Pretreatment rate of decay in forced vital capacity predicts long-term response to pirfenidone in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

Baseline Blood Levels of Mucin-1 Are Associated with Crucial On-Treatment Adverse Outcomes in Patients with Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis Receiving Antifibrotic Pirfenidone

Mucin-1 is a multi-functional glycoprotein expressed by type II alveolocytes and may be detectable in the circulation following pulmonary fibrosis. The prognostic utility of baseline pre-treatment blood levels of mucin-1 in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) receiving antifibrotics has not yet been fully established. We retrospectively studied a cohort of patients (from two hospitals) with IPF who were receiving pirfenidone for >12 weeks. Baseline blood mucin-1 levels were measured via sandwich enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays. We investigated the performance of mucin-1 levels in longitudinally predicting the risks of acute exacerbation of IPF (AE-IPF) and severe adverse outcomes (SAO), including lung transplantation and death. Seventy patients were included; 20 developed AE-IPF; and 31 had SAO during the follow-up period. Patients with baseline mucin-1 levels ≥2.5 ng/mL had enhanced risks of AE-IPF (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 14.07; 95% confidence interval [CI], 4.26-46.49) and SAO within 2 years (aHR, 7.87; 95% CI, 2.86-21.70) and anytime during the follow-up (aHR, 4.68; 95% CI, 2.11-10.39). The risks increased across subgroups with increasing mucin-1 levels. Patients in the "mucin-1 ≥ 2.5" group also exhibited an accelerated decline in DLCO. This study supports baseline blood mucin-1 levels as a biomarker for IPF that predicts adverse outcomes during pirfenidone treatment.

Diagnostic finding on high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) predicts a good response to pirfenidone in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a debilitating condition, with a life expectancy of 2 to 5 years after diagnosis. Pirfenidone is a drug that has been shown to reduce the decline in forced vital capacity (FVC). We sought to identify whether different patterns on high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) have different clinical effects through a retrospective comparison of baseline values and changes in pulmonary function tests (PFTs) after treatment with pirfenidone. We retrospectively analyzed data from IPF patients treated with pirfenidone at Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital in Jiangsu Province, China. According to the HRCT pattern, the patients were divided into usual interstitial pneumonitis (UIP) and possible UIP groups. Baseline clinical characteristics and changes every 6 months in the PFTs during the follow-up period were compared between the 2 groups. A total of 65 consecutive patients were enrolled. According to the HRCT pattern, patients were clustered into the UIP group (n = 46) and possible UIP group (n = 19). No difference was observed in the baseline PFTs ratio between the 2 groups. The FVC values of the 2 groups were not significantly different at the initial treatment and at 6 and 12 months after pirfenidone treatment (P = .081, 0.099, and 0.236, respectively). The improvement in % diffusion capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (%DLCO) was higher in the possible UIP group after 6 and 12 months of pirfenidone treatment (P = .149, 0.026, and 0.025, respectively). The annual decrease in FVC was not significantly different between the 2 groups, and the annual decrease in %DLCO in the UIP group was significantly higher than that in patients with the possible UIP type (-7.767 ± 12.797 vs 0.342 ± 20.358, P < .05). These results indicate that patients with IPF with a possible UIP pattern on HRCT showed indications of a good response to pirfenidone.

Effects of Pirfenidone on Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis Progression and Safety: Results of Multicenter Prospective Observational Study

The aim of this study was to determine the effectiveness of pirfenidone in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) seen in clinical practice. Fifty-five adults with IPF were enrolled in this multicenter, open-label, non-randomized, non-controlled, interventional clinical study. All patients received pirfenidone 2403 mg/day (three 267 mg capsules three times daily) for 26 weeks. After 26 weeks of treatment, the mean change in absolute forced vital capacity (FVC) was 128.8 mL (95% confidence interval [CI] -26.8, 284.4) and the mean change in relative predicted FVC was -0.10% (95% CI -3.18, 2.99). Stable disease (defined as improvement of ≥0% or a decline of <10% to 0% of the corresponding FVC value) was observed in most patients (relative FVC, 90.9%; absolute FVC, 83.6%). There was no statistically significant change in the mean high-resolution computed tomography fibrosis score or lung opacity score at week 26 compared with baseline. Treatment-emergent adverse events were reported in 80% of patients during the treatment period; most of them were mild or moderate in severity. No serious pirfenidone-related adverse events were observed during the study period. Pirfenidone was generally safe and effective for controlling functional decline and stabilizing disease in patients with IPF encountered in clinical practice in Russia.

