A prospective validation of the Bova score in normotensive patients with acute pulmonary embolism

No Echo, no problem? Predictors of right heart strain among patients with pulmonary embolism

INTRODUCTION

Right heart strain (RHS) in pulmonary embolism (PE) is traditionally diagnosed with transthoracic echocardiography (TTE). Given limited access to TTE, clinicians use vital signs, laboratory markers, and computed tomography angiography (CTA) to estimate RHS. We investigate the association between these indicators and RHS on TTE among patients with PE.

METHODS

We reviewed charts of adult patients with PE transferred to a quaternary center from 2019 to 2022, excluding patients given thrombolytics before transfer. We collected vital signs and laboratory values at the time of transfer request and arrival. All CTAs were reinterpreted by a study radiologist. We used a hybrid Classification and Regression Tree - logistic regression to identify predictors of RHS on TTE.

RESULTS

We included 185 patients, 139 (75 %) with RHS on TTE. Patients with serum lactate <2 mmol/L with diastolic blood pressure (DBP) >63 mmHg at initial consult were 77 % less likely to have RHS (OR 0.23, 95 % CI 0.12-0.6, p < 0.001); those under 26 years with heart rate (HR) >90 bpm and lactate 2-8.5 mmol/L were 93.6 % less likely to have RHS (OR 0.064, 95 % CI 0.006-0.67, p = 0.022). Patients with higher HR at initial consult had higher rates of RHS (OR 1.01, 95 % CI 1.00.2-1.05, p = 0.03). Those with signs of RHS on CTA were 2.43 times more likely to have RHS (95 % CI 1.22-5.9, p = 0.014).

DISCUSSION

HR, lactate, DBP, and CTA findings of RHS were predictive of RHS on TTE among patients with PE. Clinicians should consider a collection of variables when assessing RHS in patients with PE when TTE is not available.

Prognostic performance of the Bova, sPESI, and Qanadli scores in patients with acute pulmonary embolism

BACKGROUND

Acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is a disease with a serious prognosis and a high probability of death in the emergency department.

PURPOSE

To investigate the prediction of PE-related mortality and intensive care admission (ICU) of Qanadli (Qscore), Bova, and simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (sPESI) scores.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This retrospective observational study consisted of all patients diagnosed with acute PE who were imaged under computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) for a total of 5 years between 1 June 2018 and 1 June 2023. The prediction of radiological and clinical scores for mortality and ICU admission was examined.

RESULTS

A total of 95 patients were analyzed. Patients who died and those who were admitted to the ICU had a significantly higher frequency of being found to have a high-risk (≥1) sPESI score (P = 0.04 and P = 0.016, respectively). For mortality, the sPESI score was found to be significant; the sensitivity and specificity were observed as 54% and 66% (area under the curve [AUC]=0.670, 95% confidence interval [CI]=0.527-0.814; P = 0.020). For ICU admission, the sensitivity and specificity of the Qscore, sPESI, and Bova scores were 35%, 77%, and 58%, and 78%, 65%, and 84% respectively (AUC=0.626, 95% CI=0.511-0.740, P = 0.031; AUC=0.769, 95% CI=0.674-0.865, P < 0.001; and AUC=0.767, 95% CI=0.671-0.862, P < 0.001, respectively).

CONCLUSION

It was found that the sPESI score was effective at predicting mortality in patients with acute PE. Qscore, sPESI, and Bova scores have been shown to be useful in predicting ICU admission.

Optimal hemodynamic parameters for risk stratification in acute pulmonary embolism patients

Hemodynamic assessment of patients with pulmonary embolism (PE) remains a fundamental component of early risk stratification that in turn, influences subsequent monitoring and therapeutic strategies. The current body of literature and international evidence-based clinical practice guidelines focus mainly on the use of systolic blood pressure (SBP). The accuracy of this single hemodynamic parameter, however, and its optimal values for the identification of hemodynamic instability have been recently questioned by clinicians. For example, abnormal SBP or shock index may be a late indicator of adverse outcomes, signaling a patient in whom the cascade of hemodynamic compromise is already well underway. The aim of the present article is to review the current evidence supporting the use of SBP and analyze the potential integration of other parameters to assess the hemodynamic stability, impending clinical deterioration, and guide the reperfusion treatment in patients with PE, as well as to suggest potential strategies to further investigate this issue.

Management of high-risk pulmonary embolism in the emergency department: A narrative review

BACKGROUND

High-risk pulmonary embolism (PE) is a complex, life-threatening condition, and emergency clinicians must be ready to resuscitate and rapidly pursue primary reperfusion therapy. The first-line reperfusion therapy for patients with high-risk PE is systemic thrombolytics (ST). Despite consensus guidelines, only a fraction of eligible patients receive ST for high-risk PE.

OBJECTIVE

This review provides emergency clinicians with a comprehensive overview of the current evidence regarding the management of high-risk PE with an emphasis on ST and other reperfusion therapies to address the gap between practice and guideline recommendations.

DISCUSSION

High-risk PE is defined as PE that causes hemodynamic instability. The high mortality rate and dynamic pathophysiology of high-risk PE make it challenging to manage. Initial stabilization of the decompensating patient includes vasopressor administration and supplemental oxygen or high-flow nasal cannula. Primary reperfusion therapy should be pursued for those with high-risk PE, and consensus guidelines recommend the use of ST for high-risk PE based on studies demonstrating benefit. Other options for reperfusion include surgical embolectomy and catheter directed interventions.

CONCLUSIONS

Emergency clinicians must possess an understanding of high-risk PE including the clinical assessment, pathophysiology, management of hemodynamic instability and respiratory failure, and primary reperfusion therapies.

