Clinical relevance of hyponatraemia for the hospital outcome of cirrhotic patients

Use of machine learning models for the prognostication of liver transplantation: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Liver transplantation (LT) is a life-saving intervention for patients with end-stage liver disease. However, the equitable allocation of scarce donor organs remains a formidable challenge. Prognostic tools are pivotal in identifying the most suitable transplant candidates. Traditionally, scoring systems like the model for end-stage liver disease have been instrumental in this process. Nevertheless, the landscape of prognostication is undergoing a transformation with the integration of machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence models.

AIM

To assess the utility of ML models in prognostication for LT, comparing their per formance and reliability to established traditional scoring systems.

METHODS

Following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis guidelines, we conducted a thorough and standardized literature search using the PubMed/MEDLINE database. Our search imposed no restrictions on publication year, age, or gender. Exclusion criteria encompassed non-English stu dies, review articles, case reports, conference papers, studies with missing data, or those exhibiting evident methodological flaws.

RESULTS

Our search yielded a total of 64 articles, with 23 meeting the inclusion criteria. Among the selected studies, 60.8% originated from the United States and China combined. Only one pediatric study met the criteria. Notably, 91% of the studies were published within the past five years. ML models consistently demonstrated satisfactory to excellent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values (ranging from 0.6 to 1) across all studies, surpassing the performance of traditional scoring systems. Random forest exhibited superior predictive capa bilities for 90-d mortality following LT, sepsis, and acute kidney injury (AKI). In contrast, gradient boosting excelled in predicting the risk of graft-versus-host disease, pneumonia, and AKI.

CONCLUSION

This study underscores the potential of ML models in guiding decisions related to allograft allocation and LT, marking a significant evolution in the field of prognostication.

Hyponatremia in the Context of Liver Disease

Hyponatremia is common in patients with liver disease and is associated with increased mortality, morbidity, and a reduced quality of life. In liver transplantation, the inclusion of hyponatremia in organ allocation scores has reduced waitlist mortality. Portal hypertension and the resulting lowering of the effective arterial blood volume are important pathogenetic factors, but in most patients with liver disease, hyponatremia is multifactorial. Treatment requires a multifaceted approach that tries to reduce electrolyte-free water intake, restore urinary dilution, and increase nonelectrolyte solute excretion. Albumin therapy for hyponatremia is a peculiarity of advanced liver disease. Its use appears to be increasing, while the vaptans are currently only given in selected cases. Osmotic demyelination is a special concern in patients with liver disease. Serial checks of serum sodium concentrations and urine volume monitoring are mandatory.

Evidence-based hyponatremia management in liver disease

Hyponatremia is primarily a water balance disorder associated with high morbidity and mortality. The pathophysiological mechanisms behind hyponatremia are multifactorial, and diagnosing and treating this disorder remains challenging. In this review, the classification, pathogenesis, and step-by-step management approaches for hyponatremia in patients with liver disease are described based on recent evidence. We summarize the five sequential steps of the traditional diagnostic approach: 1) confirm true hypotonic hyponatremia, 2) assess the severity of hyponatremia symptoms, 3) measure urine osmolality, 4) classify hyponatremia based on the urine sodium concentration and extracellular fluid status, and 5) rule out any coexisting endocrine disorder and renal failure. Distinct treatment strategies for hyponatremia in liver disease should be applied according to the symptoms, duration, and etiology of disease. Symptomatic hyponatremia requires immediate correction with 3% saline. Asymptomatic chronic hyponatremia in liver disease is prevalent and treatment plans should be individualized based on diagnosis. Treatment options for correcting hyponatremia in advanced liver disease may include water restriction; hypokalemia correction; and administration of vasopressin antagonists, albumin, and 3% saline. Safety concerns for patients with liver disease include a higher risk of osmotic demyelination syndrome.

Use of albumin infusion for cirrhosis-related complications: An international position statement

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Numerous studies have evaluated the role of human albumin (HA) in managing various liver cirrhosis-related complications. However, their conclusions remain partially controversial, probably because HA was evaluated in different settings, including indications, patient characteristics, and dosage and duration of therapy.

METHODS

Thirty-three investigators from 19 countries with expertise in the management of liver cirrhosis-related complications were invited to organise an International Special Interest Group. A three-round Delphi consensus process was conducted to complete the international position statement on the use of HA for treatment of liver cirrhosis-related complications.

RESULTS

Twelve clinically significant position statements were proposed. Short-term infusion of HA should be recommended for the management of hepatorenal syndrome, large volume paracentesis, and spontaneous bacterial peritonitis in liver cirrhosis. Its effects on the prevention or treatment of other liver cirrhosis-related complications should be further elucidated. Long-term HA administration can be considered in specific settings. Pulmonary oedema should be closely monitored as a potential adverse effect in cirrhotic patients receiving HA infusion.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on the currently available evidence, the international position statement suggests the potential benefits of HA for the management of multiple liver cirrhosis-related complications and summarises its safety profile. However, its optimal timing and infusion strategy remain to be further elucidated.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Thirty-three investigators from 19 countries proposed 12 position statements on the use of human albumin (HA) infusion in liver cirrhosis-related complications. Based on current evidence, short-term HA infusion should be recommended for the management of HRS, LVP, and SBP; whereas, long-term HA administration can be considered in the setting where budget and logistical issues can be resolved. However, pulmonary oedema should be closely monitored in cirrhotic patients who receive HA infusion.

The Usefulness of Mayo End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) and MELD-Sodium (MELD-Na) Scores for Predicting Mortality in Cirrhotic Patients With Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis

BACKGROUND

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is a common infection in patients with cirrhosis and ascites. Currently, the accuracy of the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and MELD-sodium (MELD-Na) as prognostic scores in this cohort is unclear. This study aimed to evaluate and compare the accuracy of MELD and MELD-Na for predicting 90-day mortality and determine whether the mortality risk estimates they provide accurately reflect the poor prognosis of patients with SBP Methods: Patients with cirrhosis and SBP were retrospectively identified from ascitic fluid samples sent for microscopy, culture and sensitivity analysis (1/1/18-31/12/20) and a previous audit. MELD and MELD-Na scores at diagnosis were calculated and associations with 90-day mortality were assessed using univariate analysis. Receiver operator characteristic curves were compared, and standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated by comparing the number of deaths observed to the number predicted by MELD and MELD-Na.

RESULTS

Of the 567 patients identified, 15 patients with cirrhosis and SBP were included. The 90-day mortality rate was 66.7% (10/15). Only concurrent hyponatremia (<135mmol/L) was associated with mortality (6/10 non-survivors vs 0/5 survivors, p=0.04). The difference in MELD and MELD-Na's C-statistic was not significant: 0.66 (95% Cl:0.35-0.98) vs 0.74 (95% Cl:0.47-1.0) respectively (p=0.72). Patients with a MELD-Na >18.5 had significantly higher 90-day mortality than patients with MELD-Na ≤18.5 (88.9% (8/9) vs. 33.3% (2/6), p=0.05). The SMR (95% Cl) for each MELD decile evaluated was 33.3 (0-79.5), 11.1 (0.2-22.0) and 3.4 (0-7.0) for scores ≤9,10-19 and 20-29 respectively. For each MELD-Na tertile, these were: 25 (0-59.6), 5.2 (0.1-10.3) and 2.7 (0.1-8.1) for scores <17,17-26, ≥27 respectively.

CONCLUSION

In a small cohort of patients with cirrhosis and SBP, the MELD's accuracy in predicting 90-day mortality was limited. MELD-Na's accuracy was higher but not significantly. Both scores consistently underestimated participants' mortality, therefore future studies could evaluate the accuracy of alternative prognostic scores in this patient group.

Updates on the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Score and Impact on the Liver Transplant Waiting List: A Narrative Review

The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score is an established indicator of cirrhosis severity and a predictor of morbidity and mortality in patients undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) creation and for allocation in liver transplantation. Since the adoption of the score, its use has been expanded to multiple new indications requiring model modifications, including relevant clinical and demographic variables, to increase predictive accuracy. The purpose of this report is to provide an update on the modifications made to the MELD score, comparing their performance with C statistics, advantages and disadvantages, and impact on mortality at 3 months after placing a TIPS or awaiting liver transplantation.

Targeted decrease of portal hepatic pressure gradient improves ascites control after TIPS

BACKGROUND

Ascites is a definitive sign of decompensated liver cirrhosis driven by portal hypertension. Although transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt insertion (TIPS) is indicated for therapy of recurrent and refractory ascites, there is no evidence-based recommendation for a specific target of portal hepatic pressure gradient (PPG) decrease.

METHODS

In this single-center, retrospective trial, we investigated the decrease of PPG in 341 patients undergoing TIPS insertion for therapy of refractory or recurrent ascites until 2015. During each procedure, portal and inferior vena cava pressures were invasively measured and correlated with patients' outcome and ascites progression over time, according to the prespecified Noninvasive Evaluation Program for TIPS and Follow-Up Network protocol (NCT03628807).

