Mortality after Spontaneous Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: Causality and Validation of a Prediction Model

Integrating Endovascular Techniques into Established Open Neurosurgery Practice: A Temporal Analysis of Treatment Evolution in a Dual-Trained Neurosurgical Unit

OBJETIVE

In Europe, units with Dual-trained Neurovascular Surgeons (DTNS) skilled in both open neurosurgery (ON) and endovascular neurosurgery (EN) are scarce. For instance, in Spain, our unit is unique within the public health system, where all neurovascular procedures are carried out by DTNS. Our study aims to evaluate the evolution in treating ruptured intracranial aneurysms (rICAs) and assess the impact of this evolution on clinical outcomes.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was performed on rICAs treated in our unit from October 2012 to June 2023. We reviewed clinical and radiological data to analyze the evolution of ON and EN over time, as well as their impact on patient outcomes. Univariate, multivariate, and mixed-effects models were utilized to discern temporal changes.

RESULTS

The modified Fisher Scale (mFS) and the modified World Federation of Neurological Surgeons scale (mWFNS) showed strong correlation with the outcome at 6 months outcomes, both with p < 0.00001. However, the surgical intervention method, ON versus EN, did not significantly affect outcomes (p > 0.85). In adjusted multivariate logistic regression, mFS (-1.579, p: 0.011) and mWFNS (-0.872, p < 0.001) maintained their significance. rICAs location was significant when comparing ON to EN p = 0.0001. A significant temporal trend favored the selection of EN p = 0.0058). Mixed-effects time series modeling indicated that while patient characteristics and rICA specifics did not predict treatment choice, the year of treatment was significantly correlated (0.161, p = 0.002). Logistic regression with interaction terms for time and treatment type did not produce significant results.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that despite an increased adoption of EN techniques, there has been no change in patient outcomes. Even with the rise of EN, our unit continues to perform ON for a higher proportion of rICAs than most national hospitals. We propose that a "dual approach" offers advantages in a patient individualized treatment decision protocol in the European context.

Modafinil Therapy and Mental Status Following Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: Comprehensive Stroke Center Analysis

BACKGROUND

Disorders of consciousness impair early recovery after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). Modafinil, a wakefulness-promoting agent, is efficacious for treating fatigue in stroke survivors, but data pertaining to its use in the acute setting are scarce. This study sought to assess the effects of modafinil use on mental status after aSAH.

METHODS

Modafinil timing and dosage, neurological examination, intubation status, and physical and occupational therapy participation were documented. Repeated-measures paired tests were used for a before-after analysis of modafinil recipients. Propensity score matching (1:1 nearest neighbor) for modafinil and no-modafinil cohorts was used to compare outcomes.

RESULTS

Modafinil (100-200 mg/day) was administered to 21% (88/422) of aSAH patients for a median (IQR) duration of 10.5 (4-16) days and initiated 14 (7-17) days after aSAH. Improvement in mentation (alertness, orientation, or Glasgow Coma Scale score) was documented in 87.5% (77/88) of modafinil recipients within 72 hours and 86.4% (76/88) at discharge. Of 37 intubated patients, 10 (27%) were extubated within 72 hours after modafinil initiation. Physical and occupational therapy teams noted increased alertness or participation in 47 of 56 modafinil patients (83.9%). After propensity score matching for baseline covariates, the modafinil cohort had a greater mean (SD) change in Glasgow Coma Scale score than the no-modafinil cohort at discharge (2.2 [4.0] vs. -0.2 [6.32], P = 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

A temporal relationship with improvement in mental status was noted for most patients administered modafinil after aSAH. These findings, a favorable adverse-effect profile, and implications for goals-of-care decisions favor a low threshold for modafinil initiation in aSAH patients in the acute-care setting.

Predictor role of heart rate variability in subarachnoid hemorrhage: A systematic review

Background- Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is one of the most devastating diseases with a high rate of morbidity and mortality. The heart rate variability (HRV) is a non-invasive method of monitoring various components of the autonomic nervous system activity that can be utilized to delineate autonomic dysfunctions associated with various physiological and pathological conditions. The reliability of HRV as a predictor of clinical outcome in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is not yet well investigated in literature. Methods- A systematic review and in depth analysis of 10 articles on early HRV changes in SAH patients was performed. Results- This systematic review demonstrates a correlation between early changes in HRV indices (time and frequency domain) and the development of neuro-cardiogenic complications and poor neurologic outcome in patients with SAH. Conclusions- A correlation between absolute values or changes of the LF/HF ratio and neurologic and cardiovascular complications was found in multiple studies. Because of significant limitations of included studies, a large prospective study with proper handling of confounders is needed to generate high-quality recommendations regarding HRV as a predictor of post SAH complications and poor neurologic outcome.

Current Smoking Status Is Not a Risk Factor for Perioperative Outcomes in Patients with Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Who Underwent Craniotomy Repair

BACKGROUND

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage is a rupture leading to blood accumulating in the subarachnoid region. Smoking status is often a risk factor for postoperative complications for vascular procedures. This study aims to retrospectively examine the effect of being a current tobacco smoker on postoperative outcomes in patients with nontraumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage.

METHODS

Patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage who underwent craniotomy were identified in the American College of Surgeons-National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database. The 30-day perioperative outcomes of current smokers were compared with those of control individuals, who were patients who had not smoked tobacco in the past year. Postoperative outcomes included death, cardiac complications, stroke, operation time >4 hours, bleeding, and other events. In addition, this study examined the same surgical outcomes in patients older than 65 years.

RESULTS

We found no significant difference between these 2 groups across all adverse outcomes analyzed. In patients aged >65 years, we again found no significant differences between these 2 groups across all adverse outcomes analyzed.

CONCLUSIONS

This study shows that although current tobacco smoker status is commonly a risk factor for vascular diseases and postoperative complications, it is not a risk factor for the postoperative variables that we analyzed during craniotomy for aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. Additional research should be conducted to determine if different procedures to treat aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage may have different outcomes among smokers.

Depression screening in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage and their caregivers: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Depression commonly occurs after aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (aSAH) which can negatively impact patients and their caregivers. Identification and validation of depression screening instruments specifically for patients with aSAH and their caregivers has not been performed.

OBJECTIVES

The objectives of this study were to identify the common depression screening tools in patients with aSAH and their caregivers and to determine if they are validated for use in these populations.