Prognostic Role of Tricuspid Annular Plane Systolic Excursion to Systolic Pulmonary Artery Pressure Ratio for the Identification of Early Clinical Deterioration in Intermediate-High-Risk Pulmonary Embolism Patients

The ratio of tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) to echocardiographically measured systolic pulmonary artery pressure (PASP) has been proposed as a surrogate of RV-arterial coupling. In this analysis, we assess the prognostic role of TAPSE/PASP for early clinical deterioration and short-term mortality in an often clinically challenging population of intermediate-high-risk patients with pulmonary embolism (PE). A post hoc analysis of intermediate-high-risk patients with PE enrolled in the Italian Pulmonary Embolism Registry (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01604538) was performed. All patients underwent transthoracic echocardiography at admission. The primary and secondary outcomes were clinical deterioration within 48 hours from admission and 30-day all-cause mortality, respectively. In 422 intermediate-high-risk patients with PE (mean age 71.2 ± 5.3 years, 238 men), 37 (8.7%) experienced clinical deterioration within 48 hours of admission. The 30-day mortality rate was 6.6% (n = 28). The receiver operating characteristic analysis established 0.33 as the optimal cut-off value for the TAPSE/PASP in predicting 48-hour clinical deterioration (area under the curve 0.79 ± 0.1). The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were 81%, 88.5%, 40.5%, and 97.9%, respectively. The multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that a TAPSE/PASP ≤0.33 was an independent predictor of 48-hour clinical deterioration (hazard ratio 2.06, 95% confidence interval 1.98 to 2.11, p <0.0001) and 30-day mortality (hazard ratio 2.28, 95% confidence interval 2.25 to 2.33, p <0.001). TAPSE/PASP shows promise as a noninvasive prognostic predictor to identify intermediate-high-risk patients with PE at a higher risk of early clinical deterioration and short-term mortality.

Addressing the rising trend of high-risk pulmonary embolism mortality: Clinical and research priorities

BACKGROUND

Deaths from high-risk pulmonary embolism (PE) appear to have increased in the US over the last decade. Modifiable risks contributing to this worrisome trend present opportunities for physicians, researchers, and healthcare policymakers to improve care.

METHODS

We sought to contextualize contemporary, high-risk PE epidemiology and examine clinical trials, quality improvement opportunities, and healthcare policy initiatives directed at reducing mortality.

RESULTS

We observed significant and modifiable excess mortality due to high-risk PE. We identified several opportunities to improve care including: (1) rapid translation of forthcoming data on reperfusion strategies into clinical practice; (2) improved risk stratification tools; (3) quality improvement initiatives to address presumptive anticoagulation practice gaps; and (3) adoption of health policy initiatives to establish pulmonary embolism response teams and address the social determinants of health.

CONCLUSION

Addressing knowledge and practice gaps in intermediate and high-risk PE management must be prioritized and informed by forthcoming high-quality data. Implementation efforts are needed to improve acute PE management and resolve treatment disparities.

PrOgnosis in Pulmonary Embolism (PoPE): 30-Day mortality risk score based on five admission parameters

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVE

Several scoring systems have been developed for risk stratification in patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE). The Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI) and its simplified version (sPESI) are among the most used, however the high number of variables hinder its application. Our aim was to derive an easy-to-perform score based on simple parameters obtained at admission to predict 30-day mortality in acute PE patients.

METHODS

Retrospective study in 1115 patients with acute PE from two institutions (derivation cohort n=835, validation cohort n=280). The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality at 30 days. Statistically and clinically relevant variables were selected for multivariable Cox regression analysis. We derived and validated a multivariable risk score model and compared to other established scores.

RESULTS

The primary endpoint occurred in 207 patients (18.6%). Our model included five variables weighted as follows: modified shock index ≥1.1 (hazard ratio [HR] 2.57, 1.68-3.92, p<0.001), active cancer (HR 2.27, 1.45-3.56, p<0.001), altered mental state (HR 3.82, 2.50-5.83, p<0.001), serum lactate concentration ≥2.50 mmol/L (HR 5.01, 3.25-7.72, p<0.001), and age ≥80 years (HR 1.95, 1.26-3.03, p=0.003). The prognostic ability was superior to other scores (area under curve [AUC] 0.83 [0.79-0.87] vs 0.72 [0.67-0.79] in PESI and 0.70 [0.62-0.75] in sPESI, p<0.001) and its performance in the validation cohort was deemed good (73 events in 280 patients, 26.1%, AUC=0.76, 0.71-0.82, p<0.0001) and superior to other scores (p<0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The PoPE score (https://tinyurl.com/ybsnka8s) is an easy tool with superior performance to predict early mortality in patients admitted for PE with non-high-risk PE.

Pulmonary embolism: a practical approach to update risk stratification and treatment decisions based on the guidelines

INTRODUCTION

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a prevalent condition with a substantial morbi-mortality worldwide. Proper risk stratification of PE is essential for identifying the most suitable therapeutic strategy and the optimal care setting for the patient. This process entails evaluating various factors, including symptoms, comorbidities, and right heart dysfunction.

AREAS COVERED

This review assesses the tools and methods utilized to identify and stratify individuals based on the probability of developing deterioration or death related to PE. Current guidelines divide PE into three groups: high-risk (previously termed massive) PE, intermediate-risk (sub-massive) PE, and low-risk PE. Various risk scores, such as the simplified pulmonary embolism severity index (sPESI), Bova score, and the FAST score (incorporating Heart-Fatty Acid binding protein [H-ABP], Syncope, Tachycardia), aid in identifying patients at higher risk. Additionally, the Hestia score is instrumental in pinpointing low-risk patients.

EXPERT OPINION

Presently, there is a dearth of high-quality frameworks for the optimal management and treatment of PE patients at risk of hemodynamic collapse. A consortium of experts is in the process of formulating a new conceptual model for risk stratification, taking into account a comprehensive array of variables and outcomes to facilitate more individualized management of acute PE.

