Nadir PSA level and time to PSA nadir following primary androgen deprivation therapy are the early survival predictors for prostate cancer patients with bone metastasis

A retrospective study of prognostic factors and prostate-specific antigen dynamics in Japanese patients with metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer who received combined androgen blockade therapy with bicalutamide

BACKGROUND

This retrospective observational study explored the therapeutic potential of combined androgen blockade (CAB) with bicalutamide (Bic-CAB) as an initial treatment for metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC) in Japan.

METHODS

The electronic health records of 159 patients with mHSPC from three Japanese institutions who received initial treatment with Bic-CAB between 2007 and 2017 were analyzed. The time to prostate-specific antigen (PSA) progression, duration of Bic-CAB treatment, and overall survival (OS), with various definitions for PSA progression, were assessed. A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was constructed using clinical parameters to predict time to the end of Bic-CAB treatment and OS.

RESULTS

The median observation period was 46.4 months, and the median age of patients at diagnosis was 71 years. A total of 46.5% patients experienced PSA progression with a median survival duration of 29 months (according to Prostate Cancer Clinical Trials Working Group 3 criteria), and 49.1% patients achieved a PSA nadir < 0.2 ng/mL in a median time of 4.7 months. When stratified by PSA nadir and PSA change, patients at low risk for disease progression with a small PSA change due to low initial PSA had a 5-year OS of 100% and a 10-year OS of 75%. The OS during the observation period was 72.9 months.

CONCLUSION

These findings highlight the potential effect of Bic-CAB in patients with mHSPC who were at low risk for disease progression. Initial treatment with Bic-CAB and adjusting treatment early based on PSA dynamics may be a reasonable treatment plan for these patients.

Independent association between prostate-specific antigen nadir and PSA progression-free survival in first-line abiraterone acetate treatment in castration-resistant prostate cancer patients: a pilot study

Background

There is limited evidence regarding the correlation between prostate-specific antigen (PSA) kinetics and clinical outcomes. Therefore, after regulating other covariates, we studied patients with castration-resistant prostate cancer who received abiraterone acetate as the first-line treatment. In this study, we investigated whether time to PSA nadir was independently associated with PSA progression-free survival (PFS).

Methods

As a retrospective cohort study, this study contained a total of 77 castration-resistant prostate cancer patients who received abiraterone acetate from October 2015 to April 2021 in a Chinese hospital. The dependent variable was PSA-PFS. The objective independent variable was time to PSA nadir (TTPN). Covariates involved in this study included age, duration of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT), PSA level at baseline, time of 50% PSA decline, time of PSA decline to nadir, Gleason score, bone metastasis, previous treatment, PSA decline <50% in 3 months, PSA to nadir in 3 months, PSA decline <90%, PSA decline <0.2 ng/mL, and PSA flare.

Results

For the 77 subjects, their mean age was 72.70 ± 8.08 years. Fully calibrated linear regression findings indicated that PSA decline and kinetics were positively associated with PFS (months) after adjusting confounders (β = 0.77, 95% CI: 0.11-1.44). A non-linear relationship was not detected between PSA decline or PSA kinetics and progression-free survival.

Conclusion

According to the data of this study, there was a correlation between early PSA changes and patients treated with abiraterone acetate.

Fluorine-18 prostate-specific membrane antigen-1007-avid indeterminate bone lesions in prostate cancer: clinical and PET/CT features to predict outcomes and prognosis

AIM

To determine clinical and fluorine-18 prostate-specific membrane antigen-1007 (18F-PSMA-1007) integrated positron-emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography (CT) features that could be used to interpret indeterminate bone lesions (IBLs) and assess the prognosis of prostate cancer (PCa) in patients with IBLs.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Consecutive patients who underwent PSMA PET/CT were analysed retrospectively. IBLs were identified as benign or malignant based on follow-up imaging and clinical management. Lesion- and patient-based assessments were performed to define features predictive of bone lesion results and determine clinical risk. Patients' prognosis was analysed based on clinical characteristics, including prostate-specific antigen (PSA) and alkaline phosphatase (ALP), respectively.

RESULTS

A total of 105 patients (mean age ± SD, 72.1 ± 8 years) were evaluated and 158 IBLs were identified. Fifty-three (33.5%), 36 (22.8%), and 69 (43.7%) IBLs were benign, malignant, and equivocal, respectively. Variables including location, maximum standard uptake value (SUVmax), and lymph node metastases (LNM) were related to the benignancy or malignancy of IBLs (p=0.046, p<0.001 and p<0.001, respectively). Regression analysis indicated that LNM, SUVmax, and location of IBLs could be predictors of lesion interpretation (p<0.001, p=0.002 and p=0.035). Patients with benign IBLs experienced the most considerable decreases in PSA and ALP levels.

CONCLUSIONS

LNM, SUVmax, and location may contribute to IBL interpretation. A rapid decrease in PSA and ALP levels might suggest a better prognosis for patients with benign IBLs.

Deep and Durable Prostate-specific Antigen Response to Darolutamide with Androgen Deprivation Therapy and Docetaxel, and Association with Clinical Outcomes for Patients with High- or Low-volume Metastatic Hormone-sensitive Prostate Cancer: Analyses of the Randomized Phase 3 ARASENS Study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Addition of darolutamide to androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) and docetaxel significantly improved overall survival (OS) in ARASENS (NCT02799602). Here we report on prostate-specific antigen (PSA) responses and their association with outcomes.

METHODS

ARASENS is an international, double-blind, phase 3 study in patients with metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC) randomized to darolutamide 600 mg orally twice daily (n = 651) or placebo (n = 654), both with ADT + docetaxel. The proportion of patients with undetectable PSA (<0.2 ng/ml) and time to PSA progression (≥25% relative and ≥2 ng/ml absolute increase from nadir) were compared between groups in prespecified exploratory analyses. PSA outcomes by disease volume and the association of undetectable PSA with OS and times to castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) and PSA progression were assessed in post hoc analyses.

KEY FINDINGS AND LIMITATIONS

The proportion of patients with undetectable PSA at any time was more than doubled with darolutamide versus placebo, at 67% versus 29% in the overall population, 62% versus 26% in the high-volume subgroup, and 84% versus 38% in the low-volume subgroup. Darolutamide delayed time to PSA progression versus placebo, with hazard ratios of 0.26 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.21-0.31) in the overall population, 0.30 (95% CI 0.24-0.37) in the high-volume subgroup, and 0.093 (95% CI 0.047-0.18) in the low-volume subgroup. Undetectable PSA at 24 wk was associated with longer OS, with a hazard ratio of 0.49 (95% CI 0.37-0.65) in the darolutamide group, as well as longer times to CRPC and PSA progression, with similar findings in the disease volume subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS

Darolutamide + ADT + docetaxel led to deep and durable PSA responses in patients with high- or low-volume mHSPC. Achievement of undetectable PSA (<0.2 ng/ml) was correlated with better clinical outcomes.

PATIENT SUMMARY

For patients with metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer being treated with androgen deprivation therapy and docetaxel, PSA (prostate-specific antigen) became undetectable (below 0.2 ng/ml) in 67% of those also receiving darolutamide versus 29% of patients also receiving placebo. On average, patients achieving undetectable PSA lived longer than patients with detectable PSA.

Feasibility of apalutamide combined with androgen deprivation therapy and short-course low-dose prednisone in treating metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer: a pilot randomized controlled trial

Introduction

The role of prednisone in the prevention of androgen receptor antagonist-related rash and treatment for metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC) is unclear. This pilot trial (ChiCTR2200060388) aimed to investigate the feasibility of apalutamide combined with androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) and short-course low-dose prednisone in the treatment of mHSPC.

Methods

All patients received apalutamide and ADT and were randomly divided into two groups based on the administration of oral prednisone or not (control group). The primary endpoint was the incidence of rash. The secondary endpoint included the proportions of patients with a decline in PSA ≥50% from baseline, PSA ≥90% from baseline, and decreased to PSA ≤0.2 ng/mL.

Results

Between June 2021 and March 2022, a total of 83 patients were enrolled (41 in the prednisone group and 42 in the control group). During the 6-month follow-up, the incidence of rash was significantly lower in the prednisone group compared with the control group (17.1% vs. 38.1%, P=0.049). There were no significant differences in the incidence of other adverse events, the number of patients who required dose adjustment (reduction, interruption, or discontinuation) of apalutamide due to rash, the number of patients with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) decreased by ≥50%, the number of patients with PSA decrease ≥90%, and the number of patients with PSA ≤0.2 ng/mL between the two groups. All patients with diabetes had stable glycemic control with no glucose-related adverse events.

Discussion

In patients with mHSPC, the addition of short-course low-dose prednisolone to apalutamide plus ADT can reduce the incidence of rash without risk of other adverse events.

Prognostic significance of nadir PSA value and time to nadir PSA in patients with metastatic castration-naive prostate cancer receiving first-line hormonotherapy

BACKGROUND

The current study aimed to evaluate the effect of the time duration to reach the lowest prostate-specific antigen (PSA) from the onset of first-line hormonal treatment (time to nadir PSA, TTNpsa) on survival in castration-naive metastatic prostate cancer (CN-MPC) patients.

