Prediction of Short-Term Ultrafine Particle Exposures Using Real-Time Street-Level Images Paired with Air Quality Measurements

Electric buses as an air pollution and meteorological observation network: Methodology and preliminary results

Many local agencies in the United States and other countries are tasked to install air pollution monitoring systems of highly accurate sensors that have high acquisition, operating, and maintenance costs. The need for expanded coverage of air quality measurements across Salt Lake County (SLCO), Utah is being met by mounting air quality and temperature sensors on an expanding fleet of battery electric buses (BEBs). Monitoring air quality from a mobile sensor network provides real-time insights into air pollution patterns at high temporal and spatial resolution. Mobile measurements contribute to assessing residents' exposure to air pollution, facilitating the implementation of cost-effective public health policies and highlighting disparities. The Electric Bus Air Quality Observation Project was launched in SLCO during July 2021 and has collected millions of observations to date. A BEB traveling at typical traffic speeds (~10 m s-1) can provide multiple measurements along city block lengths of up to ~200 m. With careful analysis that factors in the time response of the differing sensors, variability from block-to-block may be attributed to fine-scale factors (e.g., pollution and heat sources, tree shading and urban vegetation, etc.). Preliminary findings showcase the value of increased coverage and resolution. During an extreme heat event in July 2023, both the morning and afternoon temperature readings showed differences of over 6.5 °C (12 °F), primarily as an east-west gradient with similar gradients in ozone. We conclude that temperature and pollutant concentration readings, at fine spatial and temporal resolutions, will facilitate future health studies and equitable policy and mitigation strategies. Our study demonstrates that our partnerships established with governmental, non-profit, and transit agencies facilitate the successful transfer of research and development to operational real-time mobile air quality monitoring.

Societal Co-benefits of Zero-Emission Vehicles in the Freight Industry

This study was set in the Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area (GTHA), where commercial vehicle movements were assigned across the road network. Implications for greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, air quality, and health were examined through an environmental justice lens. Electrification of light-, medium-, and heavy-duty trucks was assessed to identify scenarios associated with the highest benefits for the most disadvantaged communities. Using spatially and temporally resolved commercial vehicle movements and a chemical transport model, changes in air pollutant concentrations under electric truck scenarios were estimated at 1-km2 resolution. Heavy-duty truck electrification reduces ambient black carbon and nitrogen dioxide on average by 10 and 14%, respectively, and GHG emissions by 10.5%. It achieves the highest reduction in premature mortality attributable to fine particulate matter chronic exposure (around 200 cases per year) compared with light- and medium-duty electrification (less than 150 cases each). The burden of all traffic in the GTHA was estimated to be around 600 cases per year. The benefits of electrification accrue primarily in neighborhoods with a high social disadvantage, measured by the Ontario Marginalization Indices, narrowing the disparity of exposure to traffic-related air pollution. Benefits related to heavy-duty truck electrification reflect the adverse impacts of diesel-fueled freight and highlight the co-benefits achieved by electrifying this sector.

Novel approach for identifying VOC emission characteristics based on mobile monitoring platform data and deep learning: Application of source apportionment in a chemical industrial park

Refined volatile organic compound (VOC) emission characteristics are crucial for accurate source apportionment in chemical industrial parks. The data from mobile monitoring platforms in chemical industrial parks contain pollution information that is not intuitively displayed, requiring further excavation. A novel approach was proposed to identify VOC emission characteristics using the class activation map (CAM) technology of convolutional neural network (CNN), which was applied on the mobile monitoring platform data (MD) derived from a typical fine chemical industrial park. It converts a large amount of monitoring data with high spatiotemporal complexity into simple and interpretable characteristic maps, effectively improving the identification effect of VOC emission characteristics, supporting more accurate source apportionment of VOC pollution around the park. Using this method, the VOC emission characteristics of eight key factories were identified. VOC source apportionment in the park was conducted for one day using a positive matrix factorization (PMF) model and seven combined factor profiles (CFPs) were calculated. Based on the identified VOC emission characteristics, the main pollution sources and their contributions to surrounding schools and residential areas were determined, revealing that one pesticide factory (named LKA) had the highest contribution ratio. The source apportionment results indicated that the impact of the chemical industrial park on the surrounding areas varied from morning to afternoon, which to some extent reflected the intermittent production methods employed for fine chemicals.

LUR modeling of long-term average hourly concentrations of NO2 using hyperlocal mobile monitoring data

Mobile monitoring campaigns have effectively captured spatial hyperlocal variations in long-term average concentrations of regulated and unregulated air pollutants. However, their application in estimating spatiotemporally varying maps has rarely been investigated. Tackling this gap, we investigated whether mobile measurements can assess long-term average nitrogen dioxide (NO2) concentrations for each hour of the day. Using mobile NO2 data monitored for 10 months in Amsterdam, we examined the performance of two spatiotemporal land use regression (LUR) methods, Spatiotemporal-Kriging and GTWR (Geographical and Temporal Weighted Regression), alongside two classical spatial LUR models developed separately for each hour. We found that mobile measurements follow the general pattern of fixed-site measurements, but with considerable deviations (indicating collection uncertainty). Leveraging heterogeneous spatiotemporal autocorrelations, GTWR smoothed these deviations and achieved an overall performance of an R2 of 0.49 and a Mean Absolute Error of 6.33 μg/m3, validated by long-term fixed-site measurements (out-of-sample). The other models tested were more affected by the collection uncertainty. We highlighted that the spatiotemporal variations captured in mobile measurements can be used to reconstruct long-term average hourly air pollution maps. These maps facilitate dynamic exposure assessments considering spatiotemporal human activity patterns.

