Pattern of and survival following loco-regional and distant recurrence in patients with HPV+ and HPV- oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma: A population-based study

Survival in oral and pharyngeal cancers is catching up with laryngeal cancer in the NORDIC countries through a half century

BACKGROUND

Cancers of the head and neck (HN) are heterogeneous tumors with incidence rates varying globally. In Northern Europe oral and oropharyngeal cancers are the most common individual types. Survival for HN varies by individual tumor type but for most of them survival trends are not well known over extended periods of time.

METHODS

Data for a retrospective survival study were obtained for Danish, Finnish, Norwegian, and Swedish patients from the NORDCAN database from 1971 to 2020. Relative 1- and 5-year survival rates and 5/1-year conditional survival for years 2-5 were calculated.

RESULTS

Both 1- and 5-year survival improved for all HN cancers but only marginally for laryngeal cancer. For the other cancers a 50-year increase in 5-year survival was about 30% units for nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal cancers, 20% units for oral cancer and somewhat less for hypopharyngeal cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

5-year survival reached about 65% for all HN cancers, except for hypopharyngeal cancer (30%). Human papilloma virus infection is becoming a dominant risk factor for the rapidly increasing oropharyngeal cancer, the prevention of which needs to emphasize oral sex as a route of infection.

Prognostic role of the MRI-based involvement of superior pharyngeal constrictor muscle in oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to determine the impact of the involvement of the superior pharyngeal constrictor muscle (SPCM) evaluated by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) on outcome in oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinomas (OPSCCs).

METHODS

A retrospective study including consecutive patients with OPSCC treated with curative intent.

RESULTS

A total of 82 consecutive patients with OPSCC met inclusion criteria. At multivariate analysis, patients with SPCM infiltration were at significantly higher risk of death (HR: 3.37, CI: 1.21-9.38) and progression (HR: 3.39, CI: 1.38-8.32). In a multivariate model conditioned on HPV status, a significantly higher risk of death and progression was observed by combining both SPCM and HPV status with patients harboring an HPV-negative OPSCC with SPCM infiltration showing the poorest outcome.

CONCLUSION

MRI evidence of SPCM involvement significantly and independently increases the risk of death and progression in subjects with OPSCC. Considering both MRI-assessed SPCM infiltration and HPV status significantly improved risk stratification in these malignancies.

Patterns and distribution of regional nodal involvement and recurrence in a surgically treated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma cohort at a tertiary center

OBJECTIVES

To investigate and describe the patterns of regional metastases and recurrences after surgical treatment of oropharyngeal squamous cell cancer (OPSCC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Retrospective study of patients diagnosed with OPSCC from 2006 to 2021 at a tertiary referral center. Only patients treated with surgery including a neck dissection were included. Patients with unknown human papillomavirus (HPV) status, prior head and neck cancer, distant metastases, or synchronous head and neck cancer were excluded.

RESULTS

A total of 928 patients were included. 89% were males, the average age was 58.6 years (range: 25.2-87.5), 874 (94%) were HPV(+), and 513 (55.3%) had a tonsil cancer. Among cN + patients, the most commonly involved levels at presentation were level II (85.2%), level III (33.3%), and level IV (9.4%). In cN0 patients, metastases were only observed in level II (16.2%) and level III (9.2%). Nodal recurrence occurred in 48 (5.2%) patients after a median time of 1.0 years (interquartile range: 0.6-2.0). Nodal recurrence incidence was similar in HPV(+) and HPV(-) patients (5.0% vs. 7.4%, p = 0.44). The most common levels for regional recurrence were ipsilateral level II (45.8%), contralateral level II (43.8%), and ipsilateral level V (25.0%). Multivariable analysis revealed that pN was a significant predictor for regional recurrence (p = 0.02).

CONCLUSION

There is no difference in the distribution of regional metastases and recurrences in HPV(+) and HPV(-) OPSCC patients. Our findings align with the established understanding that regional metastases predominantly manifest in the ipsilateral level II-IV at presentation. Moreover, the data support the clinical recommendation to restrict elective neck dissection in cN0 patients to ipsilateral levels IIa and III, excluding level IIb. Regional recurrence is significantly associated with pN status.

Lipid metabolism reprogramming in head and neck cancer

Lipid metabolism reprogramming is one of the most prominent metabolic anomalies in cancer, wherein cancer cells undergo dysregulation of lipid metabolism to acquire adequate energy, cell membrane building blocks, as well as signaling molecules essential for cell proliferation, survival, invasion, and metastasis. These adaptations enable cancer cells to effectively respond to challenges posed by the tumor microenvironment, leading to cancer therapy resistance and poor cancer prognosis. Head and neck cancer, ranking as the seventh most prevalent cancer, exhibits numerous abnormalities in lipid metabolism. Nevertheless, the precise role of lipid metabolic rewiring in head and neck cancer remains unclear. In line with the LIPID MAPS Lipid Classification System and cancer risk factors, the present review delves into the dysregulated molecules and pathways participating in the process of lipid uptake, biosynthesis, transportation, and catabolism. We also present an overview of the latest advancements in understanding alterations in lipid metabolism and how they intersect with the carcinogenesis, development, treatment, and prognosis of head and neck cancer. By shedding light on the significance of metabolic therapy, we aspire to improve the overall prognosis and treatment outcomes of head and neck cancer patients.

Liquid Biopsies with Circulating Plasma HPV-DNA Measurements-A Clinically Applicable Surveillance Tool for Patients with HPV-Positive Oropharyngeal Cancer

PURPOSE

To evaluate the accuracy of cell-free human papillomavirus-DNA (cfHPV-DNA) measurements in liquid biopsies in predicting disease in patients with HPV-positive/p16-positive (HPV+/p16+) oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC).

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

This was a prospective cohort study. Plasma samples were collected before treatment, serially after curative intended therapy at follow-up visits 2 weeks, and 6, 9, 12, 18, 24, and 30 months after treatment. A droplet digital PCR assay comprising eight HPV genotypes was used. HPV genotypes found in plasma and tumor tissue were compared. We correlated biopsy- or imaging-verified tumor progression to cfHPV-DNA in follow-up samples.