RESULTS

Patients without ascites at 6 weeks after TIPS had significantly greater PPG reduction immediately after TIPS, compared to the patients with refractory ascites (median reduction 65% vs. 55% of pre-TIPS PPG; p = 0.001). Survival was significantly better if ascites was controlled, compared to patients with need for paracentesis 6 weeks after TIPS (median survival: 185 vs. 41 weeks; HR 2.0 [1.3-2.9]; p  < 0.001). Therefore, higher PPG reduction by TIPS ( p = 0.005) and lower PPG after TIPS ( p = 0.02) correlated with resolution of severe ascites 6 weeks after TIPS. Multivariable analyses demonstrated that higher Child-Pugh score before TIPS (OR 1.3 [1.0-1.7]; p = 0.03) and lower serum sodium levels (OR 0.9 [0.9-1.0]; p = 0.004) were independently associated with ascites persistence 6 weeks after TIPS, whereas PPG reduction (OR 0.98 [0.97-1.00]; p = 0.02) was associated with resolution of ascites 6 weeks after TIPS.

CONCLUSION

Extent of PPG reduction and/or lowering of target PPG immediately after TIPS placement is associated with improved ascites control in the short term and with survival in the long term. A structured follow-up visit for patients should assess persistence of ascites at 6 weeks after TIPS.

Association of preoperative hyponatremia with surgical outcomes: a systematic review and meta-analysis of 32 observational studies

BACKGROUND

Preoperative hyponatremia is prevalent in patients undergoing surgical procedures, but it is uncertain if hyponatremia will lead to increased risk of surgical mortality and morbidity.

METHODS

A systematic search of Medline (PubMed), Embase and Cochrane Library from inception till 2 July 2021 was performed. Full length articles that reported on the association between surgical outcomes among adults ≥18 years with documented preoperative hyponatremia were included.

FINDINGS

We identified 32 observational studies comprising 1,301,346 participants. All studies had low risk of bias. When adjusted for covariates, patients with hyponatremia had significantly higher odds of developing major complications (defined as a composite measure of 9 major complications) compared to patients with normal sodium concentrations (aOR =  1.37, 95%CI = 1.23-1.53, I2 = 78%. N = 10). Additionally, patients with preoperative hyponatremia also significantly higher hazards of early mortality (<90 days) compared to patients with normonatremia (aHR = 1.27, 95%CI = 1.13-1.43, I2 = 97%. N = 10) after adjustment for covariates. Preoperative hyponatremia also had significant associations with respiratory, renal and septic complications. In terms of prognostic performance, preoperative hyponatremia performed adequately in predicting major complications in surgical patients (AUC = 0.70, LR- 0.90) with a specificity of 88% and a sensitivity of 25%.

INTERPRETATION

Our meta-analysis suggests that preoperative hyponatremia is associated with poorer early mortality and major morbidity outcomes in surgical patients. Hyponatremia is also a specific prognosticator for major complications in surgical patients, reiterating its potential use as a clinical indicator of poor outcomes.

Use of Human Albumin Administration for the Prevention and Treatment of Hyponatremia in Patients with Liver Cirrhosis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background. Hyponatremia is a common complication of liver cirrhosis and aggravates patients’ outcomes. It may be corrected by human albumin (HA) infusion. Herein, we have conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the efficacy of intravenous HA administration for the prevention and treatment of hyponatremia in liver cirrhosis. Methods. Literature was searched in the PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library databases. If possible, a meta-analysis would be conducted. Incidence of hyponatremia, rate of resolution of hyponatremia, and serum sodium level were compared between cirrhotic patients who received and did not receive HA infusion. Odds ratios (ORs) or mean differences (MDs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. The quality of evidence was assessed by the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) system. Results. Initially, 3231 papers were identified. Among them, 30 studies, including 25 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and 5 cohort studies, were eligible. Among cirrhotic patients without hyponatremia, the HA infusion group had significantly lower incidence of hyponatremia (OR = 0.55, 95%CI = 0.38–0.80, p = 0.001) and higher serum sodium level (MD = 0.95, 95%CI = 0.47–1.43, p = 0.0001) as compared to the control group. Among cirrhotic patients with hyponatremia, the HA infusion group had a significantly higher rate of resolution of hyponatremia (OR = 1.50, 95%CI = 1.17–1.92, p = 0.001) as compared to the control group. Generally, the quality of available evidence is low. Conclusions. Based on the current evidence, HA may be considered for preventing the development of hyponatremia in liver cirrhosis, especially in those undergoing LVP, and treating hyponatremia. Well-designed studies are required to clarify the effects of HA infusion on hyponatremia in liver cirrhosis.

Dysnatremia and risk of bloodstream infection in dialysis patients

Background

Emerging data suggest that sodium disarrays including hyponatremia are potential risk factors for infection ensuing from impairments in host immunity, which may be exacerbated by coexisting conditions (i.e. mucosal membrane and cellular edema leading to breakdown of microbial barrier function). While dysnatremia and infection-related mortality are common in dialysis patients, little is known about the association between serum sodium levels and the risk of bloodstream infection in this population.

Methods

Among 823 dialysis patients from the national Biospecimen Registry Grant Program who underwent serum sodium testing over the period January 2008–December 2014, we examined the relationship between baseline serum sodium levels and subsequent rate of bloodstream infection. Bloodstream infection events were directly ascertained using laboratory blood culture data. Associations between serum sodium level and the incidence of bloodstream infection were estimated using expanded case mix–adjusted Poisson regression models.

Results

In the overall cohort, ∼10% of all patients experienced one or more bloodstream infection events during the follow-up period. Patients with both lower sodium levels <134 mEq/l and higher sodium levels ≥140 mEq/l had higher incident rate ratios (IRRs) of bloodstream infection in expanded case mix analyses (reference 136–<138 mEq/l), with adjusted IRRs of 2.30 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.19–4.44], 0.77 (95% CI 0.32–1.84), 1.39 (95% CI 0.78–2.47), 1.88 (95% CI 1.08–3.28) and 1.96 (95% CI 1.08–3.55) for sodium levels <134, 134–<136, 138–<140, 140–<142 and ≥142 Eq/l, respectively.

Conclusions

Both lower and higher baseline serum sodium levels were associated with a higher rate of subsequent bloodstream infections in dialysis patients. Further studies are needed to determine whether correction of dysnatremia ameliorates infection risk in this population.

Impact of Hyponatremia on Morbidity, Mortality, and Resource Utilization in Portal Hypertensive Ascites: A Nationwide Analysis

Background and aims

Ascites and hyponatremia are important milestones of worsening portal hypertension in those with cirrhosis. The objective of our study was to evaluate the differences in clinical characteristics, resource utilization, and disposition of hospitalized cirrhotic patients with ascites with and without hyponatremia.

Methods

The National Inpatient Sample (NIS) database was used to identify all adult hospitalized patients with a diagnosis of cirrhosis and ascites with or without hyponatremia from 2016 to 2017 using ICD-10 codes.

Results

During the study period, 10,187 (7.6%) hospitalized patients with cirrhosis had ascites and hyponatremia and 34,555 (24.3%) had ascites but no hyponatremia. Elixhauser comorbidity score, excluding liver disease, was higher in hyponatremic patients (median 21 vs. 12, P < 0.001). Acute kidney injury (50.3% vs. 32.8%, P < 0.001) and sepsis (16.8% vs. 11.8%, P < 0.001) were more common in hyponatremic patients compared to those without hyponatremia. Similarly, acute respiratory failure, coagulopathy, hepatorenal syndrome, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, acute (on chronic) liver failure, and liver cancer were more common in hyponatremic patients. Hyponatremia patients had a higher number of inpatient procedures, longer (6 days vs. 4 days, P < 0.001) hospital stay, and had higher hospital charges ($97,327 vs. $72,278, P < 0.01) than those without hyponatremia. Inpatient mortality was 38% higher in hyponatremic patients (9.8% vs. 7.1%, P < 0.001) compared to those without hyponatremia. Additionally, hyponatremic patients were less likely to have routine home discharges with self-care.

Conclusion

In conclusion, using a large and diverse national cohort of unselected patients, we were able to show that hyponatremia in patients with cirrhosis and ascites is associated with poor clinical outcomes and increased resource utilization.

Prediction of Patient Survival with Psoas Muscle Density Following Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunts: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Background

Psoas muscle density (PMD) as a nutritional indicator is a tool to evaluate sarcopenia, which is commonly diagnosed in patients with liver cirrhosis. However, there are limited data on its role in patients who have received a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS). We aimed to determine the utility of PMD in predicting mortality of patients with TIPS implantation and to compare the clinical value of PMD, Child-Pugh score, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, and MELD paired with serum sodium measurement (MELD-Na) score in predicting post-TIPS survival in 1 year.

Material/Methods

This retrospective study included 273 patients who met the criteria for study inclusion. All participants underwent computed tomography (CT) scans, Child-Pugh score evaluation, MELD-Na scoring, and MELD scoring. Post-TIPS survival time was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier survival curve. The prognostic values of scoring models such as the Child-Pugh score, MELD, MELD-Na, and PMD were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curves.

Results

During the 1-year follow-up period, 31 of 273 (11.36%) post-TIPS patients died. Multivariate analysis identified PMD as an independent protective factor. PMD showed a good ability to predict the occurrence of an endpoint within 1 year after TIPS. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves for PMD, Child-Pugh score, MELD score, and MELD-Na for predicting mortality were, respectively, 0.72 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.663–0.773), 0.59 (95% CI: 0.531–0.651), 0.60 (95% CI: 0.535–0.655), and 0.58 (95% CI: 0.487–0.608).

