Design and implementation of a hybrid model based on two-layer decomposition method coupled with extreme learning machines to support real-time environmental monitoring of water quality parameters

Integrating vision-based AI and large language models for real-time water pollution surveillance

Water pollution has become a major concern in recent years, affecting over 2 billion people worldwide, according to UNESCO. This pollution can occur by either naturally, such as algal blooms, or man-made when toxic substances are released into water bodies like lakes, rivers, springs, and oceans. To address this issue and monitor surface-level water pollution in local water bodies, an informative real-time vision-based surveillance system has been developed in conjunction with large language models (LLMs). This system has an integrated camera connected to a Raspberry Pi for processing input frames and is further linked to LLMs for generating contextual information regarding the type, causes, and impact of pollutants on both human health and the environment. This multi-model setup enables local authorities to monitor water pollution and take necessary steps to mitigate it. To train the vision model, seven major types of pollutants found in water bodies like algal bloom, synthetic foams, dead fishes, oil spills, wooden logs, industrial waste run-offs, and trashes were used for achieving accurate detection. ChatGPT API has been integrated with the model to generate contextual information about pollution detected. Thus, the multi-model system can conduct surveillance over water bodies and autonomously alert local authorities to take immediate action, eliminating the need for human intervention. PRACTITIONER POINTS: Combines cameras and LLMs with Raspberry Pi for processing and generating pollutant information. Uses YOLOv5 to detect algal blooms, synthetic foams, dead fish, oil spills, and industrial waste. Supports various modules and environments, including drones and mobile apps for broad monitoring. Educates on environmental healthand alerts authorities about water pollution.

Multi-step forecasting of dissolved oxygen in River Ganga based on CEEMDAN-AdaBoost-BiLSTM-LSTM model

Accurate prediction of Dissolved Oxygen (DO) is an integral part of water resource management. This study proposes a novel approach combining Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (CEEMDAN) with AdaBoost and deep learning for multi-step forecasting of DO. CEEMDAN generates Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs) with different frequencies, capturing non-linear and non-stationary characteristics of the data. The high-frequency and medium-frequency IMFs, characterized by complex patterns and frequent changes over time, are predicted using Adaboost with Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) as the base estimator. The low-frequency IMFs, characterized by relatively simple patterns, are predicted using standalone Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). The proposed CEEMDAN-AdaBoost-BiLSTM-LSTM model is tested on data from ten stations of river Ganga. We compare the results with six models without decomposition and four models utilizing decomposition. Experimental results show that using a tailored prediction technique based on each IMF's distinctive features leads to more accurate forecasts. CEEMDAN-AdaBoost-BiLSTM-LSTM outperforms CEEMDAN-BiLSTM with an average improvement of 25.458% for RMSE and 37.390% for MAE. Compared with CEEMDAN-AdaBoost-BiLSTM, an average improvement of 20.779% for RMSE and 28.921% for MAE is observed. Diebold-Mariano test and t-test suggest a statistically significant difference in performance between the proposed and compared models.

The dynamic changes in phytoplankton and environmental factors within Dongping Lake (China) before and after the South-to-North Water Diversion Project

Dongping Lake is one of the most important regulation and storage lakes along the eastern route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project in China, the water quality condition of which directly influences the safety of water diverting, because it serves as a Yangtze River water redistribution control point. However, the changes in algae, and in environmental factors affecting their community structures, before and after the water diversion project are rarely reported. In this study, the temporal variations of phytoplankton abundance were examined based on monthly samples collected at three stations from May 2010 to April 2022. The total abundance of algae greatly decreased after the water diversion project was implemented, with a relatively stable biodiversity and evenness before and after the water translocation. Multiple statistical methods were used together with the water quality indices (WQIs) and the nutrient status index (TSIM) to evaluate overall water condition and analyse relationships among environmental factors. The WQIs demonstrated a general "Good" water quality with a seasonal differentiation, and that water conditions during water transfer periods were better than during non-water transfer periods, which may be ascribed to the improved hydraulic conditions and purified water environment during water transfer periods. Redundancy analysis showed that water temperature, ammonia nitrogen, water transparency, and total phosphorus were the most important environmental factors, with relatively decreased contribution rates towards phytoplankton communities after the water translocation. Importantly, some dominant phytoplankton genera of Chlorophyta, Bacillariophyceae, and Cyanophyceae were similarly affected by water transparency, and nitrogen and phosphorus nutrients in summer after the water translocation. These research findings helped us gain a comprehensive understanding of the changing patterns of water quality and microalgae and their relationships before and after the water diversion project, providing a guidance for future lake management in regulating hydraulic conditions and improving water quality of Dongping Lake.

Spatiotemporal assessment of groundwater quality and quantity using geostatistical and ensemble artificial intelligence tools

The study investigated the spatiotemporal relationship between surface hydrological variables and groundwater quality/quantity using geostatistical and AI tools. AI models were developed to estimate groundwater quality from ground-based measurements and remote sensing images, reducing reliance on laboratory testing. Different Kriging techniques were employed to map ground-based measurements and fill data gaps. The methodology was applied to analyze the Maragheh aquifer in northwest Iran, revealing declining groundwater quality due to industrial. discharges and over-extraction. Spatiotemporal analysis indicated a relationship between groundwater depth/quality, precipitation, and temperature. The Root Mean Square Scaled Error (RMSSE) values for all variables ranged from 0.8508 to 1.1688, indicating acceptable performance of the semivariogram models in predicting the variables. Three AI models, namely Feed-Forward Neural Networks (FFNNs), Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Adaptive Neural Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), predicted groundwater quality for wet (June) and dry (October) months using input variables such as groundwater depth, temperature, precipitation, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), and Digital Elevation Model (DEM), with Groundwater Quality Index (GWQI) as the target variable. Ensemble methods were employed to combine the outputs of these models, enhancing performance. Results showed strong predictive capabilities, with coefficient of determination values of 0.88 and 0.84 for wet and dry seasons. Ensemble models improved performance by up to 6% and 12% for wet and dry seasons, respectively, potentially advancing groundwater quality modeling in the future.

Recent applications of AI to environmental disciplines: A review

The rapid development and efficiency of Artificial Intelligence (AI) tools have made them increasingly popular in various fields and research domains. The environmental discipline is now experiencing an exponential interest in harnessing the potential of AI over the past decade. We have reviewed the latest applications of AI tools in the environmental disciplines, highlighting the opportunities they present and discussing their advantages and disadvantages in this field. After the emergence of deep learning algorithms in 2010, interest in using AI tools for environmental tasks has grown exponentially. Among the studied articles, over 65 % of environmental tasks that demonstrate interest in using AI tools initially relied on conventional statistical and mathematical models. Using AI tools can greatly benefit the areas of environmental science and engineering. One of the main advantages of utilizing AI tools is their ability to analyze and process large amounts of data efficiently. Recently, the European Union established a European supercomputing ecosystem program to advance science and enhance the quality of life for its citizens. Nine of these projects prioritize environmental and sustainable goals. Despite the benefits of AI, it is still in its early stages of development, which comes with environmental concerns. The amount of power consumed and the time required to train an AI model can greatly affect the carbon emissions it produces, exacerbating the challenges posed by climate change. Efforts are currently underway to develop AI technology that is environmentally sustainable, minimizes energy consumption, and has a low carbon footprint. Selecting the appropriate AI model architecture can reduce energy consumption by almost 90 %. The main finding suggests that collaboration between environmental and AI professionals becomes crucial in leveraging the full potential of AI in addressing pressing environmental challenges.