Risk stratification of acute pulmonary embolism

Approximately 5% of pulmonary embolism (PE) cases present with persistent hypotension, obstructive shock, or cardiac arrest. Given the high short-term mortality, management of high-risk PE cases focuses on immediate reperfusion therapies. Risk stratification of normotensive PE is important to identify patients with an elevated risk of hemodynamic collapse or an elevated risk of major bleeding. Risk stratification for short-term hemodynamic collapse includes assessment of physiological parameters, right heart dysfunction, and identification of comorbidities. Validated tools such as European Society of Cardiology guidelines and Bova score can identify normotensive patients with PE and an elevated risk of subsequent hemodynamic collapse. At present, we lack high-quality evidence to recommend one treatment over another (systemic thrombolysis, catheter-directed therapy, or anticoagulation with close monitoring) for patients at elevated risk of hemodynamic collapse. Newer, less well-validated scores such as BACS and PE-CH may help identify patients at a high risk of major bleeding following systemic thrombolysis. The PE-SARD score may identify those at risk of major anticoagulant-associated bleeding. Patients at low risk of short-term adverse outcomes can be considered for outpatient management. The simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index score or Hestia criteria are safe decision aids when combined with physician global assessment of the need for hospitalization following the diagnosis of PE.

Interventional therapies for pulmonary embolism

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is the leading cause of in-hospital death and the third most frequent cause of cardiovascular death. The clinical presentation of PE is variable, and choosing the appropriate treatment for individual patients can be challenging. Traditionally, treatment of PE has involved a choice of anticoagulation, thrombolysis or surgery; however, a range of percutaneous interventional technologies have been developed that are under investigation in patients with intermediate-high-risk or high-risk PE. These interventional technologies include catheter-directed thrombolysis (with or without ultrasound assistance), aspiration thrombectomy and combinations of the aforementioned principles. These interventional treatment options might lead to a more rapid improvement in right ventricular function and pulmonary and/or systemic haemodynamics in particular patients. However, evidence from randomized controlled trials on the safety and efficacy of these interventions compared with conservative therapies is lacking. In this Review, we discuss the underlying pathophysiology of PE, provide assistance with decision-making on patient selection and critically appraise the available clinical evidence on interventional, catheter-based approaches for PE treatment. Finally, we discuss future perspectives and unmet needs.

Mean arterial pressure predicts 48 h clinical deterioration in intermediate-high risk patients with acute pulmonary embolism

AIMS

We assess the prognostic role of mean arterial pressure (MAP) for 48 h clinical deterioration in intermediate-high risk pulmonary embolism (PE) patients after admission.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A post hoc analysis of intermediate-high-risk PE and intermediate-low-risk PE patients enrolled in the Italian Pulmonary Embolism Registry (IPER) (Trial registry: ClinicalTrials.gov; No.: NCT01604538) was performed. Clinical deterioration within 48 h was defined as patient worsening from a stable to an unstable haemodynamic condition, need of catecholamine infusion, endotracheal intubation, or cardiopulmonary resuscitation. Of 450 intermediate-high risk PE patients (mean age 71.4 ± 13.8 years, 298 males), 40 (8.8%) experienced clinical deterioration within 48 h from admission. Receiver operating characteristic analysis established the optimal cut-off value for MAP, as a predictor of 48 h clinical deterioration, ≤81.5 mmHg [area under curve (AUC) of 0.77 ± 0.3] with sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were 77.5, 95.0, 63.2, and 97.7%, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that independent risk factors for 48 h clinical deterioration were age [hazard ratio (HR): 1.26, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.19-1.28, P < 0.0001], history of heart failure (HR: 1.76, 95% CI: 1.72-1.81, P < 0.0001), simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (HR: 1.52, 95% CI: 1.49-1.58, P = 0.001), systemic thrombolysis (HR: 0.54, 95% CI: 0.30-0.65, P < 0.0001), and a MAP of ≤81.5 mmHg at admission (HR: 3.25, 95% CI: 1.89-5.21, P < 0.0001). The deteriorating group had a significantly higher risk of 30-day mortality (HR: 2.61, 95% CI: 2.54-2.66, P < 0.0001) compared with the non-deteriorating group.

CONCLUSION

The mean arterial pressure appears to be a useful, bedside, and non-invasive prognostic tool potentially capable of promptly identifying intermediate-high risk PE patients at higher risk of 48 h clinical deterioration.

CRB-65 for Risk Stratification and Prediction of Prognosis in Pulmonary Embolism

BACKGROUND

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is accompanied by high morbidity and mortality. The search for simple and easily assessable risk stratification scores with favourable effectiveness is still ongoing, and prognostic performance of the CRB-65 score in PE might promising.

METHODS

The German nationwide inpatient sample was used for this study. All patient cases of patients with PE in Germany 2005-2020 were included and stratified for CRB-65 risk class: low-risk group (CRB-65-score 0 points) vs. high-risk group (CRB-65-score ≥1 points).

RESULTS

Overall, 1,373,145 patient cases of patients with PE (76.6% aged ≥65 years, 47.0% females) were included. Among these, 1,051,244 patient cases (76.6%) were classified as high-risk according to CRB-65 score (≥1 points). The majority of high-risk patients according to CRB-65 score were females (55.8%). Additionally, high-risk patients according to CRB-65 score showed an aggravated comorbidity profile with increased Charlson comorbidity index (5.0 [IQR 4.0-7.0] vs. 2.0 [0.0-3.0], p < 0.001). In-hospital case fatality (19.0% vs. 3.4%, p < 0.001) and MACCE (22.4% vs. 5.1%, p < 0.001) occurred distinctly more often in PE patients of the high-risk group according to CRB-65 score (≥1 points) compared to the low-risk group (= 0 points). The CRB-65 high-risk class was independently associated with in-hospital death (OR 5.53 [95%CI 5.40-5.65], p < 0.001) as well as MACCE (OR 4.31 [95%CI 4.23-4.40], p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Risk stratification with CRB-65 score was helpful for identifying PE patients being at higher risk of adverse in-hospital events. The high-risk class according to CRB-65 score (≥1 points) was independently associated with a 5.5-fold increased occurrence of in-hospital death.

