Does Pretreatment Tumor Growth Hold Prognostic Information for Patients with Glioblastoma?

Tumour growth rate predicts overall survival in patients with recurrent WHO grade 4 glioma

PURPOSE

Accurate prognostication may aid in the selection of patients who will benefit from surgery at recurrent WHO grade 4 glioma. This study aimed to evaluate the role of serial tumour volumetric measurements for prognostication at first tumour recurrence.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed patients with histologically-diagnosed WHO grade 4 glioma at initial and at first tumour recurrence at a tertiary hospital between May 2000 and September 2018. We performed auto-segmentation using ITK-SNAP software, followed by manual adjustment to measure serial contrast-enhanced T1W (CE-T1W) and T2W lesional volume changes on all MRI images performed between initial resection and repeat surgery.

RESULTS

Thirty patients met inclusion criteria; the median overall survival using Kaplan-Meier analysis from second surgery was 10.5 months. Seventeen (56.7%) patients received treatment post second surgery. Univariate cox regression analysis showed that greater rate of increase in lesional volume on CE-T1W (HR = 2.57; 95% CI [1.18, 5.57]; p = 0.02) in the last 2 MRI scans leading up to the second surgery was associated with a higher mortality likelihood. Patients with higher Karnofsky Performance Score (KPS) (HR = 0.97; 95% CI [0.95, 0.99]; p = 0.01) and who received further treatment following second surgery (HR = 0.43; 95% CI [0.19, 0.98]; p = 0.04) were shown to have a better survival.

CONCLUSION

Higher rate of CE-T1W lesional growth on the last 2 MRI images prior to surgery at recurrence was associated with increase mortality risk. A larger prospective study is required to determine and validate the threshold to distinguish rapidly progressive tumour with poor prognosis.

Preoperative growth dynamics of untreated glioblastoma: Description of an exponential growth type, correlating factors, and association with postoperative survival

Background

Little is known about the growth dynamics of untreated glioblastoma and its possible influence on postoperative survival. Our aim was to analyze a possible association of preoperative growth dynamics with postoperative survival.

Methods

We performed a retrospective analysis of all adult patients surgically treated for newly diagnosed glioblastoma at our center between 2010 and 2020. By volumetric analysis of data of patients with availability of ≥3 preoperative sequential MRI, a growth pattern was aimed to be identified. Main inclusion criterion for further analysis was the availability of two preoperative MRI scans with a slice thickness of 1 mm, at least 7 days apart. Individual growth rates were calculated. Association with overall survival (OS) was examined by multivariable.

Results

Out of 749 patients screened, 13 had ≥3 preoperative MRI, 70 had 2 MRI and met the inclusion criteria. A curve estimation regression model showed the best fit for exponential tumor growth. Median tumor volume doubling time (VDT) was 31 days, median specific growth rate (SGR) was 2.2% growth per day. SGR showed negative correlation with tumor size (rho = -0.59, P < .001). Growth rates were dichotomized according to the median SGR.OS was significantly longer in the group with slow growth (log-rank: P = .010). Slower preoperative growth was independently associated with longer overall survival in a multivariable Cox regression model for patients after tumor resection.

Conclusions

Especially small lesions suggestive of glioblastoma showed exponential tumor growth with variable growth rates and a median VDT of 31 days. SGR was significantly associated with OS in patients with tumor resection in our sample.

Quantitative volumetric assessment of baseline enhancing tumor volume as an imaging biomarker predicts overall survival in patients with glioblastoma

BACKGROUND

Glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) is the commonest malignant primary brain tumor and still has one of the worst prognoses among cancers in general. There is a need for non-invasive methods to predict individual prognosis in patients with GBM.

