1
|
Laranjeira C, Pereira M, Oliveira R, Barbosa G, Fernandes C, Bermudi P, Resende E, Fernandes E, Nogueira K, Andrade V, Quintanilha JA, dos Santos JA, Chiaravalloti-Neto F. Automatic mapping of high-risk urban areas for Aedes aegypti infestation based on building facade image analysis. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2024; 18:e0011811. [PMID: 38829905 PMCID: PMC11192312 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0011811] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/21/2023] [Revised: 06/21/2024] [Accepted: 05/17/2024] [Indexed: 06/05/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Dengue, Zika, and chikungunya, whose viruses are transmitted mainly by Aedes aegypti, significantly impact human health worldwide. Despite the recent development of promising vaccines against the dengue virus, controlling these arbovirus diseases still depends on mosquito surveillance and control. Nonetheless, several studies have shown that these measures are not sufficiently effective or ineffective. Identifying higher-risk areas in a municipality and directing control efforts towards them could improve it. One tool for this is the premise condition index (PCI); however, its measure requires visiting all buildings. We propose a novel approach capable of predicting the PCI based on facade street-level images, which we call PCINet. METHODOLOGY Our study was conducted in Campinas, a one million-inhabitant city in São Paulo, Brazil. We surveyed 200 blocks, visited their buildings, and measured the three traditional PCI components (building and backyard conditions and shading), the facade conditions (taking pictures of them), and other characteristics. We trained a deep neural network with the pictures taken, creating a computational model that can predict buildings' conditions based on the view of their facades. We evaluated PCINet in a scenario emulating a real large-scale situation, where the model could be deployed to automatically monitor four regions of Campinas to identify risk areas. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS PCINet produced reasonable results in differentiating the facade condition into three levels, and it is a scalable strategy to triage large areas. The entire process can be automated through data collection from facade data sources and inferences through PCINet. The facade conditions correlated highly with the building and backyard conditions and reasonably well with shading and backyard conditions. The use of street-level images and PCINet could help to optimize Ae. aegypti surveillance and control, reducing the number of in-person visits necessary to identify buildings, blocks, and neighborhoods at higher risk from mosquito and arbovirus diseases.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Camila Laranjeira
- Department of Computer Science, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Matheus Pereira
- Department of Computer Science, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Raul Oliveira
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health of University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Gerson Barbosa
- Pasteur Institute, Secretary of Health of the State of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Camila Fernandes
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health of University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Patricia Bermudi
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health of University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Ester Resende
- Department of Computer Science, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Eduardo Fernandes
- Department of Computer Science, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Keiller Nogueira
- Computer Science and Mathematics, University of Stirling, Stirling, United Kingdom
| | - Valmir Andrade
- Epidemiologic Surveillance Center, Secretary of Health of the State of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
| | | | - Jefersson A. dos Santos
- Department of Computer Science, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
- Department of Computer Science, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United Kingdom
| | | |
Collapse
|
2
|
Facchinelli L, Badolo A, McCall PJ. Biology and Behaviour of Aedes aegypti in the Human Environment: Opportunities for Vector Control of Arbovirus Transmission. Viruses 2023; 15:636. [PMID: 36992346 PMCID: PMC10053764 DOI: 10.3390/v15030636] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/31/2023] [Revised: 02/23/2023] [Accepted: 02/24/2023] [Indexed: 03/02/2023] Open
Abstract
Aedes aegypti is a ubiquitous vector of arboviruses mostly in urbanised areas throughout the tropics and subtropics and a growing threat beyond. Control of Ae. aegypti is difficult and costly, and no vaccines are available for most of the viruses it transmits. With practical control solutions our goal, ideally suitable for delivery by householders in affected communities, we reviewed the literature on adult Ae. aegypti biology and behaviour, within and close to the human home, the arena where such interventions must impact. We found that knowledge was vague or important details were missing for multiple events or activities in the mosquito life cycle, such as the duration or location of the many periods when females rest between blood feeding and oviposition. The existing body of literature, though substantial, is not wholly reliable, and evidence for commonly held "facts" range from untraceable to extensive. Source references of some basic information are poor or date back more than 60 years, while other information that today is accepted widely as "fact" is not supported by evidence in the literature. Many topics, e.g., sugar feeding, resting preferences (location and duration), and blood feeding, merit being revisited in new geographical regions and ecological contexts to identify vulnerabilities for exploitation in control.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Luca Facchinelli
- Department of Vector Biology, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool L3 5QA, UK
| | - Athanase Badolo
- Laboratoire d’Entomologie Fondamentale et Appliquée, Université Joseph KI-ZERBO, Ouagadougou 03 BP 7021, Burkina Faso
| | - Philip J. McCall
- Department of Vector Biology, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool L3 5QA, UK
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Cui F, He F, Huang X, Tian L, Li S, Liang C, Zeng L, Lin H, Su J, Liu L, Zhao W, Sun L, Lin L, Sun J. Dengue and Dengue Virus in Guangdong, China, 1978-2017: Epidemiology, Seroprevalence, Evolution, and Policies. Front Med (Lausanne) 2022; 9:797674. [PMID: 35386910 PMCID: PMC8979027 DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2022.797674] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/19/2021] [Accepted: 01/28/2022] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Guangdong is a hyperepidemic area of dengue, which has over 0.72 million cumulative cases within the last four decades, accounting for more than 90% of cases in China. The local epidemic of dengue in Guangdong is suspected to be triggered by imported cases and results in consequent seasonal transmission. However, the comprehensive epidemiological characteristics of dengue in Guangdong are still unclear. Methods The epidemiology, seroprevalence, molecular evolution of dengue virus, and the development of policies and strategies on the prevention and control of dengue were analyzed in Guangdong, China from 1978 to 2017. Findings Seasonal transmission of dengue virus in Guangdong, China was mainly sustained from July to October of each year. August to September was the highest risk period of local dengue outbreaks. Most of the dengue cases in Guangdong were young and middle-aged adults. Five hundred and three fatal cases were recorded, which declined within the last two decades (n = 10). The serological test of healthy donors' serum samples showed a positive rate of 5.77%. Dengue virus 1-4 (DENV 1-4) was detected in Guangdong from 1978 to 2017. DENV 1 was the dominant serotype of dengue outbreaks from 1978 to 2017, with an increasing tendency of DENV 2 since 2010. Local outbreaks of DENV 3 were rare. DENV 4 was only encountered in imported cases in Guangdong, China. The imported cases were the main source of outbreaks of DENV 1-2. Early detection, management of dengue cases, and precise vector control were the key strategies for local dengue prevention and control in Guangdong, China. Interpretation Dengue has not become an endemic arboviral disease in Guangdong, China. Early detection, case management, and implementation of precise control strategies are key findings for preventing local dengue transmission, which may serve for countries still struggling to combat imported dengue in the west pacific areas.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Fengfu Cui
