Increased neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio is a poor prognostic factor in patients with primary operable and inoperable pancreatic cancer. Br J Cancer. 2013;109:416-421. [PMID: 23799847 PMCID: PMC3721392 DOI: 10.1038/bjc.2013.332]

The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio predicts all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among United States adults with COPD: results from NHANES 1999-2018

Background

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is considered a biomarker of systemic inflammation and immune activation. However, its relationship with the risk of mortality in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the association between NLR and the risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with COPD.

Methods

Data were collected from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from January 1999 to December 2018. The calculation method of NLR involves dividing the neutrophil count by the lymphocyte count in the total blood cell count. The optimal NLR threshold associated with survival outcomes was determined using the maximally selected rank statistics method (MSRSM). The relationship between NLR and the risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in COPD was investigated using a weighted multivariable Cox regression model. Additionally, restricted cubic spline (RCS) was employed to discuss the potential relationship between NLR patients in different groups and the risk of mortality.

Results

In this study, 716 adults with COPD were included using the maximally selected rank statistics method, among whom 208 had higher NLR (≥2.56) and 508 had lower NLR (<2.56). During a median follow-up of 111.5 months, 162 COPD patients died from all causes, and 49 patients died from cardiovascular diseases. After adjusting for demographic, socioeconomic status, and lifestyle factors, the risk of all-cause mortality (HR = 2.07, 95%CI: 1.46-2.94) and cardiovascular mortality (HR = 3.03, 95%CI: 1.63-5.65) in patients with higher NLR was increased by 2-3 times compared to those with lower NLR. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed significantly lower survival rates in patients with higher NLR for all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality (p < 0.05). Restricted cubic spline analysis showed a linear correlation between NLR and the risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality.

Conclusion

NLR has a high value in independently predicting long-term all-cause and cardiovascular mortality risks in community-dwelling COPD patients. Therefore, NLR can serve as a cost-effective and widely available indicator for assessing the prognosis of COPD patients.

PNI is useful for predicting the prognosis of patients with soft tissue sarcoma: A retrospective study

BACKGROUND

It is known that preoperative Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) is useful in predicting prognosis in gastrointestinal diseases and that preoperative improvement of nutritional status improves prognosis. However, there have been few large-scale reports examining the prognostic value of PNI in soft tissue sarcomas. Therefore, the aim of this study is to investigate whether the PNI can be useful for predicting overall survival in soft tissue sarcoma.

METHODS

Between January 2006 and March 2022 at our hospital, 111 patients with pathologically diagnosed soft tissue sarcoma were included, retrospectively. Several nutritional or inflammatory biomarkers such as PNI were calculated from the pretreatment blood sample results. The patients were classified into two groups (low and high groups) based on the median value of each parameter. Overall survival was analyzed by the Kaplan‒Meier method and log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate analyses using the Cox proportional hazards model were used to investigate prognostic factors for overall survival.

RESULTS

The median overall survival was 24.3 months (mean 37.3 months), and the high PNI group had a significantly longer overall survival than the low PNI group (p < 0.0001). PNI was the most significant univariate factor for overall survival among other nutritional and inflammatory parameters (HR: 5.64, 95% CI: 2.26-14.12, p = 0.0002). The multivariate proportional hazards model was built using variables with prognostic potential as suggested by previous analysis with respect to patient characteristics and PNI. As potential confounding factors, we included PNI, stage, age, and tumor location. PNI was also an independent prognostic factor in multivariate analysis (HR: 7.02, CI: 2.52-19.40, p = 0.0002).

CONCLUSION

PNI is a useful prognostic factor among various parameters for overall survival in patients with soft tissue sarcoma.

Prognostic factors based on histological categorization of desmoplastic reactions in pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

In colorectal cancer, the morphological categorization of fibrotic cancer stroma in the invasive frontal zone of the primary tumor is well reflected in the prognosis. Conversely, the histological characteristics of pancreatic cancer (PC) reveal fibrotic hyperplasia of stroma known as desmoplasia; however, its characterization is unknown. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the prognostic factors according to the histological categorization of desmoplastic reactions in PC.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 167 patients who underwent curative resection for PC. The desmoplastic pattern was histologically classified as mature, intermediate, or immature. Clinicopathological features were evaluated, and disease-free and overall survival (OS) were analyzed in the three groups. Prognostic factors were assessed using univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

In total, 19 mature, 87 intermediate, and 61 immature desmoplastic patterns were evaluated. Jaundice decompression, white blood cell count, and platelet/lymphocyte ratio were significantly different among the groups. The mature group had a better disease-free survival (DFS) prognosis than the other two groups; however, OS did not differ between the groups. Desmoplastic patterns showed significant differences between the three groups for DFS.

CONCLUSIONS

Desmoplastic patterns are a prognostic factor of DFS for PC, with mature desmoplastic reactions associated with good prognosis. Thus, they may aid in individualized therapeutic approaches in patients with PC.

Real-world retrospective study of anti-PD-1 antibody in combination with chemotherapy as a neoadjuvant treatment strategy for locally advanced resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Background

Neoadjuvant therapy has become a mainstay of treatment for locally advanced resectable esophageal cancer. The objective of this research was to investigate the effectiveness and safety of neoadjuvant immunotherapy combined with chemotherapy in treating surgically removable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

Methods

From January 1, 2016 to April 1, 2023, we conducted a retrospective analysis of patients diagnosed with resectable esophageal cancer who underwent neoadjuvant immunotherapy combined with chemotherapy at The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University. The primary endpoints of this study were pathologic complete response (pCR), major pathologic response (MPR) and disease-free survival (DFS). The secondary endpoints of this study were overall survival (OS), objective response rate (ORR) and safety.

Results

A total of 122 patients with ESCC receiving neoadjuvant immune-chemotherapy (nICT) were included. Fifty-four patients achieved partial response (PR) and two patients achieved complete response (CR), with an ORR of 45.9%. Of the 106 patients who underwent surgery, a total of 28 patients achieved pCR (26.4%) and a total of 37 patients achieved MPR (34.9%). Grade 3 or higher adverse events occurred in 26 patients (21.3%). The most common postoperative complication was pneumonitis (25.5%).

Conclusions

Neoadjuvant immunotherapy combined with chemotherapy demonstrates satisfactory efficacy in the treatment of locally advanced ESCC, with manageable treatment-related adverse events and postoperative complications.

Inflammation-based scores in a large cohort of adrenocortical carcinoma and adrenocortical adenoma: role of the hormonal secretion pattern

BACKGROUND

Serum inflammation-based scores can predict clinical outcome in several cancer types, including adrenocortical carcinoma (ACC). It is unclear whether the extent of inflammation-based scores alterations in ACC reflects malignancy, steroid excess, or both.

METHODS

We investigated a large retrospective cohort of adrenocortical adenomas (ACA, n = 429) and ACC (n = 61) with available baseline full blood count and hormonal evaluation. We examined the relationship between different inflammation-based scores [neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), and prognostic nutrition index (PNI)] and both malignancy and steroid secretion patterns.

RESULTS

All inflammation-based scores differed between ACC and ACA: patients with ACC had higher NLR, PLR, SII and lower LMR and PNI levels compared to ACA (all p values < 0.001). NLR showed a positive correlation with cortisol levels after overnight 1 mg-dexamethasone suppression test (1 mg-DST), both in ACC and ACA (p < 0.01). The ROC curve analysis determined NLR > 2.6 as the best cut-off to discriminate ACC from ACA [AUC = 0.846, p < 0.01]. At multivariable analysis, NLR > 2.6 was independently associated with ACC, 1 mg-DST cortisol levels and age, but not with tumour size. Considering the ACC, NLR and SII were higher and PNI was lower in patients with cortisol excess compared to those without cortisol excess (p = 0.002, p = 0.007, and p = 0.044 respectively). Finally, LMR and NLR differed between inactive-ACC (n = 10) and inactive-ACA (n = 215) (p = 0.040 and p = 0.031, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Inflammation-based scores are related to steroid secretion both in ACC and ACA. ACCs present a higher grade of inflammation regardless of their hormonal secretion, likely as a feature of malignancy itself.

The ratio of skeletal muscle mass to body mass index combined with inflammatory immune markers to stratify survival of pancreatic cancer after pancreatoduodenectomy

BACKGROUND

We sought to combine skeletal muscle index and inflammatory immune markers to stratify long-term survival in patients with pancreatic cancer after pancreatoduodenectomy (PD).

METHODS

A total of 581 patients with pancreatic cancer underwent PD were included, and divided into the training and validation cohort. Image analysis of computed tomography scans was used to calculate the ratio of skeletal muscle (SM) area to body mass index (BMI). Naples prognostic score (NPS) was calculated from blood-test inflammatory immune markers. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was performed to minimize biases of clinicopathological characteristics. To estimate the overall survival (OS), a nomogram was developed using the training cohort. The predictive accuracy of nomogram was estimated by concordance index (C-index), calibration curve, and receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve.

RESULTS

After PSM analysis, SM/BMI ratio, NPS, lymph node metastasis, TNM stage, surgical margin, tumor grade and adjuvant therapy were independent predictors of OS, which were all assembled into nomogram. The SM/BMI ratio was the best single-predictor for 3- and 5-year OS, with an AUC of 0.805 (95% CI: 0.755-0.855) and 0.812 (95% CI: 0.736-0.888), respectively. Harrell's c-index of the nomogram in the training cohort was 0.786 (95% CI: 0.770-0.802), and the area under ROC curve of 1-year, 3- and 5-year OS prediction were 0.869 (95%CI: 0.837-0.901), 0.846 (95%CI: 0.810-0.882) and 0.849 (95%CI: 0.801-0.896).