Prediction of cell migration potential on human breast cancer cells treated with Albizia lebbeck ethanolic extract using extreme machine learning

Cancer is one of the major causes of death in the modern world, and the incidence varies considerably based on race, ethnicity, and region. Novel cancer treatments, such as surgery and immunotherapy, are ineffective and expensive. In this situation, ion channels responsible for cell migration have appeared to be the most promising targets for cancer treatment. This research presents findings on the organic compounds present in Albizia lebbeck ethanolic extracts (ALEE), as well as their impact on the anti-migratory, anti-proliferative and cytotoxic potentials on MDA-MB 231 and MCF-7 human breast cancer cell lines. In addition, artificial intelligence (AI) based models, multilayer perceptron (MLP), extreme gradient boosting (XGB), and extreme learning machine (ELM) were performed to predict in vitro cancer cell migration on both cell lines, based on our experimental data. The organic compounds composition of the ALEE was studied using gas chromatography-mass spectrometry (GC-MS) analysis. Cytotoxicity, anti-proliferations, and anti-migratory activity of the extract using Tryphan Blue, MTT, and Wound Heal assay, respectively. Among the various concentrations (2.5-200 μg/mL) of the ALEE that were used in our study, 2.5-10 μg/mL revealed anti-migratory potential with increased concentrations, and they did not show any effect on the proliferation of the cells (P < 0.05; n ≥ 3). Furthermore, the three data-driven models, Multi-layer perceptron (MLP), Extreme gradient boosting (XGB), and Extreme learning machine (ELM), predict the potential migration ability of the extract on the treated cells based on our experimental data. Overall, the concentrations of the plant extract that do not affect the proliferation of the type cells used demonstrated promising effects in reducing cell migration. XGB outperformed the MLP and ELM models and increased their performance efficiency by up to 3% and 1% for MCF and 1% and 2% for MDA-MB231, respectively, in the testing phase.

Forecasting water quality variable using deep learning and weighted averaging ensemble models

Water quality variables, including chlorophyll-a (Chl-a), play a pivotal role in comprehending and evaluating the condition of aquatic ecosystems. Chl-a, a pigment present in diverse aquatic organisms, notably algae and cyanobacteria, serves as a valuable indicator of water quality. Thus, the objectives of this study encompass: (1) the assessment of the predictive capabilities of four deep learning (DL) models - namely, recurrent neural network (RNN), long short-term memory (LSTM), gated recurrence unit (GRU), and temporal convolutional network (TCN) - in forecasting Chl-a concentrations; (2) the incorporation of these DL models into ensemble models (EMs) employing genetic algorithm (GA) and non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm (NSGA-II) to harness the strengths of each standalone model; and (3) the evaluation of the efficacy of the developed EMs. Utilizing data collected at 15-min intervals from Small Prespa Lake (SPL) in Greece, the models employed hourly Chl-a concentration lag times, extending up to 6 h, as models' inputs to forecast Chla (t+1). The proposed models underwent training on 70% of the dataset and were subsequently validated on the remaining 30%. Among the standalone DL models, the GRU model exhibited superior performance in Chl-a forecasting, surpassing the RNN, LSTM, and TCN models by 8%, 2%, and 2%, respectively. Furthermore, the integration of DL models through single-objective GA and multi-objective NSGA-II optimization algorithms yielded hybrid models adept at effectively forecasting both low and high Chl-a concentrations. The ensemble model based on NSGA-II outperformed standalone DL models as well as the GA-based model across a range of evaluation indices. For instance, considering the R-squared metric, the study's findings demonstrated that the EM-NSGA-II stands out with exceptional effectiveness compared to DL and EM-GA models, showcasing improvements of 14% (RNN), 8% (LSTM), 6% (GRU), 8% (TCN), and 3% (EM-GA) during the testing phase.

Growth prediction of Microcystis aeruginosa based on a secondary decomposition integration model

Microcystis aeruginosa is the dominant species in the blooms of eutrophic lakes such as Taihu Lake in China. Chlorophyll-a is one of the most common indicators to characterize its biomass. The nonlinearity and unsteadiness of the chlorophyll-a sequence decrease the prediction accuracy. In this paper, a secondary decomposition prediction method based on the integration of wavelet decomposition, variational modal decomposition, and gated recurrent unit (WD-VMD-GRU) is proposed. First, the original sequence is decomposed once using wavelet decomposition (WD). Then, the components with higher sample entropy values are decomposed using variational modal decomposition (VMD). Finally, each component is predicted using a gated recurrent unit (GRU), and the final prediction results are obtained by reconstructing each component result. The decomposition effect is ranked as VMD > WD > CEEMDAN > EMD. The WD-VMD-GRU model has a significant advantage compared to the basic model, with an increase of over 6.5% in R2. The secondary decomposition reduces the difficulty of predicting GRU components and has better prediction performance. The RMSE, MAE, and R2 were 1.752, 1.450, 0.969 at 2-day prediction, and 3.169, 2.711, 0.908 at 6-day prediction. Therefore, the WD-VMD-GRU model is superior in accuracy to other methods and can provide a scientific basis for the growth prediction research of M. aeruginosa.

A hybrid model for daily air quality index prediction and its performance in the face of impact effect of COVID-19 lockdown

Accurate and dependable air quality forecasting is critical to environmental and human health. However, most methods usually aim to improve overall prediction accuracy but neglect the accuracy for unexpected incidents. In this study, a hybrid model was developed for air quality index (AQI) forecasting, and its performance during COVID-19 lockdown was analyzed. Specifically, the variational mode decomposition (VMD) was employed to decompose the original AQI sequence into some subsequences with the parameters optimized by the Whale optimization algorithm (WOA), and the residual sequence was further decomposed by the complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN). On this basis, a deep learning method bidirectional long short-term memory coupled with added time filter layer and attention mechanism (TFA-BiLSTM) was employed to explore the latent dynamic characteristics of each subsequence. This WOA-VMD-CEEMDAN-TFA-BiLSTM hybrid model was used to forecast AQI values for four cities in China, and results verified that the accuracy of the hybrid model outperformed other proposed models, achieving R² values of 0.96-0.97. In addition, the improvement in MAE (34.71-49.65%) and RMSE (32.82-48.07%) were observed over single decomposition-based model. Notably, during the epidemic lockdown period, the hybrid model had significant superiority over other proposed models for AQI prediction.

A spatiotemporal dissolved oxygen prediction model based on graph attention networks suitable for missing data

The accurate prediction of dissolved oxygen concentration is crucial for the effective prevention and control of water pollution. A spatiotemporal prediction model for dissolved oxygen content that is suitable for missing data is proposed in this study. The model utilizes a module based on neural controlled differential equations (NCDEs) to handle missing data and graph attention networks (GATs) to capture the spatiotemporal relationship of dissolved oxygen content. To enhance the performance of model, it is optimized from three aspects: an iterative optimization method based on the k-nearest neighbor graph is proposed to enhance the quality of graph; Shapley additive explanations model (SHAP) is used to select the main features into model, enabling it to handle multiple features; and a fusion graph attention mechanism is introduced to improve the robustness of model to noise. The model is evaluated using data from water quality monitoring sites in Hunan Province, China, from January 14, 2021, to June 16, 2022. The proposed model outperforms other models in long-term prediction (step = 18), with MAE of 0.194, NSE of 0.914, RAE of 0.219, and IA of 0.977. The results demonstrate that constructing appropriate spatial dependencies can enhance the accuracy of dissolved oxygen prediction models, and the NCDE module confers robustness to missing data in the model.

An integrated supervision framework to safeguard the urban river water quality supported by ICT and models

Models and information and communication technology (ICT) can assist in the effective supervision of urban receiving water bodies and drainage systems. Single model-based decision tools, e.g., water quality models and the pollution source identification (PSI) method, have been widely reported in this field. However, a systematic pathway for environmental decision support system (EDSS) construction by integrating advanced single techniques has rarely been reported, impeding engineering applications. This paper presents an integrated supervision framework (UrbanWQEWIS) involving monitoring-early warning-source identification-emergency disposal to safeguard the urban water quality, where the data, model, equipment and knowledge are smoothly and logically linked. The generic architecture, all-in-one equipment and three key model components are introduced. A pilot EDSS is developed and deployed in the Maozhou River, China, with the assistance of environmental Internet of Things (IoT) technology. These key model components are successfully validated via in situ monitoring data and dye tracing experiments. In particular, fluorescence fingerprint-based qualitative PSI and Bayesian-based quantitative PSI methods are effectively coupled, which can largely reduce system costs and enhance flexibility. The presented supervision framework delivers a state-of-the-art management tool in the digital water era. The proposed technical pathway of EDSS development provides a valuable reference for other regions.

