A polygenic risk score for nasopharyngeal carcinoma shows potential for risk stratification and personalized screening

Epidemiology of nasopharyngeal carcinoma: current insights and future outlook

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is characterised by its remarkable geographical and ethnic distribution. The interplay between genetic susceptibility, environmental exposures, and Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infections is indicated in the development of NPC. Exposure to tobacco smoking, dietary factors, and inhalants has been associated with the risk of NPC. Genetic association studies have revealed NPC-associated susceptibility loci, including genes involved in immune responses, xenobiotic metabolism, genome maintenance, and cell cycle regulation. EBV exposure timing and strain variation might play a role in its carcinogenicity, although further investigations are required. Other factors including medical history and oral hygiene have been implicated in NPC. Prevention strategies, including primary prevention and secondary prevention through early detection, are vital in reducing mortality and morbidity of NPC. The current review discusses the global and regional distribution of NPC incidences, the risk factors associated with NPC, and the public health implications of these insights. Future investigations should consider international, large-scale prospective studies to elucidate the mechanisms underlying NPC pathogenesis and develop individualized interventions for NPC.

Global burdens of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in children and young adults and predictions to 2040

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the epidemiological trend for nasopharyngeal carcinoma among children and young adults and the disease burden they caused.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data were collected from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study 2019. A comprehensive analysis was performed, with age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) and estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC). And decomposition and frontier analyses were done. Future trends were predicted using Bayesian age-period-cohort model.

RESULTS

Globally, there were decreases in the ASIR (EAPC -0.175, 95 % confidence interval [CI]: -0.352 to 0.002), ASMR (EAPC -2.681, 95 % CI: -2.937 to -2.424), and age-standardized DALYs rates (EAPC -2.643, 95 % CI: -2.895 to -2.391). However, the ASIR for males in global (EAPC 0.454, 95 % CI: 0.302 to 0.606), Asia (EAPC 0.782, 95 % CI: 0.610 to 0.954) and America (EAPC 0.448, 95 % CI: 0.379 to 0.517), as well as females in European (EAPC 0.595, 95 % CI: 0.479 to 0.712) and American (EAPC 0.369, 95 % CI: 0.324 to 0.415), showed an increasing trend. The future ASIR per 100,000 will likely show a slight upward trend in 2020 to 2040 (increased from 0.254 to 0.284), particularly among females (increased from 0.177 to 0.206), and a continued decline in ASMR for both sexes (decreased from 0.070 to 0.061).

CONCLUSIONS

Globally, NPC in children and young adults remains a major public health issue, with the global distribution and magnitude of the burden varies markedly, highlighting the need to formulate regional and population-based policies for primary prevention.

Wasm-iCARE: a portable and privacy-preserving web module to build, validate, and apply absolute risk models

Objectives

Absolute risk models estimate an individual's future disease risk over a specified time interval. Applications utilizing server-side risk tooling, the R-based iCARE (R-iCARE), to build, validate, and apply absolute risk models, face limitations in portability and privacy due to their need for circulating user data in remote servers for operation. We overcome this by porting iCARE to the web platform.

Materials and Methods

We refactored R-iCARE into a Python package (Py-iCARE) and then compiled it to WebAssembly (Wasm-iCARE)-a portable web module, which operates within the privacy of the user's device.

Results

We showcase the portability and privacy of Wasm-iCARE through 2 applications: for researchers to statistically validate risk models and to deliver them to end-users. Both applications run entirely on the client side, requiring no downloads or installations, and keep user data on-device during risk calculation.

Conclusions

Wasm-iCARE fosters accessible and privacy-preserving risk tools, accelerating their validation and delivery.

Association of Matrix Metalloproteinase-9 Genotypes With Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Risk

BACKGROUND/AIM

The up-regulation of matrix metalloproteinase-9 (MMP-9) expression is a characteristic feature observed across various malignancies, including nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Nevertheless, the influence of MMP-9 genotype in the context of NPC remains underexplored. This study examined the implications of MMP-9 promoter rs3918242 genotypes on the susceptibility to NPC in Taiwan.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In a cohort comprising 208 NPC cases and 416 healthy controls, genotyping of MMP-9 rs3918242 was conducted utilizing polymerase chain reaction-restriction fragment length polymorphism methodology.