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram based on SM/BMI ratio and NPS had excellent predictive performance, which should be incorporated to conventional risk scores to stratify survival of patients with PDAC after PD.

Relationship between neutrophil lymphocyte ratio and red blood cell distribution width and respiratory failure in COPD patients

The neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and red blood cell distribution width (RDW) have been repeatedly demonstrated to be associated with risk of severity, progression, and prognosis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), but data on respiratory failure (RF) in patients with COPD are very limited. This study aimed to examine the relationship between NLR and RDW and the incident RF in patients with COPD. This is a retrospective study that reviewed data by examining the hospitalization medical records to identify those who were admitted with a diagnosis of COPD. Based on whether RF occurred during index hospitalization, patients were classified as COPD group and COPD combined with RF group. Also, healthy controls of the same age and sex were enrolled in a 1:1 ratio as the COPD group. Univariate comparisons were performed between three groups to examine differences. With the COPD group as reference, multivariable logistic regression was formed to identify the relationship between NLR and RDW and RF, with adjustment for multiple covariates. There were 136 healthy controls, 136 COPD patients and 62 patients with COPD combined with RF included for analysis. There was a significant difference for eight variables, including age, WBC, neutrophil, NLR, RDW, platelet, PLR, and CRP. The Spearman test showed the significant correlation between NLR and WBC (correlation coefficient, 0.38; P = .008), NLR and RDW (correlation coefficient, 0.32; P = .013), and NLR and CRP level (correlation coefficient, 0.54; P < .001). The multivariable logistic regression showed that age (every additional 10 years) (OR, 1.785), NLR (OR, 1.716), RDW (OR, 2.266), and CRP (OR, 1.163) were independently associated with an increased risk of RF. This study demonstrated the independent associative effect of NLR and RDW with RF in patients with COPD, exhibiting the potential clinical role in evaluating the progress of COPD to RF.

The cachexia index is a prognostic factor for patients with recurrent pancreatic cancer

PURPOSE

Cancer cachexia leads to poor outcomes, especially for patients with advanced stage disease. The cachexia index (CXI), a novel biomarker for cancer cachexia, has been identified as a prognostic indicator for several malignancies. The present study aimed to clarify the prognostic significance of the CXI for patients with recurrent pancreatic cancer.

METHODS

This retrospective study enrolled 113 patients diagnosed with recurrence following pancreatectomy for pancreatic cancer, to analyze the association between the CXI and prognostic survival.

RESULTS

The 2-year overall survival rate and median survival of all patients were 28.5% and 12.6 months, respectively. The 2-year overall survival curve in the high CXI group was significantly better than that in the low CXI group (p < 0.001). The rate of chemotherapy after recurrence was significantly lower in the low CXI group than in the high CXI group (p = 0.002). Multivariate analysis identified the CXI as an independent prognostic factor for patients with recurrent pancreatic cancer (p = 0.011).

CONCLUSIONS

The CXI proved useful for predicting the post-recurrence prognosis of patients with recurrent pancreatic cancer. Patients with a low CXI at the time of recurrence have poorer prognostic outcomes than those with a high CXI.

The serum tenascin C level is a marker of metabolic disorder-related inflammation affecting pancreatic cancer prognosis

Obesity is a risk factor for pancreatic cancer development, partly due to the tissue environment of metabolic disorder-related inflammation. We aimed to detect a tissue environment marker triggered by obesity-related metabolic disorders related to pancreatic cancer progression. In murine experiments, Bl6/j mice fed a normal diet (ND) or a high-fat diet (HFD) were orthotopically injected with mPKC1, a murine-derived pancreatic cancer cell line. We used stocked sera from 140 pancreatic cancer patients for analysis and 14 colon polyp patients as a disease control. Compared with ND-fed mice, HFD-fed mice exhibited obesity, larger tumors, and worse prognoses. RNA sequencing of tumors identified tenascin C (TNC) as a candidate obesity-related serum tissue environment marker with elevated expression in tumors of HFD-fed mice. Serum TNC levels were greater in HFD-fed mice than in ND-fed mice. In pancreatic cancer patients, serum TNC levels were greater than those in controls. The TNC-high group had more metabolic disorders and greater CA19-9 levels than did the TNC-low group. There was no relationship between serum TNC levels and disease stage. Among 77 metastatic patients treated with chemotherapy, a high serum TNC concentration was an independent poor prognostic factor. Pancreatic cancer patients with high serum TNC levels experienced progression more rapidly.

A case of metachronous oligo-hepatic and peritoneal metastases of pancreatic cancer with a favorable outcome after conversion surgery combined with perioperative sequential chemotherapy

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is one of the most aggressive malignancies, and the prognosis for its recurrence after surgery is very poor. Here, we report a case of metachronous oligo-hepatic and peritoneal metastases in a patient who survived without recurrence for 3 years after conversion surgery combined with perioperative sequential chemotherapy using gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel (GnP) and modified FOLFIRINOX (mFOLFIRINOX). The patient was a 70-year-old man with pancreatic ductal carcinoma, classified as cT3N0M0, cStage IIA, who underwent a distal pancreatosplenectomy. At 1 year and 4 months later, two liver metastases and one peritoneal metastasis were detected. A systemic 9-month course of chemotherapy was administered with GnP and mFOLFIRINOX as the first- and second-line chemotherapeutic agents, respectively. The two liver metastases were judged as showing a partial response, but one dissemination was considered stable disease. After receiving informed consent from the patient, we performed resection of the disseminated tumor and lateral segmentectomy of the liver. Adjuvant chemotherapy using mFOLFIRINOX and GnP was administered for 10 months. The patient has now been alive for 5 years and 6 months after the initial pancreatosplenectomy, and 3 years and 3 months after the conversion surgery, without subsequent tumor recurrence. Thus, a multidisciplinary treatment approach including surgery and perioperative sequential chemotherapy using GnP and mFOLFIRINOX may be beneficial for treating metachronous oligo-hepatic and peritoneal metastases, depending on the patient's condition.

The clinical impacts of the prognostic nutritional index for the esophageal cancer patients who received curative treatment

BACKGROUND

We investigated the impact of the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) on esophageal cancer survival and recurrence after curative treatment.

METHODS

This study included 120 patients who underwent curative surgery followed by the adjuvant treatment for esophageal cancer between 2008 and 2018. The risk factors for overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were identified.

RESULTS

The PNI of 49 was regarded to be the optimal critical point of classification considering the 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year survival rate. The OS rates at three and five years after surgery were 47.4% and 36.0% in the PNI low group, respectively, and 62.5% and 56.5% in the PNI high group, which amounted to a statistically significant difference ( P = 0.020). The RFS rates at three and five years after surgery were 31.0% and 24.8% in the PNI low group, respectively, and 50.9% and 42.8% in the PNI high group, which amounted to a statistically significant difference ( P = 0.020). A multivariate analysis demonstrated that the PNI was a significant independent risk factor for the OS and a marginally significant independent risk factor forRFS.

CONCLUSION

The PNI was a risk factor for survival in patients who underwent curative treatment for esophageal cancer. It is necessary to develop the effective plan of the perioperative care and the surgical strategy according to the PNI.

Impact of sarcopenia on recurrent biliary obstruction after EUS-guided biliary drainage in patients with malignant biliary obstruction

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Sarcopenia is an important prognostic factor for cancer patients. The aim of this study was to assess the ability of sarcopenia to predict recurrent biliary obstruction (RBO) in patients with unresectable cancer after EUS-guided biliary drainage (EUS-BD).

METHODS

The study enrolled 113 patients who underwent EUS-BD using the self-expandable metal stent (SEMS) for unresectable malignant biliary obstruction (MBO) between April 2016 and December 2021 at Wakayama Medical University Hospital. The skeletal muscle index at the third lumbar spine level (L3) was calculated from computed tomography images. We analyzed the cumulative incidence of RBO at 180 days after stent insertion. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify variables significantly associated with RBO.

RESULTS

Seventy-six patients were assigned to the sarcopenia group, and 37 were assigned to the non-sarcopenia group. The 180-day cumulative incidence of RBO was 11% in the non-sarcopenia group and 29% in the sarcopenia group (p = 0.034). The time to RBO was significantly shorter for the sarcopenia group (p = 0.028; Gray's test). Multivariate analyses identified sarcopenia as an independent prognostic factor for RBO (present vs absent; HR 4.61; 95% CI 1.76-12.10, p = 0.001). The rates of biliary sludge/food impaction were significantly higher in the sarcopenia group for the causes of RBO (p = 0.048). There were no significant differences between the sarcopenia and the non-sarcopenia groups with respect to related EUS-BD adverse events.

CONCLUSION

Sarcopenia is an independent indicator of RBO in patients with MBO who receive EUS-BD with SEMS.