- School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China.,Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, China.,Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, China
| | - Feiwu He
- School of Basic Medical Science, Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, China
| | - Xiaorong Huang
- School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China.,Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, China.,Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, China
| | - Lina Tian
- Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, China.,Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, China
| | - Saiqiang Li
- Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, China.,Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, China
| | - Chumin Liang
- Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, China.,Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, China
| | - Lilian Zeng
- Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, China.,Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, China
| | - Huifang Lin
- Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, China.,Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, China
| | - Juan Su
- Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, China
| | - Liping Liu
- Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, China
| | - Wei Zhao
- School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Limei Sun
- Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, China
| | - Lifeng Lin
- Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, China
| | - Jiufeng Sun
- School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China.,Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, China.,Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, China
| |
Collapse
|
4
|
Knerer G, Currie CSM, Brailsford SC. The economic impact and cost-effectiveness of combined vector-control and dengue vaccination strategies in Thailand: results from a dynamic transmission model. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2020; 14:e0008805. [PMID: 33095791 PMCID: PMC7654761 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0008805] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/13/2018] [Revised: 11/10/2020] [Accepted: 09/17/2020] [Indexed: 01/17/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS Dengue fever is a major public health problem in tropical/subtropical regions. Prior economic analyses have predominantly evaluated either vaccination or vector-control programmes in isolation and do not really consider the incremental benefits and cost-effectiveness of mixed strategies and combination control. We estimated the cost-effectiveness of single and combined approaches in Thailand. METHODS The impacts of different control interventions were analysed using a previously published mathematical model of dengue epidemiology and control incorporating seasonality, age structure, consecutive infection, cross protection, immune enhancement and combined vector-host transmission. An economic model was applied to simulation results to estimate the cost-effectiveness of 4 interventions and their various combinations (6 strategies): i) routine vaccination of 1-year olds; ii) chemical vector control strategies targeting adult and larval stages separately; iii) environmental management/ public health education and awareness [EM/ PHEA]). Payer and societal perspectives were considered. The health burden of dengue fever was assessed using disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) lost. Costs and effects were assessed for 10 years. Costs were discounted at 3% annually and updated to 2013 United States Dollars. Incremental cost-effectiveness analysis was carried out after strategies were rank-ordered by cost, with results presented in a table of incremental analysis. Sensitivity and scenario analyses were undertaken; and the impact and cost-effectiveness of Wolbachia was evaluated in exploratory scenario analyses. RESULTS From the payer and societal perspectives, 2 combination strategies were considered optimal, as all other control strategies were dominated. Vaccination plus adulticide plus EM/ PHEA was deemed cost-effective according to multiple cost-effectiveness criteria. From the societal perspective, incremental differences vs. adulticide and EM/ PHEA resulted in costs of $157.6 million and DALYs lost of 12,599, giving an expected ICER of $12,508 per DALY averted. Exploratory scenario analyses showed Wolbachia to be highly cost-effective ($343 per DALY averted) vs. other single control measures. CONCLUSIONS Our model shows that individual interventions can be cost-effective, but that important epidemiological reductions and economic impacts are demonstrated when interventions are combined as part of an integrated approach to combating dengue fever. Exploratory scenario analyses demonstrated the potential epidemiological and cost-effective impact of Wolbachia when deployed at scale on a nationwide basis. Our findings were robust in the face of sensitivity analyses.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Gerhart Knerer
- Mathematical Sciences, University of Southampton, Highfield, Southampton, United Kingdom
- * E-mail:
| | - Christine S. M. Currie
- Mathematical Sciences, University of Southampton, Highfield, Southampton, United Kingdom
| | - Sally C. Brailsford
- Southampton Business School, University of Southampton, Highfield, Southampton, United Kingdom
| |
Collapse
|
5
|
Ngwe Tun MM, Muthugala R, Nabeshima T, Soe AM, Dumre SP, Rajamanthri L, Jayawardana D, Attanayake S, Inoue S, Morita K. Complete genome analysis and characterization of neurotropic dengue virus 2 cosmopolitan genotype isolated from the cerebrospinal fluid of encephalitis patients. PLoS One 2020; 15:e0234508. [PMID: 32555732 PMCID: PMC7302667 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0234508] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/16/2020] [Accepted: 05/26/2020] [Indexed: 01/18/2023] Open
Abstract
Dengue virus (DENV) infection remains a major public health concern in many parts of the world, including Southeast Asia and the Americas. Sri Lanka experienced its largest dengue outbreak in 2017. Neurological symptoms associated with DENV infection have increasingly been reported in both children and adults. Here, we characterize DENV type 2 (DENV-2) strains, which were isolated from cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and/or serum of patients with dengue encephalitis. Acute serum and CSF samples from each patient were subjected to dengue-specific non-structural protein 1 (NS1) antigen test, IgM and IgG enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), virus isolation, conventional and real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR), and next-generation sequencing (NGS). Among the 5 dengue encephalitis patients examined, 4 recovered and 1 died. DENV-2 strains were isolated from serum and/or CSF samples of 3 patients. The highest viral genome levels were detected in the CSF and serum of the patient who succumbed to the illness. A phylogenetic tree revealed that the DENV-2 isolates belonged to a new clade of cosmopolitan genotype and were genetically close to strains identified in China, South Korea, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, and the Philippines. According to the NGS analysis, greater frequencies of nonsynonymous and synonymous mutations per gene were identified in the nonstructural genes. The full genomes of serum- and CSF-derived DENV-2 from the same patient shared 99.7% similarity, indicating that the virus spread across the blood-brain barrier. This is the first report to describe neurotropic DENV-2 using whole-genome analysis and to provide the clinical, immunological, and virological characteristics of dengue encephalitis patients during a severe dengue outbreak in Sri Lanka in 2017.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Mya Myat Ngwe Tun
- Department of Virology, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan
| | | | - Takeshi Nabeshima
- Department of Virology, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan
| | - Aung Min Soe
- Department of Virology, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan
| | - Shyam Prakash Dumre
- Department of Immunogenetics, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan
| | | | | | | | - Shingo Inoue
- Department of Virology, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan
| | - Kouichi Morita
- Department of Virology, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan
| |
Collapse
|
6
|
Abdur Rehman N, Salje H, Kraemer MUG, Subramanian L, Saif U, Chunara R. Quantifying the localized relationship between vector containment activities and dengue incidence in a real-world setting: A spatial and time series modelling analysis based on geo-located data from Pakistan. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2020; 14:e0008273. [PMID: 32392225 PMCID: PMC7241855 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0008273] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/14/2019] [Revised: 05/21/2020] [Accepted: 04/07/2020] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Increasing urbanization is having a profound effect on infectious disease risk, posing significant challenges for governments to allocate limited resources for their optimal control at a sub-city scale. With recent advances in data collection practices, empirical evidence about the efficacy of highly localized containment and intervention activities, which can lead to optimal deployment of resources, is possible. However, there are several challenges in analyzing data from such real-world observational settings. Using data on 3.9 million instances of seven dengue vector containment activities collected between 2012 and 2017, here we develop and assess two frameworks for understanding how the generation of new dengue cases changes in space and time with respect to application of different types of containment activities. Accounting for the non-random deployment of each containment activity in relation to dengue cases and other types of containment activities, as well as deployment of activities in different epidemiological contexts, results from both frameworks reinforce existing knowledge about the efficacy of containment activities aimed at the adult phase of the mosquito lifecycle. Results show a 10% (95% CI: 1-19%) and 20% reduction (95% CI: 4-34%) reduction in probability of a case occurring in 50 meters and 30 days of cases which had Indoor Residual Spraying (IRS) and fogging performed in the immediate vicinity, respectively, compared to cases of similar epidemiological context and which had no containment in their vicinity. Simultaneously, limitations due to the real-world nature of activity deployment are used to guide recommendations for future deployment of resources during outbreaks as well as data collection practices. Conclusions from this study will enable more robust and comprehensive analyses of localized containment activities in resource-scarce urban settings and lead to improved allocation of resources of government in an outbreak setting.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Nabeel Abdur Rehman
- Computer Science and Engineering, Tandon School of Engineering, New York University, Brooklyn, New York, United States of America
| | | | | | | | - Umar Saif
- UNESCO Chair for ICTD, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - Rumi Chunara
- Computer Science and Engineering, Tandon School of Engineering, New York University, Brooklyn, New York, United States of America
- Department of Biostatistics, School of Global Public Health, New York University, New York, New York, United States of America
| |
Collapse
|
7
|
Ngwe Tun MM, Muthugala R, Nabeshima T, Rajamanthri L, Jayawardana D, Attanayake S, Soe AM, Dumre SP, Ando T, Hayasaka D, Inoue S, Buerano CC, Morita K. Unusual, neurological and severe dengue manifestations during the outbreak in Sri Lanka, 2017. J Clin Virol 2020; 125:104304. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jcv.2020.104304] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/16/2019] [Revised: 02/22/2020] [Accepted: 02/25/2020] [Indexed: 01/14/2023]
|
8
|
Abstract
Dengue virus (DENV) belongs to the family Flaviviridae, genus Flavivirus. It is a single-stranded positive-sense ribonucleic acid virus with 10,700 bases. The genus Flavivirus includes other arthropod borne viruses such as yellow fever virus, West Nile virus, Zika virus, tick-borne encephalitis virus. It infects ~50–200 million people annually, putting over 3.6 billion people living in tropical regions at risk and causing ~20,000 deaths annually. The expansion of dengue is attributed to factors such as the modern dynamics of climate change, globalization, travel, trade, socioeconomics, settlement, and also viral evolution. There are four antigenically different serotypes of DENV based on the differences in their viral structural and nonstructural proteins. DENV infection causes a spectrum of illness ranging from asymptomatic to dengue fever to severe dengue shock syndrome. Infection with one serotype confers lifelong immunity against that serotype, but heterologus infection leads to severe dengue hemorrhagic fever due to antibody-dependent enhancement. Diagnosis of dengue infections is based mainly on serological detection of either antigen in acute cases or antibodies in both acute and chronic infection. Viral detection and real-time PCR detection though helpful is not feasible in resource poor setup. Treatment of dengue depends on symptomatic management along with fluid resuscitation and may require platelet transfusion. Although vaccine development is in late stages of development, developing a single vaccine against four serotypes often causes serious challenges to researchers; hence, the main stay of prevention is vector control and management.
Collapse
|
9
|
Zou C, Huang C, Zhang J, Wu Q, Ni X, Sun J, Dai J. Virulence difference of five type I dengue viruses and the intrinsic molecular mechanism. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2019; 13:e0007202. [PMID: 30830907 PMCID: PMC6417740 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0007202] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/19/2018] [Revised: 03/14/2019] [Accepted: 01/30/2019] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Dengue virus (DENV) is the most important vector-borne virus globally. The safe and effective vaccines are still under development and there are no antiviral drugs for DENV induced diseases. In this study, we obtained five DENV1 isolates (DENV1 A to E) from the outbreak of dengue fever in 2014 of Guangzhou, China, and analyzed their replication efficiency and virulence in vitro and in vivo. The results suggested that among the five DENV1 strains, DENV1 B has the highest replication efficiency in both human and mosquito cells in vitro, also causes the highest mortality to suckling mice. Further study suggested that nonstructural proteins from DENV1B have higher capacity to suppress host interferon signaling. In addition, the NS2B3 protease from DENV1B has higher enzymatic activity compared with that from DENV1 E. Finally, we identified that the 64th amino acid of NS2A and the 55th amino acid of NS2B were two virulence determining sites for DENV1. This study provided new evidences of the molecular mechanisms of DENV virulence. Dengue is the most important vector-borne viral infection that endangers an estimated 2.5 billion people globally. The recently licensed dengue vaccine has major weaknesses and there are no antiviral drugs for the treatment of dengue related diseases. Identifying the virulence determinants is important for understanding the molecule bases of viral life cycle, also contributing to vaccine design and development. In this study, we analyzed the virulence differences among five DENV1 strains that obtained from the 2014 DENV outbreak in Guangzhou, China, and identified two novel virulence determining sites for DENV1. This study provides new ideas for investigation of DENV protein function, pathogenic mechanism and novel attenuated vaccine.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Chunling Zou
- Institutes of Biology and Medical Sciences, Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Infection and Immunity, Soochow University, Suzhou, P. R. China
| | - Chenxiao Huang
- Institutes of Biology and Medical Sciences, Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Infection and Immunity, Soochow University, Suzhou, P. R. China
| | - Jinyu Zhang
- Institutes of Biology and Medical Sciences, Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Infection and Immunity, Soochow University, Suzhou, P. R. China
| | - Qihan Wu
