Exposure to bisphosphonates and risk of common non-gastrointestinal cancers: series of nested case-control studies using two primary-care databases

Pooling of primary care electronic health record (EHR) data on Huntington's disease (HD) and cancer: establishing comparability of two large UK databases

OBJECTIVES

To explore whether UK primary care databases arising from two different software systems can be feasibly combined, by comparing rates of Huntington's disease (HD, which is rare) and 14 common cancers in the two databases, as well as characteristics of people with these conditions.

DESIGN

Descriptive study.

SETTING

Primary care electronic health records from Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) GOLD and CPRD Aurum databases, with linked hospital admission and death registration data.

PARTICIPANTS

4986 patients with HD and 1 294 819 with an incident cancer between 1990 and 2019.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Incidence and prevalence of HD by calendar period, age group and region, and annual age-standardised incidence of 14 common cancers in each database, and in a subset of 'overlapping' practices which contributed to both databases. Characteristics of patients with HD or incident cancer: medical history, recent prescribing, healthcare contacts and database follow-up.

RESULTS

Incidence and prevalence of HD were slightly higher in CPRD GOLD than CPRD Aurum, but with similar trends over time. Cancer incidence in the two databases differed between 1990 and 2000, but converged and was very similar thereafter. Participants in each database were most similar in terms of medical history (median standardised difference, MSD 0.03 (IQR 0.01-0.03)), recent prescribing (MSD 0.06 (0.03-0.10)) and demographics and general health variables (MSD 0.05 (0.01-0.09)). Larger differences were seen for healthcare contacts (MSD 0.27 (0.10-0.41)), and database follow-up (MSD 0.39 (0.19-0.56)).

CONCLUSIONS

Differences in cancer incidence trends between 1990 and 2000 may relate to use of a practice-level data quality filter (the 'up-to-standard' date) in CPRD GOLD only. As well as the impact of data curation methods, differences in underlying data models can make it more challenging to define exactly equivalent clinical concepts in each database. Researchers should be aware of these potential sources of variability when planning combined database studies and interpreting results.

Completeness of endocrine therapy information in the Primary Care Prescription Database (PCPD) and secondary care treatment datasets: A national population-based cohort study using routine healthcare data

BACKGROUND

Endocrine therapy (ET) is a widely used treatment for breast cancer. In the UK, use is typically initiated in secondary care, with subsequent treatment in primary care. Evaluating use of ET depends on data sources containing accurate and complete information. This study aimed to evaluate the completeness and consistency of ET recorded in primary and secondary care data (SCD) and determine the value of combining data sources in describing use of ET.

METHODS

This cohort study included women (50 + years) diagnosed with hormone receptor-positive invasive breast cancer in England, April-2015 to December-2019. Concordance of ET recorded in SCD and the Primary Care Prescription Database (PCPD) was evaluated. Factors associated with recording of ET in each setting were assessed using statistical models.

RESULTS

Overall 110,529 women were included. 94% had ET recorded in either SCD or PCPD. ET captured in SCD varied from 3% (in Systemic Anti-Cancer Therapy data) to 52% (in the Cancer Outcomes and Services Dataset; COSD). By contrast, 93% of patients had an ET prescription in PCPD. Among patients with ET recorded, this was not captured in COSD for 45%. Capture in COSD was lowest for younger women, those with no comorbidity/frailty, with lower stage or HER2-positive disease, or with other treatments recorded. Overall concordance between COSD and PCPD was 57%, but varied substantially across NHS trusts (lowest decile≤28%; highest decile≥86%). Among women with ET recorded in both settings, the earliest record was in COSD for 97%; 59% of initial ET prescriptions recorded in COSD were not captured in PCPD. Combining PCPD and COSD data enabled estimation of ET duration.

CONCLUSIONS

PCPD is vital for understanding the use of ET within this population. Completeness of SCD could be improved by ensuring information on first ET prescription is recorded. PCPD (linked to SCD) is a valuable resource for examining patterns of care for patients with cancer, including treatment duration and adherence.