RESULTS

We enrolled 72 patients with HPV+/p16+ OPSCC. Baseline sensitivity for cfHPV-DNA detection was 97.2% (95% confidence interval, 90.3%-99.6%). CfHPV-DNA copy number/milliliter plasma correlated with tumor stage. We found a 100% concordance between HPV genotype in tumor tissue and plasma. Fifty-four patients were followed with serial blood samples for a median of 19.7 months (interquartile range, 13.5-25.5 months). Forty-one patients had undetectable plasma cfHPV-DNA in all follow-up samples, and none developed recurrences. Thirteen patients were classified as cfHPV-DNA-positive in a follow-up plasma sample. Of these, five patients developed a recurrence, and three had residual cancer. It was possible to detect cfHPV-DNA in plasma 97 to 166 days prior to the proven recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

To our knowledge, to date, our study, comprising the largest study of patients with HPV+/p16+ OPSCC, using an ultrasensitive multiplex HPV gene panel, revealed a high sensitivity of cfHPV-DNA detection in the liquid biopsies. We recommend serial plasma HPV samples for clinical monitoring of patients with HPV+/p16+ OPSCC.

Development of a high-performance multi-probe droplet digital PCR assay for high-sensitivity detection of human papillomavirus circulating tumor DNA from plasma

OBJECTIVES

To develop a high-performance droplet digital PCR (ddPCR) assay capable of enhancing the detection of human papillomavirus (HPV) circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in plasma from patients with HPV-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (HPV+ OPSCC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Plasma samples from subjects with HPV+ OPSCC were collected. We developed a high-performance ddPCR assay designed to simultaneously target nine regions of the HPV16 genome.

RESULTS

The new assay termed 'ctDNA HPV16 Assessment using Multiple Probes' (CHAMP- 16) yielded significantly higher HPV16 counts compared to our previously validated 'Single-Probe' (SP) assay and a commercially available NavDx® assay. Analytical validation demonstrated that the CHAMP-16 assay had a limit of detection (LoD) of 4.1 copies per reaction, corresponding to < 1 genome equivalent (GE) of HPV16. When tested on plasma ctDNA from 21 patients with early-stage HPV+ OPSCC and known HPV16 ctDNA using the SP assay, all patients were positive for HPV16 ctDNA in both assays and the CHAMP-16 assay displayed 6.6-fold higher HPV16 signal on average. Finally, in a longitudinal analysis of samples from a patient with recurrent disease, the CHAMP-16 assay detected HPV16 ctDNA signal ∼ 20 months prior to the conventional SP assay.

CONCLUSION

Increased HPV16 signal detection using the CHAMP-16 assay suggests the potential for detection of recurrences significantly earlier than with conventional ddPCR assays in patients with HPV16+ OPSCC. Critically, this multi-probe approach maintains the cost-benefit advantage of ddPCR over next generation sequencing (NGS) approaches, supporting the cost-effectiveness of this assay for both large population screening and routine post-treatment surveillance.

Long-term survival trends in solid cancers in the Nordic countries marking timing of improvements

Survival studies are an important indicator of the success of cancer control. We analyzed the 5-year relative survival in 23 solid cancers in Denmark, Finland, Norway and Sweden over a 50-year period (1970-2019) at the NORDCAN database accessed from the International Agency for Research on Cancer website. We plotted survival curves in 5-year periods and showed 5-year periodic survival. The survival results were summarized in four groups: (1) cancers with historically good survival (>50% in 1970-1974) which include melanoma and breast, endometrial and thyroid cancers; (2) cancers which constantly improved survival at least 20% units over the 50 year period, including cancers of the stomach, colon, rectum, kidney, brain and ovary; (3) cancer with increase in survival >20% units with changes taking place in a narrow time window, including oral, oropharyngeal, testicular and prostate cancers; (4) the remaining cancers with <20% unit improvement in survival including lung, esophageal, liver, pancreatic, bladder, soft tissue, penile, cervical and vulvar cancers. For cancers in groups 1 and 2, the constant development implied multiple improvements in therapy, diagnosis and patient care. Cancers in group 3 included testicular cancers with known therapeutic improvements but for the others large incidence changes probably implied that cancer stage (prostate) or etiology (oropharynx) changed into a more tractable form. Group 4 cancers included those with dismal survival 50 years ago but a clear tendency upwards. In 17 cancers 5-year survival reached between 50% and 100% while in only six cancers it remained at below 50%.

The Incidence, Survival, and HPV Impact of Second Primary Cancer following Primary Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A 20-Year Retrospective and Population-Based Study

Second primary cancer (SPC) is the second most common cause of death among patients diagnosed with head and neck cancer. This study examined the risk of SPC following oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) and the impact of human papillomavirus (HPV) on survival following SPC. The study was a population-based, retrospective study including all patients diagnosed with OPSCC in eastern Denmark from 2000-2020 who received curative intended treatment. The incidence rate ratio (IRR), age-adjusted incidence rates (AAIR), and hazard ratios (HR) were calculated. A total of 2584 patients with primary OPSCC were included (median follow-up time: 3.1 years), with 317 patients (12.3%) diagnosed with SPC. The risk of SPC was approximately five times the occurrence of cancer in the general population (IRR: 4.96). The median time to SPC after a primary OPSCC was 2.0 years (interquartile range (IQR) = 0.6-4.2 years). HPV-positive (HPV+) patients had a significantly longer median time to SPC, and a significant better survival compared to HPV-negative (HPV-) patients. SPC was most frequently found in lungs, head, and neck (LHN) for HPV- OPSCC patients and lungs followed by gender-specific (prostate, ovaries, or endometrium) for HPV+ OPSCC. There was a significant difference between the two groups when distributed between "within" or "outside" LHN. Patients with SPC outside LHN had a significant better overall survival. This knowledge should be considered during post-treatment surveillance and might guide targeted imaging.

LINE-1 hypomethylation is associated with poor outcomes in locoregionally advanced oropharyngeal cancer

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Currently, human papillomavirus (HPV) positivity represents a strong prognostic factor for both reduced risk of relapse and improved survival in patients with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC). However, a subset of HPV-positive OPSCC patients still experience poor outcomes. Furthermore, HPV-negative OPSCC patients, who have an even higher risk of relapse, are still lacking suitable prognostic biomarkers for clinical outcome. Here, we evaluated the prognostic value of LINE-1 methylation level in OPSCC patients and further addressed the relationship between LINE-1 methylation status and p53 protein expression as well as genome-wide/gene-specific DNA methylation.