- NHC Key Lab of Reproduction Regulation (Shanghai Institute of Planned Parenthood Research), Fudan University, Shanghai, P.R. China
| | - Xiaohua Ni
- NHC Key Lab of Reproduction Regulation (Shanghai Institute of Planned Parenthood Research), Fudan University, Shanghai, P.R. China
- * E-mail: (XN) ; (JS) ; (JD)
| | - Jiufeng Sun
- Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, P.R. China
- * E-mail: (XN) ; (JS) ; (JD)
| | - Jianfeng Dai
- Institutes of Biology and Medical Sciences, Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Infection and Immunity, Soochow University, Suzhou, P. R. China
- * E-mail: (XN) ; (JS) ; (JD)
| |
Collapse
|
10
|
Sun J, Zhang H, Tan Q, Zhou H, Guan D, Zhang X, Duan J, Cai S, Peng Z, He J, Ke C, Lin J, Liu T, Ma W, Wu D. The epidemiological characteristics and molecular phylogeny of the dengue virus in Guangdong, China, 2015. Sci Rep 2018; 8:9976. [PMID: 29967414 PMCID: PMC6028473 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-018-28349-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/27/2017] [Accepted: 06/21/2018] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
Abstract
In 2015, an unexpected multiple outbreak of dengue occurred in Guangdong, China. In total, 1,699 cases were reported, of which 1,627 cases were verified to have DENV infections by nucleic acid or NS1 protein, including 44 DENV-1, 1126 DENV-2, 18 DENV-3 and 6 DENV-4, and the other cases were confirmed by NS1 ELISA. Phylogenetic analyses of DENV-1 isolates identified two genotypes (I and V). The predominant DENV-2 outbreak isolates were the Cosmopolitan genotypes, which likely originated from Malaysia. The DENV-3 isolates were assigned into genotype I and genotype III. All 6 DENV-4 isolates from imported cases were likely originally from Cambodia, Thailand and the Philippines. The entomological surveillance showed a moderate risk for the BI index in Chaozhou and Foshan and a low risk in Guangzhou. The imported cases were mostly detected in Guangzhou and Foshan. Surprisingly, the most serious outbreak occurred in Chaozhou, but not in Guangzhou or Foshan. A combined analyses demonstrated the multiple geographical origins of this outbreak, and highlight the detection of suspected cases after the alerting of imported cases, early implementation of control policies and reinforce the vector surveillance strategies were the key points in the chain of prevention and control of dengue epidemics.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Jiufeng Sun
- Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - Huan Zhang
- Key Laboratory for Repository and Application of Pathogenic Microbiology, Research Center for Pathogens Detection Technology of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China.,WHO Collaborating Centre for Surveillance, Research and Training of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - Qiqi Tan
- Key Laboratory for Repository and Application of Pathogenic Microbiology, Research Center for Pathogens Detection Technology of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China.,WHO Collaborating Centre for Surveillance, Research and Training of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - Huiqiong Zhou
- Key Laboratory for Repository and Application of Pathogenic Microbiology, Research Center for Pathogens Detection Technology of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China.,WHO Collaborating Centre for Surveillance, Research and Training of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - Dawei Guan
- Key Laboratory for Repository and Application of Pathogenic Microbiology, Research Center for Pathogens Detection Technology of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China.,WHO Collaborating Centre for Surveillance, Research and Training of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - Xin Zhang
- Key Laboratory for Repository and Application of Pathogenic Microbiology, Research Center for Pathogens Detection Technology of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China.,WHO Collaborating Centre for Surveillance, Research and Training of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - Jinhua Duan
- Key Laboratory for Repository and Application of Pathogenic Microbiology, Research Center for Pathogens Detection Technology of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China.,WHO Collaborating Centre for Surveillance, Research and Training of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - Songwu Cai
- Key Laboratory for Repository and Application of Pathogenic Microbiology, Research Center for Pathogens Detection Technology of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China.,WHO Collaborating Centre for Surveillance, Research and Training of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - Zhiqiang Peng
- Key Laboratory for Repository and Application of Pathogenic Microbiology, Research Center for Pathogens Detection Technology of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China.,WHO Collaborating Centre for Surveillance, Research and Training of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - Jianfeng He
- Key Laboratory for Repository and Application of Pathogenic Microbiology, Research Center for Pathogens Detection Technology of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China.,WHO Collaborating Centre for Surveillance, Research and Training of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - Changwen Ke
- Key Laboratory for Repository and Application of Pathogenic Microbiology, Research Center for Pathogens Detection Technology of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China.,WHO Collaborating Centre for Surveillance, Research and Training of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - Jinyan Lin
- Key Laboratory for Repository and Application of Pathogenic Microbiology, Research Center for Pathogens Detection Technology of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China.,WHO Collaborating Centre for Surveillance, Research and Training of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - Tao Liu
- Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - Wenjun Ma
- Guangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China
| | - De Wu
- Key Laboratory for Repository and Application of Pathogenic Microbiology, Research Center for Pathogens Detection Technology of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, China. .,WHO Collaborating Centre for Surveillance, Research and Training of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Guangzhou, 511430, China.
| |
Collapse
|
11
|
Sun W, Xue L, Xie X. Spatial-temporal distribution of dengue and climate characteristics for two clusters in Sri Lanka from 2012 to 2016. Sci Rep 2017; 7:12884. [PMID: 29018222 PMCID: PMC5635062 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-017-13163-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/08/2017] [Accepted: 09/19/2017] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
Dengue is a vector-borne disease causing high morbidity and mortality in tropical and subtropical countries. Urbanization, globalization, and lack of effective mosquito control have lead to dramatically increased frequency and magnitude of dengue epidemic in the past 40 years. The virus and the mosquito vectors keep expanding geographically in the tropical regions of the world. Using the hot spot analysis and the spatial-temporal clustering method, we investigated the spatial-temporal distribution of dengue in Sri Lanka from 2012 to 2016 to identify spatial-temporal clusters and elucidate the association of climatic factors with dengue incidence. We detected two important spatial-temporal clusters in Sri Lanka. Dengue incidences were predicted by combining historical dengue incidence data with climate data, and hot and cold spots were forecasted using the predicted dengue incidences to identify areas at high risks. Targeting the hot spots during outbreaks instead of all the regions can save resources and time for public health authorities. Our study helps better understand how climatic factors impact spatial and temporal spread of dengue virus. Hot spot prediction helps public health authorities forecast future high risk areas and direct control measures to minimize cost on health, time, and economy.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Wei Sun
- Harbin Engineering University, Department of Mathematics, Harbin, 150001, China
| | - Ling Xue
- Harbin Engineering University, Department of Mathematics, Harbin, 150001, China.
- University of Manitoba, Department of Mathematics, Winnipeg, R3T 2M8, Canada.