Temporality of body mass index, blood tests, comorbidities and medication use as early markers for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC): a nested case-control study

OBJECTIVE

Prior studies identified clinical factors associated with increased risk of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). However, little is known regarding their time-varying nature, which could inform earlier diagnosis. This study assessed temporality of body mass index (BMI), blood-based markers, comorbidities and medication use with PDAC risk .

DESIGN

We performed a population-based nested case-control study of 28 137 PDAC cases and 261 219 matched-controls in England. We described the associations of biomarkers with risk of PDAC using fractional polynomials and 5-year time trends using joinpoint regression. Associations with comorbidities and medication use were evaluated using conditional logistic regression.

RESULTS

Risk of PDAC increased with raised HbA1c, liver markers, white blood cell and platelets, while following a U-shaped relationship for BMI and haemoglobin. Five-year trends showed biphasic BMI decrease and HbA1c increase prior to PDAC; early-gradual changes 2-3 years prior, followed by late-rapid changes 1-2 years prior. Liver markers and blood counts (white blood cell, platelets) showed monophasic rapid-increase approximately 1 year prior. Recent diagnosis of pancreatic cyst, pancreatitis, type 2 diabetes and initiation of certain glucose-lowering and acid-regulating therapies were associated with highest risk of PDAC.

CONCLUSION

Risk of PDAC increased with raised HbA1c, liver markers, white blood cell and platelets, while followed a U-shaped relationship for BMI and haemoglobin. BMI and HbA1c derange biphasically approximately 3 years prior while liver markers and blood counts (white blood cell, platelets) derange monophasically approximately 1 year prior to PDAC. Profiling these in combination with their temporality could inform earlier PDAC diagnosis.

Nitrogen-Based Bisphosphonate Use and Ovarian Cancer Risk in Women Aged 50 Years and Older

BACKGROUND

There are few readily modifiable risk factors for epithelial ovarian cancer; pre-clinical studies suggest bisphosphonates could have chemo-preventive actions. Our study aimed to assess the association between use of nitrogen-based bisphosphonate medicine and risk of epithelial ovarian cancer, overall and by histotype.

METHODS

We conducted a case-control study nested within a large linked administrative dataset including all Australian women enrolled for Medicare, Australia's universal health insurance scheme, between July 2002 and December 2013. We included all women with epithelial ovarian cancer diagnosed at age 50 years and older between 1st July 2004 and 31st December 2013 (n = 9,367) and randomly selected up to five controls per case, individually matched to cases by age, state of residence, area-level socioeconomic status, and remoteness of residence category (n = 46,830). We used prescription records to ascertain use of nitrogen-based bisphosphonates (ever use and duration of use), raloxifene and other osteoporosis medicines (non-nitrogen-based bisphosphonates, strontium and denosumab). We calculated adjusted odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) using conditional logistic regression.

RESULTS

Ever use of nitrogen-based bisphosphonates was associated with a reduced risk of epithelial ovarian cancer compared to non-use (OR = 0.81, 95%CI : 0.75-0.88). There was a reduced risk of both endometrioid (OR = 0.51, 95%CI : 0.33-0.79) and serous histotypes (OR = 0.84, 95%CI : 0.75-0.93), but no association with the mucinous or clear cell histotypes.

CONCLUSION

Use of nitrogen-based bisphosphonates was associated with a reduced risk of endometrioid and serous ovarian cancer. This suggests the potential for use for prevention, although validation of our findings is required.

Association of Antiosteoporotic Medication Bisphosphonates and Denosumab with Primary Breast Cancer: An Electronic Health Record Cohort Study

Background: The risks of osteoporosis and breast cancer are increasing in elderly women. Bisphosphonates and denosumab are recommended for treatment of osteoporosis. They have different and overlapping pharmacodynamics and previous studies have shown conflicting results regarding their risk association with breast cancer. We intend to further look into this issue through a comparative study.

Methods: Electronic health records of 91,626 women older than 50 years with no previous history of malignancy and no nonbreast cancer during follow-up were retrieved from southern California and retrospectively analyzed using univariate, bivariate, and log-rank tests. Medication use, breast cancer risk, and associated demographic and clinical history were assessed.

