Validity of the National Death Index to ascertain the date and cause of death in men having undergone prostatectomy for prostate cancer

Prostate-Specific Antigen Screening and Prostate Cancer Mortality: An Emulation of Target Trials in US Medicare

PURPOSE

No consensus about the effectiveness of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening exists among clinical guidelines, especially for the elderly. Randomized trials of PSA screening have yielded different results, partly because of variations in adherence, and it is unlikely that new trials will be conducted. Our objective was to estimate the effect of annual PSA screening on prostate cancer (PC) mortality in Medicare beneficiaries age 67-84 years.

METHODS

This is a large-scale, population-based, observational study of two screening strategies: annual PSA screening and no screening. We used data from 537,599 US Medicare (2001-2008) beneficiaries age 67-84 years who had a good life expectancy, no previous PC, and no PSA test in the 2 years before baseline. We estimated the 8-year PC mortality and incidence, treatments for PC, and treatment complications of PSA screening.

RESULTS

In men age 67-74 years, the estimated difference in 8-year risk of PC death between PSA screening and no screening was -2.3 (95% CI, -4.1 to -1.1) deaths per 1,000 men (a negative risk difference favors screening). Treatment complications were more frequent under PSA screening than under no screening. In men age 75-84 years, risk difference estimates were closer to zero.

CONCLUSION

Our estimates suggest that under conventional statistical criteria, annual PSA screening for 8 years is highly compatible with reductions of PC mortality from four to one fewer PC deaths per 1,000 screened men age 67-74 years. As with any study using real-world data, the estimates could be affected by residual confounding.

Social networks, social determinants, and mortality: Western New York Exposures and Breast Cancer study

BACKGROUND

There are few studies of social support and other social determinants of health after breast cancer diagnosis and their associations with mortality; results have been inconclusive. Further, it is not known if observed associations are specific to women with breast cancer diagnosis or if associations would be similar among healthy women.

METHODS

Women with incident, pathologically confirmed invasive breast cancer, stage I-IV (n = 1012), and healthy frequency age-matched participants (n = 2036) answered a social support questionnaire in prospective follow-up of a population-based case-control study, the Western New York Exposures and Breast Cancer Study. At interview, all participants were aged 35-79 years and resident of 2 counties in Western New York State. Mortality status was ascertained from the National Death Index. Participants were queried regarding the number of their close friends, frequency of seeing them, household size, household income, and marital status. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for breast cancer-specific mortality (breast cancer women only) and all-cause mortality were estimated.

RESULTS

Lower household income was associated with higher all-cause mortality among women diagnosed with breast cancer (HR = 2.48, 95% CI = 1.24 to 4.97) and similarly among the healthy women (HR = 2.63, 95% CI = 1.25 to 5.53). Number and frequency of seeing friends, marital status, and household size were not associated with mortality, either among breast cancer patients or among healthy women.

CONCLUSION

Among those diagnosed with breast cancer and healthy women, lower income was associated with more than twice the mortality. Marital status, household size, and number or frequency of meeting friends were not associated with survival.

Validation of the prostate cancer comorbidity index in predicting cause-specific mortality in men undergoing radical prostatectomy

PURPOSE

Accurate prediction of competing risks of mortality remains a key component of prostate cancer treatment decision-making. We sought to validate the Prostate Cancer Comorbidity Index (PCCI) score for predicting other-cause mortality (OCM) and cancer outcomes in men undergoing radical prostatectomy (RP).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We sampled 4857 men with prostate cancer treated with RP in the VA from 2000-2018. Risks of OCM, 90-day all-cause mortality (ACM), prostate cancer-specific mortality, metastasis, and biochemical recurrence by PCCI score were assessed using Cox proportional hazards and logistic regression. We compared prediction of 90-day ACM between PCCI and the American Society of Anesthesiology (ASA) score, a validated predictor of short-term mortality.

RESULTS

Over median follow-up of 6.7 years (IQR 3.7-10.3), there was a stepwise increase in risk of OCM with higher PCCI score, with hazards (95%CI) of 1.53 (1.14-2.04), 2.11 (1.55-2.88), 2.36 (1.68-3.31), 3.61 (2.61-4.98), and 4.99 (3.58-6.96) for PCCI 1-2, 3-4, 5-6, 7-9, and 10 + (vs. 0), respectively. Projected 10-year cumulative incidence of OCM was 8%, 12%, 16%, 19%, 26%, and 32% for scores of 0, 1-2, 3-4, 5-6, 7-9, and 10+ , respectively. Men with PCCI 7+ had greater odds of 90-day ACM (OR 3.48, 95%CI 1.26-9.63) while men with higher ASA did not. Higher PCCI score was associated with worse cancer outcomes, with the highest categories driving the associations.