| | - Xiaoxue Xie
- Harbin Engineering University, Department of Mathematics, Harbin, 150001, China
| |
Collapse
|
12
|
The dengue preface to endemic in mainland China: the historical largest outbreak by Aedes albopictus in Guangzhou, 2014. Infect Dis Poverty 2017; 6:148. [PMID: 28934991 PMCID: PMC5609019 DOI: 10.1186/s40249-017-0352-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 42] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/06/2016] [Accepted: 08/17/2017] [Indexed: 01/24/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Dengue was regarded as a mild epidemic in mainland China transmitted by Aedes albopictus. However, the 2014 record-breaking outbreak in Guangzhou could change the situation. In order to provide an early warning of epidemic trends and provide evidence for prevention and control strategies, we seek to characterize the 2014 outbreak through application of detailed cases and entomological data, as well as phylogenetic analysis of viral envelope (E) gene. Methods We used case survey data identified through the Notifiable Infectious Disease Report System, entomological surveillance and population serosurvey, along with laboratory testing for IgM/IgG, NS1, and isolation of viral samples followed by E gene sequencing and phylogenetic analysis to examine the epidemiological and molecular characteristics of the outbreak. Results The 2014 dengue outbreak in Guangzhou accounted for nearly 80% of total reported cases that year in mainland China; a total of 37,376 cases including 37,340 indigenous cases with incidence rate 2908.3 per million and 36 imported cases were reported in Guangzhou, with 14,055 hospitalized and 5 deaths. The epidemic lasted for 193 days from June 11 to December 21, with the highest incidence observed in domestic workers, the unemployed and retirees. The inapparent infection rate was 18.00% (135/750). In total, 96 dengue virus 1 (DENV-1) and 11 dengue virus 2 (DENV-2) strains were isolated. Phylogenetic analysis indicated that the DENV-1 strains were divided into genotype I and V, similar to the strains isolated in Guangzhou and Dongguan in 2013. The DENV-2 strains isolated were similar to those imported from Thailand on May 11 in 2014 and that imported from Indonesia in 2012. Conclusions The 2014 dengue epidemic was confirmed to be the first co-circulation of DENV-1 and DENV-2 in Guangzhou. The DENV-1 strain was endemic, while the DENV-2 strain was imported, being efficiently transmitted by the Aedes albopictus vector species at levels as high as Aedes aegypti. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s40249-017-0352-9) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
Collapse
|
13
|
Hu TS, Zhang HL, Feng Y, Fan JH, Tang T, Liu YH, Zhang L, Yin XX, Chen G, Li HC, Zu J, Li HB, Li YY, Yu J, Zhang FQ, Fan QS. Epidemiological and molecular characteristics of emergent dengue virus in Yunnan Province near the China-Myanmar-Laos border, 2013-2015. BMC Infect Dis 2017; 17:331. [PMID: 28482813 PMCID: PMC5422898 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-017-2401-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/21/2016] [Accepted: 04/12/2017] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Yunnan Province is located in southwestern China and neighbors the Southeast Asian countries, all of which are dengue-endemic areas. In 2000–2013, sporadic imported cases of dengue fever (DF) were reported almost annually in Yunnan Province. During 2013–2015, we confirmed that a large-scale indigenous DF outbreak emerged in cities of Yunnan Province near the China-Myanmar-Laos border. Methods Epidemiological characteristics of DF in Yunnan Province during 2013–2015 were evaluated by retrospective analysis. A total of 232 dengue virus (DENV)-positive sera were randomly collected for sequence analysis of the capsid/premembrane region of DENV from patients with DF in Yunnan Province. The envelope gene of DENV isolates was also amplified and sequenced. Phylogenetic analyses were performed using the neighbor-joining method with the Tajima-Nei model. Results Phylogenetically, all DENV-positive samples could be classified into DENV-1 genotype I and DENV-2 Asian I genotype during 2013–2015 and DENV-4 genotype I in 2015 from Ruili City; and DENV-3 genotype II in 2013 and DENV-2 Cosmopolitan genotype in 2015 from Xishuangbanna Prefecture. Conclusions Our results indicated that imported DF from patients from Laos and Myanmar was the primary cause of the DF epidemic in Yunnan Province. Additionally, DENV strains of all four serotypes were identified in indigenous cases in Yunnan Province during the same time period, while the dengue epidemic pattern observed in southwestern Yunnan showed characteristics of a hypoendemic nature: circulation of DENV-1 and DENV-2 over consecutive years. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12879-017-2401-1) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Ting-Song Hu
- Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Chengdu Military Region, 168 Daguan Road, Kunming, 650032, People's Republic of China.,The Postdoctoral Programme of Kunming General Hospital, Chengdu Military Region, Kunming, People's Republic of China
| | - Hai-Lin Zhang
- Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Chengdu Military Region, 168 Daguan Road, Kunming, 650032, People's Republic of China.,Yunnan Institute of Endemic Diseases Control and Prevention, Dali, Yunnan, People's Republic of China
| | - Yun Feng
- Yunnan Institute of Endemic Diseases Control and Prevention, Dali, Yunnan, People's Republic of China
| | - Jian-Hua Fan
- Xishuangbanna Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinghong, Yunnan, People's Republic of China
| | - Tian Tang
- Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Chengdu Military Region, 168 Daguan Road, Kunming, 650032, People's Republic of China
| | - Yong-Hua Liu
- Ruili Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Ruili, Yunnan, People's Republic of China
| | - Liu Zhang
- Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Chengdu Military Region, 168 Daguan Road, Kunming, 650032, People's Republic of China
| | - Xiao-Xiong Yin
- Ruili Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Ruili, Yunnan, People's Republic of China
| | - Gang Chen
- Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Chengdu Military Region, 168 Daguan Road, Kunming, 650032, People's Republic of China
| | - Hua-Chang Li
- Lincang Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Lincang, Yunnan, People's Republic of China
| | - Jin Zu
- Xishuangbanna Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinghong, Yunnan, People's Republic of China
| | - Hong-Bin Li
- Xishuangbanna Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinghong, Yunnan, People's Republic of China
| | - Yuan-Yuan Li
- Xishuangbanna Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinghong, Yunnan, People's Republic of China
| | - Jing Yu
- Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Chengdu Military Region, 168 Daguan Road, Kunming, 650032, People's Republic of China
| | - Fu-Qiang Zhang
- Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Chengdu Military Region, 168 Daguan Road, Kunming, 650032, People's Republic of China.
| | - Quan-Shui Fan
- Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Chengdu Military Region, 168 Daguan Road, Kunming, 650032, People's Republic of China.
| |
Collapse
|
14
|
Ngwe Tun MM, Kyaw AK, Makki N, Muthugala R, Nabeshima T, Inoue S, Hayasaka D, Moi ML, Buerano CC, Thwe SM, Thant KZ, Morita K. Characterization of the 2013 dengue epidemic in Myanmar with dengue virus 1 as the dominant serotype. INFECTION GENETICS AND EVOLUTION 2016; 43:31-7. [DOI: 10.1016/j.meegid.2016.04.025] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/31/2016] [Revised: 04/13/2016] [Accepted: 04/20/2016] [Indexed: 10/21/2022]
|
15
|
The epidemiological characteristics and genetic diversity of dengue virus during the third largest historical outbreak of dengue in Guangdong, China, in 2014. J Infect 2015; 72:80-90. [PMID: 26546854 DOI: 10.1016/j.jinf.2015.10.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 32] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/06/2015] [Revised: 10/13/2015] [Accepted: 10/18/2015] [Indexed: 11/20/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The third largest historical outbreak of dengue occurred during July to December 2014, in 20 of 21 cities of Guangdong, China. The epidemiological and molecular characteristics of the introduction, expansion and phylogeny of the DENV isolates involved in this outbreak were investigated. METHODS A combination analyses of epidemiological characteristics and genetic diversity of dengue virus was performed in this study. RESULTS In total, 45,236 cases and 6 fatalities were reported. Unemployed individuals, retirees and retailers were the most affected populations. A total of 6024 cases were verified to have DENV infections by nucleic acid detection, of which 5947, 74 and 3 were confirmed to have DENV-1, -2, and -3 infections, respectively. Phylogenetic analyses of DENV-1 isolates were assigned into three genotypes (I, IV, and V). Genotype V was the predominant genotype that likely originated from Singapore. The DENV-2 isolates were assigned to the Cosmopolitan and Asian I genotypes. A unique DENV-3 isolate (genotype III) shared high similarity with isolates obtained from Guangdong in 2013. CONCLUSIONS A combination analyses demonstrated the multiple geographical origins of this outbreak, and highlight the importance of early detection, the case management and vector surveillance for preventing further dengue epidemics in Guangdong.