Conclusions

PMD has appreciable clinical value for predicting the mortality of patients with TIPS implantation. In addition, PMD is superior to established scoring systems for identifying high-risk patients with a poor prognosis.

Hyponatremia and Its Correlation With Hepatic Encephalopathy and Severity of Liver Disease

Background and objective

Hepatic cirrhosis is one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Patients with cirrhosis frequently develop complications such as ascites, variceal bleeding, and hepatic encephalopathy (HE). The clinical manifestations of HE range from the mildly altered level of sensorium to severely altered consciousness levels, difficulty in judgment, the day-night reversal of sleep, flapping tremor of hands, and irrelevant talking or speech. Patients with hyponatremia are at a higher risk of developing HE and electroencephalographic abnormalities. The severity of hyponatremia is directly related to the deterioration in terms of grades of HE. Our study sought to determine the frequency of hyponatremia in cirrhotic patients and its correlation with the frequency and severity of HE.

Methodology

This study was carried out at the inpatient department of medicine in a tertiary care hospital in Pakistan. A total of 260 patients of both genders with hepatic cirrhosis were approached. After taking relevant history and physical examination, the venous blood sample of each patient was drawn and sent to the institutional laboratory for estimation of serum electrolytes, liver function tests (LFTs), renal parameters (RPMs), prothrombin time (PT), activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT), and international normalized ratio (INR). We classified the HE according to the West Haven classification system. Mild to moderate encephalopathy was classified under grades I-II, while severe encephalopathy was classified under grades III-IV. We documented the severity of liver disease according to the Child-Pugh score criteria. All data were analyzed by using SPSS Statistics version 25.0 (IBM, Armonk, NY). We reported the data as means along with the standard error.

Results

Overall, the serum sodium levels of the subjects ranged from 115 to 142 meq/L with a mean of 129.11 ±6.53 meq/L. In patients with hyponatremia, it ranged from 115 to 127 meq/L (mean 121.41 ±5.17 meq/L). Hyponatremia was present in 96 (36.9%) patients. Among these, 51 (53.12%) were male and 45 (46.8%) were female; 24 (9.2%) patients had mild hyponatremia, 56 (21.5%) had moderate, and 16 (6.2%) had severe hyponatremia. HE was present in 176 (67.7%) patients. HE grade I was present in 54 (20.8%), grade II in 62 (23.8%), grade III in 32 (12.3%), and grade IV in 28 (10.8%) patients. In 96 patients with hyponatremia, 84 were found to have HE (p-value: <0.001).

Conclusion

Based on our findings, cirrhotic patients with chronic hepatitis infections have a variable presence of low sodium levels. Sodium levels of <130 meq/L were associated with higher morbidity and mortality rate. Moreover, patients with lower levels of sodium had higher grades of HE.

Hyponatraemia as a Predictor of Mortality in Medical Admissions in Ghana: A Comparative Study

Background

Hyponatraemia is the most common electrolyte abnormality in hospital admissions. It occurs in a quarter of medical admissions in Ghana, and it is associated with high mortality. Mortality has been suggested to be due to the underlying medical condition and not necessarily the hyponatraemia. We set out to compare the outcomes of patients with documented hyponatraemia as compared to those with normonatraemia in terms of mortality and length of hospital stay.

Methods

We conducted a comparative analysis of patients with hyponatraemia and those with normonatraemia on the medical ward at the Komfo Anokye Teaching Hospital between May 2018 and December 2018. The medical diagnoses, demographics, and laboratory data of the patients were recorded. Participants' age and gender were matched. Student's t-test was used to test for differences in continuous variables when parametric and Wilcoxon signed-rank test for nonparametric variables. Multiple logistic regression was used to identify predictors of in-hospital mortality. A p value of <0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Results

Within the study period, 846 patients with documented serum sodium were included in the study. The study involved 406 patients with hyponatraemia and 440 patients with normonatraemia. Serum albumin and protein were significantly lower in the hyponatraemia patients as compared to those with normonatraemia. The mortality rate in patients with hyponatraemia was significantly higher than those with normonatraemia (129 (31.8%) vs. 9 (22.3%); OR 1.62 (95% CI: 1.19–2.22), p = 0.002). In-hospital stay was longer in patients with hyponatraemia than normonatraemia (7 (4–10) vs. 6 (3–10) days) but not statistically significant (p = 0.09). Multiple logistic regression showed that low serum sodium (p < 0.001) and low serum albumin (p = 0.009) were the predictors of in-hospital mortality.

Conclusion

Hyponatraemia is associated with significantly higher mortality than normonatraemia and predicts worse prognosis in patients on medical admission. Low serum albumin is also a predictor of mortality in medical admission.

Machine-Learning Monitoring System for Predicting Mortality Among Patients With Noncancer End-Stage Liver Disease: Retrospective Study

Background

Patients with end-stage liver disease (ESLD) have limited treatment options and have a deteriorated quality of life with an uncertain prognosis. Early identification of ESLD patients with a poor prognosis is valuable, especially for palliative care. However, it is difficult to predict ESLD patients that require either acute care or palliative care.

Objective

We sought to create a machine-learning monitoring system that can predict mortality or classify ESLD patients. Several machine-learning models with visualized graphs, decision trees, ensemble learning, and clustering were assessed.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study was conducted using electronic medical records of patients from Wan Fang Hospital and Taipei Medical University Hospital. A total of 1214 patients from Wan Fang Hospital were used to establish a dataset for training and 689 patients from Taipei Medical University Hospital were used as a validation set.

Results

The overall mortality rate of patients in the training set and validation set was 28.3% (257/907) and 22.6% (145/643), respectively. In traditional clinical scoring models, prothrombin time-international normalized ratio, which was significant in the Cox regression (P<.001, hazard ratio 1.288), had a prominent influence on predicting mortality, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve reached approximately 0.75. In supervised machine-learning models, the concordance statistic of ROC curves reached 0.852 for the random forest model and reached 0.833 for the adaptive boosting model. Blood urea nitrogen, bilirubin, and sodium were regarded as critical factors for predicting mortality. Creatinine, hemoglobin, and albumin were also significant mortality predictors. In unsupervised learning models, hierarchical clustering analysis could accurately group acute death patients and palliative care patients into different clusters from patients in the survival group.

Conclusions

Medical artificial intelligence has become a cutting-edge tool in clinical medicine, as it has been found to have predictive ability in several diseases. The machine-learning monitoring system developed in this study involves multifaceted analyses, which include various aspects for evaluation and diagnosis. This strength makes the clinical results more objective and reliable. Moreover, the visualized interface in this system offers more intelligible outcomes. Therefore, this machine-learning monitoring system provides a comprehensive approach for assessing patient condition, and may help to classify acute death patients and palliative care patients. Upon further validation and improvement, the system may be used to help physicians in the management of ESLD patients.

Hyponatremia is associated with more severe biliary disease

BACKGROUND

Sodium level is an important clinical predictor of complex biliary disease. Hyponatremia has been observed in conjunction with biliary disease, however the nature of this association remains unclear.

AIM

To investigate the association between serum sodium and severe biliary disease.

METHODS

Of 920 patients with gallstone disease treated at the SFVA Hospital from 1989-2019 were studied. We conducted multivariate analyses of correlation between sodium level and biliary disease severity, the presence/location of biliary bacteria, and other factors. Minimum sodium level pre-intervention was collected. Gallstones, bile, and blood (as relevant) were cultured. Illness severity was characterized: (1) None (no infectious manifestations); (2) Systemic inflammatory response syndrome; (3) Severe illness (gangrenous cholecystitis, cholangitis, necrotizing pancreatitis); and (4) Multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (bacteremia, hypotension, organ failure). Comorbidity was defined using the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI).

RESULTS

Decreased sodium level significantly correlated with worsening illness severity, ascending bacterial infection, gangrenous changes, elevated CCI score, increasing age, male sex, and glucose. On multivariate analysis, all factors, except age, gender and glucose, independently correlated with sodium level and factors were additive.

CONCLUSION

This unique study is the first to explore, with such granularity, the relationship between biliary disease and sodium. No prior studies have examined specific culture and clinical data. It illustrates an inverse, independent correlation between illness severity and sodium. Culture data demonstrate that sodium decreases as infection ascends from gallstone colonization to bactibilia to bacteremia. Patient comorbidity and gangrenous changes also independently correlate with sodium on multivariate analysis. Sodium level is an important clinical indicator of disease severity for patients with biliary disease.

IMPACT OF MELD SODIUM ON LIVER TRANSPLANTATION WAITING LIST

Background:

Serum sodium was incorporated to MELD score for the allocation of liver transplantation In the USA in 2016. Hyponatremia significantly increased the efficacy of the score to predict mortality on the waiting list. Such modification was not adopted in Brazil.

Aim:

To carry out a simulation using MELD-Na as waiting list ordering criteria in the state of Paraná and to compare to the list ordered according to MELD score.

