Trends in stroke subtypes and vascular risk factors in a stroke center in China over 10 years

ABCD2-I Score Predicts Unplanned Emergency Department Revisits within 72 Hours Due to Recurrent Acute Ischemic Stroke

BACKGROUND

the ABCD2 score is valuable for predicting early stroke recurrence after a transient ischemic attack (TIA), and Doppler ultrasound can aid in expediting stroke triage. The study aimed to investigate whether combining the ABCD2 score with carotid duplex results can enhance the identification of early acute ischemic stroke after TIA.

METHODS

we employed a retrospective cohort design for this study, enrolling patients diagnosed with TIA who were discharged from the emergency department (ED). The modified ABCD2-I (c50) score, which incorporates a Doppler ultrasound assessment of internal carotid artery stenosis > 50%, was used to evaluate the risk of acute ischemic stroke within 72 h. Patients were categorized into three risk groups: low risk (with ABCD2 and ABCD2-I scores = 0-4), moderate risk (ABCD2 score = 4-5 and ABCD2-I score = 5-7), and high risk (ABCD2 score = 6-7 and ABCD2-I score = 8-9).

RESULTS

between 1 January 2014, and 31 December 2019, 1124 patients with new neurological deficits were screened, with 151 TIA patients discharged from the ED and included in the analysis. Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that patients in the high-risk group, as per the ABCD2-I (c50) score, were significantly associated with revisiting the ED within 72 h due to acute ischemic stroke (HR: 3.12, 95% CI: 1.31-7.41, p = 0.0102), while the ABCD2 alone did not show significant association (HR: 1.12, 95% CI: 0.57-2.22, p = 0.7427).

CONCLUSION

ABCD2-I (c50) scores effectively predict early acute ischemic stroke presentations to the ED within 72 h after TIA.

Correlates and consequences of atrial fibrillation in a prospective study of 25 000 participants in the China Kadoorie Biobank

Aims

The prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) is positively correlated with prior cardiovascular diseases (CVD) and CVD risk factors but is lower in Chinese than Europeans despite their higher burden of CVD. We examined the prevalence and prognosis of AF and other electrocardiogram (ECG) abnormalities in the China Kadoorie Biobank.

Methods and results

A random sample of 25 239 adults (mean age 59.5 years, 62% women) had a 12-lead ECG recorded and interpreted using a Mortara VERITAS™ algorithm in 2013-14. Participants were followed up for 5 years for incident stroke, ischaemic heart disease, heart failure (HF), and all CVD, overall and by CHA2DS2-VASc scores, age, sex, and area. Overall, 1.2% had AF, 13.6% had left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), and 28.1% had ischaemia (two-thirds of AF cases also had ischaemia or LVH). The prevalence of AF increased with age, prior CVD, and levels of CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores (0.5%, 1.3%, 2.1%, 2.9%, and 4.4% for scores <2, 2, 3, 4, and ≥5, respectively). Atrial fibrillation was associated with two-fold higher hazard ratios (HR) for CVD (2.15; 95% CI, 1.71-2.69) and stroke (1.88; 1.44-2.47) and a four-fold higher HR for HF (3.79; 2.21-6.49). The 5-year cumulative incidence of CVD was comparable for AF, prior CVD, and CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores ≥ 2 (36.7% vs. 36.2% vs. 37.7%, respectively) but was two-fold greater than for ischaemia (19.4%), LVH (18.0%), or normal ECG (14.1%), respectively.

Conclusion

The findings highlight the importance of screening for AF together with estimation of CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores for prevention of CVD in Chinese adults.

Survey of patients with stroke in the Kitakyushu Area, Japan: a 12-year retrospective analysis of the critical pathway

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to clarify the incidence, clinical profile, outcome, and activities of daily living of patients with stroke using the Kitakyushu clinical pathway database and to investigate the characteristics of patients with stroke in the Kitakyushu medical area in Japan.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The clinical data of patients with stroke registered in the Kitakyushu database between April 1, 2009 and December 31, 2021 were retrospectively examined. The National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale was used to classify stroke severity. A descriptive analysis of basic variables, including age, stroke type, length of hospital stay, and activities of daily living, according to stroke severity was conducted.