Groundwater quality assessment by multi-model comparison: a comprehensive study during dry and wet periods in semi-arid regions

With the impact of human engineering activities, groundwater pollution has seriously threatened the health of human life. Accurate water quality assessment is the basis of controlling groundwater pollution and improving groundwater management, especially in specific regions. A typical semi-arid city in Fuxin Province of China is taken as an example. We use remote sensing and GIS to compile four environmental factors, such as rainfall, temperature, LULC, and NDVI, to analyze and screen the correlation of indicators. The differences among the four algorithms were compared by using hyperparameters and model interpretability, including random forest (RF), support vector machine support vector machine (SVM), decision tree (DT), and K-nearest neighbor (KNN). The groundwater quality of the city during the dry and wet periods was comprehensively evaluated. The results show that the RF model has higher integrated precision (MSE = 0.11, 0.035; RMSE = 0.19,0.188; R² = 0.829,0.811; ROC = 0.98, 0.98). The quality of shallow groundwater is poor in general, 29%, 38%, 33% of the groundwater quality in low-water period is III, IV, V water. Thirty-three percent and 67% of the groundwater quality in the high-water period were IV and V water. The proportion of poor water quality in high-water period was higher than that in low-water period, which was consistent with the actual investigation. This study provides a kind of machine learning method for the semi-arid area, which cannot only promote the sustainable development of groundwater in this area, but also provide reference for the management policy of related departments.

What will the water quality of the Yangtze River be in the future?

The long-term prediction of water quality is important for water pollution control planning and water resource management, but it has received little attention. In this study, the water quality trend in the Yangtze River is found to stabilize at most monitoring stations under environmental protection activities. Based on the physical mechanism and stochastic theory, a novel river water quality prediction model combining pollution source decomposition (including local point, local nonpoint and upstream sources) and time series decomposition (including trend, seasonal and residential components) is developed. The observed water quality data from 76 monitoring stations in the Yangtze River, including permanganate index (COD_Mn) and total phosphorus (TP), are used to drive this model to make long-term water quality predictions. The results show that this model has an acceptable accuracy. In the future, the concentration of COD_Mn will meet the water quality targets at most stations in the Yangtze River, but the concentration of TP will not be able to meet the water quality target at 28.5 % of the stations. Furthermore, the prediction value of COD_Mn is 62.2 % lower than the target on average. However, the prediction value of TP is only 24.4 % lower than the target on average, and it will exceed the water target by >50 % at some stations. This model has the potential to be widely used for long-term water quality prediction in the future.

Sustained oxygen release of hydrogen peroxide-acrylic resin inclusion complex for aquaculture

To overcome the lack of dissolved oxygen in high-density aquaculture water, a hydrogen peroxide-acrylic resin inclusion complex with sustained oxygen releasing effect was designed and prepared. The resin was synthesized by emulsion polymerization of acrylic acid, methyl methacrylate and butyl acrylate in a mass ratio of 2: 3: 5, and neutralized with sodium hydroxide solution by 50%. The resin solution was mixed in a mixture of urea and 30% hydrogen peroxide solution (CO(NH2)2: H2O2, 1: 1, mol: mol), and dried at 40 °C for 4 h to obtain the hydrogen peroxide-acrylic resin inclusion complex. The product with 4.0% resin by mass of hydrogen oxygen solution, could release oxygen for 92 h in pond water. After optimization by adding a small amount of NaCl, Na2SO4, and EDTA, it was mixed with calcium carbonate and magnesium stearate in a mass ratio of 5: 4: 0.9, and pressed into tablets (1.2 × 0.6 cm, 0.99 g). One tablet in 50 L simulated micro ecosystem aquaculture water with 20 of Carassius auratus fish could release oxygen for 116 h and brought fish with 83.3% of survival rate higher than 51.7 and 70.0% of blank and sodium percarbonate groups.

The next generation of soil and water bodies heavy metals prediction and detection: New expert system based Edge Cloud Server and Federated Learning technology

Heavy metals (HMs) in soil and water bodies greatly threaten human health. The wide separation of HMs urges the necessity to develop an expert system for HMs prediction and detection. In the current perspective, several propositions are discussed to design an innovative intelligence system for HMs prediction and detection in soil and water bodies. The intelligence system incorporates the Edge Cloud Server (ECS) data center, an innovative deep learning predictive model and the Federated Learning (FL) technology. The ECS data center is based on satellite sensing sources under human expertise ruling and HMs in-situ measurement. The FL system comprises a machine learning (ML) technique that trains an algorithm across multiple decentralized edge servers holding local data samples without exchanging them or breaching data privacy. The expected outcomes of the intelligence system are to quantify the soil and water bodies' HMs, develop new modified HMs pollution contamination indices and provide decision-makers and environmental experts with an appropriate vision of soil, surface water, and crop health.

Predicting Irrigation Water Quality Indices Based on Data-Driven Algorithms: Case Study in Semiarid Environment

Ascertaining water quality for irrigational use by employing conventional methods is often time taking and expensive due to the determination of multiple parameters needed, especially in developing countries. Therefore, constructing precise and adequate models may be beneficial in resolving this problem in agricultural water management to determine the suitable water quality classes for optimal crop yield production. To achieve this objective, five machine learning (ML) models, namely linear regression (LR), random subspace (RSS), additive regression (AR), reduced error pruning tree (REPTree), and support vector machine (SVM), have been developed and tested for predicting of six irrigation water quality (IWQ) indices such as sodium adsorption ratio (SAR), percent sodium (%Na), permeability index (PI), Kelly ratio (KR), soluble sodium percentage (SSP), and magnesium hazards (MH) in groundwater of the Nand Samand catchment of Rajasthan. The accuracy of these models was determined serially using the mean squared error (MSE), correlation coefficients (r), mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean square error (RMSE). The SVM model showed the best-fit model for all irrigation indices during testing, that is, RMSE: 0.0662, 4.0568, 3.0168, 0.1113, 3.7046, and 5.1066; r: 0.9364, 0.9618, 0.9588, 0.9819, 0.9547, and 0.8903; MSE: 0.004381, 16.45781, 9.101218, 0.012383, 13.72447, and 26.078; MAE: 0.042, 3.1999, 2.3584, 0.0726, 2.9603, and 4.0582 for KR, MH, SSP, SAR, %Na, and PI, respectively. The KR and SAR values were predicted accurately by the SVM model in comparison to the observed values. As a result, machine learning algorithms can improve irrigation water quality characteristics, which is critical for farmers and crop management in various irrigation procedures. Additionally, the findings of this research suggest that ML models are effective tools for reliably predicting groundwater quality using general water quality parameters that may be acquired directly on periodical basis. Assessment of water quality indices may also help in deriving optimal strategies to utilise inferior quality water conjunctively with fresh water resources in the water-limited areas.

Exploration of China's net CO2 emissions evolutionary pathways by 2060 in the context of carbon neutrality

In the context of global climate governance, as the biggest carbon emitter, China bears momentous responsibility for mitigating emissions. Especially after the carbon neutrality target is proposed, it is urgent for China to seek a feasible pathway to achieve net-zero carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions by 2060. With the aims of exploring the net-zero emission pathways, an integrated prediction model incorporating the extreme learning machine (ELM) network, the Aquila optimizer (AO) technique, and the Elastic Net (EN) regression method is constructed. Then the prediction model is employed to project CO₂ emissions and forest carbon sinks during 2021-2060 under the nine designed scenarios. The simulation results reveal that China has the potential to achieve net-zero CO₂ emissions by 2060 under the combined effects of reducing emissions and increasing forest carbon sinks. Specifically, the total CO₂ emissions will be peaked at 11441 million tons CO₂ (MtCO₂) in 2029. The post-peak carbon reduction rate should be 8% per year, and the average annual forest carbon sink is required to be 209.45 TgC/year during 2021-2060. In addition, in accordance with the optimal carbon neutrality pathway, the GDP per capita growth rate should be maintained at 5.5% during the period of 2021-2030, China's urbanization rate should be increased to 72% in 2030, and the total energy consumption should be limited to a peak value of 6000 million tons of coal equivalent (Mtce) in 2030.

