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Ortíz-Barrios M, Jaramillo-Rueda N, Gul M, Yucesan M, Jiménez-Delgado G, Alfaro-Saíz JJ. A Fuzzy Hybrid MCDM Approach for Assessing the Emergency Department Performance during the COVID-19 Outbreak. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2023; 20:4591. [PMID: 36901601 PMCID: PMC10001734 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph20054591] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/09/2023] [Revised: 02/15/2023] [Accepted: 02/28/2023] [Indexed: 06/18/2023]
Abstract
The use of emergency departments (EDs) has increased during the COVID-19 outbreak, thereby evidencing the key role of these units in the overall response of healthcare systems to the current pandemic scenario. Nevertheless, several disruptions have emerged in the practical scenario including low throughput, overcrowding, and extended waiting times. Therefore, there is a need to develop strategies for upgrading the response of these units against the current pandemic. Given the above, this paper presents a hybrid fuzzy multicriteria decision-making model (MCDM) to evaluate the performance of EDs and create focused improvement interventions. First, the intuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (IF-AHP) technique is used to estimate the relative priorities of criteria and sub-criteria considering uncertainty. Then, the intuitionistic fuzzy decision making trial and evaluation laboratory (IF-DEMATEL) is employed to calculate the interdependence and feedback between criteria and sub-criteria under uncertainty, Finally, the combined compromise solution (CoCoSo) is implemented to rank the EDs and detect their weaknesses to device suitable improvement plans. The aforementioned methodology was validated in three emergency centers in Turkey. The results revealed that the most important criterion in ED performance was ER facilities (14.4%), while Procedures and protocols evidenced the highest positive D + R value (18.239) among the dispatchers and is therefore deemed as the main generator within the performance network.
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Affiliation(s)
- Miguel Ortíz-Barrios
- Department of Productivity and Innovation, Universidad de la Costa CUC, Barranquilla 081001, Colombia
| | - Natalia Jaramillo-Rueda
- Department of Productivity and Innovation, Universidad de la Costa CUC, Barranquilla 081001, Colombia
| | - Muhammet Gul
- School of Transportation and Logistics, Istanbul University, Istanbul 34320, Turkey
| | - Melih Yucesan
- Department of Emergency Aid and Disaster Management, Munzur University, Tunceli 62000, Turkey
| | - Genett Jiménez-Delgado
- Department of Industrial Engineering, Institución Universitaria de Barranquilla IUB, Barranquilla 080002, Colombia
| | - Juan-José Alfaro-Saíz
- Research Centre on Production Management and Engineering, Universitat Politècnica de València, 46022 Valencia, Spain
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2
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Petr O, Grassner L, Warner FM, Dedeciusová M, Voldřich R, Geiger P, Brawanski K, Gsellmann S, Meiners LC, Bauer R, Freigang S, Mokry M, Resch A, Kretschmer T, Rossmann T, Navarro FR, Stefanits H, Gruber A, Spendel M, Schwartz C, Griessenauer C, Marhold F, Sherif C, Wais JP, Rössler K, Zagata JJ, Ortler M, Pfisterer W, Mühlbauer M, Trivik-Barrientos FA, Burtscher J, Krška L, Lipina R, Kerekanič M, Fiedler J, Kasík P, Přibáň V, Tichý M, Beneš V, Krůpa P, Česák T, Kroupa R, Callo A, Haninec P, Pohlodek D, Krahulík D, Sejkorová A, Sameš M, Dvořák J, Juričeková A, Buchvald P, Tomáš R, Klener J, Juráň V, Smrčka M, Linzer P, Kaiser M, Hrabovský D, Jančálek R, Kramer JLK, Thomé C, Netuka D. Current trends and outcomes of non-elective neurosurgical care in Central Europe during the second year of the COVID-19 pandemic. Sci Rep 2022; 12:14631. [PMID: 36030282 PMCID: PMC9420122 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-18426-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/28/2021] [Accepted: 08/10/2022] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Abstract