Utility of Combining High-Sensitive Cardiac Troponin I and PESI Score for Risk Management in Patients with Pulmonary Embolism in the Emergency Department

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Pulmonary embolism (PE) has a major burden of morbidity and mortality, consequently the need for a prompt risk stratification for these subjects is crucial. In order to evaluate the risk management and final disposition of patients with PE in the Emergency Department (ED), we conducted a study that was divided in two phases: Phase I retrospective study (RS), Phase II prospective study (PS).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In Phase I, 291 patients were enrolled while in Phase II, 83 subjects were evaluated. In both study phases, the enrolled subjects were analyzed for final disposition in ED using PESI score, right ventricle (RV) imaging, and high-sensitive cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) data. The RS patients were divided into low risk and high risk according to the sPESI score, while PS patients were grouped in low, intermediate, and high risk classes according to PESI score. In both study phases, all the studied patients were further divided into negative (hs-cTnI-) or positive (hs-cTnI+) groups according to hs-cTnI levels within normal or above cutoff values, respectively. For all enrolled subjects, CT pulmonary angiography was analyzed to assess the RV/LV diameter and volume ratio as an indicator of RV involvement.

RESULTS

In both RS and PS phases, hs-cTnI+ group showed a higher PESI score. Nevertheless, a significant percentage of hs-cTnI+ patients resulted to be in the low-risk PESI class. Patients with a positive RV/LV ratio were more likely to have a hs-cTnI+ (p < 0.01), while among those with a negative ratio, 24 to 32% showed as hs-cTnI+. In the hs-cTnI+ group from both study phases, patients were more likely to be admitted in an ICU (RR 3.7, IC: 2.1-6.5).

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, in patients with PE in the ED compared PESI score alone, the combination of hs-cTnI and PESI seems to be of greater utility in improving risk stratification and final disposition decision-making.

Comparison of Large-Bore Thrombectomy With Catheter-Directed Thrombolysis for the Treatment of Pulmonary Embolism

Background

There is significant debate on whether large-bore thrombectomy (LBT) or catheter-directed thrombolysis (CDT) is superior for the treatment of intermediate- and high-risk pulmonary embolism (PE) while employing an early invasive strategy through endovascular therapies.

Methods

Between 2018 and 2021, 147 patients who presented to our institution with acute intermediate- or high-risk PE and had undergone PE Response Team-guided endovascular intervention with either LBT (Inari FlowTriever) or CDT (EKOSonic) were retrospectively reviewed. Data on the patients' clinical characteristics, comorbidities, serum biomarkers, hemodynamics, and imaging characteristics were obtained. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality; the secondary outcomes were all-cause readmission, readmission for PE, and length of stay in the intensive care unit and hospital. The safety outcome of procedure-related bleeding was evaluated. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to estimate the cumulative event rate. Multivariate Cox-proportional hazard regression and inverse propensity weighting were used to adjust for confounders.

Results

The median age of the patients was 63 (IQR, 53-73) years, and 48.3% of the patients were women. Patients in the LBT group had a higher PE Severity Index score (LBT vs CDT: median, 132 vs 108; P = .015) and greater prevalence of malignancy (LBT vs CDT: median, 22.7% vs 6%; P = .011). After propensity matching for baseline characteristics, there was no significant difference in all-cause mortality (LBT vs CDT: median, 15.8% vs 9.1%; hazard ratio, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.21-1.98; P = .442) for up to 1 year. The secondary outcomes or safety end points were also similar between the 2 interventions. An exploratory analysis showed elevated PE Severity Index scores, lower systolic blood pressures, and higher lactic acid levels to be associated with an increased risk of early death at 30 days.

Conclusions

In this retrospective cohort study, there was no significant difference in the cumulative event rate of all-cause mortality between LBT and CDT. Further studies are needed to evaluate the use of LBT versus CDT versus noninvasive therapy to understand outcomes and appropriate patient selection among those with intermediate- and high-risk PE.

Quantitative analysis of pulmonary perfusion with dual-energy CT angiography: comparison of two quantification methods in patients with pulmonary embolism

The study aimed to evaluate a quantification method of pulmonary perfusion with Dual-Energy CT Angiography (DE-CTA) normalized by lung density in the prediction of outcome in acute pulmonary embolism (PE). In this prospective study with CTA scans acquired with different breathing protocols, two perfusion parameters were calculated: %PBV (relative value of PBV, expressed per unit volume) and PBVm (PBV normalized by lung density, expressed per unit mass). DE-CTA parameters were correlated with simplified pulmonary embolism severity index (sPESI) and with outcome groups, alone and in combinationwith tomographic right-to-left ventricular ratios (RV/LV). PBVm showed significant correlation with sPESI. PBVm presented higher accuracy than %PBV In the prediction of ICU admission or death in patients with PE, with the best performance when combined with RV/LV volumetric ratio.

Risk stratification and treatment of pulmonary embolism with intermediate-risk of mortality

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Intermediate-risk pulmonary embolisms (PE) represent a heterogeneous group at the high end of hemodynamically stable patients, characterized by a higher mortality rate. This challenging population gathers many unsolved question regarding its therapeutic management. The purpose of this review is to provide an updated overview of the literature regarding further risk stratification and treatment options in this population.