RESULTS

Individuals harbouring the variant CT or TT genotype of MMP-9 rs3918242 did not demonstrate a discernible alteration in NPC risk when compared to wild-type CC carriers [odds ratio (OR)=0.83 and 0.79, with 95% confidence intervals (95%CI)=0.56-1.24 and 0.27-2.29; p=0.4205 and 0.8675, respectively]. Moreover, the presence of the variant T allele did not confer a modified risk of NPC (OR=0.84, 95%CI=0.60-1.19, p=0.3761). Intriguingly, a protective effect associated with the MMP-9 rs3918242 CT genotype against NPC risk was discerned among individuals abstaining from betel quid chewing behaviour (OR=0.51, 95%CI=0.30-0.87, p=0.0166). Notably, no significant association was established between the MMP-9 rs3918242 CT or TT genotype and NPC risk among individuals with or without smoking or alcohol consumption habits.

CONCLUSION

Presence of the variant CT or TT genotype at MMP-9 rs3918242 did not appear to substantially contribute to an elevated risk of NPC. Notably, a protective effect against NPC risk was observed in individuals carrying the CT genotype, particularly in those abstaining from betel quid chewing.

Severity of effect considerations regarding the use of mutation as a toxicological endpoint for risk assessment: A report from the 8th International Workshop on Genotoxicity Testing (IWGT)

Exposure levels without appreciable human health risk may be determined by dividing a point of departure on a dose-response curve (e.g., benchmark dose) by a composite adjustment factor (AF). An "effect severity" AF (ESAF) is employed in some regulatory contexts. An ESAF of 10 may be incorporated in the derivation of a health-based guidance value (HBGV) when a "severe" toxicological endpoint, such as teratogenicity, irreversible reproductive effects, neurotoxicity, or cancer was observed in the reference study. Although mutation data have been used historically for hazard identification, this endpoint is suitable for quantitative dose-response modeling and risk assessment. As part of the 8th International Workshops on Genotoxicity Testing, a sub-group of the Quantitative Analysis Work Group (WG) explored how the concept of effect severity could be applied to mutation. To approach this question, the WG reviewed the prevailing regulatory guidance on how an ESAF is incorporated into risk assessments, evaluated current knowledge of associations between germline or somatic mutation and severe disease risk, and mined available data on the fraction of human germline mutations expected to cause severe disease. Based on this review and given that mutations are irreversible and some cause severe human disease, in regulatory settings where an ESAF is used, a majority of the WG recommends applying an ESAF value between 2 and 10 when deriving a HBGV from mutation data. This recommendation may need to be revisited in the future if direct measurement of disease-causing mutations by error-corrected next generation sequencing clarifies selection of ESAF values.

Polygenic risk-stratified screening for nasopharyngeal carcinoma in high-risk endemic areas of China: a cost-effectiveness study

Background

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) has an extremely high incidence rate in Southern China, resulting in a severe disease burden for the local population. Current EBV serologic screening is limited by false positives, and there is opportunity to integrate polygenic risk scores for personalized screening which may enhance cost-effectiveness and resource utilization.

Methods

A Markov model was developed based on epidemiological and genetic data specific to endemic areas of China, and further compared polygenic risk-stratified screening [subjects with a 10-year absolute risk (AR) greater than a threshold risk underwent EBV serological screening] to age-based screening (EBV serological screening for all subjects). For each initial screening age (30-34, 35-39, 40-44, 45-49, 50-54, 55-59, 60-64, and 65-69 years), a modeled cohort of 100,000 participants was screened until age 69, and then followed until age 79.

Results

Among subjects aged 30 to 54 years, polygenic risk-stratified screening strategies were more cost-effective than age-based screening strategies, and almost comprised the cost-effectiveness efficiency frontier. For men, screening strategies with a 1-year frequency and a 10-year absolute risk (AR) threshold of 0.7% or higher were cost-effective, with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) below the willingness to pay (¥203,810, twice the local per capita GDP). Specifically, the strategies with a 10-year AR threshold of 0.7% or 0.8% are the most cost-effective strategies, with an ICER ranging from ¥159,752 to ¥201,738 compared to lower-cost non-dominated strategies on the cost-effectiveness frontiers. The optimal strategies have a higher probability (29.4-35.8%) of being cost-effective compared to other strategies on the frontier. Additionally, they reduce the need for nasopharyngoscopies by 5.1-27.7% compared to optimal age-based strategies. Likewise, for women aged 30-54 years, the optimal strategy with a 0.3% threshold showed similar results. Among subjects aged 55 to 69 years, age-based screening strategies were more cost-effective for men, while no screening may be preferred for women.