Reflecting the first wave COVID-19 pandemic in Central Europe (i.e. March 16th–April 15th, 2020) the neurosurgical community witnessed a general diminution in the incidence of emergency neurosurgical cases, which was impelled by a reduced number of traumatic brain injuries (TBI), spine conditions, and chronic subdural hematomas (CSDH). This appeared to be associated with restrictions imposed on mobility within countries but also to possible delayed patient introduction and interdisciplinary medical counseling. In response to one year of COVID-19 experience, also mapping the third wave of COVID-19 in 2021 (i.e. March 16 to April 15, 2021), we aimed to reevaluate the current prevalence and outcomes for emergency non-elective neurosurgical cases in COVID-19-negative patients across Austria and the Czech Republic. The primary analysis was focused on incidence and 30-day mortality in emergency neurosurgical cases compared to four preceding years (2017–2020). A total of 5077 neurosurgical emergency cases were reviewed. The year 2021 compared to the years 2017–2019 was not significantly related to any increased odds of 30 day mortality in Austria or in the Czech Republic. Recently, there was a significant propensity toward increased incidence rates of emergency non-elective neurosurgical cases during the third COVID-19 pandemic wave in Austria, driven by their lower incidence during the first COVID-19 wave in 2020. Selected neurosurgical conditions commonly associated with traumatic etiologies including TBI, and CSDH roughly reverted to similar incidence rates from the previous non-COVID-19 years. Further resisting the major deleterious effects of the continuing COVID-19 pandemic, it is edifying to notice that the neurosurgical community´s demeanor to the recent third pandemic culmination keeps the very high standards of non-elective neurosurgical care alongside with low periprocedural morbidity. This also reflects the current state of health care quality in the Czech Republic and Austria.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ondra Petr
- Department of Neurosurgery, Medical University Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria. .,Department of Neurosurgery and Neuro-Oncology, 1st Medical Faculty, Central Military Hospital, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic.
| | - Lukas Grassner
- Department of Neurosurgery, Medical University Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria
| | - Freda M Warner
- International Collaboration on Repair Discoveries (ICORD), University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada
| | - Michaela Dedeciusová
- Department of Neurosurgery and Neuro-Oncology, 1st Medical Faculty, Central Military Hospital, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic
| | - Richard Voldřich
- Department of Neurosurgery and Neuro-Oncology, 1st Medical Faculty, Central Military Hospital, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic
| | - Philipp Geiger
- Department of Neurosurgery, Medical University Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria
| | | | - Sina Gsellmann
- Department of Neurosurgery, Landeskrankenhaus Feldkirch, Feldkirch, Austria
| | - Laura C Meiners
- Department of Neurosurgery, Landeskrankenhaus Feldkirch, Feldkirch, Austria
| | - Richard Bauer
- Department of Neurosurgery, Landeskrankenhaus Feldkirch, Feldkirch, Austria
| | - Sascha Freigang
- Department of Neurosurgery, Medical University Graz, Graz, Austria
| | - Michael Mokry
- Department of Neurosurgery, Medical University Graz, Graz, Austria
| | - Alexandra Resch
- Department of Neurosurgery & Neurorestauration, Klinikum Klagenfurt, Klagenfurt, Austria
| | - Thomas Kretschmer
- Department of Neurosurgery & Neurorestauration, Klinikum Klagenfurt, Klagenfurt, Austria
| | - Tobias Rossmann
- Department of Neurosurgery, Kepler University Hospital GmbH, Johannes Kepler University, Linz, Austria
| | - Francisco Ruiz Navarro
- Department of Neurosurgery, Kepler University Hospital GmbH, Johannes Kepler University, Linz, Austria
| | - Harald Stefanits
- Department of Neurosurgery, Kepler University Hospital GmbH, Johannes Kepler University, Linz, Austria
| | - Andreas Gruber
- Department of Neurosurgery, Kepler University Hospital GmbH, Johannes Kepler University, Linz, Austria
| | - Mathias Spendel
- Department of Neurosurgery, Christian Doppler Clinic, Paracelsus Medical University, Salzburg, Austria
| | - Christoph Schwartz
- Department of Neurosurgery, Christian Doppler Clinic, Paracelsus Medical University, Salzburg, Austria
| | - Christoph Griessenauer
- Department of Neurosurgery, Christian Doppler Clinic, Paracelsus Medical University, Salzburg, Austria
| | - Franz Marhold
- Department of Neurosurgery, University Hospital of St. Poelten, Karl Landsteiner University of Health Sciences, St. Poelten, Austria
| | - Camillo Sherif
- Department of Neurosurgery, University Hospital of St. Poelten, Karl Landsteiner University of Health Sciences, St. Poelten, Austria
| | - Jonathan P Wais
- Department of Neurosurgery, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Karl Rössler
