Effectiveness of a 3 + 0 pneumococcal conjugate vaccine schedule against invasive pneumococcal disease among a birth cohort of 1.4 million children in Australia

Incremental effectiveness of 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine against pneumonia hospitalisation among Australian Indigenous children: A record linkage study

BACKGROUND

The impact of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) on pneumonia in children is well-documented but data on 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23) are lacking. Between 2001 and 2011, Indigenous children in Western Australia (WA) were recommended to receive PPV23 at 18-24 months of age following 3 doses of 7-valent PCV. We evaluated the incremental effectiveness of PPV23 against pneumonia hospitalisation.

METHODS

Indigenous children born in WA between 2001 and 2012 who received PCV dose 3 by 12 months of age were followed from 18 to 60 months of age for the first episode of pneumonia hospitalisation (all-cause and 3 subgroups: presumptive pneumococcal, other specified causes, and unspecified). We used Cox regression modelling to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for pneumonia hospitalisation among children who had, versus had not, received PPV23 between 18 and 30 months of age after adjustment for confounders.

RESULTS

11,120 children had 327 first episodes of all-cause pneumonia hospitalisation, with 15 (4.6%) coded as presumptive pneumococcal, 46 (14.1%) as other specified causes and 266 (81.3%) unspecified. No statistically significant reduction in all-cause pneumonia was seen with PPV23 (HR 1.11; 95% CI: 0.87-1.43), but the direction of the association differed for presumptive pneumococcal (HR 0.47; 95% CI: 0.16-1.35) and specified (HR 0.89; 95% CI: 0.49-1.62) from unspecified causes (HR 1.13; 95% CI: 0.86-1.49). During the baseline period before PPV23 vaccination (12-18 months), all-cause pneumonia risk was higher among PPV23-vaccinated than unvaccinated children (RR: 1.73; 95% CI: 1.30-2.28).

CONCLUSION

In this high-risk population, no statistically significant incremental effect of a PPV23 booster at 18-30 months was observed against hospitalised all-cause pneumonia or the more specific outcome of presumptive pneumococcal pneumonia. Confounding by indication may explain the slight trend towards an increased risk against all-cause pneumonia. Larger studies with better control of confounding are needed to further inform PPV23 vaccination.

Informing the design of a whole of life immunisation register for Australia

INTRODUCTION

In 2016, Australia launched a whole life immunisation register, the Australian Immunisation Register (AIR), building on a universal childhood register established in 1997. Immunisation Information Systems are well established in Europe, the US and elsewhere. However, a national system covering immunisation across the lifespan, with complete capture of the population and satisfactory data quality, is rare.

METHODS

A national workshop was convened in 2016 with key stakeholders from the government, new and existing vaccine users, and vaccine providers to review the ideal features of the AIR to ensure optimal effectiveness. This workshop focused on the functionality needed to identify population groups newly included in the register and support the achievement of high immunisation coverage in these groups eligible for National Immunisation Program vaccines.

RESULTS

Key recommendations included the need for bidirectional data flow between the AIR and providers; systematic approaches to the capture and recording of accurate and complete data to ascertain important denominators for subpopulations, includingAboriginal and Torres Strait Islander status, medical risk factors, occupation, ethnicity, country of birth, and vaccines given during pregnancy; linkage with other government datasets including notifiable diseases; the capture of adverse events following immunisation; ease of access by patients, providers; and by researchers.

CONCLUSIONS

Some recommendations from the workshop have informed the development and future utility of the AIR. Some recommendations from the workshop have been integrated into the current iteration of the AIR, which is more important than ever given the roll-out of COVID-19 vaccines. The accuracy and validity of data have subsequently improved through data entry controls, data integrity checks and reporting requirements. Access to AIR data for research remains protracted and costly, limitingresearch potential.

Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccines Are Protective Against Respiratory Syncytial Virus Hospitalizations in Infants: A Population-Based Observational Study

Background

Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV) reduced the risk of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in a randomized clinical trial. We aimed to assess the real-world effectiveness of PCV on RSV-hospitalizations among Western Australian infants.