METHODS

Medical Subject Headings and keyword search terms were used in five electronic databases to identify randomised controlled, quasi-experimental and observational studies published between 1 January 2010 and 26 June 2022. Screening, data extraction and study quality assessments were conducted by two independent reviewers.

RESULTS

Of the 3440 identified studies, 61 met inclusion, with 2 of 61 (3%) RCTs, 2 of 61 (3%) quasi-experimental, and 57 of 61 (93%) observational studies included. The majority of studies (58/61 [95%]) reported patient-only depression screening, 1 of 61 (2%) reported both patients' and caregivers' depression screening, and 2 of 61 (3%) reported caregiver-only depression screening. Nine depression screening instruments were identified. The Beck Depression Inventory-II (BDI-II) was the most commonly used (13/59; 22%), followed by the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS) (12/59; 20%). In the ischaemic stroke population, the BDI-II was reported to have excellent sensitivity (0.85) and specificity (0.75); the HADS was also found to have good sensitivity (0.62) and specificity (0.83) in the ischaemic stroke population. Only two depression screening instruments for caregivers were identified: HADS and Goldberg Depression Scale. Both were found to have good sensitivity (>0.80) and specificity (>0.80) in the general population.

CONCLUSION

The BDI-II and HADS were the most commonly used depression screening instruments in patients with aSAH. Neither of these instruments has been specifically validated in an aSAH population. None of the nine depression instruments were validated for patients with aSAH. Due to an insufficient number of studies in caregivers' population, validity was unable to be determined.

Artificial Intelligence and Neurosurgery: Tracking Antiplatelet Response Patterns for Endovascular Intervention

Platelets play a critical role in blood clotting and the development of arterial blockages. Antiplatelet therapy is vital for preventing recurring events in conditions like coronary artery disease and strokes. However, there is a lack of comprehensive guidelines for using antiplatelet agents in elective neurosurgery. Continuing therapy during surgery poses a bleeding risk, while discontinuing it before surgery increases the risk of thrombosis. Discontinuation is recommended in neurosurgical settings but carries an elevated risk of ischemic events. Conversely, maintaining antithrombotic therapy may increase bleeding and the need for transfusions, leading to a poor prognosis. Artificial intelligence (AI) holds promise in making difficult decisions regarding antiplatelet therapy. This paper discusses current clinical guidelines and supported regimens for antiplatelet therapy in neurosurgery. It also explores methodologies like P2Y12 reaction units (PRU) monitoring and thromboelastography (TEG) mapping for monitoring the use of antiplatelet regimens as well as their limitations. The paper explores the potential of AI to overcome such limitations associated with PRU monitoring and TEG mapping. It highlights various studies in the field of cardiovascular and neuroendovascular surgery which use AI prediction models to forecast adverse outcomes such as ischemia and bleeding, offering assistance in decision-making for antiplatelet therapy. In addition, the use of AI to improve patient adherence to antiplatelet regimens is also considered. Overall, this research aims to provide insights into the use of antiplatelet therapy and the role of AI in optimizing treatment plans in neurosurgical settings.

Systemic innate myeloid responses to acute ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke

Acute ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke account for significant disability and morbidity burdens worldwide. The myeloid arm of the peripheral innate immune system is critical in the immunological response to acute ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke. Neutrophils, monocytes, and dendritic cells (DC) contribute to the evolution of pathogenic local and systemic inflammation, whilst maintaining a critical role in ongoing immunity protecting against secondary infections. This review aims to summarise the key alterations to myeloid immunity in acute ischaemic stroke, intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH), and subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH). By integrating clinical and preclinical research, we discover how myeloid immunity is affected across multiple organ systems including the brain, blood, bone marrow, spleen, and lung, and evaluate how these perturbations associate with real-world outcomes including infection. These findings are placed in the context of the rapidly developing field of human immunology, which offers a wealth of opportunity for further research.

Socioeconomic Drivers of Outcomes After Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Treatment at a Large Comprehensive Stroke Center

BACKGROUND

Sparse data exist on socioeconomic disparities among patients treated for aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). The authors analyzed factors possibly influencing patient outcomes, including having a primary care physician (PCP) at admission, family/caregiver support, a foreign language barrier, primary payer status, and race.

METHODS

Socioeconomic data were abstracted for patients treated endovascularly or microsurgically for aSAH at a single center (January 1, 2014-July 31, 2019). Binary logistic regression analyses were used to identify independent predictors of an unfavorable outcome (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] score >2) and for predictive modeling.

RESULTS

Among 422 patients, the median (interquartile range) follow-up was 2 (1-23) months. Lack of caregiver support was the only socioeconomic factor associated with an unfavorable outcome at discharge. Independent predictors of mRS score >2 at last follow-up included baseline markers of disease severity (P ≤ 0.03), nonwhite race (OR, 1.69; P = 0.047), lack of caregiver support (OR, 5.55; P = 0.007), and lack of a PCP (OR, 1.96; P = 0.007). Adjusting for follow-up mediated the effects of race and PCP, although caregiver support remained significant and PCP was associated with a lower mortality risk independent of follow-up (OR, 0.51; P = 0.047). Predischarge socioeconomic factors, alongside disease severity, predicted a follow-up mRS score >2 with excellent discrimination (area under the receiver operating curve, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.77-0.86).

CONCLUSIONS

At a large, urban, comprehensive stroke center, patients with PCPs, caregiver support, and white race had significantly better long-term outcomes after aSAH. These results reflect disparities in access to healthcare after aSAH for vulnerable populations with extensive lifetime needs.

Predictive validity of the prognosis on admission aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage scale for the outcome of patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage

This multicentre prospective cohort study aimed to compare the accuracy of the PAASH, WFNS, and Hunt and Hess (H&H) scales in predicting the outcomes of adult patients with aneurysmal SAH presented to three central hospitals in Hanoi, Vietnam, from August 2019 to June 2021. Of 415 eligible patients, 32.0% had a 90-day poor outcome, defined as an mRS score of 4 (moderately severe disability) to 6 (death). The PAASH, WFNS and H&H scales all have good discriminatory abilities for predicting the 90-day poor outcome. There were significant differences in the 90-day mean mRS scores between grades I and II (p = 0.001) and grades II and III (p = 0.001) of the PAASH scale, between grades IV and V (p = 0.026) of the WFNS scale, and between grades IV and V (p < 0.001) of the H&H scale. In contrast to a WFNS grade of IV-V and an H&H grade of IV-V, a PAASH grade of III-V was an independent predictor of the 90-day poor outcome. Because of the more clearly significant difference between the outcomes of the adjacent grades and the more strong effect size for predicting poor outcomes, the PAASH scale was preferable to the WFNS and H&H scales.

