The effects of comorbidity on colorectal cancer mortality in an Australian cancer population

Mortality rate and predictors of colorectal cancer patients in Ethiopia: a systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

The incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) has been increasing in Sub-Saharan countries, including Ethiopia. However, the real mortality rate for CRC patients in Ethiopia has not been established. Therefore, this systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to determine the overall mortality rate and identify predictors among CRC patients in Ethiopia.

METHODS

PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, Scopus, Science Direct, and Google Scholar were searched to identify relevant articles. The preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses (PRISMA) were followed. The quality of the included studies was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale Critical Appraisal checklist. A random effect model was used to estimate the pooled mortality rate and adjusted hazard ratio (AHR). Publication bias was assessed using funnel plots and Egger's regression test, while heterogeneity was evaluated through the Cochran Q test and I2 statistics.

RESULTS

After reviewing 74 articles, only 7 studies met the criteria and were included in the analysis. The analysis revealed that the overall mortality rate among CRC patients in Ethiopia was 40.5% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 32.05, 48.87) while the survival rates at 1 year, 3 years, and 5 years were 82.3% (95% CI: 73.33, 91.31), 48.8% (95% CI: 43.35, 54.32), and 26.6% (95% CI: 21.26, 31.91) respectively. Subgroup analysis indicated that studies conducted after 2017 had higher mortality rates compared to those studied earlier (43.0% vs. 38.2%). Older age (AHR: 1.89, 95% CI: 1.27, 2.82); being married (AHR: 2.53, 95% CI: 1.79, 3.57); having comorbidities (AHR: 1.84, 95% CI: 1.45, 2.35); having high CEA levels (AHR: 2.06, CI: 1.35, 3.13); being in stage II (AHR: 4.13, 95% CI: 1.85, 9.22), III (AHR: 8.62, 95% CI: 3.88, 19.15), and IV (AHR: 8.06, CI: 2.89, 22.49) were the most important predictors.

CONCLUSION

In Ethiopia, the mortality rate among individuals diagnosed with CRC is high, with two out of five patients dying from this disease. Age, marital status, CEA level, comorbidities, and cancer stage were identified as predictors of mortality in CRC patients. Therefore, early detection and screening should be prioritized, particularly for older patients, those who are married, have comorbidities, elevated CEA levels, and advanced cancer stages.

SAGL: A self-attention-based graph learning framework for predicting survival of colorectal cancer patients

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most commonly diagnosed cancers worldwide. The accurate survival prediction for CRC patients plays a significant role in the formulation of treatment strategies. Recently, machine learning and deep learning approaches have been increasingly applied in cancer survival prediction. However, most existing methods inadequately represent and leverage the dependencies among features and fail to sufficiently mine and utilize the comorbidity patterns of CRC. To address these issues, we propose a self-attention-based graph learning (SAGL) framework to improve the postoperative cancer-specific survival prediction for CRC patients.

METHODS

We present a novel method for constructing dependency graph (DG) to reflect two types of dependencies including comorbidity-comorbidity dependencies and the dependencies between features related to patient characteristics and cancer treatments. This graph is subsequently refined by a disease comorbidity network, which offers a holistic view of comorbidity patterns of CRC. A DG-guided self-attention mechanism is proposed to unearth novel dependencies beyond what DG offers, thus augmenting CRC survival prediction. Finally, each patient will be represented, and these representations will be used for survival prediction.

RESULTS

The experimental results show that SAGL outperforms state-of-the-art methods on a real-world dataset, with the receiver operating characteristic curve for 3- and 5-year survival prediction achieving 0.849±0.002 and 0.895±0.005, respectively. In addition, the comparison results with different graph neural network-based variants demonstrate the advantages of our DG-guided self-attention graph learning framework.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study reveals that the potential of the DG-guided self-attention in optimizing feature graph learning which can improve the performance of CRC survival prediction.

Comparison of Comorbidity Models Within a Population-Based Cohort of Older Adults With Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma

PURPOSE

Compare the association of individual comorbidities, comorbidity indices, and survival in older adults with non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL), including in specific NHL subtypes.