RESULTS

There were 7,487 acute care hospital patients and 5,441 rehabilitation hospital patients. Compared with patients in similar cities in Japan, patients in the Kitakyushu area tended to be older at the time of stroke onset with a higher proportion of cases of hemorrhagic stroke. Length of hospital stay in both acute and rehabilitation hospitals increased with stroke severity. The Functional Independence Measure gain was highest in patients with moderate disability.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with patients in similar cities in Japan, in the Kitakyushu area, patients with stroke were older and the proportion of patients with hemorrhagic stroke was higher. Stroke rehabilitation therapy is effective for patients with moderately severe stroke.

Treatment outcomes in post-stroke shoulder-hand syndrome: The role of combined acupuncture, traditional Chinese herb hot compress and rehabilitation training

BACKGROUND

Acupuncture, traditional Chinese herb hot compress and rehabilitation training is useful in post-stroke shoulder-hand syndrome (SHS), but it is less commonly used in combination.

OBJECTIVE

To analyse the therapeutic efficacy of a combination of acupuncture, traditional Chinese herb hot compress and rehabilitation training in SHS patients.

METHOD

Patients diagnosed with post-stroke SHS and treated from January 2022 to March 2023 at Beijing Friendship Hospital and Beijing Pinggu Hospital were selected and randomly divided into three groups (A, B and C). Group A received conventional rehabilitative treatment (35 cases), Group B underwent conventional rehabilitative treatment + acupuncture (35 cases), and Group C received conventional rehabilitative treatment + acupuncture + traditional Chinese herb hot compress treatment (35 cases). The post-treatment effectiveness rate, visual analogue scale (VAS) score, activities of daily living (ADL) score, Fugel-Meyer assessment (FMA) score, SHS assessment scale (SHSS) score and shoulder joint mobility were compared among the three groups.

RESULTS

The post-treatment VAS score (FVAS score= 232.512, P< 0.001), FMA score (FFMA score= 239.412, P< 0.001), ADL score (FADL score= 412.634, P< 0.001), SHSS score (FSHSS score= 212.542, P< 0.001) and shoulder joint mobility (FShoulder Joint Mobility= 197.531, P< 0.001) all showed statistically significant differences. The VAS and SHSS scores decreased in the order of Group A > Group B > Group C, while the FMA, ADL and shoulder joint mobility scores increased in the order of Group C > Group B > Group A. The post-treatment effectiveness rates (χ2= 48.510, P< 0.001) also exhibited statistically significant differences, decreasing in the order of Group C (94.29%) > Group B (82.86%) > Group A (71.43%).

CONCLUSION

The treatment efficacy of the combined acupuncture, traditional Chinese herb hot compress and rehabilitation training for SHS patients is significant, warranting its clinical promotion.

Heterogeneity in the diagnosis and prognosis of ischemic stroke subtypes: 9-year follow-up of 22,000 cases in Chinese adults

BACKGROUND

Reliable classification of ischemic stroke (IS) etiological subtypes is required in research and clinical practice, but the predictive properties of these subtypes in population studies with incomplete investigations are poorly understood.

AIMS

To compare the prognosis of etiologically classified IS subtypes and use machine learning (ML) to classify incompletely investigated IS cases.

METHODS

In a 9-year follow-up of a prospective study of 512,726 Chinese adults, 22,216 incident IS cases, confirmed by clinical adjudication of medical records, were assigned subtypes using a modified Causative Classification System for Ischemic Stroke (CCS) (large artery atherosclerosis (LAA), small artery occlusion (SAO), cardioaortic embolism (CE), or undetermined etiology) and classified by CCS as "evident," "probable," or "possible" IS cases. For incompletely investigated IS cases where CCS yielded an undetermined etiology, an ML model was developed to predict IS subtypes from baseline risk factors and screening for cardioaortic sources of embolism. The 5-year risks of subsequent stroke and all-cause mortality (measured using cumulative incidence functions and 1 minus Kaplan-Meier estimates, respectively) for the ML-predicted IS subtypes were compared with etiologically classified IS subtypes.