RESULTS

In this study, DNA was extracted from 163 formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tissue samples retrospectively collected from stage III-IVB OPSCC patients managed with curative intent with up-front treatment. Quantitative methylation-specific PCR revealed that LINE-1 hypomethylation was directly associated with poor prognosis (5-year overall survival-OS: 28.1% for LINE-1 methylation < 35% vs. 69.1% for ≥ 55%; p < 0.0001). When LINE-1 methylation was dichotomized as < 55% versus ≥ 55%, interaction with HPV16 emerged: compared with hypermethylated HPV16-positive patients, subjects with hypomethylated HPV16-negative OPSCC reported an adjusted higher risk of death (HR 4.83, 95% CI 2.24-10.38) and progression (HR 4.54, 95% CI 2.18-9.48). Tumor protein p53 (TP53) gene is often mutated and overexpressed in HPV-negative OPSCC. Since p53 has been reported to repress LINE-1 promoter, we then analyzed the association between p53 protein expression and LINE-1 methylation levels. Following p53 immunohistochemistry, results indicated that among HPV16-negative patients with p53 ≥ 50%, LINE-1 methylation levels declined and remained stable at approximately 43%; any HPV16-positive patient reported p53 ≥ 50%. Finally, DNA methylation analysis demonstrated that genome-wide average methylation level at cytosine-phosphate-guanine sites was significantly lower in HPV16-negative OPSCC patients who relapsed within two years. The subsequent integrative analysis of gene expression and DNA methylation identified 20 up-regulated/hypomethylated genes in relapsed patients, and most of them contained LINE-1 elements in their promoter sequences.

CONCLUSIONS

Evaluation of the methylation level of LINE-1 may help in identifying the subset of OPSCC patients with bad prognosis regardless of their HPV status. Aberrant LINE-1 hypomethylation might occur along with TP53 mutations and lead to altered gene expression in OPSCC.

Dysphagia and QoL 3 Years After Treatment of Oropharyngeal Cancer With TORS or Radiotherapy

OBJECTIVE(S)

To investigate dysphagia and quality of life (QoL) outcomes 3 years after treatment of oropharyngeal cancer with either primary trans oral robotic surgery (TORS) or radiotherapy (RT).

METHODS

A prospective cohort study conducted at the Copenhagen University Hospital. Endpoints were objective swallowing function, examined using fiberoptic endoscopic evaluation of swallowing (FEES) and video fluoroscopy (VF). QoL was assessed with the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire Core (EORTC QLQ-C30), Head & Neck Module (EORTC QLQ-HN35), and MD Anderson Dysphagia Inventory (MDADI). A comparison was made between 1-, and 3-year results.

RESULTS

Forty-four patients were included prior to treatment, 31 treated with TORS and 13 with RT. One-year results for this cohort have previously been published (https://doi.org/10.1080/00016489.2020.1836395). Significant improvement on FEES in retention at the piriform sinus was noted in both groups. Patients treated with TORS had improved safety scores as well as dynamic imaging grade of swallowing toxicity (DIGEST) and efficiency scores, whereas patients treated with RT only had improvements in the latter two. Improvement in QoL scores was only noted for patients treated with TORS in composite MDADI scores.

CONCLUSION

We found significant improvements in objective swallowing function from one to 3 years after treatment, particularly in patients treated with TORS. However, these improvements were not reflected as clinically meaningful improvements in QoL.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level 3, cohort follow-up study Laryngoscope, 2022.

Low postoperative lymphocyte count increases risk of progression in human papillomavirus associated oropharyngeal cancer

BACKGROUND

We aim to explore the prognostic role of absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) before, during, and after treatment on oncologic outcomes in human papillomavirus associated oropharyngeal cancer (HPV(+)OPSCC).

METHODS

Retrospective cohort at a tertiary center, 2006-2018. Multivariable Cox regressions were used to determine the effect of ALC on risk of progression. Univariate linear regression was performed to determine clinical factors associated with lower ALC.

RESULTS

All 197 patients underwent primary surgery. Mean (SD) ALC nadirs (×10⁹  cells/L) were: baseline (N = 149): 1.69 (0.56); postoperative (N = 126): 1.58 (0.59); post-RT (N = 141): 0.68 (0.35) and long-term (N = 105): 0.88 (0.37). Lower baseline ALC nadir was associated with worse overall survival (HR 3.85, 95%CI: 1.03-14.29, p = 0.04). Lower postoperative ALC nadir was associated with higher risk of progression (HR 2.63, 95%CI: 1.04-6.67, p = 0.04).

CONCLUSIONS

Lower baseline ALC is associated with worse survival, whereas lower postoperative ALC is associated with increased risk of progression in surgically treated HPV(+)OPSCC.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 3

Association of HPV status with survival after surgical salvage of oropharyngeal cancers

OBJECTIVES

This study used the National Cancer Database to determine the effect of human papillomavirus (HPV) on survival outcomes for recurrent oropharyngeal cancer treated with salvage surgery after initial treatment with radiation therapy or chemoradiation therapy.

METHODS

Patients with recurrent oropharyngeal cancer receiving salvage surgery after initial treatment with adjuvant therapy were identified through the National Cancer Database. Demographics, tumor characteristics, and survival data were collected. The data were analyzed to identify factors that may be associated with survival.

RESULTS

A total of 169 patients were included, 59% of which were HPV-positive cases and 41% were HPV-negative. On univariate analysis, HPV-positive cases had higher overall survival compared to HPV-negative cases. However, on multivariate analysis, the association with HPV status was no longer statistically significant while positive surgical margins, higher T-stage at initial diagnosis, and a greater comorbidity burden were significantly associated with poorer survival.

CONCLUSION

In the salvage setting for treatment of recurrent oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma, HPV status may not be associated with improved survival.

Prospective Study of PET/MRI Tumor Response During Chemoradiotherapy for Patients With Low-risk and Intermediate-risk p16-positive Oropharynx Cancer

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to examine tumor response with positron emission tomography (PET)/magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) during chemoradiotherapy as a predictor of outcome in patients with p16-positive oropharynx cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients with p16-positive oropharynx cancer were treated with chemoradiotherapy. Low-risk (LR) disease was defined as T1-T3 and N0-2b and ≤10 pack-years and intermediate-risk (IR) disease as T4 or N2c-3 or >10 pack-years. Patients underwent a PET/MRI scan pretreatment and at fraction 10. Change in value of imaging means were analyzed by analysis of variance. K-means clustering with Euclidean distance functions were used for patient clustering. Silhouette width was used to determine the optimal number of clusters. Linear regression was performed on all radiographic metrics using patient and disease characteristics.