METHODS

Eighty patients who had PSA response >80% with first-line hormonal therapy (luteinizing hormone-releasing hormone, LH-RH analog +/- bicalutamide) were included in this study.

RESULTS

Under androgen deprivation therapy (ADT), a significant positive correlation was found between TTNpsa, nadir PSA (Npsa) duration, and progression-free survival (PFS) ( p < 0.001) and overall survival (OS) ( p < 0.001). There was no correlation between TTNpsa and Npsa duration. TTNpsa and Npsa durations were independently correlated with PFS and OS. In patients with TTNpsa value ≥19 weeks, the median PFS was 126 (95% CI, 68-184) weeks compared with TTNpsa <19-week group in which the median PFS was 44 (95% CI, 26-62) weeks ( p = 0.033). In patients with TTNpsa value ≥19 weeks, the median OS was 242 (95% CI, 169-315) weeks compared with TTNpsa <19-week group in which the OS was 156 (95% CI, 89-223) weeks ( p = 0.018). The median nadir PSA value was 1 ng/mL. The median PFS was significantly longer in the patient group with ≤1 ng/mL (137 weeks, 95% CI, 50-224) compared with the group with >1 ng/mL (41 weeks, 95% CI, 34-48) ( p < 0.001). The median OS was significantly longer in the patient group with nadir PSA ≤1 ng/mL (296 weeks, 95% CI, 220-272) compared to the group with >1 ng/mL (131 weeks, 95% CI, 84-178) ( p = 0.002). In patients with nadir PSA ≤1 ng/mL ( n = 40), there was no relationship between TTNpsa and Npsa duration with both PFS and OS. However, in patients with nadir PSA >1 ng/mL ( n = 40) subgroup, there was a significant positive correlation between TTNpsa and PFS, and OS ( p < 0.001, P = 0.016, respectively).

CONCLUSION

In CN-MPC who received first-line ADT, especially in the group with the nadir PSA value >1 ng/mL, the duration of TTNpsa was positively correlated with PFS and OS.

Flare on [18F]PSMA-1007 PET/CT after short-term androgen deprivation therapy and its correlation to FDG uptake: possible marker of tumor aggressiveness in treatment-naïve metastatic prostate cancer patients

PURPOSE

Short-term androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) is known to increase heterogeneously prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA) expression. This phenomenon might indicate the potential of cancer lesions to respond to ADT. In this prospective study, we evaluated the flare on [18F]PSMA-1007 PET/CT after ADT in metastatic prostate cancer (PCa). Given that aggressive PCa tends to display FDG uptake, we particularly investigated whether the changes in PSMA uptake might correlate with glucose metabolism.

METHODS

Twenty-five men with newly diagnosed treatment-naïve metastatic PCa were enrolled in this prospective registered clinical trial. All the patients underwent [18F]PSMA-1007 PET/CT immediately before and 3-4 weeks after ADT initiation (degarelix). Before ADT, [18F]FDG PET/CT was also performed. Standardized uptake values (SUV)max of primary and metastatic lesions were calculated in all PET scans. Serum PSA and testosterone blood samples were collected before the two PSMA PET scans. The changes in PSMA uptake after ADT were represented as ΔSUVmax.

RESULTS

All the patients reached castration levels of testosterone at the time of the second [18F]PSMA-1007 PET/CT. Overall, 57 prostate, 314 lymph nodes (LN), and 406 bone lesions were analyzed. After ADT, 104 (26%) bone, 33 (11%) LN, and 6 (11%) prostate lesions showed an increase (≥ 20%) in PSMA uptake, with a median ΔSUVmax of + 50%, + 60%, and + 45%, respectively. Among the lesions detected at the baseline [18F]PSMA-1007 PET/CT, 63% bone and 46% LN were FDG-positive. In these metastases, a negative correlation was observed between the PSMA ΔSUVmax and FDG SUVmax (p < 0.0001). Moreover, a negative correlation between the ΔSUVmax and the decrease in serum PSA after ADT was noted (p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

A heterogeneous increase in PSMA uptake after ADT was detected, most evidently in bone metastases. We observed a negative correlation between the PSMA flare and the intensity of glucose uptake as well as the decrease of serum PSA, suggesting that lesions presenting with such flare might potentially be less aggressive.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT03876912, registered 15 March 2019.

The slope associated with nadir prostate-specific antigen is prognostically significant in men with hormone-sensitive prostate cancer after primary androgen deprivation therapy

BACKGROUND

Prognostic indicators based on the initial prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels, nadir PSA, and time to PSA nadir were calculated to evaluate prognosis after primary androgen deprivation therapy (PADT), as these have been reported in very few studies. We attempted to evaluate the prognostic role of the slope associated with nadir PSA in patients treated with PADT.

METHODS

A total of 107 patients who were treated with PADT from 2015 to 2019 were reviewed. The Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression model were used to analyze the prognostic significance of the slope associated with nadir PSA in predicting progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

After PADT, the median follow-up duration was 40.1 months; 66 patients (61.7%) had disease progression, and 33 patients (30.8%) died. In the univariate analysis, T stage, N stage, nadir PSA, time to PSA nadir, nadir PSA declining slope (nPSA-DS), nadir PSA percentage declining slope (nPSA-PDS), and nadir PSA line slope (nPSA-LS) were significant predictors for PFS and OS. The multivariate analysis showed that a higher nPSA-DS (> - 0.74) and lower PSA nadir (≤0.16 ng/ml) were independent predictors for prolonged survival. The significance of nPSA-DS and nPSA was supported by the analysis of nPSA-DS and nPSA as time-dependent covariates. The combined analyses demonstrated that patients with a higher nPSA-DS and lower PSA nadir had the best PFS and OS.

CONCLUSIONS

The slope associated with the nadir PSA of nPSA-DS was a significant independent predictor for patients treated with PADT. Nadir PSA and nPSA-DS have a synergistic effect on prognosis.

Biomarkers for Treatment Response in Advanced Prostate Cancer

Simple Summary

Prostate cancer is a leading cause of cancer-related death among males. Many treatments are available to manage the disease, but despite this, ultimately advanced prostate cancer is incurable and fatal. In order to improve survival and minimize side effects from these various treatments, the treatments need to be given in an optimal sequence or combination. This optimal use of therapies must be individualized, and biomarkers can be used for these decisions. Biomarkers can be useful in predicting whether a patient will respond to a treatment option and may help avoid use of therapies that are not expected to be effective. Many biomarkers are already in clinical use while many others are currently being investigated and may become part of clinical practice in future. In this review, we discuss both established and novel biomarkers with a role in management of advanced prostate cancer.

Abstract

Multiple treatment options with different mechanisms of action are currently available for the management of metastatic prostate cancer. However, the optimal use of these therapies—specifically, the sequencing of therapies—is not well defined. In order to obtain the best clinical outcomes, patients need to be treated with the therapies that are most likely to provide benefit and avoid toxic therapies that are unlikely to be effective. Ideally, predictive biomarkers that allow for the selection of the therapies most likely to be of benefit would be employed for each treatment decision. In practice, biomarkers including tumor molecular sequencing, circulating tumor DNA, circulating tumor cell enumeration and androgen receptor characteristics, and tumor cell surface expression (PSMA), all may have a role in therapy selection. In this review, we define the established prognostic and predictive biomarkers for therapy in advanced prostate cancer and explore emerging biomarkers.

Prognostic factors, efficacy, and toxicity of involved-node stereotactic body radiation therapy for lymph node oligorecurrent prostate cancer : An investigation of 117 pelvic lymph nodes

BACKGROUND

The optimal radiotherapy regimen is not yet defined in the setting of oligorecurrent prostate cancer (oligorPC). There is evidence of high variability in treatment protocols among different centers worldwide, and no international consensus guidelines on treatment volumes, radiation schedules, and techniques. The purpose of the present retrospective study is to evaluate the efficacy and safety of involved-pelvic-node stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) for oligorPC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients with pelvic node oligorPC following primary surgery, radical radiotherapy, or salvage radiotherapy for biochemical or local relapse of prostate cancer who underwent involved-node SBRT with biological effective dose (BED) > 100 Gy, with or without concurrent and adjuvant androgen deprivation therapy (ADT), were retrospectively evaluated. Biochemical progression-free survival (bPFS), distant progression-free survival (DPFS), overall survival (OS), possible prognostic factors, and toxicity outcomes were investigated.

RESULTS

From November 2012 to December 2019, 74 patients fitted the selection criteria. A total of 117 lesions were treated. Median follow-up was 31 months (range 6-89). Concurrent ADT was administered in 58.1% of patients. The 1‑year, 2‑year, and 3‑year DPFS was 77%, 37%, and 19%, respectively; the 1‑year, 2‑year, and 3‑year OS was 98%, 98%, and 95%, respectively. The presence of a single target lesion was associated with a statistically significant impact on OS. No in-field recurrence occurred. Patients who reached early prostate-specific antigen (PSA) nadir (< 3 months after SBRT) had a lower 3‑year survival (p = 0.004). The value of PSA nadir after SBRT and the time between primary treatment and SBRT had an impact on bPFS. Concomitant ADT was associated with improved DPFS. No acute or early late (> 6 months) genitourinary and gastrointestinal adverse events of any grade were reported, albeit with relatively short median follow-up.