RESULTS

Among 7443 IS subtypes with evident or probable etiology, 66% had SAO, 32% had LAA, and 2% had CE, but proportions of SAO-to-LAA cases varied by regions in China. CE had the highest rates of subsequent stroke and mortality (43.5% and 40.7%), followed by LAA (43.2% and 17.4%) and SAO (38.1% and 11.1%), respectively. ML provided classifications for cases with undetermined etiology and incomplete clinical data (24% of all IS cases; n = 5276), with area under the curves (AUC) of 0.99 (0.99-1.00) for CE, 0.67 (0.64-0.70) for LAA, and 0.70 (0.67-0.73) for SAO for unseen cases. ML-predicted IS subtypes yielded comparable subsequent stroke and all-cause mortality rates to the etiologically classified IS subtypes.

CONCLUSION

This study highlighted substantial heterogeneity in prognosis of IS subtypes and utility of ML approaches for classification of IS cases with incomplete clinical investigations.

Burden of stroke and its risk factors in Yunnan Province of China, 1990-2017

BACKGROUND

There is an overall decreasing trend in stroke incidence and an increasing trend in its prevalence. Disease burden of stroke continues to increase with an increase in the absolute number. In-depth analysis of stroke burden trends in remote areas is extremely important. Our aim was to describe the disease burden of and risk factors for stroke in Yunnan, from 1990 to 2017.

METHODS

The methodological framework and analytical strategies adopted in the 2017 Global Burden of Disease study were used.

RESULTS

Age-standardized mortality associated with stroke decreased from 1.53 per 100 000 in 1990 to 1.14 per 100 000 in 2017. The prevalence of stroke in Yunnan Province increased from 344 per 100 000 in 1990 to 870 per 100 000 in 2017. The age-standardized rates of years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs) and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) decreased more significantly for women than for men. The age-standardized rates of DALYs and YLLs of stroke decreased by 24.3 and 28.4%, respectively, from 1990 to 2017, and the rate of YLDs increased by 32.5%. The top three risk factors for stroke were dietary risks, high systolic blood pressure and tobacco consumption, and their percentage contributions to the DALYs of stroke were 67.5, 51.5 and 29.1%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The burden of stroke has increased in Yunnan since 1990. The health department should emphasize on the changes of stroke risk factors and advocate healthy diet and living habits for residents.

Incidence, subtypes, sex differences and trends of stroke in Taiwan

BACKGROUND

Chinese populations have been reported higher incidence of all strokes and intracerebral hemorrhage. However, few large-scale studies have evaluated changes of stroke epidemiology in the 21st century.

METHODS

We explored the rates of incidence of all first-ever strokes, subtypes, and 1-month case fatality by using data from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database since 2004. Also, we investigated sex differences in stroke. Time-trend analysis was performed for incidence and case fatality rates of all strokes and subtypes in both sexes.

RESULTS

The age-adjusted incidence of all strokes per 100,000 person-years decreased by 16%, from 251 (95% confidence interval [CI] 249-253) in 2004 to 210 (95% CI 209-212) in 2011 (p<0.001); it was always higher in Chinese men than in women. Among pathological subtypes, the incidence of intracerebral hemorrhage markedly decreased by 26% over the years (p<0.001), while that of ischemic stroke slightly decreased by 8%. However, when stratified by sex, the incidence of ischemic stroke decreased significantly in only women, not in men (men: p = 0.399, women: p = 0.004). Regarding the incidence of subarachnoid hemorrhage, it remained unchanged. Furthermore, the rate of 1-month case fatality decreased significantly for all strokes in both sexes (p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In Taiwan, the incidence rate of first-ever stroke decreased in both Chinese men and women in the early 21st century. Men had a higher incidence rate than women. Furthermore, a marked decrease was noted in the incidence of intracerebral hemorrhage, while a slight decrease was noted in that of ischemic stroke; however, the decreased incidence of ischemic stroke was significant in only women.