Methods

We conducted a population-based cohort study of births during 2000-2012, using probabilistically linked individual-level immunization, hospitalization, respiratory microbiology testing, and perinatal data. We performed Cox proportional hazard models with time-varying exposure (receipt of infant PCV doses) against the first RSV-confirmed hospitalization 0-12 months adjusted for perinatal and sociodemographic factors.

Results

From 360 994 children, 3-dose PCV coverage in Aboriginal infants ranged from 29% to 51% in 2001-2004 when PCV was funded for Aboriginal children only. Following universal funding in 2005, coverage increased to 85% for Aboriginal and 73% for non-Aboriginal infants. RSV-hospitalization rates were highest in young infants aged 0-5 months (22.5/1000 child-years) and >2 times higher in Aboriginal infants than in non-Aboriginal infants. Receipt of ≥3 PCV doses in the universal funded period was associated with a 30% reduction in RSV-hospitalization in Aboriginal infants (adjusted hazard ratio, aHR 0.70 [95% confidence interval, CI 0.46-1.06]) and 21% reduction in non-Aboriginal infants (aHR 0.79 [95% CI 0.63-0.99]) compared with unvaccinated infants.

Conclusions

Prior to the introduction of RSV vaccines, our study suggests that universal childhood PCV vaccination may result in a reduction in severe RSV infections in children and may be important for countries that are yet to consider PCV programs.

Effectiveness of 7-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine Against Invasive Pneumococcal Disease in Medically At-Risk Children in Australia: A Record Linkage Study

BACKGROUND

Children with chronic medical conditions are at higher risk of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), but little is known about the effectiveness of the primary course of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) in these children.

METHODS

A cohort born in 2001-2004 from two Australian states and identified as medically at-risk (MAR) of IPD either using ICD-coded hospitalizations (with conditions of interest identified by 6 months of age) or linked perinatal data (for prematurity) were followed to age 5 years for notified IPD by serotype. We categorized fully vaccinated children as either receiving PCV dose 3 by <12 months of age or ≥1 PCV dose at ≥12 months of age. Cox proportional hazard modeling was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs), adjusted for confounders, and vaccine effectiveness (VE) was estimated as (1-HR) × 100.

RESULTS

A total of 9220 children with MAR conditions had 53 episodes of IPD (43 vaccine-type); 4457 (48.3%) were unvaccinated and 4246 (46.1%) were fully vaccinated, with 1371 (32.3%) receiving dose 3 by 12 months and 2875 (67.7%) having ≥1 dose at ≥12 months. Estimated VE in fully vaccinated children was 85.9% (95% CI: 33.9-97.0) against vaccine-type IPD and 71.5% (95% CI: 26.6-88.9) against all-cause IPD.

CONCLUSION

This is the first population-based study evaluating the effectiveness of PCV in children with MAR conditions using record linkage. Our study provides evidence that the VE for vaccine-type and all-cause IPD in MAR children in Australia is high and not statistically different from previously reported estimates for the general population. This method can be replicated in other countries to evaluate VE in MAR children.

Epidemiology of non-vaccine serotypes of Streptococcus pneumoniae before and after universal administration of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines

The universal administration of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) had been demonstrated as an effective way to prevent Streptococcus pneumoniae infection. However, the immunity induced by PCVs protected against the infections caused by vaccine serotypes, which were usually more frequent than non-vaccine serotypes (NVTs). The prevalence and pathogenicity of NVTs after universal vaccination have caused widespread concern. We reviewed the epidemiology of non-PCV13 S. pneumoniae before and after PCV13 introduction, and explored the potential reasons for the spread of NVTs. Emerging and spreading NVTs can be regarded as the focus for future serotype epidemiological survey and vaccine optimization.AbbreviationsIPD: invasive pneumococcal disease PCV: pneumococcal conjugate vaccines VT: vaccine serotypeNVT: non-vaccine serotype.