Collapse
|
16
|
Morato DG, Barreto FR, Braga JU, Natividade MS, Costa MDCN, Morato V, Teixeira MDGLC. The spatiotemporal trajectory of a dengue epidemic in a medium-sized city. Mem Inst Oswaldo Cruz 2015; 110:528-33. [PMID: 26061236 PMCID: PMC4501417 DOI: 10.1590/0074-0276140388] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/20/2014] [Accepted: 05/11/2015] [Indexed: 04/28/2023] Open
Abstract
Understanding the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases is important to allow
for improvements of control measures. To investigate the spatiotemporal pattern of an
epidemic dengue occurred at a medium-sized city in the Northeast Region of Brazil in
2009, we conducted an ecological study of the notified dengue cases georeferenced
according to epidemiological week (EW) and home address. Kernel density estimation
and space-time interaction were analysed using the Knox method. The evolution of the
epidemic was analysed using an animated projection technique. The dengue incidence
was 6.918.7/100,000 inhabitants; the peak of the epidemic occurred from 8 February-1
March, EWs 6-9 (828.7/100,000 inhabitants). There were cases throughout the city and
was identified space-time interaction. Three epicenters were responsible for
spreading the disease in an expansion and relocation diffusion pattern. If the health
services could detect in real time the epicenters and apply nimbly control measures,
may possibly reduce the magnitude of dengue epidemics.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Daniela G Morato
- Instituto de Saúde Coletiva, Universidade Federal da Bahia, Salvador, BA, Brasil
| | | | - José U Braga
- Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil
| | - Marcio S Natividade
- Instituto de Saúde Coletiva, Universidade Federal da Bahia, Salvador, BA, Brasil
| | | | - Vanessa Morato
- Instituto de Saúde Coletiva, Universidade Federal da Bahia, Salvador, BA, Brasil
| | | |
Collapse
|
17
|
Abstract
In this paper we propose a debate on the role of mathematical models in evaluating control strategies for vector-borne infections. Mathematical models must have their complexity adjusted to their goals, and we have basically two classes of models. At one extreme we have models that are intended to check if our intuition about why a certain phenomenon occurs is correct. At the other extreme, we have models whose goals are to predict future outcomes. These models are necessarily very complex. There are models in between these classes. Here we examine two models, one of each class and study the possible pitfalls that may be incurred. We begin by showing how to simplify the description of a complicated model for a vector-borne infection. Next, we examine one example found in a recent paper that illustrates the dangers of basing control strategies on models without considering their limitations. The model in this paper is of the second class. Following this, we review an interesting paper (a model of the first class) that contains some biological assumptions that are inappropriate for dengue but may apply to other vector-borne infections. In conclusion, we list some misgivings about modelling presented in this paper for debate.
Collapse
|
18
|
Amaku M, Coutinho FAB, Raimundo SM, Lopez LF, Nascimento Burattini M, Massad E. A comparative analysis of the relative efficacy of vector-control strategies against dengue fever. Bull Math Biol 2014; 76:697-717. [PMID: 24619807 DOI: 10.1007/s11538-014-9939-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 33] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/17/2013] [Accepted: 01/30/2014] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
Dengue is considered one of the most important vector-borne infection, affecting almost half of the world population with 50 to 100 million cases every year. In this paper, we present one of the simplest models that can encapsulate all the important variables related to vector control of dengue fever. The model considers the human population, the adult mosquito population and the population of immature stages, which includes eggs, larvae and pupae. The model also considers the vertical transmission of dengue in the mosquitoes and the seasonal variation in the mosquito population. From this basic model describing the dynamics of dengue infection, we deduce thresholds for avoiding the introduction of the disease and for the elimination of the disease. In particular, we deduce a Basic Reproduction Number for dengue that includes parameters related to the immature stages of the mosquito. By neglecting seasonal variation, we calculate the equilibrium values of the model's variables. We also present a sensitivity analysis of the impact of four vector-control strategies on the Basic Reproduction Number, on the Force of Infection and on the human prevalence of dengue. Each of the strategies was studied separately from the others. The analysis presented allows us to conclude that of the available vector control strategies, adulticide application is the most effective, followed by the reduction of the exposure to mosquito bites, locating and destroying breeding places and, finally, larvicides. Current vector-control methods are concentrated on mechanical destruction of mosquitoes' breeding places. Our results suggest that reducing the contact between vector and hosts (biting rates) is as efficient as the logistically difficult but very efficient adult mosquito's control.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Marcos Amaku
- School of Veterinary Medicine, University of São Paulo, Av. Prof. Orlando Marques de Paiva, 87, Cidade Universitária, São Paulo, SP, 05508-270, Brazil
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Collapse
|
19
|
Knerer G, Currie CSM, Brailsford SC. Impact of combined vector-control and vaccination strategies on transmission dynamics of dengue fever: a model-based analysis. Health Care Manag Sci 2013; 18:205-17. [PMID: 24370922 DOI: 10.1007/s10729-013-9263-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 28] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/30/2013] [Accepted: 12/08/2013] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
Dengue fever is a vector-borne disease prevalent in tropical and subtropical regions. It is an important public health problem with a considerable and often under-valued disease burden in terms of frequency, cost and quality-of-life. Recent literature reviews have documented the development of mathematical models of dengue fever both to identify important characteristics for future model development as well as to assess the impact of dengue control interventions. Such reviews highlight the importance of short-term cross-protection; antibody-dependent enhancement; and seasonality (in terms of both favourable and unfavourable conditions for mosquitoes). The compartmental model extends work by Bartley (2002) and combines the following factors: seasonality, age-structure, consecutive infection by all four serotypes, cross-protection and immune enhancement, as well as combined vector-host transmission. The model is used to represent dengue transmission dynamics using parameters appropriate for Thailand and to assess the potential impact of combined vector-control and vaccination strategies including routine and catch-up vaccination strategies on disease dynamics. When seasonality and temporary cross-protection between serotypes are included, the model is able to approximate the observed incidence of dengue fever in Thailand. We find vaccination to be the most effective single intervention, albeit with imperfect efficacy (30.2 %) and limited duration of protection. However, in combination, control interventions and vaccination exhibit a marked impact on dengue fever transmission. This study shows that an imperfect vaccine can be a useful weapon in reducing disease spread within the community, although it will be most effective when promoted as one of several strategies for combating dengue fever transmission.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Gerhart Knerer
- Mathematics, University of Southampton, Highfield Southampton, SO17 1BJ, UK,
| | | | | |
Collapse
|
20
|
Figueira-Mansur J, Ferreira-Pereira A, Mansur JF, Franco TA, Alvarenga ESL, Sorgine MHF, Neves BC, Melo ACA, Leal WS, Masuda H, Moreira MF. Silencing of P-glycoprotein increases mortality in temephos-treated Aedes aegypti larvae. INSECT MOLECULAR BIOLOGY 2013; 22:648-658. [PMID: 23980723 DOI: 10.1111/imb.12052] [Citation(s) in RCA: 61] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/02/2023]
Abstract
