The cost-burden of paediatric pneumococcal disease in the UK and the potential cost-effectiveness of prevention using 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine

Methods of assessing value for money of UK-based early childhood public health interventions: a systematic literature review

INTRODUCTION

Economic evaluation has an important role to play in the demonstration of value for money of early childhood public health interventions; however, concerns have been raised regarding their consistent application and relevance to commissioners. This systematic review of the literature therefore aims to collate the breadth of the existing economic evaluation evidence of these interventions and to identify the approaches adopted in the assessment of value.

SOURCE OF DATA

Recently published literature in Medline, EMBASE, EconLit, Health Management Information Consortium, Cochrane CENTRAL, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Health Technology Assessment, NHS EED and Web of Science.

AREAS OF AGREEMENT

The importance of the early childhood period on future health and well-being as well as the potential to impact health inequalities making for a strong narrative case for expenditure in early childhood public health.

AREAS OF CONTROVERSY

The most appropriate approaches to evaluating value for money of such preventative interventions relevant for UK decision-makers given the evident challenges.

GROWING POINTS

The presented review considered inconsistencies across methodological approaches used to demonstrate value for money. The results showed a mixed picture in terms of demonstrating value for money.

AREAS TIMELY FOR DEVELOPING RESEARCH

Future resource allocations decisions regarding early childhood public health interventions may benefit from consistency in the evaluative frameworks and health outcomes captured, as well as consistency in approaches to incorporating non-health costs and outcomes, incorporating equity concerns and the use of appropriate time horizons.

Evidence gaps in economic analyses of hearing healthcare: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Hearing loss is a common and costly medical condition. This systematic review sought to identify evidence gaps in published model-based economic analyses addressing hearing loss to inform model development for an ongoing Lancet Commission.

METHODS

We searched the published literature through 14 June 2020 and our inclusion criteria included decision model-based cost-effectiveness analyses that addressed diagnosis, treatment, or prevention of hearing loss. Two investigators screened articles for inclusion at the title, abstract, and full-text levels. Data were abstracted and the studies were assessed for the qualities of model structure, data assumptions, and reporting using a previously published quality scale.

FINDINGS

Of 1437 articles identified by our search, 117 unique studies met the inclusion criteria. Most of these model-based analyses were set in high-income countries (n = 96, 82%). The evaluated interventions were hearing screening (n = 35, 30%), cochlear implantation (n = 34, 29%), hearing aid use (n = 28, 24%), vaccination (n = 22, 19%), and other interventions (n = 29, 25%); some studies included multiple interventions. Eighty-six studies reported the main outcome in quality-adjusted or disability-adjusted life-years, 24 of which derived their own utility values. The majority of the studies used decision tree (n = 72, 62%) or Markov (n = 41, 35%) models. Forty-one studies (35%) incorporated indirect economic effects. The median quality rating was 92/100 (IQR:72-100).

INTERPRETATION

The review identified a large body of literature exploring the economic efficiency of hearing healthcare interventions. However, gaps in evidence remain in evaluation of hearing healthcare in low- and middle-income countries, as well as in investigating interventions across the lifespan. Additionally, considerable uncertainty remains around productivity benefits of hearing healthcare interventions as well as utility values for hearing-assisted health states. Future economic evaluations could address these limitations.

FUNDING

NCATS 3UL1-TR002553-03S3.

Pneumococcal Disease: A Systematic Review of Health Utilities, Resource Use, Costs, and Economic Evaluations of Interventions

BACKGROUND

Pneumococcal diseases cause substantial mortality, morbidity, and economic burden. Evidence on data inputs for economic evaluations of interventions targeting pneumococcal disease is critical.

OBJECTIVES

To summarize evidence on resource use, costs, health utilities, and cost-effectiveness for pneumococcal disease and associated interventions to inform future economic analyses.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, CINAHL, PsycINFO, EconLit, and Cochrane databases for peer-reviewed studies in English on pneumococcal disease that reported health utilities using direct or indirect valuation methods, resource use, costs, or cost-effectiveness of intervention programs, and summarized the evidence descriptively.

RESULTS

We included 383 studies: 9 reporting health utilities, 131 resource use, 160 economic costs of pneumococcal disease, 95 both resource use and costs, and 178 economic evaluations of pneumococcal intervention programs. Health state utility values ranged from 0 to 1 for both meningitis and otitis media and from 0.3 to 0.7 for both pneumonia and sepsis. Hospitalization was shortest for otitis media (range: 0.1-5 days) and longest for sepsis/septicemia (6-48). The main categories of costs reported were drugs, hospitalization, and household or employer costs. Resource use was reported in hospital length of stay and number of contacts with general practitioners. Costs and resource use significantly varied among population ages, disease conditions, and settings. Current vaccination programs for both adults and children, antibiotic use and outreach programs to promote vaccination, early disease detection, and educational programs are cost-effective in most countries.

CONCLUSION

This study has generated a comprehensive repository of health economic evidence on pneumococcal disease that can be used to inform future economic evaluations of pneumococcal disease intervention programs.

Prevnar 7 Childhood Immunization Program and Serotype Replacement: Changes in Pneumococcal Incidence and Resulting Impact on Health Care Costs in Alberta (2003-2008)

OBJECTIVE

Acute respiratory tract infections caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae are a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in young children and the elderly. In 2002, Alberta introduced a pneumococcal universal immunization program for children, using Pfizer's Prevnar 7, a 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7). In this study, we explored the impact of the immunization program on the burden of disease and related health care costs in Alberta, in the context of serotype replacement.

METHODS

Using surveillance data from Alberta, we examined the change in costs averted as a result of a decline in invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) cases caused by PCV7 serotypes, as well as the increase in costs due to serotype replacement. We also calculated the magnitude of positive externalities (indirect effects) in terms of costs averted.