Conclusion

Our economic evaluation found that the polygenic risk-stratified screening could improve the cost-effectiveness among individuals aged 30-54, providing valuable guidance for NPC prevention and control policies in endemic areas of China.

Polygenic Risk Score in Predicting Esophageal, Oropharyngeal, and Hypopharynx Cancer Risk among Taiwanese Population

Esophageal cancer shares strong associations with oropharyngeal and hypopharyngeal cancers, primarily due to shared risk factors like excessive tobacco and alcohol use. This retrospective study at Taichung Veterans General Hospital involved 54,692 participants, including 385 with squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) of the esophagus, oropharynx, or hypopharynx. Using a polygenic risk score (PRS) derived from 8353 single-nucleotide polymorphisms, researchers aimed to assess its correlation with cancer incidence and prognosis. The study found a 1.83-fold higher risk of esophageal, oropharyngeal, and hypopharyngeal SCCs in participants with a high PRS (Q4) compared to the low-PRS group (Q1). Esophageal cancer risk demonstrated a significant positive association with the PRS, as did hypopharyngeal cancer. Clinical parameters and staging showed limited associations with PRS quartiles, and the PRS did not significantly impact recurrence or mortality rates. The research highlighted that a higher PRS is linked to increased susceptibility to esophageal and hypopharyngeal cancer. Notably, a specific polygenic risk score, PGS001087, exhibited a discernible association with SCC risk, particularly in specific subtypes and advanced disease stages. However, it was not significantly linked to clinical cancer staging, emphasizing the multifactorial nature of cancer development. This hospital study reveals that a higher PRS correlates with increased susceptibility to esophageal and hypopharyngeal cancers. Notably, PGS001087 shows a discernible association with SCC risk in specific subtypes and advanced stages, although not significantly linked to clinical cancer staging. These findings enhance our understanding of genetic factors in upper aerodigestive tract cancers, particularly esophageal SCC, guiding future research and risk assessment strategies.

CENPN suppresses autophagy and increases paclitaxel resistance in nasopharyngeal carcinoma cells by inhibiting the CREB-VAMP8 signaling axis

Chemotherapeutic resistance is one of the most common reasons for poor prognosis of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). We found that CENPN can promote the growth, proliferation and apoptosis resistance of NPC cells, but its relationship with chemotherapeutic resistance in NPC is unclear. Here we verified that the CENPN expression level in NPC patients was positively correlated with the degree of paclitaxel (PTX) resistance and a poor prognosis through analysis of clinical cases. VAMP8 expression was significantly increased after knockdown of CENPN by transcriptome sequencing. We found in cell experiments that CENPN inhibited macroautophagy/autophagy and VAMP8 expression and significantly increased PTX resistance. Overexpression of CENPN reduced the inhibitory effects of PTX on survival, cell proliferation, cell cycle progression and apoptosis resistance in NPC cells by inhibiting autophagy. In turn, knockdown of CENPN can affect the phenotype of NPC cells by increasing autophagy to achieve PTX sensitization. Sequential knockdown of CENPN and VAMP8 reversed the PTX-sensitizing effect of CENPN knockdown alone. Experiments in nude mice confirmed that knockdown of CENPN can increase VAMP8 expression, enhance autophagy and increase the sensitivity of NPC cells to PTX. Mechanistic studies showed that CENPN inhibited the translocation of p-CREB into the nucleus of NPC cells, resulting in the decreased binding of p-CREB to the VAMP8 promoter, thereby inhibiting the transcription of VAMP8. These results demonstrate that CENPN may be a marker for predicting chemotherapeutic efficacy and a potential target for inducing chemosensitization to agents such as PTX.Abbreviations: 3-MA: 3-methyladenine; ATG5: autophagy related 5; CENPN: centromere protein N; CQ: chloroquine; CREB: cAMP responsive element binding protein; ChIP: chromatin immunoprecipitation assay; IC50: half-maximal inhibitory concentration; LAMP2A: lysosomal associated membrane protein 2A; MAP1LC3/LC3: microtubule associated protein 1 light chain 3; NPC: nasopharyngeal carcinoma; NPG: nasopharyngitis; oeCENPN: overexpressed CENPN; PTX: paclitaxel; RAPA: rapamycin; RNA-seq: transcriptome sequencing; shCENPN: small hairpin RNA expression vector targeting the human CENPN gene; shCENPN-shVAMP8: sequential knockdown targeting the human CENPN gene and VAMP8 gene; shVAMP8: small hairpin RNA expression vector targeting the human VAMP8 gene; TEM: transmission electron microscopy; TIR: tumor inhibitory rate; VAMP8: vesicle associated membrane protein 8.