Exploring the triple burden of social disadvantage, mobility poverty, and exposure to traffic-related air pollution

Understanding the relationships between ultrafine particle (UFP) exposure, socioeconomic status (SES), and sustainable transportation accessibility in Toronto, Canada is crucial for promoting public health, addressing environmental justice, and ensuring transportation equity. We conducted a large-scale mobile measurement campaign and employed a gradient boost model to generate exposure surfaces using land use, built environment, and meteorological conditions. The Ontario Marginalization Index was used to quantify various indicators of social disadvantage for Toronto's neighborhoods. Our findings reveal that people in socioeconomically disadvantaged areas experience elevated UFP exposures. We highlight significant disparities in accessing sustainable transportation, particularly in areas with higher ethnic concentrations. When factoring in daily mobility, UFP exposure disparities in disadvantaged populations are further exacerbated. Furthermore, individuals who do not generate emissions themselves are consistently exposed to higher UFPs, with active transportation users experiencing the highest UFP exposures both at home and at activity locations. Finally, we proposed a novel index, the Community Prioritization Index (CPI), incorporating three indicators, including air quality, social disadvantage, and sustainable transportation. This index identifies neighborhoods experiencing a triple burden, often situated near major infrastructure hubs with high diesel truck activity and lacking greenspace, marking them as high-priority areas for policy action and targeted interventions.

Dynamic Traffic Data in Machine-Learning Air Quality Mapping Improves Environmental Justice Assessment

Air pollution poses a critical public health threat around many megacities but in an uneven manner. Conventional models are limited to depict the highly spatial- and time-varying patterns of ambient pollutant exposures at the community scale for megacities. Here, we developed a machine-learning approach that leverages the dynamic traffic profiles to continuously estimate community-level year-long air pollutant concentrations in Los Angeles, U.S. We found the introduction of real-world dynamic traffic data significantly improved the spatial fidelity of nitrogen dioxide (NO2), maximum daily 8-h average ozone (MDA8 O3), and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) simulations by 47%, 4%, and 15%, respectively. We successfully captured PM2.5 levels exceeding limits due to heavy traffic activities and providing an "out-of-limit map" tool to identify exposure disparities within highly polluted communities. In contrast, the model without real-world dynamic traffic data lacks the ability to capture the traffic-induced exposure disparities and significantly underestimate residents' exposure to PM2.5. The underestimations are more severe for disadvantaged communities such as black and low-income groups, showing the significance of incorporating real-time traffic data in exposure disparity assessment.

Unmasking air quality: A novel image-based approach to align public perception with pollution levels

In the quest to reconcile public perception of air pollution with scientific measurements, our study introduced a pioneering method involving a gradient boost-regression tree model integrating PM2.5 concentration, visibility, and image-based data. Traditional stationary monitoring often falls short of accurately capturing public air quality perceptions, prompting the need for alternative strategies. Leveraging an extensive dataset of over 20,000 public visibility perception evaluations and over 8,000 stationary images, our models effectively quantify diverse air quality perceptions. The predictive prowess of our models was validated by strong performance metrics for perceived visibility (R = 0.98, RMSE = 0.19), all-day PM2.5 concentrations (R: 0.77-0.78, RMSE: 8.31-9.40), and Central Weather Bureau visibility records (R = 0.82, RMSE = 9.00). Interestingly, image contrast and light intensity hold greater importance than scenery clarity in the visibility perception model. However, clarity is prioritized in PM2.5 and Central Weather Bureau models. Our research also unveiled spatial limitations in stationary monitoring and outlined the variations in predictive image features between near and far stations. Crucially, all models benefit from the characterization of atmospheric light sources through defogging techniques. The image-based insights highlight the disparity between public perception of air pollution and current policy implementation. In other words, policymakers should shift from solely emphasizing the reduction of PM2.5 levels to also incorporating the public's perception of visibility into their strategies. Our findings have broad implications for air quality evaluation, image mining in specific areas, and formulating air quality management strategies that account for public perception.

Predicting spatial variations in annual average outdoor ultrafine particle concentrations in Montreal and Toronto, Canada: Integrating land use regression and deep learning models

BACKGROUND

Concentrations of outdoor ultrafine particles (UFP; <0.1 µm) and black carbon (BC) can vary greatly within cities and long-term exposures to these pollutants have been associated with a variety of adverse health outcomes.

OBJECTIVE

This study integrated multiple approaches to develop new models to estimate within-city spatial variations in annual median (i.e. average) outdoor UFP and BC concentrations as well as mean UFP size in Canada's two largest cities, Montreal and Toronto.

METHODS

We conducted year-long mobile monitoring campaigns in each city that included evenings and weekends. We developed generalized additive models trained on land use parameters and deep Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) models trained on satellite-view images. Using predictions from these models, we developed final combined models.

RESULTS

In Toronto, the median observed UFP concentration, UFP size, and BC concentration values were 16,172pt/cm3, 33.7 nm, and 1225 ng/m3, respectively. In Montreal, the median observed UFP concentration, UFP size, and BC concentration values were 14,702pt/cm3, 29.7 nm, and 1060 ng/m3, respectively. For all pollutants in both cities, the proportion of spatial variation explained (i.e., R2) was slightly greater (1-2 percentage points) for the combined models than the generalized additive models and a greater (approximately 10 percentage points) than the deep CNN models. The Toronto combined model R2 values in the test set were 0.73, 0.55, and 0.61 for UFP concentrations, UFP size, and BC concentration, respectively. The Montreal combined model R2 values were 0.60, 0.49, and 0.60 for UFP concentration, UFP size, and BC concentration models respectively. For each pollutant, predictions from the combined, deep CNN, and generalized additive models were highly correlated with each other and differences between models were explored in sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSION

Predictions from these models are available to support future epidemiological research examining long-term health impacts of outdoor UFPs and BC.