RESULTS

We found that following the introduction of PCV7 (2003-2008), the number of cases of IPD caused by vaccine serotypes declined significantly across all ages. Non-PCV7 IPD cases, on the other hand, increased. Net costs were averted as a result of the implementation of PCV7 universal vaccination in Alberta, after accounting for serotype replacement.

CONCLUSION

On the basis of the analysis of serotype-specific pneumococcal data, the impact of the Prevnar public immunization program on direct health costs averted in Alberta as a result of reducing IPD cases caused by PCV7 strains amounted to $5.5 million (in 2008 Canadian dollars). However, the unintended effects of serotype replacement resulted in costs incurred of nearly $1.9 million. As a result, on net, the total cost savings for Alberta amounted to about $3.6 million. Irrespective of serotype replacement, the PCV7 immunization program has had a positive impact in terms of health benefits, which translates into health service costs averted.

Estimating the potential annual welfare impact of innovative drugs in use in Switzerland

Expenditures of health care systems are increasing from year to year. Therefore, this study aimed to estimate the difference in costs and benefits of innovative pharmaceuticals launched 2000 onward compared to standard treatment on the national economy of Switzerland in 2010. The approach and formula described in the pilot study by Tsiachristas et al. (1), which analyzed the situation of welfare effects in the Netherlands, served as a model for our own calculations. A literature search was performed to identify cost-utility or cost-effectiveness studies of drugs launched 2000 onward compared to standard treatment. All parameters required for the calculation of welfare effects were derived from these analyses. The base-case threshold value of a quality-adjusted life year was set to CHF 100,000. Overall, 31 drugs were included in the welfare calculations. The introduction of innovative pharmaceuticals since 2000 onward to the Swiss market led to a potential welfare gain of about CHF 781 million in the year 2010. Univariate sensitivity analysis showed that results were robust. Probably because of the higher benefits of new drugs on health and quality of life compared to standard treatment, these drugs are worth the higher costs. The literature search revealed that there is a lack of information about the effects of innovative pharmaceuticals on the overall economy of Switzerland. Our study showed that potential welfare gains in 2010 by introducing innovative pharmaceuticals to the Swiss market were substantial. Considering costs and benefits of new drugs is important.

Systematic review of incremental non-vaccine cost estimates used in cost-effectiveness analysis on the introduction of rotavirus and pneumococcal vaccines

OBJECTIVE

To review the approaches used in the cost-effectiveness analysis (CEAs) literature to estimate the cost of expanded program on immunization (EPI) activities, other than vaccine purchase, for rotavirus and pneumococcal vaccines.

METHODS

A systematic review in PubMed and NHS EED databases of rotavirus and pneumococcal vaccines CEAs was done. Selected articles were read and information on how EPI costs were calculated was extracted. EPI costing approaches were classified according to the method or assumption used for estimation.

RESULTS

Seventy-nine studies that evaluated cost effectiveness of rotavirus (n=43) or pneumococcal (n=36) vaccines were identified. In general, there are few details on how EPI costs other than vaccine procurement were estimated. While 30 studies used some measurement of that cost, only one study on pneumococcal vaccine used a primary cost evaluation (bottom-up costing analysis) and one study used a costing tool. Twenty-seven studies (17 on rotavirus and 10 on pneumococcal vaccine) assumed the non-vaccine costs. Five studies made no reference to additional costs. Fourteen studies (9 rotavirus and 5 pneumococcal) did not consider any additional EPI cost beyond vaccine procurement. For rotavirus studies, the median for non-vaccine cost per dose was US$0.74 in developing countries and US$6.39 in developed countries. For pneumococcal vaccines, the median for non-vaccine cost per dose was US$1.27 in developing countries and US$8.71 in developed countries.

CONCLUSIONS

Many pneumococcal (52.8%) and rotavirus (60.4%) cost-effectiveness analyses did not consider additional EPI costs or used poorly supported assumptions. Ignoring EPI costs in addition to those for vaccine procurement in CEA analysis of new vaccines may lead to significant errors in the estimations of ICERs since several factors like personnel, cold chain, or social mobilization can be substantially affected by the introduction of new vaccines.

Cost-effectiveness studies of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines

The 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine is licensed in many countries for the prevention of pediatric pneumococcal disease. The vaccine is known to be highly immunogenic in infants and young children, and has been shown to be efficacious not only in decreasing disease in pediatric age groups but also in adults through herd immunity. Cost-effectiveness analyses of this vaccine have been performed in a number of countries. The present review compiles, summarizes and critiques these analyses. The range of values for cost-effectiveness, as measured in cost per life-years gained, in the studies reviewed, ranges from 14,000 US dollars to 147,000 US dollars with one outlier at 504,000 US dollars. For cost per quality-adjusted life years the range is 26,000 US dollars to 66,000 US dollars. Recommendations for the use of the vaccine will take account not only of these ratios but also of the absolute burden of disease. Performing cost-effectiveness analyses for healthcare interventions in infants and children is one means of redressing inequalities.

Potential cost-effectiveness of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) in Turkey

BACKGROUND

Pneumococcal infection is an important and preventable cause of morbidity and mortality. The Turkish government introduced 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) into the national immunization program in 2009. This suggests that replacing 7-valent PCV with a higher-valent version could at least maintain "standard of care" if not improve it, and that it could be affordable.

OBJECTIVES AND METHODS

The aim of this analysis was to assess the potential direct cost-effectiveness of 13-valent PCV in Turkey, a country with a birth cohort of 1.4 million, against a "no vaccine" state, against the default 7-valent PCV state, and against a 10-valent PCV state, using a published cohort model with a 5-year horizon.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

The cost per life-year gained is below the 1 × per-capita gross domestic product threshold across large changes in key input parameters, indicating that the model is stable and suggesting that any PCV would be very cost-effective in a Turkish national pediatric immunization schedule.