Prognostic Value of Circulating Cell-Free DNA Concentration and Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio in Patients with Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: A Prospective Cohort Study

Circulating cell-free DNA (ccfDNA) quantity correlates with the clinical characteristics and prognosis of various cancer types. We investigated whether ccfDNA levels and the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) have prognostic value in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Peripheral blood was collected from 82 patients with PDAC prior to any diagnostic procedure or the administration of chemotherapy. Plasma DNA was isolated, and ccfDNA concentration and NLR were determined. We found that ccfDNA levels were correlated with age and tumor burden. Moreover, higher values of NLR (≥3.31) were linked with worse overall survival (OS) (4 vs. 10 months; log rank p = 0.011), and an elevated ccfDNA concentration (≥25.79 ng/mL) was strongly associated with shorter OS (4 vs. 8 months; log rank p = 0.009). According to the results of the multivariable Cox regression analysis, the baseline concentration of ccfDNA was an independent prognostic factor for OS (HR 0.45, 95% CI 0.21-0.97, p = 0.041). Furthermore, the combination of ccfDNA levels with NLR greatly enhanced the prognostic accuracy of PDAC patients. Our study demonstrates that ccfDNA concentration and NLR are independent predictors of survival in PDAC. Subsequent studies should validate this combination as a prognostic indicator in PDAC patients and assess its utility for guiding therapeutic decisions.

Prognostic value of circulating tumor cells combined with neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Circulating tumor cell (CTC) count and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) are both closely associated with the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

AIM

To investigate the prognostic value of combining these two indicators in HCC.

METHODS

Clinical data were collected from patients with advanced HCC who received immune therapy combined with targeted therapy at the Department of Oncology, the Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Sichuan, China, from 2021 to 2023. The optimal cutoff values for CTC programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) (+) > 1 or CTC PD-L1 (+) ≤ 1 and NLR > 3.89 or NLR ≤ 3.89 were evaluated using X-Tile software. Patients were categorized into three groups based on CTC PD-L1 (+) counts and NLR: CTC-NLR (0), CTC-NLR (1), and CTC-NLR (2). The relationship between CTC-NLR and clinical variables as well as survival rates was assessed.

RESULTS

Patients with high CTC PD-L1 (+) expression or NLR at baseline had shorter median progression-free survival (mPFS) and median overall survival (mOS) than those with low levels of CTC PD-L1 (+) or NLR (P < 0.001). Meanwhile, patients in the CTC-NLR (2) group showed a significant decrease in mPFS and mOS. Cox regression analysis revealed that alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), CTC PD-L1 (+), and CTC-NLR were independent predictors of OS. The time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve showed that the area under the curve of CTC-NLR at 12 months (0.821) and 18 months (0.821) was superior to that of AFP and CTC PD-L1 (+).

CONCLUSION

HCC patients with high CTC PD-L1 (+) or NLR expression tend to exhibit poor prognosis, and a high baseline CTC-NLR score may indicate low survival. CTC-NLR may serve as an effective prognostic indicator for patients with advanced HCC receiving immunotherapy combined with targeted therapy.

Innate and adaptive immune-directed tumour microenvironment in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

One of the most deadly and aggressive cancers in the world, pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), typically manifests at an advanced stage. PDAC is becoming more common, and by the year 2030, it is expected to overtake lung cancer as the second greatest cause of cancer-related death. The poor prognosis can be attributed to a number of factors, including difficulties in early identification, a poor probability of curative radical resection, limited response to chemotherapy and radiotherapy, and its immunotherapy resistance. Furthermore, an extensive desmoplastic stroma that surrounds PDAC forms a mechanical barrier that prevents vascularization and promotes poor immune cell penetration. Phenotypic heterogeneity, drug resistance, and immunosuppressive tumor microenvironment are the main causes of PDAC aggressiveness. There is a complex and dynamic interaction between tumor cells in PDAC with stromal cells within the tumour immune microenvironment. The immune suppressive microenvironment that promotes PDAC aggressiveness is contributed by a range of cellular and humoral factors, which itself are modulated by the cancer. In this review, we describe the role of innate and adaptive immune cells, complex tumor microenvironment in PDAC, humoral factors, innate immune-mediated therapeutic advances, and recent clinical trials in PDAC.

Prognostic impact of the distance from the root of splenic artery to tumor in the patients with pancreatic body or tail cancer

BACKGROUND

The impact of the distance from the root of splenic artery to tumor (DST) on the prognosis and optimal surgical procedures in the patients with pancreatic body/tail cancer has been unclear.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 94 patients who underwent distal pancreatectomy (DP) and 17 patients who underwent DP with celiac axis resection (DP-CAR) between 2008 and 2018.

RESULTS

The 111 patients were assigned by DST length (in mm) as DST = 0: n = 14, 0

CONCLUSIONS

DST did not affect prognosis in patients with pancreatic body/tail cancer. Neoadjuvant therapy followed by DP may be desirable for patients with a DST = 0 tumor. For those with a 0 Collapse

Key Words

• Distal pancreatectomy
• Distal pancreatectomy with celiac axis resection
• Neoadjuvant therapy
• Pancreatic cancer
• Root of splenic artery

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MESH Headings

• Humans
• Splenic Artery/surgery
• Prognosis
• Retrospective Studies
• Neoplasm Recurrence, Local/pathology
• Celiac Artery/surgery
• Celiac Artery/pathology
• Pancreatic Neoplasms/pathology
• Pancreatectomy/methods

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Affiliation(s)

Takuya Minagawa Division of Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery, Shizuoka Cancer Center, Shizuoka, Japan; Department of Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic and Gastrointestinal Surgery, School of Medicine, International University of Health and Welfare, Chiba, Japan
Yukiyasu Okamura Division of Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery, Shizuoka Cancer Center, Shizuoka, Japan; Division of Digestive Surgery, Department of Surgery, Nihon University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.
Teiichi Sugiura Division of Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery, Shizuoka Cancer Center, Shizuoka, Japan
Takaaki Ito Division of Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery, Shizuoka Cancer Center, Shizuoka, Japan
Yusuke Yamamoto Division of Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery, Shizuoka Cancer Center, Shizuoka, Japan
Ryo Ashida Division of Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery, Shizuoka Cancer Center, Shizuoka, Japan
Katsuhisa Ohgi Division of Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery, Shizuoka Cancer Center, Shizuoka, Japan
Keiko Sasaki Division of Pathology, Shizuoka Cancer Center, Shizuoka, Japan
Katsuhiko Uesaka Division of Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery, Shizuoka Cancer Center, Shizuoka, Japan

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Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio is a prognostic factor reflecting immune condition of tumor microenvironment in squamous cell lung cancer

Inflammatory factors in the peripheral blood, such as the C-reactive protein level and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), are prognostic markers in multiple types of cancer, including non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). However, the association between inflammatory factors and prognosis based on histological types has not been adequately reported. In addition, the relationship between these factors and the immune condition of the tumor microenvironment (TME) is unclear. In this single center, retrospective study, we first investigated the relationship between preoperative inflammatory markers and clinical outcomes in 176 patients with NSCLC who underwent surgery. Lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) showed no significant prognostic marker, whereas for lung squamous cell carcinoma (LUSC), a multivariate analysis showed that a high NLR was significantly associated with postoperative recurrence. In LUSC patients, the median time of postoperative recurrence-free survival in patients with a low NLR was longer than that in patients with a high NLR. We then compared the tumor-infiltrating lymphocyte (TIL) profile with inflammatory markers in peripheral blood and found that the NLR was negatively correlated with the frequencies of T cells and B cells in LUSC tissues. Thus, the NLR is a useful predictive biomarker for postoperative recurrence and may reflect the immune condition of the TME in LUSC.

Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Predicts Immune-related Adverse Events in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated With Atezolizumab Plus Bevacizumab

Background/Aim

Atezolizumab in combination with bevacizumab is an approved systemic chemotherapy regimen for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), such as atezolizumab, frequently lead to immune-related adverse events (irAEs). The identification of biomarkers that can predict the occurrence of irAEs is crucial for the optimal management of patients undergoing ICI treatment.

Patients and Methods

Between October 2020 and June 2023, we conducted a study involving 69 patients with advanced HCC who received treatment with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab. We conducted an analysis of blood-based biomarkers to identify independent risk factors associated with irAEs.

Results

In our study, 12 out of 69 patients (17.4%) experienced irAEs. Our investigation into blood-based biomarkers revealed that a neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) <2.04 at three weeks after the initiation of treatment had high predictive power (area under the curve: 0.77) for irAEs. Furthermore, multivariate logistic analysis identified NLR at three weeks (hazard ratio=0.23; p=0.037) and non-viral infection (hazard ratio=4.47; p=0.037) as independent factors contributing to the occurrence of irAEs. Patients who developed irAEs demonstrated a more favorable overall response rate (75.0% vs. 28.1%, p=0.005), disease control rate (91.6% vs. 52.6%, p=0.016), and progression-free survival (12.1 months vs. 6.0 months, p=0.010) than those who did not experience irAEs.

Conclusion

An NLR <2.04 at three weeks after the initiation of treatment may serve as a valuable biomarker for predicting irAEs in patients with HCC undergoing atezolizumab plus bevacizumab therapy.

Utility of Established Prognostic Scoring Systems for Patients with Advanced Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma Enrolled in Immunotherapy-Based Early-Phase Clinical Trials

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is a lethal malignancy for which multiagent chemotherapy is the mainstay of treatment resulting in limited survival and symptomatic benefit. Treatment with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) has proven effective in a growing number of solid tumors but has yet to show clinical benefit in patients with PDAC. Given the growing number of ICI-based clinical trials in development for patients with PDAC and lack of clinical benefit thus far with ICI-based therapies in these patients, we sought to (1) determine the outcomes of patients with PDAC treated with ICI-based therapies as part of an early phase clinical trial, (2) validate the utility of established prognostic scoring systems, and (3) identify novel prognostic factors in an attempt to better identify patients that would benefit from enrollment onto an ICI-based early phase clinical trial.