A comprehensive predictive model for radiation-induced brain injury in risk stratification and personalized radiotherapy of nasopharyngeal carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Radiation-induced brain injury (RBI) is a severe radiotoxicity for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients, greatly affecting their long-term life quality and survival. We aim to establish a comprehensive predictive model including clinical factors and newly developed genetic variants to improve the precision of RBI risk stratification.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

By performing a large registry-based retrospective study with magnetic resonance imaging follow-up on RBI development, we conducted a genome-wide association study and developed a polygenic risk score (PRS) for RBI in 1189 NPC patients who underwent intensity-modulated radiotherapy. We proposed a tolerance dose scheme for temporal lobe radiation based on the risk predicted by PRS. Additionally, we established a nomogram by combining PRS and clinical factors for RBI risk prediction.

RESULTS

The 38-SNP PRS could effectively identify high-risk individuals of RBI (P = 1.42 × 10-34). Based on genetic risk calculation, the recommended tolerance doses of temporal lobes should be 57.6 Gy for individuals in the top 10 % PRS subgroup and 68.1 Gy for individuals in the bottom 50 % PRS. Notably, individuals with high genetic risk (PRS > P50) and receiving high radiation dose in the temporal lobes (D0.5CC > 65 Gy) had an approximate 50-fold risk over individuals with low PRS and receiving low radiation dose (HR = 50.09, 95 %CI = 24.27-103.35), showing an additive joint effect (Pinteraction < 0.001). By combining PRS with clinical factors including age, tumor stage, and radiation dose of temporal lobes, the predictive accuracy was significantly improved with C-index increased from 0.78 to 0.85 (P = 1.63 × 10-2).

CONCLUSIONS

The PRS, together with clinical factors, could improve RBI risk stratification and implies personalized radiotherapy.

Associations between a polygenic risk score and the risk of gestational diabetes mellitus in a Chinese population: a case-control study

Our objective was to construct a polygenic risk score (PRS) and assess its utility and effectiveness in predicting the risk of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) in a Chinese population. We performed a case-control study involving 638 patients with GDM and 1,062 healthy controls. Genotyping was conducted utilizing a genome-wide association study (GWAS), and a PRS was constructed. We identified 12 susceptibility loci that exhibited significant associations with the risk of GDM at a p-value threshold of ≤5.0 × 10-8, of which four loci were newly discovered. A higher PRS was associated with an increased risk of GDM (OR: 1.44; 95% CI: 1.03, 2.01 for the highest quartile compared to the lowest quartile). The PRS demonstrated a clear linear relationship with the fasting plasma glucose (FPG), 1-hour postprandial glucose (1hPG), and 2-hour postprandial glucose (2hPG) levels. The maximally adjusted β coefficients and their corresponding 95% CIs were 0.181 (0.041, 0.320) for FPG, 0.225 (0.103, 0.346) for 1hPG, and 0.172 (0.036, 0.307) for 2hPG. Among the genetic variants examined, TCF7L2 rs7903146 displayed the strongest association with GDM risk (logOR = 0.18, p = 2.37 × 10-19), followed by ADAMTSL1 rs10963767 (logOR = 0.14, p = 3.58 × 10-15). The areas under the curve (AUCs) was significantly increased from 0.703 (0.678, 0.728) in the traditional risk factor model to 0.765 (0.741, 0.788) by including PRS. These findings indicate that pregnant women with a higher PRS could potentially derive considerable advantages from the implementation of a feasible PRS-based GDM screening program aimed at delivering precision prevention strategies within Chinese populations.

The interaction and mediation effects between the host genetic factors and Epstein-Barr virus VCA-IgA in the risk of nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Previous studies have demonstrated strong associations between host genetic factors and Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) VCA-IgA with the risk of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). However, the specific interplay between host genetics and EBV VCA-IgA on NPC risk is not well understood. In this two-stage case-control study (N = 4804), we utilized interaction and mediation analysis to investigate the interplay between host genetics (genome-wide association study-derived polygenic risk score [PRS]) and EBV VCA-IgA antibody level in the NPC risk. We employed a four-way decomposition analysis to assess the extent to which the genetic effect on NPC risk is mediated by or interacts with EBV VCA-IgA. We consistently found a significant interaction between the PRS and EBV VCA-IgA on NPC risk (discovery population: synergy index [SI] = 2.39, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.85-3.10; replication population: SI = 3.10, 95% CI = 2.17-4.44; all pinteraction  < 0.001). Moreover, the genetic variants included in the PRS demonstrated similar interactions with EBV VCA-IgA antibody. We also observed an obvious dose-response relationship between the PRS and EBV VCA-IgA antibody on NPC risk (all ptrend  < 0.001). Furthermore, our decomposition analysis revealed that a substantial proportion (approximately 90%) of the genetic effects on NPC risk could be attributed to host genetic-EBV interaction, while the risk effects mediated by EBV VCA-IgA antibody were weak and statistically insignificant. Our study provides compelling evidence for an interaction between host genetics and EBV VCA-IgA antibody in the development of NPC. These findings emphasize the importance of implementing measures to control EBV infection as a crucial strategy for effectively preventing NPC, particularly in individuals at high genetic risk.