Relationship Between Carotid Artery Angle and Plaque Morphology in Acute Cerebral Infarction Patients

BACKGROUND

High-resolution magnetic resonance imaging (HRMRI) can be used to clearly distinguish the luminal structure of the carotid artery (CA); measure the lumen, vessel wall, and total blood vessel area; and accurately describe the morphologic features of plaques.

METHODS

This study used HRMRI to investigate the relationship between geometric features and volume and composition of carotid atherosclerotic plaques. Patients (n=81) who had experienced acute cerebral infarction (CI) within 7±3 days before admission to the Neurology Department of Beijing Tiantan Hospital between November 2011 and June 2012 were enrolled in the study. CA HRMRI was performed to analyze the geometry and morphology of plaques in 160 blood vessels.

RESULTS

The median left and right internal carotid artery angles (ICAAs) were 32.79 and 31.00 degrees, respectively. Aside from the nonplanar external CA angle, plaque volume and angles did not differ significantly between the left and right sides. Age ( B =3.77; P =0.03) and nonplanar ICAA ( B =4.70; P =0.01) were predictors of left but not right carotid plaque volume. ICAA and bifurcation angle did not predict plaque volume.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, CA morphology in acute stroke patients is not associated with plaque volume or composition, but age and nonplanar ICAA can predict left carotid plaque volume.

Association of Red Blood Cell Distribution Width with Stroke Prognosis Among Patients with Small Artery Occlusion: A Hospital-Based Prospective Follow-Up Study

Objective

Stroke is the leading cause of mortality and disability worldwide. However, there is no study on the relationship between red blood cell distribution width and the prognosis of small artery occlusion, which is a stroke subtype. This study aimed to assess the association of red blood cell distribution width at admission with outcomes among patients with small artery occlusion.

Methods

In this hospital-based follow-up study, all included patients were diagnosed with small artery occlusion. Outcomes included death, recurrence, and dependency at 3, 12, and 36 months after stroke onset. Multivariate analysis was performed to explore the association of red blood cell distribution width with stroke outcomes.

Results

This study included 1576 patients with small artery occlusion who were followed up at 3, 12, and 36 months. For every unit increase in red blood cell distribution width, the risk of stroke recurrence and dependency increased by 5.1% (95% CI 1.002–1.102, P=0.039) at 3 months after stroke onset. At the 12-month follow-up, for every unit increase in red blood cell distribution width, the risk of stroke recurrence increased by 3.4% (95% CI 1.000–1.069, P=0.047). However, the relationship between red blood cell distribution width and mortality rate was not significant at 36 months after stroke onset after adjustment of covariates.

Conclusion

Red blood cell distribution width is an important hematological index of small artery occlusion. It may be used to predict the recurrence of acute ischemic stroke in small artery occlusion. Therefore, patients with higher baseline values of red blood cell distribution width may need more risk factor control to reduce recurrence and dependency.

Ischemic Stroke and SARS-CoV-2 Infection: The Bidirectional Pathology and Risk Morbidities

Stroke is a fatal morbidity that needs emergency medical admission and immediate medical attention. COVID-19 ischemic brain damage is closely associated with common neurological symptoms, which are extremely difficult to treat medically, and risk factors. We performed literature research about COVID-19 and ischemia in PubMed, MEDLINE, and Scopus for this current narrative review. We discovered parallel manifestations of SARS-CoV-19 infection and brain ischemia risk factors. In published papers, we discovered a similar but complex pathophysiology of SARS-CoV-2 infection and stroke pathology. A patient with other systemic co-morbidities, such as diabetes, hypertension, or any respiratory disease, has a fatal combination in intensive care management when infected with SARS-CoV-19. Furthermore, due to their shared risk factors, COVID-19 and stroke are a lethal combination for medical management to treat. In this review, we discuss shared pathophysiology, adjuvant risk factors, challenges, and advancements in stroke-associated COVID-19 therapeutics.

