Usefulness of nutritional assessment using Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index as an independent predictor of 30-day mortality after hip fracture surgery

AtoG: A simple score to predict complications and death after hip fractures, in line with the comprehensive geriatric assessment

INTRODUCTION

Proximal Femur Fractures (PFFs) are a significant public health issue and occur in the context of global frailty and aging. Recent literature identifies new patient-related prognostic factors that focus on socioeconomic environment, patient well-being, or nutrition status. Specific scores have been developed, but in most cases, they fail to be in line with the comprehensive geriatric assessment, or do not assess the newly identified prognostic factors, contain multitude collinearities, or are too complex to be used in the daily practice. Hypothesis A comprehensive score with equal representation of the patient's dimensions does at least as good as the Charlson score (CCI), to predict complications and mortality.

OBJECTIVE

To develop a new comprehensive prognostic score, predicting inpatient complications and mortality up to 5-year after PFF.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The patients treated surgically for PFF on a native hip, between 2005 and 2017 were selected from a French national database. The variables were the gender, age, the type of treatment (osteosynthesis or arthroplasty), and the CCI. The outcomes were the medical and surgical complications as inpatient and the mortality (up to 5-year). Variables were grouped into dimensions with similar clinical significance, using a Principal Component Analysis, for instance, bedsores and malnutrition. The dimensions were tested for 90-day mortality and complications, in regressions models. Two scores were derived from the coefficients: SCOREpond (strict ponderation), and SCORE (with loose ponderation: 1 point/risk factors, -1 point/protective factors). Calibration, discrimination (ROC curves with Area Under Curves AUC), and cross-validation were assessed for SCOREpond, SCORE, and CCI.

RESULTS

Analyses were performed on 7756 fractures. The factorial analysis identified seven dimensions: age; brain-related conditions (including dementia): 1738/7756; severe chronic conditions (for instance, organ failures) 914/7756; undernutrition: 764/7756; environment, including social issues or housing difficulties: 659/7756; associated trauma: 814/7756; and gender. The seven dimensions were selected for the prognostic score named AtoG (ABCDEFG, standing for Age, Brain, Comorbidities, unDernutrition, Environment, other Fractures, Gender). The median survival rate was 50.8 months 95% CI [49-53]. Anaemia and urologic complications were the most prevalent medical complications (1674/7756, 21%, and 1109/7756, 14.2%). A total of 149/7756 patients (1.9%) developed a mechanical inpatient complication (fractures or dislocations), with a slightly higher risk for arthroplasties. The AUCs were 0.69, 0.68, and 0.67 for AtoGpond, AtoG, and CCI, respectively, for 90-day mortality, and 0.64, 0.63, and 0.56 for complications. Compared to patients with AtoG=0, Hazard Ratios for 90-day mortality were 2.3 95% CI [1.7-2.9], 4.2 95% CI [3.1-5.4], 6 95% CI [4.5-8.1], 8.3 95% CI [6.5-12.9], and 13.7 95% CI [8-24], from AtoG=1 to AtoG≥5, respectively (p<10-4); the 90-day survival decreased by 5%/point, roughly. The sur-risk of mortality associated with AtoG was up to 5-year: HR=1.51 (95% CI [1.46-1.55], p<10-4). Compared to AtoG=0, from AtoG=1 to AtoG≥5, the pooled Odd Ratios were 1.14 95% CI [1.06-1.2], 1.53 95% CI [1.4-1.7], 2.17 95% CI [1.9-2.4], 2.9 95% CI [2.4-3.4], and 4.9 95% CI [3.3-7.4] for any complication (p<10-4).

CONCLUSION

AtoG is a multidimensional score in line with the concept of comprehensive geriatric assessment. It had good discrimination and performance in predicting 90-day mortality and complications. Performances were as good as CCI for 90-day mortality, and better than it for the complications.

LEVEL OF PROOF

IV; retrospective cohort study.

Geriatric nutritional risk index predicts postoperative prognosis in older patients with hip fracture: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Hip fracture is common in elderly individuals and is accompanied by a relatively high mortality rate. However, it is currently difficult to accurately predict postoperative prognosis for older patients with hip fractures. The aim of this meta-analysis was to further determine the prognostic value of the geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) for patients who underwent hip fracture surgery.

METHODS

The Medline, EMBASE, Web of Science, and CNKI databases were searched up to September 19, 2023, for available studies. The primary and secondary outcomes were the mortality and complication rates, respectively. Hazard ratios (HRs) and relative risks with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were separately combined to assess the associations between the GNRI and mortality and complication rates. All the statistical analyses were performed with STATA 15.0 and SPSS 22.0 software.

RESULTS

A total of 9 studies with 3959 patients were included. The pooled results demonstrated that a lower GNRI was significantly related to an increased risk of postoperative mortality (HR = 0.82, 95% CI = 0.72-0.92, P = .001). In addition, the GNRI predicted the risk of overall postoperative complications (52% vs 35.5%, P = .04) and pneumonia (33.3% vs 13.6%, P = .010).