CONCLUSION

SBRT is a safe and effective treatment for oligorPC, with a 100% local control rate in our series. It is not possible to clearly assess the opportunity to postpone ADT prescription in patients with two or more nodal metastases. The number of secondary lesions, time-to-nadir PSA, PSA nadir value, and the time interval between primary treatment and SBRT were identified as prognostic factors. Future prospective randomized studies are desirable to better understand the still open questions regarding the oligorecurrent prostate cancer state.

Nomogram Incorporating Contrast-Enhanced Ultrasonography Predicting Time to the Development of Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer

Background

It is valuable to predict the time to the development of castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) in patients with advanced prostate cancer (PCa). This study aimed to build and validate a nomogram incorporating the clinicopathologic characteristics and the parameters of contrast-enhanced ultrasonography (CEUS) to predict the time to CRPC after androgen deprivation therapy (ADT).

Methods

Patients with PCa were divided into the training (n = 183) and validation cohorts (n = 37) for nomogram construction and validation. The clinicopathologic characteristics and CEUS parameters were analyzed to determine the independent prognosis factors and serve as the basis of the nomogram to estimate the risk of 1-, 2-, and 3-year progress to CRPC.

Results

T stage, distant metastasis, Gleason score, area under the curve (AUC), prostate-specific antigen (PSA) nadir, and time to PSA nadir were the independent predictors of CRPC (all P < 0.05). Three nomograms were built to predict the time to CRPC. Owing to the inclusion of CEUS parameter, the discrimination of the established nomogram (C-index: 0.825 and 0.797 for training and validation datasets) was improved compared with the traditional prediction model (C-index: 0.825 and 0.797), and when it excluded posttreatment PSA, it still obtained an acceptable discrimination (C-index: 0.825 and 0.797).

Conclusions

The established nomogram including regular prognostic indicators and CEUS obtained an improved accuracy for the prediction of the time to CRPC. It was also applicable for early prediction of CRPC when it excluded posttreatment PSA, which might be helpful for individualized diagnosis and treatment.

Prostate-Specific Antigen Kinetics Effects on Outcomes of Low-Volume Metastatic Prostate Cancer Patients Receiving Androgen Deprivation Therapy

Background

The present study aimed to analyse factors influencing the effects of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) in patients with newly diagnosed metastatic castration-naïve prostate cancer (mCNPC), especially in low-volume disease (LVD), according to subclassification of metastatic prostate cancer established by the CHAARTED trial.

Materials and Methods

We reviewed 648 patients with newly diagnosed mCNPC receiving ADT at Chang Gung Memorial Hospital from January 2007 to December 2016. Basic characteristics and PSA kinetics profile were subsequently evaluated.

Results

48.3% of LVD patients progressed to castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC). Among them, CRPC group had significantly shorter time to PSA nadir (TTN) and faster time from PSA nadir to CRPC (TFNTC) (p < 0.001) compared to non-CRPC group. PSA doubling time (PSADT) < 4 months tended to be associated with faster disease progression and shorter overall survival (OS). Among all patients with metastatic prostate cancer, those with shorter TTN <9 months, higher nadir PSA level ≥1 ng/mL, and shorter PSADT <3 months had increased tendency for biochemical progression.

Conclusions

PSADT is an effective clinical predictor for disease progression and survival in LVD. Other PSA kinetics including TTN and TFNTC, though not the major predictors for disease progression or OS in LVD, might be the predictors for disease control status.

The impact of time to prostate specific antigen nadir on biochemical recurrence and mortality rates after radiation therapy for localized prostate cancer

PURPOSE

To investigate the effect of time to prostate-specific antigen (PSA) nadir (TTN) after radiation therapy (RTx) for prostate cancer (PCa) on biochemical recurrence (BCR) and overall survival (OS) rates.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We analyzed 2,506 patients treated with RTx (external beam radiotherapy, brachytherapy or combinations) between years 2000 and 2021. Kaplan Meier and multivariable Cox regression models tested BCR-free survival and OS after stratification according to TTN (≤24 vs. 24.1-60 vs. >60 months). Similar analyses were performed after stratification according to absolute PSA values at nadir (<0.01 vs. 0.01-0.1 vs. 0.11-0.4 vs. >0.4 ng/ml). Finally, we repeated analyses after setting the time point of PSA nadir as the beginning of follow up in survival analyses.

RESULTS

10-year BCR-free survival rates were 55.5, 81.7 and 91.1% and OS rates were 71.5, 79.4 and 96.1% for TTN ≤24 months, 24.1 month-60 month and >60 months, respectively. Longer TTN was an independent predictor for BCR-free survival and OS (all P<0.001). However, after accounting for lead-time bias, in multivariable analyses, this association remained only significant for BCR-free survival (P≤0.03), but not for OS (P≥0.1). Finally, compared to a PSA nadir of <0.01 ng/ml, PSA nadir of 0.01-0.1 ng/ml, 0.11-0.4 ng/ml as well as >0.4 ng/ml were independent predictors for shorter BCR-free survival (P≤0.02), but not OS (P≥0.08).

CONCLUSION

Shorter time to TTN and high PSA values at nadir are indicative of early treatment failure (BCR) and OS. However, after accounting for lead-time bias, this effect only remained valid for BCR.

Three-month Prostate-specific Antigen Level After Androgen Deprivation Therapy Predicts Survival in Patients With Metastatic Castration-sensitive Prostate Cancer

BACKGROUND/AIM

Although upfront combination therapies with androgen deprivation are recommended for patients with castration-sensitive prostate cancer (CSPC), combination therapies may be excessive for some patients. The aim of this study was to identify patients with favorable outcome under androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) alone.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This study consisted of 242 patients with CSPC who received ADT alone. The association between 3-month prostate-specific antigen (PSA) value after ADT and survival was analyzed.

RESULTS

The median overall survival for men with high-volume and/or high-risk cancer and those with low-volume low-risk cancer were 48.0 months and 103.0 months, respectively (p≤0.0001). Notably, in patients with low-volume low-risk cancer, the median overall survival for patients who achieved PSA ≤2 ng/ml at 3 months after ADT initiation was quite long at 112.0 months.

CONCLUSION

Conventional ADT may be sufficient and upfront combination therapy may be excessive for those patients with favorable outcome.

PSA nadir and time to PSA nadir during initial androgen deprivation therapy as prognostic factors in metastatic castration-resistance prostate cancer patients treated with docetaxel

Prostate-specific antigen nadir (nPSA) and time to nPSA (TTN) have been proved to be associated with the prognosis of prostate cancer. In this study, we explored the prognosis effect of nPSA and TTN during initial androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) after treatment with docetaxel-based chemotherapy. The data of 153 mCRPC patients received docetaxel followed by ADT were retrospectively reviewed. Multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that TTN (overall survival (OS): Hazard ratio [HR] 0.096, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.045-0.206, p < .001; progression-free survival (PFS): HR 0.128, 95% CI 0.078-0.211, p < .001) and nPSA (OS: HR 2.849, 95% CI 1.318-6.157, p = .008; PFS: HR 1.573, 95% CI 1.008-2.454, p = .046) acted as independent predictors of chemotherapy prognosis. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that patients with nPSA ≥ 0.2 ng/ml or TTN < 6.5 months had shorter OS and PFS. These results suggest that TTN and nPSA during ADT can affect the prognosis of docetaxel-based chemotherapy prognosis post-castration resistance in patients with mCRPC, and higher nPSA and shorter TTN lead to poor chemotherapy prognosis. What is more, TTN has a greater impact during ADT on the prognosis of chemotherapy than nPSA.

PSA Kinetics as Prognostic Markers of Overall Survival in Patients with Metastatic Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer Treated with Abiraterone Acetate

Background

Abiraterone acetate (AA) is widely used in the treatment of patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC). However, a significant percentage of patients will still progress, highlighting the need to identify patients more likely to benefit from AA. Parameters linked to prostate-specific antigen (PSA) kinetics are promising prognostic markers. We have examined clinical and PSA-related factors potentially associated with overall survival (OS) in patients treated with AA.

Methods

Between 2011 and 2014, 104 patients with mCRPC treated with AA after progression to docetaxel at centers of the Catalan Institute of Oncology were included in this retrospective study. Patients were assessed monthly. Baseline characteristics and variables related to PSA kinetics were included in univariate and multivariate analyses of OS.

Results

Median OS was 16.4 months (range 12.4-20.6) for all patients. The univariate analysis identified the following baseline characteristics as significantly associated with OS: ECOG PS, location of metastases, time between starting androgen deprivation therapy and starting AA, time between stopping docetaxel treatment and starting AA, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), alkaline phosphatase levels, and PSA levels. Factors related to PSA kinetics associated with longer OS were PSA response >50%, early PSA response (>30% decline at four weeks), PSA decline >50% at week 12, PSA nadir <2.4ng/mL, time to PSA nadir >140 days, the combination of PSA nadir and time to PSA nadir, and low end-of-treatment PSA levels. The multivariate analysis identified ECOG PS (HR 37.46; p<0.001), NLR (HR 3.7; p<0.001), early PSA response (HR 1.22; p=0.002), and time to PSA nadir (HR 0.39; p=0.002) as independent prognostic markers.