METHODS

Data source was SEER-Medicare, a population-based registry of adults age 65 years and older with cancer. We included all incident cases of NHL diagnosed during 2008-2017 who met study inclusion criteria. Comorbidities were classified using the three-factor risk estimate scale (TRES), Charlson comorbidity index (CCI), and National Cancer Institute (NCI) comorbidity index categories and weights. Overall survival (OS) and lymphoma-specific survival, with death from other causes treated as a competing risk, were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method from time of diagnosis. Multivariable Cox models were constructed, and Harrel C-statistics were used to compare comorbidity models. A two-sided P value of <.05 was considered significant.

RESULTS

A total of 40,486 patients with newly diagnosed NHL were included. Patients with aggressive NHL had higher rates of baseline comorbidity. Despite differences in baseline comorbidity between NHL subtypes, cardiovascular, pulmonary, diabetes, and renal comorbidities were frequent and consistently associated with OS in most NHL subtypes. These categories were used to construct a candidate comorbidity score, the non-Hodgkin lymphoma 5 (NHL-5). Comparing three validated comorbidity scores, TRES, CCI, NCI, and the novel NHL-5 score, we found similar associations with OS and lymphoma-specific survival, which was confirmed in sensitivity analyses by NHL subtypes.

CONCLUSION

The optimal measure of comorbidity in NHL is unknown. Here, we demonstrate that the three-category TRES and five-category NHL-5 scores perform as well as the 14-16 category CCI and NCI scores in terms of association with OS and lymphoma-specific survival. These simple scores could be more easily used in clinical practice without prognostic loss.

Real-World Experience of Immune-Checkpoint Inhibitors in Older Patients with Advanced Cutaneous Squamous Cell Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Older patients are often underrepresented in clinical trials owing to exclusionary comorbidities, which are more common with age. Chemotherapy is poorly tolerated in older comorbid advanced cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (CSCC) patients; however, little is known on the efficacy and tolerability of immune-checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in this population. To our knowledge, this is the largest dedicated report on a cohort of older patients with advanced CSCC treated with immunotherapy to date.

OBJECTIVE

The aim was to report outcomes of ICI use in a real-world older cohort with advanced CSCC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A single-centre retrospective audit of all patients treated via an access scheme providing ICIs to patients with advanced CSCC was conducted. Participants were ≥ 70 years of age and had advanced CSCC not amenable to curative surgery or radiotherapy. Best overall response rate (ORR), 12-month overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS), and toxicity rates were assessed.

RESULTS

A total of 53 patients were analysed. The median age was 81.8 years (range 70.1-96.8); 81% were male; 34% were immunocompromised; and 34% had an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status score of ≥ 2. The ORR was 57%, and 12-month OS and PFS were 63% (95% confidence interval [CI] 44-78) and 41% (95% CI 25-57), respectively. Thirty-two per cent developed an immune-related adverse event (irAE), but only two patients experienced a grade 3 irAE, with no treatment-related deaths. Higher ECOG score was associated with worse OS and PFS. No significant association was identified for increasing age, sex, Charlson Comorbidity Index score, or immunocompromised status.

CONCLUSIONS

ICIs have demonstrated efficacy and have an acceptable safety profile among older patients with advanced CSCC, with comparable efficacy to what has been demonstrated in current clinical trials.

Comorbidity Patterns in Patients Newly Diagnosed With Colorectal Cancer: Network-Based Study

BACKGROUND

Patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) often present with multiple comorbidities, and many of these can affect treatment and survival. However, previous comorbidity studies primarily focused on diseases in commonly used comorbidity indices. The comorbid status of CRC patients with respect to the entire spectrum of chronic diseases has not yet been investigated.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to systematically analyze all chronic diagnoses and diseases co-occurring, using a network-based approach and large-scale administrative health data, and provide a complete picture of the comorbidity pattern in patients newly diagnosed with CRC from southwest China.

METHODS

In this retrospective observational study, the hospital discharge records of 678 hospitals from 2015 to 2020 in Sichuan Province, China were used to identify new CRC cases in 2020 and their history of diseases. We examined all chronic diagnoses using ICD-10 (International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision) codes at 3 digits and focused on chronic diseases with >1% prevalence in at least one subgroup (1-sided test, P<.025), which resulted in a total of 66 chronic diseases. Phenotypic comorbidity networks were constructed across all CRC patients and different subgroups by sex, age (18-59, 60-69, 70-79, and ≥80 years), area (urban and rural), and cancer site (colon and rectum), with comorbidity as a node and linkages representing significant correlations between multiple comorbidities.