PURPOSE

To evaluate quantitative volumetric tissue assessment of enhancing tumor volume on cranial magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) as an imaging biomarker for predicting overall survival (OS) in patients with GBM.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

MRI scans of 49 patients with histopathologically confirmed GBM were analyzed retrospectively. Baseline contrast-enhanced (CE) MRI sequences were transferred to a segmentation-based three-dimensional quantification tool, and the enhancing tumor component was analyzed. Based on a cut-off percentage of the enhancing tumor volume (PoETV) of >84.78%, samples were dichotomized, and the OS and intracranial progression-free survival (PFS) were evaluated. Univariable and multivariable analyses, including variables such as sex, Karnofsky Performance Status score, O⁶-methylguanine-DNA-methyltransferase status, age, and resection status, were performed using the Cox regression model.

RESULTS

The median OS and PFS were 16.9 and 7 months in the entire cohort, respectively. Patients with a CE tumor volume of >84.78% showed a significantly shortened OS (12.9 months) compared to those with a CE tumor volume of ≤84.78% (17.7 months) (hazard ratio [HR] 2.72; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.22-6.03; P = 0.01). Multivariable analysis confirmed that PoETV had a significant prognostic role (HR 2.47; 95% CI 1.08-5.65; P = 0.03).

CONCLUSION

We observed a correlation between PoETV and OS. This imaging biomarker may help predict the OS of patients with GBM.

Survival of glioblastoma in relation to tumor location: a statistical tumor atlas of a population-based cohort

Purpose

Previous studies on the effect of tumor location on overall survival in glioblastoma have found conflicting results. Based on statistical maps, we sought to explore the effect of tumor location on overall survival in a population-based cohort of patients with glioblastoma and IDH wild-type astrocytoma WHO grade II–III with radiological necrosis.

Methods

Patients were divided into three groups based on overall survival: < 6 months, 6–24 months, and > 24 months. Statistical maps exploring differences in tumor location between these three groups were calculated from pre-treatment magnetic resonance imaging scans. Based on the results, multivariable Cox regression analyses were performed to explore the possible independent effect of centrally located tumors compared to known prognostic factors by use of distance from center of the third ventricle to contrast-enhancing tumor border in centimeters as a continuous variable.

Results

A total of 215 patients were included in the statistical maps. Central tumor location (corpus callosum, basal ganglia) was associated with overall survival < 6 months. There was also a reduced overall survival in patients with tumors in the left temporal lobe pole. Tumors in the dorsomedial right temporal lobe and the white matter region involving the left anterior paracentral gyrus/dorsal supplementary motor area/medial precentral gyrus were associated with overall survival > 24 months. Increased distance from center of the third ventricle to contrast-enhancing tumor border was a positive prognostic factor for survival in elderly patients, but less so in younger patients.

Conclusions

Central tumor location was associated with worse prognosis. Distance from center of the third ventricle to contrast-enhancing tumor border may be a pragmatic prognostic factor in elderly patients.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00701-021-04802-6.

The histological representativeness of glioblastoma tissue samples

Background

Glioblastomas (GBMs) are known for having a vastly heterogenous histopathology. Several studies have shown that GBMs can be histologically undergraded due to sampling errors of small tissue samples. We sought to explore to what extent histological features in GBMs are dependent on the amount of viable tissue on routine slides from both biopsied and resected tumors.

Methods

In 106 newly diagnosed GBM patients, we investigated associations between the presence or degree of 24 histopathological and two immunohistochemical features and the tissue amount on hematoxylin-eosin (HE) slides. The amount of viable tissue was semiquantitatively categorized as “sparse,” “medium,” or “substantial” for each case. Tissue amount was also assessed for associations with MRI volumetrics and the type of surgical procedure.

Results

About half (46%) of the assessed histological and immunohistochemical features were significantly associated with tissue amount. The significant features were less present or of a lesser degree when the tissue amount was smaller. Among the significant features were most of the features relevant for diffuse astrocytic tumor grading, i.e., small necroses, palisades, microvascular proliferation, atypia, mitotic count, and Ki-67/MIB-1 proliferative index (PI).