Australia's Role in Pneumococcal and Human Papillomavirus Vaccine Evaluation in Asia-Pacific

Australian researchers have made substantial contributions to the field of vaccinology over many decades. Two examples of this contribution relate to pneumococcal vaccines and the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine, with a focus on improving access to these vaccines in low- and lower-middle-income countries (LLMICs). Many LLMICs considering introducing one or both of these vaccines into their National Immunisation Programs face significant barriers such as cost, logistics associated with vaccine delivery. These countries also often lack the resources and expertise to undertake the necessary studies to evaluate vaccine performance. This review summarizes the role of Australia in the development and/or evaluation of pneumococcal vaccines and the HPV vaccine, including the use of alternative vaccine strategies among countries situated in the Asia-Pacific region. The outcomes of these research programs have had significant global health impacts, highlighting the importance of these vaccines in preventing pneumococcal disease as well as HPV-associated diseases.

Levels of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine coverage and indirect protection against invasive pneumococcal disease and pneumonia hospitalisations in Australia: An observational study

BACKGROUND

There is limited empiric evidence on the coverage of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) required to generate substantial indirect protection. We investigate the association between population PCV coverage and indirect protection against invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and pneumonia hospitalisations among undervaccinated Australian children.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

Birth and vaccination records, IPD notifications, and hospitalisations were individually linked for children aged <5 years, born between 2001 and 2012 in 2 Australian states (New South Wales and Western Australia; 1.37 million children). Using Poisson regression models, we examined the association between PCV coverage, in small geographical units, and the incidence of (1) 7-valent PCV (PCV7)-type IPD; (2) all-cause pneumonia; and (3) pneumococcal and lobar pneumonia hospitalisation in undervaccinated children. Undervaccinated children received <2 doses of PCV at <12 months of age and no doses at ≥12 months of age. Potential confounding variables were selected for adjustment a priori with the assistance of a directed acyclic graph. There were strong inverse associations between PCV coverage and the incidence of PCV7-type IPD (adjusted incidence rate ratio [aIRR] 0.967, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.958 to 0.975, p-value < 0.001), and pneumonia hospitalisations (all-cause pneumonia: aIRR 0.991 95% CI 0.990 to 0.994, p-value < 0.001) among undervaccinated children. Subgroup analyses for children <4 months old, urban, rural, and Indigenous populations showed similar trends, although effects were smaller for rural and Indigenous populations. Approximately 50% coverage of PCV7 among children <5 years of age was estimated to prevent up to 72.5% (95% CI 51.6 to 84.4) of PCV7-type IPD among undervaccinated children, while 90% coverage was estimated to prevent 95.2% (95% CI 89.4 to 97.8). The main limitations of this study include the potential for differential loss to follow-up, geographical misclassification of children (based on residential address at birth only), and unmeasured confounders.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, we observed substantial indirect protection at lower levels of PCV coverage than previously described-challenging assumptions that high levels of PCV coverage (i.e., greater than 90%) are required. Understanding the association between PCV coverage and indirect protection is a priority since the control of vaccine-type pneumococcal disease is a prerequisite for reducing the number of PCV doses (from 3 to 2). Reduced dose schedules have the potential to substantially reduce program costs while maintaining vaccine impact.

Impact and effectiveness of a conjugate vaccine against invasive pneumococcal disease in Finland - a modelling approach

The evaluation of the public health impact of a vaccination program is essential in monitoring its policy relevance. Vaccine impact (VI) is usually assessed in a before-after design, in which data on disease burden without vaccination program is required from a historical reference period. It takes into account the indirect effects and therefore aims to describe the public health performance of the vaccination program in the population. Vaccine effectiveness (VE), measured in parallel settings, quantifies the benefit for an individual of being vaccinated but does not address the indirect effects of a vaccination program. The motivation of this paper is to gain insight into patterns of how VI and VE have manifested under large-scale use of a ten-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in Finnish children. We construct a simple pseudo-dynamic model that mimics typical post-vaccination trends in the incidences of pneumococcal carriage and invasive disease in children when the proportion of vaccine-type carriage decreases. In the context of the model, we define the parameters of interest for VI and VE and explore how their expected values evolve over time. For comparison, we demonstrate the application of VI and VE estimation by using register data.