A Review of Hybrid Soft Computing and Data Pre-Processing Techniques to Forecast Freshwater Quality’s Parameters: Current Trends and Future Directions

Water quality has a significant influence on human health. As a result, water quality parameter modelling is one of the most challenging problems in the water sector. Therefore, the major factor in choosing an appropriate prediction model is accuracy. This research aims to analyse hybrid techniques and pre-processing data methods in freshwater quality modelling and forecasting. Hybrid approaches have generally been seen as a potential way of improving the accuracy of water quality modelling and forecasting compared with individual models. Consequently, recent studies have focused on using hybrid models to enhance forecasting accuracy. The modelling of dissolved oxygen is receiving more attention. From a review of relevant articles, it is clear that hybrid techniques are viable and precise methods for water quality prediction. Additionally, this paper presents future research directions to help researchers predict freshwater quality variables.

Water quality forecasting based on data decomposition, fuzzy clustering and deep learning neural network

Water quality forecasting can provide useful information for public health protection and support water resources management. In order to forecast water quality more accurately, this paper proposes a novel hybrid model by combining data decomposition, fuzzy C-means clustering and bidirectional gated recurrent unit. Firstly, the original water quality data is decomposed into several subseries by empirical wavelet transform, and then, the decomposed subseries are recombined by fuzzy C-means clustering. Next, for each clustered series, bidirectional gated recurrent unit is applied to develop prediction model. Finally, the forecast result is obtained by the summation of the predictions for the subseries. The proposed forecast model is evaluated by the water quality data of Poyang Lake, China. Results show that the proposed forecast model provides highly accurate forecast result for all of the six water quality data: the average of MAPE of the forecast results for the six water quality datasets is 4.59% for 7 day ahead prediction. Furthermore, our model shows better forecast performance than the other models. Particularly, compared with the single BiGRU model, MAPE decreased by 32.86% in average. Results demonstrate that the proposed forecast model can be used effectively for water quality forecasting.

Potential for Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) Applications in Biodiversity Conservation, Managing Forests, and Related Services in India

The recent advancement in data science coupled with the revolution in digital and satellite technology has improved the potential for artificial intelligence (AI) applications in the forestry and wildlife sectors. India shares 7% of global forest cover and is the 8th most biodiverse region in the world. However, rapid expansion of developmental projects, agriculture, and urban areas threaten the country’s rich biodiversity. Therefore, the adoption of new technologies like AI in Indian forests and biodiversity sectors can help in effective monitoring, management, and conservation of biodiversity and forest resources. We conducted a systematic search of literature related to the application of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning algorithms (ML) in the forestry sector and biodiversity conservation across globe and in India (using ISI Web of Science and Google Scholar). Additionally, we also collected data on AI-based startups and non-profits in forest and wildlife sectors to understand the growth and adoption of AI technology in biodiversity conservation, forest management, and related services. Here, we first provide a global overview of AI research and application in forestry and biodiversity conservation. Next, we discuss adoption challenges of AI technologies in the Indian forestry and biodiversity sectors. Overall, we find that adoption of AI technology in Indian forestry and biodiversity sectors has been slow compared to developed, and to other developing countries. However, improving access to big data related to forest and biodiversity, cloud computing, and digital and satellite technology can help improve adoption of AI technology in India. We hope that this synthesis will motivate forest officials, scientists, and conservationists in India to explore AI technology for biodiversity conservation and forest management.

Water quality prediction in sea cucumber farming based on a GRU neural network optimized by an improved whale optimization algorithm

Sea cucumber farming is an important part of China's aquaculture industry, and sea cucumbers have higher requirements for aquaculture water quality. This article proposes a sea cucumber aquaculture water quality prediction model that uses an improved whale optimization algorithm to optimize the gated recurrent unit neural network(IWOA-GRU), which provides a reference for the water quality control in the sea cucumber growth environment. This model first applies variational mode decomposition (VMD) and the wavelet threshold joint denoising method to remove mixed noise in water quality time series. Then, by optimizing the convergence factor, the convergence speed and global optimization ability of the whale optimization algorithm are strengthened. Finally, the improved whale optimization algorithm is used to construct a GRU prediction model based on optimal network weights and thresholds to predict sea cucumber farming water quality. The model was trained and tested using three water quality indices (dissolved oxygen, temperature and salinity) of sea cucumber culture waters in Shandong Peninsula, China, and compared with prediction models such as support vector regression (SVR), random forest (RF), convolutional neural network (CNN), recurrent neural network (RNN), and long short-term memory neural network (LSTM). Experimental results show that the prediction accuracy and generalization performance of this model are better than those of the other compared models.

Prediction of Total Nitrogen and Phosphorus in Surface Water by Deep Learning Methods Based on Multi-Scale Feature Extraction

To improve the precision of water quality forecasting, the variational mode decomposition (VMD) method was used to denoise the total nitrogen (TN) and total phosphorus (TP) time series and obtained several high- and low-frequency components at four online surface water quality monitoring stations in Poyang Lake. For each of the aforementioned high-frequency components, a long short-term memory (LSTM) network was introduced to achieve excellent prediction results. Meanwhile, a novel metaheuristic optimization algorithm, called the chaos sparrow search algorithm (CSSA), was implemented to compute the optimal hyperparameters for the LSTM model. For each low-frequency component with periodic changes, the multiple linear regression model (MLR) was adopted for rapid and effective prediction. Finally, a novel combined water quality prediction model based on VMD-CSSA-LSTM-MLR (VCLM) was proposed and compared with nine prediction models. Results indicated that (1), for the three standalone models, LSTM performed best in terms of mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and the root mean square error (RMSE), as well as the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSE) and Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE). (2) Compared with the standalone model, the decomposition and prediction of TN and TP into relatively stable sub-sequences can evidently improve the performance of the model. (3) Compared with CEEMDAN, VMD can extract the multiscale period and nonlinear information of the time series better. The experimental results proved that the averages of MAE, MAPE, RMSE, NSE, and KGE predicted by the VCLM model for TN are 0.1272, 8.09%, 0.1541, 0.9194, and 0.8862, respectively; those predicted by the VCLM model for TP are 0.0048, 10.83%, 0.0062, 0.9238, and 0.8914, respectively. The comprehensive performance of the model shows that the proposed hybrid VCLM model can be recommended as a promising model for online water quality prediction and comprehensive water environment management in lake systems.

Application of artificial intelligence based on synchrosqueezed wavelet transform and improved deep extreme learning machine in water quality prediction

Water quality prediction is the basis for the prevention and control of water pollution. In this paper, to address the problem of low prediction accuracy of existing empirical models due to the non-smoothness and nonlinearity of water quality series, a novel water quality forecasting model integrating synchrosqueezed wavelet transform and deep extreme learning machine optimized with the sparrow search algorithm (SWT-SSA-DELM) was proposed. First, the water quality series was denoised by SWT to reduce the non-stationarity and randomness of water quality series. Then, construct DELM by combining ELM and an autoencoder, and an innovative metaheuristic algorithm, SSA, was used to optimize the hyperparameters of the DELM. Finally, the constructed feature vector was used as the input of the DELM, and the proposed water quality prediction model SWT-SSA-DELM was trained and tested with the data sets of Xinchengqiao and Xiaolangdi in the Yellow River Basin, China. Models such as ELM and DELM alone, as well as their improved form based on ensemble learning, long short-term memory network (LSTM), autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) were adopted as comparison models. The results make it evident that the model presented, linking the ability to ensure convergence to the global optima of the SSA with the nonlinear mapping of the DELM, outperforms similar models in terms of predictive performance, with average MAE, MAPE, and RMSE of 0.15, 2.02%, and 0.21 in the test stage, which is 72.82%, 72.88%, and 74.32% lower than the baseline ELM model, respectively.