Conclusion

Our results indicate an association between PSA kinetics, especially early PSA response, and outcome to AA after progression to docetaxel. Taken together with other factors, lack of an early PSA response could identify patients who are unlikely to benefit from AA and who could be closely monitored with a view to offering alternative therapies.

Association between lactate dehydrogenase levels and oncologic outcomes in metastatic prostate cancer: A meta-analysis

Purpose

Previous studies have provided evidence of the high expression of lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) in multiple solid tumors; however, its prognostic relationship with metastatic prostate cancer (mPCa) remains controversial. We performed a meta‐analysis to better understand the prognostic potential of LDH in mPCa.

Methods

In our investigation, we included PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library as web‐based resources, as well as studies published before January 2020 on the predictive value of LDH in mPCa. We independently screened the studies according to the inclusion and exclusion criteria, evaluated the quality of the literature, extracted the data, and used RevMan 5.3 and STATA12.0 software for analysis.

Result

From the 38 published studies, the records of 9813 patients with mPCa were included in this meta‐analysis. We observed that higher levels of LDH in patients with mPCa were significantly associated with poorer overall survival (OS) (HR = 2.17, 95% CI: 1.91‐2.47, P < .00001) and progression‐free survival (PFS) (HR = 1.60, 95% CI: 1.20‐2.13, P = .001). The subgroup analyses indicated that the negative prognostic impact of higher levels of LDH on the oncologic outcomes of mPCa was significant regardless of ethnicity, publication year, sample size, analysis type, treatment type, age, and disease state.

Conclusion

Our analysis suggested the association between a higher level of LDH and poorer OS and PFS in patients with mPCa. As a parameter that can be conveniently evaluated, the LDH levels should be included as a valuable biomarker in the management of mPCa.

Prostate cancer with low burden skeletal disease at diagnosis: outcome of concomitant radiotherapy on primary tumor and metastases

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate toxicity and clinical outcome in synchronous bone only oligometastatic (≤2 lesions) prostate cancer patients, simultaneously irradiated to prostate/prostatic bed, lymph nodes and bone metastases.

METHODS

From 2/2009 to 6/2015, 39 bone only prostate cancer patients underwent radiotherapy (RT) at "radical" doses to bone metastases (median 2 Gy equivalent dose, EQD2>40Gy, α/β = 1,5), nodes, and prostate/prostatic bed, within the same RT course, in association with androgen deprivation therapy (ADT).Biochemical relapse-free survival, clinical relapse-free survival, freedom from distant metastases and overall survival were evaluated.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 46.5 (1.2-103.6) months, 5 patients died from disease progression, 10 experienced biochemical relapse, 19, still in ADT, presented undetectable prostate-specific antigen (PSA) at the last follow-up. Five patients who discontinued ADT after a median of 34 months (5.8-41) are free from biochemical relapse.The 4 year Kaplan-Meier estimates of biochemical relapse-free survival, clinical relapse-free survival, freedom from distant metastases and overall survival were 53.3%, 65.7%, 73.4% and 82.4% respectively.No Grade > 2 acute events and only two severe late urinary events were recorded, not due to the concomitant treatment of primary and metastatic disease.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that "radical" and synchronous irradiation of primitive tumor and metastatic disease may be a valid approach in synchronous bone only prostate cancer patients, showing mild toxicity profile and promising survival results.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

To the best of our knowledge, this is the first analysis of clinical outcome in synchronous bone-only metastasis (neither nodal nor visceral) patients at diagnosis, treated with radical RT to all disease, associated to ADT.

Prognostic Value of Hemoglobin in Metastatic Hormone-sensitive Prostate Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

The purpose of this study was to assess the prognostic value of hemoglobin (Hb) in patients with metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (HSPC). The PUBMED, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, and Scopus databases were searched in December 2019 according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-analysis statement. Studies were deemed eligible if they compared patients with HSPC with normal and low Hb levels to determine their ability to predict overall survival, cancer-specific survival, progression-free survival, and castration-resistant prostate cancer-free survival. Formal meta-analyses were performed for these outcomes. The systematic review identified 25 studies including 6614 patients; 21 studies comprising 5782 patients were eligible for meta-analysis. Low Hb levels were associated with worse overall survival (pooled hazard ratio [HR], 1.21; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.15-1.29), cancer-specific survival (pooled HR, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.24-1.72), progression-free survival (pooled HR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.14-1.28), and castration-resistant prostate cancer-free survival (pooled HR, 1.37; 95% CI: 1.18-1.57). Subgroup analyses revealed that low Hb levels were also associated with poor overall survival in patients with both "high-volume" (pooled HR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.29-1.72) and "low-volume" HSPC (pooled HR, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.13-1.73). This meta-analysis revealed that low Hb serum levels in patients with metastatic HSPC were associated with increased risks of overall mortality, cancer-specific mortality, disease progression, and biochemical recurrence. Furthermore, Hb levels were independently associated with overall survival in the "high-volume" and "low-volume" HSPC subgroups. Therefore, it might be useful to incorporate Hb testing into prognostic tools for metastatic HSPC.

Pre-treatment ratio of periprostatic to subcutaneous fat thickness on MRI is an independent survival predictor in hormone-naïve men with advanced prostate cancer

BACKGROUND

Epidemiological studies have shown an association between obesity and prostate cancer (PCa) aggressiveness. However, little is known about periprostatic fat (PPF) and its relationship with overall fat deposition in PCa. PPF is thought to contribute to PCa growth and migration via secreted factors and induction of chronic inflammation. We investigated if pre-treatment PPF thickness correlates with overall survival (OS).

METHODS

We reviewed 85 hormone-naïve men with advanced PCa who had received androgen deprivation therapy (ADT). PPF thickness was measured by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and compared with subcutaneous fat (SCF) thickness as an internal control. Visceral fat (VF) area measured by computed tomography served as an additional control. We evaluated the relationship between laboratory data, pathology results, and obesity parameters and OS.

RESULTS

Median follow-up was 50.6 months. Thirty-six patients died during follow-up. Univariate analysis revealed that nadir PSA titer, Gleason score, N stage, M stage, extent of disease by bone scan grade, hemoglobin, lactate dehydrogenase, alkaline phosphatase, and PPF/SCF ratio were associated with OS. Multivariate analysis revealed that nadir PSA titer, N stage, and PPF/SCF ratio were independent prognostic factors for survival. The 5-year OS in the patients with higher PPF/SCF ratio (≥ 1) and lower PPF/SCF ratio (< 1) was 49.5% and 66.5%, respectively (P = 0.039).

CONCLUSIONS

Pre-treatment ratio of PPF-to-SCF thickness on MRI is an independent predictor of survival in hormone-naïve men with advanced PCa. This could be useful for predicting which patients are more likely to develop castration-resistant PCa.

Predictors of poor response to first-generation anti-androgens as criteria for alternate treatments for patients with non-metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer

PURPOSE

There are no criteria for administering first- or second-generation anti-androgens (FGA and SGA, respectively) to patients with non-metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (nmCRPC). This study aimed to assess the efficacy of alternative FGA therapy in nmCRPC patients and the prognosis of these patients and to identify factors for predicting patients potentially responsive to FGA.

METHODS

Data from 63 men with nmCRPC who underwent alternative FGA therapy (bicalutamide, flutamide, or chlormadinone acetate) as first-line therapy after failure of primary androgen-deprivation therapy (PADT) between 2004 and 2017 at Hiroshima University Hospital and affiliated hospitals were retrospectively investigated. The associations of clinicopathological parameters with overall survival (OS) and prostate-specific antigen (PSA) progression-free survival (PFS) of alternative FGA-treated patients were analyzed.

RESULTS

Time to CRPC [p = 0.007, hazard ratio (HR) = 4.77], regional lymph node involvement at the diagnosis of CRPC (p = 0.022, HR = 2.42), and PSA-PFS of alternative FGA therapy ≤ 6 months (p = 0.020, HR = 2.39) were identified as prognostic factors using a multivariate analysis. Additionally, Cox proportional hazard models revealed that PSA nadir value > 1 ng/mL during PADT (p = 0.034, HR = 2.40) and time from starting PADT to PSA nadir ≤ 1 year (p = 0.047, HR = 1.85) were predictive factors for worse PSA-PFS in alternative FGA therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Shorter time to CRPC, regional lymph node involvement, PSA nadir during PADT > 1 ng/mL, and time from starting PADT to PSA nadir ≤ 1 year might suggest the potential benefit of immediate commencement of SGA, compared to FGA administration after nmCRPC diagnosis.

Risk factors for progression to castration-resistant prostate cancer in metastatic prostate cancer patients

Purpose: To investigate the risk factors for progression to castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) in metastatic prostate cancer (mPCa) patients who underwent androgen deprivation therapy (ADT).

Methods: We analyzed 216 patients with mPCa who underwent ADT between January 2006 and December 2015 at the First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis were used to explore the risk factors for progression to CRPC. Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank test were used to evaluate the difference in progression-free survival (PFS).

Results: A total of 121 (56.0%) patients who underwent ADT showed progression to CRPC. Multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that Gleason grade group, prostate-specific antigen nadir (nPSA), and time to PSA nadir (TTN) were risk factors for progression to CRPC in mPCa patients. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated that patients in Gleason grade group ≥3, nPSA >0.2 ng/ml and TTN <6 months had shorter PFS.