RECENT FINDINGS

If anticoagulation represents the undisputed first line of treatment, some patients especially in the intermediate-high risk subgroup may necessitate or could benefit from therapeutic escalation with reperfusion therapies. This includes systemic thrombolysis (ST) or catheter-directed therapies (CDT). ST, despite its high efficacy, is not recommended in this population because of prohibitive bleeding complications. Therefore, reduced-dose ST appears to be a promising option and is actually under evaluation. CDT are percutaneous reperfusion techniques developed to acutely decrease pulmonary vascular obstruction with lower-dose or no thrombolytic agents and, thus, potentially improved safety compared to ST.

SUMMARY

Great progress has been made in the recent years providing a wide range of therapeutic options. Optimal selection of patients who could benefit from these treatments is the key and is based on clinical, biological and radiological parameters evaluating right ventricle function and allowing accurate risk stratification. Pulmonary Embolism Response Team represents an efficient modality for therapeutic management especially in the intermediate-high risk subgroup.

Risk stratification for clinical severity of pulmonary embolism in patients with cancer: a narrative review and MASCC clinical guidance for daily care

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in patients with cancer. The clinical presentation and outcomes of PE range from an acute life-threatening condition requiring intensive care to a mild symptomatic condition associated with favorable outcomes and potentially candidate for early hospital discharge. The wide clinical spectrum of PE has led to the development of risk stratification models aimed at the triage of patients in emergency care departments and optimizing the utilization of health care resources. Incidental or unsuspected PE (UPE), detected during routine staging computed tomography scans, make up a significant proportion of this cohort among the oncology population. The present narrative review is aimed at examining the currently available PE risk assessment models developed for the general population and for patients with cancer including UPE. We include general recommendations for the daily care of patients with cancer-related PE and hypothesize on the factors that would potentially favor hospitalization with early discharge or ambulatory management in this setting.

Risk stratification to optimize the management of acute pulmonary embolism

INTRODUCTION

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a life-threatening disease. Risk stratification in patients with acute PE can guide clinical decisions. Clinical assessment, including hemodynamics, respiratory parameters, patient history, and right ventricle evaluation, has a pivotal role in this scope.

AREAS COVERED

This review aims to describe: i) the role of individual tools for prognostic stratification, from simple clinical parameters to the models suggested by international guidelines; ii) the implications of risk stratification in terms of patient disposition and treatment. The bleeding risk assessment in acute PE was also reviewed. The literature search was performed in PubMed and Embase to address these issues.

EXPERT OPINION

Prognostic assessment is essential to proceed with life-saving treatments in hemodynamically unstable patients and consider home treatment or short hospital stay in patients at low risk for death. In hemodynamically stable patients, risk stratification allows the implementation of personalized treatment pathways to reduce the risk of death, early PE recurrence, and bleeding. With the aim of optimizing healthcare resources, risk stratification may suggest appropriate patient disposition.

Clinical and radiological characteristics of acute pulmonary embolus in relation to 28-day and 6-month mortality

Background

Patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) exhibit a wide spectrum of clinical and laboratory features when presenting to hospital and pathophysiologic mechanisms differentiating low-risk and high-risk PE are poorly understood.

Objectives

To investigate the prognostic value of clinical, laboratory and radiological information that is available within routine tests undertaken for patients with acute PE.

Methods

Electronic patient records (EPR) of patients who underwent Computed Tomography Pulmonary Angiogram (CTPA) scan for the investigation of acute PE during 6-month period (01.01.2016–30.06.2016) were examined. Data was gathered from EPR for patients that met inclusion criteria and all CTPA scans were re-evaluated. Biochemical thresholds of low-grade and high-grade inflammation, serum CRP >10mg/L and >150mg/L and serum albumin concentrations <35g/L and <25 g/L, were combined in the Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS) and peri-operative Glasgow Prognostic Score (poGPS) respectively. Neutrophil Lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was also calculated. Pulmonary Embolus Severity Index score was calculated.

Results

Of the total CTPA reports (n = 2129) examined, 245 patients were eligible for inclusion. Of these, 20 (8%) patients had died at 28-days and 43 (18%) at 6-months. Of the 197 non-cancer related presentations, 28-day and 6-month mortality were 3% and 8% respectively. Of the 48 cancer related presentations, 28-day and 6-month mortality were 29% and 58% respectively. On univariate analysis, age ≥65 years (p<0.01), PESI score ≥100(p = <0.001), NLR ≥3(p<0.001) and Coronary Artery Calcification (CAC) score ≥ 6 (p<0.001) were associated with higher 28-day and 6-month mortality. PESI score ≥100 (OR 5.2, 95% CI: 1.1, 24.2, P <0.05), poGPS ≥1 (OR 2.5, 95% CI: 1.2–5.0, P = 0.01) and NLR ≥3 (OR 3.7, 95% CI: 1.0–3.4, P <0.05) remained independently associated with 28-day mortality. On multivariate binary logistic regression analysis of factors associated with 6-month mortality, PESI score ≥100 (OR 6.2, 95% CI: 2.3–17.0, p<0.001) and coronary artery calcification score ≥6 (OR 2.3, 95% CI: 1.1–4.8, p = 0.030) remained independently associated with death at 6-months. When patients who had an underlying cancer diagnosis were excluded from the analysis only GPS≥1 remained independently associated with 6-month mortality (OR 5.0, 95% CI 1.2–22.0, p<0.05).

Conclusion

PESI score >100, poGPS≥1, NLR ≥3 and CAC score ≥6 were associated with 28-day and 6-month mortality. PESI score ≥100, poGPS≥1 and NLR ≥3 remained independently associated with 28-day mortality. PESI score ≥100 and CAC score ≥6 remained independently associated with 6-month mortality. When patients with underlying cancer were excluded from the analysis, GPS≥1 remained independently associated with 6-month mortality. The role of the systemic inflammatory response (SIR) in determining treatment and prognosis requires further study. Routine reporting of CAC scores in CTPA scans for acute PE may have a role in aiding clinical decision-making regarding treatment and prognosis.