METHODS

We conducted a single-center retrospective analysis of patients with advanced PDAC who were treated with ICI-based therapy as part of an early-phase clinical trial.

RESULTS

Patients were only able to stay on study for a limited time due to disease progression and/or a change in performance status and had a poor overall survival. Established prognostic scoring systems were not effective in predicting outcomes in this patient population, but factors such as pre-treatment albumin neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLC) may be helpful in patient selection.

CONCLUSIONS

This study underscores the need for larger studies to help identify patient and tumor intrinsic factors that predict response to ICI-based therapies in patients with PDAC.

Prediction of Prognosis in Pancreatic Cancer According to Methionyl-tRNA Synthetase 1 Expression as Determined by Immunohistochemical Staining

The serum level of CA 19-9 is a prognostic marker for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). We evaluated the ability of the expression level of methionyl-tRNA synthetase 1 (MARS1)-which facilitates cancer growth by modulating protein synthesis and the cell cycle-to predict the prognosis of PDAC. Immunohistochemical (IHC) staining was performed on pancreatic specimens obtained from patients with PDAC who were undergoing surgery. High MARS1 expression was defined as equal to, or greater than, that in normal acinar cells. Low MARS1 expression was defined as weaker than in normal acinar cells, and stronger than in the pancreatic duct epithelium. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed on other factors related to prognosis. Among 137 PDAC patients, no significant differences in baseline characteristics were found between those with high (n = 82) and low (n = 55) MARS1 expression. The median overall survival time of patients with high MARS1 expression was shorter than that of those with low expression (15.2 versus 17.2 months, log-rank test p = 0.044). The median disease-free survival (DFS) was not significantly different between the two groups. However, the DFS was shorter in patients with high than in those with low MARS1 expression (8.9 versus 11.2 months, log-rank test p = 0.067). In a multivariate analysis, lymph node metastasis and high MARS1 expression were associated with a poor prognosis of PDAC. Elevated MARS1 expression detected by IHC staining is associated with a poor prognosis of PDAC, suggesting that MARS1 has potential as a prognostic marker.

A comprehensive review on immune checkpoint inhibitors induced cardiotoxicity characteristics and associated factors

Newly approved cancer drugs called ICIs have shown remarkable success in improving patient survival rates, but they also have the potential for inflammatory and immune-related side effects, including those affecting the cardiovascular system. Research has been conducted to understand the development of these toxicities and identify risk factors. This review focuses on the characteristics of ICI-induced cardiotoxicity and discusses the reported risk factors. It is important for cardio-oncologists to understand the basic concepts of these drugs to better understand how cardiotoxicities occur. It might be hard to find reports, where all patients treated with ICIs had developed cardiac toxicity, because there could be other existing and variable factors that influence the likelihood or risk of developing cardiotoxicity during treatment. Various clinical parameters have been explored as potential risk factors, and further investigation is needed through large-scale studies.

The role of diagnostic, prognostic, and predictive biomarkers in the management of early pancreatic cancer

Despite modern advances in cancer medicine, pancreatic cancer survival remains unchanged at just 12%. For the small proportion of patients diagnosed with 'early' (upfront or borderline resectable) disease, recurrences are common, and many recur soon after surgery. Whilst chemotherapy has been shown to increase survival in this cohort, the morbidity of surgery renders many candidates unsuitable for adjuvant treatment. Due to this, and the success of upfront chemotherapy in the advanced setting, use of neoadjuvant chemotherapy has been introduced in patients with upfront or borderline resectable disease. Randomized controlled trials have been conducted to compare upfront surgery to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in this patient cohort, opinions on the ideal upfront treatment approach are divided. This lack of consensus has highlighted the need for biomarkers to assist in clinical decision making. This review analyses the potential diagnostic, prognostic and predictive biomarkers that may assist in the diagnosis and management of early (upfront and borderline resectable) pancreatic cancer.

Implication of Skeletal Muscle Loss in the Prognosis of Patients with Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma Receiving Chemotherapy

Objective The effect of sarcopenia on the prognosis of patients undergoing chemotherapy for unresectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma remains largely unexplored. In this retrospective study, we investigated the relationship between sarcopenia and the prognosis of patients receiving first-line nanoparticle albumin-bound paclitaxel plus gemcitabine for unresectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. Methods We enrolled 251 patients with unresectable metastatic or locally advanced pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma who had received chemotherapy between January 2015 and December 2020 at Kitasato University Hospital. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed using the stratified Cox proportional hazards model to determine variables significantly associated with the progression-free and overall survival. Propensity score matching was performed to mitigate selection bias effects. Results In the propensity score-matched cohort, the progression-free and overall survival were not significantly different between the sarcopenia and non-sarcopenia groups (p=0.335, and 0.679 respectively). The skeletal muscle index decreased by 4.4% and 6.5% in the sarcopenia and non-sarcopenia groups, respectively, during the early treatment phase (p=0.084). There were no significant differences between groups with regard to major adverse events or drug toxicity occurrences. Both the progression-free and overall survival were significantly shorter in the skeletal muscle index loss group than in the non-skeletal muscle index loss group (p=0.026 and 0.045, respectively). Conclusion Skeletal muscle index loss during the initial treatment phase may be an early marker for the long-term prognosis of patients receiving nanoparticle albumin-bound paclitaxel plus gemcitabine as first-line treatment for unresectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

The Role of Preoperative Inflammatory Markers in Pancreatectomy: a Norwegian Nationwide Cohort Study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Preoperative inflammatory markers, such as Glasgow prognostic score, modified Glasgow prognostic score and C-reactive protein to albumin ratio, were shown to be associated with prognosis in patients undergoing pancreatectomy for cancer. However, little is known about their predictive role in a Western population.

METHODS

The Norwegian National Registry for Gastrointestinal Surgery (NORGAST) was used to capture all pancreatectomies performed within the study period (November 2015-April 2021). The association between the preoperative inflammatory markers and postoperative outcomes was studied. Their impact on survival was examined in patients operated for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

RESULTS

A total of 1554 patients underwent pancreatectomy in this period. Glasgow prognostic score, modified Glasgow prognostic score and C-reactive protein to albumin ratio were associated with severe complications (Accordion grade ≥ III) in the univariable but not in the multivariable analysis. C-reactive protein to albumin ratio, but not Glasgow prognostic score and modified Glasgow prognostic score, was linked to survival following pancreatectomy for ductal adenocarcinoma. In the multivariable model, age, neoadjuvant chemotherapy, ECOG score, C-reactive protein to albumin ratio and total pancreatectomy correlated with survival. Also, preoperative C-reactive protein to albumin ratio was significantly associated with survival after pancreatoduodenectomy.

CONCLUSIONS

Preoperative Glasgow prognostic score, modified Glasgow prognostic score and C-reactive protein to albumin ratio have no role in predicting the complications after pancreatectomy. C-reactive protein to albumin ratio is a significant predictor for survival in ductal adenocarcinoma, yet its clinical relevance should be explored in conjunction with the pathology parameters and adjuvant therapy.

Preoperative C-Reactive Protein-to-Albumin Ratio and Its Ability to Predict Outcomes of Pancreatic Cancer Resection: A Systematic Review

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the ability of the c-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio (CAR) in predicting outcomes in patients undergoing pancreatic cancer resection.

METHODS

A systematic search of electronic information sources and bibliographic reference lists was conducted. Survival outcomes and perioperative morbidity were the evaluated outcome parameters.

RESULTS

Eight studies reporting a total of 1056 patients undergoing pancreatic cancer resection were identified. The median cut-off value for CAR was 0.05 (range 0.0003-0.54). Using multivariate analysis, all studies demonstrated that a higher CAR value was an independent and significant predictor of poor overall survival in patients undergoing pancreatic cancer resection. The estimated hazard ratio (HR) ranged from 1.4 to 3.6. Although there was a positive correlation between the reported cut-off values for CAR and HRs for overall survival, it was weak and non-significant (r = 0.36, n = 6, p = 0.480). There was significant between-study heterogeneity.

CONCLUSIONS

Preoperative CAR value seems to be an important prognostic score in predicting survival outcomes in patients undergoing pancreatic cancer resection. However, the current evidence does not allow the determination of an optimal cut-off value for CAR, considering the heterogeneous reporting of cut-off values by the available studies and the lack of knowledge of their sensitivity and specificity. Future research is required.

Real-Life Results of Palliative Chemotherapy in Metastatic Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

PURPOSE

To assess the efficacy of FOLFIRINOX(FFX), gemcitabine-based regimens (GB), and gemcitabine monotherapy (Gem) in patients with metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (mPDAC).