Methods:

The study used data of 122 patients waiting for hepatic transplantation and listed at Parana´s Transplantation Central. Two classificatory lists were set up, one with MELD, the current qualifying criteria, and another with MELD-Na. We analyzed the changes on classification comparing these two lists.

Results:

Among all patients, 95.1% of the participants changed position, 30.3% showed improvement, 64.8% presented worsening and 4.9% maintained their position. There were 19 patients with hyponatremia, of whom 94.7% presented a change of position, and in all of them there was an improvement of position. One hundred and one patients presented sodium within the normal range and 95% of them presented a change of position: Improved placement was observed in 18.8%, and worsened placement in 76.2%. Two patients presented hypernatremia and changed their position, both worsening the placement. There was a significant different behavior on waiting list according to sodium serum level when MELD-Na was applied.

Conclusion:

The inclusion of serum sodium caused a great impact in the classification, bringing benefit to patients with hyponatremia.

Intraoperative hyponatremia is an independent predictor of one-year mortality after liver transplantation

Preoperative hyponatremia is associated with an increased risk of mortality on the liver transplantation (LT) waiting list. We sought to investigate the impact of pre- and intraoperative serum sodium levels on the one-year mortality after LT. We identified 1,164 patients for whom preoperative and intraoperative serum sodium levels were available. Cox regression analysis with multivariable adjustment was performed for one-year mortality. A propensity score matching analysis was performed for preoperative and intraoperative serum sodium groups to compare one-year survival. The cutoff of sodium level with minimal p-value was 130 mEq/L for both preoperative and intraoperative sodium. Intraoperative hyponatremia was an independent predictor of one-year mortality in the multivariable Cox regression analysis, while preoperative hyponatremia was not. Kaplan-Meier curve showed that there was a significant difference in the one-year mortality between preoperative and intraoperative serum sodium groups. However, after propensity score matching, there was no difference in the one-year mortality among the preoperative sodium groups, while there was a significant difference among the intraoperative sodium groups. Intraoperative hyponatremia defined by mean sodium <130 mEq/L was independently associated with a significantly high one-year mortality. Mean intraoperative serum sodium levels may be a better prognostic predictor than preoperative serum sodium levels.

Hyponatremia in Cirrhosis: Implications for Liver Transplantation

Hyponatremia in cirrhosis is defined as a serum sodium level ≤130 mEq/L and occurs in approximately 22% of patients with cirrhosis. The appearance of hyponatremia in patients with cirrhosis portends a poor prognosis before liver transplantation (LT), independent of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score. With the development of the MELD-sodium score, the management of hyponatremia has become more relevant than ever before. Overcorrection of hyponatremia before LT or perioperatively can lead to the devastating neurologic condition known as osmotic demyelination syndrome, which is often irreversible and fatal. Therefore, the most important tenet of hyponatremia is to avoid correcting the serum sodium by ≥8 mEq/L in a 24-hour period. Treatment of hyponatremia is highly challenging. The vast majority of patients with cirrhosis have chronic hypervolemic hyponatremia. Fluid restriction increases serum sodium levels, but tolerance and compliance are significant barriers. Diuretic withdrawal is helpful but contributes to worsening fluid overload. There are limited data to support use of intravenous concentrated albumin solutions. The use of the arginine vasopressin antagonists ("vaptans") is contentious; however, they may have a limited role. Risk factors for intraoperative overcorrection of serum sodium include increased utilization of packed red blood cell and fresh frozen plasma transfusions, which are often unavoidable. Intraoperative management is evolving, and more data are needed in regard to the use of sodium-reduced continuous venovenous hemofiltration and the use of trishydroxymethylaminomethane (Tris) to avoid excess sodium rebound. A thorough discussion of the current treatment options before and during LT is given in this review.

Hyponatremia, falls and bone fractures: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To perform a meta-analysis based on published studies that compared falls and bone fractures between patients with and without hyponatremia.

CONTEXT

There is evidence suggesting that hyponatremia is associated with an increased risk of falls and bone fractures.

DESIGN

An extensive Medline, Embase and Cochrane search was performed to retrieve all studies published up to, 30 April 2017, using the following words: "hyponatremia" or "hyponatraemia" AND "falls" and "bone fractures." A meta-analysis was performed including all studies comparing falls and bone fractures in subjects with or without hyponatremia.

PATIENTS AND RESULTS

Of 216 retrieved articles, 15 studies satisfied inclusion criteria encompassing a total of 51 879 patients, of whom 2329 were hyponatremic. Across all studies, hyponatremia was associated with a significantly increased risk of falls (MH-OR = 2.14[1.71; 2.67]. This result was confirmed when only hospitalized patients were considered (MH-OR = 2.44 [1.97; 3.02]). A meta-regression analysis showed that the hyponatremia-related risk of falls was higher in those studies considering a lower serum [Na+ ] cut-off to define hyponatremia. Interestingly, the estimated risk of falls related to hyponatremia was already significantly higher when a serum [Na+ ] cut-off of 135 mmol/L was considered (MH-OR = 1.26[1.23;1.29]). The presence of hyponatremia was also associated with a higher risk of fractures, particularly hip fractures (MH-OR = 2.00[1.43;2.81]).

CONCLUSIONS

This study confirms that hyponatremia is associated with an increased risk of falls and bone fractures. The clinical, social and economic relevance of such association is strengthened by the increased incidence of hyponatremia in older people.

Is hyponatremia associated with mortality in pulmonary arterial hypertension?

Hyponatremia is associated with poor prognosis in left heart failure and liver disease. Its prognostic role in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is not well defined. We investigated the association between hyponatremia and one-year mortality in two large cohorts of PAH. This study is a secondary analysis evaluating the association between hyponatremia and one-year mortality in patients treated with subcutaneous treprostinil (cohort 1). The results are validated using a PAH registry at a tertiary referral center (cohort 2). Eight-hundred and twenty patients were enrolled in cohort 1 (mean age = 47 ± 14 years) and 791 in cohort 2 (mean age = 55 ± 15 years). Sodium level is negatively correlated with mean right atrial pressure (r = -0.09, P = 0.018; r = -0.089, P = 0.015 in cohorts 1 and 2, respectively). In unadjusted analyses of cohort 1, the sodium level (as a continuous variable) is associated with one-year mortality (hazard ratio = 0.94; P = 0.035). Hyponatremia loses its significance (as a continuous variable and when dichotomized at ≤ 137 mmol/L; P = 0.12) when adjusted for functional class (FC), which is identified as the variable whose presence turns the effect of sodium level into non-significant. Secondary analyses using a cut-off value of < 135 mmol/L showed similar results. These results are validated in cohort 2. Although the sample size for patients with sodium < 130 mmol/L is small (n = 31), severe hyponatremia is associated with higher overall mortality (47% versus 23%; P = 0.01), even when adjusting for age, FC, and baseline 6-min walk distance ( P < 0.001). Although baseline hyponatremia is associated with one-year mortality, it loses its significance when adjusted for FC.

Renal vein dilation predicts poor outcome in patients with refractory cirrhotic ascites

AIM

Renal venous hypertension is known to be associated with worsening of renal function in patients with decompensated heart failure. Intra-abdominal hypertension including cirrhotic ascites also leads to renal venous hypertension. We aimed to clarify the effect of renal venous hypertension on cirrhotic ascites.

METHODS

Two hepatologists measured the left renal vein diameter in 142 consecutive patients with refractory cirrhotic ascites using non-contrast computed tomography. The renal vein diameter was measured at the renal vein main trunk and upstream of the confluence of collateral veins.

RESULTS

The inter-observer agreements were high for the measurements of the left renal vein (r = 0.918, P < 0.001). The median overall survival for patients with renal vein diameter ≥11 mm was less than that for patients with renal vein diameter <11 mm (P < 0.001; 2.5 vs. 32.0 months). One-year survival rates were 15.3% versus 66.4%. Multivariate analysis revealed renal vein diameter ≥11 mm (hazard ratio, 2.94; P < 0.001; 95% confidence interval, 1.67-5.20) and a high Model for End-stage Liver Disease score combined with serum sodium level (MELD-Na) (hazard ratio, 3.39; P < 0.001; 95% confidence interval, 2.00-5.74) were significant independent predictors of mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Renal vein dilation is a risk factor of mortality in patients with refractory cirrhotic ascites, independent of the MELD-Na score.

Factors associated with waiting time on the liver transplant list: an analysis of the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database

Background

Liver transplantation (LT) is an important treatment for acute liver failure and end-stage liver disease. In 2002, the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score was incorporated to prioritize patients awaiting LT. Although there is data on how the MELD score affects waiting times, there is a paucity of literature regarding other components. We aimed to evaluate the factors affecting LT waiting times in the United States.

Methods

Using the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database, patients aged 12-75 years listed for LT over the years 2002-2015 were included. Variables tested in the model included patient characteristics, pertinent laboratory values, ABO blood type, region of listing, primary payer, ethnicity, and listing for simultaneous transplantation.

Results

A total of 75,771 patients were included in the final analysis. The components of the MELD score were associated with shorter waiting times. Other factors associated with shorter waiting times were the need of mechanical ventilation and region 3 of transplantation. ABO blood type, primary payer, and placement of a transjugular intrahepatic porto-systemic shunt also influenced time on the LT waiting list.