CONCLUSIONS

The PCCI is a robust measure of short- and long-term OCM after RP, validated for use in clinical care and health services research focusing on surgical patient populations.

Testosterone replacement therapy is not associated with increased prostate cancer incidence, prostate cancer-specific, or cardiovascular disease-specific mortality in Finnish men

BACKGROUND

Concerns have been expressed over the safety of testosterone replacement therapy (TRT) in men with late-onset hypogonadism (LOH). Previous studies have shown controversial results regarding the association of TRT with the risk of cardiovascular events or prostate cancer (PCa) incidence, aggressiveness, and mortality. This study explores the overall risk of PCa and risk by tumor grade and stage, as well as mortality from PCa and cardiovascular disease (CVD), among men treated with TRT compared to men without LOH and TRT use.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The study included 78,615 men of age 55-67 years at baseline from the Finnish Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (FinRSPC). Follow-up started at randomization and ended at death, emigration, or a common closing date January 1st, 2017. Cox proportional hazards regression model with time-dependent variables and adjustment for age, trial arm, use of other medications, and Charlson comorbidity index was used. Comprehensive information on TRT purchases during 1995-2015 was obtained from the Finnish National Prescription Database. PCa cases were identified from the Finnish Cancer Registry and causes of death obtained from Statistics Finland.

RESULTS

Over the course of 18 years of follow-up, 2919 men were on TRT, and 285 PCa cases were diagnosed among them. TRT users did not exhibit a higher incidence or mortality rate of PCa compared to non-users. On the contrary, men using TRT had lower PCa mortality than non-users (HR = 0.52; 95% CI 0.3-0.91). Additionally, TRT users had slightly lower CVD and all-cause mortality compared to non-users (HR = 0.87; 95% CI 0.75-1.01 and HR = 0.93; 95% CI 0.87-1.0, respectively). No time- or dose-dependency of TRT use was evident in any of the analyses.

CONCLUSION

Men using TRT were not associated to increased risk for PCa and did not experience increased PCa- or CVD-specific mortality compared to non-users. Further studies considering blood testosterone levels are warranted.

Risk of Prostate Cancer in US Veterans With Rheumatoid Arthritis

OBJECTIVE

Patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) have an increased risk of select cancers, including lymphoma and lung cancer. Whether RA influences prostate cancer risk is uncertain. We aimed to determine the risk of prostate cancer in patients with RA compared to patients without RA in the Veterans Health Administration (VA).

METHODS

We performed a matched (up to 1:5) cohort study of male patients with and without RA in the VA from 2000 to 2018. RA status, as well as covariates, were obtained from national VA databases. Prostate cancer was identified through linked VA cancer databases and the National Death Index. Multivariable Cox models compared prostate cancer risk between patients with RA and patients without RA, including models that accounted for retention in the VA system.

RESULTS

We included 56,514 veterans with RA and 227,284 veterans without RA. During 2,337,104 patient-years of follow-up, 6,550 prostate cancers occurred. Prostate cancer incidence (per 1,000 patient-years) was 3.50 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 3.32-3.69) in patients with RA and 2.66 (95% CI 2.58-2.73) in patients without RA. After accounting for confounders and censoring for attrition of VA health care, RA was modestly associated with a higher prostate cancer risk (adjusted HR [HRadj ] 1.12 [95% CI 1.04-1.20]). There was no association between RA and prostate cancer mortality (HRadj 0.92 [95% CI 0.73-1.16]).

CONCLUSION

RA was associated with a modestly increased risk of prostate cancer, but not prostate cancer mortality, after accounting for relevant confounders and several potential sources of bias. However, even minimal unmeasured confounding could explain these findings.