- Department of Neurosurgery, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Jakob J Zagata
- Unit of Neurosurgery, Klinik Landstrasse, Vienna, Austria
| | - Martin Ortler
- Unit of Neurosurgery, Klinik Landstrasse, Vienna, Austria
| | | | | | | | - Johannes Burtscher
- Department of Neurosurgery, General Hospital Wiener Neustadt, Wiener Neustadt, Austria
| | - Lukáš Krška
- Department of Neurosurgery, University Hospital Ostrava, Ostrava, Czech Republic
| | - Radim Lipina
- Department of Neurosurgery, University Hospital Ostrava, Ostrava, Czech Republic
| | - Martin Kerekanič
- Department of Neurosurgery, Ceske Budejovice Hospital, Ceske Budejovice, Czech Republic
| | - Jiří Fiedler
- Department of Neurosurgery, Ceske Budejovice Hospital, Ceske Budejovice, Czech Republic
| | - Petr Kasík
- Department of Neurosurgery, Pilsen University Hospital, Pilsen, Czech Republic
| | - Vladimír Přibáň
- Department of Neurosurgery, Pilsen University Hospital, Pilsen, Czech Republic
| | - Michal Tichý
- Department of Neurosurgery, Motol University Hospital, Prague, Czech Republic
| | - Vladimír Beneš
- Department of Neurosurgery, Motol University Hospital, Prague, Czech Republic
| | - Petr Krůpa
- Department of Neurosurgery, University Hospital Hradec Kralove, Hradec Kralove, Czech Republic
| | - Tomáš Česák
- Department of Neurosurgery, University Hospital Hradec Kralove, Hradec Kralove, Czech Republic
| | - Robert Kroupa
- Unit of Neurosurgery, Municipal Hospital - Ostrava Fifejdy, Ostrava, Czech Republic
| | - Andrej Callo
- Department of Neurosurgery, University Hospital Kralovske Vinohrady, Prague, Czech Republic
| | - Pavel Haninec
- Department of Neurosurgery, University Hospital Kralovske Vinohrady, Prague, Czech Republic
| | - Daniel Pohlodek
- Department of Neurosurgery, University Hospital Olomouc, Olomouc, Czech Republic
| | - David Krahulík
- Department of Neurosurgery, University Hospital Olomouc, Olomouc, Czech Republic
| | - Alena Sejkorová
- Department of Neurosurgery, Usti Nad Labem Hospital, Usti Nad Labem, Czech Republic
| | - Martin Sameš
- Department of Neurosurgery, Usti Nad Labem Hospital, Usti Nad Labem, Czech Republic
| | - Josef Dvořák
- Department of Neurosurgery, Liberec Hospital, Liberec, Czech Republic
| | | | - Pavel Buchvald
- Department of Neurosurgery, Liberec Hospital, Liberec, Czech Republic
| | - Robert Tomáš
- Unit of Neurosurgery, Homolka Hospital, Prague, Czech Republic
| | - Jan Klener
- Unit of Neurosurgery, Homolka Hospital, Prague, Czech Republic
| | - Vilém Juráň
- Department of Neurosurgery, University Hospital Brno and Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic
| | - Martin Smrčka
- Department of Neurosurgery, University Hospital Brno and Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic
| | - Petr Linzer
- Unit of Neurosurgery, Zlin Hospital, Zlin, Czech Republic
| | - Miroslav Kaiser
- Unit of Neurosurgery, Pardubice Hospital, Pardubice, Czech Republic
| | - Dušan Hrabovský
- Department of Neurosurgery, St. Anne's University Hospital Brno and Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic
| | - Radim Jančálek
- Department of Neurosurgery, St. Anne's University Hospital Brno and Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic
| | - John L K Kramer
- International Collaboration on Repair Discoveries (ICORD), University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada
| | - Claudius Thomé
- Department of Neurosurgery, Medical University Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria
| | - David Netuka
- Department of Neurosurgery and Neuro-Oncology, 1st Medical Faculty, Central Military Hospital, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic
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3
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Rana W, Mukhtar S, Mukhtar S. Job satisfaction, performance appraisal, reinforcement and job tasks in medical healthcare professionals during the COVID-19 pandemic outbreak. Int J Health Plann Manage 2022; 37:2345-2353. [PMID: 35411574 PMCID: PMC9087389 DOI: 10.1002/hpm.3476] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/18/2020] [Revised: 03/25/2022] [Accepted: 03/28/2022] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Medical healthcare profession is under immense stress since the COVID-19 pandemic outbreak on global scale, and medical healthcare professionals are enduring occupational challenges which entail frontline and non-frontline duties, appraisal and satisfaction with their job. The present study examined perceived job satisfaction as a mediating variable that affects the relationship between performance appraisal and