Radiological Assessment in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) Patients According to MUC5B Polymorphism

The MUC5B rs35705950 mutant T allele is the strongest genetic risk factor for familial and sporadic IPF. We sought to determine whether MUC5B genotype influences radiological patterns of IPF at diagnosis, as well as their change over time, in patients on antifibrotic therapy. Among eighty-eight IPF patients, previously genotyped for MUC5B rs35705950, we considered seventy-eight patients who were evaluated for radiological quantification of the following features both at treatment initiation (HRCT1) and after 1 year (HRCT2): ground glass opacities (AS), reticulations (IS) and honeycombing (HC). Of the evaluated patients, 69% carried at least one copy of the T allele (TT/TG). Carriers of the T allele displayed similar FVC loss in the first year of treatment as GG carriers, but overall survival at the end of follow-up was longer in the TT/TG group, compared to the GG group. In the GG group, both the AS and HC increased significantly, whereas in the TT/TG group only HC increased over the first year of treatment. MUC5B rs35705950 GG carriers are associated with increased ground glass and honeycombing extent over time and worse survival than T allele carriers. Longitudinal HRCT may help define the prognostic role of the MUC5B rs35705950 genotype.

Prognostic role of MUC5B rs35705950 genotype in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) on antifibrotic treatment

BACKGROUND

A common variant located in the promoter region of MUC5B (rs35705950) is the strongest risk factor for sporadic and familiar IPF, as well as a predictor of outcome. However, there are no data on the effect of MUC5B rs35705950 genotype on the prognosis of IPF patients on antifibrotic treatment. The aim of this study is to determine, in a phenotypically well-characterized population of patients with IPF treated with antifibrotics, the impact of MUC5B rs35705950 genotype on disease progression and survival.

METHODS

88 IPF patients on antifibrotic treatment were followed-up from 2014 until transplantation, death or end of follow-up (December 2019). Disease progression was defined as a forced vital capacity (FVC) loss ≥ 5% per year. All patients were genotyped for MUC5B rs35705950 by PCR amplification and Sanger sequencing.

RESULTS

Out of 88 patients, 61 (69%) carried the mutant T allele (TT or TG) and 27 (31%) did not (GG). Carriage of the MUC5B rs35705950 T allele was not associated with a faster decline in FVC. Conversely, at the end of the follow-up, overall survival in carriers of the TT/TG genotype was longer compared to that of the GG genotype carriers. FVC (L) at baseline and time to respiratory failure at rest were independent predictors of worse prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

In IPF patients on antifibrotic treatment, carriage of the MUC5B rs35705950 T allele is associated with longer survival, highlighting the usefulness of MUC5B genetic data in clinical decision making.

Real world experience of response to pirfenidone in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a two centre retrospective study

Introduction:

Pirfenidone has been shown to reduce the decline in forced vital capacity (FVC) compared to placebo in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). Previous studies have suggested that patients with a more rapid decline in FVC during the period before starting pirfenidone experience the greatest benefit from treatment. The purpose of this retrospective observational study was to investigate the response to pirfenidone in IPF patients, comparing two groups stratified by the annual rate of decline in FVC % predicted prior to treatment.

Methods:

Using the rate of decline in FVC % predicted in the 12 months prior to pirfenidone, patients were stratified into slow (<5%) or rapid (≥5%) decliner groups. Comparisons in the lung function response to pirfenidone in these two groups were performed.