Cost-utility analysis of 10- and 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines: protection at what price in the Thai context?

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to evaluate the costs and outcomes of offering the 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) and 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) in Thailand compared to the current situation of no PCV vaccination.

METHODS

Two vaccination schedules were considered: two-dose primary series plus a booster dose (2+1) and three-dose primary series plus a booster dose (3+1). A cost-utility analysis was conducted using a societal perspective. A Markov simulation model was used to estimate the relevant costs and health outcomes for a lifetime horizon. Costs were collected and values were calculated for the year 2010. The results were reported as incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) in Thai Baht (THB) per quality adjusted life year (QALY) gained, with future costs and outcomes being discounted at 3% per annum. One-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis using a Monte Carlo simulation were performed to assess parameter uncertainty.

RESULTS

Under the base case-scenario of 2+1 dose schedule and a five-year protection, without indirect vaccine effects, the ICER for PCV10 and PCV13 were THB 1,368,072 and THB 1,490,305 per QALY gained, respectively. With indirect vaccine effects, the ICER of PCV10 was THB 519,399, and for PCV13 was THB 527,378. The model was sensitive to discount rate, the change in duration of vaccine protection and the incidence of pneumonia for all age groups.

CONCLUSIONS

At current prices, PCV10 and PCV13 are not cost-effective in Thailand. Inclusion of indirect vaccine effects substantially reduced the ICERs for both vaccines, but did not result in cost effectiveness.

[Hospital costs related to streptococcal meningitis among children in São José dos Campos, São Paulo State, Brazil]

Knowledge of hospital costs is highly important for public health decision-making. This study aimed to estimate direct hospital costs related to pneumococcal meningitis in children 13 years or younger in the city of São José dos Campos, São Paulo State, Brazil, from January 1999 to December 2008. Data were obtained from medical records. Hospital costs were calculated according to the mixed method for measurement of quantities of items with identified costs and value attribution to items consumed (micro-costing and gross-costing). All costs were calculated according to monetary values for November 2009 and in Brazilian currency (Real). Epi Info 3.5.1 was used for frequencies and means analysis. Forty-one cases were reported. Direct hospital costs varied from R$ 1,277.90 to R$ 19,887.56 (mean = R$ 5,666.43), or 10 to 20 times the mean cost of hospitalization for other diseases. Hospital staff labor was the highest cost, followed by medication, procedures, supplies, and lab tests.

Pneumococcal conjugate vaccine: review of cost-effectiveness studies in Australia, North America and Europe

The pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) is the first vaccine proven to be effective in reducing the incidence of invasive pneumococcal disease, pneumonia and acute otitis media in children, and has been recommended for universal use in children in a number of high-income countries. The high cost of the vaccine relative to previous vaccines has generated interest in assessing its cost-effectiveness and numerous cost-effectiveness analyses of PCV have been performed in Australia, North America and Europe. The primary objectives of this review are to enhance the ability to make direct comparisons between these analyses, to aid in the identification and interpretation of methodological differences and to summarize the findings. Although these studies varied greatly in terms of methodology and assumptions, if and when indirect effects and quality-of-life improvements are taken into account, the cost-effectiveness ratios of PCV in these countries are likely to be within the ranges generally considered favorable vis-à-vis other health interventions.

Cost-effectiveness of 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine: Germany, Greece, and The Netherlands

BACKGROUND

Seven-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) had profound public-health impacts and is considered cost-effective and potentially cost saving. Two new PCVs have been launched, a 10-valent vaccine (PCV10) and a 13-valent vaccine (PCV13). We examined public-health and economic impacts of PCV pediatric national immunization programs (NIPs) in Germany, Greece, and the Netherlands.

METHODS

A decision-analytic model was developed to estimate the impact of PCV13, PCV7, and 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) on invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), pneumonia (PNE), and acute otitis media (AOM). Using epidemiological data, we calculated the cases of IPD, PNE, and AOM, using country-specific incidence, serotype coverage, disease sequelae, mortality, vaccine effectiveness, indirect effects, costs, and utilities. Direct effects for PCV13- and PCV10-covered serotypes were assumed similar to PCV7. PCV13 was assumed to confer an indirect effect, while PCV10 was not. Assumptions were tested in sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

In a NIP, PCV13 was estimated to eliminate 31.7%, 46.4%, and 33.8% of IPD in Germany, Greece, and the Netherlands, respectively. Compared with PCV7 and PCV10, PCV13 was found to be cost-effective or cost saving in all cases when PCV13 indirect effects were included.

CONCLUSIONS

Pediatric NIPs with PCV13 in Europe are expected to have dramatic public-health impacts and be cost-effective or cost saving.

Impact of routine PCV7 (Prevenar) vaccination of infants on the clinical and economic burden of pneumococcal disease in Malaysia

BACKGROUND

Pneumococcal disease is the leading cause of vaccine-preventable death in children younger than 5 years of age worldwide. The World Health Organization recommends pneumococcal conjugate vaccine as a priority for inclusion into national childhood immunization programmes. Pneumococcal vaccine has yet to be included as part of the national vaccination programme in Malaysia although it has been available in the country since 2005. This study sought to estimate the disease burden of pneumococcal disease in Malaysia and to assess the cost effectiveness of routine infant vaccination with PCV7.

METHODS

A decision model was adapted taking into consideration prevalence, disease burden, treatment costs and outcomes for pneumococcal disease severe enough to result in a hospital admission. Disease burden were estimated from the medical records of 6 hospitals. Where local data was unavailable, model inputs were obtained from international and regional studies and from focus group discussions. The model incorporated the effects of herd protection on the unvaccinated adult population.