Results: Over an average of 3.6 years follow-up, the breast cancer relative risks (RRs) counted after 365 days of latency are 1.12 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.64–1.97) for denosumab ever users and 0.37 (95% CI: 0.21–0.66) for bisphosphonates ever users, when covariates are comparable. The significant difference is supported by the Log-rank test (p = 0.0004). Excluding statins coprescribers, the breast cancer RR is 1.31 (0.71, 2.43) in denosumab group and 0.26 (0.11, 0.62) in bisphosphonates group. There is a reduced RR in statins ever users (0.47, 95% CI: 0.38–0.58), and the breast cancer risk difference is not significant between concomitant denosumab/statins and bisphosphonates/statins ever users with RR 0.65 (0.16, 2.58) versus 0.55 (0.26, 1.16), p = 0.692.

Conclusions: Our data support an association of lower breast cancer risk with bisphosphonates use in elderly women. We did not observe a lower breast cancer risk in denosumab group; however, our data revealed a potential lower breast cancer risk in denosumab users with concurrent statins use and this requires further study.

Bisphosphonate Use Does Not Impact Survival in Patients with Pancreatic Cancer: A Propensity Score Matching Analysis

Background/Aims

Bisphosphonates are increasingly recognized for their anti-neoplastic properties, which are the result of their action on the mevalonate pathway. Our primary aim was to investigate the association between bisphosphonate use and survival in patients with pancreatic cancer. Since statins also act on the mevalonate pathway, we also investigated the effect of the combined use of bisphosphonates and statins on survival.

Methods

The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registry (SEER)-Medicare linked database was used to identify patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) between 2007 and 2015. Kaplan-Meier models were used to examine the association between survival with bisphosphonate use alone and in combination with statins within 1 year prior to the diagnosis of PDAC. Propensity score matching analysis and Cox-proportional hazard models were used to determine the association between overall survival with bisphosphonate use alone and combined with statins, after adjusting for relevant confounders, such as the Charlson comorbidity index score, stage, treatment, sociodemographic characteristics, and propensity score.

Results

In total, 13,639 patients with PDAC were identified, and 1,203 (8.82%) used bisphosphonates. There was no difference in the mean survival duration between bisphosphonate users (7.27 months) and nonusers (7.25 months, p=0.61). After adjustment for confounders, bisphosphonate use was still not associated with improved survival (hazard ratio, 1.00; 95% confidence interval, 0.93 to 1.08; p=0.96). Combined bisphosphonate and statin use was also not associated with improved survival (hazard ratio, 0.97; 95% confidence interval, 0.87 to 1.07; p=0.48) after adjustment for confounders.

Conclusions

Our findings suggest that the use of bisphosphonates, whether alone or in combination with statins, does not confer a survival advantage in patients with PDAC. (Gut Liver 2021;15-790)

Bisphosphonates and risk of cancers: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

It is unclear whether bisphosphonates are associated with risk of cancers. Therefore, this meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the effect of bisphosphonates on overall cancers.

Methods

A search in Pubmed, Embase, Cochrane Library and Web of Science databases was conducted, from the inception date of each resource to September 26, 2019. The summarised effect estimates with 95% CIs were calculated using a random-effect model. Heterogeneity and publication bias were explored.

Results

Thirty-four articles were included in this study (4,508,261 participants; 403,196 cases). The results revealed that bisphosphonates significantly decreased the risk of colorectal cancer (RR = 0.89, 95% CI: 0.81–0.98), breast cancer (RR = 0.87, 95% CI: 0.82–0.93) and endometrial cancer (RR = 0.75, 95% CI: 0.61–0.94), but no significant association was observed in all-cause cancer. Furthermore, nitrogen-containing bisphosphonates only had protective effects both on breast cancer (RR = 0.94, 95% CI: 0.90–0.99) and endometrial cancer (RR = 0.70, 95% CI: 0.54–0.92). Non-nitrogen-containing bisphosphonates tended to increase the risk of liver cancer (RR = 2.14, 95% CI: 1.23–3.72) and pancreas cancer (RR = 1.75, 95% CI: 1.32–2.33).