reinforcement on performing job tasks among medical healthcare professionals during COVID-19. A sample (N = 550) was selected from public and private hospitals' medical healthcare professionals (n = 300 males, and n = 250 females). The results showed that perceived job satisfaction mediates the relationship between performance appraisal and reinforcement on job tasks in medical healthcare professionals. This study could help stakeholders, medical board regulations, mental health practitioners, employers and employees to increment sources which could establish feasible healthcare planning and management. The study has significant implications in mental healthcare, crisis management, human resource planning, effective performance and improvement in well-being of medical workforce's psychological health.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Sonia Mukhtar
- University of Management and TechnologyLahorePakistan
- Dulwich CenterAdelaideSouth AustraliaAustralia
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4
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Mukhtar S, Mukhtar S. The Hidden Shadow Pandemic of Marital Rape During COVID-19 Pandemic Outbreak: A Critical Role of Women’s March for Awareness of Rape, Consent, and Sexual and Reproductive Rights. JOURNAL OF PSYCHOSEXUAL HEALTH 2022. [DOI: 10.1177/26318318221089415] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/15/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction: Aurat March–the women’s rights movement has left an indelible imprint on a contradictive ensemble of a revolutionary women’s rights demand in a conventional socializing segment of society. Women’s March is an intersectional, intergenerational and inclusive feminist discourse centrally concerned with the health, education, engagement, advocacy, gender equality, freedom and empowerment. Anecdotal discourse of Aurat March, enacted amidst COVID-19 pandemic, is centrally concerned with achieving space in private and public sphere and equal sexual and reproductive rights in the marriage institution. Method: A broad research of literature and online data base related to marital rape using PsycINFO, PsycNet, PubMed, ERIC, EMBASE, Scopus, Google Scholar and Elsevier was undertaken. Manual searches of the specific intimate partner violence journals (e.g., Journal of Interpersonal Violence, Journal of Family Issues) and news articles were also included. Result: This analysis provides epistemological and media representation grounds for strategy and intervening analysis on the re-construction of the narrative of semantics of stereotyped gender roles. Further, this paper is embedded in the measure of women’s rights, bodily autonomy, sexual and reproductive rights, differential context of consent between sex and rape within the institution of marriage.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sonia Mukhtar
- Institute of Clinical Psychology, University of Management and Technology, Lahore, Punjab, Pakistan
- Dulwich Center, Adelaide, Australia
| | - Shamim Mukhtar
- College of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of the Punjab, Lahore, Pakistan
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5
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Mukhtar S, Mukhtar S, Rana W. A Public Health Perspective of "My Body, My Choice" in Aurat March of Pakistan: A Crisis of Marital Rape During COVID-19 Pandemic. Asia Pac J Public Health 2022; 34:439-442. [PMID: 35040351 DOI: 10.1177/10105395211072500] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/15/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Sonia Mukhtar
- University of Management and Technology, Lahore, Pakistan
| | | | - Waleed Rana
- Al-Khidmat Foundation Hospital, Lahore, Pakistan
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6
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Brown C, Wilkins K, Craig-Neil A, Upshaw T, Pinto AD. Reducing Inequities During the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Rapid Review and Synthesis of Public Health Recommendations. Public Health Rev 2022; 42:1604031. [PMID: 35140994 PMCID: PMC8802804 DOI: 10.3389/phrs.2021.1604031] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/11/2021] [Accepted: 11/04/2021] [Indexed: 01/10/2023] Open
Abstract