CONCLUSION

The GNRI might serve as a novel prognostic indicator for older patients with hip fractures, and a lower GNRI indicates an increased risk of postoperative mortality and complication rates.

Hip fractures after 60 years of age in France in 2005-2017: Nationwide sample of statutory-health-insurance beneficiaries

BACKGROUND

Proximal femoral factures (PFFs) constitute a heavy medical, social, and economic burden. Overall, orthopaedic conditions vary widely in France regarding the patients involved and treatments applied. For PFFs specifically, data are limited. Moreover, the ongoing expansion of geriatric orthopaedics holds promise for improving overall postoperative survival. The objectives of this retrospective study of a nationwide French database were: 1) to describe the pathway of patients with PFFs regarding access to care, healthcare institutions involved, and times to management; 2) to look for associations linking these parameters to post-operative mortality.

HYPOTHESIS

Across France, variations exist in healthcare service availability and time to management for patients with PFFs.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A retrospective analysis of data in a de-identified representative sample of statutory-health-insurance beneficiaries in France (Échantillon généraliste des bénéficiaires, EGB, containing data for 1/97 beneficiaries) was conducted. All patients older than 60 years of age who were managed for PFFs between 2005 and 2017 were included. The following data were collected for each patient: age, management method, Charlson's Comorbidity Index (CCI), home-to-hospital distance by road, and type of hospital (public, non-profit private, or for-profit private), and time to surgery were collected. The study outcomes were the incidence of PFF, mortality during the first postoperative year, changes in mortality between 2005 and 2017, and prognostic factors.

RESULTS

In total 8026 fractures were included. The 7561 patients had a median age of 83.8 years and a mean CCI of 4.6; both parameters increased steadily over time, by 0.18 years and 0.06 points per year, respectively (p<10-4 for both comparisons). Management was by total hip replacement in 3299 cases and internal fixation in 4262 cases; this information was not available for 465 fractures. The overall incidence increased from 90/100,000 in 2008 to 116/100,000 in 2017 (p=0.03). Of the 8026 fractures, 5865 (73.1%) were managed in public hospitals (and this proportion increased significantly over time), 1629 (20.3%) in non-profit private hospitals (decrease over time), and 264 (3.3%) in for-profit private hospitals. The home-to-hospital distance ranged from 7.5 to 38.5km and increased over time by 0.26km/year (95% confidence interval [95%CI]: 0.15-0.38) (p<10-4). Median time to surgery was 1 day [1-3 days], with no significant difference across hospital types. Mortality rates at 90 days and 1 year were 10.5% (843/8026) and 20.8% (1673/8026), respectively. Two factors were significantly associated with day-90 mortality: the CCI (hazard ratio [HR], 1.087 [95%CI: 1.07-1.10] [p<10-4]) and time to surgery>1 day (HR 1.35 [95%CI: 1.15-1.50] [p<0.0001]). Day-90 mortality decreased significantly from 2005 to 2017 (HR 0.95 [95%CI: 0.92-0.97] [p<10-4]), with no centre effect.

CONCLUSION

The management of PFF in patients older than 60 varied widely across France. Time to surgery longer than 1 day was a major adverse prognostic factor whose effects persisted throughout the first year. This factor was present in over half the patients. Day-90 mortality decreased significantly from 2005 to 2017 despite increases in age and comorbidities.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

IV Retrospective cohort study.

Malnutrition is Associated with an Increased Risk of Death in Hospitalized Patients with Active Pulmonary Tuberculosis: A Propensity Score Matched Retrospective Cohort Study

Background

This study aimed to investigate whether nutrition levels in patients with active pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) affect their risk of all-cause mortality during hospitalization and to further evaluate the predictive ability of Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI) and Body Mass Index (BMI) for risk of all-cause mortality.

Methods

Patients from January 1, 2020 to December 31, 2021 were retrieved, and a total of 1847 were included. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed for risk adjustment, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to assess the predictive ability of GNRI and BMI for all-cause mortality.

Results

Malnourished TB patients were older, had more congestive heart failure, and had more chronic obstructive pulmonary disease or asthma. Under the nutrition level grouping defined by GNRI, the all-cause mortality in the malnourished group did not appear to reach a statistical difference compared with the nonmalnourished group (P = 0.078). When grouped by level of nutrition as defined by BMI, the all-cause mortality was higher in the malnourished group (P = 0.009), and multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that malnutrition was an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality. After propensity score matching, the results showed that the all-cause mortality was higher in the malnutrition group, regardless of BMI or GNRI defined nutrition level grouping, compared with the control group (both P < 0.001). The ROC curve analysis revealed that the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.811 ([95% confidence interval (CI) 0.701–0.922], P < 0.001) for GNRI and 0.728 ([95% CI 0.588–0.869], P = 0.001) for BMI.

Conclusion

In the clinical treatment of patients with active TB, more attention should be paid to the management of nutritional risk. GNRI may be a highly effective and easy method for predicting short-term outcomes in patients with active pulmonary TB.