Conclusion

Bisphosphonates are significantly associated with risk reduction of colorectal, breast and endometrial cancer, especially nitrogen-containing bisphosphonates. It should be noted that non-nitrogen-containing bisphosphonates might increase the risk of liver and pancreas cancer. Large prospective cohort studies are needed to find the causal association between bisphosphonates and risk of cancers.

Approaches for combining primary care electronic health record data from multiple sources: a systematic review of observational studies

OBJECTIVE

To identify observational studies which used data from more than one primary care electronic health record (EHR) database, and summarise key characteristics including: objective and rationale for using multiple data sources; methods used to manage, analyse and (where applicable) combine data; and approaches used to assess and report heterogeneity between data sources.

DESIGN

A systematic review of published studies.

DATA SOURCES

Pubmed and Embase databases were searched using list of named primary care EHR databases; supplementary hand searches of reference list of studies were retained after initial screening.

STUDY SELECTION

Observational studies published between January 2000 and May 2018 were selected, which included at least two different primary care EHR databases.

RESULTS

6054 studies were identified from database and hand searches, and 109 were included in the final review, the majority published between 2014 and 2018. Included studies used 38 different primary care EHR data sources. Forty-seven studies (44%) were descriptive or methodological. Of 62 analytical studies, 22 (36%) presented separate results from each database, with no attempt to combine them; 29 (48%) combined individual patient data in a one-stage meta-analysis and 21 (34%) combined estimates from each database using two-stage meta-analysis. Discussion and exploration of heterogeneity was inconsistent across studies.

CONCLUSIONS

Comparing patterns and trends in different populations, or in different primary care EHR databases from the same populations, is important and a common objective for multi-database studies. When combining results from several databases using meta-analysis, provision of separate results from each database is helpful for interpretation. We found that these were often missing, particularly for studies using one-stage approaches, which also often lacked details of any statistical adjustment for heterogeneity and/or clustering. For two-stage meta-analysis, a clear rationale should be provided for choice of fixed effect and/or random effects or other models.

Association Use of Bisphosphonates with Risk of Breast Cancer: A Meta-Analysis

Background

Previous studies have investigated the association between the use of bisphosphonates and the development of breast cancer, which presented controversial results. Thus, this meta-analysis was conducted to summarize the current evidence of the association of bisphosphonate use with breast cancer risk.

Methods

A comprehensive search was conducted in PubMed, ISI Web of Knowledge, the Cochrane Library, and Embase from inception to March 2019 by two researches, who independently selected trials, retrieved relevant data, and assessed study quality. The summary relative risk (RR) for the use of bisphosphonates on the risks of developing breast cancer was calculated using a random-effect model.

Results

The present meta-analysis, which included four case-control studies, involving 55052 breast cancer cases, and seven retrospective cohort studies, involving 14641 breast cancer cases, assessed the effect of bisphosphonates on breast cancer risk. The random-effect model meta-analysis found a reduced risk of breast cancer with exposure to bisphosphonates with pooled RR of 0.87 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.80 to 0.94). The short-term use of bisphosphonates (<1 year) did not render significant alteration (RR = 0.92, 95% CI: 0.82 to 1.03), while a significant 26% risk reduction of breast cancer was noted with long-term use (>1 year) (RR = 0.74, 95% CI: 0.62 to 0.90). A protective effect of bisphosphonates was shown in contralateral breast cancer (RR = 0.41, 95% CI: 0.20 to 0.84). In terms of the type of bisphosphonates, a significant inverse relationship was noted for etidronate, with pooled RR of 0.87 (95% CI: 0.80 to 0.96).

Conclusion

This meta-analysis suggested that the use of bisphosphonates was associated with reduced risk of breast cancer, including contralateral breast cancer. Compared to other types of bisphosphonates, only etidronate showed a significant inverse relationship. Additionally, the long-term use (>1 year) of bisphosphonates was more significant in lowering breast cancer risk. Further randomized controlled trials are needed to verify this association. This trial is registered with PROSPERO (registration number: CRD42018105024) (registered on 29 August 2018).

