

Predictive modeling has now become a central technique in neuroimaging to identify complex brain-behavior relationships and test their generalizability to unseen data. However, data leakage, which unintentionally breaches the separation between data used to train and test the model, undermines the validity of predictive models. Previous literature suggests that leakage is generally pervasive in machine learning, but few studies have empirically evaluated the effects of leakage in neuroimaging data. Although leakage is always an incorrect practice, understanding the effects of leakage on neuroimaging predictive models provides insight into the extent to which leakage may affect the literature. Here, we investigated the effects of leakage on machine learning models in two common neuroimaging modalities, functional and structural connectomes. Using over 400 different pipelines spanning four large datasets and three phenotypes, we evaluated five forms of leakage fitting into three broad categories: feature selection, covariate correction, and lack of independence between subjects. As expected, leakage via feature selection and repeated subjects drastically inflated prediction performance. Notably, other forms of leakage had only minor effects (e.g., leaky site correction) or even decreased prediction performance (e.g., leaky covariate regression). In some cases, leakage affected not only prediction performance, but also model coefficients, and thus neurobiological interpretations. Finally, we found that predictive models using small datasets were more sensitive to leakage. Overall, our results illustrate the variable effects of leakage on prediction pipelines and underscore the importance of avoiding data leakage to improve the validity and reproducibility of predictive modeling.

Histopathologic brain age estimation via multiple instance learning

Understanding age acceleration, the discordance between biological and chronological age, in the brain can reveal mechanistic insights into normal physiology as well as elucidate pathological determinants of age-related functional decline and identify early disease changes in the context of Alzheimer's and other disorders. Histopathological whole slide images provide a wealth of pathologic data on the cellular level that can be leveraged to build deep learning models to assess age acceleration. Here, we used a collection of digitized human post-mortem hippocampal sections to develop a histological brain age estimation model. Our model predicted brain age within a mean absolute error of 5.45 ± 0.22 years, with attention weights corresponding to neuroanatomical regions vulnerable to age-related changes. We found that histopathologic brain age acceleration had significant associations with clinical and pathologic outcomes that were not found with epigenetic based measures. Our results indicate that histopathologic brain age is a powerful, independent metric for understanding factors that contribute to brain aging.

Replication and Refinement of Brain Age Model for adolescent development

The discrepancy between chronological age and estimated brain age, known as the brain age gap, may serve as a biomarker to reveal brain development and neuropsychiatric problems. This has motivated many studies focusing on the accurate estimation of brain age using different features and models, of which the generalizability is yet to be tested. Our recent study has demonstrated that conventional machine learning models can achieve high accuracy on brain age prediction during development using only a small set of selected features from multimodal brain imaging data. In the current study, we tested the replicability of various brain age models on the Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development (ABCD) cohort. We proposed a new refined model to improve the robustness of brain age prediction. The direct replication test for existing brain age models derived from the age range of 8-22 years onto the ABCD participants at baseline (9 to 10 years old) and year-two follow-up (11 to 12 years old) indicate that pre-trained models could capture the overall mean age failed precisely estimating brain age variation within a narrow range. The refined model, which combined broad prediction of the pre-trained model and granular information with the narrow age range, achieved the best performance with a mean absolute error of 0.49 and 0.48 years on the baseline and year-two data, respectively. The brain age gap yielded by the refined model showed significant associations with the participants' information processing speed and verbal comprehension ability on baseline data.

Fast three-dimensional image generation for healthy brain aging using diffeomorphic registration

Predicting brain aging can help in the early detection and prognosis of neurodegenerative diseases. Longitudinal cohorts of healthy subjects scanned through magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) have been essential to understand the structural brain changes due to aging. However, these cohorts suffer from missing data due to logistic issues in the recruitment of subjects. This paper proposes a methodology for filling up missing data in longitudinal cohorts with anatomically plausible images that capture the subject-specific aging process. The proposed methodology is developed within the framework of diffeomorphic registration. First, two novel modules are introduced within Synthmorph, a fast, state-of-the-art deep learning-based diffeomorphic registration method, to simulate the aging process between the first and last available MRI scan for each subject in three-dimensional (3D). The use of image registration also makes the generated images plausible by construction. Second, we used six image similarity measurements to rearrange the generated images to the specific age range. Finally, we estimated the age of every generated image by using the assumption of linear brain decay in healthy subjects. The methodology was evaluated on 2662 T1-weighted MRI scans from 796 healthy participants from 3 different longitudinal cohorts: Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative, Open Access Series of Imaging Studies-3, and Group of Neuropsychological Studies of the Canary Islands (GENIC). In total, we generated 7548 images to simulate the access of a scan per subject every 6 months in these cohorts. We evaluated the quality of the synthetic images using six quantitative measurements and a qualitative assessment by an experienced neuroradiologist with state-of-the-art results. The assumption of linear brain decay was accurate in these cohorts (R2  ∈ [.924, .940]). The experimental results show that the proposed methodology can produce anatomically plausible aging predictions that can be used to enhance longitudinal datasets. Compared to deep learning-based generative methods, diffeomorphic registration is more likely to preserve the anatomy of the different structures of the brain, which makes it more appropriate for its use in clinical applications. The proposed methodology is able to efficiently simulate anatomically plausible 3D MRI scans of brain aging of healthy subjects from two images scanned at two different time points.

Mechanical Property Based Brain Age Prediction using Convolutional Neural Networks

Brain age is a quantitative estimate to explain an individual's structural and functional brain measurements relative to the overall population and is particularly valuable in describing differences related to developmental or neurodegenerative pathology. Accurately inferring brain age from brain imaging data requires sophisticated models that capture the underlying age-related brain changes. Magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) is a phase contrast MRI technology that uses external palpations to measure brain mechanical properties. Mechanical property measures of viscoelastic shear stiffness and damping ratio have been found to change across the entire life span and to reflect brain health due to neurodegenerative diseases and even individual differences in cognitive function. Here we develop and train a multi-modal 3D convolutional neural network (CNN) to model the relationship between age and whole brain mechanical properties. After training, the network maps the measurements and other inputs to a brain age prediction. We found high performance using the 3D maps of various mechanical properties to predict brain age. Stiffness maps alone were able to predict ages of the test group subjects with a mean absolute error (MAE) of 3.76 years, which is comparable to single inputs of damping ratio (MAE: 3.82) and outperforms single input of volume (MAE: 4.60). Combining stiffness and volume in a multimodal approach performed the best, with an MAE of 3.60 years, whereas including damping ratio worsened model performance. Our results reflect previous MRE literature that had demonstrated that stiffness is more strongly related to chronological age than damping ratio. This machine learning model provides the first prediction of brain age from brain biomechanical data-an advancement towards sensitively describing brain integrity differences in individuals with neuropathology.