Results:

Pirfenidone resulted in no statistically significant reduction in the median annual rate of decline in FVC or FVC % predicted. In the rapid decliners, pirfenidone significantly reduced the median (IQR) annual rate of decline in FVC % predicted (-8.7 (-14.2 – -7.0) %/yr vs 2.0 (-7.1 – 6.0) %/yr; n=17; p<0.01). In the slow decliners, pirfenidone did not reduce the median (IQR) annual rate of decline in FVC % predicted (-1.3 (-3.2 – 1.3) %/yr vs -5.0 (-8.3 – -0.35) %/yr; n=17; p=0.028).

Conclusions:

We demonstrate the greater net effect of pirfenidone in IPF patients declining rapidly. We suggest that using an annual rate of decline in FVC of <5% and ≥5% may be useful in counselling patients with regard to pirfenidone treatment. (Sarcoidosis Vasc Diffuse Lung Dis 2020; 37 (2): 218-224)

Prognostic significance of forced vital capacity decline prior to and following antifibrotic therapy in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

Background:

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a progressive and fatal interstitial lung disease (ILD). Currently, two antifibrotic drugs are available for reducing forced vital capacity (FVC) decline in IPF. However, many pulmonologists wait before initiating treatment, especially when IPF patients have stable disease. This study aimed to investigate the impact on survival outcome of FVC decline and a slow rate of FVC decline prior to and following treatment with these two antifibrotic drugs.

Methods:

Out of the 235 IPF patients treated with antifibrotic therapy that were screened, 105 cases were eligible, who then underwent physiological evaluation at 6 months prior to and following antifibrotic therapy. Clinical characteristics and prognostic outcomes were compared among groups, and prognostic factors were evaluated using a Cox proportional hazards analysis.

Results:

In terms of %FVC decline prior to the therapy and a slow rate of FVC decline, there was no significant difference between stable and worsened groups and responder and non-responder groups, respectively. On the other hand, in terms of %FVC decline (decline >5%) following antifibrotic therapy, the stable/improved group had significantly better prognosis than the worsened group. Prognostic analysis revealed that a stable/improved status following antifibrotic therapy [HR: 0.35 (0.15–0.87)] was significantly associated with a better prognosis.

Conclusions:

Concerning the FVC decline prior to and following antifibrotic therapy and a slow rate of FVC decline, only the FVC decline following the therapy is associated with a greater survival outcome. An early treatment decision may thus be beneficial for IPF.

The reviews of this paper are available via the supplemental material section.

Modelling Forced Vital Capacity in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis: Optimising Trial Design

Introduction

Forced vital capacity is the only registrational endpoint in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis clinical trials. As most new treatments will be administered on top of standard of care, estimating treatment response will become more challenging. We developed a simulation model to quantify variability associated with forced vital capacity decline.

Methods

The model is based on publicly available clinical trial summary and home spirometry data. A single, illustrative trial setting is reported. Model assumptions are 400 subjects randomised 1:1 to investigational drug or placebo over 52 weeks, 50% of each group receiving standard of care (all-comer population), and a 90-mL treatment difference in annual forced vital capacity decline. Longitudinal profiles were simulated and the impact of varying clinical scenarios evaluated.

Results

Power to detect a significant treatment difference was 87–97%, depending on the analysis method. Repeated measures analysis generally outperformed analysis of covariance and mixed linear models, particularly with missing data (as simulated data were non-linear). A 15% yearly random dropout rate led to 0.6–5% power loss. Forced vital capacity decline-related dropout introduced greater power loss (up to 12%), as did subjects starting/stopping standard of care or investigational drug. Power was substantially lower for a 26-week trial due to the smaller assumed treatment effect at week 26 (sample size would need doubling to reach a power similar to that of a 52-week trial).

Conclusions

Our model quantifies forced vital capacity decline and associated variability, with all the caveats of background therapy, permitting robust power calculations to inform future idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis clinical trial design.

Funding

Galapagos NV (Mechelen, Belgium).