Trends in Cardiometabolic and Cancer Multimorbidity Prevalence and Its Risk With All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality in U.S. Adults: Prospective Cohort Study

Several prospective cohort studies have assessed the association between multimorbidity and all-cause mortality, but the findings have been inconsistent. In addition, limited studies have assessed the association between multimorbidity and cause-specific mortality. In this study, we used the population based cohort study of National Health Interview Survey (1997–2014) with linkage to the National Death Index records to 31 December 2015 to examine the trends in prevalence of multimorbidity from 1997 to 2014, and its association with the risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality in the U.S. population. A total of 372,566 adults aged 30–84 years were included in this study. From 1997 to 2014, the age-standardized prevalence of specific chronic condition and multimorbidity increased significantly (P < 0.0001). During a median follow-up of 9.0 years, 50,309 of 372,566 participants died from all causes, of which 11,132 (22.1%) died from CVD and 13,170 (26.2%) died from cancer. Compared with participants without the above-mentioned chronic conditions, those with 1, 2, 3, and ≥4 of chronic conditions had 1.41 (1.37–1.45), 1.94 (1.88–2.00), 2.64 (2.54–2.75), and 3.68 (3.46–3.91) higher risk of all-cause mortality after adjustment for important covariates. Similarly, a higher risk of CVD-specific and cancer-specific mortality was observed as the number of chronic conditions increased, with the observed risk stronger for CVD-mortality compared with cancer-specific mortality. Given the prevalence of multimorbidity tended to increase from 1997 to 2014, our data suggest effective prevention and intervention programs are necessary to limit the increased mortality risk associated with multimorbidity.

Diabetes and Prostate Cancer Outcomes in Obese and Nonobese Men After Radical Prostatectomy

Background

The link between diabetes and prostate cancer progression is poorly understood and complicated by obesity. We investigated associations between diabetes and prostate cancer-specific mortality (PCSM), castrate-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC), and metastases in obese and nonobese men undergoing radical prostatectomy (RP).

Methods

We included 4688 men from the Shared Equal Access Regional Cancer Hospital cohort of men undergoing RP from 1988 to 2017. Diabetes prior to RP, anthropometric, and clinical data were abstracted from 6 Veterans Affairs Medical Centers electronic medical records. Primary and secondary outcomes were PCSM and metastases and CRPC, respectively. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (adj-HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated for diabetes and PCSM, CRPC, and metastases. Adjusted hazard ratios were also estimated in analyses stratified by obesity (body mass index: nonobese <30 kg/m²; obese ≥30 kg/m²). All statistical tests were 2-sided.

Results

Diabetes was not associated with PCSM (adj-HR = 1.38, 95% CI = 0.86 to 2.24), CRPC (adj-HR = 1.05, 95% CI = 0.67 to 1.64), or metastases (adj-HR = 1.01, 95% CI = 0.70 to 1.46), among all men. Interaction terms for diabetes and obesity were statistically significant in multivariable models for PCSM, CRPC, and metastases (P ≤ .04). In stratified analyses, in obese men, diabetes was associated with PCSM (adj-HR = 3.06, 95% CI = 1.40 to 6.69), CRPC (adj-HR = 2.14, 95% CI = 1.11 to 4.15), and metastases (adj-HR = 1.57, 95% CI = 0.88 to 2.78), though not statistically significant for metastases. In nonobese men, inverse associations were suggested for diabetes and prostate cancer outcomes without reaching statistical significance.

Conclusions

Diabetes was associated with increased risks of prostate cancer progression and mortality among obese men but not among nonobese men, highlighting the importance of aggressively curtailing the increasing prevalence of obesity in prostate cancer survivors.

Retrospective cohort study evaluating clinical, biochemical and pharmacological prognostic factors for prostate cancer progression using primary care data

OBJECTIVES

To confirm the association of previously reported prognostic factors with future progression of localised prostate cancer using primary care data and identify new potential prognostic factors for further assessment in prognostic model development and validation.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study, employing Cox proportional hazards regression controlling for age, prostate specific antigen (PSA), and Gleason score, was stratified by diagnostic stage.

SETTING

Primary care in England.

PARTICIPANTS

Males with localised prostate cancer diagnosedbetween 01/01/1987 and 31/12/2016 within the Clinical Practice ResearchDatalink database, with linked data from the National Cancer Registration andAnalysis Service and Office for National Statistics.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOMES

Primary outcome measure was prostate cancer mortality. Secondary outcome measures were all-cause mortality and commencing systemic therapy. Up-staging after diagnosis was not used as a secondary outcome owing to significant missing data.

RESULTS

10 901 men (mean age 74.38±9.03 years) with localised prostate cancer were followed up for a mean of 14.12 (±6.36) years. 2331 (21.38%) men underwent systemic therapy and 3450 (31.65%) died, including 1250 (11.47%) from prostate cancer. Factors associated with an increased risk of prostate cancer mortality included age; high PSA; current or ex-smoker; ischaemic heart disease; high C reactive protein; high ferritin; low haemoglobin; high blood glucose and low albumin.