Objectives: Efforts to contain the COVID-19 pandemic should take into account worsening health inequities. While many public health experts have commented on inequities, no analysis has yet synthesized recommendations into a guideline for practitioners. The objective of this rapid review was to identify the areas of greatest concern and synthesize recommendations. Methods: We conducted a rapid systematic review (PROSPERO: CRD42020178131). We searched Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, PsycINFO, CINAHL and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials databases from December 1, 2019 to April 27, 2020. We included English language peer-reviewed commentaries, editorials, and opinion pieces that addressed the social determinants of health in the context of COVID-19. Results: 338 articles met our criteria. Authors represented 81 countries. Income, housing, mental health, age and occupation were the most discussed social determinants of health. We categorized recommendations into primordial, primary, secondary and tertiary prevention that spoke to the social determinants of COVID-19 and equity. Conclusion: These recommendations can assist efforts to contain COVID-19 and reduce health inequities during the pandemic. Using these recommendations, public health practitioners could support a more equitable pandemic response. Systematic Review Registration: PROSPERO, CRD42020178131.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chloe Brown
- Upstream Lab, MAP/Centre for Urban Health Solutions, Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, Unity Health Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Undergraduate Medical Education, Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Katie Wilkins
- Upstream Lab, MAP/Centre for Urban Health Solutions, Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, Unity Health Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Undergraduate Medical Education, Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Amy Craig-Neil
- Upstream Lab, MAP/Centre for Urban Health Solutions, Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, Unity Health Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Tara Upshaw
- Upstream Lab, MAP/Centre for Urban Health Solutions, Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, Unity Health Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Andrew David Pinto
- Upstream Lab, MAP/Centre for Urban Health Solutions, Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, Unity Health Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Institute of Health Policy Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Department of Family and Community Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Department of Family and Community Medicine, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, ON, Canada
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7
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Rahman SU, Haq FU, Imran M, Shah A, Bibi N, Khurshid R, Romman M, Gaffar F, Khan MI. Impact of the COVID-19 lockdown on routine vaccination in Pakistan: a hospital-based study. Hum Vaccin Immunother 2021; 17:4934-4940. [PMID: 34554897 DOI: 10.1080/21645515.2021.1979380] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/04/2023] Open
Abstract
The effect of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic on routine vaccination in low- and middle-income countries are scarce. The current pandemic has disrupted routine immunization globally. We aimed to analyze the effect of COVID-19 pandemic on routine immunizations practice in Pakistan. A retrospective study was conducted. The data were extracted from the immunization registry in order to assess the disruption in routine immunization coverage during 5 months of the lockdown period. We compared 5 months post lockdown against the baseline period of 5 months preceding lockdown. To broaden the horizon of our research we also collected data of vaccination from rural areas within the country. The results of the current study showed that on average, there was a disruption in routine immunization by 36% during lockdown when compared with the prepandemic period. The largest decline was observed for measles vaccination with a decline of 48%. In rural areas there was a lower decline in vaccination coverage with the highest decline noted for rotavirus vaccination of 15%. This monthly decrease in routine vaccination continued to be at a decline for several months during lockdown; however, it slightly increased post lockdown. In conclusion, on average, there was more than 30% declined in routine vaccination during the lockdown period, while somewhat improved post lockdown, i.e. 12%. Thus, this ongoing pandemic is a reminder for the national immunization programs to consider to tackle the disruption in routine immunization, otherwise, this continued disruption may lead to secondary outbreaks of vaccine preventable diseases amongst the public.