Universal Nature of Drug Treatment Responses in Drug-Tissue-Wide Model-Animal Experiments Using Tensor Decomposition-Based Unsupervised Feature Extraction

Gene expression profiles of tissues treated with drugs have recently been used to infer clinical outcomes. Although this method is often successful from the application point of view, gene expression altered by drugs is rarely analyzed in detail, because of the extremely large number of genes involved. Here, we applied tensor decomposition (TD)-based unsupervised feature extraction (FE) to the gene expression profiles of 24 mouse tissues treated with 15 drugs. TD-based unsupervised FE enabled identification of the common effects of 15 drugs including an interesting universal feature: these drugs affect genes in a gene-group-wide manner and were dependent on three tissue types (neuronal, muscular, and gastroenterological). For each tissue group, TD-based unsupervised FE enabled identification of a few tens to a few hundreds of genes affected by the drug treatment. These genes are distinctly expressed between drug treatments and controls as well as between tissues in individual tissue groups and other tissues. We also validated the assignment of genes to individual tissue groups using multiple enrichment analyses. We conclude that TD-based unsupervised FE is a promising method for integrated analysis of gene expression profiles from multiple tissues treated with multiple drugs in a completely unsupervised manner.

Oral bisphosphonate use and lung cancer incidence among postmenopausal women

Background

Bisphosphonates are common medications for the treatment of osteoporosis in older populations. Several studies, including the Women’s Health Initiative (WHI), have found inverse associations of bisphosphonate use with risk of breast and endometrial cancer, but little is known about its association with other common malignancies. The objective of this study was to evaluate the association of bisphosphonate use on the incidence of lung cancer in the WHI.

Patients and methods

The association between oral bisphosphonate use and lung cancer risk was examined in 151 432 postmenopausal women enrolled into the WHI in 1993–1998. At baseline and during follow-up, participants completed an inventory of regularly used medications including bisphosphonates.

Results

After a mean follow-up of 13.3 years, 2511 women were diagnosed with incident lung cancer. There was no evidence of a difference in lung cancer incidence between oral bisphosphonate users and never users (adjusted hazard ratio = 0.91; 95% confidence intervals, 0.80–1.04; P = 0.16). However, an inverse association was observed among those who were never smokers (hazard ratio = 0.57, 95% confidence interval, 0.39–0.84; P < 0.01).

Conclusion

In this large prospective cohort of postmenopausal women, oral bisphosphonate use was associated with significantly lower lung cancer risk among never smokers, suggesting bisphosphonates may have a protective effect against lung cancer. Additional studies are needed to confirm our findings.

Bisphosphonates and primary breast cancer risk: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis involving 963,995 women

Importance

Prevention of primary breast cancer (BCa) in women is of great public health importance. The existing results from observational epidemiologic studies focused on the association between bisphosphonates and primary BCa risk have been inconsistent.

Objective

To update this systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the effect of bisphosphonates on primary BCa risk.

Data sources

We comprehensively searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane libraries, ProQuest, and Web of Science through June 25, 2018 for relevant studies.

Study selection

Epidemiological studies that assessed the effect of bisphosphonates on the risk of primary BCa in women.

Data extraction and synthesis

We reported this meta-analysis according to the PRISMA guidelines. Available multivariable-adjusted effect estimates and corresponding 95% CIs were pooled with a random-effects model.

Main outcomes and measures

The prespecified main outcome was the risk of primary BCa.

Results

In total, five cohort studies involving 657,558 women and 12,991 primary BCa patients, three population-based case-control studies involving 54,701 primary BCa cases and 237,962 healthy controls and two randomized controlled trials (RCTs) involving 13,774 women and 165 primary BCa patients were included in this meta-analysis. Bisphosphonates were associated with a 12% decreased risk of primary BCa (RR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.83–0.94). However, when we analyzed study designs separately, the pooled results from observational studies were inconsistent with that from RCTs. The observed association of primary BCa risk with long-term use (≥1 year) of bisphosphonates seemed to be more robust and stronger than that of short-term use (<1 year) (RR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.66–0.84; and 0.90; 95% CI, 0.84–0.97; respectively).

Conclusion

This meta-analysis adds to the body of evidence for an association between bisphosphonates and a significantly decreased risk of primary BCa. However, future large-scale RCTs are required to validate this concern.

