Risk and accuracy of outpatient-identified hypoxaemia for death among suspected child pneumonia cases in rural Bangladesh: a multifacility prospective cohort study

Improving effective coverage of medical-oxygen services for neonates and children in health facilities in Uganda: a before-after intervention study

BACKGROUND

Medical oxygen services are essential for the care of acutely unwell patients. We aimed to assess the effects of a multilevel, multicomponent health-system intervention on hypoxaemia detection, oxygen therapy, and mortality among neonates and children attending level IV health centres and hospitals in Uganda.

METHODS

For this before-after intervention study, we included children who attended paediatric or neonatal wards of 24 level IV health centres and seven general or regional referral hospitals in the Busoga and North Buganda regions of Uganda between June 1, 2020, and June 30, 2022. All neonates younger than 1 month and children aged 1 month to 14 years were eligible for inclusion. We excluded neonates who were not sick but stayed in the maternity ward for routine postnatal care. The intervention involved clinical training, mentorship, and supportive supervision; provision of pulse oximeters and cylinder-based oxygen sources; biomedical-capacity support; and support to develop and disseminate oxygen supply strategies, oxygen therapy guidelines, and lists of essential oxygen supplies. Trained research assistants extracted individual patient data from case notes using a standardised electronic data collection form. Data were collected on health-facility details, age, sex, clinical signs and symptoms, admission diagnoses, pulse oximetry readings, oxygen therapy details, and final patient outcome. The primary outcome was the proportion of admitted neonates and children with a pulse oximetry oxygen saturation reading documented in their patient case notes on day 1 of health-facility admission (ie, pulse oximetry coverage). We used mixed-effects logistic regression to evaluate the effect of the intervention.

FINDINGS

We obtained data on 71 997 eligible neonates and children admitted to 31 participating health facilities; the primary analysis included 10 001 patients in the pre-intervention period (ie, June 1 to Oct 30, 2020) and 51 329 patients in the post-intervention period (ie, March 1, 2021, to June 30, 2022). Because 1356 patients had missing data for sex, 4365 (46·7%) of 9347 in the pre-intervention group and 22 831 (46·2%) of 49 410 in the post-intervention group were female; 4982 (53·3%) in the pre-intervention group and 26 579 (53·8%) in the post-intervention group were male. The proportion of neonates and children with pulse oximetry at admission increased from 2365 (23·7%) of 10 001 in the pre-intervention period to 45 029 (87·7%) of 51 328 in the post-intervention period. Adjusted analysis indicated greater likelihood of a patient receiving pulse oximetry during the post-intervention period compared with the pre-intervention period (adjusted odds ratio 40·10, 95% CI 37·38-42·93; p<0·0001).

INTERPRETATION

Large-scale improvements in hospital oxygen services are achievable and have the potential to improve clinical outcomes. Governments should be encouraged to develop national oxygen plans and focus investment on interventions that have been shown to be effective, including the introduction of pulse oximetry into routine hospital care and clinical and biomedical mentoring and support.

FUNDING

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and ELMA Philanthropies.

TRANSLATIONS

For the Luganda and Lusoga translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Hypoxaemia and risk of death among children: rethinking oxygen saturation, risk-stratification, and the role of pulse oximetry in primary care

Pulse oximeters are essential for assessing blood oxygen levels in emergency departments, operating theatres, and hospital wards. However, although the role of pulse oximeters in detecting hypoxaemia and guiding oxygen therapy is widely recognised, their role in primary care settings is less clear. In this Viewpoint, we argue that pulse oximeters have a crucial role in risk-stratification in both hospital and primary care or outpatient settings. Our reanalysis of hospital and primary care data from diverse low-income and middle-income settings shows elevated risk of death for children with moderate hypoxaemia (ie, peripheral oxygen saturations [SpO2] 90-93%) and severe hypoxaemia (ie, SpO2 <90%). We suggest that moderate hypoxaemia in the primary care setting should prompt careful clinical re-assessment, consideration of referral, and close follow-up. We provide practical guidance to better support front-line health-care workers to use pulse oximetry, including rethinking traditional binary SpO2 thresholds and promoting a more nuanced approach to identification and emergency treatment of the severely ill child.