Conclusions

MELD score is utilized in the prioritization of liver allocation, and was expected to predict waiting-list time. Mechanical ventilation and other markers of disease severity are associated with higher MELD scores and thus shorter waiting times. Further research is needed to address reasons for the variation in waiting times between regions and payment systems in an attempt to decrease time to LT, standardize the listing process, and improve patient outcomes.

Association between borderline dysnatremia and mortality insight into a new data mining approach

BACKGROUND

Even small variations of serum sodium concentration may be associated with mortality. Our objective was to confirm the impact of borderline dysnatremia for patients admitted to hospital on in-hospital mortality using real life care data from our electronic health record (EHR) and a phenome-wide association analysis (PheWAS).

METHODS

Retrospective observational study based on patient data admitted to Hôpital Européen George Pompidou, between 01/01/2008 and 31/06/2014; including 45,834 patients with serum sodium determinations on admission. We analyzed the association between dysnatremia and in-hospital mortality, using a multivariate logistic regression model to adjust for classical potential confounders. We performed a PheWAS to identify new potential confounders.

RESULTS

Hyponatremia and hypernatremia were recorded for 12.0% and 1.0% of hospital stays, respectively. Adjusted odds ratios (ORa) for severe, moderate and borderline hyponatremia were 3.44 (95% CI, 2.41-4.86), 2.48 (95% CI, 1.96-3.13) and 1.98 (95% CI, 1.73-2.28), respectively. ORa for severe, moderate and borderline hypernatremia were 4.07 (95% CI, 2.92-5.62), 4.42 (95% CI, 2.04-9.20) and 3.72 (95% CI, 1.53-8.45), respectively. Borderline hyponatremia (ORa = 1.57 95% CI, 1.35-1.81) and borderline hypernatremia (ORa = 3.47 95% CI, 2.43-4.90) were still associated with in-hospital mortality after adjustment for classical and new confounding factors identified through the PheWAS analysis.

CONCLUSION

Borderline dysnatremia on admission are independently associated with a higher risk of in-hospital mortality. By using medical data automatically collected in EHR and a new data mining approach, we identified new potential confounding factors that were highly associated with both mortality and dysnatremia.

Scientific Basis of Hyponatremia and Its Clinical Presentations

Purpose

To describe causes, pathophysiologic mechanisms, and classifications of hyponatremia, and to describe clinical symptoms and underlying disease states associated with different levels of hyponatremia.

Summary

The key to comprehending hyponatremia is to understand body water content and plasma osmolality and accurately assess arterial volume. Hyponatremia results from sodium dilution because of retained water or sodium depletion because of electrolyte loss in excess of water loss. Body sodium, water, and extracellular fluid (ECF) volume are tightly regulated by mechanisms that act to maintain a closely controlled concentration of solutes in the ECF. These forces act to regulate water content and sodium excretion to maintain normal intravascular volume. The body closely defends normal plasma osmolality within a narrow range primarily by controlling the release of arginine vasopressin (AVP) and via the thirst mechanism. A number of factors can stimulate inappropriate AVP release and cause or worsen hyponatremia. Dysregulation of AVP plays an important role in heart failure and cirrhosis, common causes of hypervolemic hyponatremia.

Conclusion

Body water content and plasma osmolality are tightly regulated by the action of AVP. A variety of disease states are associated with hyponatremia related to inappropriate AVP release. The cause of the electrolyte disturbance must be determined, because it can have profound implications for treatment. Differential diagnosis can be guided by observation of the rapidity of onset as well as volume status changes. If untreated or treated inappropriately, hyponatremia can impact morbidity and mortality.

Prognostic Models for Survival in Patients with Stable Cirrhosis: A Multicenter Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Two models are mostly used to predict survival in cirrhosis: the Child-Pugh score (CP score) and the model for end-stage liver disease score (MELD score).

AIMS

The aim of this study is to evaluate the CP score and the MELD score for short- and long-term prognosis in cirrhosis, as well as CP-creatinine score, MELD-Na score, and UKELD score.

METHODS

One thousand and forty-seven patients from five referral centers were included: men/women: 620/427, median age: 58 years (IQR 48-66), median follow-up: 33 months (IQR 12-74), CP (A/B/C): 493/357/147, CP score: 7 (IQR 5-9), MELD score: 12 (IQR 9-16). The performance of each score was evaluated by the Cox hazard model in terms of their: discrimination ability (C-index and Somer's D) and calibration (3, 12 months). Internal validation was done with bootstrapping (100 samples).

RESULTS

Three hundred and fifty-two patients (33.6%) died. All scores were significantly associated with overall mortality, when assessed by univariate Cox analysis. CP-creatinine score performed significantly better than all other scores [bootstrap C-index 0.672, 95% CI 0.642-0.703, bootstrap Somer's D 0.344 (0.285-0.401)], apart from CP score, which showed similar performance. Inclusion in the multivariable Cox model of age together with CP-creatinine score improved the discriminative ability of the model [bootstrap C-index (95% CI) 0.700 (0.661-0.740)]. In terms of calibration, CP-creatinine score was the best for both 3- and 12-month survival in the total population.

CONCLUSIONS

CP score and CP-creatinine score have better prognostic value compared to MELD score, MELD-Na score, and UKELD score for predicting short- and long-term mortality in patients with stable cirrhosis.

Predictors of Mortality in the Critically Ill Cirrhotic Patient: Is the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Enough?

BACKGROUND

Critically ill cirrhotics require liver transplantation urgently, but are at high risk for perioperative mortality. The Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, recently updated to incorporate serum sodium, estimates survival probability in patients with cirrhosis, but needs additional evaluation in the critically ill. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the predictive power of ICU admission MELD scores and identify clinical risk factors associated with increased mortality.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a retrospective review of cirrhotic patients admitted to the ICU between January 2011 and December 2014. Patients who were discharged or underwent transplantation (survivors) were compared with those who died (nonsurvivors). Demographic characteristics, admission MELD scores, and clinical risk factors were recorded. Multivariate regression was used to identify independent predictors of mortality, and measures of model performance were assessed to determine predictive accuracy.

RESULTS

Of 276 patients who met inclusion criteria, 153 were considered survivors and 123 were nonsurvivors. Survivor and nonsurvivor cohorts had similar demographic characteristics. Nonsurvivors had increased MELD, gastrointestinal bleeding, infection, mechanical ventilation, encephalopathy, vasopressors, dialysis, renal replacement therapy, requirement of blood products, and ICU length of stay. The MELD demonstrated low predictive power (c-statistic 0.73). Multivariate analysis identified MELD score (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 1.05), mechanical ventilation (AOR = 4.55), vasopressors (AOR = 3.87), and continuous renal replacement therapy (AOR = 2.43) as independent predictors of mortality, with stronger predictive accuracy (c-statistic 0.87).

CONCLUSIONS

The MELD demonstrated relatively poor predictive accuracy in critically ill patients with cirrhosis and might not be the best indicator for prognosis in the ICU population. Prognostic accuracy is significantly improved when variables indicating organ support (mechanical ventilation, vasopressors, and continuous renal replacement therapy) are included in the model.

Prevalence and Prognostic Significance of Hyponatremia in Patients with Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: Data from the Akershus Cardiac Examination (ACE) 2 Study

BACKGROUND

Hyponatremia is prevalent and associated with mortality in patients with heart failure (HF). The prevalence and prognostic implications of hyponatremia in acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary (AECOPD) have not been established.

METHOD

We included 313 unselected patients with acute dyspnea who were categorized by etiology of dyspnea according to established guidelines (derivation cohort). Serum Na+ was determined on hospital admission and corrected for hyperglycemia, and hyponatremia was defined as [Na+]<137 mmol/L. Survival was ascertained after a median follow-up of 816 days and outcome was analyzed in acute HF (n = 143) and AECOPD (n = 83) separately. Results were confirmed in an independent AECOPD validation cohort (n = 99).

RESULTS

In the derivation cohort, median serum Na+ was lower in AECOPD vs. acute HF (138.5 [135.9-140.5] vs. 139.2 [136.7-141.3] mmol/L, p = 0.02), while prevalence of hyponatremia (27% [22/83] vs. 20% [29/143], p = 0.28) and mortality rate (42% [35/83] vs. 46% [66/143], p = 0.56) were similar. By univariate Cox regression analysis, hyponatremia was associated with increased mortality in acute HF (HR 1.85 [95% CI 1.08, 3.16], p = 0.02), but not in AECOPD (HR 1.00 [0.47, 2.15], p = 1.00). Analogous to the results of the derivation cohort, hyponatremia was prevalent also in the AECOPD validation cohort (25% [25/99]), but not associated with mortality. The diverging effect of hyponatremia on outcome between AECOPD and acute HF was statistically significant (p = 0.04).

CONCLUSION

Hyponatremia is prevalent in patients with acute HF and AECOPD, but is associated with mortality in patients with acute HF only.