Incidence and Prediction of Chronic Depression Following Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: A Single-Center 17-Year Experience

OBJECTIVE

The incidence and risk factors for chronic depression after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) are described.

METHODS

Patients with aSAH treated at a single institution (January 1, 2003-December 31, 2019) and a modified Rankin Scale score ≤3 at follow-up who were evaluated for chronic depression were analyzed. Chronic depression was defined using a depression screening questionnaire as ≥5 positive answers for symptoms lasting >2 weeks. A predictive model was designed for the primary outcome of depression.

RESULTS

Among 1419 patients with aSAH, 460 patients were analyzed; 130 (28%) had major depressive disorder. Mean follow-up was >6 years. Higher depression rates were associated with tobacco smoking (odds ratio [OR] = 2.64, P < 0.001), illicit drug use (OR = 2.35, P = 0.007), alcohol use disorder (1.92, P = 0.04), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (OR=2.68, P = 0.03), and vasospasm requiring angioplasty (OR=2.09, P = 0.048). The predictive model included tobacco smoking, illicit drug use, liver disease, COPD, diabetes, nonsaccular aneurysm type, anterior communicating artery or anterior cerebral artery aneurysm location, refractory spasm requiring angioplasty, and a modified Rankin Scale score at discharge of >1 (P ≤ 0.03). The model performed with appropriate goodness of fit and an area under the receiver operator curve of 0.70 for depression. Individual independent predictors of depression were tobacco smoking, COPD, diabetes, and nonsaccular aneurysm.

CONCLUSIONS

A substantial percentage of patients had symptoms of depression on follow-up. The proposed predictive model for depression may be a useful clinical tool to identify patients at high risk for developing depression who warrant early screening and evaluation.

Racial differences in time to blood pressure control of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage patients: A single-institution study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage occurs in approximately 30,000 patients annually in the United States. Uncontrolled blood pressure is a major risk factor for aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. Clinical guidelines recommend maintaining blood pressure control until definitive aneurysm securement occurs. It is unknown whether racial differences exist regarding blood pressure control and outcomes (HLOS, discharge disposition) in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. Here, we aim to assess whether racial differences exist in 1) presentation, 2) clinical course, and 3) outcomes, including time to blood pressure stabilization, for aSAH patients at a large tertiary care medical center.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective review of adult aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage cases from 2013 to 2019 at a single large tertiary medical center. Data extracted from the medical record included sex, age, race, insurance status, aneurysm location, aneurysm treatment, initial systolic and diastolic blood pressure, Hunt Hess grade, modified Fisher score, time to blood pressure control (defined as time in minutes from first blood pressure measurement to the first of three consecutive systolic blood pressure measurements under 140mmHg), hospital length of stay, and final discharge disposition.

RESULTS

194 patients met inclusion criteria; 140 (72%) White and 54 (28%) Black. While White patients were more likely than Black patients to be privately insured (62.1% versus 33.3%, p < 0.001), Black patients were more likely than White patients to have Medicaid (55.6% versus 15.0%, p < 0.001). Compared to White patients, Black patients presented with a higher median systolic (165 mmHg versus 148 mmHg, p = 0.004) and diastolic (93 mmHg versus 84 mmHg, p = 0.02) blood pressure. Black patients had a longer median time to blood pressure control than White patients (200 minutes versus 90 minutes, p = 0.001). Black patients had a shorter median hospital length of stay than White patients (15 days versus 18 days, p < 0.031). There was a small but statistically significant difference in modified Fisher score between black and white patients (3.48 versus 3.17, p = 0.04).There were no significant racial differences present in sex, Hunt Hess grade, discharge disposition, complications, or need for further interventions.

CONCLUSION

Black race was associated with higher blood pressure at presentation, longer time to blood pressure control, but shorter hospital length of stay. No racial differences were present in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage associated complications or interventions.

Incidental vascular findings on brain magnetic resonance angiography

Given the ever-increasing utilization of magnetic resonance angiography, incidental vascular findings are increasingly discovered on exams performed for unconnected indications. Some incidental lesions represent pathology and require further intervention and surveillance, such as aneurysm, certain vascular malformations, and arterial stenoses or occlusions. Others are benign or represent normal anatomic variation, and may warrant description, but not further work-up. This review describes the most commonly encountered incidental findings on magnetic resonance angiography, their prevalence, clinical implications, and any available management recommendations.

The value of comorbidities and illness severity scores as prognostic tools for early outcome estimation in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is a severe cerebrovascular disease not only causing brain injury but also frequently inducing a significant systemic reaction affecting multiple organ systems. In addition to hemorrhage severity, comorbidities and acute extracerebral organ dysfunction may impact the prognosis after aSAH as well. The study objective was to assess the value of illness severity scores for early outcome estimation after aSAH. A retrospective analysis of consecutive aSAH patients treated from 2012 to 2020 was performed. Comorbidities were evaluated applying the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) and the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification. Organ dysfunction was assessed by calculating the simplified acute physiology score (SAPS II) 24 h after admission. Modified Rankin scale (mRS) at 3 months was documented. The outcome discrimination power was evaluated. A total of 315 patients were analyzed. Significant comorbidities (CCI > 3) and physical performance impairment (ASA > 3) were found in 15% and 12% of all patients, respectively. The best outcome discrimination power showed SAPS II (AUC 0.76), whereas ASA (AUC 0.65) and CCI (AUC 0.64) exhibited lower discrimination power. A SAPS II cutoff of 40 could reliably discriminate patients with good (mRS ≤ 3) from those with poor outcome (p < 0.0001). Calculation of SAPS II allowed a comprehensive depiction of acute organ dysfunctions and facilitated a reliable early prognosis estimation in our study. In direct comparison to CCI and ASA, SAPS II demonstrated the highest discrimination power and deserves a consideration as a prognostic tool after aSAH.