RESULTS

A total of 29,610 new CRC cases occurred in Sichuan, China in 2020. The mean patient age at diagnosis was 65.6 (SD 12.9) years, and 75.5% (22,369/29,610) had at least one comorbidity. The most prevalent comorbidities were hypertension (8581/29,610, 29.0%; 95% CI 28.5%-29.5%), hyperplasia of the prostate (3816/17,426, 21.9%; 95% CI 21.3%-22.5%), and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD; 4199/29,610, 14.2%; 95% CI 13.8%-14.6%). The prevalence of single comorbidities was different in each subgroup in most cases. Comorbidities were closely associated, with disorders of lipoprotein metabolism and hyperplasia of the prostate mediating correlations between other comorbidities. Males and females shared 58.3% (141/242) of disease pairs, whereas male-female disparities occurred primarily in diseases coexisting with COPD, cerebrovascular diseases, atherosclerosis, heart failure, or renal failure among males and with osteoporosis or gonarthrosis among females. Urban patients generally had more comorbidities with higher prevalence and more complex disease coexistence relationships, whereas rural patients were more likely to have co-existing severe diseases, such as heart failure comorbid with the sequelae of cerebrovascular disease or COPD.

CONCLUSIONS

Male-female and urban-rural disparities in the prevalence of single comorbidities and their complex coexistence relationships in new CRC cases were not due to simple coincidence. The results reflect clinical practice in CRC patients and emphasize the importance of measuring comorbidity patterns in terms of individual and coexisting diseases in order to better understand comorbidity patterns.

Prevalence of comorbidities and their impact on survival among older adults with the five most common cancers in Taiwan: a population study

Because of the cancer incidence increase and population aging in Taiwan, we aimed to assess the cancer prevalence, to summarize the comorbidities of older patients with the five most common cancers (i.e., breast, colorectal, liver, lung, and oral), and to develop a Taiwan cancer comorbidity index (TCCI) for studying their actual prognosis. The linkage of the Taiwan Cancer Registry, Cause of Death Database, and National Health Insurance Research Database was used. We followed the standard statistical learning steps to obtain a survival model with good discriminatory accuracy in predicting death due to noncancer causes, from which we obtained the TCCI and defined comorbidity levels. We reported the actual prognosis by age, stage, and comorbidity level. In Taiwan, cancer prevalence nearly doubled in 2004-2014, and comorbidities were common among older patients. Stage was the major predictor of patients' actual prognoses. For localized and regional breast, colorectal, and oral cancers, comorbidities correlated with noncancer-related deaths. Compared with the US, the chances of dying from comorbidities in Taiwan were lower and the chances of dying from cancer were higher for breast, colorectal, and male lung cancers. These actual prognoses could help clinicians and patients in treatment decision-making and help policymakers in resource planning.

Associations of advanced age with comorbidity, stage and primary subsite as contributors to mortality from colorectal cancer

Background

Although survival from colorectal cancer (CRC) has improved substantially in recent decades, people with advanced age still have a high likelihood of mortality from this disease. Nonetheless, few studies have investigated how cancer stage, subsite and comorbidities contribute collectively to poor prognosis of older people with CRC. Here, we decided to explore the association of age with mortality measures and how other variables influenced this association.

Methods

Using linkage of several administrative datasets, we investigated the risk of death among CRC cases during 2003–2014. Different models were used to explore the association of age with mortality measures and how other variables influenced this association.

Results

Our results indicated that people diagnosed at a young age and with lower comorbidity had a lower likelihood of all-cause and CRC-specific mortality. Aging had a greater association with mortality in early-stage CRC, and in rectal cancer, compared that seen with advanced-stage CRC and right colon cancer, respectively. Meanwhile, people with different levels of comorbidity were not significantly different in terms of their increased likelihood of mortality with advanced age. We also found that while most comorbidities were associated with all-cause mortality, only dementia [SHR = 1.43 (1.24–1.64)], Peptic ulcer disease [SHR = 1.12 (1.02–1.24)], kidney disease [SHR = 1.11 (1.04–1.20)] and liver disease [SHR = 1.65 (1.38–1.98)] were risk factors for CRC-specific mortality.