Multi-task deep learning-based radiomic nomogram for prognostic prediction in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma

PURPOSE

Prognostic prediction is crucial to guide individual treatment for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC) patients. Recently, multi-task deep learning was explored for joint prognostic prediction and tumor segmentation in various cancers, resulting in promising performance. This study aims to evaluate the clinical value of multi-task deep learning for prognostic prediction in LA-NPC patients.

METHODS

A total of 886 LA-NPC patients acquired from two medical centers were enrolled including clinical data, [18F]FDG PET/CT images, and follow-up of progression-free survival (PFS). We adopted a deep multi-task survival model (DeepMTS) to jointly perform prognostic prediction (DeepMTS-Score) and tumor segmentation from FDG-PET/CT images. The DeepMTS-derived segmentation masks were leveraged to extract handcrafted radiomics features, which were also used for prognostic prediction (AutoRadio-Score). Finally, we developed a multi-task deep learning-based radiomic (MTDLR) nomogram by integrating DeepMTS-Score, AutoRadio-Score, and clinical data. Harrell's concordance indices (C-index) and time-independent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis were used to evaluate the discriminative ability of the proposed MTDLR nomogram. For patient stratification, the PFS rates of high- and low-risk patients were calculated using Kaplan-Meier method and compared with the observed PFS probability.

RESULTS

Our MTDLR nomogram achieved C-index of 0.818 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.785-0.851), 0.752 (95% CI: 0.638-0.865), and 0.717 (95% CI: 0.641-0.793) and area under curve (AUC) of 0.859 (95% CI: 0.822-0.895), 0.769 (95% CI: 0.642-0.896), and 0.730 (95% CI: 0.634-0.826) in the training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts, which showed a statistically significant improvement over conventional radiomic nomograms. Our nomogram also divided patients into significantly different high- and low-risk groups.

CONCLUSION

Our study demonstrated that MTDLR nomogram can perform reliable and accurate prognostic prediction in LA-NPC patients, and also enabled better patient stratification, which could facilitate personalized treatment planning.

Genetic susceptibility loci of lung cancer are associated with malignant risk of pulmonary nodules and improve malignancy diagnosis based on CEA levels

Objective

The heightened prevalence of pulmonary nodules (PN) has escalated its significance as a public health concern. While the precise identification of high-risk PN carriers for malignancy remains an ongoing challenge, genetic variants hold potentials as determinants of disease susceptibility that can aid in diagnosis. Yet, current understanding of the genetic loci associated with malignant PN (MPN) risk is limited.

Methods

A frequency-matched case-control study was performed, comprising 247 MPN cases and 412 benign NP (BNP) controls. We genotyped 11 established susceptibility loci for lung cancer in a Chinese cohort. Loci associated with MPN risk were utilized to compute a polygenic risk score (PRS). This PRS was subsequently incorporated into the diagnostic evaluation of MPNs, with emphasis on serum tumor biomarkers.

Results

Loci rs10429489G>A, rs17038564A>G, and rs12265047A>G were identified as being associated with an increased risk of MPNs. The PRS, formulated from the cumulative risk effects of these loci, correlated with the malignant risk of PNs in a dose-dependent fashion. A high PRS was found to amplify the MPN risk by 156% in comparison to a low PRS [odds ratio (OR)=2.56, 95% confidence interval (95% CI), 1.40-4.67]. Notably, the PRS was observed to enhance the diagnostic accuracy of serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) in distinguishing MPNs from BPNs, with diagnostic values rising from 0.716 to 0.861 across low- to high-PRS categories. Further bioinformatics investigations pinpointed rs10429489G>A as an expression quantitative trait locus.