Conclusion: This study demonstrated that Gleason grade group, nPSA and TTN were risk factors for progression to CRPC. Patients with higher Gleason grade group, higher nPSA and shorter TTN have shorter PFS and higher risk of progression to CRPC after ADT.

Loss of Fibroblast-Dependent Androgen Receptor Activation in Prostate Cancer Cells is Involved in the Mechanism of Acquired Resistance to Castration

Loss of androgen receptor (AR) dependency in prostate cancer (PCa) cells is associated with progression to castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC). The tumor stroma is enriched in fibroblasts that secrete AR-activating factors. To investigate the roles of fibroblasts in AR activation under androgen deprivation, we used three sublines of androgen-sensitive LNCaP cells (E9 and F10 cells: low androgen sensitivity; and AIDL cells: androgen insensitivity) and original fibroblasts derived from patients with PCa. We performed in vivo experiments using three sublines of LNCaP cells and original fibroblasts to form homotypic tumors. The volume of tumors derived from E9 cells plus fibroblasts was reduced following androgen deprivation therapy (ADT), whereas that of F10 or AIDL cells plus fibroblasts was increased even after ADT. In tumors derived from E9 cells plus fibroblasts, serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) decreased rapidly after ADT, but was still detectable. In contrast, serum PSA was increased even in F10 cells inoculated alone. In indirect cocultures with fibroblasts, PSA production was increased in E9 cells. Epidermal growth factor treatment stimulated Akt and p44/42 mitogen-activated protein kinase phosphorylation in E9 cells. Notably, AR splice variant 7 was detected in F10 cells. Overall, we found that fibroblast-secreted AR-activating factors modulated AR signaling in E9 cells after ADT and loss of fibroblast-dependent AR activation in F10 cells may be responsible for CRPC progression.

Prognostic significance of early changes in serum biomarker levels in patients with newly diagnosed metastatic prostate cancer

We evaluated the impact of early changes in serum biomarker levels on the survival of patients with metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC) who were initially treated with androgen deprivation therapy (ADT). We retrospectively investigated 330 patients with mHSPC whose serum maker levels were at baseline and at 2–4 months. An optimal Cox regression model was established with the highest optimism-corrected concordance index based on 10-fold cross-validation. The median cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) were 7.08 and 6.47 years (median follow-up, 2.53 years), respectively. In the final optimal Cox model with serum biomarker levels treated as time-varying covariates, prostate-specific antigen (PSA), hemoglobin (Hb), and alkaline phosphatase (ALP) significantly increased the risk of poor survival in the context of both CSS and OS. Kaplan–Meier curves stratified by the three risk factors of high PSA, low Hb and high ALP desmondtated that median OS were not reached with none of these factors, 6.47 years with one or two factors, and 1.76 years with all three factors.Early changes in serum biomarker levels after ADT may be good prognostic markers for the survival of patients with mHSPC.

Effect of Prior Local Treatment and Prostate-Specific Antigen Kinetics during Androgen-Deprivation Therapy on the Survival of Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer

Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) kinetics predicts survival in castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC); however, the influence of prior treatment on this relationship is unclear. Patients with CRPC were stratified according to time to PSA nadir and time to CRPC progression to investigate their prognostic significance on prostate cancer-specific survival (PCSS) and whether PSA kinetics may serve as prognosticators regardless of prior local treatment. This multicenter retrospective study included 295 patients diagnosed with CRPC between September 2009 and November 2017. PSA kinetics during androgen-deprivation therapy (ADT) including %PSA decline, PSA nadir level, time to PSA nadir, and time to CRPC progression was investigated. Subgroup analysis was performed according to the prior history of local curative treatment. Patients who did not receive prior local treatment with ≥6 months to PSA nadir and <12 months to CRPC, showed lower PCSS rates than those with <6 months to PSA nadir (23.3% vs. 45.3%; p = 0.031) and ≥12 months to CRPC (20.0% vs. 47.8%; p = 0.001). In patients who had received local treatment, PSA kinetic parameters did not influence PCSS. Our results indicate that time to PSA nadir and time to CRPC progression are prognosticators of PCSS in patients with CRPC who did not previously receive curative local treatment.

Prognostic Value of Lactate Dehydrogenase in Metastatic Prostate Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

The purpose of this study was to assess the prognostic value of lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) in patients with metastatic prostate cancer (PC). A systematic review and meta-analysis was performed in March 2019 according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-analysis statement. Studies were deemed eligible if they compared patients with PC with high versus low LDH to determine the predictive value of LDH for overall survival (OS), cancer-specific survival (CSS), and progression-free survival (PFS). We performed a formal meta-analysis for both OS and PFS. A total of 59 articles with 14,851 patients were included in the systematic review and 45 studies with 12,224 patients for the qualitative assessment. High LDH was associated with both worse OS (pooled hazard ratio [HR], 2.07; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.75-2.44) and PFS (pooled HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.01-1.16). In subgroup analyses of both patients with castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) and those with hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (HSPC), LDH was associated with OS (pooled HR, 2.02; 95% CI, 1.69-2.42 and pooled HR, 2.25; 95% CI, 1.78-2.84, respectively). In patients with CRPC, LDH was associated with OS in those treated with docetaxel systemic chemotherapy and androgen receptor-axis-targeting agents (pooled HR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.37-3.00 and pooled HR, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.25-2.57, respectively). Elevated serum levels of LDH were associated with an increased risk of mortality and progression in patients with metastatic PC. LDH was independently associated with OS in both patients with CRPC and HSPC. LDH could be integrated into prognostic tools that help guide treatment strategy, thereby facilitating the shared decision-making process.

PSA time to nadir as a prognostic factor of first-line docetaxel treatment in castration-resistant prostate cancer: evidence from patients in Northwestern China

Docetaxel-based chemotherapy remains the first-line treatment for patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) in China; however, the prognostic factors associated with effects in these patients are still controversial. In this study, we retrospectively reviewed the data from 71 eligible Chinese patients who received docetaxel chemotherapy from 2009 to 2016 in our hospital and experienced a reduction of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level ≥50% during the treatment and investigated the potential role of time to nadir (TTN) of PSA. TTN was defined as the time from start of chemotherapy to the nadir of PSA level during the treatment. Multivariable Cox regression models and Kaplan–Meier analysis were used to predict overall survival (OS). In these patients, the median of TTN was 17 weeks. Patients with TTN ≥17 weeks had a longer response time to chemotherapy compared to TTN <17 weeks (42.83 vs 21.50 weeks, P < 0.001). The time to PSA progression in patients with TTN ≥17 weeks was 11.44 weeks compared to 5.63 weeks when TTN was <17 weeks. We found several factors to be associated with OS, including TTN (hazard ratio [HR]: 3.937, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.502–10.309, P = 0.005), PSA level at the diagnosis of cancer (HR: 4.337, 95% CI: 1.616–11.645, P = 0.004), duration of initial androgen deprivation therapy (HR: 2.982, 95% CI: 1.104–8.045, P = 0.031), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (HR: 3.963, 95% CI: 1.380–11.384, P = 0.011), and total PSA response (Class 1 [<0 response] compared to Class 2 [0–50% response], HR: 3.978, 95% CI: 1.278–12.387, P = 0.017). In conclusion, TTN of PSA remains an important prognostic marker in predicting therapeutic outcome in Chinese population who receive chemotherapy for mCRPC and have >50% PSA remission.

Impact of nadir PSA level and time to nadir during initial androgen deprivation therapy on prognosis in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer

PURPOSE

We determine whether the nadir prostate-specific antigen level (PSA nadir) and time to nadir (TTN) during initial androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) are prognostic factors in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) patients.

METHODS

We reviewed the Michinoku Japan Urological Cancer Study Group database, including 321 mCRPC patients. Optimal cutoff values for PSA nadir and TTN on survival were calculated with the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Patients were stratified into unfavorable (higher PSA nadir and/or shorter TTN) and favorable (lower PSA nadir and longer TTN) groups. The inversed probability of treatment weighing (IPTW)-adjusted Cox proportional hazard model was performed to evaluate the impact of the unfavorable group on overall survival (OS) after CRPC diagnosis.

RESULTS

Median age and follow-up period were 71 years and 35 months, respectively. ROC curve analysis demonstrated cutoffs of PSA nadir > 0.64 ng/mL and TTN < 7 months. The unfavorable group included 248 patients who had significantly shorter OS after mCRPC. The IPTW-adjusted multivariate model revealed that the unfavorable group had a negative impact on OS in mCRPC patients [hazards ratio (HR) 2.98, P < 0.001].

CONCLUSIONS

Higher PSA nadir and shorter TTN during the initial ADT are poor prognostic factors in patients with mCRPC.

Time to Prostate-specific Antigen Nadir and the Risk of Death From Prostate Cancer Following Radiation and Androgen Deprivation Therapy

OBJECTIVE

To assess whether the time to prostate-specific antigen (PSA) nadir (TTN) has differential prognostic value in men who reach an undetectable vs detectable PSA nadir.