Simultaneous Pulmonary Artery Pressure and Left Ventricle Stroke Volume Assessment Predicts Adverse Events in Patients With Pulmonary Embolism

Background

Certain echocardiographic parameters may serve as early predictors of adverse events in patients with hemodynamically compromising pulmonary embolism (PE).

Methods and Results

An observational analysis was conducted for patients with acute pulmonary embolism evaluated by a Pulmonary Embolism Response Team (PERT) between 2014 and 2020. The performance of clinical prediction algorithms including the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index and Carl Bova score were compared using a ratio of right ventricle and left ventricle hemodynamics by dividing the pulmonary artery systolic pressure by the left ventricle stroke volume. The primary outcome of in‐hospital mortality, cardiac arrest, and the need for advanced therapies was evaluated by univariate and multivariable analyses. Of the 343 patients meeting the inclusion criteria, 215 had complete data. Pulmonary artery systolic pressure/left ventricle stroke volume was a clear predictor of the primary end point (odds ratio [OR], 2.31; P=0.005), performing as well or better than the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (OR, 1.43; P=0.06) or the Bova score (OR, 1.28; P=0.01).

Conclusions

This study is the first study to demonstrate the utility of early pulmonary artery systolic pressure/left ventricle stroke volume in predicting adverse clinical events in patients with acute pulmonary embolism. Pulmonary artery systolic pressure/left ventricle stroke volume may be a surrogate marker of ventricular asynchrony in high‐risk pulmonary embolism and should be prognostically evaluated.

PESI score for predicting clinical outcomes in PE patients with right ventricular involvement

Pulmonary embolism (PE) patients with right ventricular (RV) involvement are a heterogenous group who mandate further risk stratification. Our objective was to evaluate the efficacy of the PE severity index (PESI) for predicting adverse clinical outcomes among PE patients with RV involvement. Consecutive normotensive PE patients with RV involvement were allocated according to admission PESI score (PESI ≤ III vs. PESI ≥ IV). The primary outcome included hemodynamic instability and in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes included each component of the primary outcome as well as mechanical ventilation, thrombolytic therapy, acute kidney injury, and major bleeding. Multivariable logistic regression model was performed to assess the independent association between the PESI score and primary outcome. C-Statistic was used to compare the PESI with the BOVA score. A total of 253 patients were evaluated: 95 (38%) with a PESI ≥ IV. Of them, 82 (32%) patients were classified as intermediate-low risk and 171 (68%) as intermediate-high risk. Fifty (20%) patients had at least 1 adverse event. Multivariate analysis demonstrated the PESI to be an independent predictor for the primary outcome (HR 4.81, CI 95%, 1.15-20.09, p = 0.031), which was increased with a concomitant increase of the PESI score (PESI I 4.2%, PESI II 3.4%, PESI III 12%, PESI IV 16.3%, PESI V 23.1%, p for trend < 0.001). C-Statistic analysis for the PESI score yielded an AUC-0.746 (0.637-0.854), p = 0.001, compared to the BOVA score: AUC-0.679 (0.584-0.775), p = 0.011. PESI score was found to predict adverse outcomes among normotensive PE patients with RV involvement.

Rapid prediction of adverse outcomes for acute normotensive pulmonary embolism: derivation of the Calgary Acute Pulmonary Embolism score

Background

Acute pulmonary embolism (PE) has a wide spectrum of outcomes, but the best method to risk-stratify normotensive patients for adverse outcomes remains unclear.

Methods

A multicentre retrospective cohort study of acute PE patients admitted from emergency departments in Calgary, Canada, between 2012 and 2017 was used to develop a refined acute PE risk score. The composite primary outcome of in-hospital PE-related death or haemodynamic decompensation. The model was internally validated using bootstrapping and the prognostic value of the derived risk score was compared to the Bova score.

Results

Of 2067 patients with normotensive acute PE, the primary outcome (haemodynamic decompensation or PE-related death) occurred in 32 (1.5%) patients. In simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index high-risk patients (n=1498, 78%), a multivariable model used to predict the primary outcome retained computed tomography (CT) right–left ventricular diameter ratio ≥1.5, systolic blood pressure 90–100 mmHg, central pulmonary artery clot and heart rate ≥100 beats·min⁻¹ with a C-statistic of 0.89 (95% CI 0.82–0.93). Three risk groups were derived using a weighted score (score, prevalence, primary outcome event rate): group 1 (0–3, 73.8%, 0.34%), group 2 (4–6, 17.6%, 5.8%), group 3 (7–9, 8.7%, 12.8%) with a C-statistic 0.85 (95% CI 0.78–0.91). In comparison the prevalence (primary outcome) by Bova risk stages (n=1179) were stage I 49.8% (0.2%); stage II 31.9% (2.7%); and stage III 18.4% (7.8%) with a C-statistic 0.80 (95% CI 0.74–0.86).

Conclusions

A simple four-variable risk score using clinical data immediately available after CT diagnosis of acute PE predicts in-hospital adverse outcomes. External validation of the Calgary Acute Pulmonary Embolism score is required.

Derivation of a simple four-variable risk score that uses parameters available at the time of PE diagnosis to risk stratify acute normotensive PE patients, which may help clinicians better decide how to monitor and treat patientshttps://bit.ly/37PdyrM

Risk Stratification in Acute Pulmonary Embolism: The Latest Algorithms

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a common clinical entity, which most clinicians will encounter. Appropriate risk stratification of patients is key to identify those who may benefit from reperfusion therapy. The first step in risk assessment should be the identification of hemodynamic instability and, if present, urgent patient consideration for systemic thrombolytics. In the absence of shock, there is a plethora of imaging studies, biochemical markers, and clinical scores that can be used to further assess the patients' short-term mortality risk. Integrated prediction models incorporate more information toward an individualized and precise mortality prediction. Additionally, bleeding risk scores should be utilized prior to initiation of anticoagulation and/or reperfusion therapy administration. Here, we review the latest algorithms for a comprehensive risk stratification of the patient with acute PE.