RESULTS

At current vaccine prices, PCV7 vaccination of 90% of a hypothetical 550,000 birth cohort would incur costs of RM 439.6 million (US$128 million). Over a 10 year time horizon, vaccination would reduce episodes of pneumococcal hospitalisation by 9,585 cases to 73,845 hospitalisations with cost savings of RM 37.5 million (US$10.9 million) to the health system with 11,422.5 life years saved at a cost effectiveness ratio of RM 35,196 (US$10,261) per life year gained.

CONCLUSIONS

PCV7 vaccination of infants is expected to be cost-effective for Malaysia with an incremental cost per life year gained of RM 35,196 (US$10,261). This is well below the WHO's threshold for cost effectiveness of public health interventions in Malaysia of RM 71,761 (US$20,922).

Pneumococcal conjugate vaccination in Canadian infants and children younger than five years of age: Recommendations and expected benefits

INTRODUCTION

Streptococcus pneumoniae infection may result in invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), such as bacteremia, meningitis and bacteremic pneumonia, or in non-IPD, such as pneumonia, sinusitis and otitis media. In June 2001, a heptavalent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) (Prevnar, Wyeth Pharmaceuticals, Canada) was approved for use in children in Canada. The objective of the present paper is to review S pneumoniae-induced disease incidence and vaccine recommendations in Canadian infants and children younger than five years of age. Particular attention is given to the expected benefits of vaccination in Canada based on postmarketing data and economic modelling.

METHODS

Searches were performed on PubMed and Web of Science databases and specific Canadian journals using the key words 'pneumococc*', 'vaccine', 'conjugate', 'infant' and 'Canadian'.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

PCV7 appears to be safe and effective against IPD and non-IPD in children younger than five years of age and, more importantly, in children younger than two years of age (who are at highest risk for IPD). An examination of postmarketing data showed a reduction in incidence of pneumococcal disease in age groups that were vaccinated and in older age groups, indicating the likelihood of herd protection. Concurrently, there was a reduction in the occurrence of antimicrobial-resistant isolates.

CONCLUSIONS

The results from the present review suggest that PCV7 is currently benefiting Canadian children and society by lowering S pneumoniae-associated disease. Additional gains from herd protection and further reductions in antimicrobial resistance will be achieved as more Canadian children younger than five years of age are routinely vaccinated with PCV7.

Cost effectiveness of pediatric pneumococcal conjugate vaccines: a comparative assessment of decision-making tools

BACKGROUND

Several decision support tools have been developed to aid policymaking regarding the adoption of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) into national pediatric immunization programs. The lack of critical appraisal of these tools makes it difficult for decision makers to understand and choose between them. With the aim to guide policymakers on their optimal use, we compared publicly available decision-making tools in relation to their methods, influential parameters and results.

METHODS

The World Health Organization (WHO) requested access to several publicly available cost-effectiveness (CE) tools for PCV from both public and private provenance. All tools were critically assessed according to the WHO's guide for economic evaluations of immunization programs. Key attributes and characteristics were compared and a series of sensitivity analyses was performed to determine the main drivers of the results. The results were compared based on a standardized set of input parameters and assumptions.

RESULTS

Three cost-effectiveness modeling tools were provided, including two cohort-based (Pan-American Health Organization (PAHO) ProVac Initiative TriVac, and PneumoADIP) and one population-based model (GlaxoSmithKline's SUPREMES). They all compared the introduction of PCV into national pediatric immunization program with no PCV use. The models were different in terms of model attributes, structure, and data requirement, but captured a similar range of diseases. Herd effects were estimated using different approaches in each model. The main driving parameters were vaccine efficacy against pneumococcal pneumonia, vaccine price, vaccine coverage, serotype coverage and disease burden. With a standardized set of input parameters developed for cohort modeling, TriVac and PneumoADIP produced similar incremental costs and health outcomes, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios.

CONCLUSIONS

Vaccine cost (dose price and number of doses), vaccine efficacy and epidemiology of critical endpoint (for example, incidence of pneumonia, distribution of serotypes causing pneumonia) were influential parameters in the models we compared. Understanding the differences and similarities of such CE tools through regular comparisons could render decision-making processes in different countries more efficient, as well as providing guiding information for further clinical and epidemiological research. A tool comparison exercise using standardized data sets can help model developers to be more transparent about their model structure and assumptions and provide analysts and decision makers with a more in-depth view behind the disease dynamics. Adherence to the WHO guide of economic evaluations of immunization programs may also facilitate this process. Please see related article: http://www.biomedcentral.com/1741-7007/9/55.

Cost effectiveness of pneumococcal conjugate vaccination against acute otitis media in children: a review

While pneumococcal conjugate vaccines have shown to be highly effective against invasive pneumococcal disease, their potential effectiveness against acute otitis media (AOM) might become a major economic driver for implementing these vaccines in national immunization programmes. However, the relationship between the costs and benefits of available vaccines remains a controversial topic. Our objective is to systematically review the literature on the cost effectiveness of pneumococcal conjugate vaccination against AOM in children. We searched PubMed, Cochrane and the Centre for Reviews and Dissemination databases (Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects [DARE], NHS Economic Evaluation Database [NHS EED] and Health Technology Assessment database [HTA]) from inception until 18 February 2010. We used the following keywords with their synonyms: 'otitis media', 'children', 'cost-effectiveness', 'costs' and 'vaccine'. Costs per AOM episode averted were calculated based on the information in this literature. A total of 21 studies evaluating the cost effectiveness of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines were included. The quality of the included studies was moderate to good. The cost per AOM episode averted varied from &U20AC;168 to &U20AC;4214, and assumed incidence rates varied from 20,952 to 118,000 per 100,000 children aged 0-10 years. Assumptions regarding direct and indirect costs varied between studies. The assumed vaccine efficacy of the 7-valent pneumococcal CRM197-conjugate vaccine was mainly adopted from two trials, which reported 6-8% efficacy. However, some studies assumed additional effects such as herd immunity or only took into account AOM episodes caused by serotypes included in the vaccine, which resulted in efficacy rates varying from 12% to 57%. Costs per AOM episode averted were inversely related to the assumed incidence rates of AOM and to the estimated costs per AOM episode. The median costs per AOM episode averted tended to be lower in industry-sponsored studies. Key assumptions regarding the incidence and costs of AOM episodes have major implications for the estimated cost effectiveness of pneumococcal conjugate vaccination against AOM. Uniform methods for estimating direct and indirect costs of AOM should be agreed upon to reliably compare the cost effectiveness of available and future pneumococcal vaccines against AOM.