METHODS

Two hundred and four men from a prospective randomized controlled trial involving radiation therapy with or without 6 months of androgen deprivation therapy in unfavorable risk Prostate cancer (CaP) at academic or community based centers in Massachusetts, enrolled between 1995 and 2001. Adjusted hazard ratios (AHR) of the risk of CaP-specific mortality calculated using Fine and Gray competing risk regression.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 18.17years, 160 men died; 30 (18.75%) of CaP. Among men with a PSA nadir ≥ 0.2ng/ml, a TTN < median (12 months) was significantly associated with an increased CaP-specific mortality-risk vs the median or more (AHR 5.07, 95% CI 2.10-12.23, P <.001); whereas this association was not observed among men with a PSA nadir of < 0.2ng/mL, (AHR 9.9, 95% CI 0.23-433.8, P = .23).

CONCLUSION

Men with both a short TTN and detectable PSA nadir could be considered for entry on randomized controlled trials at a novel entry point prior to PSA failure at the time of PSA nadir to completeplanned conventional androgen deprivation therapy vs that plus agent(s) shown to improve outcomes in men with or at high risk of having castrate-resistant CaP.

The Importance of Time to Prostate-Specific Antigen (PSA) Nadir after Primary Androgen Deprivation Therapy in Hormone-Naïve Prostate Cancer Patients

Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) is currently the most useful biomarker for detection of prostate cancer (PCa). The ability to measure serum PSA levels has affected all aspects of PCa management over the past two decades. The standard initial systemic therapy for advanced PCa is androgen-deprivation therapy (ADT). Although PCa patients with metastatic disease initially respond well to ADT, they often progress to castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC), which has a high mortality rate. We have demonstrated that time to PSA nadir (TTN) after primary ADT is an important early predictor of overall survival and progression-free survival for advanced PCa patients. In in vivo experiments, we demonstrated that the presence of fibroblasts in the PCa tumor microenvironment can prolong the period for serum PSA decline after ADT, and enhance the efficacy of ADT. Clarification of the mechanisms that affect TTN after ADT could be useful to guide selection of optimal PCa treatment strategies. In this review, we discuss recent in vitro and in vivo findings concerning the involvement of stromal–epithelial interactions in the biological mechanism of TTN after ADT to support the novel concept of “tumor regulating fibroblasts”.

Role of Stromal Paracrine Signals in Proliferative Diseases of the Aging Human Prostate

Androgens are essential for the development, differentiation, growth, and function of the prostate through epithelial–stromal interactions. However, androgen concentrations in the hypertrophic human prostate decrease significantly with age, suggesting an inverse correlation between androgen levels and proliferative diseases of the aging prostate. In elderly males, age- and/or androgen-related stromal remodeling is spontaneously induced, i.e., increased fibroblast and myofibroblast numbers, but decreased smooth muscle cell numbers in the prostatic stroma. These fibroblasts produce not only growth factors, cytokines, and extracellular matrix proteins, but also microRNAs as stromal paracrine signals that stimulate prostate epithelial cell proliferation. Surgical or chemical castration is the standard systemic therapy for patients with advanced prostate cancer. Androgen deprivation therapy induces temporary remission, but the majority of patients eventually progress to castration-resistant prostate cancer, which is associated with a high mortality rate. Androgen deprivation therapy-induced stromal remodeling may be involved in the development and progression of castration-resistant prostate cancer. In the tumor microenvironment, activated fibroblasts stimulating prostate cancer cell proliferation are called carcinoma-associated fibroblasts. In this review, we summarize the role of stromal paracrine signals in proliferative diseases of the aging human prostate and discuss the potential clinical applications of carcinoma-associated fibroblast-derived exosomal microRNAs as promising biomarkers.

Prostate specific antigen (PSA) kinetic as a prognostic factor in metastatic prostate cancer receiving androgen deprivation therapy: systematic review and meta-analysis

Aim: Metastatic prostate cancer (mPCa) has a poor outcome with median survival of two to five years. The use of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) is a gold standard in management of this stage.  Aim of this study is to analyze the prognostic value of PSA kinetics of patient treated with hormonal therapy related to survival from several published studies Method: Systematic review and meta-analysis was performed using literature searching in the electronic databases of MEDLINE, Science Direct, and Cochrane Library. Inclusion criteria were mPCa receiving ADT, a study analyzing Progression Free Survival (PFS), Overall Survival (OS), or Cancer Specific Survival (CSS) and prognostic factor of survival related to PSA kinetics (initial PSA, PSA nadir, and time to achieve nadir (TTN)). The exclusion criteria were metastatic castration resistant of prostate cancer (mCRPC) and non-metastatic disease. Generic inverse variance method was used to combine hazard ratio (HR) within the studies. Meta-analysis was performed using Review Manager 5.2 and a p-value <0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results: We found 873 citations throughout database searching with 17 studies were consistent with inclusion criteria. However, just 10 studies were analyzed in the quantitative analysis. Most of the studies had a good methodological quality based on Ottawa Scale. No significant association between initial PSA and PFS. In addition, there was no association between initial PSA and CSS/ OS. We found association of reduced PFS (HR 2.22; 95% CI 1.82 to 2.70) and OS/ CSS (HR 3.31; 95% CI 2.01-5.43) of patient with high PSA nadir. Shorter TTN was correlated with poor result of survival either PFS (HR 2.41; 95% CI 1.19 - 4.86) or CSS/ OS (HR 1.80; 95%CI  1.42 - 2.30) Conclusion: Initial PSA before starting ADT do not associated with survival in mPCa.  There is association of PSA nadir and TTN with survival.

Intermediate PSA half-life after neoadjuvant hormone therapy predicts reduced risk of castration-resistant prostate cancer development after radical prostatectomy

Background

The magnitude and rapidity of the tumor response to androgen deprivation is known to predict the durability of the therapy. We have investigated the predictive value of categorizing patients by the half-life of PSA under neoadjuvant androgen deprivation therapy in patients with biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy.

Methods

Medical records of 317 patients who received neoadjuvant androgen deprivation therapy before radical prostatectomy and developed biochemical recurrence were analyzed. The patients were categorized into five groups according to PSA half-life. Risk of developing castration resistance was evaluated by Kaplan-Meier analysis and by Cox proportional risk regression analysis.

Results

The median follow-up duration was 50.1 months (IQR 31.8–68.7) and median PSA half-life was 22.1 days (IQR 12.7–38.4). Comparison of survival curves revealed that patients in the intermediate response group showed significantly lower 5-year castration-resistant prostate cancer rate (37.5%) compared to non-response and ultra-rapid response groups (63.6%, p = 0.007; 56.1%, p = 0.031; respectively). In the multivariate regression model, intermediate response compared to non-response was associated with significantly reduced risk of castration resistance development (hazard ratio 0.397, 95% confidence interval 0.191–0.823, p = 0.013) and overall mortality (hazard ratio 0.138, 95% confidence interval 0.033–0.584, p = 0.007). When subcategorized by Gleason score, Kaplan-Meier curve revealed that, in the high Gleason score stratum, 5-year castration-resistant prostate cancer rate for intermediate response group (44.0%) was exceptionally lower than that in non-response group (66.7%, p = 0.047), while castration resistance increased in other groups.

Conclusion

Short PSA half-life as well as no response after androgen deprivation is associated with increased risk of treatment failure compared to intermediate PSA half-life.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12885-017-3775-6) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Predicting castration-resistant prostate cancer after combined androgen blockade

This study analyzed ⁹⁹Tcm-MDP bone scans and investigated factors influencing early-stage castration resistance in prostate cancer (CRPC) patients with bone metastasis. We retrospectively analyzed clinical data from 92 patients with bone metastatic prostate cancer treated with maximal androgen blockade. Patients were imaged with ⁹⁹Tcm-MDP bone scan to detect metastases, and prostate specific antigen (PSA) values were measured regularly. Before treatment, 464 total bone metastases were detected in the 92 patients, with pelvic bone metastases accounting for about 30.6% of the total. After combined androgen blockade treatment, median CRPC occurrence time was 23 months. A longer time to reach the lowest PSA value was an independent predictor of early-onset CRPC (occurrence <1 year after treatment). Our findings suggest that ⁹⁹Tcm-MDP bone scans are useful for diagnosing prostate cancer bone metastasis and grading. Patients with Gleason scores>8, higher PSA values after treatment, and shorter times to reach the lowest PSA value had poorer responses to combined androgen blockade treatment.

Automated Bone Scan Index as Predictors of Survival in Prostate Cancer

Prostate cancer (PCa) is the second most diagnosed cancer in men. Early diagnosis and right management of PCa is critical to reducing deaths; the life expectancy is the main factors to be considered in the management of PCa. Among patients who die from PCa, the incidence of skeletal involvement appears to be >85%. Bone scan (BS) is the most common method for monitoring bone metastases in patients with PCa. The extent of bone metastasis was also associated with patient survival until now there is no clinically useful technique for measuring bone tumors and includes this information in the risk assessment. An alternative approach is to calculate a BS index (BSI) and it has shown clinical significance as a prognostic imaging biomarker. Some computer-assisted diagnosis (CAD) systems have been developed to measure BSI and are now available. The aim of this study was to investigate automated BSI (aBSI) measurements as predictors' survival in PCa. Retrospectively cohort studied fifty patients with PCa who had undergone BS between January 2010 and December 2011 at our institution. All data collected was updated up to August 2016. CAD system analyzing BS images to automatically compute BSI measurements. Patients were stratified into three BSI categories BSI value 0, BSI value ≤1 and BSI value >1. Kaplan-Meier estimates of the survival function and the log-rank test were used to indicate a significant difference between groups stratified in accordance with the BSI values. A total of 35 subjects deaths were registered, with a median survival time 36 months after the follow-up BS of 5 years. Subjects with low aBSI value had longer overall survival in comparison with the other subjects (P = 0.004). aBSI measurements were shown to be a strong prognostic survival indicator in PCa; survival is poor in high-BSI value.