In-hospital and short-term predictors of mortality in patients with intermediate-high risk pulmonary embolism

Introduction: The aim of this study was to evaluate the in-hospital and short-term predictive factors of mortality in intermediate-high risk acute pulmonary embolism (PE) patients with right ventricle (RV)dysfunction and myocardial injury.

Methods: In this retrospective study, the medical records of 187 patients with a diagnosis of intermediate high risk acute PE were evaluated. A contrast-enhanced multi-detector pulmonary angiography was used to confirm diagnosis in all cases. All-cause mortality was determined by obtaining both in hospital and 30 days follow-up data of patients from medical records.

Results: During the in-hospital stay (9.5±4.72 days), 7 patients died, resulting in an acute PE related in-hospital mortality of 3.2%. Admission heart rate (HR), (Odds ratio (OR), 1.028 95% Confidence interval (CI), 0.002-1.121; P = 0.048) and blood urea nitrogen (BUN) (OR, 1.028 95% CI, 0.002-1.016; P = 0.044) were found to be independent predictors for in-hospital mortality in a multi variate logistic regression analysis. In total, 32 patients (20.9%) died during 30 days follow-up.The presence of congestive heart failure (OR, 0.015, 95%CI, 0.001-0.211; P = 0.002) and dementia (OR, 0.029, 95%CI,0.002-0.516; P = 0.016) as well as low albumin level (OR, 0.049 95%CI, 0.006-0.383; P = 0.049) were associated with 30 days mortality.

Conclusion: HR and BUN were independent predictors of in-hospital mortality and the presence of congestive heart failure, dementia, and low albumin levels were associated with higher 30 days mortality.

Definition of tachycardia for risk stratification of pulmonary embolism

BACKGROUND

Tachycardia is a reliable predictor of adverse outcomes in normotensive patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE). However, different prognostic relevant heart rate thresholds have been proposed. The aim of the study was to investigate the prognostic performance of different thresholds used for defining tachycardia in normotensive PE patients.

METHODS

We performed a post-hoc analysis of normotensive patients with confirmed PE consecutively included in a single-centre and a multi-centre registry. An adverse outcome was defined as PE-related death, need for mechanical ventilation, cardiopulmonary resuscitation or administration of catecholamines.

RESULTS

Of 1567 patients (median age: 72 [IQR, 59-79] years; females: 46.1%) included in the analysis, 78 patients (5.0%) had an in-hospital adverse outcome. The rate of an adverse outcome was higher in patients with a heart rate ≥100 bpm (7.6%) and ≥110 bpm (8.3%) compared to patients with a heart rate <100 bpm (3.0%). A heart rate ≥100 bpm and ≥110 bpm was associated with a 2.7 (95% CI 1.7-4.3) and 2.4-fold (95% CI 1.5-3.7) increased risk for an adverse outcome, respectively. Receiver operating characteristics analysis revealed a similar area under the curve with regard to an adverse outcome for all scores and algorithm (ESC 2019 algorithm, modified FAST and Bova score) if calculated with a heart rate threshold of ≥100 bpm or of ≥110 bpm.

CONCLUSIONS

Defining tachycardia by a heart rate ≥100 bpm is sufficient for risk stratification of normotensive patients with acute PE. The use of different heart rate thresholds for calculation of scores and algorithm does not appear necessary.

Rare Presentation of Pulmonary Embolism Amidst Coronavirus Disease 2019 Era: Utility of Multiorgan Ultrasonography

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) is the underlying cause of a global crisis that the entire world is facing. It is a highly contagious viral infection, which is why social distancing seems to be effective. Its ability to survive on various surfaces and aerosolize necessitates very meticulous precautions, including airborne isolation for severely ill patients requiring mechanical ventilation. However, these patients may need routine diagnostic investigations including chest computed tomography and chest tomography angiogram scans (CT and CTA) to rule out other potential differential diagnoses and guide management. In this case, we focus on the utility of multiorgan ultrasonography (MOU) at the bedside to diagnose and manage pulmonary embolism (PE) in COVID-19 patients.

Assessment of the Bova score for risk stratification of acute normotensive pulmonary embolism: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Identification of normotensive pulmonary embolism (PE) at high risk of early adverse outcome is crucial for guiding treatment. Studies showed the Bova score had promising performance in stratifying normotensive PE.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the prognostic performance of the Bova score for normotensive PE.

RESULTS

Nine studies involving 8342 acute normotensive PE patients were enrolled. Overall, 71.4%, 20.2% and 8.4% patients were stratified as risk class I, II and III. Pooled incidence of short-term PE related composite adverse outcome of each group were 3.8%, 10.8% and 19.9%, respectively, exhibiting a significant rising trend. Increasing trends of 30-day and in-hospital composite adverse outcome rates, as well as PE related mortality, were also observed with upper risk classes. Compared with risk class I and II, high risk group (class III) was significantly associated with short-term PE related composite adverse outcome (OR: 5.45, 95% CI, 3.70-8.02) and PE related death (OR: 5.09, 95% CI, 3.54-7.30). Pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio and negative likelihood ratio of the score for predicting short-term composite adverse outcome were 0.25 (95% CI, 0.22-0.29), 0.93 (95% CI, 0.92-0.93), 4.05 (95% CI, 2.90-5.67) and 0.81 (95% CI, 0.74-0.88), respectively. The weighted area under the summarized receiver characteristics operation curve for predicting composite adverse outcome was 0.73 ± 0.09.

CONCLUSION

The Bova score could effectively discriminate normotensive PE with different short-term prognosis and has good performance in identifying patients at higher risk of short-term adverse events.