METHODS

This is a retrospective study that included 83 patients with mPDAC treated with first-line chemotherapy (L1) with either FFX, GB or Gem between 2015 and 2017. Progression-free survival (PFS) for L1 and second-line chemotherapy (L2) (PFS-L1 and PFS-L2) and overall survival (OS) were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

Median PFS-L1 for FFX, GB and Gem groups was 9 months (95% (Confidence Interval) CI 2.76-15.24), 5 months (95%CI 3.44-6.56), and 5 months (95%CI 3.76-6.24), respectively (p = 0.04). OS was 14 months (95%CI 11.16-16.85), 12 months (95%CI: 9.44-11.56), and 7 months (95%CI: 5.7-8.3) for patients treated with FFX, GB, and Gem, respectively (p = 0.0001). ECOG-PS (0/1) (Hazard Ratio (HR) 6.74, p = 0.002), age > 70 years (HR 0.25, p = 0.04), body tumors (HR 2.8, p = 0.048), CA19-9 > 39 U/mL (HR 0.26, p = 0.02), and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) > 4.15 (HR 6.76, p = 0.001) were independent prognostic factors for PFS-L1. Male gender (HR 3.02, p = 0.026), ECOG-PS (0/1) (HR 4.21, p = 0.003), L1 with FFX (HR 0.255, p = 0.007), and NLR > 4.15 (HR 2.65, p = 0.04) were independent prognostic factors of OS. PFS-L2 (HR 6.91, p = 0.013) and OS-L2 (HR 6.95, p = 0.037) were significantly higher in patients first treated with FFX.

CONCLUSIONS

The OS of patients who receive FFX or GB is comparable. The best PFS-L1 belongs to the FFX group. Male gender, ECOG-PS 0/1, the FFX regimen, and NLR > 4.15 were independent predictors of OS. PFS-L2 and OS-L2 were favorably impacted by L1 with FFX.

Novel Prognostic Nomogram to Predict Progression-Free Survival of Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Transarterial Chemoembolization

Purpose

A retrospective analysis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) to identify risk factors was conducted, and a novel predictive nomogram model was constructed.

Patients and Methods

A total of 346 HCC patients who underwent TACE as initial treatment were retrospectively included, of which 208 were randomly allocated to the derivation cohort and 138 were allocated to the validation cohort. Progression-free survival (PFS) was used as the follow-up endpoint according to mRECIST. Kaplan‒Meier analysis and the Cox regression model screened out some indicators associated with short-term prognosis, and R language was further used to construct a nomogram model. The nomogram was compared with the classical BCLC staging system.

Results

The independent predictors affecting PFS in HCC patients undergoing TACE included the following: 1. Baseline indicators: age (P=0.013), albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade (grade 2 vs grade 1, P=0.029; grade 3 vs grade 1, P<0.001), and portal vein tumour thrombus (PVTT, P<0.001); 2. Indicators at the 1-month follow-up: Neutrophil To Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR, P=0.032) and changes in alpha-fetoprotein (AFP, P<0.05) and des-γ-carboxy prothrombin (DCP, P<0.001); and 3. Cumulative treatment numbers of TACE in 6 months (P=0.007). In the derivation cohort, the calibration curve of the nomogram showed a high consistency between the predicted and actual PFS probability, and the nomogram outperformed the BCLC staging system (P=0.004). This result was also confirmed in the validation cohort (P=0.012).

Conclusion

The constructed nomogram was suggested to have good predictive efficacy and could be used as a complementary assessment to predict the survival and prognosis of HCC patients treated with TACE.

A randomized phase II study of full dose gemcitabine versus reduced dose gemcitabine and nab-paclitaxel in vulnerable patients with non-resectable pancreatic cancer (DPCG-01)

BACKGROUND

According to current evidence, the best treatment for fit patients with non-resectable pancreatic cancer (PC) is combination chemotherapy, whereas frail patients are recommended gemcitabine (Gem) monotherapy. Randomized controlled trials in colorectal cancer and a post-hoc analysis of gemcitabine and nab-paclitaxel (GemNab) in PC suggest, however, that reduced dose of combination chemotherapy may be feasible and more efficient compared to monotherapy in frail patients. The aim of this study is to investigate whether reduced dose GemNab is superior to full dose Gem in patients with resectable PC, who are not candidates for full dose combination chemotherapy in first line.

METHODS

The Danish Pancreas Cancer Group (DPCG)-01 trial is a national multicenter prospective randomized phase II trial. A total of 100 patients in ECOG performance status 0-2 with non-resectable PC, not candidate for full dose combination chemotherapy in first line, but eligible for full dose Gem, will be included. Patients are randomized 1:1 to either full dose Gem or GemNab in 80% of recommended dose. The primary endpoint is progression-free survival. Secondary endpoints are overall survival, overall response rate, quality of life, toxicity and rate of hospitalizations during treatment. The correlation between blood inflammatory markers, including YKL-40 and IL-6, circulating tumor DNA, and tissue biomarkers of resistance to chemotherapy and outcome will be explored. Finally, the study will include measures of frailty (G8, modified G8, and chair-stand-test) to assess whether scoring would enable a personalized allocation to different treatments or indicates a possibility for interventions.

DISCUSSION

Single-drug treatment with Gem has for frail patients with non-resectable PC been the main treatment option for more than thirty years, but the impact on outcome is modest. If improved results and sustained tolerability with reduced dose combination chemotherapy can be shown, this could change the future practice for this increasing group of patients.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT05841420. Secondary Identifying No: N-20210068. EudraCT No: 2021-005067-52.

PROTOCOL VERSION

1.5, 16-MAY-2023.

The predictive value of perioperative circulating markers on surgical complications in patients undergoing robotic-assisted radical prostatectomy

BACKGROUND

The occurrence of postoperative complications was associated with poor outcomes for patients undergoing robotic-assisted radical prostatectomy. A prediction model with easily accessible indices could provide valuable information for surgeons. This study aims to identify novel predictive circulating biomarkers significantly associated with surgical complications.

METHODS

We consecutively assessed all multiport robotic-assisted radical prostatectomies performed between 2021 and 2022. The clinicopathological factors and perioperative levels of multiple circulating markers were retrospectively obtained from the included patients. The associations of these indices with Clavien-Dindo grade II or greater complications, and surgical site infection were assessed using univariable and multivariable logistic regression models. Further, the models were validated for the overall performance, discrimination, and calibration.

RESULTS

In total, 229 patients with prostate cancer were enrolled in this study. Prolonged operative time could independently predict surgical site infection (OR, 3.39; 95% CI, 1.09-10.54). Higher RBC (day 1-pre) implied lower risks of grade II or greater complications (OR, 0.24; 95% CI, 0.07-0.76) and surgical site infection (OR, 0.23; 95% CI, 0.07-0.78). Additionally, RBC (day 1-pre) independently predicted grade II or greater complications of obese patients (P value = 0.005) as well as those in higher NCCN risk groups (P value = 0.012). Regarding the inflammatory markers, NLR (day 1-pre) (OR, 3.56; 95% CI, 1.37-9.21) and CRP (day 1-pre) (OR, 4.16; 95% CI, 1.69-10.23) were significantly associated with the risk of grade II or greater complications, and both the indices were independent predictors in those with higher Gleason score, or in higher NCCN risk groups (P value < 0.05). The NLR (day 0-pre) could also predict the occurrence of surgical site infection (OR, 5.04; 95% CI, 1.07-23.74).

CONCLUSIONS

The study successfully identified novel circulating markers to assess the risk of surgical complications. Postoperative increase of NLR and CRP were independent predictors for grade II or greater complications, especially in those with higher Gleason score, or in higher NCCN risk groups. Additionally, a marked decrease of RBC after the surgery also indicated a higher possibility of surgical complications, especially for the relatively difficult procedures.

Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma: Results from a German real-world cohort

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Phase III trials have established atezolizumab plus bevacizumab as the novel standard of care for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, these trials raised concerns regarding treatment efficacy in non-viral HCC, and it remains unclear whether combination immunotherapy is safe and effective in patients with advanced cirrhosis.

METHODS

One hundred patients with unresectable HCC initiated therapy with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab at our centre between January 2020 and March 2022. The control cohort consisted of 80 patients with advanced HCC who received either sorafenib (n = 43) or lenvatinib (n = 37) as systemic treatment.

RESULTS

Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were significantly longer within the atezolizumab/bevacizumab group and comparable to phase III data. The benefits in terms of increased objective response rate (ORR), OS and PFS were consistent across subgroups, including non-viral HCC (58%). The ROC-optimised neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) cut-off of 3.20 was the strongest independent predictor of ORR and PFS. In patients with advanced cirrhosis Child-Pugh B, liver function was significantly better preserved with immunotherapy. Patients with Child-Pugh B cirrhosis showed similar ORR but shorter OS and PFS compared to patients with preserved liver function.

CONCLUSIONS

Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab showed good efficacy and safety in patients with unresectable HCC and partially advanced liver cirrhosis in a real-world setting. Moreover, the NLR was able to predict response to atezolizumab/bevacizumab treatment and may guide patient selection.

Prognostic value of Gustave Roussy immune score in operable pancreatic adenocarcinoma

Background

The Gustave Roussy immune score (GRIm score) is a laboratory index developed to predict survival in nonsmall cell lung cancer patients undergoing immunotherapy and has shown that the pretreatment value is an independent prognostic factor for survival. In this study, we aimed to determine prognostic significance of GRIm score for pancreatic adenocarcinoma that have not been determined in the literature for pancreatic cancer before. The reason for choosing this scoring is to show that the immune scoring system works as a prognostic marker in pancreatic cancer known as immune-desert tumor via immune properties of microenvironment.

Methods

Medical records of patients with histologically confirmed pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, who were treated and followed up between December 2007 and July 2019 at our clinic, were reviewed retrospectively. GRIm scores of each patient were calculated at the time of diagnosis. Survival analysis were performed according to risk groups.