Prostate-specific antigen decline pattern in advanced prostate cancer receiving androgen deprivation therapy and relationship with prostate-specific antigen progression

INTRODUCTION

The aim of this study is to evaluate prostate-specific antigen decline pattern including prostate-specific antigen kinetics following androgen deprivation therapy on prostate-specific antigen progression in the patients with advanced prostate cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Ninety-seven advanced prostate cancer patients receiving maximum androgen deprivation therapy were enrolled in case-control study. Baseline prostate-specific antigen, Gleason Score, bone metastase, nadir prostate-specific antigen, time to nadir prostate-specific antigen, declining slope to nadir prostate-specific antigen, estimated baseline prostate-specific antigen half-time, current prostate-specific antigen, post-nadir prostate-specific antigen time, estimated prostate-specific antigen, estimated decline of baseline prostate-specific antigen as quantitative, and ratio were recorded and calculated.

RESULTS

The ratio of prostate-specific antigen progression was significantly lower at the patients who had slower declining slope to prostate-specific antigen, longer time to nadir prostate-specific antigen, and lower estimated decline ratio of baseline prostate-specific antigen (p: .016, p: .020, and p: .026, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The shorter time to nadir prostate-specific antigen following androgen deprivation therapy, faster declining slope to nadir prostate-specific antigen and higher estimated decline ratio of baseline prostate-specific antigen are associated with higher risk of disease progression in patients with hormone-sensitive prostate cancer.

Rapidly decreasing level of prostate-specific antigen during initial androgen deprivation therapy is a risk factor for early progression to castration-resistant prostate cancer: A retrospective study

To build a practical model for predicting the progression to castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) after androgen deprivation therapy (ADT).In all, 185 patients with prostate cancer who had received ADT as the primary therapy at our institution, from 2003 to 2014, were retrospectively enrolled. The following clinical variables were included in the analysis: age, clinical tumor, node, metastasis stage, Gleason score, risk groups of prostate cancer, prostate-specific antigen (PSA) at the initiation of ADT, PSA nadir after ADT, velocity of PSA decline, and the time to PSA nadir. Cox proportional-hazards regression models were calculated to estimate effects of these variables on the time of progression to CRPC.On univariate and multivariate analyses, the presence of distant metastasis before ADT (hazard ratio [HR] 6.030, 95% confidence interval (CI) 3.229-11.263, P = .001), higher PSA nadir (HR 1.185, 95% CI 1.080-1.301, P = .001), a velocity of PSA decline >11 ng/mL per month (HR 2.124, 95% CI 1.195-3.750, P = .001), and a time to PSA nadir ≤9 months (HR 0.276, 95% CI 0.162-0.469, P = .004) were significantly associated with an increased risk of progression to CRPC.Patients with a rapidly decreasing PSA level in the initial phase of ADT are more likely to progress to CRPC. Our findings provide a practical approach to screen patients during ADT for early identification of those likely to progress to CRPC, allowing treatment to be modified to improve outcomes.

Prognosis of prostate cancer with initial prostate-specific antigen >1,000 ng/mL at diagnosis

PURPOSE

Prostate cancer patients with surprisingly high prostate-specific antigen (PSA) are encountered clinically. However, descriptions of this group of patients are extremely rare in the published literature. This study reports treatment outcome and long-term prognosis for this group of patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Between January 2007 and December 2012, 2,064 patients with PCa diagnosed at a tertiary medical center were retrospectively reviewed. A total of 90 PCa cases were identified with initial PSA (iPSA) >1,000 ng/mL at diagnosis. A retrospective study was conducted in this cohort, with comparison among stratified patient age groups, PSA, treatment options, and overall survival.

RESULTS

The mean PSA at PCa diagnosis in this cohort was 3,323 ng/mL (1,003-23,126, median: 2,050 ng/mL). Most patients were in the age group 65-79 years (55/90, 61%). Males older than 80 years had a poor prognosis (P<0.001). Forty-six patients (51%) underwent orchiectomy with a median follow-up period of 16.2 (1.3-72.7) months, compared to 44 patients treated with medical castration and a median follow-up of 9.1 (0.3-70.5) months. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed survival benefit from treatment with orchiectomy (P<0.001). PSA reduction >90% of iPSA following primary androgen deprivation therapy (reaching true nadir) could be a predictor of longer survival (P<0.001). Cox regression revealed the hazard ratio (HR) of variables were age (HR: 4.57, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.45-14.37, P=0.009), reaching true nadir (HR: 0.12, 95% CI: 0.03-0.58, P=0.008), and the treatment option with orchiectomy (HR: 0.22, 95% CI: 0.65-0.76, P=0.016).

CONCLUSION

Age ≥80 years indicated poor overall survival in PCa patients with iPSA >1,000 ng/mL. Reaching a true nadir of PSA following primary androgen deprivation therapy could be a predictor of longer survival. Bilateral orchiectomy is recommended for this group of patients.

Predictors of survival outcomes in native sub Saharan black men newly diagnosed with metastatic prostate cancer

Background

Though it is well established that black men are at higher risk of prostate cancer (PCa) very little is known about the disease in native sub Saharan black men. Newly diagnosed metastatic PCa patients treated with primary androgen deprivation therapy were identified and predictors of progression-free survival (PFS) assessed.

Methods

Patients diagnosed with metastatic PCa between 2010 and 2015 in a sub Saharan black population were included in the study. Primary outcome measure was PFS defined as time from primary androgen deprivation therapy to clinical progression or death. Demographic, clinical and PSA kinetic variables were evaluated for their prognostic power using Cox proportional hazard regression models.

Results

Seventy-nine patients met the eligibility criteria and were analyzed. Median age, median overall survival and PFS was 69 years, 40 months and 27 months respectively. A PSA nadir >4 ng/mL was found to predict an earlier clinical progression. Median PFS was shorter in those with PSA nadir >4 ng/mL (15 months) compared to those with PSA nadir ≤4 ng/mL (29 months); log rank p value = 0.003.

Conclusions

The PSA nadir achieved following primary androgen deprivation therapy predicts progression-free survival in sub Saharan black men newly diagnosed with metastatic PCa. PSA nadir >4 ng/mL was found to be associated with a more rapid clinical progression.

Association of time to prostate-specific antigen nadir and logarithm of prostate-specific antigen velocity after progression in metastatic prostate cancer with prior primary androgen deprivation therapy

We investigated the association of time to prostate-specific antigen nadir (TTPN) and logarithm of prostate-specific antigen velocity after progression Log(PSAVAP) in metastatic prostate cancer with prior primary androgen deprivation therapy (ADT). All metastatic prostate cancer patients treated with primary ADT from 2000 to 2009 were reviewed. Patients who developed disease progression were included in the subsequent analyses. Patients were categorized into three groups according to their TTPN: TTPN of <3 months, 3–17 months, and >17 months. We compared the Log(PSAVAP) between the different TTPN groups using Mann–Whitney U-test and Kruskal–Wallis test. Further multiple linear regression analyses on Log(PSAVAP) were performed to adjust for other potential confounding factors. Among 419 patients who were treated with primary ADT, 306 patients developed disease progression with a median follow-up of 28 months. Longer TTPN was associated with lower Log(PSAVAP) (P = 0.008) within all subgroup analyses (TTPN of <3 vs 3–17 months, P = 0.020; TTPN of 3–17 vs >17 months, P = 0.009; and TTPN of <3 vs >17 months, P = 0.001). Upon multiple linear regression analyses, baseline PSA (regression coefficient 0.001, P = 0.045), PSA nadir (regression coefficient 0.002, P = 0.040), and TTPN (regression coefficient −0.030, P = 0.001) were the three factors that were significantly associated with Log(PSAVAP). In conclusion, a longer TTPN was associated with lower Log(PSAVAP) in metastatic prostate cancer patients following primary ADT. TTPN cut-offs at 3 months and 17 months appeared to have prognostic significance in predicting Log(PSAVAP). TTPN may serve as a good prognostic indicator in deciding the treatment strategy in patients with disease progression.

Independent association between time to prostate-specific antigen (PSA) nadir and PSA progression-free survival in patients with docetaxel-naïve, metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer receiving abiraterone acetate, but not enzalutamide

PURPOSE

The objective of this study was to compare the prognostic effect of time to prostate-specific antigen (PSA) nadir (TTPN) after treatment with abiraterone acetate (AA) and enzalutamide (Enz) in patients with docetaxel-naïve, metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC).

METHODS

This study included a total of 297 consecutive patients with mCRPC, of whom 125 and 172 received AA and Enz, respectively, without previous treatment with docetaxel and subsequently achieved any degree of PSA reduction after the administration of either agent.