Time Trends in Stroke and Subtypes Mortality Attributable to Household Air Pollution in Chinese and Indian Adults: An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis Using the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Household air pollution (HAP) exposure is recognized as a major health concern in areas relied on residential burning of solid fuels for cooking and heating. However, previous study has focused on mortality across time and reported changes in age-specific mortality globally but failed to distinguish cohort from period effects. Therefore, this study aimed to differentiate the relative contributions of period and cohort effects to overall time trends of HAP-attributable stroke mortality between the most presentative East and South Asia countries. Data were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database. The age, period, and cohort effects were estimated using the age-period-cohort (APC) model. The overall age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) of stroke in China decreased by 39.8% compared with 35.8% in India, while stroke subtypes in both the sexes and countries showed consecutive significant declines from 1990 to 2019. The age-specific and cohort-specific HAP-attributable stroke mortality declined over time in China and India. By APC analysis, substantially increasing age effects were presented for stroke and subtypes from 25 to 84 years. China had a rapid reduction in the independent period and cohort effects. Also, the risk of death for subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) had the most striking decline for both sexes in period and cohort effects. Reductions of India were less favorable than China, but the independent period and cohort effects progressively decreased during the entire period for both the sexes. Males experienced a slightly higher mortality risk than females in both countries. Although prominent reductions were observed in HAP-attributable stroke and subtypes mortality during the past 30 years, China and India still suffered uneven HAP-attributable stroke burden. Thus, it is of high significance to introduce advanced solid fuels replace technology and knowledge regarding clean fuel use.

A Mendelian randomization analysis of the relationship between cardioembolic risk factors and ischemic stroke

Observational studies have shown that several risk factors are associated with cardioembolic stroke. However, whether such associations reflect causality remains unknown. We aimed to determine whether established and provisional cardioembolic risk factors are causally associated with cardioembolic stroke. Genetic instruments for atrial fibrillation (AF), myocardial infarction (MI), electrocardiogram (ECG) indices and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-pro BNP) were obtained from large genetic consortiums. Summarized data of ischemic stroke and its subtypes were extracted from the MEGASTROKE consortium. Causal estimates were calculated by applying inverse-variance weighted analysis, weighted median analysis, simple median analysis and Mendelian randomization (MR)-Egger regression. Genetically predicted AF was significantly associated with higher odds of ischemic stroke (odds ratio (OR): 1.20, 95% confidence intervals (CI): 1.16-1.24, P = 6.53 × 10^-30) and cardioembolic stroke (OR: 1.95, 95% CI: 1.85-2.06, P = 8.81 × 10^-125). Suggestive associations were found between genetically determined resting heart rate and higher odds of ischemic stroke (OR: 1.01, 95% CI: 1.00-1.02, P = 0.005), large-artery atherosclerotic stroke (OR: 1.02, 95% CI: 1.00-1.04, P = 0.026) and cardioembolic stroke (OR: 1.02, 95% CI: 1.00-1.04, P = 0.028). There was no causal association of P-wave terminal force in the precordial lead V1 (PTFVI), P-wave duration (PWD), NT-pro BNP or PR interval with ischemic stroke or any subtype.

Prevalence and Effect of Cerebral Small Vessel Disease in Stroke Patients With Aspirin Treatment Failure-A Hospital-Based Stroke Secondary Prevention Registry

Background: Breakthrough strokes during treatment with aspirin, termed clinical aspirin treatment failure (ATF), is common in clinical practice. The burden of cerebral small vessel disease (SVD) is associated with an increased recurrent ischemic stroke risk. However, the association between SVD and ATF remains unclear. This study investigated the prevalence and clinical characteristics of SVD in stroke patients with ATF.

Methods: Data from a prospective, and multicenter stroke with ATF registry established in 2018 in Taiwan were used, and 300 patients who developed ischemic stroke concurrent with regular use of aspirin were enrolled. White matter lesions (WMLs) and cerebral microbleeds (CMBs) were identified using the Fazekas scale and Microbleed Anatomical Rating Scale, respectively. Demographic data, cardiovascular comorbidities, and index stroke characteristics of patients with different WML and CMB severities were compared. Logistic regression analyses were performed to explore the factors independently associated with outcomes after ATF.