Inner Dynamic Detection and Prediction of Water Quality Based on CEEMDAN and GA-SVM Models

Urban water quality is facing strongly adverse degradation in rapidly developing areas. However, there exists a huge challenge to estimating the inner features and predicting the variation of long-term water quality due to the lack of related monitoring data and the complexity of urban water systems. Fortunately, multi-remote sensing data, such as nighttime light and evapotranspiration (ET), provide scientific data support and reasonably reveal the variation mechanisms. Here, we develop an integrated decomposition-reclassification-prediction method for water quality by integrating the CEEMDN method, the RF method mothed, and the genetic algorithm-support vector machine model (GA-SVM). The degression of the long-term water quality was decomposed and reclassified into three different frequency terms, i.e., high-frequency, low-frequency, and trend terms, to reveal the inner mechanism and dynamics in the CEEMDAN method. The RF method was then used to identify the teleconnection and the significance of the selected driving factors. More importantly, the GA-SVM model was designed with two types of model schemes, which were the data-driven model (GA-SVMd) and the integrated CEEMDAN-GA-SVM model (defined as GA-SVMc model), in order to predict urban water quality. Results revealed that the high-frequency terms for NH3-N and TN had a major contribution to the water quality and were mainly dominated by hydrometeorological factors such as ET, rainfall, and the dynamics of the lake water table. The trend terms revealed that the water quality continuously deteriorated during the study period; the terms were mainly regulated by the land use and land cover (LULC), land metrics, population, and yearly rainfall. The predicting results confirmed that the integrated GA-SVMc model had better performance than single data-driven models (such as the GA-SVM model). Our study supports that the integrated method reveals variation rules in water quality and provides early warning and guidance for reducing the water pollutant concentration.

Modeling Multistep Ahead Dissolved Oxygen Concentration Using Improved Support Vector Machines by a Hybrid Metaheuristic Algorithm

Dissolved oxygen (DO) concentration is an important water-quality parameter, and its estimation is very important for aquatic ecosystems, drinking water resources, and agro-industrial activities. In the presented study, a new support vector machine (SVM) method, which is improved by hybrid firefly algorithm–particle swarm optimization (FFAPSO), is proposed for the accurate estimation of the DO. Daily pH, temperature (T), electrical conductivity (EC), river discharge (Q) and DO data from Fountain Creek near Fountain, the United States, were used for the model development. Various combinations of pH, T, EC, and Q were used as inputs to the models to estimate the DO. The outcomes of the proposed SVM–FFAPSO model were compared with the SVM–PSO, SVM–FFA, and standalone SVM with respect to the root mean square errors (RMSE), the mean absolute error (MAE), Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), and determination coefficient (R2), and graphical methods, such as scatterplots, and Taylor and violin charts. The SVM–FFAPSO showed a superior performance to the other methods in the estimation of the DO. The best model of each method was also assessed in multistep-ahead (from 1- to 7-day ahead) DO, and the superiority of the proposed method was observed from the comparison. The general outcomes recommend the use of SVM–FFAPSO in DO modeling, and this method can be useful for decision-makers in urban water planning and management.

Long-term prediction of sea surface chlorophyll-a concentration based on the combination of spatio-temporal features

Harmful algal blooms (HABs) events have a serious impact on marine fisheries and marine management. They occur globally with high frequency and are characterized by a long duration and difficult governance. HABs incidents have occurred in the South China Sea (SCS), and the frequency of occurrence has been on the rise in recent decades. Predicting the long-term chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) concentration has the potential to facilitate long-term monitoring and early warning of HABs events. Currently, long-term predictions of ocean circulation and temperature are common, while long-term predictions of marine biochemistry are still in their infancy. Traditional Chl-a prediction methods have problems, such as low accuracy and the inability to carry out long-term predictions. This research improved the CNN-LSTM model by combining spatio-temporal features to predict Chl-a concentrations. This model can extract both the temporal and spatial features of Chl-a, expand the dataset, and improve the prediction accuracy and training speed. The predictions were made using a Chl-a dataset for the Reed Tablemount in the SCS. The time series of Chl-a used was the satellite data of NASA's official website from January 2002 to June 2020. The results indicate that the predictions of the CNN-LSTM model are better than those of the LSTM and SARIMA models. The five-year long-term rolling prediction of Chl-a was carried out, and the three-year Pearson correlation coefficient reached 0.5. The novelty of this study is the realization of a three-year long-term prediction of Chl-a concentrations. The Mann-Kendall trend test method and the least square method were used to fit the straight line to detect the trend of the five-year predicted value and the true value, respectively. The results indicated that the prediction value and true value of the sea surface Chl-a from 2015 to 2020 both exhibited an overall upward trend. In addition, the prediction performance of the model in large-scale prediction is better than that in small-scale prediction.

Exploring Machine Learning Models in Predicting Irrigation Groundwater Quality Indices for Effective Decision Making in Medjerda River Basin, Tunisia

Over the last years, the global application of machine learning (ML) models in groundwater quality studies has proved to be a robust alternative tool to produce highly accurate results at a low cost. This research aims to evaluate the ability of machine learning (ML) models to predict the quality of groundwater for irrigation purposes in the downstream Medjerda river basin (DMB) in Tunisia. The random forest (RF), support vector regression (SVR), artificial neural networks (ANN), and adaptive boosting (AdaBoost) models were tested to predict the irrigation quality water parameters (IWQ): total dissolved solids (TDS), potential salinity (PS), sodium adsorption ratio (SAR), exchangeable sodium percentage (ESP), and magnesium adsorption ratio (MAR) through low-cost, in situ physicochemical parameters (T, pH, EC) as input variables. In view of this, seventy-two (72) representative groundwater samples have been collected and analysed for major cations and anions during pre-and post-monsoon seasons of 3 years (2019–2021) to compute IWQ parameters. The performance of the ML models was evaluated according to Pearson’s correlation coefficient (r), the root means square error (RMSE), and the relative bias (RBIAS). The model sensitivity analysis was evaluated to identify input parameters that considerably impact the model predictions using the one-factor-at-time (OFAT) method of the Monte Carlo (MC) approach. The results show that the AdaBoost model is the most appropriate model for predicting all parameters (r was ranged between 0.88 and 0.89), while the random forest model is suitable for predicting only four parameters: TDS, PS, SAR, and ESP (r was with 0.65 to 0.87). Added to that, this study found out that the ANN and SVR models perform well in predicting three parameters (TDS, PS, SAR) and two parameters (PS, SAR), respectively, with the most optimal value of generalization ability (GA) close to unity (between 1 and 0.98). Moreover, the results of the uncertainty analysis confirmed the prominent superiority and robustness of the ML models to produce excellent predictions with only a few physicochemical parameters as inputs. The developed ML models are relevant for predicting cost-effective irrigation water quality indices and can be applied as a DSS tool to improve water management in the Medjerda basin.

Predicting polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in surface water by a multiscale feature extraction-based deep learning approach

Accurate and effective prediction of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in surface water remains a substantial challenge due to the limited understanding of the dynamic processes. To assist integrated surface water management, a novel hybrid surface water PAH prediction model based on a two-stage decomposition approach and deep learning algorithm was proposed. Specifically, a two-stage decomposition technique consisting of complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) and variational mode decomposition (VMD) was first introduced to decompose the data into several subsequences to extract the main fluctuations and trends of the PAH sequence. Subsequently, the deep learning algorithm long short-term memory (LSTM) was employed to explore the latent dynamic characteristics of each subsequence. Finally, the predicted values of the subsequences were integrated to obtain the final predicted results. An empirical study was conducted based on PAH data of eight major rivers in Saxony, Germany. The empirical results proved that the CEEMDAN-VMD-LSTM model outperformed other benchmark data-driven methods in predicting PAHs in surface water because it combined the advantages of two-stage decomposition and deep learning methods. The mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), and coefficient of determination (R²) of the model were 27.89, 37.92 and 0.85, respectively. The proposed hybrid method can achieve effective and accurate water quality prediction and is an effective tool for surface water management.