Conclusion

This study showed that the positive association of advanced age with mortality in CRC depended on stage and subsite of the disease. We also found only a limited number of comorbidities to be associated with CRC-specific mortality. These novel findings implicate the need for more attention on factors that cause poor prognosis in older people.

Feasibility of Support by Family Practitioners in Reducing Colorectal Cancer-Related Death among Outpatients Who Have Not Undergone Colorectal Cancer Screening

We aimed to clarify the effectiveness of interventions in outpatients who did not undergo colorectal cancer (CRC) screening. From September 2012 to August 2013, we conducted a project, which showed that the immunological fecal occult blood test (FOBT) was actively recommended for outpatients who were ≥40 years of age, attended the Marumori Hospital regularly, and were not screened for CRC in the previous two years. We evaluated the detection rate of CRC and the disease specific survival ratio in February 2021 among patients with positive FOBT results during the retrospective cohort study. Overall, 388 (91%) out of the 425 outpatients submitted their stool samples. Among 388 outpatients, 66 tested positive for FOBT. While both the positive rate of FOBT and the detection rate of CRC (17% and 0.77%, respectively) were significantly higher than those in the nationwide administrative examination (5.7% and 0.13%, respectively) (p < 0.05), there was no statistically significant difference in the detection rate, compared with the group aged 65 years and older in the nationwide administrative examination. The 7-year CRC-specific survival ratio was 98.5%. Active promotion of FOBT at primary care institutions for outpatients who did not undergo CRC screening may contribute to reducing the frequency of CRC-related deaths.

Effect of comorbidities on long-term outcomes of colorectal cancer patients

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this work is to evaluate the association of comorbidities with various outcomes in patients diagnosed with colon or rectal cancer.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective cohort study of patients diagnosed with colon or rectal cancer who underwent surgery. Data were gathered on sociodemographic, clinical characteristics, disease course, and the EuroQol EQ-5D and EORTC QLQ-C30 scores, up to 5 years after surgery. The main outcomes of the study were mortality, complications, readmissions, reoperations, and changes in PROMs up to 5 years. Multivariable multilevel logistic regression models were used in the analyses.

RESULTS

Mortality at some point during the 5-year follow-up was related to cardiocerebrovascular, hemiplegia and/or stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), diabetes, cancer, and dementia. Similarly, complications were related to cardiovascular disease, COPD, diabetes, hepatitis, hepatic or renal pathologies, and dementia; readmissions to cardiovascular disease, COPD, and hepatic pathologies; and reoperations to cerebrovascular and diabetes. Finally, changes in EQ-5D scores at some point during follow-up were related to cardiocerebrovascular disease, COPD, diabetes, pre-existing cancer, hepatic and gastrointestinal pathologies, and changes in EORTC QLQ-C30 scores to cardiovascular disease, COPD, diabetes, and hepatic and gastrointestinal pathologies.

CONCLUSIONS

Optimising the management of the comorbidities most strongly related to adverse outcomes may help to reduce those events in these patients.

Long-term conditions, multimorbidity and colorectal cancer risk in the UK Biobank cohort

PURPOSE

Early identification of colorectal cancer (CRC) is an international priority. Multimorbidity (presence of ≥2 long-term conditions (LTCs)) is increasing and the relationship between CRC and LTCs is little-understood. This study explores the relationship between individual LTCs, multimorbidity and CRC incidence and mortality.

METHODS

Longitudinal analysis of the UK Biobank cohort, participants recruited 2006-2010; N = 500,195; excluding previous CRC at baseline. Baseline data was linked with cancer/mortality registers. Demographic characteristics, lifestyle factors, 43 LTCs, CRC family history, non-CRC cancers, and multimorbidity count were recorded. Variable selection models identified candidate LTCs potentially predictive of CRC outcomes and Cox regression models tested for significance of associations between selected LTCs and outcomes.