Conclusions

Loci rs10429489G>A, rs17038564A>G, and rs12265047A>G contribute to MPN risk and augment the diagnostic precision for MPNs based on serum CEA concentrations.

Wasm-iCARE: a portable and privacy-preserving web module to build, validate, and apply absolute risk models

Objective

Absolute risk models estimate an individual's future disease risk over a specified time interval. Applications utilizing server-side risk tooling, such as the R-based iCARE (R-iCARE), to build, validate, and apply absolute risk models, face serious limitations in portability and privacy due to their need for circulating user data in remote servers for operation. Our objective was to overcome these limitations.

Materials and Methods

We refactored R-iCARE into a Python package (Py-iCARE) then compiled it to WebAssembly (Wasm-iCARE): a portable web module, which operates entirely within the privacy of the user's device.

Results

We showcase the portability and privacy of Wasm-iCARE through two applications: for researchers to statistically validate risk models, and to deliver them to end-users. Both applications run entirely on the client-side, requiring no downloads or installations, and keeps user data on-device during risk calculation.

Conclusions

Wasm-iCARE fosters accessible and privacy-preserving risk tools, accelerating their validation and delivery.

Anti-Epstein-Barr Virus BNLF2b for Mass Screening for Nasopharyngeal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Population screening of asymptomatic persons with Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA or antibodies has improved the diagnosis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma and survival among affected persons. However, the positive predictive value of current screening strategies is unsatisfactory even in areas where nasopharyngeal carcinoma is endemic.

METHODS

We designed a peptide library representing highly ranked B-cell epitopes of EBV coding sequences to identify novel serologic biomarkers for nasopharyngeal carcinoma. After a retrospective case-control study, the performance of the novel biomarker anti-BNLF2b total antibody (P85-Ab) was validated through a large-scale prospective screening program and compared with that of the standard two-antibody-based screening method (EBV nuclear antigen 1 [EBNA1]-IgA and EBV-specific viral capsid antigen [VCA]-IgA).

RESULTS

P85-Ab was the most promising biomarker for nasopharyngeal carcinoma screening, with high sensitivity (94.4%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 86.4 to 97.8) and specificity (99.6%; 95% CI, 97.8 to 99.9) in the retrospective case-control study. Among the 24,852 eligible participants in the prospective cohort, 47 cases of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (38 at an early stage) were identified. P85-Ab showed higher sensitivity than the two-antibody method (97.9% vs. 72.3%; ratio, 1.4 [95% CI, 1.1 to 1.6]), higher specificity (98.3% vs. 97.0%; ratio, 1.01 [95% CI, 1.01 to 1.02]), and a higher positive predictive value (10.0% vs. 4.3%; ratio, 2.3 [95% CI, 1.8 to 2.8]). The combination of P85-Ab and the two-antibody method markedly increased the positive predictive value to 44.6% (95% CI, 33.8 to 55.9), with sensitivity of 70.2% (95% CI, 56.0 to 81.4).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that P85-Ab is a promising novel biomarker for nasopharyngeal carcinoma screening, with higher sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive value than the standard two-antibody method. (Funded by the National Key Research and Development Program of China and others; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04085900.).

High-throughput identification of regulatory elements and functional assays to uncover susceptibility genes for nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Large-scale genetic association studies have identified multiple susceptibility loci for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), but the underlying biological mechanisms remain to be explored. To gain insights into the genetic etiology of NPC, we conducted a follow-up study encompassing 6,907 cases and 10,472 controls and identified two additional NPC susceptibility loci, 9q22.33 (rs1867277; OR = 0.74, 95% CI = 0.68-0.81, p = 3.08 × 10^-11) and 17q12 (rs226241; OR = 1.42, 95% CI = 1.26-1.60, p = 1.62 × 10^-8). The two additional loci, together with two previously reported genome-wide significant loci, 5p15.33 and 9p21.3, were investigated by high-throughput sequencing for chromatin accessibility, histone modification, and promoter capture Hi-C (PCHi-C) profiling. Using luciferase reporter assays and CRISPR interference (CRISPRi) to validate the functional profiling, we identified PHF2 at locus 9q22.33 as a susceptibility gene. PHF2 encodes a histone demethylase and acts as a tumor suppressor. The risk alleles of the functional SNPs reduced the expression of the target gene PHF2 by inhibiting the enhancer activity of its long-range (4.3 Mb) cis-regulatory element, which promoted proliferation of NPC cells. In addition, we identified CDKN2B-AS1 as a susceptibility gene at locus 9p21.3, and the NPC risk allele of the functional SNP rs2069418 promoted the expression of CDKN2B-AS1 by increasing its enhancer activity. The overexpression of CDKN2B-AS1 facilitated proliferation of NPC cells. In summary, we identified functional SNPs and NPC susceptibility genes, which provides additional explanations for the genetic association signals and helps to uncover the underlying genetic etiology of NPC development.