Re-emergence of vector-borne diseases such as dengue and yellow fever, which are both transmitted by the Aedes aegypti mosquito, has been correlated with insecticide resistance. P-glycoproteins (P-gps) are ATP-dependent efflux pumps that are involved in the transport of substrates across membranes. Some of these proteins have been implicated in multidrug resistance (MDR). In this study, we identified a putative P-glycoprotein in the Ae. aegypti database based on its significantly high identity with Anopheles gambiae, Culex quinquefasciatus, Drosophila melanogaster and human P-gps. The basal ATPase activity of ATP-binding cassette transporters in larvae was significantly increased in the presence of MDR modulators (verapamil and quinidine). An eightfold increase in Ae. aegypti P-gp (AaegP-gp) gene expression was detected in temephos-treated larvae as determined by quantitative PCR. To analyse the potential role of AaegP-gp in insecticide efflux, a temephos larvicide assay was performed in the presence of verapamil. The results showed an increase of 24% in temephos toxicity, which is in agreement with the efflux reversing effect. RNA interference (RNAi)-mediated silencing of the AaegP-gp gene caused a significant increase in temephos toxicity (57%). In conclusion, we have demonstrated for the first time in insects that insecticide-induced P-gp expression can be involved in the modulation of insecticide efflux.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- J Figueira-Mansur
- Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Instituto de Química, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil; Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Instituto de Bioquímica Médica, Programa de Biologia Molecular e Biotecnologia, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Collapse
|
21
|
Chu PY, Ke GM, Chen PC, Liu LT, Tsai YC, Tsai JJ. Spatiotemporal dynamics and epistatic interaction sites in dengue virus type 1: a comprehensive sequence-based analysis. PLoS One 2013; 8:e74165. [PMID: 24040199 PMCID: PMC3767619 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0074165] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/11/2013] [Accepted: 07/29/2013] [Indexed: 12/26/2022] Open
Abstract
The continuing threat of dengue fever necessitates a comprehensive characterisation of its epidemiological trends. Phylogenetic and recombination events were reconstructed based on 100 worldwide dengue virus (DENV) type 1 genome sequences with an outgroup (prototypes of DENV2-4). The phylodynamic characteristics and site-specific variation were then analysed using data without the outgroup. Five genotypes (GI-GV) and a ladder-like structure with short terminal branch topology were observed in this study. Apparently, the transmission of DENV1 was geographically random before gradual localising with human activity as GI-GIII in South Asia, GIV in the South Pacific, and GV in the Americas. Genotypes IV and V have recently shown higher population densities compared to older genotypes. All codon regions and all tree branches were skewed toward a negative selection, which indicated that their variation was restricted by protein function. Notably, multi-epistatic interaction sites were found in both PrM 221 and NS3 1730. Recombination events accumulated in regions E, NS3-NS4A, and particularly in region NS5. The estimated coevolution pattern also highlights the need for further study of the biological role of protein PrM 221 and NS3 1730. The recent transmission of emergent GV sublineages into Central America and Europe mandates closely monitoring of genotype interaction and succession.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Pei-Yu Chu
- Department of Medical Laboratory Science and Biotechnology, College of Health Sciences, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
| | - Guan-Ming Ke
- Graduate Institute of Animal Vaccine Technology, National Pingtung University of Science and Technology, Neipu, Pingtung, Taiwan
| | - Po-Chih Chen
- Department of Medical Laboratory Science and Biotechnology, College of Health Sciences, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
- Tropical Medicine Center, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
| | - Li-Teh Liu
- Department of Medical Laboratory Science and Biotechnology, College of Medicine and Life Science, Chung-Hwa University of Medical Technology, Tainan, Taiwan
| | - Yen-Chun Tsai
- Tropical Medicine Center, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
| | - Jih-Jin Tsai
- Tropical Medicine Center, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
- Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, College of Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
- * E-mail:
| |
Collapse
|
22
|
Liang H, Luo L, Yang Z, Di B, Bai Z, He P, Jing Q, Zheng X. Re-emergence of dengue virus type 3 in Canton, China, 2009-2010, associated with multiple introductions through different geographical routes. PLoS One 2013; 8:e55353. [PMID: 23405138 PMCID: PMC3566136 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0055353] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/14/2012] [Accepted: 12/27/2012] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Endemic dengue virus type 3 (DENV-3) infections have not been reported in Canton, China, since 1980. In March 2009, DENV-3 was isolated for the second time, occurring about 30 years after the previous circulation. In August, 3 other cases emerged. One much larger outbreak occurred again in 2010. To address the origin and particularly to determine whether the outbreaks were caused by the same viral genotype, we investigated the epidemiological and molecular characteristics of the introduction, spread and genetic microevolution of DENV-3 involved. Methodology/Principal Findings Three imported cases (index-1,2,3) separately traveled back from Vietnam, India and Tanzania, resulted in 1, 3 and 60 secondary autochthonous cases, respectively. In autochthonous cases, 64.6% positive in IgM anti-DENV and 18.6% in IgG from a total of 48 submitted serum samples, accompanied by 7 DENV-3 isolates. With 99.8%, 99.7%, and 100% envelope gene nucleotidic identity, 09/GZ/1081 from index-1 and endemic strain (09/GZ/1483) belonged to genotype V; 09/GZ/10616 from index-2 and endemic strains (09/GZ/11144 and 09/GZ/11194) belonged to genotype III Clade-A; and 10/GZ/4898 from index-3 and all four 2010 endemic DENV-3 strains belonged to genotype III Clade-B, respectively. Conclusions/Significance Both epidemiological and phylogenetic analyses showed that the 2010 outbreak of dengue was not a reemergence of the 2009 strain. Introductions of different genotypes following more than one route were important contributory factors for the 2009–2010 dengue epidemics/outbreaks in Canton. These findings underscore the importance of early detection and case management of imported case in preventing large-scale dengue epidemics among indigenous peoples of Canton.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Huiying Liang
- Department of Primary Public Health, Canton Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Canton, Guangdong Province, People’s Republic of China
| | - Lei Luo
- Department of Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Canton Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Canton, Guangdong Province, People’s Republic of China
| | - Zhicong Yang
- Department of Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Canton Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Canton, Guangdong Province, People’s Republic of China
- * E-mail:
| | - Biao Di
- Department of Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Canton Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Canton, Guangdong Province, People’s Republic of China
| | - Zhijun Bai
- Department of Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Canton Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Canton, Guangdong Province, People’s Republic of China
| | - Peng He
- Department of Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Canton Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Canton, Guangdong Province, People’s Republic of China
| | - Qinlong Jing
- Department of Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Canton Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Canton, Guangdong Province, People’s Republic of China
| | - Xueli Zheng
- School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, Southern Medical University, Canton, Guangdong Province, People’s Republic of China
| |
Collapse
|
23
|
Wettstein ZS, Fleming M, Chang AY, Copenhaver DJ, Wateska AR, Bartsch SM, Lee BY, Kulkarni RP. Total economic cost and burden of dengue in Nicaragua: 1996-2010. Am J Trop Med Hyg 2012; 87:616-22. [PMID: 22890033 DOI: 10.4269/ajtmh.2012.12-0146] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/07/2022] Open
Abstract
The burden of dengue in Nicaragua has been steadily rising during the last three decades; however, there have been few efforts to quantify the burden (measured in disability-adjusted life years [DALYs]) and cost to society. Using primary data from the Nicaraguan Ministry of Health (MINSA), the total cost and burden of dengue were calculated from 1996 to 2010. Total costs included both direct costs from medical expenditures and prevention activities and indirect costs from lost productivity. The annual disease burden ranged from 99 to 805 DALYs per million, with a majority associated with classic dengue fever. The total cost was estimated to be US$13.5 million/year (range: US$5.1-27.6 million). This analysis can help improve allocation of dengue control resources in Nicaragua and the region. As one of the most comprehensive analyses of its type to date in Nicaragua and Latin America, this study can serve as a model to determine the burden and cost of dengue.