Admission rate-pressure product as an early predictor for in-hospital mortality after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

Early prediction of in-hospital mortality in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is essential for the optimal management of these patients. Recently, a retrospective cohort observation has reported that the rate-pressure product (RPP, the product of systolic blood pressure and heart rate), an objective and easily calculated bedside index of cardiac hemodynamics, was predictively associated with in-hospital mortality following traumatic brain injury. We thus wondered whether this finding could also be generalized to aSAH patients. The current study aimed to examine the association of RPP at the time of emergency room (ER) admission with in-hospital mortality and its predictive performance among aSAH patients. We retrospectively included 515 aSAH patients who had been admitted to our ER between 2016 and 2020. Their baseline heart rate and systolic blood pressure at ER presentation were extracted for the calculation of the admission RPP. Meanwhile, we collected relevant clinical, laboratory, and neuroimaging data. Then, these data including the admission RPP were examined by univariate and multivariate analyses to identify independent predictors of hospital mortality. Eventually, continuous and ordinal variables were selected from those independent predictors, and the performance of these selected predictors was further evaluated and compared based on receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyzes. We identified both low (< 10,000; adjusted odds ratio (OR) 3.49, 95% CI 1.93-6.29, p < 0.001) and high (> 15,000; adjusted OR 8.42, 95% CI 4.16-17.06, p < 0.001) RPP on ER admission to be independently associated with in-hospital mortality after aSAH. Furthermore, after centering the admission RPP by its median, the area under its ROC curve (0.761, 95% CI 0.722-0.798, p < 0.001) was found to be statistically superior to any of the other independent predictors included in the ROC analyzes (all p < 0.01). In light of the predictive superiority of the admission RPP, as well as its objectivity and easy accessibility, it is indeed a potentially more applicable predictor for in-hospital death in aSAH patients.

Impact of obesity and diabetes on postoperative outcomes following surgical treatment of nontraumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage: Analysis of the ACS-NSQIP Database

BACKGROUND

Nontraumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) refers to high pressure extravasation of blood into the subarachnoid space that typically occurs spontaneously from rupture of cerebral aneurysm. The purpose of this study was to identify postoperative complications requiring increased surveillance in obese, diabetic, and hypertensive patients.

METHODS

Patients who underwent surgical treatment for nontraumatic SAH were queried in the American College of Surgeons National Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database from the years 2012-2018. Cases were identified using ICD codes and then classified independently by three dichotomous diagnoses: obesity, diabetes, and hypertension.

RESULTS

Among 1,002 patients meeting inclusion criteria, 311 (31%) were obese (BMI >30), 86 (9%) had diabetes treated with insulin or non-insulin agents and 409 (41%) required medication for hypertension. There was a statistically significant association between diabetes and post-operative pneumonia (OR = 1.694; 95% CI 0.995 - 2.883; p = 0.050), prolonged ventilator dependence (OR = 1.700; 95% CI 1.087 - 2.661; p = 0.019), and death (OR = 1.846; 95% CI 1.071 - 3.179; p = 0.025). Medicationdependent hypertension was statistically associated with incidence of stroke/CVA (OR = 1.763; 95% CI 1.056 - 2.943; p = 0.023). Obesity was not associated with adverse outcomes in this population.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients undergoing surgical management of SAH, hypertensive and diabetic patients had poorer outcomes, including prolonged ventilator dependence, pneumonia, stroke/CVA, and death. Surprisingly, preexisting obesity was not associated with poor outcomes. In fact, overweight BMI, Class I, and Class II obesity had decreased need for transfusion in the 30-day postoperative period.

Elevated Serum Leukocytes are Predictive of Cardiac Injury Following Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

OBJECTIVES

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) accounts for 5% of strokes but results in significant morbidity and mortality. In addition to systemic inflammation, up to half of patients develop cardiac injury; however, the relationship between systemic inflammation and cardiac injury after aSAH is unknown. We investigated changes in leukocyte counts in relation to cardiac dysfunction MATERIALS AND METHODS: We reviewed the records of consecutive patients with SAH at our large academic medical referral center. The inclusion criteria were aSAH and available cardiac troponin I (cTnI) levels within 48 h of admission. The primary outcome was cardiac injury, defined as cTnI ≥0.04 ng/mL (lab reference range 0.01-0.03 ng/mL). We compared baseline characteristics, including serum leukocyte counts and performed univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis to determine whether changes in leukocyte subpopulations predict cardiac injury.

RESULTS

Of 288 SAH patients, 250 met inclusion criteria. Of these, 116 (46.4%) had elevated cTnI. In univariable analysis, total leukocyte count (p < 0.001), absolute neutrophil count (ANC, p < 0.001), and absolute monocyte count (p = 0.013), were associated with elevated cTnI. in multivariable analysis, total leukocyte count (OR=1.079, p = 0.037) and ANC (OR=1.081, p = 0.044) remained predictors of elevated cTnI. Adjusted ANC distinguishes between aSAH patients with normal and elevated TnI (area under the curve=0.766, p < 0.001) with specificity of 89.2%.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated total leukocytes and ANC are independently associated with cardiac injury in aSAH. Systemic inflammatory responses after aSAH may play a role in cardiac dysfunction, warranting additional studies to further characterize how cardiac inflammation after aSAH drives subsequent morbidity and mortality.

Diagnosis and Risk Factors for Intracranial Aneurysms in Autosomal Polycystic Kidney Disease: A cross-sectional study from the Genkyst Cohort

BACKGROUND

Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is associated with an increased risk for developing intracranial aneurysms (IAs). We aimed to evaluate the frequency of diagnosis of IAs in the cross-sectional, population-based, Genkyst cohort, to describe ADPKD-associated IAs and to analyze the risk factors associated with the occurrence of IAs in ADPKD patients.

METHODS

Cross-sectional study performed in 26 nephrology centers from the Western part of France. All patients underwent genetic testing for PKD1/PKD2 and other cystogenes.