Clinical and genome-wide association analysis of chemoradiation-induced hearing loss in nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Chemoradiation-induced hearing loss (CRIHL) is one of the most devasting side effects for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients, which seriously affects survivors' long-term quality of life. However, few studies have comprehensively characterized the risk factors for CRIHL. In this study, we found that age at diagnosis, tumor stage, and concurrent cisplatin dose were positively associated with chemoradiation-induced hearing loss. We performed a genome-wide association study (GWAS) in 777 NPC patients and identified rs1050851 (within the exon 2 of NFKBIA), a variant with a high deleteriousness score, to be significantly associated with hearing loss risk (HR = 5.46, 95% CI 2.93-10.18, P = 9.51 × 10^-08). The risk genotype of rs1050851 was associated with higher NFKBIA expression, which was correlated with lower cellular tolerance to cisplatin. According to permutation-based enrichment analysis, the variants mapping to 149 hereditary deafness genes were significantly enriched among GWAS top signals, which indicated the genetic similarity between hereditary deafness and CRIHL. Pathway analysis suggested that synaptic signaling was involved in the development of CRIHL. Additionally, the risk score integrating genetic and clinical factors can predict the risk of hearing loss with a relatively good performance in the test set. Collectively, this study shed new light on the etiology of chemoradiation-induced hearing loss, which facilitates high-risk individuals' identification for personalized prevention and treatment.

Early onset of nasopharyngeal cancer in Asian/Pacific Islander Americans revealed by age-specific analysis

PURPOSE

Incidence of nasopharyngeal cancer is substantially higher in Asian/Pacific Islanders (APIs) than other racial groups. Examining age-specific incidence patterns by racial group and histology could inform disease etiology.

METHODS

We analyzed data from 2000 through 2019 from the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program to compare age-specific incidence rates of nasopharyngeal cancer in non-Hispanic (NH) Blacks, NH APIs, and Hispanics to NH Whites using incidence rate ratios with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

NH APIs showed the highest incidence of nasopharyngeal cancer across all histologic subtypes and almost all age groups. The racial differences were most pronounced in the age 30-39 group; relative to NH Whites, NH APIs were 15.24 (95% CI: 11.69-20.05), 17.26 (95% CI: 12.56-24.07), and 8.91 (95% CI: 6.79-11.48) times as likely to have differentiated non-keratinizing, undifferentiated non-keratinizing, and keratinizing squamous cell tumors, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings suggest an earlier onset of nasopharyngeal cancer among NH APIs, which highlight unique early life exposure to critical nasopharyngeal cancer risk factors as well as genetic predisposition in this high-risk population.

Prognostic evaluation of polygenic risk score underlying pan-cancer analysis: evidence from two large-scale cohorts

BACKGROUND

Polygenic risk score (PRS) has been demonstrated to be effective in identifying individuals at high risk of developing cancer, but its prognostic value remains unclear.

METHODS

We constructed site-specific PRSs by aggregating the risk effect of independent variants derived from previous genome-wide association studies (GWASs) across 17 cancer types. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to evaluate the association of each PRS with cancer survival, leveraging data from two prospective European cohorts, namely the UK Biobank involving 19,628 incident cases and The Cancer Genome Atlas involving 7079 prevalent cases. The combined PRS (CPRS), determined by merging site-specific PRSs, was further used to assess the prognostic effect of PRS on overall cancer in a sex-specific manner.

FINDINGS

We discovered that the cancer risk-related PRS was associated with neither overall survival (OS) nor cancer-specific survival (CSS) of each site-specific cancer with an underlying false discovery rate (FDR) P > 0.05, as evidenced by consistent findings from the two cohorts. Furthermore, the fixed-effect meta-analysis of the two cohorts provided no evidence to support for an association between CPRS and overall cancer survival in both males [OS: hazard ratio (HR)_meta = 1.00, P_meta = 0.760; CSS: HR_meta = 1.01, P_meta = 0.447] and females (OS: HR_meta = 0.97, P_meta = 0.067; CSS: HR_meta = 0.96, P_meta = 0.054). Similar results were observed across multiple sensitivity analyses.