Results

A total of 138 patients were included in the study. While 111 (80.4%) patients were in the low-risk group; 27 (19.6%) were in high-risk group according to GRIm score. Median OS was 36.9 months (95% Confidence interval (CI): 25.42-48.56) in lower GRIm scores, and it was 11.1 months (95% CI: 6.83-15.44) in higher GRIm scores (P = 0.002). One-two-three-year OS rates were 85% versus 47%, 64% versus 39%, 53% versus 27% for low versus high GRIm scores, respectively. The multivariate analysis revealed that high GRIm score was an independent poor prognostic factor.

Conclusion

GRIm can be used as a noninvasive, easily applicable, practical prognostic factor in pancreatic cancer patients.

The clinical impacts of lymphocyte-to-C-reactive protein ratio for esophageal cancer patients who receive curative treatment

Background

We investigated the impact of the lymphocyte-to-C-reactive protein ratio (LCR) on esophageal cancer survival and recurrence after curative treatment.

Patients and Methods

This study included 89 patients who underwent curative surgery followed by adjuvant treatment for esophageal cancer between 2008 and 2018. The risk factors for overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were identified.

Results

LCR of 12,177 was regarded to be the optimal critical point of classification considering the 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year survival rates. The OS rates at 3 and 5 years after surgery were 33.2% and 29.9% in the LCR low group, respectively, and 74.0% and 60.9% in the LCR high group, which amounted to a statistically significant difference (P = 0.001). The RFS rates at 3 and 5 years after surgery were 25.3% and 21.7% in the LCR low group, respectively, and 52.1% and 47.4% in the LCR high group, which amounted to a statistically significant difference (P = 0.001). A multivariate analysis demonstrated that the LCR was a significant independent risk factor for both the OS and RFS.

Conclusion

LCR was a risk factor for survival in patients who underwent curative treatment for esophageal cancer. It is necessary to develop the effective plan of the perioperative care and the surgical strategy according to the LCR.

Predictive value of inflammatory markers in gastric cancer

Aim: Many recent studies are increasingly shedding light on the nature of the relationship between cancer and inflammation. Neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet/lymphocyte ratio (PLR) platelet/neutrophil ratio (PNR), and Mean Platelet Volume (MPV) are proinflammatory markers, and their prognostic importance has been investigated in many solid cancers. In this study, we discussed the association of these derivative inflammatory markers, obtained from a cheap and simple peripheral blood test, with clinicopathologic variables in patients undergoing gastrectomy for gastric cancer. Material and Method: The retrospective database of a total of 148 patients who were operated for gastric cancer in the Diyarbakır Gazi Yaşargil Training and Research Hospital Department of Surgery was analyzed. All blood results and pathology reports of the patients were reviewed retrospectively. Demographic characteristics of the patients and pathological features of the tumor were extracted from the database. NLR, PLR, PNR and MPV values were calculated from peripheral blood cell counts. Data were analyzed using SPSS version 24.0. Results: PNR and MPV values were statistically significant according to N and T stage of the tumor, respectively (p=0.035, p=0.011). In MPV, this difference was statistically observed between T1 and T2 tumors (p=0.029). PLR and NLR values did not show a significant difference according to the size of the tumor (p>.05). Conclusion: MPV values are significantly associated with tumor T stage. PNR values are significantly associated with tumor N stage. However, the clinical implications and the added value to clinical practice require further research.

Neutrophil interactions with T cells, platelets, endothelial cells, and of course tumor cells

Neutrophils sense microbes and host inflammatory mediators, and traffic to sites of infection where they direct a broad armamentarium of antimicrobial products against pathogens. Neutrophils are also activated by damage-associated molecular patterns (DAMPs), which are products of cellular injury that stimulate the innate immune system through pathways that are similar to those activated by microbes. Neutrophils and platelets become activated by injury, and cluster and cross-signal to each other with the cumulative effect of driving antimicrobial defense and hemostasis. In addition, neutrophil extracellular traps are extracellular chromatin and granular constituents that are generated in response to microbial and damage motifs and are pro-thrombotic and injurious. Although neutrophils can worsen tissue injury, neutrophils may also have a role in facilitating wound repair following injury. A central theme of this review relates to how critical functions of neutrophils that evolved to respond to infection and damage modulate the tumor microenvironment (TME) in ways that can promote or limit tumor progression. Neutrophils are reprogrammed by the TME, and, in turn, can cross-signal to tumor cells and reshape the immune landscape of tumors. Importantly, promising new therapeutic strategies have been developed to target neutrophil recruitment and function to make cancer immunotherapy more effective.

Association of Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio with Nutrition in Patients with Various Types of Malignant Tumors: A Multicenter Cross-Sectional Study

Aim

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is an index of systemic inflammation. This study is to clarify the role of NLR in body functional status, nutritional risk and nutritional status in the course of tumor.

Methods

A multi-center cross-sectional study of patients with various types of malignant tumors was accrued from the whole country. There were 21,457 patients with completed clinical data, biochemical indicators, physical examination, the Patient-Generated Subjective Global Assessment (PG-SGA) and Nutrition Risk Screening 2002 (NRS2002) survey. Logistic regression analysis was used to figure out the influencing factors of NLR, and four models were established to evaluate the influence of NLR on body functions, nutritional risks and nutritional status.

Results

Male patients, TNM stage IV, total bilirubin, hypertension and coronary atherosclerotic heart disease (CAHD) were independent predictors of NLR >2.5. BMI, digestive systemic tumors and triglyceride negatively affect NLR in multivariable logistic regression. NLR was an independent predictor of Karnofsky Performance Scale (KPS), fat store deficit in all degrees, moderate and severe muscle deficit, mild fluid retention and PG-SGA grade.

Conclusion

Male patients and those with hypertension and CAHD are prone to systemic inflammation. Systemic inflammation significantly degrades body function status and nutritional status, increases nutritional risk and influences fat and muscle metabolism in patients with malignant tumor. Improving the intervenable indicators such as elevating albumin and pre-albumin, decreasing total bilirubin and enhancing nutrition support are imperative. Obesity and triglyceride behave like anti-systemic inflammation, which is misleading due to reverse causation in the course of malignancy.

Preoperative lung immune prognostic index predicts survival in patients with pancreatic cancer undergoing radical resection

Background

Lung immune prognostic index (LIPI), a combination of derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (dNLR) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), is currently attracting considerable interest as a potential prognostic indicator in many malignancies. Our study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of preoperative LIPI in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) undergoing radical resection.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed PDAC patients treated with radical resection from February 2019 to April 2021 at Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) general hospital. Based on the cut-off value of dNLR and LDH identified by X-tile, patients were divided into LIPI good and LIPI intermediate/poor group. Kaplan-Meier curve and log-rank test were used to compare the recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) of the two groups. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression was used to identify the independent prognostic value of LIPI. Subgroup analysis was performed to identify specific population benefited from radical resection.

Results

A total of 205 patients were included and the median RFS and OS was 10.8 and 24.3 months, respectively. Preoperative LIPI intermediate/poor was related to worse RFS and OS (p < 0.05). Preoperative LIPI intermediate/poor, vascular invasion and no adjuvant chemotherapy were indicators of poor OS. Patients with LIPI intermediate/poor had worse OS especially among females and those with adjuvant chemotherapy (p < 0.05). Adjuvant chemotherapy related to better RFS and OS in patients with LIPI good (p < 0.05).

Conclusions

Preoperative LIPI intermediate/poor can be an indicator of poor prognosis in patients with PDAC undergoing radical resection. LIPI good could be an effective marker of benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy. Larger studies are warranted for further validation.

Treatment Outcomes and Prognostic Factors of Gemcitabine Plus Nab-Paclitaxel as Second-Line Chemotherapy after Modified FOLFIRINOX in Unresectable Pancreatic Cancer

Outcomes and prognostic factors of second-line gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel (GnP) after modified FOLFIRINOX (mFFX) for unresectable pancreatic cancer were unclear. We retrospectively analyzed consecutive patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer treated with GnP after first-line mFFX treatment between March 2015 and March 2022 at our hospital. A total of 103 patients were included. Median overall survival (OS) from the start of first-line and second-line treatments was 14.9 months and 7.2 months, respectively. Median progression-free survival (PFS) was 3.6 months. Performance status, modified Glasgow prognostic score, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio were independently associated with OS. Our prognostic model using these parameters classifies patients into good (n = 70) and poor (n = 33) prognosis groups. Median OS and PFS were longer in the good prognosis group than in the poor prognosis group (OS: 9.3 vs. 3.8 months, p < 0.01; PFS: 4.1 vs. 2.3 months, p < 0.01). Grade 3/4 adverse events were observed in 70.9% of patients, with neutropenia being the most frequent. While GnP as second-line treatment was well-tolerated, efficacy of second-line gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel was notably limited, particularly in the poor prognosis group.