RESULTS

Among the 2449 Genkyst participants, 114 (4.65%) had a previous diagnosis of ruptured or unruptured IAs at inclusion, and ∼47% of them had a positive familial history for IAs. Most aneurysms were small and saccular and located in the anterior circulation; 26.3% of the patients had multiple IAs. The cumulative probabilities of a previous diagnosis of IAs were 3.9, 6.2 and 8.1% at 50, 60 and 70 y, respectively. While this risk appeared to be similar in male and female individuals <50 y, after that age, the risk continued to increase more markedly in female patients, reaching 10.8% vs 5.4% at 70 y. The diagnosis rate of IAs was more than twofold higher in PKD1 compared to PKD2 with no influence of PKD1 mutation type or location. In multivariate analysis, female sex, hypertension <35 y, smoking and PKD1 genotype were associated with an increased risk for diagnosis of IAs.

CONCLUSIONS

This study presents epidemiological data reflecting real-life clinical practice. The increased risk for IAs in postmenopausal women suggests a possible protective role of estrogen.

Mortality among patients treated for aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage in Eastern Denmark 2017-2019

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to investigate (1) the 30-day, 3-month, and 12-month cumulative mortalities for patients who underwent aneurysm occlusion, and (2) the causes of death, and (3) the potential risk factors for death.

METHODS

All patients who underwent surgical clipping or endovascular treatment of a ruptured aneurysm at Copenhagen University Hospital, during the period of January 1, 2017-December 31, 2019, were included and followed up for 12 months. Data regarding vital status, causes of death, comorbidities, treatment, and clinical presentations on admission was collected. The absolute mortality risk was estimated as a function of time with a 95% confidence interval. The associations between potential risk factors and death were estimated as odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals using logistic regression models.

RESULTS

A total of 317 patients were included. The overall cumulative mortalities after 30 days, 3 months, and 12 months were 10.7%, 12.9%, and 16.1%, respectively. The most common cause of death was severe primary hemorrhage (52.9%), followed by infections (15.7%) and rebleeding (11.8%). WFNS score > 3 and Fisher score > 3 on admission, preprocedural hydrocephalus, and preprocedural rebleeding were found significantly associated with higher risk of death.

CONCLUSIONS

Considerable mortality was seen. Possible preventable causes accounted for approximately 22% of the deaths. The occurrence of both pre- and postprocedural rebleeding's indicates an opportunity of further improvement of the mortality by (1) further reduction of time from aSAH to aneurysm occlusion and (2) continuous efforts in improving methods of aneurysm occlusion.

Risk of Re-Rupture, Vasospasm, or Re-Stroke after Clipping or Coiling of Ruptured Intracranial Aneurysms: Long-Term Follow-Up with a Propensity Score-Matched, Population-Based Cohort Study

Scarce evidence is available in Asia for estimating the long-term risk and prognostic factors of major complications such as re-rupture, vasospasm, or re-stroke for patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) undergoing endovascular coil embolization or surgical clipping. This is the first head-to-head propensity score-matched study in an Asian population to demonstrate that endovascular coil embolization for aneurysmal SAH treatment is riskier than surgical clipping in terms of re-rupture, vasospasm, or re-stroke. In addition, the independent poor prognostic factors of vasospasm or re-stroke were endovascular coil embolization, male sex, older age (≥65 years; the risk of vasospasm increases with age), hypertension, congestive heart failure, diabetes, previous transient ischemic attack, or stroke in aneurysmal SAH treatment. Background: To estimate the long-term complications and prognostic factors of endovascular coil embolization or surgical clipping for patients with ruptured aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). Methods: We selected patients diagnosed with aneurysmal SAH between 1 January 2011 and 31 December 2017. Propensity score matching was performed, and Cox proportional hazards model curves were used to analyze the risk of re-rupture, vasospasm, and re-stroke in patients undergoing the different treatments. Findings: Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of re-rupture for endovascular coil embolization compared with surgical clipping was 1.36 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.17–1.57; p < 0.0001). The aHRs of the secondary endpoints of vasospasm and re-stroke (delayed cerebral ischemia) for endovascular coil embolization compared with surgical clipping were 1.14 (1.02–1.27; p = 0.0214) and 2.04 (1.83–2.29; p < 0.0001), respectively. The independent poor prognostic factors for vasospasm and re-stroke were endovascular coil embolization, male sex, older age (≥65 years; risk increases with age), hypertension, congestive heart failure, diabetes, and previous transient ischemic attack or stroke. Interpretation: Endovascular coil embolization for aneurysmal SAH carries a higher risk than surgical clipping of both short- and long-term complications including re-rupture, vasospasm, and re-stroke.

Neurosurgical Admission Later Than 4 h After the Emergency Call Does Not Result in Worse Long-Term Outcome in Subarachnoid Haemorrhage

Background: Few studies have investigated the importance of the time interval between contact to the emergency medical service and neurosurgical admission in patients with spontaneous subarachnoid haemorrhage. We hypothesised that longer time to treatment would be associated with an increased risk of death or early retirement.

Methods: This was a retrospective observational study with 4 years follow-up. Those who reached a neurosurgical department in fewer than 4 h were compared with those who reached it in more than 4 h. Individual level data were merged from the Danish National Patient Register, medical records, the Copenhagen Emergency Medical Dispatch Centre, the Civil Registration System, and the Ministry of Employment and Statistics Denmark. Patients were ≥18 years and had a verified diagnosis of spontaneous subarachnoid haemorrhage. The primary outcome was death or early retirement after 4 years.

Results: Two hundred sixty-two patients admitted within a three-and-a-half-year time period were identified. Data were available in 124 patients, and 61 of them were in their working age. Four-year all-cause mortality was 25.8%. No significant association was found between time to neurosurgical admission and risk of death or early retirement (OR = 0.35, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.10–1.23, p = 0.10).

Conclusion: We did not find an association between the time from emergency telephone call to neurosurgical admission and the risk of death or early retirement.

Methodological quality of multivariate prognostic models for intracranial haemorrhages in intensive care units: a systematic review

OBJECTIVES

Patients with severe spontaneous intracranial haemorrhages, managed in intensive care units, face ethical issues regarding the difficulty of anticipating their recovery. Prognostic tools help clinicians in counselling patients and relatives and guide therapeutic decisions. We aimed to methodologically assess prognostic tools for functional outcomes in severe spontaneous intracranial haemorrhages.

DATA SOURCES

Following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses recommendations, we conducted a systematic review querying Medline, Embase, Web of Science, and the Cochrane in January 2020.