Results: The mean patient age was 69.5 ± 11.8 years, and 70.0% of patients were men. Among all patients, periventricular WML (PVWML), deep WML (DWML), and CMB prevalence was 93.3, 90.0, and 52.5%, respectively. Furthermore, 46.0% of the index strokes were small vessel occlusions. Severe PVWMLs and DWMLs were significantly associated with high CMB burdens. Patients with moderate-to-severe PVWMLs and DWMLs were significantly older and had higher cardiovascular comorbidity prevalence than did patients with no or mild WMLs. Moreover, patients with favorable outcomes exhibited significantly low prevalence of severe PVWMLs (p = 0.001) and DWMLs (p = 0.001). After logistic regression was applied, severe WMLs predicted less favorable outcomes independently, compared with those with no to moderate PVWMLs and DWMLs [odds ratio (OR), 0.47; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.25–0.87 for severe PVWMLs; OR, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.21–0.79 for severe DWMLs].

Conclusions: SVD is common in stroke patients with ATF. PVWMLs and DWMLs are independently associated with functional outcomes in stroke patients with ATF. The burden of SVD should be considered in future antiplatelet strategies for stroke patients after ATF.

Blood-Based Biomarkers Are Associated with Different Ischemic Stroke Mechanisms and Enable Rapid Classification between Cardioembolic and Atherosclerosis Etiologies

Stroke is a top leading cause of death, which occurs due to interference in the blood flow of the brain. Ischemic stroke (blockage) accounts for most cases (87%) and is further subtyped into cardioembolic, atherosclerosis, lacunar, other causes, and cryptogenic strokes. The main value of subtyping ischemic stroke patients is for a better therapeutic decision-making process. The current classification methods are complex and time-consuming (hours to days). Specific blood-based biomarker measurements have promising potential to improve ischemic stroke mechanism classification. Over the past decades, the hypothesis that different blood-based biomarkers are associated with different ischemic stroke mechanisms is increasingly investigated. This review presents the recent studies that investigated blood-based biomarker characteristics differentiation between ischemic stroke mechanisms. Different blood-based biomarkers are specifically discussed (b-type natriuretic peptide, d-dimer, c-reactive protein, tumor necrosis factor-α, interleukin-6, interleukin-1β, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, total cholesterol, triglycerides, low-density lipoprotein, high-density lipoprotein and apolipoprotein A), as well as the different cut-off values that may be useful in specific classifications for cardioembolic and atherosclerosis etiologies. Lastly, the structure of a point-of-care biosensor device is presented, as a measuring tool on-site. The information presented in this review will hopefully contribute to the major efforts to improve the care for stroke patients.

Comparison of Three Instruments for Activity Disability in Acute Ischemic Stroke Survivors

BACKGROUND

Disabilities in physical activity and functional independence affect the early rehabilitation of stroke survivors. Moreover, a good instrument for assessing activity disability allows accurate assessment of physical disability and assists in prognosis determination.

OBJECTIVE

To compare three assessment tools for physical activity in acute-phase stroke survivors.

METHODS

We conducted this prospective observational study at an affiliated hospital of a Medical University in Shanghai, China, from June 2018 to November 2019. We administered three instruments to all patients during post-stroke days 5-7, including the Modified Barthel Index (MBI), Instrumental Activities of Daily Living (IADL), and modified Rankin scale (mRs). We analyzed correlations among the aforementioned scales and the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) using Spearman's rank-order correlations test. Univariate analyses were performed using the Mann-Whitney U test. We used a binary logistic regression model to assess the association between the NIHSS (30 days) and patient-related variables. Finally, we used receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves to assess the predictive value of the multivariate regression models.

RESULTS

There was a high correlation among the three instruments; furthermore, the MBI had a higher correlation with the NIHSS (days 5-7). The NIHSS (day 30) was correlated with thrombolysis. ROC analysis revealed that the mRs-measured disability level had the highest predictive value of short-term stroke severity (30 days).

CONCLUSION

The MBI was the best scale for measuring disability in physical activity, whereas the mRs showed better accuracy in short-term prediction of stroke severity.