Oral bisphosphonate use and the risk of female breast, ovarian, and cervical cancer: a nationwide population-based cohort study

Bisphosphonate use was not associated with the risk of female breast, ovarian, or cervical cancer. The results according to bisphosphonate type or concurrent drug uses were not associated with the cancer risk. The protective effect of bisphosphonate use on female breast cancer was significant in the low comorbidity group.

PURPOSE

Despite the antitumor mechanisms, the effect of bisphosphonates on the risk of cancer is still unclear. We investigated the association between oral bisphosphonate use and the development of female breast, ovarian, and cervical cancer.

METHODS

We accomplished a population-based cohort study using the National Health Insurance Services (NHIS) database. A total of 204,525 participants were included in a cohort, and we identified the incident cases of each cancer from 2007 to 2013. We assessed cumulative bisphosphonate exposure from 2003 to 2006 using the defined daily dose (DDD) system. Hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were presented to assess the association between bisphosphonate use and cancer incidence using multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression models. Subgroup analyses were performed to assess cancer development according to risk factors and concurrent drug use.

RESULTS

There was a total of 1547, 266, and 370 incident cases of female breast, cervical, and ovarian cancer, respectively, during the study period of 1,367,294 person-years. Bisphosphonate exposure was not significantly associated with risk of female breast (adjusted HR (aHR), 0.78; 95% CI, 0.60-1.02), ovarian (aHR, 1.30; 95% CI, 0.82-2.07), nor cervical cancer (aHR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.44-1.12). Further subgroup analyses also revealed no statistically significant effects of bisphosphonate use with various risk factors and concurrent drug use.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study showed no significant associations between bisphosphonate exposure and female breast, cervical, and ovarian cancer. In the future, large prospective studies or a meta-analysis would be needed to verify the associations.

Risk reduction of endometrial and ovarian cancer after bisphosphonates use: A meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

Recent epidemiological studies have investigated the associations between the use of bisphosphonates and the development of endometrial cancer and ovarian cancer; these studies have shown controversial results. Hence, this meta-analysis was conducted to evaluate the changes in the risks of developing endometrial and ovarian cancers after using bisphosphonates based on current evidence.

METHODS

A comprehensive search was performed in the MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Web of Science databases through January 2017. The summary relative risk (RR) estimates for the effects of the use of bisphosphonates on the risks of developing endometrial and ovarian cancers were calculated using a random-effects model.

RESULTS

Seven studies were included with a total of 6471 endometrial cancer cases (7 studies with 213,920 participants) and 6783 ovarian cancer cases (4 studies with 105,507 participants). This meta-analysis suggested that any use of bisphosphonates was associated with a significant 27% reduction in the risk of endometrial cancer (RR = 0.73, 95% CI: 0.58-0.93, P = 0.012), but the reduction in the risk of ovarian cancer (RR = 0.81, 95% CI: 0.58-1.14, P = 0.227) was not significant. The protective effects of the use of bisphosphonates against endometrial cancer are mainly found in postmenopausal women (RR = 0.53, 95% CI: 0.34-0.93, P = 0.012) or in those who have taken bisphosphonates for longer than 1 year (RR = 0.57, 95% CI: 0.35-0.93, P = 0.024).

CONCLUSION

This meta-analysis suggests that the use of bisphosphonates is associated with a reduction in the risk of endometrial cancer but not ovarian cancer.

Use of Bisphosphonates and Risk of Breast Cancer in a French Cohort of Postmenopausal Women

Purpose

To assess whether bisphosphonate (BP) use is associated with decreased breast cancer incidence in a cohort of postmenopausal women.

Methods

The study population included 64,438 postmenopausal women participating in the French E3N (Etude Epidémiologique auprès de femmes de la Mutuelle Générale de l'Education Nationale) prospective cohort, with data self-reported in biennial questionnaires matched with data from a drug reimbursement database. Exposure to BPs and the use of other osteoporosis treatments during follow-up were determined using reimbursement data. Other covariates (breast cancer risk factors, clinical risk factors for osteoporotic fractures, and bone mineral density surveillance) originated from the questionnaires. Hazard ratios (HRs) of breast cancer were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models, considering exposure as a time-varying variable.