A prediction model of aquaculture water quality based on multiscale decomposition

In the field of intensive aquaculture, the deterioration of water quality is one of the main factors restricting the normal growth of aquatic products. Predicting water quality in real time constitutes the theoretical basis for the evaluation, planning and intelligent regulation of the aquaculture environment. Based on the design principles of decomposition, recombination and integration, this paper constructs a multiscale aquaculture water quality prediction model. First, the complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) method is used to decompose the different water quality variables at different time scales step by step to generate a series of intrinsic mode function (IMF) components with the same characteristic scale. Then, the sample entropy of each IMF component is calculated, the components with similar sample entropies are combined, and the original data are recombined into several subsequences through the above operations. In this paper, a prediction model based on a long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network is constructed to predict each recombination subsequence, and the Adam optimization algorithm is used to continuously update the weight of neural network to train and optimize the prediction performance. Finally, the predicted value of each subsequence is superimposed to predict the original water quality data. The dissolved oxygen and pH data of an aquaculture base were collected for prediction experiments, the results of which show that the proposed model has a high prediction accuracy and strong generalization performance.

LSTM Networks to Improve the Prediction of Harmful Algal Blooms in the West Coast of Sabah

Harmful algal bloom (HAB) events have alarmed authorities of human health that have caused severe illness and fatalities, death of marine organisms, and massive fish killings. This work aimed to perform the long short-term memory (LSTM) method and convolution neural network (CNN) method to predict the HAB events in the West Coast of Sabah. The results showed that this method could be used to predict satellite time series data in which previous studies only used vector data. This paper also could identify and predict whether there is HAB occurrence in the region. A chlorophyll a concentration (Chl-a; mg/L) variable was used as an HAB indicator, where the data were obtained from MODIS and GEBCO bathymetry. The eight-day dataset interval was from January 2003 to December 2018. The results obtained showed that the LSTM model outperformed the CNN model in terms of accuracy using RMSE and the correlation coefficient r as the statistical criteria.

Data-Driven Approach for Rainfall-Runoff Modelling Using Equilibrium Optimizer Coupled Extreme Learning Machine and Deep Neural Network

Rainfall-runoff (R-R) modelling is used to study the runoff generation of a catchment. The quantity or rate of change measure of the hydrological variable, called runoff, is important for environmental scientists to accomplish water-related planning and design. This paper proposes (i) an integrated model namely EO-ELM (an integration of equilibrium optimizer (EO) and extreme learning machine (ELM)) and (ii) a deep neural network (DNN) for one day-ahead R-R modelling. The proposed R-R models are validated at two different benchmark stations of the catchments, namely river Teifi at Glanteifi and river Fal at Tregony in the UK. Firstly, a partial autocorrelation function (PACF) is used for optimal number of lag inputs to deploy the proposed models. Six other well-known machine learning models, called ELM, kernel ELM (KELM), and particle swarm optimization-based ELM (PSO-ELM), support vector regression (SVR), artificial neural network (ANN) and gradient boosting machine (GBM) are utilized to validate the two proposed models in terms of prediction efficiency. Furthermore, to increase the performance of the proposed models, paper utilizes a discrete wavelet-based data pre-processing technique is applied in rainfall and runoff data. The performance of wavelet-based EO-ELM and DNN are compared with wavelet-based ELM (WELM), KELM (WKELM), PSO-ELM (WPSO-ELM), SVR (WSVR), ANN (WANN) and GBM (WGBM). An uncertainty analysis and two-tailed t-test are carried out to ensure the trustworthiness and efficacy of the proposed models. The experimental results for two different time series datasets show that the EO-ELM performs better in an optimal number of lags than the others. In the case of wavelet-based daily R-R modelling, proposed models performed better and showed robustness compared to other models used. Therefore, this paper shows the efficient applicability of EO-ELM and DNN in R-R modelling that may be used in the hydrological modelling field.

Comparison of Forecasting Models for Real-Time Monitoring of Water Quality Parameters Based on Hybrid Deep Learning Neural Networks

Accurate real-time water quality prediction is of great significance for local environmental managers to deal with upcoming events and emergencies to develop best management practices. In this study, the performances in real-time water quality forecasting based on different deep learning (DL) models with different input data pre-processing methods were compared. There were three popular DL models concerned, including the convolutional neural network (CNN), long short-term memory neural network (LSTM), and hybrid CNN–LSTM. Two types of input data were applied, including the original one-dimensional time series and the two-dimensional grey image based on the complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition algorithm with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) decomposition. Each type of input data was used in each DL model to forecast the real-time monitoring water quality parameters of dissolved oxygen (DO) and total nitrogen (TN). The results showed that (1) the performances of CNN–LSTM were superior to the standalone model CNN and LSTM; (2) the models used CEEMDAN-based input data performed much better than the models used the original input data, while the improvements for non-periodic parameter TN were much greater than that for periodic parameter DO; and (3) the model accuracies gradually decreased with the increase of prediction steps, while the original input data decayed faster than the CEEMDAN-based input data and the non-periodic parameter TN decayed faster than the periodic parameter DO. Overall, the input data preprocessed by the CEEMDAN method could effectively improve the forecasting performances of deep learning models, and this improvement was especially significant for non-periodic parameters of TN.

Comparative performance of extreme learning machine and Hammerstein-Weiner models for modelling the intestinal hyper-motility and secretory inhibitory effects of methanolic leaf extract of Combretumhypopilinum Diels (Combretaceae)

In this article, three data-driven approaches were explored, including two artificial intelligence (AI) based models namely; Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) and Hammerstein-Weiner (HW) models and a trivial linear model namely; multilinear regression (MLR). In this context, the models were developed using the onset of diarrhoea, the total number of wet faeces, total number of faeces, weight of intestinal content (g) and length of the small intestine (cm) as the independent variables. In contrast, distance travelled by charcoal meal (C) and volume of intestinal content (I) were considered as the dependent variables for the prediction of the intestinal hypermotility and secretory inhibitory effects of the methanol leaf extract of Combretum hypopilinum (MECH). Three different performance indicators including; mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) and Root mean square error (RMSE) were employed in this research to calculate and determine the performance skills of the models. The obtained results indicated the reliable capability of ELM and HW over MLR model having NSE-values higher than 0.90 in both the calibration and verification stages. The results further demonstrated that, in terms of MAPE and RMSE, ELM and HW models showed higher performance efficiency than the MLR model. Even though HW outperformed the ELM and MLR models in the prediction of I. Whereas, ELM outperformed HW and MLR models in the prediction of C. Overall; the results proved the satisfactory ability of the AI-based models (HW and ELM) for modelling the Intestinal hypermotility and secretory inhibitory effects of MECH.

Mathematical Modelling of Biosensing Platforms Applied for Environmental Monitoring

In recent years, mathematical modelling has known an overwhelming integration in different scientific fields. In general, modelling is used to obtain new insights and achieve more quantitative and qualitative information about systems by programming language, manipulating matrices, creating algorithms and tracing functions and data. Researchers have been inspired by these techniques to explore several methods to solve many problems with high precision. In this direction, simulation and modelling have been employed for the development of sensitive and selective detection tools in different fields including environmental control. Emerging pollutants such as pesticides, heavy metals and pharmaceuticals are contaminating water resources, thus threatening wildlife. As a consequence, various biosensors using modelling have been reported in the literature for efficient environmental monitoring. In this review paper, the recent biosensors inspired by modelling and applied for environmental monitoring will be overviewed. Moreover, the level of success and the analytical performances of each modelling-biosensor will be discussed. Finally, current challenges in this field will be highlighted.

