Early-life predictors of retirement decisions and post-retirement health

Childhood cognitive ability and self-harm and suicide in later life

Background

Self-harm and suicide remain prevalent in later life. For younger adults, higher early-life cognitive ability appears to predict lower self-harm and suicide risk. Comparatively little is known about these associations among middle-aged and older adults.

Methods

This study examined the association between childhood (age 11) cognitive ability and self-harm and suicide risk among a Scotland-wide cohort (N = 53037), using hospital admission and mortality records to follow individuals from age 34 to 85. Multistate models examined the association between childhood cognitive ability and transitions between unaffected, self-harm, and then suicide or non-suicide death.

Results

After adjusting for childhood and adulthood socioeconomic conditions, higher childhood cognitive ability was significantly associated with reduced risk of self-harm among both males (451 events; HR = 0.90, 95% CI [0.82, 0.99]) and females (516 events; HR = 0.89, 95% CI [0.81, 0.98]). Childhood cognitive ability was not significantly associated with suicide risk among those with (Male: 16 events, HR = 1.05, 95% CI [0.61, 1.80]; Female: 13 events, HR = 1.08, 95% CI [0.55, 2.15]) or without self-harm events (Male: 118 events, HR = 1.17, 95% CI [0.84, 1.63]; Female: 31 events, HR = 1.30, 95% CI [0.70, 2.41]).

Limitations

The study only includes self-harm events that result in a hospital admission and does not account for self-harm prior to follow-up.

Conclusions

This extends work on cognitive ability and mental health, demonstrating that these associations can span the life course and into middle and older age.

Mental health around retirement: evidence of Ashenfelter's dip

BACKGROUND

Mental health issues among retirees have become increasingly concerning because the aging population presents a significant challenge globally, particularly in Western countries. Previous studies on this issue are plagued with bias owing to lacking panel data and estimation strategies. This study investigated the depression levels of European adults around the time of retirement.

METHODS

We used data obtained from Waves 1-7 of the Survey of Health, Ageing, and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) to create panel data covering the 2004-2017 period. Wave 3 (SHARELIFE) was excluded from the sample because it provided mismatched information. Fixed-effects (FE) and fixed-effects instrumental variables (FE-IV) models with multiple imputations were employed to examine the impacts of retirement on mental health before and after retirement, where being over pension age (normal and early) was used as the instrument variable.

RESULTS

Our results indicated that retirement based on aspirational motivations (β =  - 0.115, p < 0.001) and positive circumstances (β =  - 0.038, p < 0.001) significantly reduced depression, whereas retiring under negative circumstances could deteriorate one's mental health (β = 0.087, p < 0.001). FE and FE-IV models indicated that overall, retiring reduced retirees' depression (β =  - 0.096, p < 0.001 and β =  - 0.261, p < 0.001, respectively). The results of FE-IV models showed that adults planning to retire in the next two years experienced less depression compared with others in the workforce (λ =  - 0.313, p < 0.01). These adults must have adjusted their lifestyles in response to their impending retirement, thereby evincing Ashenfelter's dip. Two years after retirement, when the "honeymoon" phase was over, retirees may have completely adapted to their new lives and the effect of retirement was no longer important.

CONCLUSIONS

Retirement improves mental health before it happens, but not after. Increasing the pension eligibility age may postpone the beneficial effects of retirement on health. However, policy implications should be tailored according to the unique situations of each country, job sector, and population. Providing flexible schemes regarding retirement timing decisions would be better than a generalized retirement policy.

Childhood cognitive ability and self-harm and suicide in later life

Self-harm and suicide remain prevalent in later life. For younger adults, work has highlighted an association between higher early-life cognitive ability and lower self-harm and suicide risk. Comparatively little is known about its association with self-harm and suicide among older adults. Furthermore, most work has measured cognitive ability in early adulthood, raising issues of potential confounding by emerging psychiatric conditions. The present study examined the association between childhood (age 11) cognitive ability and self-harm and suicide risk among a Scotland-wide cohort of older adults (N = 53037), using health data linkage to follow individuals from age 34 to 85. Self-harm events were extracted from hospital admissions and suicide deaths were extracted from national mortality records. Multistate models were used to model transitions between unaffected, self-harm, and then suicide or non-suicide death, and to examine the association between childhood cognitive ability and each transition. After adjusting for childhood and adulthood socioeconomic conditions, higher childhood cognitive ability was significantly associated with reduced risk of self-harm among older females (N events = 516; HR = 0.90, 95% CI = [0.81, 0.99]). A similar, though non-significant, association was observed among older males (N events = 451; HR = 0.90, 95% CI = [0.82, 1.00]). Although suicide risk was higher among older adults experiencing self-harm, childhood cognitive ability was not significantly associated with suicide risk among either older adults experiencing no self-harm events (Male: N events = 118, HR = 1.17, 95% CI = [0.84, 1.63]; Female: N events = 31, HR = 1.30, 95% CI = [0.70, 2.41]) or those experiencing a self-harm event during follow-up (Male: N events = 16, HR = 1.05, 95% CI = [0.61, 1.80]; Female: N events = 13, HR = 1.08, 95% CI = [0.55, 2.14]). Higher suicide risk was significantly associated with covariates including higher adulthood deprivation and longer time in the self-harm state. These results extend work on cognitive ability and mental health, demonstrating that these associations can span across the life course and into older age.

Do childhood socioeconomic circumstances moderate the association between childhood cognitive ability and all-cause mortality across the life course? Prospective observational study of the 36-day sample of the Scottish Mental Survey 1947

BACKGROUND

There is growing evidence that higher childhood cognitive ability predicts lower all-cause mortality risk across the life course. Whereas this association does not appear to be mediated by childhood socioeconomic circumstances, it is unclear whether socioeconomic circumstances moderate this association.

METHODS

The moderating role of childhood socioeconomic circumstances was assessed in 5318 members of the 36-day sample of the Scottish Mental Survey 1947. Univariate, sex-adjusted and age-adjusted, and mutually adjusted Cox models predicting all-cause mortality risk up to age 79 years were created using childhood IQ scores and childhood social class as predictors. Moderation was assessed by adding an interaction term between IQ scores and social class and comparing model fit.

RESULTS

An SD advantage in childhood IQ scores (HR=0.83, 95% CI 0.79 to 0.86, p<0.001) and a single-class advantage in childhood social class (HR=0.92, 95% CI 0.88 to 0.97, p<0.001) independently predicted lower mortality risk. Adding the IQ-social class interaction effect did not improve model fit (χ²Δ=1.36, p=0.24), and the interaction effect did not predict mortality risk (HR=1.03, 95% CI 0.98 to 1.07, p=0.25).

CONCLUSIONS

The present study demonstrated that the association between higher childhood cognitive ability and lower all-cause mortality risk is not conditional on childhood social class. Whereas other measures of socioeconomic circumstances may play a moderating role, these findings suggest that the benefits of higher childhood cognitive ability for longevity apply regardless of the material socioeconomic circumstances experienced in childhood.