Public health and economic impact of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) in the United States

The 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) has dramatically decreased pneumococcal disease incidence, and the 13-valent vaccine (PCV13) protects against 6 additional Streptococcus pneumoniae serotypes. A decision-analytic model was constructed to evaluate the impact of infant vaccination with PCV13 versus PCV7 on pneumococcal disease incidence and mortality as well as the incremental benefit of a serotype catch-up program. PCV13 effectiveness was extrapolated from observed PCV7 data, using assumptions regarding serotype prevalence and PCV13 protection against additional serotypes. The model predicts that PCV13 is more effective and cost saving compared with PCV7, preventing 106,000 invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) cases and 2.9 million pneumonia cases, and saving $11.6 billion over a 10-year period. The serotype catch-up program would prevent an additional 12,600 IPD cases and 404,000 pneumonia cases, and save an additional $737 million compared with no catch-up program.

MUC5B Is the predominant mucin glycoprotein in chronic otitis media fluid

Chronic otitis media (COM), e.g. "glue" ear is characterized by middle ear effusion and conductive hearing loss. Although mucous glycoproteins (mucins), which contribute to increased effusion viscosity, have been analyzed in ear tissue specimens, no studies have been reported that characterize the molecular identity of secreted mucin proteins present in actual middle ear fluid. For this study, effusions from children with COM undergoing myringotomy at Children's National Medical Center, Washington, DC were collected. These were solubilized and gel fractionated, and the protein content was identified using a liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS) proteomics approach. Western blot analyses with mucin specific antibodies and densitometry were performed to validate the mass spectrometry findings. LC-MS/MS results identified mucin MUC5B by >26 unique peptides in six of six middle ear effusion samples, whereas mucin MUC5AC was only identified in one of six middle ear effusions. These findings were validated by Western blot performed on the same six and on an additional 11 separate samples where densitometry revealed on average a 6.4-fold increased signal in MUC5B when compared with MUC5AC (p = 0.0009). In summary, although both MUC5AC and MUC5B mucins are detected in middle ear effusions, MUC5B seems to be predominant mucin present in COM secretions.

The risk of sequelae due to pneumococcal meningitis in high-income countries: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

To determine the risk of various kinds of sequelae in survivors of meningitis due to Streptococcus pneumoniae, as well as the influence of co-factors such as study design, study population and treatment on this risk.

METHODS

MEDLINE, EMBASE and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) were searched from 1 September 1991 to 18 June 2009 for original articles on pneumococcal meningitis sequelae. Prevalence of sequelae was pooled using random effects meta-analysis. Studies were appraised for the influence of referral bias, external validity of study populations, testing procedure and publication bias.

RESULTS

Data were extracted from 63 studies involving 3408 pneumococcal meningitis survivors. The pooled prevalence of any reported sequelae from 48 studies was 31.7% (95% confidence interval 27.2-36.3%) using a random effects model (Cochran-Q = 277, p < 0.01). Differences in studies due to design, study population and treatment were not significant. The pooled prevalence of hearing loss, seizures, hydrocephalus, spasticity/paresis, cranial nerve palsies and visual impairment was 20.9% (17.1-24.7%), 6.5% (3.3-9.7%), 6.8% (3.3-10.2%), 8.7% (6.4-11.0%), 12.2% (5.3-19.1%) and 2.4% (0-5.7%) respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The burden of sequelae due to pneumococcal meningitis remains high in the reviewed studies.

Public health and economic impact of vaccination with 7-valent pneumococcal vaccine (PCV7) in the context of the annual influenza epidemic and a severe influenza pandemic

BACKGROUND

Influenza pandemic outbreaks occurred in the US in 1918, 1957, and 1968. Historical evidence suggests that the majority of influenza-related deaths during the 1918 US pandemic were attributable to bacterial pneumococcal infections. The 2009 novel influenza A (H1N1) outbreak highlights the importance of interventions that may mitigate the impact of a pandemic.

METHODS

A decision-analytic model was constructed to evaluate the impact of 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) on pneumococcal disease incidence and mortality during a typical influenza season (13/100) and a severe influenza pandemic (30/100). Outcomes were compared for current PCV7 vaccination practices vs. no vaccination. The model was estimated using published sources and includes indirect (herd) protection of non-vaccinated persons.

RESULTS

The model predicts that PCV7 vaccination in the US is cost saving for a normal influenza season, reducing pneumococcal-related costs by $1.6 billion. In a severe influenza pandemic, vaccination would save $7.3 billion in costs and prevent 512,000 cases of IPD, 719,000 cases of pneumonia, 62,000 IPD deaths, and 47,000 pneumonia deaths; 84% of deaths are prevented due to indirect (herd) protection in the unvaccinated.

CONCLUSIONS

PCV7 vaccination is highly effective and cost saving in both normal and severe pandemic influenza seasons. Current infant vaccination practices may prevent >1 million pneumococcal-related deaths in a severe influenza pandemic, primarily due to herd protection.

Economic evaluation of universal infant vaccination with 7vPCV in Hong Kong

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the clinical and economic benefits of routine infant vaccination with seven-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (7vPCV) in Hong Kong.