Prognostic value of respiratory index in haemodynamically stable patients with acute pulmonary embolism: The Respiratory Index model study

Background:

Current strategies for prognostic stratification in haemodynamically stable patients with acute pulmonary embolism require improvement. The aims of this study in haemodynamically stable patients with acute pulmonary embolism were (a) to evaluate the prognostic value of a novel respiratory index (oxygen saturation in air to respiratory rate ratio) and (b) to derive a risk model which includes the respiratory index and evaluate its value in predicting 30-day mortality.

Methods:

Prospective cohorts of haemodynamically stable patients with acute pulmonary embolism were merged to a collaborative database that served to create two subsequent derivation and validation cohorts based on a temporal criterion. The study outcome was 30-day all-cause death.

Results:

Thirty-day all-cause death occurred in 7.5% and in 6.9% of patients in the derivation and validation cohorts (each composed of 319 patients). In the derivation cohort, the respiratory index (odds ratio 0.66, 95% confidence interval 0.48–0.90) and simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (odds ratio 9.16, 95% confidence interval 1.22–68.89) were predictors of 30-day mortality. The cut-off value of the respiratory index ⩽3.8 was identified to best predict 30-day all-cause death (15.4% vs 5.0%, odds ratio 2.94, 95% confidence interval 1.22–7.11). The respiratory index ⩽3.8 was combined with the simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index to create the Respiratory Index model that showed a good discriminatory power in the derivation (c-statistic 0.703, 95% confidence interval 0.60–0.80) and in the validation cohort (c-statistic 0.838, 95% confidence interval 0.768–0.907).

Conclusion:

In hemodynamically stable patients with acute pulmonary embolism, the respiratory index was an independent predictor of 30-day all-cause death. The Respiratory Index model which includes the simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index and the respiratory index, provides a good risk stratification of haemodynamically stable patients with acute pulmonary embolism.

Validation of a fast prognostic score for risk stratification of normotensive patients with acute pulmonary embolism

Background

Recent studies demonstrate an improved prognostic performance of the 2014 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) algorithm for risk stratification of patients with pulmonary embolism (PE) compared to the 2008 ESC algorithm. The modified FAST and Bova scores appear especially helpful to identify PE patients at intermediate-high risk.

Methods

We validated the prognostic performance of the modified FAST score compared to other scores for risk stratification in a post-hoc analysis of 868 normotensive PE patients included in the prospective Italian Pulmonary Embolism Registry. In-hospital adverse outcome was defined as PE-related death, mechanical ventilation, cardiopulmonary resuscitation or administration of catecholamines.

Results

Overall, 27 patients (3.1%) had an adverse outcome and 32 patients (3.7%) died. The rate of an adverse outcome was highest in the intermediate-high risk classes of the 2019 ESC algorithm (7.5%) and the modified FAST score (5.3%) while the Bova score failed to discriminate between intermediate-low and intermediate-high-risk patients. Patients classified as intermediate-high risk by the 2019 ESC algorithm (Odds Ratio [OR], 4.2 [95% CI, 1.9–9.0]) and modified FAST score (OR, 2.8 [1.3–6.2]) had a higher risk of an adverse outcome compared to patients classified by the Bova score (OR, 1.6 [0.7–3.7]). The c-index was higher for the 2019 ESC algorithm and the modified FAST score (AUC, 0.69 [0.58–0.79] and 0.67 [0.59–0.76]) compared to the Bova score (AUC, 0.64 [0.55–0.73]).

Conclusions

The 2019 ESC algorithm provided the best prognostic performance, but also the modified FAST score accurately stratified normotensive PE patients in different risk classes while the Bova score failed to identify patients at highest risk.

Graphic abstract

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00392-019-01593-w) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Definitions, adjudication, and reporting of pulmonary embolism-related death in clinical studies: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Pulmonary embolism (PE)-related death is a component of the primary outcome in many venous thromboembolism (VTE) studies. The absence of a standardized definition for PE-related death hampers study outcome evaluation and between-study comparisons.

OBJECTIVES

To summarize definitions for PE-related death used in recent VTE studies and to assess the PE-related death rate.

PATIENTS/METHODS

A systematic literature search was conducted on 26 April 2018 from 1 January 2014 up to the search date in MEDLINE, Embase, and CENTRAL. Cohort studies and randomized trials in which PE-related death was included in the primary outcome were eligible. Screening of titles, abstracts, and full-text articles, and data extraction were independently performed in duplicate by two authors. Study outcomes included the definition for PE-related death, VTE case-fatality rate, and death due to PE rate. Descriptive statistics were used to analyze the data.

RESULTS

Of the 6807 identified citations, 83 studies were included of which 27% were randomized trials, 31% were prospective, and 42% retrospective cohort studies. Thirty-five studies (42%) had a central adjudication committee. Thirty-eight (46%) reported a definition for PE-related death of which the most frequently used components were "autopsy-confirmed PE" (50%), "objectively confirmed PE before death" (55%), and "unexplained death" (58%). Median VTE case-fatality rate was 1.8% (interquartile range, 0.0-13).

CONCLUSIONS

Only half of the included studies reported definitions for PE-related death, which were very heterogeneous. Case-fatality rate of VTE events varied widely across studies. Standardization of the definition and guidance on adjudication and reporting of PE-related death is needed.

Highlights from the ERS International Congress 2018: Assembly 13 - Pulmonary Vascular Diseases

The 2018 European Respiratory Society (ERS) International Congress in Paris, France, highlighted the subject of pulmonary vascular disease (PVD). 2018 was an exciting year for the PVD community as it was the first ERS International Congress since the formation of Assembly 13, which is dedicated to PVD, pulmonary embolism and the right ventricle. This article aims to summarise the high-quality studies presented at the 2018 Congress into four subject areas: the use of risk stratification in pulmonary arterial hypertension, the molecular mechanisms and treatment of pulmonary hypertension (PH), understanding and improving the right ventricle in PH, and finally, advances in the field of acute pulmonary embolus.