RESULTS

Twenty-four patients were enrolled with 7 LR and 11 IR patients available for analysis. Pretreatment imaging characteristics between LR and IR patients were similar. Patients with LR disease exhibited a larger reduction in maximum standardized uptake value (SUV) compared with IR patients (P<0.05). Cluster analysis defined 2 cohorts that exhibited a similar intratreatment response. Cluster 1 contained 7 of 7 LR patients and 8 of 11 IR patients. Cluster 2 contained 3 of 11 IR patients. Cluster 2 exhibited significant differences compared with cluster 1 in the change in primary tumor peak SUV and largest lymph node median SUV.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified that IR p16-positive oropharynx cancers exhibit heterogeneity in their PET/MRI response to chemoradiotherapy. These data support further study of intratreatment imaging response as a potential mechanism to identify patients with IR oropharynx cancer suitable for treatment deintensification.

Development and Validation of a Decision Analytical Model for Posttreatment Surveillance for Patients With Oropharyngeal Carcinoma

IMPORTANCE

Clinical practice regarding posttreatment radiologic surveillance for patients with oropharyngeal carcinoma (OPC) is neither adapted to individual patient risk nor fully evidence based.

OBJECTIVES

To construct a microsimulation model for posttreatment OPC progression and use it to optimize surveillance strategies while accounting for both tumor stage and human papillomavirus (HPV) status.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

In this decision analytical modeling study, a Markov model of 3-year posttreatment patient trajectories was created. The training data source was the American College of Surgeon's National Cancer Database from 2010 to 2015. The external validation data set was the 2016 International Collaboration on Oropharyngeal Cancer Network for Staging (ICON-S) study. Training data comprised 2159 patients with OPC treated with primary radiotherapy who had known HPV status and disease staging information. Patients with American Joint Committee on Cancer, 7th edition stage III to IVB disease and those with clinical metastases during the time of primary treatment were included. Data were analyzed from August 1 to October 31, 2020.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Main outcomes included disease stage and HPV status, specific disease transition probabilities, and latency of surveillance regimens, defined as time between recurrence incidence and disease discovery.

RESULTS

Training data consisted of 2159 total patients (1708 men [79.1%]; median age, 59.6 years [range, 40-90 years]; 401 with stage III disease, 1415 with stage IVA disease, and 343 with stage IVB disease). Cohorts predominantly had HPV-negative disease (1606 [74.4%]). With model-optimized regimens, recurrent disease was discovered a mean of 0.6 months (95% CI, 0.5-0.8 months) earlier than with a standard surveillance regimen based on current clinical guidelines. Recurrent disease was discovered using the optimized regimens without significant reduction in sensitivity. Compared with strategies based on reimbursement guidelines, the model-optimized regimens found disease a mean of 1.8 months (95% CI, 1.3-2.3 months) earlier.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Optimized, risk-stratified surveillance regimens consistently outperformed nonoptimized strategies. These gains were obtained without requiring any additional imaging studies. This approach to risk-stratified surveillance optimization is generalizable to a broad range of tumor types and risk factors.

Incidence and survival in oral and pharyngeal cancers in Finland and Sweden through half century

Background

Cancers of the oral cavity and pharynx encompass a heterogeneous group of cancers for which known risk factors include smoking, alcohol consumption and human papilloma virus (HPV) infection but their influence is site-specific with HPV mainly influencing oropharyngeal cancer. Their incidence and survival rates are not well known over extended periods of time.

Patients/methods

Data were obtained for Finnish (FI) and Swedish (SE) patients from the Nordcan database recently updated through 2019. Age-adjusted incidence trends (FI from 1953, SE from 1960) and relative survival rates for years 1970 through 2019 were calculated.

Results

We observed a prominent increase in oral and oropharyngeal cancers in FI and SE men and women but the trend for oral cancer was interrupted for SE men in 1985 and possibly also for FI and SE women in 2015. The trend changes in male and female oral cancer was confirmed in data for Denmark and Norway. Relative survival for these cancers has improved overall but they differed for one cluster of oral, oropharyngeal and nasopharyngeal cancers with 60–70% 5-year survival in the last period and hypopharyngeal cancer with 25% male survival. In all these cancers, survival for old patients was unfavorable.

Discussion/conclusion

We hypothesize that reduction in smoking prevalence helped to stop the increase in oral cancer especially in men. As the prevalence of smoking is decreasing, HPV is becoming a dominant risk factor, particularly for the increasing oropharyngeal cancer. Prevention needs to emphasize sexual hygiene and HPV vaccination.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-022-09337-2.

Analysis of the interactions between small pulmonary nodules, clinical factors and the risk of malignancy in the chest following diagnosis of head and neck cancer

BACKGROUND

This study aims to investigate radiological and clinical factors which predict malignancy in indeterminate pulmonary nodules in patients with head and neck cancer (HNC).

METHODS

Prospective data was collected in 424 patients who were reviewed in the NHS Lothian HNC multi-disciplinary meeting from May 2016 to May 2018. Staging and follow up CT chest imaging was reviewed to identify and assess pulmonary nodules in all patients.

RESULTS

61.8% of patients had at least one pulmonary nodule at staging CT. In total 25 patients developed malignancy in the chest. Metastatic disease in the chest was significantly associated with unknown or negative p16 status (p<0.0005). Pleural indentation and spiculation were associated with indeterminate nodules, subsequently being shown to represent metastatic disease (p>0.0005 and p=0.046 respectively).

CONCLUSION

Negative or unknown p16 status was associated with an increased propensity to develop metastatic disease in the chest in patients with HNC.

Locoregional Recurrence Prediction Using a Deep Neural Network of Radiological and Radiotherapy Images

Radiation therapy (RT) is an important and potentially curative modality for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). Locoregional recurrence (LR) of HNSCC after RT is ranging from 15% to 50% depending on the primary site and stage. In addition, the 5-year survival rate of patients with LR is low. To classify high-risk patients who might develop LR, a deep learning model for predicting LR needs to be established. In this work, 157 patients with HNSCC who underwent RT were analyzed. Based on the National Cancer Institute’s multi-institutional TCIA data set containing FDG-PET/CT/dose, a 3D deep learning model was proposed to predict LR without time-consuming segmentation or feature extraction. Our model achieved an averaged area under the curve (AUC) of 0.856. Adding clinical factors into the model improved the AUC to an average of 0.892 with the highest AUC of up to 0.974. The 3D deep learning model could perform individualized risk quantification of LR in patients with HNSCC without time-consuming tumor segmentation.

Occult lymph node metastasis in the contralateral neck of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma: a meta-analysis and literature review

PURPOSE

The purpose of this study was to determine whether contralateral cervical lymph node dissection is needed in patients with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) with contralateral cervical cN0.