RESULTS

Participants' age range: 37-73 (mean age 56.5; 54.5% female). CRC was diagnosed in 3669 (0.73%) participants, and 916 (0.18%) died from CRC during follow-up (median follow-up 7 years). CRC incidence was higher in the presence of heart failure (Hazard Ratio (HR) 1.96, 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 1.13-3.40), diabetes (HR 1.15, CI 1.01-1.32), glaucoma (HR 1.36, CI 1.06-1.74), male cancers (HR 1.44, CI 1.01-2.08). CRC mortality was higher in presence of epilepsy (HR 1.83, CI 1.03-3.26), diabetes (HR 1.32, CI 1.02-1.72), osteoporosis (HR 1.67, CI 1.12-2.58). No significant association was found between multimorbidity (≥2 LTCs) and CRC outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

The associations of certain LTCs with CRC incidence and mortality has implications for clinical practice: presence of certain LTCs in patients presenting with CRC symptoms could trigger early investigation and diagnosis. Future research should explore causative mechanisms and patient perspectives.

Impact of Socioeconomic Status on Cancer Incidence Risk, Cancer Staging, and Survival of Patients with Colorectal Cancer under Universal Health Insurance Coverage in Taiwan

This study examined the impact of socioeconomic status on colorectal cancer risk, staging, and survival under the National Health Insurance (NHI) system in Taiwan. Monthly salary and education level were used as measures of socioeconomic status to observe the risk of colorectal cancer among individuals aged 40 years or above in 2006-2015 and survival outcomes of patients with colorectal cancer until the end of 2016. Data from 286,792 individuals were used in this study. Individuals with a monthly salary ≤Q1 were at a significantly lower incidence risk of colorectal cancer than those with a monthly salary >Q3 (HR = 0.80, 95% CI = 0.74-0.85), while those with elementary or lower education were at a significantly higher risk than those with junior college, university, or higher education (HR = 1.18, 95% CI = 1.06-1.31). The results show that socioeconomic status had no significant impact on colorectal cancer stage at diagnosis. Although salary was not associated with their risk of mortality, patients with colorectal cancer who had elementary or lower education incurred a significantly higher risk of mortality than those who had junior college, university, or higher education (HR = 1.39, 95% CI = 1.07-1.77). Education level is a significant determinant of the incidence risk and survival in patients with colorectal cancer, but only income significantly impacts incidence risk.

Head and neck melanoma: outcome and predictors in a population-based cohort study

Background

To evaluate predictive clinico-pathological characteristics on outcome in head and neck melanoma (HNM) in a population-based study with particular emphasis on the prognostic effect of sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB), Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) and distinct tumor localisations.

Methods

Here we primarily describe a retrospective multicenter population-based cohort study with 402 patients having undergone resection with curative intent of HNM between 2010 and 2017. SLNB was used in the diagnosis of 79 HNM patients. Outcome was analyzed, focusing on SLNB, CCI as well as tumor localisation. Overall survival (OAS) und recurrence free survival (RFS) was examined by uni- and multivariate analysis.

Results

Histopathologically verified lymph node metastasis according to SLNB was associated with impaired RFS in HNM patients (p = 0.004). Especially in higher tumor stages, the sole implementation of SLNB improved survival significantly in the present cohort (p = 0.042). With most of the HNM being located in the face, melanoma of the scalp and neck could be linked to deteriorated patient’s outcome in uni- as well as multivariate analysis (p = 0.021, p = 0.004).

Conclusions

SLNB is a useful tool in predicting development of distant metastasis after HNM resection with curative intent. Especially in higher tumor stages, performing a SLNB ameliorated survival of HNM patients. Additionally, CCI as well as a distinct tumor localisations in HNM were identified as important risk factors in our population-based cohort study.

Survival Impact of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease or Acute Exacerbation on Patients with Rectal Adenocarcinoma Undergoing Curative Resection: A Propensity Score-Matched, Nationwide, Population-Based Cohort Study

PURPOSE

The survival effect of current smoking-related chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and COPD with acute exacerbation (COPDAE) is unclear for patients with rectal adenocarcinoma undergoing curative resection.