STUDY SELECTION

We included development or validation of multivariate prognostic models for severe intracerebral or subarachnoid haemorrhage.

DATA EXTRACTION

We evaluated the articles following the CHecklist for critical Appraisal and data extraction for systematic Reviews of prediction Modelling Studies and Transparent Reporting of multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis statements to assess the tools' methodological reporting.

RESULTS

Of the 6149 references retrieved, we identified 85 articles eligible. We discarded 43 articles due to the absence of prognostic performance or predictor selection. Among the 42 articles included, 22 did not validate models, 6 developed and validated models and 14 only externally validated models. When adding 11 articles comparing developed models to existing ones, 25 articles externally validated models. We identified methodological pitfalls, notably the lack of adequate validations or insufficient performance levels. We finally retained three scores predicting mortality and unfavourable outcomes: the IntraCerebral Haemorrhages (ICH) score and the max-ICH score for intracerebral haemorrhages, the SubArachnoid Haemorrhage International Trialists score for subarachnoid haemorrhages.

CONCLUSIONS

Although prognostic studies on intracranial haemorrhages abound in the literature, they lack methodological robustness or show incomplete reporting. Rather than developing new scores, future authors should focus on externally validating and updating existing scores with large and recent cohorts.

Clinical characteristics and factors relating to poor outcome in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage in Vietnam: A multicenter prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of risk factors for poor outcomes from aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) varies widely and has not been fully elucidated to date in Vietnam. Understanding the risk and prognosis of aneurysmal SAH is important to reduce poor outcomes in Vietnam. The aim of this study, therefore, was to investigate the rate of poor outcome at 90 days of ictus and associated factors from aneurysmal SAH in the country.

METHODS

We performed a multicenter prospective cohort study of patients (≥18 years) presenting with aneurysmal SAH to three central hospitals in Hanoi, Vietnam, from August 2019 to August 2020. We collected data on the characteristics, management, and outcomes of patients with aneurysmal SAH and compared these data between good (defined as modified Rankin Scale (mRS) of 0 to 3) and poor (mRS, 4-6) outcomes at 90 days of ictus. We assessed factors associated with poor outcomes using logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

Of 168 patients with aneurysmal SAH, 77/168 (45.8%) were men, and the median age was 57 years (IQR: 48-67). Up to 57/168 (33.9%) of these patients had poor outcomes at 90 days of ictus. Most patients underwent sudden-onset and severe headache (87.5%; 147/168) and were transferred from local to participating central hospitals (80.4%, 135/168), over half (57.1%, 92/161) of whom arrived in central hospitals after 24 hours of ictus, and the initial median World Federation of Neurological Surgeons (WFNS) grading score was 2 (IQR: 1-4). Nearly half of the patients (47.0%; 79/168) were treated with endovascular coiling, 37.5% (63/168) were treated with surgical clipping, the remaining patients (15.5%; 26/168) did not receive aneurysm repair, and late rebleeding and delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) occurred in 6.1% (10/164) and 10.4% (17/163) of patients, respectively. An initial WFNS grade of IV (odds ratio, OR: 15.285; 95% confidence interval, CI: 3.096-75.466) and a grade of V (OR: 162.965; 95% CI: 9.975-2662.318) were independently associated with poor outcomes. Additionally, both endovascular coiling (OR: 0.033; 95% CI: 0.005-0.235) and surgical clipping (OR: 0.046; 95% CI: 0.006-0.370) were inversely and independently associated with poor outcome. Late rebleeding (OR: 97.624; 95% CI: 5.653-1686.010) and DCI (OR: 15.209; 95% CI: 2.321-99.673) were also independently associated with poor outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

Improvements are needed in the management of aneurysmal SAH in Vietnam, such as increasing the number of aneurysm repairs, performing earlier aneurysm treatment by surgical clipping or endovascular coiling, and improving both aneurysm repairs and neurocritical care.

Comorbidities and Medical Complications in Hospitalized Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Patients

BACKGROUND

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) remains a devastating condition with a case fatality of 36% at 30 days. Risk factors for mortality in SAH patients include patient demographics and the severity of the neurological injury. Pre-existing conditions and non-neurological medical complications occurring during the index hospitalization are also risk factors for mortality in SAH. The magnitude of the effect on mortality of pre-existing conditions and medical complications, however, is less well understood. In this study, we aim to determine the effect of pre-existing conditions and medical complications on SAH mortality.

METHODS

For a 25% random sample of the Greater Montreal Region, we used discharge abstracts, physician billings, and death certificate records, to identify adult patients with a new diagnosis of non-traumatic SAH who underwent cerebral angiography or surgical clipping of an aneurysm between 1997 and 2014.

RESULTS

The one-year mortality rate was 14.76% (94/637). Having ≥3 pre-existing conditions was associated with increased one-year mortality OR 3.74, 95% CI [1.25, 9.57]. Having 2, or ≥3 medical complications was associated with increased one-year mortality OR, 2.42 [95% CI 1.25-4.69] and OR, 2.69 [95% CI 1.43-5.07], respectively. Sepsis, respiratory failure, and cardiac arrhythmias were associated with increased one-year mortality. Having 1, 2, or ≥3 pre-existing conditions was associated with increased odds of having medical complications in hospital.

CONCLUSIONS

Pre-existing conditions and in-hospital non-neurological medical complications are associated with increased one-year mortality in SAH. Pre-existing conditions are associated with increased medical complications.

Easily Created Prediction Model Using Automated Artificial Intelligence Framework (Prediction One, Sony Network Communications Inc., Tokyo, Japan) for Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Outcomes Treated by Coiling and Delayed Cerebral Ischemia

Introduction Reliable prediction models of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) outcomes and delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) are needed to decide the treatment strategy. Automated artificial intelligence (AutoAI) is attractive, but there are few reports on AutoAI-based models for SAH functional outcomes and DCI. We herein made models using an AutoAI framework, Prediction One (Sony Network Communications Inc., Tokyo, Japan), and compared it to other previous statistical prediction scores. Methods We used an open dataset of 298 SAH patients, who were with non-severe neurological grade and treated by coiling. Modified Rankin Scale 0-3 at six months was defined as a favorable functional outcome and DCI occurrence as another outcome. We randomly divided them into a 248-patient training dataset and a 50-patient test dataset. Prediction One made the model using training dataset with 5-fold cross-validation. We evaluated the model using the test dataset and compared the area under the curves (AUCs) of the created models. Those of the modified SAFIRE score and the Fisher computed tomography (CT) scale to predict the outcomes. Results The AUCs of the AutoAI-based models for functional outcome in the training and test dataset were 0.994 and 0.801, and those for the DCI occurrence were 0.969 and 0.650. AUCs for functional outcome calculated using modified SAFIRE score were 0.844 and 0.892. Those for the DCI occurrence calculated using the Fisher CT scale were 0.577 and 0.544. Conclusions We easily and quickly made AutoAI-based prediction models. The models' AUCs were not inferior to the previous prediction models despite the easiness.

