1
|
Wang B, Liu Y, Xing J, Zhang H, Ye S. Development and validation of a clinical nomogram for predicting in-hospital mortality in patients with traumatic brain injury prehospital: A retrospective study. Heliyon 2024; 10:e37295. [PMID: 39296141 PMCID: PMC11408059 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e37295] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/10/2024] [Revised: 08/28/2024] [Accepted: 08/30/2024] [Indexed: 09/21/2024] Open
Abstract
Objective Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is among the leading causes of death and disability globally. Identifying and assessing the risk of in-hospital mortality in traumatic brain injury patients at an early stage is challenging. This study aimed to develop a model for predicting in-hospital mortality in TBI patients using prehospital data from China. Methods We retrospectively included traumatic brain injury patients who sustained injuries due to external forces and were treated by pre-hospital emergency medical services (EMS) at a tertiary hospital. Data from the pre-hospital emergency database were analyzed, including demographics, trauma mechanisms, comorbidities, vital signs, clinical symptoms, and trauma scores. Eligible patients were randomly divided into a training set (241 cases) and a validation set (104 cases) at a 7:3 ratio. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariate logistic regression were employed to identify independent risk factors. Analyzed the discrimination, calibration, and net benefit of the nomogram across both groups. Results 17.40 % (42/241) of TBI patients died in the hospital in the training set, while 18.30 % (19/104) in the validation set. After analysis, chest trauma (odds ratio [OR] = 4.556, 95 % confidence interval [CI] = 1.861-11.152, P = 0.001), vomiting (OR = 2.944, 95%CI = 1.194-7.258, P = 0.019), systolic blood pressure (OR = 0.939, 95%CI = 0.913-0.966, P < 0.001), SpO2 (OR = 0.778, 95%CI = 0.688-0.881, P < 0.001), and heart rate (OR = 1.046, 95%CI = 1.015-1.078, P = 0.003) were identified as independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality in TBI patients. The nomogram based on the five factors demonstrated well-predictive power, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.881 in the training set and 0.866 in the validation set. The calibration curve and decision curve analysis showed that the predictive model exhibited good consistency and covered a wide range of threshold probabilities in both sets. Conclusion The nomogram based on prehospital data demonstrated well-predictive performance for in-hospital mortality in TBI patients, helping prehospital emergency physicians identify and assess severe TBI patients earlier, thereby improving the efficiency of prehospital emergency care.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Bing Wang
- Emergency Department, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Wannan Medical College, Wuhu, Anhui, China
| | - Yanping Liu
- Emergency Department, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Wannan Medical College, Wuhu, Anhui, China
- Department of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Wannan Medical College, Wuhu, Anhui, China
| | - Jingjing Xing
- Emergency Department, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Wannan Medical College, Wuhu, Anhui, China
| | - Hailong Zhang
- Pre-hospital Emergency Section, Wuhu Emergency Center, Wuhu, Anhui, China
| | - Sheng Ye
- Emergency Department, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Wannan Medical College, Wuhu, Anhui, China
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Shakir M, Altaf A, Irshad HA, Hussain N, Pirzada S, Tariq M, Trillo-Ordonez Y, Enam SA. Factors Delaying the Continuum of Care for the Management of Traumatic Brain Injury in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Systematic Review. World Neurosurg 2023; 180:169-193.e3. [PMID: 37689356 DOI: 10.1016/j.wneu.2023.09.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/15/2023] [Revised: 09/01/2023] [Accepted: 09/02/2023] [Indexed: 09/11/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Considering the disproportionate burden of delayed traumatic brain injury (TBI) management in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), there is pressing demand for investigations. Therefore, our study aims to evaluate factors delaying the continuum of care for the management of TBIs in LMICs. METHODS A systematic review was conducted with PubMed, Scopus, Google Scholar and Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL). Observational studies with TBI patients in LMIC were included. The factors affecting management of TBI were extracted and analyzed descriptively. RESULTS A total of 55 articles were included consisting of 60,603 TBI cases from 18 LMICs. Road traffic accidents (58.7%) were the most common cause of injury. Among included studies, factors contributing to prehospital delays included a poor referral system and lack of an organized system of referral (14%), long travel distances (11%), inadequacy of emergency medical services (16.6%), and self-treatment practices (2.38%). For in-hospital delays, factors such as lack of trained physicians (10%), improper triage systems (20%), and absence of imaging protocols (10%), lack of in-house computed tomography scanners (35%), malfunctioning computed tomography scanners (10%), and a lack of invasive monitoring of intracranial pressure (5%), limited theater space (28%), lack of in-house neurosurgical facilities (28%), absence of in-house neurosurgeons (28%), and financial constraints (14%) were identified. CONCLUSIONS Several factors, both before and during hospitalization contribute to delays in the management of TBIs in LMICs. Strategically addressing these factors can help overcome delays and improve TBI management in LMICs.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Muhammad Shakir
- Section of Neurosurgery, Department of Surgery, Aga Khan University Hospital, Karachi, Pakistan.