Hyponatremia: incidence, risk factors, and consequences in the elderly in a home-based primary care program

Aims: To determine the incidence, risk factors, etiology, and associations of hyponatremia in community-dwelling elderly with geriatric morbidity and mortality. Materials: Elderly participants of a single center home-based primary care program were included. Method: Retrospective chart review was conducted on demographic and clinical variables, comorbid diseases, frailty by Fried criteria and biochemical tests over a 1-year period. Primary outcome measure was a composite of falls, fractures due to falls, and hospitalization witnessed within the first year of enrollment into the program. Secondary outcome was all-cause mortality. Results: The study population (n = 608) had a mean age of 84.3 ± 9.3 years and was largely female (77.1%) and African-American (89.5%). Mean follow-up was 41.5 months. Frailty was seen in 44.4%. Incidence of all-cause mortality was 26.9%. Initial hyponatremia occurred in 8.71% (n = 53), and persistent hyponatremia (> 6 months of low serum sodium) in 4.1% (n = 25) of the study population. The major causes of hyponatremia included multiple potential causes, idiopathic syndrome of inappropriate anti-diuretic hormone (SIADH) and medications (thiazides and selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor (SSRI)). Primary outcome was independently associated with frailty (Odds ratio (OR) of 2.33) and persistent but not initial hyponatremia (OR 3.52). Secondary outcome was independently associated with age > 75 years (OR 2.88) and Afro-American race (OR 2.09) only but not to frailty or hyponatremia. Conclusions: Hyponatremia is common in home-bound elderly patients and its persistence independently contributes to falls, fractures, and hospitalization but not mortality. Our study highlights a new association of hyponatremia with frailty and underscores the need to study time-dependent association of hyponatremia with epidemiological outcomes.

The burden of illness in patients with hyponatraemia in Sweden: a population-based registry study

BACKGROUND

Hyponatraemia (HN; serum sodium level < 135 mmol/l) is the most common electrolyte disturbance seen in clinical practice, and is associated with varying spectrum of symptoms. Syndrome of inappropriate antidiuretic hormone secretion (SIADH) is the most common aetiology in hospitalised patients, and can be caused by several different underlying conditions.

AIMS

The objectives of this study were to retrospectively examine the baseline characteristics, clinical outcomes and hospital resource utilisation of patients with HN and/or SIADH in Sweden over a 10-year period from 2001 to 2011. Additional analysis was performed on subpopulations of patients with hip fracture, pneumonia and small cell lung cancer (SCLC) to see if trends in outcomes were consistent across a broad range of aetiologies commonly associated with the condition.

METHODS

Patient information was taken from the Swedish National Patient Registry, the Swedish Cancer Registry, the Swedish Cause of Death Register and the Swedish Prescribed Drug Register. A total of 34,537 patients (4.38%) were identified with HN and/or SIADH, with the incidence and prevalence rising over the 10-year study period.

RESULTS

Of the 34,537 patients identified, 841 had hip fracture, 2635 had pneumonia and 106 had SCLC. Compared with matched control patients, those with HN and/or SIADH had a longer length of hospital stay, a higher re-admission rate and a shorter time to re-admission.

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed that HN and/or SIADH negatively impact patient outcomes and healthcare resources related to hospital stay irrespective of the underlying cause. The impact of HN is not confined to the initial hospitalisation, as re-admission rates are also affected.

Presence of Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome Predicts a Poor Clinical Outcome in Dogs with a Primary Hepatitis

Primary hepatopathies are a common cause of morbidity and mortality in dogs. The underlying aetiology of most cases of canine hepatitis is unknown. Consequently, treatments are typically palliative and it is difficult to provide accurate prognostic information to owners. In human hepatology there is accumulating data which indicates that the presence of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) is a common and debilitating event in patients with liver diseases. For example, the presence of SIRS has been linked to the development of complications such as hepatic encephalopathy (HE) and is associated with a poor clinical outcome in humans with liver diseases. In contrast, the relationship between SIRS and clinical outcome in dogs with a primary hepatitis is unknown. Seventy dogs with histologically confirmed primary hepatitis were enrolled into the study. Additional clinical and clinicopathological information including respiratory rate, heart rate, temperature, white blood cell count, sodium, potassium, sex, presence of ascites, HE score, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), bilirubin and red blood cell concentration were available in all cases. The median survival of dogs with a SIRS score of 0 or 1 (SIRS low) was 231 days compared to a median survival of 7 days for dogs with a SIRS score of 2, 3 or 4 (SIRS high) (p<0.001). A Cox proportional hazard model, which included all other co-variables, revealed that a SIRS high score was an independent predictor of a poor clinical outcome. The effect of modulating inflammation on treatment outcomes in dogs with a primary hepatitis is deserving of further study.

Kidney Failure and Liver Allocation: Current Practices and Potential Improvements

In February 2002, the United Network for Organ Sharing implemented a system for prioritizing candidates for liver transplantation that was based on the risk of 90-day mortality as determined by the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score. As the MELD score is driven in part by serum creatinine as a marker of kidney function, the prevalence of kidney dysfunction and failure in patients with end-stage liver disease at the time of listing and at transplantation has steadily risen. In this review, we discuss current practices in liver transplantation in patients with kidney dysfunction focusing briefly on the decision to perform simultaneous liver-kidney transplantation. We then discuss pitfalls to the current practices of liver transplantation in patients with kidney dysfunction. We conclude by discussing potential improvements to current practices including the use of the MELD-Na score, alternatives to creatinine and creatinine-based equation for estimating kidney function, and the use of intraoperative kidney replacement therapy during liver transplantation.

Short-term prognostic factors in hospitalized cirrhotic patients with acute esophageal variceal bleeding

AIM: To analyze short-term prognostic factors in hospitalized cirrhotic patients with acute esophageal variceal bleeding (EVB).

METHODS: The clinical data for 146 hospitalized EVB patients with liver cirrhosis were analyzed retrospectively. Of these patients, 135 survived in hospital, and 11 died. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to identify short-term prognostic factors for acute EVB in these patients. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed to evaluate the impact of different variables on prognosis.

RESULTS: Univariate Cox regression analysis showed that age, increased white blood cell count, hyperbilirubinemia, increased prothrombin time, decreased prothrombin time activity, hyponatremia, hepatic encephalopathy, Child-Pugh grade and Child-Pugh score were risk factors for prognosis of EVB, while antibiotic treatment and endoscopic treatment were protective factors. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that age (RR = 1.055, 95%CI: 1.010-1.103, P = 0.017), white blood cell count (RR = 1.352, 95%CI: 1.073-1.704, P = 0.011), and Child-Pugh grade (RR = 4.822, 95%CI: 1.465-15.873, P = 0.010) were risk factors for prognosis in cirrhotic patients with EVB, while antibiotic treatment (RR = 0.056, 95%CI: 0.012-0.264, P = 0.000) was a protective factor. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that higher Child-Pugh grade was associated with shorter survival time and lower survival ratio (χ² = 16.651, P < 0.0001), and patients without antibiotic treatment had shorter survival time and lower survival ratio than patients with antibiotic treatment (χ² = 17.135, P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION: Age, white blood cell count, Child-Pugh grade and antibiotic treatment are short-term prognostic factors in hospitalized cirrhotic patients with acute EVB.

Incidence, Severity and Prognosis Associated with Hyponatremia in Dogs and Cats

Background

Hyponatremia is a common electrolyte abnormality in human patients and is associated with substantial morbidity and death. The incidence and importance of hyponatremia in dogs and cats has not been determined.

Hypothesis/Objectives

To describe the incidence of and prognosis associated with hyponatremia in dogs and cats at a university teaching hospital.

Animals

Of 16,691 dogs and 4,211 cats with measured blood or serum sodium concentration.

Methods

Retrospective study. Medical records of animals with a blood or serum sodium concentration measured during a 60‐month period were reviewed to determine the severity of hyponatremia and its associated fatality rate. Cases with moderate (11–15 mmol/L below the reference range) or severe hyponatremia (≥16 mmol/L below the reference range) were further reviewed.

Results

Of 4,254 dogs (25.5%) and 2,081 cats (49.4%) were diagnosed with hyponatremia. Case fatality rates of dogs and cats with hyponatremia were 13.7% and 11.9%, respectively, compared to 4.4% and 4.5% with a normal blood or serum sodium concentration (P < 0.0001). The magnitude of hyponatremia was linearly associated with a higher case fatality rate (P < 0.0001). Hyponatremia was associated with a lower case fatality rate than hypernatremia in the same population. Among the animals with moderate or severe hyponatremia, 92.1% of dogs and 90.6% of cats presented with community‐acquired hyponatremia, and 7.9% of dogs and 9.4% of cats developed hospital‐acquired hyponatremia.

Conclusions and clinical importance

Hyponatremia was found commonly in this population and was associated with increased case fatality rate. Presence and severity of hyponatremia might be useful as a prognostic indicator.

The performance of prognostic models as predictors of mortality in patients with acute decompensation of cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Although several prognostic models have been proposed for cirrhotic patients listed for transplantation, the performance of these scores as predictors of mortality in patients admitted for acute decompensation of cirrhosis has not been satisfactorily investigated.

AIMS

To study MELD, MELD-Na, MESO, iMELD, Refit-MELD and Refit MELD-Na models as prognostic predictors in cirrhotic patients admitted for acute decompensation, and to compare their performance between admission and 48 hours of hospitalization to predict in-hospital mortality.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This cohort study included cirrhotic patients admitted to hospital due to complications of the disease. Individuals were evaluated on admission and after 48 h of hospitalization, and mortality was evaluated during the present admission.