One cross-sectional investigation revealed that non-vaccine serotypes of Streptococcus pneumoniae could be identified more frequently in elderly Chinese people

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the serotype distribution and drug resistance of Streptococcus pneumoniae isolated from hospitalized patients of all ages in Zhongjiang county, Sichuan province, where the young children have just begun to vaccinate the PCV13 in private sector.

METHODS

Serotypes were determined for 387 isolates of S. pneumoniae by Quellung reaction. Antibiotic susceptibility was tested with the E-test or disc diffusion method.

RESULTS

The most common serotypes were type 19F and confirmed for 88 isolates (22.7%), followed by 19A (15.0%), 6B (7.8%), 16F (7.8%), 23F (7.0%) and 15A (4.4%). The coverage rates of PCV13 and PPSV23 were 63.3% and 65.1%. With the increase of age, the proportion of PCV13 types decreased significantly, from 71.3% (<2 years old) to 41.9% (≥60 years old). The intermediate rate and resistance rate of the isolates to oral penicillin were 48.6% and 45.2%, respectively. The resistance rate of erythromycin was high (94.4%). The PCV13 isolates was more resistant to penicillin than the non-PCV13 ones.

CONCLUSION

The PCV13 coverage rate in pediatric isolates was higher than those in adult isolates. The adults, especially the elderly, may be the reservoir of non-PCV13 types. It is necessary to investigate the serotype distribution of S. pneumoniae based on all age population to assess potential epidemics of non-vaccine serotype associated with PCVs administration.

Suitability of databases in the Asia-Pacific for collaborative monitoring of vaccine safety

INTRODUCTION

Information regarding availability of electronic healthcare databases in the Asia-Pacific region is critical for planning vaccine safety assessments particularly, as COVID-19 vaccines are introduced. This study aimed to identify data sources in the region, potentially suitable for vaccine safety surveillance. This manuscript is endorsed by the International Society for Pharmacoepidemiology (ISPE).

METHODS

Nineteen countries targeted for database reporting were identified using published country lists and review articles. Surveillance capacity was assessed using two surveys: a 9-item introductory survey and a 51-item full survey. Survey questions related to database characteristics, covariate and health outcome variables, vaccine exposure characteristics, access and governance, and dataset linkage capability. Other questions collated research/regulatory applications of the data and local publications detailing database use for research.

RESULTS

Eleven databases containing vaccine-specific information were identified across 8 countries. Databases were largely national in coverage (8/11, 73%), encompassed all ages (9/11, 82%) with population size from 1.4 to 52 million persons. Vaccine exposure information varied particularly for standardized vaccine codes (5/11, 46%), brand (7/11, 64%) and manufacturer (5/11, 46%). Outcome data were integrated with vaccine data in 6 (55%) databases and available via linkage in 5 (46%) databases. Data approval processes varied, impacting on timeliness of data access.

CONCLUSIONS

Variation in vaccine data availability, complexities in data access including, governance and data release approval procedures, together with requirement for data linkage for outcome information, all contribute to the challenges in building a distributed network for vaccine safety assessment in the Asia-Pacific and globally. Common data models (CDMs) may help expedite vaccine safety research across the region.

Estimating pneumococcal vaccine coverage among Australian Indigenous children and children with medically at-risk conditions using record linkage

BACKGROUND

Risk-based recommendations are common for pneumococcal vaccines but little is known about their uptake. In Australia, pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) was funded only for Aboriginal or Torres Strait Islander (Indigenous) children and those with underlying medical conditions in 2001, and then there were different booster dose recommendations depending on risk after the introduction of universal PCV vaccination in 2005.