Conclusion

A substantial proportion of the assessed histological features were at risk of being underrepresented when the amount of viable tissue on HE slides was limited. Most of the grading features were dependent on tissue amount, which underlines the importance of considering sampling errors in diffuse astrocytic tumor grading. Our findings also highlight the importance of adequate tissue collection to increase the quality of diagnostics and histological research.

MGMT Promoter Methylation Status Is Not Related to Histological or Radiological Features in IDH Wild-type Glioblastomas

O6-methylguanine DNA methyltransferase (MGMT) promoter methylation is an important favorable predictive marker in patients with glioblastoma (GBM). We hypothesized that MGMT status could be a surrogate marker of pretreatment tumor biology observed as histopathological and radiological features. Apart from some radiological studies aiming to noninvasively predict the MGMT status, few studies have investigated relationships between MGMT status and phenotypical tumor biology. We have therefore aimed to investigate such relationships in 85 isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH) wild-type GBMs. MGMT status was determined by methylation-specific PCR and was assessed for associations with 22 histopathological features, immunohistochemical proliferative index and microvessel density measurements, conventional magnetic resonance imaging characteristics, preoperative speed of tumor growth, and overall survival. None of the investigated histological or radiological features were significantly associated with MGMT status. Methylated MGMT status was a significant independent predictor of improved overall survival. In conclusion, our results suggest that MGMT status is not related to the pretreatment phenotypical biology in IDH wild-type GBMs. Furthermore, our findings suggest the survival benefit of MGMT methylated GBMs is not due to an inherently less aggressive tumor biology, and that conventional magnetic resonance imaging features cannot be used to noninvasively predict the MGMT status.

Association of tumor growth rates with molecular biomarker status: a longitudinal study of high-grade glioma

To determine the association of molecular biomarkers with tumor growth in patients with high-grade gliomas (HGGs), the tumor growth rates and molecular biomarker status in 109 patients with HGGs were evaluated. Mean tumor diameter was assessed on at least two pre-surgical T₂-weighted and contrast-enhancement T_1-weighted magnetic resonance images (MRIs). Tumor growth rates were calculated based on tumor volume and diameter using various methods. The association of biomarkers with increased or decreased tumor growth was calculated using linear mixed-effects models. HGGs exhibited rapid growth rates, with an equivalent volume doubling time of 63.4 days and an equivalent velocity of diameter expansion of 51.6 mm/year. The WHO grade was an independent clinical factor of eVDEs. TERT promoter mutation C250T and MGMT promoter methylation was significantly associated with tumor growth in univariable analysis but not in multivariable analysis. Molecular groups of IDH1, TERT, and 1p/19q and IDH1 and MGMT were independently associated with tumor growth. In addition, tumor enhanced area had a faster growth rate than a tumor entity in incomplete enhanced HGGs (p = 0.006). Our findings provide crucial information for the prediction of preoperative tumor growth in HGGs, and aided in the decision making for aggressive resection and adjuvant treatment strategies.

Advancements in predicting outcomes in patients with glioma: a surgical perspective

Introduction: Diffuse glioma is a challenging neurosurgical entity. Although surgery does not provide a cure, it may greatly influence survival, brain function, and quality of life. Surgical treatment is by nature highly personalized and outcome prediction is very complex. To engage and succeed in this balancing act it is important to make best use of the information available to the neurosurgeon.Areas covered: This narrative review provides an update on advancements in predicting outcomes in patients with glioma that are relevant to neurosurgeons.Expert opinion: The classical 'gut feeling' is notoriously unreliable and better prediction strategies for patients with glioma are warranted. There are numerous tools readily available for the neurosurgeon in predicting tumor biology and survival. Predicting extent of resection, functional outcome, and quality of life remains difficult. Although machine-learning approaches are currently not readily available in daily clinical practice, there are several ongoing efforts with the use of big data sets that are likely to create new prediction models and refine the existing models.

