A multilevel health system intervention for virological suppression in adolescents and young adults living with HIV in rural Kenya and Uganda (SEARCH-Youth): a cluster randomised trial

The Causal Roadmap and Simulations to Improve the Rigor and Reproducibility of Real-data Applications

The Causal Roadmap outlines a systematic approach to asking and answering questions of cause and effect: define the quantity of interest, evaluate needed assumptions, conduct statistical estimation, and carefully interpret results. To protect research integrity, it is essential that the algorithm for statistical estimation and inference be prespecified prior to conducting any effectiveness analyses. However, it is often unclear which algorithm will perform optimally for the real-data application. Instead, there is a temptation to simply implement one's favorite algorithm, recycling prior code or relying on the default settings of a computing package. Here, we call for the use of simulations that realistically reflect the application, including key characteristics such as strong confounding and dependent or missing outcomes, to objectively compare candidate estimators and facilitate full specification of the statistical analysis plan. Such simulations are informed by the Causal Roadmap and conducted after data collection but prior to effect estimation. We illustrate with two worked examples. First, in an observational longitudinal study, we use outcome-blind simulations to inform nuisance parameter estimation and variance estimation for longitudinal targeted minimum loss-based estimation. Second, in a cluster randomized trial with missing outcomes, we use treatment-blind simulations to examine type-I error control in two-stage targeted minimum loss-based estimation. In both examples, realistic simulations empower us to prespecify an estimation approach that is expected to have strong finite sample performance and also yield quality-controlled computing code for the actual analysis. Together, this process helps to improve the rigor and reproducibility of our research.

Adolescents and young adults with HIV and unsuppressed viral load: where do we go from here?

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Adolescents and youth living with HIV (AYLHIV) have worse outcomes at all stages of the care cascade when compared with adults, yet adolescents and youth with unsuppressed viral load are typically excluded from phase 3 studies of novel HIV therapeutic agents and emerging strategies. Long-acting agents have the potential to radically change outcomes for young people struggling with adherence to daily oral HIV medications.

RECENT FINDINGS

1.5 million children aged less than 15 years live with HIV and more than 100 000 acquire HIV perinatally every year. Adolescents and youth aged 10-24 years comprise ∼40% of global incident HIV infections. Rates of viral suppression among AYLHIV vary markedly from 44 to 88%, resulting in morbidity and risks of transmission to partners and infants. Virological failure is mostly due to poor adherence, and AYLHIV express high levels of interest and acceptability of alternatives to oral daily medications, such as long-acting antiretroviral formulations. Emerging data regarding their use in populations with unsuppressed viral load are encouraging.

SUMMARY

AYLHIV, including populations without virologic suppression, must be prioritized for the programmatic implementation and research of long-acting HIV drugs and other therapeutic strategies to prevent morbidity and mortality and to ultimately end the HIV epidemic.

Paediatric antiretroviral therapy challenges with emerging integrase resistance

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Universal antiretroviral (ART) coverage and virological suppression are fundamental to ending AIDS in children by 2030. Availability of new paediatric dolutegravir (DTG)-based ART formulations is a major breakthrough and will undoubtedly help achieve this goal, but treatment challenges still remain.

RECENT FINDINGS

Paediatric formulations remain limited compared to those for adults, especially for young children, those unable to tolerate DTG or with DTG-based first-line ART failure. Tenofovir alafenamide is virologically superior to standard-of-care backbone drugs in second-line, but paediatric formulations are not widely available. The roles of resistance testing and recycling of backbone drugs following first-line ART failure remain to be determined. Results of trials of novel treatment strategies including dual therapy and long-acting agents are awaited. Although numbers are currently small, safe and effective ART options are urgently required for children developing DTG resistance.

SUMMARY

The antiretroviral treatment gap between adults and children persists. The potential benefits from rollout of new paediatric DTG-based fixed-dose combination ART for first-line treatment are considerable. However, children remain disadvantaged when DTG-based first-line ART fails or cannot be used. Research efforts to address this inequity require prioritisation in order to ensure health outcomes are optimised for all ages in all settings.

Clinical Implications of HIV Treatment and Prevention for Polygamous Families in Kenya and Uganda: "My Co-Wife Is the One Who Used to Encourage Me"

Polygamy is the practice of marriage to multiple partners. Approximately 6-11% of households in Uganda and 4-11% of households in Kenya are polygamous. The complex families produced by polygamous marriage customs give rise to additional considerations for healthcare providers and public health messaging around HIV care. Using 27 in-depth, semi-structured qualitative interviews with participants in two studies in rural Kenya and Uganda, we analysed challenges and opportunities that polygamous families presented in the diagnosis, treatment and prevention of HIV, and provider roles in improving HIV outcomes in these families. Overall, prevention methods seemed more justifiable to families where co-wives live far apart than when all members live in the same household. In treatment, diagnosis of one member did not always lead to disclosure to other members, creating an adverse home environment; but sometimes diagnosis of one wife led not only to diagnosis of the other, but also to greater household support.

Measuring the performance of HIV self-testing at private pharmacies in Kenya: a cross-sectional study

INTRODUCTION

HIV self-testing (HIVST) has the potential to support daily oral pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) delivery in private pharmacies, but many national guidelines have not approved HIVST for PrEP dispensing. In Kenya, pharmacy providers are permitted to deliver HIVST, but often do not have the required certification to deliver rapid diagnostic testing (RDT). We estimated the performance of provider-delivered HIVST compared to RDT, the standard of care for PrEP delivery, at private pharmacies in Kenya to inform decisions on the use of HIVST for PrEP scale-up.

METHODS

At 20 pharmacies in Kisumu County, we trained pharmacy providers (pharmacists and pharmaceutical technologists) on blood-based HIVST use and client assistance (if requested). We recruited pharmacy clients purchasing sexual and reproductive health-related products (e.g. condoms) and enrolled those ≥18 years with self-reported behaviours associated with HIV risk. Enrolled clients received HIVST with associated provider counselling, followed by RDT by a certified HIV testing services (HTS) counsellor. Pharmacy providers and clients independently interpreted HIVST results prior to RDT (results interpreted only by the HTS counsellor). We calculated the sensitivity and specificity of pharmacy provider-delivered HIVST compared to HTS counsellor-administered RDT.

RESULTS

Between March and June 2022, we screened 1691 clients and enrolled 1500; 64% (954/1500) were female and the median age was 26 years (IQR 22-31). We additionally enrolled 40 providers; 42% (17/40) were pharmacy owners and their median years of experience was 6 (IQR 4-10). The majority (79%, 1190/1500) of clients requested provider assistance with HIVST and providers spent a median of 20 minutes (IQR 15-43) with each HIVST client. The sensitivity of provider-delivered HIVST at the pharmacy was high when interpreted by providers (98.5%, 95% CI 97.8%, 99.1%) and clients (98.8%, 95% CI 98.0%, 99.3%), as was the specificity of HIVST in this setting (provider-interpretation: 96.9%, 95% CI 89.2%, 99.6%; client-interpretation: 93.8%, 95% CI 84.8%, 98.3%).

CONCLUSIONS

When compared to the national HIV testing algorithm, provider-delivered blood-based HIVST at private pharmacies in Kenya performed well. These findings suggest that blood-based HIVST may be a useful tool to support PrEP initiation and continuation at private pharmacies and potentially other community-based delivery settings.