Digital Transformation and Environmental Sustainability: A Review and Research Agenda

Digital transformation refers to the unprecedented disruptions in society, industry, and organizations stimulated by advances in digital technologies such as artificial intelligence, big data analytics, cloud computing, and the Internet of Things (IoT). Presently, there is a lack of studies to map digital transformation in the environmental sustainability domain. This paper identifies the disruptions driven by digital transformation in the environmental sustainability domain through a systematic literature review. The results present a framework that outlines the transformations in four key areas: pollution control, waste management, sustainable production, and urban sustainability. The transformations in each key area are divided into further sub-categories. This study proposes an agenda for future research in terms of organizational capabilities, performance, and digital transformation strategy regarding environmental sustainability.

Identification of Genome Sequences of Polyphosphate-Accumulating Organisms by Machine Learning

In the field of sewage treatment, the identification of polyphosphate-accumulating organisms (PAOs) usually relies on biological experiments. However, biological experiments are not only complicated and time-consuming, but also costly. In recent years, machine learning has been widely used in many fields, but it is seldom used in the water treatment. The present work presented a high accuracy support vector machine (SVM) algorithm to realize the rapid identification and prediction of PAOs. We obtained 6,318 genome sequences of microorganisms from the publicly available microbial genome database for comparative analysis (MBGD). Minimap2 was used to compare the genomes of the obtained microorganisms in pairs, and read the overlap. The SVM model was established using the similarity of the genome sequences. In this SVM model, the average accuracy is 0.9628 ± 0.019 with 10-fold cross-validation. By predicting 2,652 microorganisms, 22 potential PAOs were obtained. Through the analysis of the predicted potential PAOs, most of them could be indirectly verified their phosphorus removal characteristics from previous reports. The SVM model we built shows high prediction accuracy and good stability.

Assessment and management of lake eutrophication: A case study in Lake Erhai, China

Some wastewater sources, such as agricultural waste and runoff, and industrial sewage, can degrade water quality. This study summarises the sources and corresponding mechanisms that trigger eutrophication in lakes. Additionally, the trophic status index and water quality index (WQI) which are effective tools for evaluating the degree of eutrophication of lakes, have been discussed. This study also explores the main nutrients (nitrogen and phosphorus) driving transformations in the water body and sediment. Lake Erhai was used as a case study, and it was found to be in a mesotrophic state, with N and P co-limitation before 2006, and only P limitation since 2006. Finally, effective measures to maintain sustainable development in the watershed are proposed, along with a framework for an early warning system adopting the latest technologies (geographic information systems (GIS), remote sensing (RS)) for preventing eutrophication.

A hybrid air pollutant concentration prediction model combining secondary decomposition and sequence reconstruction

Acid rain is a serious threat to terrestrial ecosystems. To provide more accurate early warning information for acid rain prevention, urban planning, and travel planning, a novel air pollutant prediction model was proposed in this paper to predict NO₂ and SO₂. First, the data were decomposed into several sub-sequences by a complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise. Second, the subsequences are reconstructed by variational mode decomposition and sample entropy. Then, the new subsequences are predicted by the extreme learning machine combined with the whale optimization algorithm. The empirical analysis was carried out through 8 data sets. According to the experimental results, three main conclusions can be drawn. First, the proposed model in this paper has excellent prediction performance and robustness. In all the comparison experiments, the R² and RMSE of the proposed model are the best among all the models. Second, data preprocessing is very necessary. After adding the decomposition algorithm, the average improvement levels of R² and RMSE were 897.57% and 50.78%, respectively. Third, the re-decomposition of IMF1 is an effective method to improve prediction accuracy. After the re-decomposition of IMF1, R² can be improved by 13.64% on average on the original basis, and RMSE can be reduced by 31.99% on average. The results of this study can provide a valuable reference for the research of air pollutant prediction. In future work, the application of the proposed model in other air pollutants or other regions can be explored.

Concentration estimation of dissolved oxygen in Pearl River Basin using input variable selection and machine learning techniques

Dissolved oxygen (DO) concentration is an essential index for water environment assessment. Here, we present a modeling approach to estimate DO concentrations using input variable selection and data-driven models. Specifically, the input variable selection technique, the maximal information coefficient (MIC), was used to identify and screen the primary environmental factors driving variation in DO. The data-driven model, support vector regression (SVR), was then used to construct a robust model to estimate DO concentration. The approach was illustrated through a case study of the Pearl River Basin in China. We show that the MIC technique can effectively screen major local environmental factors affecting DO concentrations. MIC value tended to stabilize when the sample size >3000 and EC had the highest score with an MIC >0.3 at both of the stations. The variable-reduced datasets improved the performance of the SVR model by a reduction of 28.65% in RMSE, and increase of 22.16%, 56.27% in R², NSE, respectively, relative to complete candidate sets. The MIC-SVR model constructed at the tidal river network performed better than nontidal river network by a reduction of approximately 63.01% in RMSE, an increase of 62.36% in NSE, and R² >0.9. Overall, the proposed technique was able to handle nonlinearity among environmental factors and accurately estimate DO concentrations in tidal river network regions.

A Review of the Artificial Neural Network Models for Water Quality Prediction

Water quality prediction plays an important role in environmental monitoring, ecosystem sustainability, and aquaculture. Traditional prediction methods cannot capture the nonlinear and non-stationarity of water quality well. In recent years, the rapid development of artificial neural networks (ANNs) has made them a hotspot in water quality prediction. We have conducted extensive investigation and analysis on ANN-based water quality prediction from three aspects, namely feedforward, recurrent, and hybrid architectures. Based on 151 papers published from 2008 to 2019, 23 types of water quality variables were highlighted. The variables were primarily collected by the sensor, followed by specialist experimental equipment, such as a UV-visible photometer, as there is no mature sensor for measurement at present. Five different output strategies, namely Univariate-Input-Itself-Output, Univariate-Input-Other-Output, Multivariate-Input-Other(multi), Multivariate-Input-Itself-Other-Output, and Multivariate-Input-Itself-Other (multi)-Output, are summarized. From results of the review, it can be concluded that the ANN models are capable of dealing with different modeling problems in rivers, lakes, reservoirs, wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs), groundwater, ponds, and streams. The results of many of the review articles are useful to researchers in prediction and similar fields. Several new architectures presented in the study, such as recurrent and hybrid structures, are able to improve the modeling quality of future development.

Genetic-Algorithm-Optimized Sequential Model for Water Temperature Prediction

Advances in establishing real-time river water quality monitoring networks combined with novel artificial intelligence techniques for more accurate forecasting is at the forefront of urban water management. The preservation and improvement of the quality of our impaired urban streams are at the core of the global challenge of ensuring water sustainability. This work adopted a genetic-algorithm (GA)-optimized long short-term memory (LSTM) technique to predict river water temperature (WT) as a key indicator of the health state of the aquatic habitat, where its modeling is crucial for effective urban water quality management. To our knowledge, this is the first attempt to adopt a GA-LSTM to predict the WT in urban rivers. In recent research trends, large volumes of real-time water quality data, including water temperature, conductivity, pH, and turbidity, are constantly being collected. Specifically, in the field of water quality management, this provides countless opportunities for understanding water quality impairment and forecasting, and to develop models for aquatic habitat assessment purposes. The main objective of this research was to develop a reliable and simple urban river water temperature forecasting tool using advanced machine learning methods that can be used in conjunction with a real-time network of water quality monitoring stations for proactive water quality management. We proposed a hybrid time series regression model for WT forecasting. This hybrid approach was applied to solve problems regarding the time window size and architectural factors (number of units) of the LSTM network. We have chosen an hourly water temperature record collected over 5 years as the input. Furthermore, to check its robustness, a recurrent neural network (RNN) was also tested as a benchmark model and the performances were compared. The experimental results revealed that the hybrid model of the GA-LSTM network outperformed the RNN and the basic problem of determining the optimal time window and number of units of the memory cell was solved. This research concluded that the GA-LSTM can be used as an advanced deep learning technique for time series analysis.