RESULTS

One hundred and twenty-three subjects with a mean age of 54.26 ± 10.79 years were included; 76.4% were male. Mean MELD score was 16.43 ± 7.08 and 52.0% of patients were Child-Pugh C. Twenty-seven patients (22.0%) died during hospitalization. Similar areas under the curve (AUROCs) for prognosis of mortality were observed when different models were compared on admission (P > 0.05) and after 48 h of hospitalization (P > 0.05). When models executed after 48 h of hospitalization were compared to their corresponding model calculated on admission, significantly higher AUROCs were obtained for all models (P < 0.05), except for MELD-Na (P = 0.075) and iMELD (P = 0.119).

CONCLUSION

The studied models showed similar accuracy as predictors of in-hospital mortality in cirrhotic patients admitted for acute decompensation. However, the performance of these models was significantly better when applied 48 h after admission when compared to their calculation on admission.

Implications of Hyponatremia in Liver Transplantation

Although there are a limited number of quality studies, appropriate peri-operative management of serum electrolytes seems to reduce adverse outcomes in liver transplantation. Hyponatremia is defined as the presence of serum concentration of sodium equal ≤130 mmol/L and it is detected in approximately 20% of patients with end stage liver disease waiting for a liver transplant (LT). This paper will focus on the pathogenesis of dilutional hyponatremia and its significance in terms of both candidacy for LT and post-operative outcomes.

Hyponatremia influences the outcome of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure: an analysis of the CANONIC study

Introduction

Hyponatremia is a marker of poor prognosis in patients with cirrhosis. This analysis aimed to assess if hyponatremia also has prognostic value in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), a syndrome characterized by acute decompensation of cirrhosis, organ failure(s) and high short-term mortality.

Methods

We performed an analysis of the Chronic Liver Failure Consortium CANONIC database in 1,341 consecutive patients admitted to 29 European centers with acute decompensation of cirrhosis (including ascites, gastrointestinal bleeding, hepatic encephalopathy, or bacterial infections, or any combination of these), both with and without associated ACLF (301 and 1,040 respectively).

Results

Of the 301 patients with ACLF, 24.3% had hyponatremia at inclusion compared to 12.3% of 1,040 patients without ACLF (P <0.001). Model for end-stage liver disease, Child-Pugh and chronic liver failure-SOFA scores were significantly higher in patients with ACLF and hyponatremia compared to those without hyponatremia. The presence of hyponatremia (at inclusion or during hospitalization) was a predictive factor of survival both in patients with and without ACLF. The presence of hyponatremia and ACLF was found to have an independent effect on 90-day survival after adjusting for the potential confounders. Hyponatremia in non-ACLF patients nearly doubled the risk (hazard ratio (HR) 1.81 (1.33 to 2.47)) of dying at 90 days. However, when considering patients with both factors (ACLF and hyponatremia) the relative risk of dying at 90 days was significantly higher (HR 6.85 (3.85 to 12.19) than for patients without both factors. Patients with hyponatremia and ACLF had a three-month transplant-free survival of only 35.8% compared to 58.7% in those with ACLF without hyponatremia (P <0.001).

Conclusions

The presence of hyponatremia is an independent predictive factor of survival in patients with ACLF. In cirrhosis, outcome of patients with ACLF is dependent on its association with hyponatremia.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s13054-014-0700-0) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Moderate-to-large increases in perioperative serum sodium concentration associated with adverse neurologic events after continuous flow left ventricular assist device implantation

OBJECTIVE

It was hypothesized that preoperative hyponatremia is associated with increased 30-day mortality after left ventricular assist device placement, and that large increases in sodium concentration are associated with adverse neurologic events and 30-day mortality.

DESIGN

Data were collected retrospectively on all patients having continuous flow left ventricular assist device implantation between January 1, 2009 and March 31, 2013. Preoperative variables, operative variables, and perioperative sodium concentrations were recorded. Both 30-day mortality and 72-hour adverse neurologic events (stroke or seizure) were recorded as primary outcome variables. Preoperative sodium and Δ sodium (postoperative sodium-preoperative sodium) were analyzed as tests for 30-day mortality and adverse neurologic events using receiver operating characteristic curves. Both crude and adjusted logistic regression analyses were used to estimate odds ratios for the outcome variables.

SETTING

Tertiary care academic medical center.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients having durable continuous flow left ventricular assist device placement.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Among 88 patients, 30-day mortality was 14% (12 of 88) and the rate of perioperative stroke or seizure was 9% (8 of 88). There were 3 strokes and 5 tonic-clonic seizures. Preoperative sodium was a poor discriminative test for 30-day mortality and stroke or seizure (AUC=0.47 and 0.57, respectively). Δ sodium was a poor discriminative test for 30-day mortality, but a fair discriminative test for stroke or seizure (AUC=0.55 and 0.78, respectively). Δ sodium was a good discriminative test for seizure alone (AUC=0.82) and a fair discriminative test for stroke alone (AUC=0.70). It also increased the odds of stroke or seizure significantly, even when adjusting for possible confounders.

CONCLUSIONS

Moderate-to-large increases in sodium concentration during left ventricular assist device placement appear to be associated with adverse postoperative neurologic events. Preoperative hyponatremia has no relationship with 30-day mortality or adverse perioperative neurologic events.

Criteria for liver transplantation in ACLF and outcome

Liver transplantation (LT) remains the only curative treatment for patients with failed medical treatment for acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). However, the selection criteria for LT in ACLF is ill-defined. Given the scarcity of deceased organs and the inherent risk of living donor hepatectomy, it is mandatory to identify unfavourable prognostic factors for survival in ACLF in order to establish an objective and fair selection criteria for LT, and more importantly to ensure a satisfactory post-transplant outcome. The aim of this article was to review the current evidence on the validity of the existing prognostic models and to evaluate the survival outcomes after LT for ACLF.

Hepatocellular carcinoma treated by conventional transarterial chemoembolization in field-practice: Serum sodium predicts survival

AIM: To assess the prognostic role of baseline clinical, biochemical and radiological characteristics of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with the first transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) procedure.

METHODS: Patients with HCC treated with conventional TACE in a tertiary care setting from 1997 to 2008 were retrospectively reviewed. Predictors of survival were identified using the Cox proportional regression model.

RESULTS: Two hundred and seventy patients were included. Median age was 66 years, 81% were male, 58% were HCV-positive, 18% hepatitis B surface antigen-positive, 64% had a Child A status, 40% patients had a largest nodule diameter ≥ 5 cm and 32% had more than 3 tumor nodules. Median overall survival of the whole cohort was 25 mo (95%CI: 21.8-28.2) and the 1-, 2- and 3-year probability of survival was 80%, 50% and 31%, respectively. Non-tumor segmental portal vein thrombosis (HR = 1.76, 95%CI: 1.22-2.54), serum sodium (HR = 1.65, 95%CI: 1.25-2.18), diameter of largest nodule (HR = 1.59, 95%CI: 1.22-2.091), number of nodules (HR = 1.41, 95%CI: 1.06-1.88), alpha-fetoprotein (HR = 1.35, 95%CI: 1.03-1.76) and alkaline phosphatase (HR = 1.33, 95%CI: 1.01-1.74) were independent prognostic factors for overall survival on multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSION: The inclusion of serum sodium alongside the already known prognostic factors may allow a better prognostic definition of patients with HCC as candidates for conventional TACE.

Ascites and serum sodium are markers of increased waiting list mortality in children with chronic liver failure

Ascites is the most common complication of cirrhosis and in adults it is associated with 50% mortality at 5 years if patients do not receive a liver transplant. The occurrence of hyponatremia in these patients has been associated with increased mortality on the waiting list. The importance of serum sodium levels and the presence of ascites in the pediatric setting remain to be clarified. A retrospective analysis of pediatric patients with cirrhosis on the transplant list was carried out between October 2000 and February 2012. The primary objective of this study was to evaluate the association of pretransplant variables with mortality within 90 days following the inclusion of patients on the waiting list. In all, 522 patients were included in the study; 345 (66%) patients were under 1 year of age; 208 (40%) of the children presented ascites. A multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis was conducted and total bilirubin (P < 0.001, hazard ratio [HR] = 2.09, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.35-3.21), international normalized ratio (INR) (P < 0.001, HR = 9.83, 95% CI = 4.51-21.45), serum sodium levels (P = 0.03, HR = 0.96, 95% CI = 0.92-0.99), ascites (P = 0.001, HR = 2.59, 95% CI = 1.44-4.64), and categorized age (0-1 versus ≥ 1 year old) (P = 0.025, HR = 2.33, 95% CI = 1.11-4.86) were independently associated with risk of death in 90 days. Malnutrition (Z score height/age, weight/age) and serum albumin (pediatric endstage liver disease [PELD] formula) were not included in the final model.

CONCLUSION

The presence of ascites and serum sodium levels are important variables associated with decreased patient survival while candidates wait for a liver graft. Multicenter studies are necessary to validate these findings in order to improve current allocation policies based on the PELD score.