METHODS

We recruited patients with clinical stage I-IIIC rectal adenocarcinoma from the Taiwan Cancer Registry Database who had received surgery. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to analyze all-cause mortality. We categorized the patients into two groups by using propensity score matching based on COPD status to compare overall survival outcomes: Group 1 (current smokers with COPD) and Group 2 (nonsmokers without COPD).

RESULTS

In the multivariate Cox regression analyses, the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR; 95% confidence interval (CI)) of all-cause mortality for Group 1 compared with Group 2 was 1.25 (1.04-1.51). The aHRs (95% cis) of all-cause mortality for frequency of ≥1 hospitalizations for COPDAE or ≥2 hospitalizations within 1 year before diagnosis were 1.17 (1.05-1.51) and 1.48 (1.03-2.41) compared with no COPDAE in patients with rectal adenocarcinoma undergoing curative resection.

CONCLUSION

In patients with rectal adenocarcinoma undergoing curative resection, being a current smoker with COPD (Group 1) was associated with worse survival outcomes than being a nonsmoker without COPD (Group 2). Being hospitalized at least once for COPDAE within 1 year before the diagnosis of rectal adenocarcinoma is an independent risk factor for poor overall survival in these patients, and a higher number of hospitalizations for COPDAE within 1 year before diagnosis was associated with poorer survival.

Ostomy prevalence and survival in elderly patients with stage III and IV rectal cancer

AIM

Oncological strategies in the elderly population are often debated. The objective of this study was to investigate the survival rates and prevalence of ostomy in elderly patients operated on for stage III and IV rectal cancers.

METHODS

This retrospective multicentric population-based study included 151 patients aged ≥75 years with stage III and IV rectal adenocarcinoma who underwent surgery between 2007 and 2014. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess the impact of different prognostic factors.

RESULTS

The median age of the patients was 81 years (range: 75-97 years) with 40 patients >85 years of age. Age was significantly correlated with overall survival (OS) in both stage III and IV cancers (P < 0.001). For patients ≥80 years the presence of comorbid conditions was associated with a lower chance of survival (P = 0.02). A digestive stoma was created in 67 (76.1%) patients with stage III cancer and 26 (29.54%) had a stoma reversal. A palliative derivative stoma was performed in half of patients with stage IV cancer. Adjuvant chemotherapy was independently associated with improved 5-year OS (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Age, comorbidities and adjuvant chemotherapy were independent predictors for OS. Resection of rectal tumors in fit elderly patients should be promoted; however, patients should be aware of the high risk of stoma. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2021; 21: 670-675.

Actual survival after resection of primary colorectal cancer: results from a prospective multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Colorectal cancer is the third most common type of cancer in the world. We characterize a cohort of patients who survived up to 5 years without recurrence and identify factors predicting the probability of cure.

METHODS

We analyzed data of patients who underwent curative intent surgery for stage I-III CRC between 2007 and 2012 and who had had been included in a large multicenter study in the Netherlands. Cure was defined as 5-year survival without recurrence. Survival data were retrieved from a national registry.

RESULTS

Analysis of data of 754 patients revealed a cure rate of 65% (n = 490). Patients with stage I disease and T1- and N0-tumor had the highest probability of cure (94%, 95% and 90%, respectively). Those with a T4-tumor or N2-tumor had the lowest probability of cure (62% and 50%, respectively). A peak in the mortality rate for older patients early in follow-up suggests early excess mortality as an explanation. A similar trend was observed for stage III disease, poor tumor grade, postoperative complications, sarcopenia, and R1 resections. Patients with stage III disease, poor tumor grade, postoperative complications, sarcopenia, and R1 resections show a similar trend for decrease in CSS deaths over time.

CONCLUSION

In the studied cohort, the probability of cure for patients with stage I-III CRC ranged from 50 to 95%. Even though most patients will be cured from CRC with standard therapy, standard therapy is insufficient for those with poor prognostic factors, such as high T- and N-stage and poor differentiation grade.

Determining the Risk Factors Affecting on Death Due to Colorectal Cancer Progression: Survival Analysis in the Presence of Competing Risks

PURPOSE

In survival analysis, some patients may be at risk of more than one event, for example cancer-related death and cancer-unrelated death. In this case, if the aim of study becomes to assess the impact of risk factors on different causes of death, the competing risk model should be used rather than classical survival model. The aim of the present study is to determine the risk factors for related and unrelated mortality in patients with colorectal cancer using competing risk regression models.