Pentraxin 3 is an adipose tissue-related serum marker for pancreatic cancer cachexia predicting subsequent muscle mass and visceral fat loss

Cancer cachexia, a paraneoplastic syndrome characterized by ongoing skeletal muscle mass loss, is accompanied by adipose tissue loss and strongly affects chemotherapy endurance. Our aim was to detect a serum marker reflecting pancreatic cancer cachexia and predicting subsequent loss of muscle mass and adipose tissue, focusing on adipose tissue-secreted proteins. Murine-derived pancreatic cancer cells were orthotopically injected into the mouse pancreatic tail. After 3 weeks, RNA sequencing of perigonadal fat and orthotopic tumors was carried out. We analyzed stocked sera and clinical data of metastatic pancreatic cancer patients who received chemotherapy. Perigonadal fat weight/body weight decreased in mice with orthotopic tumors compared to those without tumors. By RNA sequencing and real-time PCR validation, pentraxin 3 (PTX3) was identified as a secreted protein-encoded gene whose expression was significantly higher in the perigonadal fat of mice with orthotopic tumors than in that of mice without orthotopic tumors and was least expressed in orthotopic tumors. Serum PTX3 levels correlated with PTX3 mRNA levels in perigonadal fat and were higher in mice with orthotopic tumors than in those without tumors. In 84 patients diagnosed with metastatic pancreatic cancer, patients with high serum PTX3 levels showed a greater visceral fat loss/month and skeletal muscle mass index (SMI) decrease/month than those with low serum PTX3 levels. High serum PTX3 was an independent risk factor for visceral fat loss, decreased SMI, and poor prognosis. High serum PTX3 in pancreatic cancer patients predicts visceral fat and muscle mass loss and major clinical outcomes of cancer cachexia.

Inflammation-based prognostic scoring system for predicting the prognosis of advanced small cell lung cancer patients receiving anlotinib monotherapy

BACKGROUND

According to the randomized multicenter phase II trial (ALTER1202), anlotinib has been approved as a third-line therapy for advanced small-cell lung cancer (SCLC). Some studies showed the predictive function of inflammatory markers, including neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) in the different cancers treated with anti-vascular targeting drugs. However, none of the studies showed the roles of NLR, PLR, and LMR in SCLC patients receiving anlotinib. Thus, our objective was to establish a scoring system based on inflammation to individuate patient stratification and selection based on NLR, PLR, and LMR.

METHODS

NLR, PLR, and LMR and their variations were calculated in 53 advanced SCLC patients receiving anlotinib as a third- or further-line treatment at Ningbo Medical Center Lihuili Hospital between January 2019 and December 2021. Kaplan-Meier curves were plotted. Both univariate and multivariate Cox regressions were used to identify predictors of survival.

RESULTS

Disease control rate was related to pre-NLR, pre-PLR, pre-LMR, post-NLR elevation, post-PLR elevation, and post-LMR elevation. The multivariate analysis determined post-NLR elevation, pre-PLR > 240.56, and pre-LMR ≤1.61 to be independently associated with progression-free survival, not overall survival. The inflammation-based prognostic scoring system demonstrated favorable predictive ability from the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC: 0.791, 95% CI: 0.645-0.938).

CONCLUSIONS

Post-NLR variation, pre-PLR, and pre-LMR were independent prognostic factors for PFS in advanced SCLC receiving anlotinib monotherapy. The inflammation-based prognostic scoring system can accurately predict effectiveness and survival.

Construction and validation of a prediction model of extrahepatic metastasis for hepatocellular carcinoma based on common clinically available data

Objective

This study aimed to investigate the clinical characteristics and risk factors of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with extrahepatic metastases (EHM) and to establish an effective predictive nomogram.

Methods

Clinical and pathological data from 607 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma admitted to the Affiliated Hospital of Qinghai University between 1 January 2015 and 31 May 2018 were documented, as well as demographics, clinical pathological characteristics, and tumor-related parameters to clarify clinical risk factors for HCC EHM. These risks were selected to build an R-based clinical prediction model. The predictive accuracy and discriminating ability of the model were determined by the concordance index (C-index) and the calibration curve. The results were validated with a bootstrap resample and 151 patients from 1 June 2018 to 31 December 2019 at the same facility.

Results

In multivariate analysis, independent factors for EHM were neutrophils, prothrombin time, tumor number, and size, all of which were selected in the model. The C-index in the EHM prediction model was 0.672 and in the validation cohort was 0.694. In the training cohort and the validation cohort, the calibration curve for the probability of EHM showed good agreement between the nomogram prediction and the actual observation.

Conclusion

The extrahepatic metastasis prediction model of hepatocellular carcinoma constructed in this study has some evaluation capability.

Proposed new prognostic model using the systemic immune-inflammation index for primary central nervous system lymphoma: A prospective-retrospective multicohort analysis

PURPOSE

The systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) has been considered a novel prognostic biomarker in several types of lymphoma. Our aims were to determine the best statistical relationship between pretreatment SII and survival and to combination of SII and the Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center model (MSKCC) to derive the best prognostic mode in primary central nervous system lymphoma (PCNSL).

METHODS

Pretreatment SII and clinical data in 174 newly diagnosed PCNSL patients were included from two retrospective discovery cohorts (n = 128) and one prospective validation cohort (n = 46). A generalized additive model, Kaplan-Meier curve, and Cox analysis were performed. The high risk versus low risk of SII-MSKCC for the PCNSL cutoff point (0-1 vs. 2-4) was determined by the minimum P-value approach.

RESULTS

The SII showed a U-shaped relationship with the risk of overall survival (OS; P = 0.006). The patients with low SII or high SII had poorer OS and progression-free survival (PFS) than those with median SII. For PFS and OS, SII-MSKCC was a better predictor than MSKCC alone. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the SII-MSKCC score was 0.84 for OS and 0.78 for PFS in the discovery cohorts. The predictive value of the SII-MSKCC score (OS, 0.88; PFS, 0.95) was verified through the validation cohort. Multivariable Cox analysis and Kaplan-Meier curve showed excellent performance for SII-MSKCC, with significant separation of two groups and better performance than MSKCC alone.

CONCLUSIONS

We propose a new prognostic model using SII, age, and Karnofsky score that outperforms MSKCC alone and enables individualized estimates of patient outcome.

Is it justified to assess the resectability of pancreatic cancer combined with biological and conditional factors?

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate the biological and conditional resectability criteria for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), as proposed by the International Association of Pancreatology (IAP), as well as to identify the role of biological and conditional factors in assessing the resectability of PDAC.

METHODS

The clinical data of PDAC patients who underwent upfront open/laparoscopic pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD/LPD) or distal pancreatectomy (DP/LDP) at our hospital between January 2013 to June 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. Patients who were diagnosed with anatomically resectable PDAC, as defined by National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guideline of PDAC guideline Version 1.2020, were enrolled. Based on IAP-criteria, these patients were divided into two groups, including IAP-resectable (IAP-R) and IAP Borderline Resectable (IAP-BR). Clinical characteristics and outcomes were compared between the two groups. In order to identify independent biological and conditional predictors of recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) of enrolled patients, an analysis was performed through the use of a Cox proportional-hazard model.

RESULTS

Overall, 97 patients were included in this study. Among them, 38 patients were IAP-R and 59 patients were IAP-BR. Compared to the IAP-R group, the IAP-BR group had a higher early recurrence rate (62.7% vs. 42.1%; P=0.047), and the median RFS (9.2 vs. 18.3 months, P<0.01) and OS (19.1 vs. 30.6 months, P<0.05) were also significantly worse. Preoperative CA19-9 serum levels that exceeded 500 U/mL and/or an imaging diagnosis of regional lymph nodes metastasis were independently associated with OS and RFS of anatomically resectable PDAC.

CONCLUSIONS

The prognosis of patients with PDAC that undergo resection can be predicted more accurately by assessing the resectability of pancreatic cancer combined with anatomical and biological factors according to IAP criteria. Whether conditional factors should be included in the resectability criteria needs to be validated by prospective and large cohorts.

Low Pre-ChemoradiotherapyPan-Immune-Inflammation Value (PIV) Measures Predict Better Survival Outcomes in Locally Advanced Pancreatic Adenocarcinomas

Objective

This study sought to determine whether pretreatment pan-immune-inflammation value (PIV) could be used to predict prognosis in patients with locally advanced pancreatic adenocarcinoma (LA-PAC) following definitive concurrent chemoradiotherapy (C-CRT).

Methods

The outcomes of 178 LA-PAC patients who received definitive C-CRT were analyzed retrospectively. For all patients, the PIV was calculated using the peripheral blood platelet (P), monocyte (M), neutrophil (N), and lymphocyte (L) counts obtained on the first day of C-CRT: PIV=P×M×N÷L. The optimum cutoff values for PIV connected to progression-free (PFS) and overall survival (OS) results were sought using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. The OS and PFS differences between the PIV groups constituted the primary and secondary endpoints, respectively.

Results

ROC curve analysis indicated that the ideal PIV cutoff was 464 (AUC: 75.9%, sensitivity: 74.1%, specificity: 71.9%), which categorized patients into two groups based on PFS and OS results: low PIV (L-PIV; N = 69) and high PIV (H-PIV; N = 109). According to comparative survival analyses, patients in the L-PIV group had significantly longer median PFS (14.3 vs 7.3 months; HR: 3.04; P<0.001) and OS (25.9 vs 13.3 months; HR: 2.86; P<0.001) than those in the H-PIV group. Although none of the H-PIV patients could survive beyond 5 years, the estimated 5-year OS rate was 29.7% in the L-PIV cohort. In multivariate analyses, besides the L-PIV, N0 nodal stage, and CA 19-9 ≤ 90 U/mL appeared to be the independent predictors of better PFS (P < 0.05 for each) and OS (P < 0.05 for each) results.

Conclusion

The present results indicated that pre-C-CRT L-PIV measures were associated with favorable median and long-term PFS and OS results in LA-PAC patients, suggesting that the PIV is a potent and independent novel prognostic biomarker.