RESULTS

The mean values of TTPN in the AA and Enz groups were 19 and 14 weeks, respectively. Despite the lack of significant differences in several parameters according to the mean TTPN in the Enz group, patients with TTPN>19 weeks were characterized by longer duration of androgen deprivation therapy, better performance status, lower incidence of bone metastasis, lower value of nadir PSA, and higher incidence of PSA response than those with TTPN ≤19 weeks in the AA group. The PSA progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with TTPN >19 weeks was significantly superior when compared with TTPN ≤19 weeks in the AA group; however, there was no significant effect of the mean TTPN on the PSA-PFS in the Enz group. Furthermore, TTPN was identified as one of the independent predictors of PSA-PFS in the AA group but not in Enz group.

CONCLUSIONS

A longer time to reach a PSA nadir after treatment with AA, but not Enz, appeared to be associated with favorable disease control in patients with docetaxel-naïve mCRPC.

Predictive factor of androgen deprivation therapy for patients with advanced stage prostate cancer

Background

The purpose of this study was to identify the predictive factors for the efficacy of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) in men with hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (PC) with or without distant metastasis.

Methods

A retrospective review of PC patients was conducted of the medical records. We enrolled 246 patients who received primary ADT. PC patients treated with ADT for presumed nonlocalized PC were evaluated on the efficacy of ADT using prostate-specific antigen (PSA) time to progression (TTP) and compared factors associated with TTP in patients with distant metastasis and patients without distant metastasis.

Results

A total of 246 patients were treated primarily with ADT. The median follow-up period was 20.2 months. One hundred and ninety-one patients had metastatic disease. The median TTP on ADT for the distant metastasis group was 14.8 months versus 60.1 months in the without distant metastasis group (P < 0.0001). In the univariate analysis only, PSA nadir after ADT was associated with longer TTP (hazard ratio, 10.69; 95% confidence interval, 5.56–20.57). In the multivariate analysis, high grade tumor and PSA nadir were independent factors associated with a shorter TTP.

Conclusion

In this study of hormone-sensitive PC patients treated with ADT for nonlocalized PC, high grade tumor and PSA nadir were predicting factors of this treatment.

Fibroblasts prolong serum prostate-specific antigen decline after androgen deprivation therapy in prostate cancer

In patients with prostate cancer (PCa), serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) is a useful marker for evaluating the effects of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT). Intuitively, most urologists expect that a more rapid PSA decline in response to ADT would be positively associated with extended survival. Recently, we have reported that prolonged gradual serum PSA decline after ADT is strongly associated with favorable prognosis in PCa patients, however, the mechanism remains unknown. We investigated the role of fibroblasts in serum PSA decline after ADT. We performed in vitro experiments using androgen-sensitive, androgen receptor (AR)-positive prostate epithelial cell lines (LNCaP, 22Rv1, and RWPE-1 cells), commercially available prostate stromal cells (PrSC), and primary cultures of prostate fibroblasts (pcPrFs). In LNCaP and 22Rv1 cells, PSA production was increased by co-culture with fibroblasts under androgen-deprived conditions. In an in vivo model using LNCaP cells, serum PSA declined rapidly after ADT becoming undetectable within 14 days in mice inoculated with LNCaP cells alone. In contrast, when LNCaP cells were co-inoculated with fibroblasts, serum PSA levels were still high on 14 days post ADT and did not drop to undetectable levels until 21 days post ADT. Tumor volumes and Ki67 labeling indices were not altered between days 14 and 21 post ADT in mice inoculated with LNCaP cells; however, those in mice inoculated with LNCaP cells plus fibroblasts decreased gradually. PSA protein was detected in all tumors on 21 days post ADT by immunohistochemical staining. Microvessel densities were higher on 14 days post ADT for tumors from mice inoculated with LNCaP cells plus fibroblasts as compared with LNCaP cells alone. In summary, co-inoculation of fibroblasts with LNCaP cells prolonged serum PSA decline after ADT and enhanced the efficacy of ADT. Prolonged serum PSA decline may indicate the presence of protective fibroblasts that preserve the AR dependence of PCa cells, improving treatment efficacy.

Prostate-specific antigen kinetic profiles during androgen deprivation therapy as prognostic factors in castration-resistant prostate cancer

OBJECTIVE

To identify pretreatment prognostic factors for patients with castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) undergoing docetaxel (DCT) chemotherapy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 102 patients with CRPC who underwent DCT chemotherapy (dosage: 60-75 mg/m(2)) from December 2001 to August 2013. The parameters evaluated as prognostic factors were as follows: age, body mass index, Gleason score, clinical TNM stage, prior radical prostatectomy, prior radiation therapy, performance status, presence of pain, laboratory results at the start of DCT, and prostate-specific antigen (PSA) kinetics during prior androgen deprivation therapy (ADT), including PSA level at the start of ADT (PSA-ADT), PSA half-time (PSAT1/2), time to nadir, PSA level at nadir (PSA-Nadir), duration of nadir, PSA doubling time (PSADT), and PSA level at the start of DCT (PSA-DCT). Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify independent prognostic factors.

RESULTS

Median cancer-specific survival (CSS) duration following CRPC diagnosis was 28.0 months. In univariate analyses, performance status, serum albumin, serum creatinine, PSAT1/2, time to nadir, PSA-Nadir, duration of nadir, PSADT, and PSA-DCT showed a potential association with prognosis (P<0.001-0.077). Multivariate analyses of these parameters showed that performance status (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.046; P = 0.046), serum creatinine (HR = 3.028; P = 0.036), PSAT1/2 (HR = 0.172; P = 0.007), PSA-Nadir (HR = 4.884; P = 0.033), PSADT (HR = 0.148; P<0.001), and PSA-DCT (HR = 5.222; P = 0.004) remained independent predictors of CSS in CRPC.

CONCLUSIONS

PSA kinetic parameters measured during prior ADT are significant surrogate markers predicting CSS in patients undergoing DCT chemotherapy for CRPC.

Predictors of survival in prostate cancer patients with bone metastasis and extremely high prostate-specific antigen levels

PURPOSE

Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) is a surrogate marker of disease progression; however, its predictive ability in the extreme ranges is unknown. We determined the predictors of survival in patients with bone metastatic prostate cancer (BMPCa) and with extremely high PSA levels.

METHODS

Treatment-naïve patients (n = 248) diagnosed with BMPCa between December 2002 and June 2012 were retrospectively analyzed. Clinicopathological features at diagnosis, namely age, body mass index, serum alkaline phosphatase (ALP) and PSA levels, PSA nadir, time to PSA nadir and its maintenance period, PSA declining velocity, Gleason grade, clinical T stage, pain score, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance score (ECOG PS), and the number of bone metastases were assessed. The patients were stratified according to PSA ranges of <20 ng/mL, 20-100 ng/mL, 100-1000 ng/mL, and 1000-10,000 ng/mL. Study endpoints were castration-resistant PCa (CRPC)-free survival and cancer-specific survival (CSS).

RESULTS

Patients with higher PSA and ALP levels showed more bone lesions (P < 0.001). During the follow-up period (median, 39.9 months; interquartile range, 21.5-65.9 months), there were no differences between the groups in terms of the survival endpoints. High ALP levels, shorter time to PSA nadir, and pain were associated with an increased risk of progression to CRPC, and high ALP levels, ECOG PS ≥ 1, and higher PSA nadir independently predicted CSS.

CONCLUSIONS

PSA response to androgen deprivation therapy and serum ALP are reliable predictors of survival in patients with BMPCa presenting with extremely high PSA levels. These patients should not be deterred from active treatment based on baseline PSA values.

Survival outcomes of Chinese metastatic prostate cancer patients following primary androgen deprivation therapy in relation to prostate-specific antigen nadir level

AIM

To evaluate the progression-free survival (PFS), cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) of Chinese metastatic prostate cancer patients following primary androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) in relation to prostate-specific antigen (PSA) nadir level.

METHODS

All Chinese prostate cancer patients with bone metastases who were treated with primary ADT from 2000 to 2009 were included. Patients' and disease characteristics were recorded. Patients were categorized into two PSA nadir groups (≤1.0 and >1.0 ng/mL). Associations of PSA nadir with PFS, CSS and OS were analyzed with Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses. The survival outcomes of the two PSA nadir groups were presented.

RESULTS

Four hundred nineteen patients were included in the study. PSA nadir appeared to be a good predictor for PFS (hazard ratio [HR] 1.86, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.35-2.56, P < 0.001), CSS (HR 1.60, 95% CI 0.98-2.64, P = 0.063) and OS (HR 1.77, 95% CI 1.20-2.41, P < 0.001) upon multivariate Cox regression analyses. In the PSA nadir groups of ≤1.0 and >1.0 ng/mL, the median PFS were 15 and 10 months, and the 1-year PFS rates were 64% and 40%, respectively; the median CSS were 42 and 27 months, and the 5-year OS rates were 53% and 28%, respectively; and the median OS were 41 and 24 months, and the 5-year OS rates were 45% and 19%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher PSA nadir was associated with shorter PFS, CSS and OS in Chinese metastatic prostate cancer patients following primary ADT. The survival outcomes may serve as references in deciding the best treatment strategy in Chinese prostate cancer patients.