METHODS

We measured coverage of PCV dose 3 and additional PCV and 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23) doses by risk group among children born in July 2001-December 2012 in two Australian states using linked immunisation and hospitalisation data (available until December 2013). We ascertained medical risk conditions using hospitalisation diagnosis codes and Indigenous status using an established algorithm, comparing coverage for children born pre (2001-2004) and post (2005-2012) universal PCV funding.

RESULTS

Among 1.3 million children, 63,897 (4.9%) were Indigenous and 32,934 (2.5%) had at least one medically at-risk condition identified by age 6 months. For births in 2001-2004, coverage for PCV dose 3 by 1 year of age was 37% for Indigenous, 15% for medically at-risk and 11% in other children, increasing to 83%, 91% and 92%, respectively for births in 2005-2012. In children with medically at-risk conditions, PCV dose 4 coverage by 2 years was 1% for 2001-2004 births, increasing to 9% for 2005-2012 births, with PPV23 coverage by 6 years 3% in both cohorts. Among eligible Indigenous children, PPV23 coverage by 3 years was 45% for 2001-2004 births and 51% for 2005-2012 births.

CONCLUSIONS

Coverage with additional recommended booster doses was very low among children with medical conditions, and only modest among Indigenous children. If additional PCV doses are recommended for some risk groups, especially in the context of routine schedules with reduced doses (e.g. 2 + 1 and 1 + 1), measures to improve implementation will be required.

Exploring the evidence behind the comparable impact of the pneumococcal conjugate vaccines PHiD-CV and PCV13 on overall pneumococcal disease

The worldwide implementation of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) in children has reduced the overall pneumococcal disease burden. Two PCVs are widely available for infant vaccination: the pneumococcal non-typeable Haemophilus influenzae protein D conjugate vaccine (PHiD-CV) and the 13-valent PCV (PCV13). While these PCVs differ in serotype composition (PCV13 includes polysaccharides of serotypes 3, 6A and 19A; PHiD-CV does not), their impact on the overall pneumococcal disease burden in children is comparable. This commentary summarizes the evidence of comparability between PHiD-CV and PCV13 and explores why differences in serotype composition may not necessarily translate into a differential clinical impact. Both vaccines confer similarly high protection against disease caused by vaccine serotypes and lead to a partial replacement by non-vaccine serotypes. PHiD-CV does not protect against serotype 3 disease (not included in the vaccine) and PCV13’s effect on this serotype has been inconsistent. PHiD-CV provides some cross-protection against disease caused by vaccine-related serotype 19A but neither vaccine has fully controlled 19A disease. While protection against 19A is higher for PCV13 than PHiD-CV, replacement by non-PCV13 serotypes in settings with a PCV13 program appears to compensate for this difference. This results in a similar residual overall disease burden with both vaccines.

What is the context?

The pneumococcus bacterium can cause infections of the meninges, blood, lung, middle ear and sinuses.

Two vaccins, Synflorix (GSK) and Prevnar 13 (Pfizer Inc.), are widely used to protect young children against these infections.

The vaccines’ compositions differ: Synflorix includes antigens from 10 pneumococcus strains (or “serotypes”) and Prevnar 13 from 13 serotypes.

However, both have a similar effect on the total pneumococcal disease burden in children.

What does this commentary highlight?

This commentary summarizes the evidence beihnd the two vaccines’ comparable impact on pneumococcal disase.

It also looks at why the vaccines have a similar effect on the total pneumococcal disease burden despite their different compositions.

What is the impact on current thinking?

Given that Synflorix and Prevnar 13 have a comparable impact on pneumococcal disease, a country’s choice between the two vaccines will depend on vaccine supply, cost, logistical factors (e.g., transport, storage, training requirements of health workers) and the local pneumococcal epidemiology.

Long-term Impact of Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccines on Invasive Disease and Pneumonia Hospitalizations in Indigenous and Non-Indigenous Australians

BACKGROUND

Universal pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) programs began in Indigenous Australian children in 2001 and all children in 2005, changing to 13-valent PCV (PCV13) in 2011. We used laboratory data for invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and coded hospitalizations for noninvasive pneumococcal community-acquired pneumonia (PnCAP) to evaluate long-term impact.