Does Preoperative Serum Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR), Platelet to Lymphocyte Ratio (PLR), and Lymphocyte to Monocyte Ratio (LMR) Predict Prognosis Following Radical Surgery for Pancreatic Adenocarcinomas? Results of a Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND

Pretherapy serum neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR) have been shown to predict prognosis in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). However, the published literature is conflicting; hence, we aimed to evaluate their role in predicting survival outcomes in operated patients of PDAC.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed in all operated cases of PDAC who underwent curative resection between 2011 and 2018. The pretherapy NLR, PLR, and LMR were calculated and analyzed with respect to pathological and survival outcomes RESULTS: One hundred thirty-four operated patients were included. The median overall survival for NLR of less than 2, 2.7, and 5 was 30.8, 27.2, and 27.5 months and for NLR of more than 2, 2.7, and 5 was 22.9, 21.6, and 21.5 months, respectively, and was statistically insignificant (p-value-0.32, 0.91, 0.34, respectively). Similarly, the PLR was not significant for a cutoff of 150 (p-value-0.27), and LMR was not significant for a cutoff of 2.8 (p-value-0.13) and 4.8 (p-value-0.11). On univariate analysis age, CA 19-9 levels, perineural invasion, margin positivity, lymph node positivity, and TNM stage were found to have a significant correlation with overall survival. However, on multivariate analysis, only TNM stage was found to be significant.

CONCLUSION

The NLR, PLR, and LMR do not correlate with overall survival in operated patients with PDAC in this study. A combination of inflammatory markers or their dynamic testing might probably achieve prognostic significance.

Preoperative contrast-enhanced computed tomography-based radiomics model for overall survival prediction in hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver malignancy with a rising incidence worldwide. The prognosis of HCC patients after radical resection remains poor. Radiomics is a novel machine learning method that extracts quantitative features from medical images and provides predictive information of cancer, which can assist with cancer diagnosis, therapeutic decision-making and prognosis improvement.

AIM

To develop and validate a contrast-enhanced computed tomography-based radiomics model for predicting the overall survival (OS) of HCC patients after radical hepatectomy.

METHODS

A total of 150 HCC patients were randomly divided into a training cohort (n = 107) and a validation cohort (n = 43). Radiomics features were extracted from the entire tumour lesion. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithm was applied for the selection of radiomics features and the construction of the radiomics signature. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to identify the independent prognostic factors and develop the predictive nomogram, incorporating clinicopathological characteristics and the radiomics signature. The accuracy of the nomogram was assessed with the concordance index, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve. The clinical utility was evaluated by decision curve analysis (DCA). Kaplan–Meier methodology was used to compare the survival between the low- and high-risk subgroups.

RESULTS

In total, seven radiomics features were selected to construct the radiomics signature. According to the results of univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and radiomics signature were included to build the nomogram. The C-indices of the nomogram in the training and validation cohorts were 0.736 and 0.774, respectively. ROC curve analysis for predicting 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS confirmed satisfactory accuracy [training cohort, area under the curve (AUC) = 0.850, 0.791 and 0.823, respectively; validation cohort, AUC = 0.905, 0.884 and 0.911, respectively]. The calibration curve analysis indicated a good agreement between the nomogram-prediction and actual survival. DCA curves suggested that the nomogram had more benefit than traditional staging system models. Kaplan–Meier survival analysis indicated that patients in the low-risk group had longer OS and disease-free survival (all P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

The nomogram containing the radiomics signature, NLR and AFP is a reliable tool for predicting the OS of HCC patients.

Multimodal survival prediction in advanced pancreatic cancer using machine learning

Background

Existing risk scores appear insufficient to assess the individual survival risk of patients with advanced pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and do not take advantage of the variety of parameters that are collected during clinical care.

Methods

In this retrospective study, we built a random survival forest model from clinical data of 203 patients with advanced PDAC. The parameters were assessed before initiation of systemic treatment and included age, CA19-9, C-reactive protein, metastatic status, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and total serum protein level. Separate models including imaging and molecular parameters were built for subgroups.

Results

Over the entire cohort, a model based on clinical parameters achieved a c-index of 0.71. Our approach outperformed the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system and the modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) in the identification of high- and low-risk subgroups. Inclusion of the KRAS p.G12D mutational status could further improve the prediction, whereas radiomics data of the primary tumor only showed little benefit. In an external validation cohort of PDAC patients with liver metastases, our model achieved a c-index of 0.67 (mGPS: 0.59).

Conclusions

The combination of multimodal data and machine-learning algorithms holds potential for personalized prognostication in advanced PDAC already at diagnosis.

•

We developed a machine-learning-based prediction model that outperforms the AJCC staging system and mGPS.

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Applying our model to an external validation cohort demonstrates generalizability.

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Explainable machine learning enables to understand the decision making of our model and identifies relevant parameters.

•

Combining clinical, imaging and genetic data holds potential for personalized prognostication in advanced PDAC.

Comparing the Efficacy and Safety of Gemcitabine plus Nab-Paclitaxel versus Gemcitabine Alone in Older Adults with Unresectable Pancreatic Cancer

Background

Gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel (GnP) has been a standard treatment for unresectable pancreatic cancer (uPC); however, the current treatment status and usefulness in older adults with uPC remain unclear. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the patient background and compare the efficacy and safety of GnP versus other treatments in older adults with uPC.

Patients and Methods

In this prospective observational study, we enrolled 233 eligible patients aged ≥76 years with pathologically proven, clinically uPC, and no history of chemotherapy from 55 Japanese centers during September 2018-September 2019. The main endpoints were overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and safety. Geriatric assessments were performed upon registration and after 3 months. To adjust for confounders, we conducted propensity score-matched analyses.

Results

GnP, gemcitabine alone (Gem), best supportive care, and other therapies were administered to 116, 72, 16, and 29 patients, respectively. In the propensity score-matched analysis, 42 patients each were selected from the GnP and Gem groups. The median OS was longer in the GnP group than in the Gem group (12.2 vs. 9.4 months; hazard ratio [HR], 0.65; 95% CI, 0.37-1.13). The median PFS was significantly longer in the GnP group than in the Gem group (9.2 vs. 3.7 months; HR, 0.38; 95% CI, 0.23-0.64). The incidence of severe adverse events was higher with GnP than with Gem; however, the difference was not significant.

Conclusion

GnP is more efficacious than Gem in patients aged ≥76 years with uPC despite demonstrating a higher incidence of severe adverse events.

Preoperative Risk Score for Early Mortality After Up-Front Pancreatic Cancer Surgery: A Nationwide Cohort Study

Background

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma is a highly fatal malignancy. The aim was to identify preoperative factors for early mortality in up-front resectable patients following pancreatoduodenectomy (PD) and develop an early mortality risk score.

Methods

Patients registered in the Swedish National Registry for Pancreatic and Periampullary Cancer were included. Relevant preoperative factors (n = 21) were investigated. Early mortality was defined as death within 12 months after surgery. Based on the identified risk factor odds ratios (ORs), the Score Predicting Early Mortality (SPEM) was developed.

Results

In total, 2183 PDs were performed, and 926 patients met the study criteria. The mean age was 68 (SD ± 8.8) years, and 48% were female. A total of 233 (24%) patients died within 12 months. In the multivariable analyses, age > 75 years (OR 1.7; 95% CI 1.1–2.4; p = 0.008), CRP ≥ 15 mg/L (OR 2.0; 95% CI 1.3–3.1; p = 0.001), CA 19-9 > 500 U/mL (OR 1.8; 95% CI 1.0–3.2; p = 0.040), diabetes mellitus (OR 1.40; 95% CI 1.00–2.1; p = 0.042), and active smoking (OR 1.47; 95%CI 1.00–2.00; p = 0.050) were found to be independent risk factors for early mortality.

Conclusion

Five independent preoperative risk factors for early mortality following PD were identified and together formed SPEM. The score might be a useful tool in establishing individualized treatment plans.

Optimizing Indications for Conversion Surgery Based on Analysis of 454 Consecutive Japanese Cases with Unresectable Pancreatic Cancer Who Received Modified FOLFIRINOX or Gemcitabine Plus Nab-paclitaxel: A Single-Center Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of initially unresectable pancreatic cancer (UR-PC) has improved since the introduction of FOLFIRINOX (FFX) or gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel (GNP) treatment. Nonetheless, the indications and optimal timing for conversion to resection remain unclear for UR-PC. The aim of this study is to evaluate the characteristics of cases with initially UR-PC who received modified FFX or GNP treatment.

METHODS

This retrospective study reviewed 454 consecutive Japanese UR-PC cases who received modified FFX/GNP treatment. Cases were categorized according to resection status, and overall survival (OS) was evaluated using a multivariable prognostic scoring model (0-4 points, higher score indicating more favorable prognostic factors).

RESULTS

The overall resection rate was 16% for locally advanced UR-PC (UR-LA) and 5% for metastatic UR-PC (UR-M). The resection group had better OS than the nonresection group (median OS time: not reached versus 13.0 months, P < 0.001). The independent prognostic factors were normalized CA19-9 concentration, modified Glasgow prognostic score of 0, tumor shrinkage after chemotherapy, chemotherapy duration ≥ 8 months, and resection. Cases were grouped according to their prognostic score, and the results suggested that candidates for resection might have prognostic scores of 4 points in UR-M cases or 2-4 points in UR-LA cases.

CONCLUSIONS

Stratification according to prognostic score was useful in predicting the outcomes of UR-PC cases and may aid in identifying cases who might benefit from surgical treatment after responding to chemotherapy.