METHODS

We searched the PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Chinese Biomedical Literature Database (CBM) and Cochrane Library databases up to August 14, 2021 for studies examining the contralateral neck occult metastasis rate of patients with ipsilateral clinical neck-negative (cN0) OPSCC and the contralateral neck occult metastasis rate of patients with ipsilateral clinical neck-positive (cN1, cN2a, cN2b) OPSCC. This rate is used to determine whether patients with contralateral cN0 OPSCC need contralateral cervical lymph node dissection.

RESULTS

A total of 14 articles, including 532 cases, were included in the analysis. When studying the rate of ipsilateral cervical occult metastasis in patients with ipsilateral cN0, 163 cases were included in 11 studies. The results showed that the rate of contralateral cervical occult lymph node metastasis in patients with ipsilateral cN0 was 0.6816% (95% CI 0.0000-4.4880 (P = 0.3005)). In the study of ipsilateral cN+ (cN1, cN2a, cN2b), a total of 369 cases of 10 articles were included in the analysis. The results showed that the rate of contralateral cervical occult lymph node metastasis in patients with ipsilateral cN+ was 11.4920% [95% CI 7.8944-15.5223 (P = 0.0000)].

CONCLUSION

For cancer treatment, the ultimate goal is to achieve the best control of cancer and the lowest complications. It seems unnecessary to intervene in the contralateral neck of patients with OPSCC with ipsilateral cN0. For OPSCC with ipsilateral cN+ , this index is a factor that cannot be ignored when making clinical decisions.

The Prognostic Value of Human Papilloma Virus Infection in Oral Cavity Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A Meta-Analysis

OBJECTIVES/HYPOTHESIS

Human papilloma virus (HPV) infection has been confirmed as a favorable prognostic factor in oropharyngeal cancer. However, the prognostic value of HPV in oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) is still unclear. Therefore, a systematic review and meta-analysis was performed to evaluate the prognostic value of HPV infection in OSCC patients.

STUDY DESIGN

Systematic literature review with meta-analysis.

METHODS

A systematic literature review was conducted in accordance with PRISMA guidelines in PubMed, EMBASE, and MEDLINE databases. The primary outcomes were overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), disease-specific survival (DSS), and secondary outcomes were local control (LC), regional control (RC), and distant control (DC).

RESULTS

A total of 22 articles with 3065 OSCC patients were included in this study. Meta-analysis demonstrated that compared to HPV-negative OSCC patients, HPV-positive OSCC patients had a significantly shorter OS (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.45, 95% confidence intervals [CI], 1.10-1.93) and lower DC (HR = 2.16, 95% CI, 1.54-3.04). There was no significant difference in DFS (HR = 1.20, 95% CI, 0.63-2.26), DSS (HR = 1.20, 95% CI, 0.63-2.26), LC (HR = 1.44, 95% CI, 0.97-2.14), and RC (HR = 1.50, 95% CI, 0.98-2.30) between HPV-positive and negative OSCC patients. Sensitivity analysis confirmed the above results.

CONCLUSIONS

Our systematic review and meta-analysis reveal that HPV-positive is associated with significantly decreased OS and DC, suggesting HPV infection is an adverse prognostic factor in OSCC. Laryngoscope, 2021.

Exploratory ensemble interpretable model for predicting local failure in head and neck cancer: the additive benefit of CT and intra-treatment cone-beam computed tomography features

BACKGROUND

Local failure (LF) following chemoradiation (CRT) for head and neck cancer is associated with poor overall survival. If machine learning techniques could stratify patients at risk of treatment failure based on baseline and intra-treatment imaging, such a model could facilitate response-adapted approaches to escalate, de-escalate, or switch therapy.

METHODS

A 1:2 retrospective case control cohort of patients treated at a single institution with definitive radiotherapy for head and neck cancer who failed locally, in-field at a primary or nodal structure were included. Radiomic features were extracted from baseline CT and CBCT scans at fractions 1 and 21 (delta) of radiotherapy with PyRadiomics and were selected for by: reproducibility (intra-class correlation coefficients ≥0.95), redundancy [maximum relevance and minimum redundancy (mRMR)], and informativeness [recursive feature elimination (RFE)]. Separate models predicting LF of primaries or nodes were created using the explainable boosting machine (EBM) classifier with 5-fold cross-validation for (I) clinical only, (II) radiomic only (CT1 and delta features), and (III) fused models (clinical + radiomic). Twenty-five iterations were performed, and predicted scores were averaged with a parallel ensemble design. Receiver operating characteristic curves were compared between models with paired-samples t-tests.

RESULTS

The fused ensemble model for primaries (using clinical, CT1, and delta features) achieved an AUC of 0.871 with a sensitivity of 78.3% and specificity of 90.9% at the maximum Youden J statistic. The fused ensemble model trended towards improvement when compared to the clinical only ensemble model (AUC =0.788, P=0.134) but reached significance when compared to the radiomic ensemble model (AUC =0.770, P=0.017). The fused ensemble model for nodes achieved an AUC of 0.910 with a sensitivity of 100.0% and specificity of 68.0%, which also trended towards improvement when compared to the clinical model (AUC =0.865, P=0.080).

CONCLUSIONS

The fused ensemble EBM model achieved high discriminatory ability at predicting LF for head and neck cancer in independent primary and nodal structures. Although an additive benefit of delta radiomics over clinical factors could not be proven, the results trended towards improvement with the fused ensemble model, which are promising and worthy of prospective investigation in a larger cohort.

Recent progress of biomarkers in oral cancers

Oral cancers are the seventh most common cancer globally. While progresses in oral cancer treatment have been made, not all patients respond to these therapies in the same way. To overcome this difficulty, numerous studies have been devoted to identifying biomarkers, which enable early identification of patients who may benefit from a particular treatment modality or at risk for poor prognosis. Biomarkers are protein molecules, gene expression, DNA variants, or metabolites that are derived from tumors, adjacent normal tissue or bodily fluids, which can be acquired before treatment and during follow-up, thus extending their use to the evaluation of cancer progression and prediction of treatment outcome. In this review, we employed a basic significance level (<0.05) as the minimal requirement for candidate biomarkers. Effect sizes of the biomarkers in terms of odds ratio, hazard ratio, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curves were subsequently used to evaluate the potential of their clinical use. We identified the CCND1 from the tumor, human papillomavirus, HSP70, and IL-17 from the peripheral blood, and high density of CD45RO+ tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes as the clinically relevant biomarkers for oral cancers.