Stroke in China: advances and challenges in epidemiology, prevention, and management

With over 2 million new cases annually, stroke is associated with the highest disability-adjusted life-years lost of any disease in China. The burden is expected to increase further as a result of population ageing, an ongoing high prevalence of risk factors (eg, hypertension), and inadequate management. Despite improved access to overall health services, the availability of specialist stroke care is variable across the country, and especially uneven in rural areas. In-hospital outcomes have improved because of a greater availability of reperfusion therapies and supportive care, but adherence to secondary prevention strategies and long-term care are inadequate. Thrombolysis and stroke units are accepted as standards of care across the world, including in China, but bleeding-risk concerns and organisational challenges hamper widespread adoption of this care in China. Despite little supporting evidence, Chinese herbal products and neuroprotective drugs are widely used, and the increased availability of neuroimaging techniques also results in overdiagnosis and overtreatment of so-called silent stroke. Future efforts should focus on providing more balanced availability of specialised stroke services across the country, enhancing evidence-based practice, and encouraging greater translational research to improve outcome of patients with stroke.

Age as a prognostic factor of 30-day mortality in hemorrhagic stroke patients: A Thai large tertiary care referral center

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the present study was to identify incidences and prognostic factors for 30-day mortality of hemorrhagic strokes (HS) and divide them into intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH).

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study was conducted using medical records of patients who underwent surgery due to HS, between January 2013 and April 2017, at Chiang Mai University Hospital, a large tertiary referral center, in Northern Thailand. 30-day mortality was followed after surgery. Prognostic factors included patients' characteristics, and clinical date related to early death, were determined. Data analysis was performed using Cox's proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

460 patients were enrolled. The 30-day mortality rate was 8.8% and 12.3%, in ICH and SAH patients, respectively. Multivariable analyses demonstrated that the prognostic factors of early mortality in ICH patients were age 65-70 years (Adjusted HR 3.10 (95%CI 1.14-8.41)), >70 years (Adj.HR 2.64 (95%CI 1.09-6.36)) and hypertension (HT) (Adj.HR 2.98 (95%CI 1.25-7.12)). In SAH patients, prognostic factors were HT (Adj.HR 7.32 (95%CI 2.12-25.29)), and atrial fibrillation (AF) (Adj.HR 5.48 (95% CI 1.57-19.09)).

CONCLUSIONS

Ages over 65 years and HT were an important predictor of 30-day mortality in a subgroup of ICH patients, whereas HT and AF were significant prognostic factors in SAH. To reduce early death, management for stroke cases needed to take into account the specifics for older age patients with HT, and AF.

Trends in Outcomes of Patients With Ischemic Stroke Treated Between 2002 and 2016

Background:

Little is known about long-term trends in outcomes of patients with ischemic stroke in China. We aimed to assess longitudinal trends in these outcomes over the past 15 years in China and explore possible factors behind the trends.

Methods and Results:

Patients with ischemic stroke admitted to the Department of Neurology at West China Hospital were prospectively and consecutively enrolled in a central registry since 2002, and the present study analyzed data from those admitted to hospital within 7 days of stroke during the period 2002 to 2016. Patients were binned into three 5-year intervals for temporal analysis. Death, disability, and death/disability at 3 and 12 months after stroke were compared among the time intervals across the entire sample and in subsets stratified by age (<65 or ≥65 years). To explore the possible factors related to the trends in outcomes, interaction between the factors and time on outcomes was entered separately into the multivariable logistic regression model. Of 6462 patients with ischemic stroke in the final analysis, 3837 (59.4%) were men, and mean age was 64.2 years (SD, 13.7). Mean age at stroke onset and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score at admission decreased significantly during the 15-year period ( P <0.001). Between 2002 to 2006 and 2012 to 2016, cumulative incidences declined significantly for death at 3 months (from 9.6% to 6.4%), disability at 3 months (from 36.8% to 28.7%), and death/disability at 3 months (from 42.9% to 33.3%), as well as for death at 12 months (from 15.9% to 10.7%), disability at 12 months (from 23.2% to 17.6%), and death/disability at 12 months (from 35.4% to 26.4%; all P <0.001). The decreases in disability and death/disability at 3 and 12 months between 2002 to 2006 and 2012 to 2016 remained significant after adjusting for confounders, and the results were similar for the entire cohort and for subgroups of patients <65 or ≥65 years. Only interactions of National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score on admission and time period (2012–2016) were found to significantly correlate with disability and death/disability at 3 and 12 months (all P ≤0.03).