Results

Over an average of 7.2 years of follow-up (2004 to 2011), 2,407 first primary breast cancer cases were identified. The HR of breast cancer associated with exposure to BPs was 0.98 (95% CI, 0.85 to 1.12). We found no effect modification by age, body mass index, time since menopause, use of hormone replacement therapy, use of calcium supplements, or use of vitamin D supplements. There was no heterogeneity across BP molecules and no trend according to cumulative dose, duration of use, or time since last use. We observed a decrease in breast cancer risk restricted to the year after treatment initiation (HR, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.36 to 0.87), which was likely explained by healthy screenee bias. Finally, we did not find any variation in HRs across breast carcinomas defined by their estrogen receptor or invasive or in situ status.

Conclusion

In our observational cohort of postmenopausal women observed from 2004 to 2011, BP use, likely prescribed for the management of osteoporosis, was not associated with decreased breast cancer incidence.

Bisphosphonate use and the risk of breast cancer: a meta-analysis of observational studies

PURPOSE

To summarize current evidence of the association of bisphosphonate use with breast cancer risk, we used a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies to explore this issue.

METHODS

A comprehensive search was conducted on PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library. Pooled relative risk (RR) estimates and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using the random effects model.

RESULTS

Bisphosphonate use was associated with a 16% lower breast cancer risk (pool RR0.84, 95%CI 0.77-0.90, n = 8). A protective effect of bisphosphonate was found in cohort studies (RR 0.85, 95%CI 0.80-0.90, n = 4) and case-control studies (RR 0.78, 95%CI 0.64-0.96, n = 4).We also found that the use of bisphosphonate resulted in a statistically significant reduction in all breast cancer risk (RR 0.87, 95%CI 0.81-0.93) and greater reduction in invasive breast cancer risk (RR 0.78, 95%CI 0.68-0.91) and contralateral breast cancer risk (RR, 0.41; 95% CI, 0.20-0.84).With respect to the type of bisphosphonate, we found that alendronate and etidronate resulted significant reduction in breast cancer risk. The short-term use of bisphosphonate (<1 y) led to nonsignificant change (RR 0.93, 95%CI 0.86-1.00), but a significant 26% reduction of breast cancer risk was noted with long-term use (>1 y) (RR 0.74, 95%CI 0.66-0.83).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results supported bisphosphonate as being effective in preventing breast cancer, including invasive and contralateral breast cancer. Furthermore, the long-term use (>1 y) of bisphosphonate was more significant in lowering breast cancer risk.

A Clinical Prediction Model to Assess Risk for Pancreatic Cancer Among Patients With New-Onset Diabetes

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Approximately 50% of all patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDA) develop diabetes mellitus before their cancer diagnosis. Screening individuals with new-onset diabetes might allow earlier diagnosis of PDA. We sought to develop and validate a PDA risk prediction model to identify high-risk individuals among those with new-onset diabetes.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study in a population representative database from the United Kingdom. Individuals with incident diabetes after the age of 35 years and 3 or more years of follow-up after diagnosis of diabetes were eligible for inclusion. Candidate predictors consisted of epidemiologic and clinical characteristics available at the time of diabetes diagnosis. Variables with P values <.25 in the univariable analyses were evaluated using backward stepwise approach. Model discrimination was assessed using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Calibration was evaluated using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test. Results were internally validated using a bootstrapping procedure.

RESULTS

We analyzed data from 109,385 patients with new-onset diabetes. Among them, 390 (0.4%) were diagnosed with PDA within 3 years. The final model (area under the curve, 0.82; 95% confidence interval, 0.75-0.89) included age, body mass index, change in body mass index, smoking, use of proton pump inhibitors, and anti-diabetic medications, as well as levels of hemoglobin A1C, cholesterol, hemoglobin, creatinine, and alkaline phosphatase. Bootstrapping validation showed negligible optimism. If the predicted risk threshold for definitive PDA screening was set at 1% over 3 years, only 6.19% of the new-onset diabetes population would undergo definitive screening, which would identify patients with PDA with 44.7% sensitivity, 94.0% specificity, and a positive predictive value of 2.6%.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a risk model based on widely available clinical parameters to help identify patients with new-onset diabetes who might benefit from PDA screening.