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s12325-019-01093-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

High-Resolution CT Change over Time in Patients with Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis on Antifibrotic Treatment

Antifibrotic treatment slows down functional decline and disease progression in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). High-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) is useful to diagnose IPF; however, little is known about whether and to what extent HRCT changes reflect functional changes during antifibrotic therapy. The aim of this study was, therefore, to assess HRCT change over time after 1 year of treatment and to evaluate whether these changes correlate with functional decline over the same period of time. Sixty-eight IPF patients on antifibrotic treatment (i.e., pirfenidone or nintedanib) were functionally categorized as stable or progressors based on whether (or not) they had a decline in forced vital capacity (FVC) >5% predicted/year, and their HRCT were scored blindly and independently by two expert thoracic radiologists at treatment initiation (HRCT1) and after 1 year of treatment (HRCT2). Ground glass opacities (Alveolar Score, AS), reticulations (Interstitial Score, IS) and honeycombing (HC) were quantified and correlated with FVC decline between HRCT1 and HRCT2. At treatment initiation, HRCT scores were similar in both stable patients and progressors. After one year of treatment, in the entire population, AS and HC increased significantly, while IS did not. However, when stratified by the rate of functional decline, in stable patients, HC increased significantly while AS and IS did not. On the other hand, among progressors AS and HC increased significantly whereas IS did not. In the entire population, the combined score of fibrosis (IS + HC) correlated significantly with FVC decline. In conclusion, IPF patients on antifibrotic treatment exhibit different patterns of HRCT change over time based on their rate of functional decline. HRCT data should be integrated to lung function data when assessing response to antifibrotic treatment in patients with IPF.

A Phase 1b Study of Vismodegib with Pirfenidone in Patients with Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

INTRODUCTION

Components of the hedgehog signaling pathway are upregulated in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). Vismodegib, a small-molecule inhibitor of hedgehog signaling, when used in combination with currently available antifibrotic therapy, may be more efficacious than antifibrotics alone. The objective of this study was to evaluate the safety and tolerability of vismodegib plus pirfenidone in patients with IPF.

METHODS

Twenty-one patients were enrolled in a phase 1b open-label trial to receive vismodegib 150 mg plus pirfenidone 2403 mg/day once daily. Key endpoints were safety, tolerability, and pharmacokinetics. Exploratory endpoints included change from baseline to week 24 in % predicted forced vital capacity (FVC) and University of California, San Diego Shortness of Breath Questionnaire (UCSD-SOBQ) scores, as well as pharmacodynamic changes in hedgehog biomarker C-X-C motif chemokine ligand 14 (CXCL14).

RESULTS

All patients reported at least one treatment-emergent adverse event (AE), most frequently muscle spasms (76.2%). Serious AEs were reported in 14.3% of patients; one event of dehydration was considered related to vismodegib. One patient died due to IPF progression, unrelated to either treatment. More patients discontinued vismodegib than pirfenidone (42.9% vs. 33.3%, respectively). Changes from baseline to week 24 in % predicted FVC and UCSD-SOBQ scores were within known endpoint variability. In contrast to findings in basal cell carcinoma, vismodegib had no effect on circulating CXCL14 levels.

CONCLUSION

The safety profile was generally consistent with the known profiles of both drugs, with no new safety signals observed in this small cohort. There was no pharmacodynamic effect on CXCL14 levels. Future development of vismodegib for IPF may be limited due to tolerability issues.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02648048. Plain language summary available for this article.

FUNDING

F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd. and Genentech, Inc.

High-Resolution Computed Tomography (HRCT) Reflects Disease Progression in Patients with Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF): Relationship with Lung Pathology