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Affiliation(s)
- Saeed Ur Rahman
- Department of Nursing, University of Health Sciences, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - Faiz Ul Haq
- Department of Microbiology, University of Health Sciences, Lahore, Pakistan.,Center for Biotechnology and Microbiology, University of Swat, Mingora, Pakistan
| | - Muhammad Imran
- Department of Microbiology, University of Health Sciences, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - Asaf Shah
- Institute of Nursing, Khyber Medical University, Peshawar, Pakistan
| | - Naeema Bibi
- Institute of Nursing, Khyber Medical University, Peshawar, Pakistan
| | - Robina Khurshid
- Department of Nursing, University of Health Sciences, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - Muhammad Romman
- Pharmacognosy Laboratory, University of Chitral, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan
| | - Fatema Gaffar
- Institute of Allied Health Sciences, De Montfort University, Leicester, UK
| | - Muhammad Iqbal Khan
- Center for Biotechnology and Microbiology, University of Swat, Mingora, Pakistan
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8
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Saeed U, Sherdil K, Ashraf U, Mohey-Ud-Din G, Younas I, Butt HJ, Ahmad SR. Identification of potential lockdown areas during COVID-19 transmission in Punjab, Pakistan. Public Health 2021; 190:42-51. [PMID: 33338902 PMCID: PMC7654357 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2020.10.026] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/21/2020] [Revised: 10/21/2020] [Accepted: 10/29/2020] [Indexed: 11/11/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Real-time COVID-19 spread mapping and monitoring to identify lockdown and semi-lockdown areas using hotspot analysis and geographic information systems and also near future prediction modeling for risk of COVID-19 in Punjab, Pakistan. STUDY DESIGN Data for all COVID-19 cases were collected until 20 October 2020 in Punjab Province. METHODS The methodology included geotagging COVID-19 cases to understand the trans-mobility areas for COVID-19 and characterize risk. The hotspot analysis technique was used to identify the number of areas in danger zones and the number of people affected by COVID-19. The complete lockdown areas were marked down geographically to be selected by the government of Pakistan based on increased numbers of cases. RESULTS As per predictive model estimates, almost 9.2 million people are COVID-19 infected by 20 October 2020 in Punjab Province. The compound growth rate of COVID-19 decreased to 0.012% per day and doubling rate increased to 364.5 days in Punjab Province. Based on Pueyo model predictions from past temporal data, it is more likely that Punjab and Pakistan entered into peak around the first week of July 2020, and the decline of growth rate (and doubling rate) of reported cases started afterward. Hospital load was also measured through the Pueyo model, and mostly, people in the 60+ years age group are expected to dominate the hospitalized population. CONCLUSIONS Pakistan is experiencing a high number of COVID-19 cases, with the maximum share from Punjab, Pakistan. Statistical modeling and compound growth estimation formulation were done through the Pueyo model, which was applied in Pakistan to identify the compound growth of COVID-19 patients and predicting numbers of patients shortly by slightly modifying it as per the local context.