Factors predicting mortality in hospitalised HIV-negative children with lower-chest-wall indrawing pneumonia and implications for management

INTRODUCTION

In 2012, the World Health Organization revised treatment guidelines for childhood pneumonia with lower chest wall indrawing (LCWI) but no 'danger signs', to recommend home-based treatment. We analysed data from children hospitalized with LCWI pneumonia in the Pneumonia Etiology Research for Child Health (PERCH) study to identify sub-groups with high odds of mortality, who might continue to benefit from hospital management but may not be admitted by staff implementing the 2012 guidelines. We compare the proportion of deaths identified using the criteria in the 2012 guidelines, and the proportion of deaths identified using an alternative set of criteria from our model.

METHODS

PERCH enrolled a cohort of 2189 HIV-negative children aged 2-59 months who were admitted to hospital with LCWI pneumonia (without obvious cyanosis, inability to feed, vomiting, convulsions, lethargy or head nodding) between 2011-2014 in Kenya, Zambia, South Africa, Mali, The Gambia, Bangladesh, and Thailand. We analysed risk factors for mortality among these cases using predictive logistic regression. Malnutrition was defined as mid-upper-arm circumference <125mm or weight-for-age z-score <-2.

RESULTS

Among 2189 cases, 76 (3·6%) died. Mortality was associated with oxygen saturation <92% (aOR 3·33, 1·99-5·99), HIV negative but exposed status (4·59, 1·81-11·7), moderate or severe malnutrition (6·85, 3·22-14·6) and younger age (infants compared to children 12-59 months old, OR 2·03, 95%CI 1·05-3·93). At least one of three risk factors: hypoxaemia, HIV exposure, or malnutrition identified 807 children in this population, 40% of LCWI pneumonia cases and identified 86% of the children who died in hospital (65/76). Risk factors identified using the 2012 WHO treatment guidelines identified 66% of the children who died in hospital (n = 50/76).

CONCLUSIONS

Although it focuses on treatment failure in hospital, this study supports the proposal for better risk stratification of children with LCWI pneumonia. Those who have hypoxaemia, any malnutrition or those who were born to HIV positive mothers, experience poorer outcomes than other children with LCWI pneumonia. Consistent identification of these risk factors should be prioritised and children with at least one of these risk factors should not be managed in the community.

Liquefied Petroleum Gas or Biomass Cooking and Severe Infant Pneumonia

BACKGROUND

Exposure to household air pollution is a risk factor for severe pneumonia. The effect of replacing biomass cookstoves with liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) cookstoves on the incidence of severe infant pneumonia is uncertain.

METHODS

We conducted a randomized, controlled trial involving pregnant women 18 to 34 years of age and between 9 to less than 20 weeks' gestation in India, Guatemala, Peru, and Rwanda from May 2018 through September 2021. The women were assigned to cook with unvented LPG stoves and fuel (intervention group) or to continue cooking with biomass fuel (control group). In each trial group, we monitored adherence to the use of the assigned cookstove and measured 24-hour personal exposure to fine particulate matter (particles with an aerodynamic diameter of ≤2.5 μm [PM2.5]) in the women and their offspring. The trial had four primary outcomes; the primary outcome for which data are presented in the current report was severe pneumonia in the first year of life, as identified through facility surveillance or on verbal autopsy.