Does preoperative health-related quality of life predict survival in high-grade glioma patients? - a prospective study

Purpose: To explore if preoperative patient-reported health-related quality of life (HRQoL) provides additional prognostic value as a supplement to other preoperatively known clinical factors in patients with high-grade glioma (HGG).Methods: In a prospective explorative study, 114 patients with high-grade glioma were included. The participants completed the generic HRQoL questionnaire EQ-5D 3L, and the disease-specific questionnaires EORTC QLQ-C30 and EORTC QLQ-BN20 1-3 days before surgery. Operating neurosurgeons scored the patient's preoperative functional level by using Karnofsky Performance Status (KPS). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to identify HRQoL domains that were associated with survival. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Log-rank tests were used to visualize differences in survival between groups.Results: In addition to preoperative KPS and age, the EORTC QLQ-BN20 subdomains 'seizures' (HR 0.98, p < .006), 'itchy skin' (HR 1.01, p < .036) and 'bladder control' (HR 1.01, p < .023) were statistically significant independent predictors of survival in a multivariate cox model.Conclusions: Our results suggest that in patients with HGG, certain preoperative symptom scales within EORTC QLQ-BN20 may provide additional prognostic information to supplement other clinical prognostic factors. However, further studies are required to validate our findings. Overall the instruments EQ-5D 3L and EORTC QLQ-C30 do not seem to provide much additional valuable prognostic information to already known prognostic factors.

Microglia and macrophages in human glioblastomas: A morphological and immunohistochemical study

Glioblastomas (GBMs), a type of highly malignant brain tumour, contain various macrophages/microglia that are known as tumour-associated macrophages (TAMs). These TAMs have various roles in tumour biology. Histopathological aspects of TAMs and associations with tumour growth assessed by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) are poorly described. In the present study, 16 patients that had sufficient tumour tissue and histological hallmarks were examined. The tumours were classified as either slow- (n=7) or fast-growing (n=9) based on the segmented tumour volumes from MRI scans taken at diagnosis and preoperatively. Using cluster of differentiation (CD)68 and ionized calcium-binding adaptor molecule 1 (Iba1) antibodies, the number, morphology, localization and distribution of TAMs in the GBM tissue were studied. TAMs were significantly more immunoreactive for anti-Iba1 (TAMs^Iba1) compared with anti-CD68 (TAMs^CD68; P<0.001). In central tumour areas and around vessels in the infiltration zone there were more TAMs^CD68 in slow-growing tumours (P=0.003 and P=0.025, respectively). Central tumour areas contained more TAMs compared with the infiltration zone (P=0.001 for TAMs^CD68 and P<0.001 for TAMs^Iba1). The majority of TAMs exhibited a ramified phenotype in the infiltration zone, whereas central TAMs were mostly amoeboid. TAMs were present in high numbers in most regions of the tumour, whereas there were few in necrotic areas. In conclusion, the present study demonstrated and confirmed that the high numbers of TAMs in GBMs assume a range of morphologies consistent with various activation states, and that slow-growing GBMs seem to contain a TAM-population different to their fast-growing counterparts.

Angiogenesis and radiological tumor growth in patients with glioblastoma

BACKGROUND

The preoperative growth of human glioblastomas (GBMs) has been shown to vary among patients. In animal studies, angiogenesis has been linked to hypoxia and faster growth of GBM, however, its relation to the growth of human GBMs is sparsely studied. We have therefore aimed to look for associations between radiological speed of growth and microvessel density (MVD) counts of the endothelial markers vWF (Factor VIII related antigen) and CD105 (endoglin).