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Affiliation(s)
- U Saeed
- The Urban Sector Planning and Services Management Unit, Lahore, Pakistan; College of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Punjab, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - K Sherdil
- The Urban Sector Planning and Services Management Unit, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - U Ashraf
- Department of Environmental Sciences and Policy, Lahore School of Economics, Lahore, Pakistan.
| | - G Mohey-Ud-Din
- The Urban Sector Planning and Services Management Unit, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - I Younas
- The Urban Sector Planning and Services Management Unit, Lahore, Pakistan; Space Sciences Department, University of the Punjab (New Campus), Lahore, Pakistan
| | - H J Butt
- The Urban Sector Planning and Services Management Unit, Lahore, Pakistan; Punjab University College of Information Technology, PUCIT, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - S R Ahmad
- College of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Punjab, Lahore, Pakistan
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9
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Kasahun GG, Kahsay GM, Asayehegn AT, Demoz GT, Desta DM, Gebretekle GB. Pharmacy preparedness and response for the prevention and control of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Aksum, Ethiopia; a qualitative exploration. BMC Health Serv Res 2020; 20:913. [PMID: 33008384 PMCID: PMC7530845 DOI: 10.1186/s12913-020-05763-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/28/2020] [Accepted: 09/23/2020] [Indexed: 12/19/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Novel Coronavirus is a global pandemic affecting all walks of life and it significantly changed the health system practices. Pharmacists are at the front line and have long been involved in combating this public health emergency. Therefore, the study was aimed to explore pharmacy preparedness and response to prevent and control coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). METHODS A qualitative study was conducted in six pharmacies in Aksum, Ethiopia in May, 2020. We conducted six in-depth interviews with purposively selected key informants. Direct observation measures were made to assess the activities made in the medicine retail outlets for the prevention and control of the pandemic. Interview data were audio-recorded, translated and transcribed verbatim. Thematic analysis was employed to analyze the data and OpenCode version 4.02 software was used to facilitate the data analysis. RESULTS The thematic analysis has resulted in seven major themes. Good preparedness measures were undertaken to control and prevent COVID-19. Study informants had good knowledge about the pandemic disease and reported they had used different resource materials to update themselves. Preparing of alcohol-based hand-rub, availing finished sanitizers and alcohol, and advising clients to maintain physical distancing were the major counseling information being delivered to prevent the disease. Some tendencies of irrational drug use and false claims of COVID-19 were observed at the beginning of the pandemic. Interview informants had reported they were working with relevant stakeholders and appropriate patient education and support were given to combat the pandemic. CONCLUSION The study revealed necessary pharmacy services has been rendered to all clients. However, availability of drugs and medical supplies were scarce which negatively affected the optimal delivery of pharmacy services. The government and other responsible bodies should work together to solve such problems and contain the pandemic.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Amha Teklu Asayehegn
- Department of Pharmacy, College of Health Sciences, Aksum University, Aksum, Tigray, Ethiopia
| | - Gebre Teklemariam Demoz
- Department of Pharmacy, College of Health Sciences, Aksum University, Aksum, Tigray, Ethiopia
| | - Desilu Mahari Desta
- School of Pharmacy, College of Health Sciences, Mekelle University, Mekelle, Tigray, Ethiopia
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10
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Zgueb Y, Bourgou S, Neffeti A, Amamou B, Masmoudi J, Chebbi H, Somrani N, Bouasker A. Psychological crisis intervention response to the COVID 19 pandemic: A Tunisian centralised Protocol. Psychiatry Res 2020; 289:113042. [PMID: 32387792 PMCID: PMC7191293 DOI: 10.1016/j.psychres.2020.113042] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/25/2020] [Accepted: 04/25/2020] [Indexed: 11/20/2022]
Abstract