Easily created prediction model using deep learning software (Prediction One, Sony Network Communications Inc.) for subarachnoid hemorrhage outcomes from small dataset at admission

BACKGROUND

Reliable prediction models of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) outcomes are needed for decision-making of the treatment. SAFIRE score using only four variables is a good prediction scoring system. However, making such prediction models needs a large number of samples and time-consuming statistical analysis. Deep learning (DL), one of the artificial intelligence, is attractive, but there were no reports on prediction models for SAH outcomes using DL. We herein made a prediction model using DL software, Prediction One (Sony Network Communications Inc., Tokyo, Japan) and compared it to SAFIRE score.

METHODS

We used 153 consecutive aneurysmal SAH patients data in our hospital between 2012 and 2019. Modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 0-3 at 6 months was defined as a favorable outcome. We randomly divided them into 102 patients training dataset and 51 patients external validation dataset. Prediction one made the prediction model using the training dataset with internal cross-validation. We used both the created model and SAFIRE score to predict the outcomes using the external validation set. The areas under the curve (AUCs) were compared.

RESULTS

The model made by Prediction One using 28 variables had AUC of 0.848, and its AUC for the validation dataset was 0.953 (95%CI 0.900-1.000). AUCs calculated using SAFIRE score were 0.875 for the training dataset and 0.960 for the validation dataset, respectively.

CONCLUSION

We easily and quickly made prediction models using Prediction One, even with a small single-center dataset. The accuracy of the model was not so inferior to those of previous statistically calculated prediction models.

Predicting the Poor Recovery Risk of Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: Clinical Evaluation and Management Based on a New Predictive Nomogram

PURPOSE

To develop and validate a model for identifying the risk factors of poor recovery in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH).

METHODS

A prediction model was developed using training data obtained from 1577 aSAH patients from multiple centers. The patients were followed for 6 months on average and assessed using the modified Rankin Scale; patient information was collected with a prospective case report form. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression were applied to optimize factor selection for the poor recovery risk model. Multivariable logistic regression, incorporating the factors selected in the previous step, was used for model predictions. Predictive ability and clinical effectiveness of the model were evaluated using C-index, receiver operating characteristic curve, and decision curve analysis. Internal validation was performed using the C-index, taking advantage of bootstrapping validation.

RESULTS

The predictors included household income per capita, hypertension, smoking, migraine within a week before onset, Glasgow Coma Scale at admission, average blood pressure at admission, modified Fisher score at admission, treatment method, and complications. Our newly developed model made satisfactory predictions; it had a C-index of 0.796 and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.784. The decision curve analysis showed that the poor recovery nomogram was of clinical benefit when an intervention was decided at a poor recovery threshold between 2% and 50%. Internal validation revealed a C-index of 0.760.

CONCLUSION

Our findings indicate that the novel poor recovery nomogram may be conveniently used for risk prediction in aSAH patients. For patients with intracranial aneurysms, migraine needs to be vigilant. Quitting smoking and blood pressure management are also beneficial.

A Model for Prediction of In-Hospital Mortality in Patients with Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Despite being a rare cause of stroke, spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is associated with high mortality rates. The prediction models that are currently being used on SAH patients are heterogeneous, and few address premature mortality. The aim of this study was to develop a mortality risk stratification score for SAH.

METHODS

A retrospective study was carried out with 536 patients diagnosed with SAH who had been admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) at the University Hospital Complex of A Coruña (Spain) between 2003 and 2013. A multivariate logistic regression model was developed to predict the likelihood of in-hospital mortality, adjusting it exclusively for variables present on admission. A predictive equation of in-hospital mortality was then computed based on the model's coefficients, along with a points-based risk-scoring system. Its discrimination ability was also tested based on the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve and compared with previously developed scores.

RESULTS

The mean age of the patients included in this study was 56.9 ± 14.1 years. Most of these patients (73.9%) had been diagnosed with aneurysmal SAH. Their median length of stay was 7 days in the ICU and 20 days in the general hospital ward, with an overall in-hospital mortality rate of 28.5%. The developed scales included the following admission variables independently associated with in-hospital mortality: coma at onset [odds ratio (OR) = 1.87; p = 0.028], Fisher scale score of 3-4 (OR = 2.27; p = 0.032), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score within the first 24 h (OR = 1.10; p < 0.001), and total Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score on day 0 (OR = 1.19; p = 0.004). Our predictive equation demonstrated better discrimination [area under the curve (AUC) = 0.835] (bootstrap-corrected AUC = 0.831) and calibration properties than those of the HAIR scale (AUC = 0.771; p ≤ 0.001) and the Functional Recovery Expected after Subarachnoid Hemorrhage scale (AUC = 0.814; p = 0.154).

CONCLUSIONS

In addition to the conventional risk factors for in-hospital mortality, in our study, mortality was associated with the presence of coma at onset of the condition, the physiological variables assessed by means of the APACHE II scale within the first 24 h, and the total SOFA score on day 0. A simple prediction model of mortality was developed with novel parameters assessed on admission, which also assessed organ failure and did not require a previous etiological diagnosis.

The burden of headache following aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: a prospective single-center cross-sectional analysis

Background

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) as a serious type of stroke is frequently accompanied by a so-called initial thunderclap headache. However, the occurrence of burdensome long-term headache following SAH has never been studied in detail so far. The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence and characteristics of long-term burdensome headache in good-grade SAH patients as well as its relation to health-related quality of life (HR-QOL).

Methods

All SAH cases treated between January 2014 and December 2016 with preserved consciousness at hospital discharge were prospectively interviewed regarding burdensome headache in 2018. Study participants were subsequently scrutinized by means of a standardized postal survey comprising validated pain and HR-QOL questionnaires. A retrospective chart review provided data on the initial treatment.