RESULTS

Among 3200 pregnant women who had undergone randomization, 3195 remained eligible and gave birth to 3061 infants (1536 in the intervention group and 1525 in the control group). High uptake of the intervention led to a reduction in personal exposure to PM2.5 among the children, with a median exposure of 24.2 μg per cubic meter (interquartile range, 17.8 to 36.4) in the intervention group and 66.0 μg per cubic meter (interquartile range, 35.2 to 132.0) in the control group. A total of 175 episodes of severe pneumonia were identified during the first year of life, with an incidence of 5.67 cases per 100 child-years (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.55 to 7.07) in the intervention group and 6.06 cases per 100 child-years (95% CI, 4.81 to 7.62) in the control group (incidence rate ratio, 0.96; 98.75% CI, 0.64 to 1.44; P = 0.81). No severe adverse events were reported to be associated with the intervention, as determined by the trial investigators.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of severe pneumonia among infants did not differ significantly between those whose mothers were assigned to cook with LPG stoves and fuel and those whose mothers were assigned to continue cooking with biomass stoves. (Funded by the National Institutes of Health and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation; HAPIN ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02944682.).

Clinical hypoxemia score for outpatient child pneumonia care lacking pulse oximetry in Africa and South Asia

Background

Pulse oximeters are not routinely available in outpatient clinics in low- and middle-income countries. We derived clinical scores to identify hypoxemic child pneumonia.

Methods

This was a retrospective pooled analysis of two outpatient datasets of 3-35 month olds with World Health Organization (WHO)-defined pneumonia in Bangladesh and Malawi. We constructed, internally validated, and compared fit & discrimination of four models predicting SpO2 < 93% and <90%: (1) Integrated Management of Childhood Illness guidelines, (2) WHO-composite guidelines, (3) Independent variable least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO); (4) Composite variable LASSO.

Results

12,712 observations were included. The independent and composite LASSO models discriminated moderately (both C-statistic 0.77) between children with a SpO2 < 93% and ≥94%; model predictive capacities remained moderate after adjusting for potential overfitting (C-statistic 0.74 and 0.75). The IMCI and WHO-composite models had poorer discrimination (C-statistic 0.56 and 0.68) and identified 20.6% and 56.8% of SpO2 < 93% cases. The highest score stratum of the independent and composite LASSO models identified 46.7% and 49.0% of SpO2 < 93% cases. Both LASSO models had similar performance for a SpO2 < 90%.

Conclusions

In the absence of pulse oximeters, both LASSO models better identified outpatient hypoxemic pneumonia cases than the WHO guidelines. Score external validation and implementation are needed.

Oxygen saturation targets for children with respiratory distress: a systematic review

Background

In children with respiratory distress, supplemental oxygen is indicated at peripheral oxygen saturation (SpO2) thresholds of 90-94%. However, these thresholds are poorly studied. We conducted a systematic review to summarise the existing evidence for SpO2 thresholds in children with respiratory distress.

Methods

Electronic databases and registries were searched for original articles published from 1 January 2010 to 7 January 2022 comparing two or more SpO2 thresholds in children with respiratory distress. Primary outcomes were safety, including mortality, neurocognitive outcomes and readmissions, and effectiveness, including admission rate and length of hospital stay. Methodological appraisal was performed using the Cochrane Risk of Bias 2 (RoB-2) or Risk of Bias in Non-Randomized Studies - of Interventions (ROBINS-I) tools. Results were narratively synthesised.

Results

We retrieved 3384 results; seven studies were included. Lower thresholds ranged from 80% to 92% and were compared with higher thresholds ranging from 92% to 94%. Studies were highly heterogeneous in setting, design, population and outcomes. Risk of bias varied from low to high. Lower SpO2 thresholds had equivalent mortality, neurocognitive outcomes and readmissions or re-attendance to healthcare to higher thresholds. Lower SpO2 thresholds showed a significant decrease in admission rates by up to 40% and shortened hospitalisation duration by 10-18 h.

Conclusions

The current SpO2 thresholds of 90-94% in children with respiratory distress may be too high, which could lead to unnecessary hospitalisations and prolonged hospitalisation duration. SpO2 thresholds as low as 88% are potentially safe in children with respiratory distress and may reduce hospitalisation rates and length of stay. However, high-quality evidence is needed to support this.