In order to manage the urgent psychological need for support in response to the anticipated reaction of the population to the COVID-19 pandemic, we developed a new psychological crisis intervention model by implementing a centralised psychological support system for all of Tunisia. We set up a helpline which is accessible throughout the country, including those without access to Internet. This model integrates medical students, child and adolescent psychiatrists, psychiatrists, psychologists and social services to provide psychological intervention to the general population and medical staff. It will make a sound basis for developing a more effective psychological crisis intervention response system.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yosra Zgueb
- Psychiatry department (A) Razi Hospital, Cité des Orangers, 2010, La Manouba
- University Tunis El Manar, Faculty of Medicine of Tunis, Djebal Lakhdar Street, 1006 Tunis, Tunisia
- Celule d'Assistance Psychologique (CAP), Tunisia
| | - Soumaya Bourgou
- Child Psychiatry Department Mongi Slim Hospital, Sidi Daoued 2046, Tunisia
- University Tunis El Manar, Faculty of Medicine of Tunis, Djebal Lakhdar Street, 1006 Tunis, Tunisia
- Celule d'Assistance Psychologique (CAP), Tunisia
| | - Aida Neffeti
- Department of Forensic Medicine, Charles Nicolle Hospital, Boulevard 9 Avril 1938, Tunis-1006, Tunisia
- Celule d'Assistance Psychologique (CAP), Tunisia
| | - Badii Amamou
- Psychiatry Department, Fatouma Bourguiba Hospital, Rue du 1er juin 1995-Monastir, 5000, Tunisia
- University of Monastir, Faculty of Medecine of Monastir, Tunisia
- Celule d'Assistance Psychologique (CAP), Tunisia
| | - Jawaher Masmoudi
- Psychiatry Department A, Hedi Chaker Hospital, Route El Ain Km 0,5, Hédi Chaker Sfax, Tunisia
- University of Sfax, Faculty of Medecine of Sfax, Tunisia
- Celule d'Assistance Psychologique (CAP), Tunisia
| | - Henda Chebbi
- The Strategic Health Operations Center (Shoc Room), Ministry of Health, Bab saadoun 1006, Tunisia
| | - Naoufel Somrani
- The Strategic Health Operations Center (Shoc Room), Ministry of Health, Bab saadoun 1006, Tunisia
| | - Anissa Bouasker
- Celule d'Assistance Psychologique (CAP), Tunisia
- The Strategic Health Operations Center (Shoc Room), Ministry of Health, Bab saadoun 1006, Tunisia
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11
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Sum ZZ, Ow CJW. Community pharmacy response to infection control during COVID-19. A cross-sectional survey. Res Social Adm Pharm 2020; 17:1845-1852. [PMID: 33317763 PMCID: PMC7831441 DOI: 10.1016/j.sapharm.2020.06.014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/11/2020] [Accepted: 06/11/2020] [Indexed: 12/23/2022]
Abstract
Pharmacies have been practicing innovative infection control measures during COVID-19. This article seeks to explore the current activities undertaken across various community pharmacy settings in relation to the safety of the workplace environment for staff and patients. Methods An online cross-sectional survey was conducted in Australia during the COVID-19 outbreak from 1st to 30th April 2020, addressing community pharmacist's awareness and response to infection and sanitation control. Results A total of 137 pharmacists took part in the survey. Regular cleaning took place in the pharmacy, but the use of gloves while cleaning was not regularly practice (48.18%). In addition, only 46.72% of respondents reported observing script baskets being cleaned and disinfected. About one-third (37.96%) of pharmacists were aware of the two-step cleaning and disinfecting process, with only 18.98% of pharmacist practicing such cleaning procedures. More than half of surveyed pharmacists reported having difficulty keeping up with pharmacy practice and infection control guidelines during the pandemic. Conclusion This study demonstrates that the majority of pharmacists are not fully aware of the proper infection control measures needed in a community pharmacy setting. Pharmacists must play a bigger role in infection control measures to ensure staff and public health safety.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zachary Z Sum
- National Institute of Independent Pharmacist Research, Melbourne, VIC, 3000, Australia.
| | - Charmane J W Ow
- National Institute of Independent Pharmacist Research, Melbourne, VIC, 3000, Australia.
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Mukhtar S. Are individuals with cardiovascular disease at risk of COVID-19-related mental health problems or individuals with cardiovascular disease at risk of cardiovascular disease-related mental health problems during COVID-19? A psychological-psychiatric perspective. Med Hypotheses 2020; 144:109919. [PMID: 32531541 PMCID: PMC7261099 DOI: 10.1016/j.mehy.2020.109919] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/07/2020] [Accepted: 05/28/2020] [Indexed: 12/17/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Sonia Mukhtar
- University of Management and Technology, Lahore, Pakistan.
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