Collapse
|
24
|
Prevalence of Acanthamoeba spp. (Sarcomastigophora: Acanthamoebidae) in wild populations of Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae). Parasitol Res 2012; 111:2017-22. [PMID: 22828934 DOI: 10.1007/s00436-012-3050-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/18/2012] [Accepted: 07/13/2012] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
Studies of interrelationship between microorganisms and mosquitoes are of great importance, since it can provide support for better understand related to biology, development and their control. In this way, it is known that mosquito larvae and free-living amoebae (FLA) normally occupy similar aquatic microhabitats. However, few studies have been conducted about such coexistence. For that reason, the objective of the present study was to verify the prevalence of Acanthamoeba spp. in wild populations of Aedes aegypti, as well as to characterize the genotypic lineage, and their possible pathogenicity through thermo- and osmotolerance. Amoebae were investigated in 60 pools, each containing ten larvae of A. aegypti, collected in Porto Alegre (Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil). The Acanthamoeba isolates were morphologically characterized and submitted to the polymerase chain reaction technique to confirm identification of the genus. In addition, genotype analyses as well as tests for presumptive pathogenicity in some samples were performed. Of the 60 pools examined, 54 (90 %) were positive for FLA. Of these isolates, 47 (87 %) belonged to the genus Acanthamoeba. The genotypic groups T4, T3 and T5 were identified, numbering 14 (53.8 %), ten (38.5 %) and two (7.7 %) isolates, respectively. The physiological tests performed with 14 strains showed that 12 (85.7 %) were non-pathogenic, while two (14.3 %) were considered as having low pathogenic potential. These results provide a basis for a better understanding of the interaction between these protozoan and mosquitoes in their natural habitat. This study is the first to report the isolation of Acanthamoeba spp. from wild mosquitoes.
Collapse
|
25
|
Jing QL, Yang ZC, Luo L, Xiao XC, Di B, He P, Fu CX, Wang M, Lu JH. Emergence of dengue virus 4 genotype II in Guangzhou, China, 2010: survey and molecular epidemiology of one community outbreak. BMC Infect Dis 2012; 12:87. [PMID: 22497881 PMCID: PMC3375192 DOI: 10.1186/1471-2334-12-87] [Citation(s) in RCA: 37] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/21/2011] [Accepted: 04/12/2012] [Indexed: 01/24/2023] Open
Abstract
Background The re-emergence of dengue virus 4 (DENV-4) has become a public health concern in South America, Southeast Asia and South Asia. However, it has not been known to have caused a local outbreak in China for the past 20 years. The purpose of this study was to elucidate the epidemiology of one local community outbreak caused by DENV-4 in Guangzhou city, China, in 2010; and to determine the molecular characteristics of the genotype II virus involved. Case presentations During September and October of 2010, one imported case, a Guangzhou resident who travelled back from Thailand, resulted in 18 secondary autochthonous cases in Guangzhou City, with an incidence rate of 5.53 per 10,000 residents. In indigenous cases, 14 serum samples tested positive for IgM against DENV and 7 for IgG from a total of 15 submitted serum samples, accompanied by 5 DENV-4 isolates. With identical envelope gene nucleotide sequences, the two isolates (D10168-GZ from the imported index case and Guangzhou 10660 from the first isolate in the autochthonous cases) were grouped into DENV-4 genotype II after comparison to 32 previous DENV-4 isolates from GenBank that originated from different areas. Conclusions Based on epidemiological and phylogenetic analyses, the outbreak, which was absent for 20 years after the DENV-4 genotype I outbreak in 1990, was confirmed as DENV-4 genotype II and initially traced to the imported index case, a Guangzhou resident who travelled back from Thailand.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Qin-Long Jing
- Guangzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, People's Republic of China.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Collapse
|
26
|
First report on susceptibility of wild Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae) using Carapa guianensis (Meliaceae) and Copaifera sp. (Leguminosae). Parasitol Res 2011; 110:699-705. [PMID: 21779861 DOI: 10.1007/s00436-011-2545-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/24/2011] [Accepted: 07/01/2011] [Indexed: 10/18/2022]
Abstract
Oils of Carapa guianensis and Copaifera spp. are well known in the Amazonian region as natural insect repellent, and studies have reported their efficiency as larvicide against some laboratory mosquito species. However, in wild populations of mosquitoes, these oils have not yet been evaluated. Thus, the objective of this study was to investigate their efficiency as larvicide in wild populations of Aedes aegypti with a history of exposure to organophosphate. The susceptibility of larvae was determined under three different temperatures, 15°C, 20°C, and 30°C. For each test, 1,000 larvae were used (late third instar and early fourth instar-four replicates of 25 larvae per concentration). Statistical tests were used to identify significant differences. The results demonstrated that as the laboratory A. aegypti, the wild populations of A. aegypti were also susceptible to C. guianensis and Copaifera sp. oils. The lethal concentrations for Copaifera sp. ranged from LC(50) 47 to LC(90) 91 (milligrams per liter), and for C. guianensis, they were LC(50) 136 to LC(90) 551 (milligrams per liter). In relation to different temperature, the effectiveness of the oils on larvae mortality was directly related to the increase of temperature, and better results were observed for temperature at 25°C. The results presented here indicate the potential larvicidal activity of C. guianensis and species of Copaifera, in populations of A. aegypti from the wild. Therefore, the results presented here are very important since such populations are primarily responsible for transmitting the dengue virus in the environment.
Collapse
|