INTERPRETATION

Our findings indicate that the risk-specific PRS might not be a clinically useful tool in cancer prognosis prediction and further studies focusing on the development of polygenic prognostic score are warranted.

FUNDING

This project was funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (82173601 and 82073631), and Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions (Public Health and Preventive Medicine).

Germline Pathogenic Variants in Squamous Cell Carcinoma of the Head and Neck

Head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) presents a significant global health problem with variable geographic distribution and risk factors, including tobacco and alcohol abuse, human papillomavirus infections, and genetic predisposition. While the majority of cases are sporadic, several well-defined hereditary syndromes have been associated with a higher risk of developing HNSCC including Li-Fraumeni syndrome, Fanconi anaemia, Bloom syndrome, familial atypical multiple mole melanoma, and dyskeratosis congenita. There is also evidence of familial clusters of HNSCC, suggesting a genetic component in the development of the disease. Germ-line genetic testing in HNSCC using next-generation sequencing has revealed a wide range of germline variants, some of which were not anticipated based on standard guidelines. These variants may influence treatment decisions and have the potential to be targeted with precision medicine in the future. Despite these advances, routine germline genetic testing for HNSCC is not currently recommended and remains reserved for HNSCC cases with early onset or strong family cancer history. However, the increasing availability of germline genetic testing warrants development of more comprehensive and standardized testing protocols. Germline genetic testing also has the potential to influence precision-guided treatment in HNSCC patients carrying germline pathogenic variants.

Whole-Exome Sequencing Study of Familial Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma and Its Implication for Identifying High-Risk Individuals

BACKGROUND

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is closely associated with genetic factors and Epstein-Barr virus infection, showing strong familial aggregation. Individuals with a family history suffer elevated NPC risk, requiring effective genetic counseling for risk stratification and individualized prevention.

METHODS

We performed whole-exome sequencing on 502 familial NPC patients and 404 unaffected relatives and controls. We systematically evaluated the established cancer predisposition genes and investigated novel NPC susceptibility genes, making comparisons with 21 other familial cancers in the UK biobank (N = 5218).

RESULTS

Rare pathogenic mutations in the established cancer predisposition genes were observed in familial NPC patients, including ERCC2 (1.39%), TP63 (1.00%), MUTYH (0.80%), and BRCA1 (0.80%). Additionally, 6 novel susceptibility genes were identified. RAD54L, involved in the DNA repair pathway together with ERCC2, MUTYH, and BRCA1, showed the highest frequency (4.18%) in familial NPC. Enrichment analysis found mutations in TP63 were enriched in familial NPC, and RAD54L and EML2 were enriched in both NPC and other Epstein-Barr virus-associated cancers. Besides rare variants, common variants reported in the studies of sporadic NPC were also associated with familial NPC risk. Individuals in the top quantile of common variant-derived genetic risk score while carrying rare variants exhibited increased NPC risk (odds ratio = 13.47, 95% confidence interval = 6.33 to 28.68, P = 1.48 × 10-11); men in this risk group showed a cumulative lifetime risk of 24.19%, much higher than those in the bottom common variant-derived genetic risk score quantile and without rare variants (2.04%).

CONCLUSIONS

This study expands the catalog of NPC susceptibility genes and provides the potential for risk stratification of individuals with an NPC family history.

EBV Infection and Its Regulated Metabolic Reprogramming in Nasopharyngeal Tumorigenesis

Viral oncogenes may drive cellular metabolic reprogramming to modulate the normal epithelia cell malignant transformation. Understanding the viral oncogene–mediated signaling transduction dysregulation that involves in metabolic reprogramming may provide new therapeutic targets for virus-associated cancer treatment. Latent EBV infection and expression of viral oncogenes, including latent membrane proteins 1 and 2 (LMP1/2), and EBV-encoded BamH I-A rightward transcripts (BART) microRNAs (miR-BARTs), have been demonstrated to play fundamental roles in altering host cell metabolism to support nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) pathogenesis. Yet, how do EBV infection and its encoded oncogenes facilitated the metabolic shifting and their roles in NPC carcinogenesis remains unclear. In this review, we will focus on delineating how EBV infection and its encoded oncoproteins altered the metabolic reprograming of infected cells to support their malignances. Furthermore, based on the understanding of the host’s metabolic signaling alterations induced by EBV, we will provide a new perspective on the interplay between EBV infection and these metabolic pathways and offering a potential therapeutic intervention strategy in the treatment of EBV-associated malignant diseases.