Results

A total of 93 out of 145 eligible SAH patients participated in the study (62 females). A total of 41% (38/93) of subjects indicated burdensome headache at follow-up (mean 32.6 ± 9.3 months). Comparison between patients with (HA+) and without long-term headache (HA-) revealed significantly younger mean age (47.9 ± 11.8 vs. 55.6 ± 10.3 years; p < .01) as well as more favorable neurological conditions (WFNS I/II: 95% vs. 75%; p = .03) in HA+ cases. The mean average headache of the HA+ group was 3.7 ± 2.3 (10-point numeric rating scale), and the mean maximum headache intensity was 5.7 ± 2.9. Pain and HR-QOL scores demonstrated profound alterations in HA+ compared to HA- patients.

Conclusions

Our results suggest that a considerable proportion of SAH patients suffers from burdensome headache even years after the hemorrhage. Moreover, long-term headache is associated with reduced HR-QOL in these cases.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00701-020-04235-7) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Milrinone for refractory cerebral vasospasm with delayed cerebral ischemia

OBJECTIVE

Intravenous (IV) milrinone is a promising option for the treatment of cerebral vasospasm with delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). However, data remain limited on the efficacy of treating cases that are refractory to standard therapy with IV milrinone. The aim of this study was to determine predictors of refractory vasospasm/DCI despite treatment with IV milrinone, and to analyze the outcome of rescue therapy with intraarterial (IA) milrinone and/or mechanical angioplasty.

METHODS

The authors conducted a retrospective cohort study of all patients with aSAH admitted between 2010 and 2016 to the Montreal Neurological Institute and Hospital. Patients were stratified into 3 groups: no DCI, standard therapy, and rescue therapy. The primary outcome was frequency of DCI-related cerebral infarction identified on neuroimaging before hospital discharge. Secondary outcomes included functional outcome reported as modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score, and segment reversal of refractory vasospasm.

RESULTS

The cohort included 322 patients: 212 in the no DCI group, 89 in the standard therapy group, and 21 in the rescue therapy group. Approximately half (52%, 168/322) were admitted with poor-grade aSAH at treatment decision (World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies grade III-V). Among patients with DCI and imaging assessing severity of vasospasm, 62% (68/109) had moderate/severe radiological vasospasm on DCI presentation. Nineteen percent (21/110) of patients had refractory vasospasm/DCI and were treated with rescue therapy. Targeted rescue therapy with IA milrinone reversed 32% (29/91) of the refractory vasospastic vessels, and 76% (16/21) of those patients experienced significant improvement in their neurological status within 24 hours of initiating therapy. Moderate/severe radiological vasospasm independently predicted the need for rescue therapy (OR 27, 95% CI 8.01-112). Of patients with neuroimaging before discharge, 40% (112/277) had developed new cerebral infarcts, and only 21% (23/112) of these were vasospasm-related. Overall, 65% (204/314) of patients had a favorable functional outcome (mRS score 0-2) assessed at a median of 4 months (interquartile range 2-8 months) after aSAH, and there was no difference in functional outcome between the 3 groups (p = 0.512).

CONCLUSIONS

The aggressive use of milrinone was safe and effective based on this retrospective study cohort and is a promising therapy for the treatment of vasospasm/DCI after aSAH.

Age as a prognostic factor of 30-day mortality in hemorrhagic stroke patients: A Thai large tertiary care referral center

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the present study was to identify incidences and prognostic factors for 30-day mortality of hemorrhagic strokes (HS) and divide them into intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH).

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study was conducted using medical records of patients who underwent surgery due to HS, between January 2013 and April 2017, at Chiang Mai University Hospital, a large tertiary referral center, in Northern Thailand. 30-day mortality was followed after surgery. Prognostic factors included patients' characteristics, and clinical date related to early death, were determined. Data analysis was performed using Cox's proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

460 patients were enrolled. The 30-day mortality rate was 8.8% and 12.3%, in ICH and SAH patients, respectively. Multivariable analyses demonstrated that the prognostic factors of early mortality in ICH patients were age 65-70 years (Adjusted HR 3.10 (95%CI 1.14-8.41)), >70 years (Adj.HR 2.64 (95%CI 1.09-6.36)) and hypertension (HT) (Adj.HR 2.98 (95%CI 1.25-7.12)). In SAH patients, prognostic factors were HT (Adj.HR 7.32 (95%CI 2.12-25.29)), and atrial fibrillation (AF) (Adj.HR 5.48 (95% CI 1.57-19.09)).

CONCLUSIONS

Ages over 65 years and HT were an important predictor of 30-day mortality in a subgroup of ICH patients, whereas HT and AF were significant prognostic factors in SAH. To reduce early death, management for stroke cases needed to take into account the specifics for older age patients with HT, and AF.

Prediction of Outcome After Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

Background and Purpose- Early prediction of clinical outcome after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is still lacking accuracy. In this observational cohort study, we aimed to develop and validate an accurate bedside prediction model for clinical outcome after aSAH, to aid decision-making at an early stage. Methods- For the development of the prediction model, a prospectively kept single-center cohort of 1215 aSAH patients, admitted between 1998 and 2014, was used. For temporal validation, a prospective cohort of 224 consecutive aSAH patients from the same center, admitted between 2015 and 2017, was used. External validation was performed using the ISAT (International Subarachnoid Aneurysm Trial) database (2143 patients). Primary outcome measure was poor functional outcome 2 months after aSAH, defined as modified Rankin Scale score 4-6. The model was constructed using multivariate regression analyses. Performance of the model was examined in terms of discrimination and calibration. Results- The final model included 4 predictors independently associated with poor outcome after 2 months: age, World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies grade after resuscitation, aneurysm size, and Fisher grade. Temporal validation showed high discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.85-0.94), external validation showed fair to good discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.70-0.76). The model showed satisfactory calibration in both validation cohorts. The SAFIRE grading scale was derived from the final model: size of the aneurysm, age, Fisher grade, world federation of neurosurgical societies after resuscitation. Conclusions- The SAFIRE grading scale is an accurate, generalizable, and easily applicable model for early prediction of clinical outcome after aSAH.