Association of Primary Treatment Modality for Advanced-Stage Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma With Survival Outcomes

IMPORTANCE

Definitive chemoradiotherapy and upfront surgical treatment are both accepted as the standard of care for advanced-stage oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma. However, the optimal primary treatment modality remains unclear.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the comparative effectiveness of definitive chemoradiotherapy and upfront surgical treatment for advanced-stage oropharyngeal cancer.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This retrospective comparative effectiveness analysis used data from the population-based Taiwan Cancer Registry. Included patients were diagnosed with clinical stage III or IV oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma from 2007 to 2015 and were identified from the registry. Patients with T4b or N3 disease were excluded. Data were analyzed from June 2019 through December 2020.

INTERVENTIONS

Definitive chemoradiotherapy or upfront surgical treatment.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary outcome was overall survival, for which data were available through December 31, 2018. Secondary outcomes were progression-free survival, locoregional recurrence-free survival, and distant metastasis-free survival.

RESULTS

Among 1180 patients, 694 patients (58.8%) were in the definitive chemoradiotherapy group and 486 patients (41.2%) were in the upfront surgical treatment group. The median (interquartile range) follow-up was 3.62 (1.63-5.47) years, and most patients were men (1052 [89.1%] men) with a primary tumor in the tonsils (712 patients [60.3%]), moderately differentiated histology (604 patients [51.2%]), clinical N2 disease (858 patients [72.7%]), and clinical stage IVA disease (938 patients [79.5%]). The mean (SD) age was 54.59 (10.35) years. Primary treatment with an upfront surgical procedure was associated with a decreased risk of death during the study period (hazard ratio [HR], 0.81; 95% CI, 0.69-0.97; P = .02). However, when adjusted for age, subsite, histological grade, and T and N classification, upfront surgical treatment was no longer associated with an increased risk of death during the study period (HR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.80-1.16; P = .70). Progression-free survival was worse in the group receiving upfront surgical treatment than in the group receiving chemoradiotherapy (HR, 1.64; 95% CI, 1.09-2.46; P = .02), and this difference persisted after adjusting for other factors associated with prognosis (ie, age, tumor subsite, histological grade, and T and N classification) (HR, 1.72; 95% CI, 1.12-2.66; P = .01).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

This study found that definitive chemoradiotherapy was associated with effectiveness that was comparable with that of upfront surgical treatment when adjusted for baseline factors associated with prognosis. These findings suggest that definitive chemoradiotherapy should be considered to avoid accumulating toxic effects associated with surgical treatment and chemoradiotherapy.

Survival Outcomes and Treatment Decision by Human Papillomavirus Status Among Patients With Stage IVC Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Purpose

To investigate the influence of human papillomavirus (HPV) status on survival outcomes and treatment decisions for patients with de novo stage IV head and neck squamous cell cancers (HNSCC).

Methods

Patients initially diagnosed with de novo stage IVC HNSCC between 2010 and 2015 were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Cox multivariable analyses were performed to determine prognostic factors associated with head and neck cancers specific survival (HNCSS) and overall survival (OS).

Results

We identified 303 patients who received chemotherapy in this study, including 52.5% of them had HPV-positive disease. HPV-positive HNSCC had better HNCSS (P < 0.001) and OS (P < 0.001) compared to those with HPV-negative disease. The results of Cox multivariable analyses showed that HPV-negative status (P = 0.007), N3 stage (P = 0.004), bone metastases (P < 0.001), and lung metastases (P = 0.003) were associated with worse HNCSS. Similar results were found regarding the OS. The sensitivity analyses indicated that HPV-positive HNSCC patients who were treated with radiotherapy had better survival outcomes. However, no survival benefits were found in those with HPV-positive disease receiving surgery. For HPV-negative patients, no survival benefit was observed among those treated with radiotherapy or surgery.

Conclusions

Approximately half of the stage IVC HNSCC patients are HPV-related. The presence of HPV infection appears to be strongly associated with the survival outcome in patients with de novo stage IV HNSCC. Determination of HPV status may help guide clinicians in prognostic assessment and treatment decision-making in this population.

Risk stratified follow up for head and neck cancer patients - An evidence based proposal

Head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) has a significant impact on patients' quality of life and treatment can be associated with severe morbidity. Following completion of treatment, patients are followed up in order to detect potentially salvageable recurrences and to manage long-term toxicities. In recent years, a growing interest has been given to risk stratified follow-up interventions to prevent and detect recurrences and manage treatment toxicities in other tumour sites as well as to transfer some of that care to community services. We review the literature for HNSCC and propose a risk stratified follow up protocol to address these issues and assist clinicians in decision making. A shift in patterns of care is suggested in order to provide a basis to improve care for HNSCC patients after complete response to primary treatment.

Combining radiation to EGFR and Bcl-2 blockade: a new approach to target cancer stem cells in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

PURPOSE

The clinical outcome of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) remains poor, partly due to the presence of resistant cancer stem cells (CSCs) which are responsible of recurrences. CSCs have low EGFR expression and, conversely, overexpress the anti-apoptotic Bcl-2 protein, which is involved in resistance to apoptosis and the invasion/migration capacities of tumour cells.

METHODS

The combination therapy of ABT-199, a Bcl-2 inhibitor, cetuximab an EGFR inhibitor, and radiation using an HNSCC model (SQ20B cell line) and its corresponding CSC subpopulation were evaluated in vitro (2D/3D cell proliferation; invasion/migration and apoptosis using videomicroscopy) and in vivo.

RESULTS

Cetuximab strongly inhibited 2D and 3D cell proliferation, as well as invasion/migration, only in non-CSC-SQ20B cells, whereas ABT-199 selectively inhibited these mechanisms in SQ20B/CSCs. The combination of irradiation + cetuximab + ABT-199 increased the inhibition of the 2D and 3D cell proliferation, invasion/migration, and resistance to apoptosis in both cell sub-populations. In addition, in a nude mouse model with heterotopic tumour xenograft, a treatment combining cetuximab + ABT-199 with fractional irradiation strongly delayed the tumour growth and increased in vivo lifespan without side effects.

CONCLUSION

Based on the present results, this triple combination therapy may represent a new opportunity for testing in clinical trials, particularly in locally advanced HNSCC.

Disease Profile and Oncologic Outcomes After Delayed Diagnosis of Human Papillomavirus-Associated Oropharyngeal Cancer

OBJECTIVE

Diagnostic delay in human papillomavirus-associated oropharynx squamous cell carcinoma (HPV(+)OPSCC) is common due to nonspecific symptoms. We aim to describe the disease burden and oncologic outcomes of patients with HPV(+)OPSCC diagnosed >12 months after symptom onset.