| | - Ahmed Altaf
- Section of Neurosurgery, Department of Surgery, Aga Khan University Hospital, Karachi, Pakistan
| | | | - Nowal Hussain
- Medical College, Dow University of Health Sciences, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Sonia Pirzada
- Medical College, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Mahnoor Tariq
- Department of Community Health Sciences, Aga Khan University Hospital, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Yesel Trillo-Ordonez
- Duke University Division of Global Neurosurgery and Neurology, Durham, North Carolina, USA
| | - Syed Ather Enam
- Section of Neurosurgery, Department of Surgery, Aga Khan University Hospital, Karachi, Pakistan
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Guan B, Anderson DB, Chen L, Feng S, Zhou H. Global, regional and national burden of traumatic brain injury and spinal cord injury, 1990-2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. BMJ Open 2023; 13:e075049. [PMID: 37802626 PMCID: PMC10565269 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-075049] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/25/2023] [Accepted: 09/20/2023] [Indexed: 10/09/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To evaluate the most up-to-date burden of traumatic brain injury (TBI) and spinal cord injury (SCI) and analyse their leading causes in different countries/territories. DESIGN An analysis of Global Burden of Disease (GBD) data. SETTING The epidemiological data were gathered from GBD Results Tool (1 January, 1990─31 December 2019) covering 21 GBD regions and 204 countries/ territories. PARTICIPANTS Patients with TBI/SCI. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Absolute numbers and age-standardised rates/estimates of incidence, prevalence and years lived with disability (YLDs) of TBI/SCI by location in 2019, with their percentage changes from 1990 to 2019. The leading causes (eg, falls) of TBI/SCI in 204 countries/territories. RESULTS Globally, in 2019, TBI had 27.16 million new cases, 48.99 million prevalent cases and 7.08 million YLDs. SCI had 0.91 million new cases, 20.64 million prevalent cases and 6.20 million YLDs. Global age-standardised incidence rates of TBI decreased significantly by -5.5% (95% uncertainty interval -8.9% to -3.0%) from 1990 to 2019, whereas SCI had no significant change (-6.1% (-17.3% to 1.5%)). Regionally, in 2019, Eastern Europe and High-income North America had the highest burden of TBI and SCI, respectively. Nationally, in 2019, Slovenia and Afghanistan had the highest age-standardised incidence rates of TBI and SCI, respectively. For TBI, falls were the leading cause in 74% (150/204) of countries/territories, followed by pedestrian road injuries (14%, 29/204), motor vehicle road injuries (5%, 11/204), and conflict and terrorism (2%, 4/204). For SCI, falls were the leading cause in 97% (198/204) of countries/territories, followed by conflict and terrorism (3%, 6/204). CONCLUSIONS Global age-standardised incidence rates of TBI have decreased significantly since 1990, whereas SCI had no significant change. The leading causes of TBI/SCI globally were falls, but variations did exist between countries/territories. Policy-makers should continue to prioritise interventions to reduce falls, but priorities may vary between countries/territories.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Bin Guan
- Department of Orthopaedics, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Shandong University Centre for Orthopaedics, Advanced Medical Research Institute, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, P.R. China
| | - David B Anderson
- School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Lingxiao Chen
- Department of Orthopaedics, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Shandong University Centre for Orthopaedics, Advanced Medical Research Institute, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, P.R. China
- Sydney Musculoskeletal Health, The Kolling Institute, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Shiqing Feng
- Department of Orthopaedics, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Shandong University Centre for Orthopaedics, Advanced Medical Research Institute, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, P.R. China
- The Second Hospital of Shandong University, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, P.R. China
| | - Hengxing Zhou
- Department of Orthopaedics, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Shandong University Centre for Orthopaedics, Advanced Medical Research Institute, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, P.R. China
- Center for Reproductive Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, P.R. China
| |
Collapse