METHODS

Annual incidence (per 100 000 population) was calculated for age-specific total IPD, PCV13 non-7-valent PCV (PCV7) serotypes, and PnCAP by Indigenous status. Incidence in the pre-universal PCV7 (2002-2004), early PCV7 (2005-2007), pre-PCV13 (2008 to mid-2011), and post-PCV13 (mid-2011 to 2016) periods was used to calculate incidence rate ratios (IRRs).

RESULTS

In the total population, all-age incidence of IPD declined from 11.8 pre-PCV7 to 7.1 post-PCV13 (IRR, 0.61 [95% confidence interval {CI}, .59-.63]) but for PnCAP declined among ages <1 year (IRR, 0.34 [95% CI, .25-.45]) and 1-4 years (IRR, 0.50 [95% CI, .43-.57]) but increased significantly among age ≥5 years (IRRs, 1.08-1.14). In Indigenous people, baseline PCV13 non-PCV7 IPD incidence was 3-fold higher, amplified by a serotype 1 epidemic in 2011. By 2015-2016, although incidence of IPD and PnCAP in children aged <5 years decreased by 38%, neither decreased in people aged ≥5 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Fifteen years post-PCV and 5 years post-PCV13, direct and indirect impact on IPD and PnCAP differed by age and between Indigenous and non-Indigenous people, with potential implications for long-term PCV impact in comparable settings.Fifteen years after pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) introduction and 5 years post-PCV13, direct and indirect impact on invasive pneumococcal disease and pneumococcal community-acquired pneumonia differed by age and between Indigenous and non-Indigenous people, with potential implications for long-term PCV impact in comparable settings.

Immunogenicity of a single-dose compared with a two-dose primary series followed by a booster dose of ten-valent or 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in South African children: an open-label, randomised, non-inferiority trial

Background

Routine childhood immunisation with pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) has changed the epidemiology of pneumococcal disease across age groups, providing an opportunity to reconsider PCV dosing schedules. We aimed to evaluate the post-booster dose immunogenicity of ten-valent (PCV10) and 13-valent (PCV13) PCVs between infants randomly assigned to receive a single-dose compared with a two-dose primary series.

Methods

We did an open-label, non-inferiority, randomised study in HIV-unexposed infants at a single centre in Soweto, South Africa. Infants were randomly assigned to receive one priming dose of PCV10 or PCV13 at ages 6 weeks (6w + 1 PCV10 and 6w + 1 PCV13 groups) or 14 weeks (14w + 1 PCV10 and 14w + 1 PCV13 groups) or two priming doses of PCV10 or PCV13, one each at ages 6 weeks and 14 weeks (2 + 1 PCV10 and 2 + 1 PCV13 groups); all participants then received a booster dose of PCV10 or PCV13 at 40 weeks of age. The primary endpoint was geometric mean concentrations (GMCs) of serotype-specific IgG 1 month after the booster dose, which was assessed in all participants who received PCV10 or PCV13 as per the assigned randomisation group and for whom laboratory results were available at that timepoint. The 1 + 1 vaccine schedule was considered non-inferior to the 2 + 1 vaccine schedule if the lower bound of the 96% CI for the GMC ratio was greater than 0·5 for at least ten PCV13 serotypes and eight PCV10 serotypes. Safety was a secondary endpoint. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT02943902) and is ongoing.