STUDY DESIGN

This is a retrospective cohort study of HPV(+)OPSCC patients receiving intent-to-cure treatment (including surgery ± adjuvant therapy or primary chemoradiation).

SETTING

2006-2016, tertiary care center.

METHODS

Tumor stage was compared between patients with and without delayed diagnosis using χ² tests. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis with univariate and multivariable Cox regressions were used to determine the effect of diagnostic delay on oncologic outcomes.

RESULTS

In total, 664 patients were included. Compared to patients diagnosed <12 months from symptom onset (n = 601), those diagnosed at >12 months (n = 63) were more likely to have T4 disease and higher overall American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) clinical stage at presentation (P < .01 for both). At 5 years, rates of overall survival, cancer-specific survival, progression-free survival, and distant metastases-free survival in the delayed diagnosis cohort were 80%, 90%, 80%, and 89%, respectively. A >12-month delay in diagnosis did not significantly impact overall survival (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.16; 95% CI, 0.58-2.31), cancer-specific survival (aHR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.29-2.39), progression-free survival (aHR, 1.15; 95% CI, 0.56-2.37), or distant metastases-free survival (aHR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.42-2.40) after adjusting for age, sex, and clinical AJCC stage (P > .05 for all).

CONCLUSIONS

Delayed diagnosis of HPV(+)OPSCC is associated with greater burden of disease at presentation, but oncologic outcomes remain favorable across treatment modalities. When appropriate, intent-to-cure therapy should be pursued despite diagnostic delay.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level III.

Mutation patterns in recurrent and/or metastatic oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinomas in relation to human papillomavirus status

Patients with HPV‐driven (HPV+) oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) have a significantly improved overall survival compared to patients with HPV‐negative (HPV−) OPSCC. Nevertheless, 13%–25% of patients with HPV+OPSCC develop local/distant recurrence (LDR) and have a course of disease similar to HPV−OPSCC. We hypothesize that HPV+OPSCCs of patients with LDR have a mutation frequency and pattern similar to HPV−OPSCCs, which is associated with severe outcome. We performed targeted next‐generation sequencing using a customized gene panel and compared data from 56 matched HPV+and HPV−OPSCC of patients with/without LDR regarding protein‐altering variants. Despite improved overall survival of patients with HPV+OPSCC, those who develop LDR show a strongly reduced survival rate that is similar or even worse compared to HPV−OPSCC patients. Overall, the number of mutations was similar in OPSCC of patients with and without LDR. In total and with respect to TP53, HPV−OPSCC had significantly more protein‐altering mutations than HPV+OPSCC. The number of mutations was similar in HPV−OPSCC of patients with and without LDR with the exception of FAT1, which was mutated more frequently in patients without LDR. In HPV+OPSCC, HRAS, PIK3R1, STK11 and TP63 were more frequently mutated in patients with LDR compared to patients without. HPV+OPSCC of patients with LDR have a similar mutation pattern as HPV−OPSCC, except TP53, which was mutated to a significantly lower extent. In conclusion, HPV−and HPV+OPSCC with LDR have similar mutation counts in the analyzed genes. We suspect that the number of mutations is not causal for disease progression, rather specific mutations could be important.

Oropharyngeal cancer: First relapse description and prognostic factor of salvage treatment according to p16 status, a GETTEC multicentric study

INTRODUCTION

Although Human Papilloma Virus (HPV)-driven oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) prognosis is significantly better than that of other head and neck cancers, up to 25% of cases will recur within 5 years. Data on the pattern of disease recurrence and efficiency of salvage treatment are still sparse.

MATERIAL AND METHOD

Observational study of all recurrent OPCs diagnosed, following a curative intent treatment, in seven French centers from 2009 to 2014. p16 Immunohistochemistry was used to determine HPV status. Clinical characteristics, distribution of recurrence site, and treatment modalities were compared by HPV tumor status. Overall survival was examined using Kaplan-Meier and multivariate Cox regression modeling.

RESULTS

350 recurrent OPC patients (246 p16-negative and 104 p16-positive patients). The site of recurrence was more frequently locoregional for p16-negative patients (65.4% versus 52.9% in p16-positive patients) and metastatic for p16-positive patients (47.1% versus 34.6% in p16-patients, p = 0.03). Time from diagnosis to recurrence did not differ between p16-positive and p16-negative patients (12 and 9.6 months, respectively, p-value = 0.2), as the main site of distant metastasis (all p-values ≥0.10). Overall and relapse-free survival following the first recurrence did not differ according to p16 status (p-values from log-rank 0.30 and 0.40, respectively). In multivariate analysis, prognosis factors for overall survival in p16-negative patients were distant metastasis (HR 2.11, 95% CI 1.30-3.43) and concurrent local and regional recurrences (HR 2.20, 95% CI 1.24-3.88).

CONCLUSION

With the exception of the initial site of recurrence, the pattern of disease relapse and the efficiency of salvage treatment are not different between p16-positive and negative OPCs.

Prediction of post-radiotherapy locoregional progression in HPV-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma using machine-learning analysis of baseline PET/CT radiomics

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Radiomics quantitatively captures visually inappreciable imaging features.

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PET/CT radiomics provides wholistic metabolic and structural tumor characterization.

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Machine-learning algorithms can generate radiomics-based biomarkers for OPSCC.

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PET/CT radiomics can predict post-radiotherapy locoregional progression in HPV-associated OPSCC.

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Such biomarkers may improve patient selection for treatment de-intensification trials.

Locoregional failure remains a therapeutic challenge in oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC). We aimed to devise novel objective imaging biomarkers for prediction of locoregional progression in HPV-associated OPSCC. Following manual lesion delineation, 1037 PET and 1037 CT radiomic features were extracted from each primary tumor and metastatic cervical lymph node on baseline PET/CT scans. Applying random forest machine-learning algorithms, we generated radiomic models for censoring-aware locoregional progression prognostication (evaluated by Harrell's C-index) and risk stratification (evaluated in Kaplan-Meier analysis). A total of 190 patients were included; an optimized model yielded a median (interquartile range) C-index of 0.76 (0.66-0.81; p = 0.01) in prognostication of locoregional progression, using combined PET/CT radiomic features from primary tumors. Radiomics-based risk stratification reliably identified patients at risk for locoregional progression within 2-, 3-, 4-, and 5-year follow-up intervals, with log-rank p-values of p = 0.003, p = 0.001, p = 0.02, p = 0.006 in Kaplan-Meier analysis, respectively. Our results suggest PET/CT radiomic biomarkers can predict post-radiotherapy locoregional progression in HPV-associated OPSCC. Pending validation in large, independent cohorts, such objective biomarkers may improve patient selection for treatment de-intensification trials in this prognostically favorable OPSCC entity, and eventually facilitate personalized therapy.