The Role of Common Pharmaceutical Agents on the Prevention and Treatment of Pancreatic Cancer

Survival from pancreatic cancer remains poor. Conventional treatment has resulted in only marginal improvements in survival compared with survival in the previous several decades. Thus, considerable interest has emerged regarding the potential use of common pharmaceutical agents as chemopreventative and chemotherapeutic options. Aspirin, metformin, statins, β-blockers, and bisphosphonates have biologically plausible mechanisms to inhibit pancreatic neoplasia, whereas dipeptidyl-peptidase 4 inhibitors may promote it. Regardless, real-world epidemiological data remain inconclusive. This review examines the hypotheses, evidence, and current state of the literature for each of these medications and their potential roles in the prevention and treatment of pancreatic cancer.

Medical prevention of breast cancer

Breast cancer is the most common cancer of women in Western Europe and North America. Effective strategies of medical prevention could reduce the burden of breast cancer mortality. The best evidence for a risk reduction exists for hormonal agents such as tamoxifen and raloxifene (22-72%) or aromatase inhibitors (50-65%). However, the severity of side effects and the lack of evidence for an improved survival compromise the risk/benefit balance. In this review the results of chemoprevention studies, including new treatment approaches, are summarized with critical discussion of their use in clinical practice.

Oral bisphosphonate use and risk of postmenopausal endometrial cancer

PURPOSE

Bisphosphonates are common medications used for the treatment of osteoporosis and are also used to reduce metastases to bone in patients with cancer. Several studies, including the Women's Health Initiative (WHI), have found that use of bisphosphonates is associated with reduced risk of developing breast cancer, but less is known about associations with other common malignancies. This study was aimed at examining the effects of bisphosphonates on the risk of endometrial cancer.

METHODS

We evaluated the relationship between use of oral bisphosphonates and endometrial cancer risk in a cohort of 89,918 postmenopausal women participating in the WHI. A detailed health interview was conducted at baseline, and bisphosphonate use was ascertained from an inventory of regularly used medications at baseline and over follow-up. All women had an intact uterus at the time of study entry.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 12.5 years, 1,123 women were diagnosed with incident invasive endometrial cancer. Ever use of bisphosphonates was associated with reduced endometrial cancer risk (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.64 to 1.00; P = .05), with no interactions observed with age, body mass index, or indication for use.

CONCLUSION

In this large prospective cohort of postmenopausal women, bisphosphonate use was associated with a statistically significant reduction in endometrial cancer risk.

Exposure to combined oral contraceptives and risk of venous thromboembolism: a protocol for nested case-control studies using the QResearch and the CPRD databases

INTRODUCTION

Many studies have found an increased risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) associated with the use of combined hormonal contraceptives, but various methodologies have been used in the study design relating to definition of VTE event and the selection of appropriate cases for analysis. This study will focus on common oral hormonal contraceptives, including compositions with cyproterone because of their contraceptive effect and will perform a number of sensitivity analyses to compare findings with previous studies.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

2 nested case-control studies will be based on the general population using records from UK general practices within the QResearch and Clinical Practice Research Datalink databases. Cases will be female patients aged 15-49 with primary VTE diagnosed between 2001 and 2013. Each case will be matched by age, year of birth and practice to five female controls, who are alive and registered with the practice at the time of diagnosis of the case (index date). Exposure to different hormonal contraceptives will be defined as at least one prescription for that contraceptive in the year before the index date. The effects of duration and the length of any gap since last use will also be investigated. Conditional logistic regression will be applied to calculate ORs adjusted for smoking, ethnicity, comorbidities and use of other medications. Possible indications for prescribing hormonal contraceptives, such as menstrual disorders, acne or hirsutism will be included in the analyses as confounding factors. A number of sensitivity analyses will be carried out.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The initial protocol has been reviewed and approved by ISAC (Independent Scientific Advisory Committee) for Medicine and Healthcare Products Regulatory Agency Database Research. The project has also been reviewed by QResearch and meets the requirements of the Trent Research Ethics Committee. The results will be published in a peer-reviewed journal.