Findings

Of 1695 children assessed, 600 were enrolled and randomly assigned to one of the six groups between Jan 9 and Sept 20, 2017; 542 were included in the final analysis of the primary endpoint (86–93 per group). For both PCV13 and PCV10, a 1+1 dosing schedule (either beginning at 6 or 14 weeks) was non-inferior to a 2 + 1 schedule. For PCV13, the lower limit of the 96% CI for the ratio of GMCs between the 1 + 1 and 2 + 1 groups was higher than 0·5 for ten serotypes in the 6w+1 group (excluding 6B, 14, and 23F) and 11 serotypes in the 14w + 1 group (excluding 6B and 23F). For PCV10, the lower limit of the 96% CI for the ratio of GMCs was higher than 0·5 for all ten serotypes in the 6w+1 and 14w + 1 groups. 84 serious adverse events were reported in 72 (12%) of 600 participants. 15 occurred within 28 days of vaccination, but none were considered to be related to PCV injection. There were no cases of culture-confirmed invasive pneumococcal disease.

Interpretation

The non-inferiority in post-booster immune responses following a single-dose compared with a two-dose primary series of PCV13 or PCV10 indicates the potential for reducing PCV dosing schedules from a 2 + 1 to 1 + 1 series in low-income and middle-income settings with well established PCV immunisation programmes.

Funding

The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (OPP1 + 152352).

Effectiveness of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine against hospital admissions for pneumonia in Australian children: a retrospective, population-based, record-linked cohort study

BACKGROUND

Reductions in pneumonia hospitalisations following introduction of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) have been reported from high-incidence and low-incidence settings but long-term data comparing vaccinated with unvaccinated children are sparse.

METHODS

We did a retrospective, population-based, record-linkage cohort study in Australian children using administrative health data from the Western Australian Midwives' Notification System and New South Wales Perinatal Data Collection, and the birth and death registries in both states. PCV vaccination details, pneumonia-coded hospital admissions, and invasive pneumococcal disease notification records were individually linked for children born between 2001 and 2012. The primary outcome was defined as the first hospital admission for all-cause pneumonia. Cox models were used to calculate adjusted hazard ratios (HR) to estimate the effect of PCV doses on pneumonia-coded hospital admissions by Aboriginal status, birth period, remoteness, and pneumonia diagnostic category in children younger than 2 years. Person-time of follow-up time for each child started at birth and was censored at the earliest of first hospital admission for all-cause pneumonia, death, invalid PCV dose, when the child reached age 24 months, or the end date of the study period (Dec 31, 2013) FINDINGS: The study cohort comprised 1 365 893 children liveborn between Jan 1, 2001, and Dec 31, 2012, of whom 66 484 (4·9%) were identified as Aboriginal. The overall rate for all-cause pneumonia hospital admissions for children younger than 2 years over the entire study period was 17·6/1000 child-years in Aboriginal children and 5·5/1000 child-years in non-Aboriginal children. Compared with children born between 2001 and 2004 (ie, the pre-universal PCV period), the incidence of pneumonia-coded hospital admissions decreased in both vaccinated (6·5 vs 5·7 per 1000 child-years [12% reduction, 95% CI 3-21; p=0·01]) and unvaccinated non-Aboriginal children (6·8 vs 3·7 [45% reduction; 41-49]) born 2005-12 (the universal PCV period); among Aboriginal children, declines were significant only among those vaccinated (27·4 vs 14·1 [49% reduction, 40-55]). Among Aboriginal children born 2005-12, the risk of pneumonia-coded hospital admission after three doses of PCV was lower than those unvaccinated (adjusted HR 0·83, 95% CI 0·65-0·99) but, among non-Aboriginal children, the risk was similar (adjusted HR 1·09, 0·98-1·22). Overall, remote-born Aboriginal children had the highest incidence of hospital admission for pneumonia and among children born 2005-12, the adjusted risk was 37% lower (adjusted HR 0·63, 95% CI 0·42-0·96) among those fully vaccinated than those unvaccinated.

INTERPRETATION

Reductions in pneumonia-coded hospital admissions in unvaccinated children predominated in non-Aboriginal children with low incidence of pneumonia but were not significant in Aboriginal children with high incidence. These findings have potential implications for measuring PCV effect using a non-specific endpoint such as all-cause pneumonia in high-incidence populations.