METHODS

Preoperative growth was estimated from segmented tumor volumes of two preoperative T1-weighted postcontrast magnetic resonance imaging scans taken ≥14 days apart in patients with newly diagnosed GBMs. A Gompertzian growth curve was computed from the volume data and separated the patients into two groups of either faster or slower tumor growth than expected. MVD counts of the immunohistochemical markers von Willebrand factor (vWF) (a pan-endothelial marker) and CD105 (a marker of proliferating endothelial cells) were assessed for associations with fast-growing tumors using Mann-Whitney U tests and a multivariable binary logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

We found that only CD105-MVD was significantly associated with faster growth in a univariable analysis (p = 0.049). However, CD105-MVD was no longer significant when corrected for the presence of thromboses and high cellular density in a multivariable model, where the latter features were significant independent predictors of faster growth with respective odds ratios 4.2 (95% confidence interval, 1.2, 14.3), p = 0.021 and 2.6 (95% confidence interval, 1.0, 6.5), p = 0.048.

CONCLUSIONS

MVDs of neither endothelial marker were independently associated with faster growth, suggesting angiogenesis-independent processes contribute to faster glioblastoma growth.

When did the glioblastoma start growing, and how much time can be gained from surgical resection? A model based on the pattern of glioblastoma growth in vivo

OBJECTIVES

Observational data on the natural course of tumor growth in humans is sparse, and mathematical models of tumor growth are often needed to answer questions related to growth. In this study, a theoretical model of glioblastoma growth was used to investigate two questions often asked by patients and clinicians. First, when did the tumor start growing? Second, how much survival time can be gained from various extents of surgical resection (EOR)?.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A gompertzian growth curve was fitted from observational data of pre-treatment growth from 106 glioblastoma patients based on repeated volume segmentations. The curve was used to find the theoretical time since tumor initiation. In addition, as a proxy for the potential survival gain from surgery, the number of days until re-growth would reach the preoperative tumor volume were calculated for different extents of resection.

RESULTS

The estimated age of the glioblastomas at diagnosis was median 330 days, but ranging from 156 days to 776 days, depending on the tumor volume at diagnosis. The median survival gains from 50%, 75%, 90%, 95% and 99% EOR were, 1.4, 2.5, 3.6, 4.3, and 5.6 months, respectively. However, survival benefit from surgery also depends on lesion volume. In theory, 100 days may be gained from 95% EOR in a 10 mL lesion or a 50% EOR in a 90 ml lesion.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, we postulate that glioblastoma might originate median 330 days before the diagnosis, assuming the same growth pattern and biology from day one. The theoretical survival benefit of glioblastoma resection is much higher with higher EORs, suggesting that the last milliliters of resection matter the most. Our data also suggest that gain from resection is higher in larger lesions, suggesting that lesion volume may be taken into account in clinical decision-making.

Histopathologic Features in Relation to Pretreatment Tumor Growth in Patients with Glioblastoma

BACKGROUND

Rapid growth is a well-known property of glioblastoma (GBM); however, growth rates vary among patients. Mechanisms behind such variation have not been widely studied in human patients. We sought to investigate relationships between histopathologic features and tumor growth estimated from pretreatment magnetic resonance imaging scans.

METHODS

In 106 patients with GBM, 2 preoperative T1-weighted magnetic resonance imaging scans obtained at least 14 days apart were segmented to assess tumor growth. A fitted Gompertzian growth curve based on the segmented volumes divided the tumors into 2 groups: faster and slower growth than expected based on the initial tumor volume. Histopathologic features were investigated for associations with these groups, using univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses.

RESULTS

The presence of high cellular density and thromboses was significantly associated with radiologic growth in the multivariable analysis (P = 0.018 and 0.019, respectively), with respective odds ratios of 3.0 (95% confidence interval, 1.2-7.4) and 4.3 (95% confidence interval, 1.3-14.5) for faster growing tumors.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings show that high cellular density and thromboses are significant independent predictors of faster growth in human GBM. This finding underlines the importance of hypercellularity as a criterion in glioma grading. Furthermore, our findings are concordant with hypotheses suggesting hypoxia triggered by thromboses to be relevant for growth of GBM.