METHODS

A decision-analytic model was populated with local age-specific incidence data to simulate the expected health outcomes resulting from 7vPCV vaccination of a birth cohort of 57,100 children compared with an unvaccinated cohort over a 10-year horizon. Primary analyses were conducted from a payer perspective, using local inpatient and outpatient costs associated with the treatment of pneumococcal disease. Vaccine efficacy rates were consistent with results from pivotal clinical trials. The reduction in adult invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and associated cost avoidance due to the indirect effect of vaccination were estimated in line with published overseas rates.

RESULTS

Universal 7vPCV vaccination was estimated to prevent 524 cases of IPD and more than 2580 cases of otitis media in the birth cohort over a 10-year period, leading to a reduction of HK$28.7 million (US$3.7 million) in direct medical costs. Additional cost savings from the indirect prevention of 919 adult cases of IPD during this time period also resulted. Overall, 7vPCV vaccination was estimated to have an incremental cost per life-year gained of HK$50,456 (US$6460) from a payer perspective or HK$46,308 (US$5929) when both direct and indirect costs were included.

CONCLUSION

With reference to the World Health Organization's threshold for cost-effectiveness, results from this study indicate that routine infant vaccination with 7vPCV is a cost-effective intervention because of the added cost savings resulting from the indirect effect of vaccination on adult disease.

The impact of indirect (herd) protection on the cost-effectiveness of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine

BACKGROUND

The heptavalent pneumococcal polysaccharide-protein conjugate vaccine (PCV7) confers protection against invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) caused by serotypes that are responsible for substantial morbidity and mortality throughout the world. In 2000, the 7 serotypes covered by PCV7 accounted for 80% to 90% of serotypes isolated from the blood or cerebrospinal fluid of children aged <6 years in the United States. A previous review of the literature spanning the years 1998 to 2005 pertaining to the incidence of IPD among nonimmunized individuals in countries with universal PCV7 immunization suggested an indirect protective effect (herd protection, or community immunity) after widespread vaccination. Consideration of indirect protection against IPD may enhance cost-benefit evaluations of vaccination programs.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this analysis was to review the literature on cost-effectiveness analyses of PCV7 vaccination to determine whether inclusion of the indirect effect in decision-analysis models substantially affects the cost-effectiveness findings in favor of vaccination.

METHODS

A literature review of cost-effectiveness analyses of PCV7 vaccination was conducted using the DIMDI (Deutschen Institut fur Medizinische Dokumentation und Information) superbase, which comprises 12 databases, to identify articles published between January 2000 and October 2006 using the search terms 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine AND herd immunity/herd effect, and 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine AND cost-effectiveness, cost-utility, or cost-benefit analyses. Monetary values were converted to euros and inflated to 2006 values, and events avoided were converted to rates per 100,000 vaccinated to allow comparison across studies. The sensitivity analyses from the models that included indirect effects were examined.

RESULTS

There was wide variability in the health-economic results of the 16 studies that met the inclusion criteria. In studies that did not include indirect effects, the adjusted cost per life-year gained ranged from cost saving to euro140,723 from the societal perspective and from euro56,724 to euro324,218 from the payer perspective. In the 4 studies that included indirect effects, a significant and consistent improvement was seen in the health-economic results in favor of vaccination with PCV7. No trends in variability across time or geographic region were observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Indirect effects had a significant effect on cost-effectiveness, as seen in the sensitivity analyses. Future models should include indirect effects in evaluating the cost-effectiveness of PCV7.

Economic evaluation of pneumococcal conjugate vaccination in Finland

The aim of this study was to evaluate cost-effectiveness of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) in children <5 y of age. A Markov simulation model was used to compare the cost-effectiveness of 4 doses (assumed 50.5 euros per dose) of PCV7 with no intervention. Only direct effects of the vaccine were taken into account. In Finland, vaccination of a birth cohort of 57,500 healthy infants would potentially prevent annually 60 cases of invasive PD, 1,400 cases of pneumococcal pneumonia, 15,000 episodes of acute otitis media, 3,000 otological surgery procedures and 0.9 deaths in children aged <5 y. Investing 12.0 million euros to vaccinate a birth cohort would save annually 6.3 million euros in medical, and 2.0 million euros in productivity and other, costs. Therefore, investing 1 euros in a vaccination programme would return 0.53 euros in medical costs and 0.70 euros in societal costs. In the base case, vaccination would cost society 139,986 euros per life y gained. To achieve cost savings from a health care provider (societal) perspective, without considering herd effects or replacement phenomenon, the price of PCV7 should be 50% (70%) of the price used in the base case.

Cost effectiveness analysis of heptavalent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in Germany considering herd immunity effects

BACKGROUND

In Germany the heptavalent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) has been recommended as a general infant vaccination since 2006. Data from similar programmes in the USA have reported a reduction of pneumococcal diseases in both vaccinated and unvaccinated populations, suggesting herd immunity effects. This study analyses the cost-effectiveness of a general vaccination with PCV7 in Germany based on these findings.

METHODS

A Markov model adapts efficacy and herd immunity data to the German population. Further main model inputs are incidence, vaccination uptake, serotype distribution, case fatality rates, and vaccination and health-care costs.

RESULTS

A general vaccination with PCV7 would avoid about 232,000 pneumococcal infections and 1,879 premature deaths per year in Germany. From the health-care payer's perspective, direct cost savings would outweigh vaccination expenditures by a ratio of 1:1.16. The sensitivity analysis shows that these estimates are quite conservative.