Conclusions:

Our study from a large medical center in southwest China suggests that since 2002, risks of disability and death/disability at 3 and 12 months after ischemic stroke have declined. This appears to be due, at least in part, to a significant decline in National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score on admission, which may reflect greater public awareness of stroke detection, willingness to seek medical attention, and ease of access to healthcare infrastructure. The factors behind this apparent improvement require further study.

In-hospital recurrence in a Chinese large cohort with acute ischemic stroke

Acute ischemic stroke (AIS) has a high risk of recurrence, particularly in the early stage. The purpose of this study was to assess the frequency and risk factors of in-hospital recurrence in patients with AIS in China. A retrospective analysis was performed of all of the patients with new-onset AIS who were hospitalized in the past three years. Recurrence was defined as a new stroke event, with an interval between the primary and recurrent events greater than 24 hours; other potential causes of neurological deterioration were excluded. The risk factors for recurrence were analyzed using univariate and logistic regression analyses. A total of 1,021 patients were included in this study with a median length of stay of 14 days (interquartile range,11-18). In-hospital recurrence occurred in 58 cases (5.68%), primarily during the first five days of hospitalization. In-hospital recurrence significantly prolonged the hospital stay (P < 0.001), and the in-hospital mortality was also significantly increased (P = 0.006). The independent risk factors for in-hospital recurrence included large artery atherosclerosis, urinary or respiratory infection and abnormal blood glucose, whereas recurrence was less likely to occur in the patients with aphasia. Our study showed that the patients with AIS had a high rate of in-hospital recurrence, and the recurrence mainly occurred in the first five days of the hospital stay. In-hospital recurrence resulted in a prolonged hospital stay and a higher in-hospital mortality rate.

Trends in cerebrovascular diseases mortality in Serbia, 1997-2016: a nationwide descriptive study

OBJECTIVES

Over the last decades, mortality from cerebrovascular diseases (CVDs) has decreased in many countries. The aim of this study was to assess the trends of CVDs mortality in Serbia.

METHODS

Descriptive epidemiological study. Age-standardised rates (ASRs) for CVDs mortality were assessed by joinpoint regression analysis to identify significant changes in trends and estimate annual per cent changes with 95% CI. The age-period-cohort analysis has been used to describe variations in mortality.

RESULTS

Over this 20-year period, there were 312 847 deaths from CVDs, with the overall average annual ASR of 148.4 per 100 000. The trend of ASRs from CVDs mortality in males in Serbia showed a significant joinpoint: rates insignificantly decreased from 1997 to 2005 by -0.8% per year (95% CI -1.7% to 0.2%) and thereafter rapidly decreased by -5.0% per year (95% CI -5.6% to -4.5%). A joinpoint for females was found in 2006: the mortality trend was first significantly decreasing by -1.0% per year (95% CI -1.9% to -0.0%) and then sharply falling down by -6.0% per year (95% CI -6.8% to -5.3%). Results of age-period-cohort analysis indicated that the relative risk for CVDs mortality showed statistically significant (p<0.05) cohort and period effects, as well as the net drift and local drifts in Serbian population. The trends in mortality for all subtypes of CVDs were similar in both sexes: trends significantly decreased for most subtypes, with the exception of a significant increase for cerebral infarction.

CONCLUSIONS

After a decade of increase, CVDs mortality rates are declining in last decade in Serbia. However, mortality rates from CVDs remain exceedingly high in Serbia. Differences in mortality trends of the stroke subtypes should be taken into account in the creation of both prevention and treatment guidelines.