A combination method for multicriteria uncertainty analysis and parameter estimation: a case study of Chaohu Lake in Eastern China

Eutrophication models are of great importance and are valuable tools for the development of policy and legislation. However, the parameter uncertainty and substantial computational cost lead to difficulties in decision-making, especially for complex models with multiple indicators. A multicriteria uncertainty analysis and parameter estimation (MUAPE) method, which selected behavioral parameters combined with Pareto domination and simultaneously obtained acceptable values for modeling by the maximum likelihood concept and kernel density estimation, was shown. This method, which did not assign thresholds and weights, was applied to analyze the uncertainty of the Chaohu Lake eutrophication model and estimate parameters. The results of the behavioral parameters were compared using different criterion sets, the relative error (RE) and the root mean square error (RMSE), and the results showed little discrepancy in terms of the effects on parameter uncertainty represented by the marginal probability density. The uncertainties of the parameters related to algal kinetics (i.e., BMR, PM, and KESS) were smaller than those of nutrient- and temperature-related parameters (i.e., KDN, Nitm, KTB, and KTHDR) for both sets of criteria. However, the reduction in the joint uncertainty of the two parameters was greater when RE was used than when RMSE was used. The acceptable values for the key parameters of the Chaohu Lake eutrophication model were also obtained by the RE criterion. The results strongly agreed with the observed values, and parameters could be applied for model prediction. This result indicated that the combination method was not only practical for reducing parameter uncertainty but also useful for determining parameter values. This method provides a basis for multicriteria uncertainty analysis and parameter estimation in eutrophication modeling.

Modeling Daily and Monthly Water Quality Indicators in a Canal Using a Hybrid Wavelet-Based Support Vector Regression Structure

Accurate prediction of water quality indicators plays an important role in the effective management of water resources. The models which studied limited water quality indicators in natural rivers may give inadequate guidance for managing a canal being used for water diversion. In this study, a hybrid structure (WA-PSO-SVR) based on wavelet analysis (WA) coupled with support vector regression (SVR) and particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithms was developed to model three water quality indicators, chemical oxygen demand determined by KMnO4 (CODMn), ammonia nitrogen (NH3-N), and dissolved oxygen (DO), in water from the Grand Canal from Beijing to Hangzhou. Modeling was independently conducted over daily and monthly time scales. The results demonstrated that the hybrid WA-PSO-SVR model was able to effectively predict non-linear stationary and non-stationary time series and outperformed two other models (PSO-SVR and a standalone SVR), especially for extreme values prediction. Daily predictions were more accurate than monthly predictions, indicating that the hybrid model was more suitable for short-term predictions in this case. It also demonstrated that using the autocorrelation and partial autocorrelation of time series enabled the construction of appropriate models for water quality prediction. The results contribute to water quality monitoring and better management for water diversion.

Soft detection of 5-day BOD with sparse matrix in city harbor water using deep learning techniques

To better control and manage harbor water quality is an important mission for coastal cities such as New York City (NYC). To achieve this, managers and governors need keep track of key quality indicators, such as temperature, pH, and dissolved oxygen. Among these, the Biochemical Oxygen Demand (BOD) over five days is a critical indicator that requires much time and effort to detect, causing great inconvenience in both academia and industry. Existing experimental and statistical methods cannot effectively solve the detection time problem or provide limited accuracy. Also, due to various human-made mistakes or facility issues, the data used for BOD detection and prediction contain many missing values, resulting in a sparse matrix. Few studies have addressed the sparse matrix problem while developing statistical detection methods. To address these gaps, we propose a deep learning based model that combines Deep Matrix Factorization (DMF) and Deep Neural Network (DNN). The model was able to solve the sparse matrix problem more intelligently and predict the BOD value more accurately. To test its effectiveness, we conducted a case study on the NYC harbor water, based on 32,323 water samples. The results showed that the proposed method achieved 11.54%-17.23% lower RMSE than conventional matrix completion methods, and 19.20%-25.16% lower RMSE than traditional machine learning algorithms.

Dissolved oxygen prediction using a new ensemble method

Prediction of dissolved oxygen which is an important water quality (WQ) parameter is crucial for aquatic managers who have responsibility for the ecosystem health's maintenance and for the management of reservoirs related to WQ. This study proposes a new ensemble method, Bayesian model averaging (BMA), for estimating hourly dissolved oxygen. The potential of the BMA was investigated and compared with five data-driven methods, extreme leaning machine (ELM), artificial neural networks (ANNs), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), classification and regression tree (CART), and multilinear regression (MLR), by considering hourly temperature, pH, and specific conductivity data as inputs. The methods were compared with respect to three statistics, root mean square errors (RMSE), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency, and determination coefficient. Results based on two stations' data indicated that the proposed method performed superior to the ELM, ANN, ANFIS, CART, and MLR in estimation of hourly dissolved oxygen; corresponding improvements obtained by BMA are about 5-8%, 13-12%, 7-9%, and 18-27% with respect to RMSE. The ELM also outperformed the other four methods (ANN, ANFIS, CART, and MLR), and the CART and MLR indicated the lowest estimation accuracy in both stations. Examination of various input combinations revealed that the most effective variable is water temperature while the specific conductivity has negligible effect on hourly dissolved oxygen.

Assessing Anthropogenic Impacts on Chemical and Biochemical Oxygen Demand in Different Spatial Scales with Bayesian Networks

In order to protect the water environment in seriously polluted basins, the impacts of anthropogenic activities (sewage outfalls and land use) on water quality should be assessed. The Bayesian network (BN) provides a convenient way to model these complex processes. In this study, anthropogenic impacts on chemical oxygen demand (COD) and biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) were evaluated in the Huaihe River basin (HRB) considering dry and wet seasons and different spatial scales. The results showed that anthropogenic activities had the most significant impacts on COD and BOD at the catchment scale. In dry seasons, sewage outfalls played an important role in organic pollution. Farmland became the most important source in wet seasons although it had a “sink” process in dry seasons. Intensive human activities in urban made significant contributions to increased COD levels. Grassland had a negative relationship with organic pollution, especially in dry seasons. Therefore, governments should implement strategies to control organic matters transported from urban and farmland regions. Increasing the efficiency of wastewater treatments and the percentage of grassland in the riparian zone could improve water quality. These results can enhance understanding of anthropogenic impacts on water quality and contribute to efficient management for river basins.

Tackling environmental challenges in pollution controls using artificial intelligence: A review

This review presents the developments in artificial intelligence technologies for environmental pollution controls. A number of AI approaches, which start with the reliable mapping of nonlinear behavior between inputs and outputs in chemical and biological processes in terms of prediction models to the emerging optimization and control algorithms that study the pollutants removal processes and intelligent control systems, have been developed for environmental clean-ups. The characteristics, advantages and limitations of AI methods, including single and hybrid AI methods, were overviewed. Hybrid AI methods exhibited synergistic effects, but with computational heaviness. The up-to-date review summarizes i) Various artificial neural networks employed in wastewater degradation process for the prediction of removal efficiency of pollutants and the search of optimizing experimental conditions; ii) Evaluation of fuzzy logic used for intelligent control of aerobic stage of wastewater treatment process; iii) AI-aided soft-sensors for precisely on-line/off-line estimation of hard-to-measure parameters in wastewater treatment plants; iv) Single and hybrid AI methods applied to estimate pollutants concentrations and design monitoring and early-warning systems for both aquatic and atmospheric environments; v) AI modelings of short-term, mid-term and long-term solid waste generations, and various ANNs for solid waste recycling and reduction. Finally, the future challenges of AI-based models employed in the environmental fields are discussed and proposed.