High-Resolution Computed Tomography (HRCT) plays a central role in diagnosing Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) while its role in monitoring disease progression is not clearly defined. Given the variable clinical course of the disease, we evaluated whether HRCT abnormalities predict disease behavior and correlate with functional decline in untreated IPF patients. Forty-nine patients (with HRCT₁) were functionally categorized as rapid or slow progressors. Twenty-one had a second HRCT₂. Thirteen patients underwent lung transplantation and pathology was quantified. HRCT Alveolar (AS) and Interstitial Scores (IS) were assessed and correlated with Forced Vital Capacity (FVC) decline between HRCT₁ and HRCT₂. At baseline, AS was greater in rapids than in slows, while IS was similar in the two groups. In the 21 subjects with HRCT₂, IS increased over time in both slows and rapids, while AS increased only in rapids. The IS change from HRCT₁ to HRCT₂ normalized per month correlated with FVC decline/month in the whole population, but the change in AS did not. In the 13 patients with pathology, the number of total lymphocytes was higher in rapids than in slows and correlated with AS. Quantitative estimation of HRCTs AS and IS reflects the distinct clinical and pathological behavior of slow and rapid decliners. Furthermore, AS, which reflects the immune/inflammatory infiltrate in lung tissue, could be a useful tool to differentiate rapid from slow progressors at presentation.

Integrating Genomics Into Management of Fibrotic Interstitial Lung Disease

Fibrotic interstitial lung diseases (ILDs) have a high mortality rate with an unpredictable disease course and clinical features that frequently overlap. Recent data indicate important roles for genomics in the mechanisms underlying susceptibility and progression of pulmonary fibrosis. The impact of these genomic markers on pharmacotherapy and their contribution to outcomes is increasingly recognized. Interstitial lung abnormalities, frequently considered representative of early ILD, have been consistently associated with the MUC5B promoter polymorphism, a common gene variant. Other rare gene variant mutations, including TERT, TERC, SFTPC, and DKC1, may be present in patients with familial interstitial pneumonia and are frequently associated with a usual interstitial pneumonia pattern of fibrosis. The minor allele of the MUC5B rs35705950 genotype is prevalent in several sporadic forms of ILD, including idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis and chronic hypersensitivity pneumonitis. Gene mutations that characterize familial pulmonary fibrosis may be present in patients with connective tissue disease-related ILD, such as rheumatoid arthritis-ILD. Additionally, shorter telomere lengths and mutations in telomere biology-related genes have been demonstrated in both familial and sporadic ILD, with significant implications for disease progression, lung function, and survival. An improved understanding of the impact of genetic and genomic risk factors on disease progression would better guide personalized therapeutic choices in persons with fibrotic ILD.

Medication persistence rates and predictive factors for discontinuation of antifibrotic agents in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a real-world observational study

BACKGROUND

In patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), continuing treatment with antifibrotic agents is crucial to decrease the reduction of forced vital capacity and mortality rate. However, predictive factors for the discontinuation of antifibrotic agents are unknown. This study aims to investigate the clinical characteristics and predictive factors for the discontinuation of antifibrotic agents in patients with IPF.

METHODS

This was a double-center retrospective study that enrolled patients with IPF treated with pirfenidone or nintedanib between 2009 and 2017. We compared clinical parameters between the medication-continuing group and the discontinued group. The predictive factors were determined using Cox proportional hazards analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 66 subjects were included: 43 received pirfenidone and 23 received nintedanib. At 1 year, 23 of 66 patients had discontinued due to adverse events (n = 12), disease progression (n = 9), or death (n = 2). The characteristics of the discontinuation group were poor performance status (PS) and delay from diagnosis to treatment. In the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis associated with the discontinuation of antifibrotic agents, PS was the highest area under the ROC curve (AUC) value (cut-off value, 2; AUC, 0.83; specificity, 63%; sensitivity, 87%). This finding was consistent even when analyzing, except for examples of death and adjusting for the type of antifibrotic agent. The treatment persistence rate by PS was PS 0-1 = 90%, PS 2 = 65%, and PS 3 = 19%. Analysis of the relationship between PS and administration period of antifibrotic agents revealed that delays from diagnosis to treatment led to worsening of dyspnea, a decline in lung function, and deterioration of PS.

CONCLUSIONS

PS may be informative for predicting discontinuation of medication. Our data reinforced the importance of early initiation of antifibrotic treatment, and we suggest PS should be used as a guide for starting antifibrotic agents in everyday practice. The reviews of this paper are available via the supplementary material section.