FUNDING

Commonwealth Government Collaborative Research Infrastructure Strategy and Education Investment Fund Super Science Initiative and the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council.

Long-term Vaccine Impact on Invasive Pneumococcal Disease Among Children With Significant Comorbidities in a Large Australian Birth Cohort

BACKGROUND

Little is known about long-term invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) incidence in children with risk factors (RFs) in populations with high coverage pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) programs. We measured IPD burden and changes with PCV use in children by RF status.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort of all live births in 2001-2012 in New South Wales, Australia was linked to IPD, hospitalization and death data. RFs were identified from International Classification of Diseases codes in linked hospitalizations. For each RF adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs, using Cox models), population attributable fractions (PAFs) and changes post-PCV relative to baseline for IPD were calculated.

RESULTS

One-thousand two-hundred fifty-one IPD cases occurred in ~1.1 million children in 12-year study cohort. The 75,404 children (6.8% of cohort) with RFs accounted for 255 (20.4%) IPD cases [rate (per 100,000 person-years) of 61 compared with 14 in no RFs]. Asthma was most common RF (n = 41,074; 3.6%) but highest IPD risk was in 2452 children (0.2%) with immunosuppression, splenic dysfunction or breach in cerebrospinal fluid barrier (aHR~20; PAF 0.7-1.8%) versus asthma (aHR 5.3; PAF 14.8%). Compared with 2001-2004 birth cohort (baseline), IPD incidence in PCV-eligible 2009-2012 birth cohort was 78% (95% confidence interval: -72% to -82%) less in children without RFs. IPD declined nonsignificantly (13%; 95% confidence interval: -70% to +138%) in highest IPD risk group, but by 67% (-43% to -82%) in children with other RFs.

CONCLUSIONS

By 8 years of universal PCV, IPD incidence reduced significantly in all children except in the 0.2% at highest risk, for whom antibiotic prophylaxis and additional vaccine doses are recommended but compliance and effectiveness remain uncertain.

Impact of Childhood Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine on Nonnotified Clinically Suspected Invasive Pneumococcal Disease in Australia

BACKGROUND

Finnish studies have shown a significant impact of 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) on nonnotified clinically suspected invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD). We used a similar vaccine probe design to estimate PCV7 and PCV13 impact in Australian children.

METHODS

Season and age-matched pre-PCV7 cohorts (born in 2002-2004) were compared with PCV7-early and PCV7-late, and PCV13-eligible cohorts. Using linked notification and hospitalization data, we calculated relative rate reductions (RRRs) and absolute rate reductions (ARRs) for notified IPD, and nonnotified clinically suspected IPD or unspecified sepsis (first hospitalization with an International Classification of Diseases 10th Revision-Australian Modification code: A40.3/G00.1/M00.1 or A40.9/A41.9/A49.9/G00/I30.1/M00, respectively).

RESULTS

Significant reductions in all outcomes were observed comparing PCV7-early and PCV7-late and PCV13-eligible to pre-PCV7 cohorts. RRRs were high for both notified and nonnotified clinically suspected IPD (range 71%-91%), but ARRs were lower for nonnotified (5-6/100,000 person-years) than for notified cases (59-70/100,000 person-years). RRRs for the combined outcome of nonnotified clinically suspected IPD or unspecified sepsis were lower at 21%-24% for PCV7-eligible cohorts and 36% for the PCV13-eligible cohort, but ARRs were considerable due to the high pre-PCV7 rates (ARR 37-31/100,000 person-years for PCV7-early and PCV7-late cohorts and 54/100,000 person-years for PCV13).

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides a quantitative estimate of the total burden of IPD preventable by PCV7 and PCV13 vaccination programs in Australia. ARRs (compared with prevaccination) were significant but smaller than in Finland (122/100,000 for the combined outcome) and longer-term follow-up is required to determine the additional impact of PCV13 above that seen for PCV7. Country-specific studies are needed to accurately estimate the burden of pneumococcal disease preventable by vaccination and cost-effectiveness of PCV vaccination programs.