CONCLUSION

Based on the health-economic evaluation, the authors recommend the continuation of the general recommendation of PCV7 according to the 3 + 1 schedule within the German Statutory Health Insurance.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of a universal vaccination programme with the 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV-7) in Sweden

The 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV-7) has proved to be highly effective against invasive pneumococcal disease and has also provided some protection against all-cause pneumonia and acute otitis media. The objective of this study was to evaluate the projected health benefits, costs and cost-effectiveness of vaccination with the 7-valent conjugated pneumococcal vaccine compared with no vaccination, in all infants in Sweden, taking herd immunity into account. A Markov model was used and a hypothetical birth cohort was simulated for a lifelong perspective. The results show that vaccination of 1 cohort could potentially prevent 9 cases of pneumococcal meningitis, 22 cases of pneumococcal septicaemia, 509 cases of hospitalized pneumonia, 7812 cases of acute otitis media, and 2.7 fatalities, among children 0-4 y of age and 6 episodes of pneumococcal meningitis and 167 cases of pneumococcal septicaemia among adults. The incremental cost per QALY and LY gained was estimated to Euro 29,200 and Euro 51,400, respectively. When herd immunity was accounted for, the cost per QALYand LY gained was estimated to Euro 5500 and Euro 6600, respectively. Thus, the health benefits of a national vaccination programmeme can be achieved within a 'moderate' or 'low' cost per QALY gained.

Cost-effectiveness of heptavalent conjugate pneumococcal vaccine (Prevenar) in Germany: considering a high-risk population and herd immunity effects

In Germany, the seven-valent conjugate vaccine Prevenar is recommended for use in children at high risk of pneumococcal disease. Recent data suggest that giving conjugate vaccine to all children may lead to a decline in pneumococcal disease in unvaccinated adults, a phenomenon known as herd immunity. This analysis evaluated the cost and economic consequences in Germany of vaccinating (1) children at high risk, (2) all children when considering only benefits for vaccinated individuals and (3) all children when also considering herd immunity benefits. Costs in the model included vaccination, management of meningitis, bacteraemia, pneumonia and acute otitis media, insurance payments to parents and the costs of care for long-term disabilities. The model estimated that the cost-effectiveness of vaccination would be 38,222 euros per life year gained in children at high risk and 100,636 euros per life year gained in all children when not considering herd immunity. When considering herd immunity effects, the model estimated that offering vaccination for all children would reduce adult deaths by 3,027 per year, and vaccination would be broadly cost neutral. The findings are sensitive to the effect of conjugate vaccine on the rates of pneumonia and invasive disease in the elderly. If the herd immunity effect of conjugate vaccination in Germany is similar to that observed elsewhere, offering vaccine to all children will be more attractive than the current policy of restricting vaccination to children at high risk of pneumococcal disease.

Convincing or confusing? Economic evaluations of childhood pneumococcal conjugate vaccination--a review (2002-2006)

We review 15 economic analyses of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines, published between 2002 and 2006, in terms of methodology, assumptions, results and conclusions. We found a great diversity in assumptions (eg, vaccine efficacy parameters, incidence rates for both invasive and non-invasive disease) mainly due to local variation in data and opinions. Accordingly, the results varied greatly, from total net savings to over euro 100,000 per discounted QALY gained. The cost of the vaccination program (determined by price per dose and schedule (4 or 3 doses, or fewer)), and likely herd immunity impacts are highly influential though rarely explored in these published studies. If the net long-term impact (determined by a mixture of effects related to herd immunity, serotype replacement, antibiotic resistance and cross reactivity) remains beneficial and if a 3-dose schedule confers near-equivalent protection to a 4-dose schedule, the cost-effectiveness of PCV7 vaccination programs can be viewed as attractive in developed countries.

Cost effectiveness of adding 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate (PCV-7) vaccine to the Norwegian childhood vaccination program

BACKGROUND

Streptococcus pneumoniae is a frequent bacterial cause of serious infections that may cause permanent sequelae and death. A 7-valent conjugate vaccine may reduce the incidence of pneumococcal disease, but some previous studies have questioned the cost-effectiveness of the vaccine. The aim of this study was to estimate costs and health consequences of adding this pneumococcal vaccine to the Norwegian childhood vaccination programme, taking the possibility of herd immunity into account.

METHODS

We developed a simulation model (Markov-model) using data on the risk of pneumococcal disease in Norway, the efficacy of the vaccine as observed in clinical trials from other countries and adjusted for serotype differences, the cost of the vaccine and quality of life for patients with sequelae from pneumococcal disease. The results were expressed as incremental (additional) costs (in euros; euro1.00 approximately NOK8.37), incremental life years and incremental quality adjusted life years. Four different sets of main results are presented: costs and (quality adjusted) life years, with and without indirect costs (the value of lost production due to work absenteeism) and with and without potential herd immunity (i.e. childhood vaccination protects adults against pneumococcal disease).

RESULTS

When indirect costs were disregarded, and four vaccine doses used, the incremental cost per life year gained was euro153,000 when herd immunity was included, and euro311,000 when it was not. When accounting for indirect costs as well, the cost per life year gained was euro58,000 and euro124,000, respectively. Assuming that three vaccine doses provide the same protection as four, the cost per life year gained with this regimen was euro90,000 with herd immunity and euro184,000 without (when indirect costs are disregarded). If indirect costs are also included, vaccination both saves costs and gains life years.

INTERPRETATION/CONCLUSION

In Norway, governmental guidelines indicate that only interventions with cost per life year of less than euro54,000 should be implemented. This implies that four dose vaccination is not cost-effective even if decision makers includes both herd immunity and indirect costs in their decisions. If three doses offer the same protection as four doses, however, vaccination would be cost-saving when indirect costs are included, but not with only herd immunity.

COMMENT

In the autumn of 2005, the Norwegian Government decided to include PCV-7 in the vaccination program. This analysis was used by the Ministry of Health and Ministry of Finance during the decision process.

Economics of rotavirus gastroenteritis and vaccination in Europe: what makes sense?