CONCLUSIONS

This study identified several new potential prognostic factors for prostate cancer progression, as well as confirming some known prognostic factors, in an independent primary care data set. Further research is needed to develop and validate a prognostic model for prostate cancer progression.

Association Between African American Race and Clinical Outcomes in Men Treated for Low-Risk Prostate Cancer With Active Surveillance

Importance

There is concern that African American men with low-risk prostate cancer may harbor more aggressive disease than non-Hispanic White men. Therefore, it is unclear whether active surveillance is a safe option for African American men.

Objective

To compare clinical outcomes of African American and non-Hispanic White men with low-risk prostate cancer managed with active surveillance.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Retrospective cohort study in the US Veterans Health Administration Health Care System of African American and non-Hispanic White men diagnosed with low-risk prostate cancer between January 1, 2001, and December 31, 2015, and managed with active surveillance. The date of final follow-up was March 31, 2020.

Exposures

Active surveillance was defined as no definitive treatment within the first year of diagnosis and at least 1 additional surveillance biopsy.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Progression to at least intermediate-risk, definitive treatment, metastasis, prostate cancer-specific mortality, and all-cause mortality.

Results

The cohort included 8726 men, including 2280 African American men (26.1%) (median age, 63.2 years) and 6446 non-Hispanic White men (73.9%) (median age, 65.5 years), and the median follow-up was 7.6 years (interquartile range, 5.7-9.9; range, 0.2-19.2). Among African American men and non-Hispanic White men, respectively, the 10-year cumulative incidence of disease progression was 59.9% vs 48.3% (difference, 11.6% [95% CI, 9.2% to 13.9%); P < .001); of receipt of definitive treatment, 54.8% vs 41.4% (difference, 13.4% [95% CI, 11.0% to 15.7%]; P < .001); of metastasis, 1.5% vs 1.4% (difference, 0.1% [95% CI, -0.4% to 0.6%]; P = .49); of prostate cancer-specific mortality, 1.1% vs 1.0% (difference, 0.1% [95% CI, -0.4% to 0.6%]; P = .82); and of all-cause mortality, 22.4% vs 23.5% (difference, 1.1% [95% CI, -0.9% to 3.1%]; P = 0.09).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this retrospective cohort study of men with low-risk prostate cancer followed up for a median of 7.6 years, African American men, compared with non-Hispanic White men, had a statistically significant increased 10-year cumulative incidence of disease progression and definitive treatment, but not metastasis or prostate cancer-specific mortality. Longer-term follow-up is needed to better assess the mortality risk.

Obesity, race, and long-term prostate cancer outcomes

BACKGROUND

The authors previously found that obesity was linked with prostate cancer (PC)-specific mortality (PCSM) among men who underwent radical prostatectomy (RP). Herein, in a larger RP cohort, the authors investigated whether the association between obesity and long-term PC outcomes, including PCSM, differed by race.

METHODS

Data from 5929 patients who underwent RP and were in the Shared Equal Access Regional Cancer Hospital (SEARCH) database were analyzed. Prior to RP, body mass index (BMI) was measured and recorded in the medical records. BMI was categorized as normal weight (<25 kg/m² ), overweight (25-29.9 kg/m² ), and obese (≥30 kg/m² ). The authors assessed the association between BMI and biochemical disease recurrence (BCR), castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC), metastasis, and PCSM, accounting for confounders.

RESULTS

Of the 5929 patients, 1983 (33%) were black, 1321 (22%) were of normal weight, 2605 (44%) were overweight, and 2003 (34%) were obese. Compared with white men, black men were younger; had higher prostate-specific antigen levels; and were more likely to have a BMI ≥30 kg/m² , seminal vesicle invasion, and positive surgical margins (all P ≤ .032). During a median follow-up of 7.4 years, a total of 1891 patients (32%) developed BCR, 181 patients (3%) developed CRPC, 259 patients (4%) had metastasis, and 135 patients (2%) had died of PC. On multivariable analysis, obesity was found to be associated with an increased risk of PCSM (hazard ratio, 1.78; 95% confidence interval, 1.04-3.04 [P = .035]). No interaction was found between BMI and race in predicting PCSM (P ≥ .88), BCR (P ≥ .81), CRPC (P ≥ .88), or metastasis (P ≥ .60). Neither overweight nor obesity was associated with risk of BCR, CRPC, or metastasis (all P ≥ .18).

CONCLUSIONS

Obese men undergoing RP at several Veterans Affairs hospitals were found to be at an increased risk of PCSM, regardless of race.