Individuality of the plasma sodium concentration

Older literature has suggested that the plasma sodium concentration is not individual, that it is neither intrinsic to an individual nor reproducible, longitudinally. We recently observed that the plasma sodium concentration is heritable. Because demonstrable heritability requires individuality of the relevant phenotype, we hypothesized that the plasma sodium concentration was substantially individual. In two large health plan-based cohorts, we demonstrated individuality of the plasma sodium concentration over a 10-yr interval; the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) averaged 0.4-0.5. The individuality of plasma sodium increased significantly with age. Plasma sodium individuality was equal to or only slightly less than that for plasma glucose but was less than the individuality for creatinine. The individuality of plasma sodium was further confirmed by comparing the Pearson correlation coefficient for within-individual versus between-individual pairs of sodium determinations and via application of the agreement index. Furthermore, the distribution of all sodium determinations for all participants within a population was similar to the distribution for the mean sodium concentration for individuals within that population. Therefore, the near-normal distribution of plasma sodium measurements within a population is likely not attributable to assay-specific factors but rather to genuine and durable biological variability in the osmotic set point. In aggregate, these data strongly support the individuality of the plasma sodium concentration. They further indicate that serial plasma sodium values for any given individual tend to cluster around a patient-specific set point and that these set points vary among individuals.

Lower serum sodium level predicts higher risk of infection-related hospitalization in maintenance hemodialysis patients: an observational cohort study

BACKGROUND

Hyponatremia is associated with increased mortality in chronic kidney disease with and without end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Increasing evidence suggests that hyponatremia is not only a marker of severe underlying disease, but also a direct contributor to mortality. However, specific pathogenesis or diseases contributing to mortality in the hyponatremic population are unknown. This study aimed to clarify the relationship between serum sodium level (sNa) and infection risk in ESRD patients.

METHODS

This observational cohort study included 332 patients on maintenance hemodialysis in our dialysis unit in May 2009. The mean of 3 monthly measurements of glucose-corrected sNa before each dialysis session in May, June, and July 2009 was applied as baseline sNa. The primary endpoint was first infection-related hospitalization (IRH), and the secondary endpoint was death of any cause. Data were analyzed using Cox hazards modeling, adjusted for baseline demographics and characteristics, or laboratory data. Patients were followed until transfer, kidney transplantation, death, or study end on January 31, 2013.

RESULTS

Mean sNa was 138.9 mEq/L (1st tertile: <138.0, n = 104; 2nd tertile: 138.0-140.0, n = 116; 3rd tertile: >140.0, n = 112). During 39.5 months' mean follow-up, 57 patients experienced IRH (56.4/1,000 patient-years overall; 89.7/1,000 in 1st tertile; 57.9/1,000 in 2nd tertile; 28.0/1,000 in 3rd tertile), and 68 patients died. The hazard ratio (HR) for IRH was higher for the 1st and 2nd tertiles than the 3rd tertile (unadjusted HR, 3.20; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.54-6.64; p = 0.002; adjusted HR, 2.36; 95% CI, 1.10-5.04; p = 0.027; and unadjusted HR, 2.07; 95% CI, 0.98-4.40; p = 0.058; adjusted HR, 2.11; 95% CI, 0.99-4.51; p = 0.054 respectively). In a continuous model, higher sNa was associated with lower risk of IRH (adjusted HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.81-0.99; p = 0.040), and lower all-cause mortality (adjusted HR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.83-1.00; p = 0.049).

CONCLUSIONS

Lower sNa is an independent predictor of higher risk for infection-related hospitalization in maintenance hemodialysis patients. Infectious disease may partially account for the increased mortality observed in the hyponatremic population with ESRD.

Moderate hyponatremia is associated with increased risk of mortality: evidence from a meta-analysis

Background

Hyponatremia is the most common electrolyte disorder in clinical practice, and evidence to date indicates that severe hyponatremia is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. The aim of our study was to perform a meta-analysis that included the published studies that compared mortality rates in subjects with or without hyponatremia of any degree.

Methods and Findings

An extensive Medline, Embase and Cochrane search was performed to retrieve the studies published up to October 1^st 2012, using the following words: “hyponatremia” and “mortality”. Eighty-one studies satisfied inclusion criteria encompassing a total of 850222 patients, of whom 17.4% were hyponatremic. The identification of relevant abstracts, the selection of studies and the subsequent data extraction were performed independently by two of the authors, and conflicts resolved by a third investigator. Across all 81 studies, hyponatremia was significantly associated with an increased risk of overall mortality (RR = 2.60[2.31–2.93]). Hyponatremia was also associated with an increased risk of mortality in patients with myocardial infarction (RR = 2.83[2.23–3.58]), heart failure (RR = 2.47[2.09–2.92]), cirrhosis (RR = 3.34[1.91–5.83]), pulmonary infections (RR = 2.49[1.44–4.30]), mixed diseases (RR = 2.59[1.97–3.40]), and in hospitalized patients (RR = 2.48[2.09–2.95]). A mean difference of serum [Na⁺] of 4.8 mmol/L was found in subjects who died compared to survivors (130.1±5.6 vs 134.9±5.1 mmol/L). A meta-regression analysis showed that the hyponatremia-related risk of overall mortality was inversely correlated with serum [Na⁺]. This association was confirmed in a multiple regression model after adjusting for age, gender, and diabetes mellitus as an associated morbidity.

Conclusions

This meta-analysis shows for the first time that even a moderate serum [Na⁺] decrease is associated with an increased risk of mortality in commonly observed clinical conditions across large numbers of patients.

A revised scope in different prognostic models in cirrhotic patients: Current and future perspectives, an Egyptian experience

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIM

The prognosis of cirrhosis is of great interest for liver transplantation and new therapies of related complications. Traditional prognostic models such as Child-Pugh (CP) and Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) were developed to predict mortality in decompensated cirrhosis, but lack parameter(s) related to complications. Recently, new models such as creatinine-modified Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CrCTP) and sodium-based MELD variants were developed to improve prognostic accuracy and enhance outcome predictive capability. Our aim was to investigate the prognostic ability of these models and their relation to complications among Egyptian cirrhotic patients to determine the best one and to assess adding new variables to improve the prognostic ability of that model.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 1000 cirrhotic patients were enrolled in a retrospective study; traditional and new prognostic models such as CP, MELD, CrCTP, integrated MELD (iMELD), MELD plus sodium (MELD-Na, MELDNa) and MELD:sodium ratio (MESO) were calculated. The predictive abilities of prognostic models were compared using the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and 1-year survival rates were evaluated by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. An index of cirrhosis-related complications was added to reveal the best prognostic model.

RESULTS

Using AUC, MELD and its sodium variants was significantly better than CP and CrCTP scores in predicting risk of 1-year mortality, where MELD-sodium (MELD-Na) had the highest AUC (0.743). Adding an index of cirrhosis-related complications (C) to MELD-Na creating a new scoring system (MELD-Na-C) improved its prognostic accuracy (AUC 0.753). Kaplan-Meier survival curves predicted increased mortality with higher prognostic scores.

CONCLUSIONS

All prognostic models were good predictors of 1-year mortality in patients with decompensated cirrhosis; however, MELD-Na was the best for outcome prediction. MELD-Na-C was a new model enhancing the predictive accuracy in assessing cirrhotic patients with related complications.

[Analysis of liver waiting list mortality in Paraná, Brazi: what shall we do to face organ shortage?]

BACKGROUND

Orthotopic liver transplantation is the best therapeutic modality for patients with end stage of liver disease. Minimization of death, while waiting for the procedure, involves accurate priorization according to clinical status and appropriate allocation of donor livers.

AIM

The mortality analysis in the liver waiting list in Paraná state, PR, Brazil.

METHODS

Were analyzed the data on all patients (n = 65) who were registered on the liver waiting list during a 32 months period in the state of Paraná, southern Brazil.

RESULTS

The death rated in waiting list was 41,5% (n = 27). No statistic difference was observed regarding the MELD/MELD-Na scores between the group who died (19,88/21,6) and not died (17,28/19,47). MELD-Na predicted a higher mortality, especially in the subgroup of patients with intermediate severity of disease (class B) predicted by the CTP score.

CONCLUSION

It´s critical the shortage of donor organs in our region, waiting list mortality rate far exceeds the inherent risk of a liver transplant, especially among patients with lower MELD scores. It´s desirable to use an aggressive protocol of expanded criteria donors, split liver and living donor transplant.

Important predictor of mortality in patients with end-stage liver disease

Prognosis is an essential part of the baseline assessment of any disease. For predicting prognosis of end-stage liver disease, many prognostic models were proposed. Child-Pugh score has been the reference for assessing the prognosis of cirrhosis for about three decades in end-stage liver disease. Despite of several limitations, recent large systematic review showed that Child-Pugh score was still robust predictors and it's components (bilirubin, albumin and prothrombin time) were followed by Child-Pugh score. Recently, Model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score emerged as a "modern" alternative to Child-Pugh score. The MELD score has been an important role to accurately predict the severity of liver disease and effectively assess the risk of mortality. Due to several weakness of MELD score, new modified MELD scores (MELD-Na, Delta MELD) have been developed and validated. This review summarizes the current knowledge about the prognostic factors in end-stage liver disease, focusing on the role of Child-Pugh and MELD score.