|
4
|
Nguembu S, Kenfack YJ, Sadler S, Zolo Y, Figuim B, Sebopelo LA, Tétinou F, Kanmounye US. Factors Associated with Adverse Outcomes in Cameroonian Patients with Traumatic Brain Injury: A Cross-Sectional Study. World Neurosurg 2023; 172:e62-e67. [PMID: 36481439 DOI: 10.1016/j.wneu.2022.11.136] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/21/2022] [Accepted: 11/29/2022] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The burden of traumatic brain injury (TBI) disproportionately affects low- and middle-income countries. In Cameroon, the estimated annual incidence rate is 572 cases per 100,000 people. This study investigated factors associated with adverse outcomes in the management of Cameroonian patients with TBI. METHODS This cross-sectional study included all patients with TBI treated between January 1 and December 31, 2018, at 2 Cameroonian referral hospitals. Sociodemographic and clinical data were extracted from patient charts and admission registries and analyzed with SPSS v.26. Independent t tests, odds ratios, and cumulative mortality hazard rates were computed. A P-value <0.05 was considered statistically significant. Also, binomial regression analyses were calculated. RESULTS One hundred seventy-one patients aged 38.63 ± 20.46 years old received treatment for TBI. Most patients were male (78.9%), Cameroonian (98.2%), from urban areas (75.4%), and uninsured (88.8%). The average admission length was 11.23 ± 10.71 days, during which 27.5% of patients received surgical treatment while 72.5% received non-surgical (conservative) management. From postdischarge day 12 onwards, surgically-treated patients had a greater cumulative mortality hazard rate than conservatively-treated patients. By 28 days postdischarge, 66.1% of patients had recovered completely [Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS) = 5], 23.4% had a disability (GOS = 2-4), and 10.5% expired (GOS = 1). Complete recovery was associated with the absence of severe TBI (B = -1.42, standard error [SE] = 0.52, P = 0.006), disability was associated with increased injury-to-admission delay (B = -1.27, SE = 0.48, P = 0.009), and death was associated with severe TBI (B = 3.16, SE = 0.73, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS We identified factors associated with unfavorable outcomes among Cameroonian patients with TBI. These results can inform triage and referral practices and aid policymakers in developing context-specific prehospital guidelines.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Stéphane Nguembu
- Research Department, Association of Future African Neurosurgeons, Yaounde, Cameroon
| | - Yves Jordan Kenfack
- Research Department, Association of Future African Neurosurgeons, Yaounde, Cameroon; University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas, USA
| | | | - Yvan Zolo
- Research Department, Association of Future African Neurosurgeons, Yaounde, Cameroon
| | - Bello Figuim
- Department of Surgery, Neurosurgery Unit, Yaounde Central Hospital, Yaounde, Cameroon
| | | | - Francklin Tétinou
- Research Department, Association of Future African Neurosurgeons, Yaounde, Cameroon
| | | |
Collapse
|
5
|
Allen BC, Cummer E, Sarma AK. Traumatic Brain Injury in Select Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Narrative Review of the Literature. J Neurotrauma 2023; 40:602-619. [PMID: 36424896 DOI: 10.1089/neu.2022.0068] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 11.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/27/2022] Open
Abstract
Low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) experience the majority of traumatic brain injuries (TBIs), yet few studies have examined the epidemiology and management strategies of TBI in LMICs. The objective of this narrative review is to discuss the epidemiology of TBI within LMICs, describe the adherence to Brain Trauma Foundation (BTF) guidelines for the management of severe TBI in LMICs, and document TBI management strategies currently used in LMICs. Articles from January 1, 2009 to September 30, 2021 that included patients with TBI greater than 18 years of age in low-, low middle-, and high middle-income countries were queried in PubMed. Search results demonstrated that TBI in LMICs mostly impacts young males involved in road traffic accidents. Within LMICs there are a myriad of approaches to managing TBI with few randomized controlled trials performed within LMICs to evaluate those interventions. More studies are needed in LMICs to establish the effectiveness and appropriateness of BTF guidelines for managing TBI and to help identify methods for managing TBI that are appropriate in low-resource settings. The problem of limited pre- and post-hospital care is a bigger challenge that needs to be considered while addressing management of TBI in LMICs.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Beddome C Allen
- Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, North Carolina, USA
| | - Elaina Cummer
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, Colorado, USA
| | - Anand K Sarma
- Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, North Carolina, USA.,Department of Neurology, Division of Neurocritical Care, Atrium Health Wake Forest Baptist Hospital, Winston-Salem, North Carolina, USA
| |
Collapse
|
6
|
Kanmounye US, Zolo Y, Nguembu S, Tétinou F, Sebopelo LA, Endalle G, Sichimba D, Takoukam R, Ghomsi N, Jumbam DT. Training the Next Generation of Academic Global Neurosurgeons: Experience of the Association of Future African Neurosurgeons. Front Surg 2021; 8:631912. [PMID: 34124130 PMCID: PMC8193051 DOI: 10.3389/fsurg.2021.631912] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/21/2020] [Accepted: 04/28/2021] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction: Although the past decade has seen a substantial increase in African neurosurgeons' academic productivity, productivity remains low compared to their colleagues from other regions. Aspiring neurosurgeons can contribute to the academic neurosurgery workforce by taking care of less technical and time-consuming research tasks. Fortunately, global neurosurgery institutions have also made efforts to increase research exposure and scholarly output in academic global neurosurgery. The Association of Future African Neurosurgeons (AFAN) created a research incubator for aspiring academic global neurosurgeons in Africa to provide enrollees with mentorship, skills, and experience. This study assesses and reports the activities and results of the research incubator. Methods: Aspiring academic global neurosurgeons were enrolled in the AFAN Research Incubator Program (ARIP), whose primary objective was to provide enrollees with foundational skills in all aspects of the research cycle. ARIP enrollees participated in didactic and practical activities with the aim of publishing ≥1 article and presenting ≥1 abstracts at international conferences in one year. Results: Fifteen AFAN members aged 25.0 ± 3.0 years enrolled in ARIP: 7 (46.7%) medical students, 4 (26.7%) general practitioners, and 4 (26.7%) residents. Eleven (73.3%) were male, 6 (40.0%) were from Cameroon and 6 (40.0%) had no previous research experience. Two (13.3%) enrollees dropped out. ARIP enrollees published a total of 28 articles, and enrollees published a median of 1.0 (IQR = 2) first-author articles on neurosurgical system strengthening. Additionally, ARIP enrollees presented 20 abstracts with a median of one abstract (IQR = 3.0). Conclusion: South-South research collaborations like ARIP can contribute to improving global neurosurgery research capacity and output. These collaborations can set up the foundations for robust research in low- and middle-income countries.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
| | - Yvan Zolo
- Research Department, Association of Future African Neurosurgeons, Yaounde, Cameroon.,Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Buea, Buea, Cameroon
| | - Stéphane Nguembu
- Research Department, Association of Future African Neurosurgeons, Yaounde, Cameroon.,Faculty of Medicine, Higher Institute of Health Sciences, Université des Montagnes, Bangangté, Cameroon
| | - Francklin Tétinou
- Research Department, Association of Future African Neurosurgeons, Yaounde, Cameroon.,Faculty of Medicine, Higher Institute of Health Sciences, Université des Montagnes, Bangangté, Cameroon
| | - Lorraine Arabang Sebopelo
- Research Department, Association of Future African Neurosurgeons, Yaounde, Cameroon.,Faculty of Medicine, University of Botswana, Gaborone, Botswana
| | - Geneviève Endalle
- Research Department, Association of Future African Neurosurgeons, Yaounde, Cameroon.,Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Buea, Buea, Cameroon
| | - Dawin Sichimba
- Research Department, Association of Future African Neurosurgeons, Yaounde, Cameroon.,School of Medicine, Copperbelt University, Ndola, Zambia
| | - Régis Takoukam
- Research Department, Association of Future African Neurosurgeons, Yaounde, Cameroon.,Department of Neurosurgery, Felix-Houphouet Boigny University, Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire
| | - Nathalie Ghomsi
- Research Department, Association of Future African Neurosurgeons, Yaounde, Cameroon.,Department of Neurosurgery, Felix-Houphouet Boigny University, Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire
| | - Desmond T Jumbam
- Research Department, Association of Future African Neurosurgeons, Yaounde, Cameroon.,Operation Smile Ghana, Accra, Ghana
| |
Collapse
|