Rate of locoregional recurrence among patients with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma with known HPV status: a systematic review

Background: We aimed to review systematically the literature on locoregional recurrence rates in patients with HPV-positive and -negative oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC).Methods: PubMed and Embase databases were systematically searched using key words such as human papillomavirus, oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma with local, regional, and locoregional recurrence.Results: Nine studies (2974 patients with known HPV-status, 59% HPV-positive) were included. Among the HPV-positive and -negative patients, 69% and 58% had lymph node metastasis at diagnosis. At a median time to recurrence ranging from 8.4 to 13.2 months among the included studies, we found that a weighted average of 9% and 26% for HPV-positive and -negative patients experienced locoregional recurrence. Overall, the median follow-up time ranged from 21 to 83 months among the included studies.Conclusion: Recurrence rates for HPV-positive and -negative OPSCC patients were 9% and 26%, respectively, equating to an almost three times higher rate of locoregional recurrence among HPV-negative patients compared to HPV-positive patients.

The prognostic role of medical comorbidities in surgically treated human papillomavirus-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

Prognostic factors specific to surgically managed human papillomavirus (HPV)-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (HPV(+)OPSCC) are not fully understood. Medical co-morbidities may have an impact on survival after surgical treatment. We aimed to identify co-morbidities associated with distant metastases-free survival (DMFS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in HPV(+)OPSCCs.

METHODS

This is a retrospective case series of HPV(+)OPSCC patients at a tertiary referral center from 2007 to 2016. All patients in the study underwent primary intent-to-cure transoral resection with concomitant neck dissection ± adjuvant radiation ± chemotherapy. Exclusion criteria included a history of previous head and neck cancer or distant metastases at diagnosis. Associations with DMFS and CSS were evaluated using univariable and multivariable Cox regression and summarized with hazard ratios (HRs).

RESULTS

406 patients were included in the cohort (100% HPV(+), 90% Male). All had tumors of the tonsil (62%) or base of tongue (38%). Median follow-up for the cohort was 4.0 years (IQR: 2.6-6.2). Higher tumor stage and a higher Adult Comorbidity Evaluation-27 score were significantly associated with worse DMFS and CSS (p < 0.02 for all). A history of diabetes mellitus (N = 36, 9%) was significantly associated with DMFS (HR 3.05 [95%CI 1.26-7.37], p = 0.014) and CSS (HR 4.82 [95%CI 1.84-12.61], p = 0.001). On multivariable analysis, after adjusting for tumor stage, diabetes remained significantly associated with worse DMFS (HR 2.58 [95%CI 1.06-6.26], p = 0.037).

CONCLUSION

Diabetes mellitus may be associated with worse DMFS and CSS in surgically managed HPV(+)OPSCC.

The current epidemic of HPV-associated oropharyngeal cancer: An 18-year Danish population-based study with 2,169 patients

BACKGROUND

The objectives of this study were to investigate the incidence of high-risk genotypes of human papillomavirus (HPV) in tumours of patients with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) during an 18-year period in Eastern Denmark.

METHODS

In this population-based, consecutive, semi-national registry study, all patients diagnosed with OPSCC from 2000 to 2017 in Eastern Denmark were evaluated at head and neck oncological departments at public university hospitals. Analyses included tumour characteristics (HPV-positive [HPV+] versus HPV-negative [HPV-]), age-adjusted incidence rates (AAIRs), average annual percentage change (AAPC) of OPSCC, and patient demographics. All HPV+ cases from 2011 to 2017 were genotyped.

RESULTS

In total, 55% of 2169 OPSCC cases were HPV+. HPV16, HPV33, HPV35 or other types were found in 86%, 7.4%, 3.4% and 3.2% of cases, respectively. The AAIR per 100,000 of all OPSCCs was 1.8 in 2000, which increased to 5.1 in 2017 (HPV+: threefold increase, HPV-: twofold increase). The AAPC from 2000 to 2017 increased by 7% (HPV+ increased by 10% and HPV- by 4%). The median age at diagnosis for all OPSCC cases increased during the 18-year study period (HPV+: 58-61 years, p < 0.001; HPV-: 60-65 years, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

We report a threefold increase in OPSCC incidence during the 18-year observation period and a significant increase in median age at diagnosis. Over 93% of HPV genotypes in HPV+ OPSCC are included in current HPV vaccines except for HPV35 (4%). HPV vaccination of both sexes is advised to halt this emerging cancer epidemic.

High levels of tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-1 (TIMP-1) in the serum are associated with poor prognosis in HPV-negative squamous cell oropharyngeal cancer

Background

An emerging subset of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinomas (OPSCC) is caused by HPV. HPV-positive OPSCC has a better prognosis than HPV-negative OPSCC, but other prognostic markers for these two different diseases are scarce. Our aim was to evaluate serum levels and tumor expression of matrix metalloproteinase-8 (MMP-8) and tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-1 (TIMP-1) and to assess their prognostic role in HPV-positive and HPV-negative OPSCC.

Materials and methods

A total of 90 consecutive OPSCC patients diagnosed and treated with curative intent at the Helsinki University Hospital between 2012 and 2016 were included. Serum samples were prospectively collected. An immunofluorometric assay and an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay were used to determine MMP-8 and TIMP-1 serum concentrations, respectively. HPV status of the tumors was determined using a combination of HPV-DNA genotyping and p16-INK4a immunohistochemistry. The endpoints were overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS).

Results

High TIMP-1 serum levels were strongly and independently associated with poorer OS (adjusted HR 14.7, 95% CI 1.8–117.4, p = 0.011) and DFS (adjusted HR 8.7, 95% CI 1.3–57.1, p = 0.024) among HPV-negative patients; this association was not observed in HPV-positive OPSCC. Although TIMP-1 was immunoexpressed in the majority of the tumor tissue samples, the level of immunoexpression was not associated with prognosis, nor did MMP-8 serum levels.

Conclusion

Our results indicate that serum TIMP-1 levels may serve as an independent prognostic marker for HPV-negative OPSCC patients.