Rotavirus is a major cause of gastroenteritis in children throughout Europe and the world. In addition to causing morbidity and mortality in children, rotavirus gastroenteritis (RVGE) creates a major economic burden on health care systems and families in Europe. The costs of hospital admissions for RVGE and nosocomial infections generate significant medical treatment costs throughout the region. Less information is available on the costs associated with less severe episodes and the costs borne by families, including lost time from work. The availability of rotavirus vaccines presents an effective opportunity to prevent RVGE and these associated economic costs, as well as providing protection to each child and hence benefiting the child's family. The adoption of rotavirus vaccine by health authorities in Europe will require a comparison of the costs and benefits. Economic evaluations that compare the costs of vaccination to the economic benefits of rotavirus vaccination will provide an estimate of its financial impact on health care systems and society. However, to provide a complete picture, economic evaluations of rotavirus vaccines will need to account for both the reduced costs and the reduced morbidity from prevented RVGE. Cost-effectiveness analyses based on quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) provide a systematic approach for assessing vaccination as a health investment, comparing the incremental costs associated with rotavirus vaccination and the reduced morbidity and mortality. QALYs provide a standardized approach for quantifying and comparing reductions in health-related quality of life and premature mortality. Although methodologic limitations exist in applying the QALY approach to childhood vaccines, their use in cost effectiveness analyses allows decision makers to consider the full health benefits of rotavirus and other vaccines.

Cost-effectiveness of universal pneumococcal vaccination for infants in Italy

This study aimed at estimating the health and economic outcomes of universal infant vaccination with seven-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV-7) in Italy. A Markov model simulated lifetime evolution of a birth cohort (538,138 children): universal vaccination would avert 769 invasive infections, 18 deaths and 1323 life years. At base-case analysis, universal three-dose vaccination would cost euro 26,449 (95% CI: 1975-62,075) and euro 38,286 (95% CI: 22,164-70,801) per life year-saved in the societal and the NHS perspective, respectively. In the hypothesis of a 5-year long protection period, vaccination would cost euro 32,694 and euro 43,115 per life-year saved. Considering yearly incidence of invasive pneumococcal disease reported for Veneto and Sardinia regions, PCV-7 vaccination would result highly cost-effective determining a cost of euro 10,479 and euro 16,890 per life year-save in the NHS and the societal perspective, respectively.

The burden of pneumonia in children in the developed world

There are few comprehensive epidemiological studies of pneumonia in the developed world. Ascertainment and definition are important variables in the estimation of pneumonia incidence both in primary care and from hospital data. The available figures suggest a burden of disease in the order of 10-15 cases/1000 children per year and a hospital admission rate of 1-4/1000 per year. Both incidence and hospital admission are greatest in the youngest children and rapidly fall after the age of 5 years. In a majority of cases of community acquired pneumonia an organism is not identified. Viral infections are common and influenza A, B, respiratory syncitial virus (RSV) and parainfluenza 1, 2 and 3 are the most common viruses identified. Streptococcus pneumoniae is the most common bacterial cause. Broad brush calculations suggest that the NHS cost of childhood pneumonia in England is 6-8 million pound sterling per annum. This does not include family and social costs. There is potential for new vaccine strategies to decrease childhood pneumonia.

Pneumococcal pneumonia in the UK--how herd immunity affects the cost-effectiveness of 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV)

This study examines the potential clinical and economic benefits for adults arising from paediatric pneumococcal vaccination in the UK. A UK birth cohort model with a 10-year horizon and using a primary 4-dose paediatric 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) schedule was populated with 1999 morbidity and mortality data scaled up to the UK population. Herd immunity effects on adult pneumococcal hospital-treated pneumonia, meningitis and septicaemia, but not on community-treated pneumonia, were calculated using the lower end of the confidence intervals published for the effects in the US. Universal paediatric pneumococcal immunisation would prevent 1168 deaths (1141 adults) and 7147 cases (1791 adults constituted by 32 meningitis, 37 septicaemia and 1722 pneumonia) of serious pneumococcal infection (meningitis, septicaemia, pneumonia) with a resultant direct (payor) cost per life year gained of 4360 pounds. The 7-valent PCV appears to be highly cost effective.

Clinical features, aetiology and outcome of empyema in children in the north east of England

BACKGROUND

The incidence of empyema in children in the UK is increasing. The reason for this is unclear. A prospective study was undertaken to investigate the clinical features, aetiology, and outcome of cases of empyema and parapneumonic effusion presenting to a tertiary paediatric respiratory centre between February 1997 and August 2001.

METHOD

Routine bacterial culture of blood and pleural fluid was performed for 47 cases. Forty three pleural fluid specimens, culture negative for pneumococcus, were analysed for pneumococccal DNA by real time polymerase chain reaction (PCR). Penicillin susceptibility was determined for DNA positive specimens using complementary PCR assay. Capsular serotype specific antigen detection was by enzyme immunoassay (EIA) using monoclonal antibodies to serotypes 1, 3, 4, 5, 6A, 6B, 7F, 9V, 14, 18C, 19A, 19F, and 23F. Clinical data were obtained from patient notes, supplemented by a postal questionnaire.

RESULTS

The median (range) age of the patients was 5.6 (0.6-16.9) years and 70% were male. The median (range) duration of illness before referral to hospital was 5 (0-25) days. Forty five (96%) had received antibiotics before referral; 32 (68%) required decortication and eight (21%) thoracocentesis. Median postoperative stay was 4 days (2-8). Thirty two (75%) pneumococcal culture negative specimens were pneumococcal DNA positive; 17 (53%) of these were serotype 1. All were penicillin sensitive.

CONCLUSIONS

Pneumococcus is the major pathogen in childhood empyema and serotype 1 is the prevalent serotype. This has implications for vaccine development and immunisation strategy as the current 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine does not protect against serotype 1.