METHODS

The present retrospective cohort study was carried out on 310 CRC patients. Death due to cancer progression was considered as the interest event, and death due to unrelated cancer was considered as a competing event. Two most popular methods, cause-specific and subdistribution hazard regression model, were used to determine the effect of covariates on incidence and cause-specific hazard. Data analysis was performed using R3.6.2 software and cmprsk and survival packages.

RESULTS

The mean (SD) of patients' age was 55.84 ± 13.2 years and 53.9% of them were male. BMI, T and N stage had a significant effect on both incidence and cause specific hazard of cancer-related death.

CONCLUSION

The results of this study showed that cancer-related death is strongly correlated with under-weight (BMI < 18.5) and advanced clinical stage of the disease in patients with colorectal cancer. So, in the presence of competing events, both types of regression hazard models should be applied to permit a full understanding of the impact of covariates on the incidence and the rate of occurrence of each outcome.

Comparing Charlson and Elixhauser comorbidity indices with different weightings to predict in-hospital mortality: an analysis of national inpatient data

Background

Understanding how comorbidity measures contribute to patient mortality is essential both to describe patient health status and to adjust for risks and potential confounding. The Charlson and Elixhauser comorbidity indices are well-established for risk adjustment and mortality prediction. Still, a different set of comorbidity weights might improve the prediction of in-hospital mortality. The present study, therefore, aimed to derive a set of new Swiss Elixhauser comorbidity weightings, to validate and compare them against those of the Charlson and Elixhauser-based van Walraven weights in an adult in-patient population-based cohort of general hospitals.

Methods

Retrospective analysis was conducted with routine data of 102 Swiss general hospitals (2012–2017) for 6.09 million inpatient cases. To derive the Swiss weightings for the Elixhauser comorbidity index, we randomly halved the inpatient data and validated the results of part 1 alongside the established weighting systems in part 2, to predict in-hospital mortality. Charlson and van Walraven weights were applied to Charlson and Elixhauser comorbidity indices. Derivation and validation of weightings were conducted with generalized additive models adjusted for age, gender and hospital types.

Results

Overall, the Elixhauser indices, c-statistic with Swiss weights (0.867, 95% CI, 0.865–0.868) and van Walraven’s weights (0.863, 95% CI, 0.862–0.864) had substantial advantage over Charlson’s weights (0.850, 95% CI, 0.849–0.851) and in the derivation and validation groups. The net reclassification improvement of new Swiss weights improved the predictive performance by 1.6% on the Elixhauser-van Walraven and 4.9% on the Charlson weights.

Conclusions

All weightings confirmed previous results with the national dataset. The new Swiss weightings model improved slightly the prediction of in-hospital mortality in Swiss hospitals. The newly derive weights support patient population-based analysis of in-hospital mortality and seek country or specific cohort-based weightings.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12913-020-05999-5.

The impact of comorbidities on post-operative complications following colorectal cancer surgery

Background

Colorectal cancer surgery is complex and can result in severe post-operative complications. Optimisation of surgical outcomes requires a thorough understanding of the background complexity and comorbid status of patients.

Aim

The aim of this study is to determine whether certain pre-existing comorbidities are associated with high grade post-operative complications following colorectal cancer surgery. The study also aims to define the prevalence of demographic, comorbid and surgical features in a population undergoing colorectal cancer resection.

Method

A colorectal cancer database at The Prince Charles Hospital was established to capture detailed information on patient background, comorbidities and clinicopathological features. A single-centre retrospective study was undertaken to assess the effect of comorbidities on post-operative outcomes following colorectal cancer resection. Five hundred and thirty-three patients were reviewed between 2010–2018 to assess if specific comorbidities were associated with higher grade post-operative complications. A Clavien-Dindo grade of three or higher was defined as a high grade complication.

Results

Fifty-eight percent of all patients had an ASA grade of ASA III or above. The average BMI of patients undergoing resection was 28 ± 6.0. Sixteen percent of all patients experienced a high grade complications. Patients with high grade complications had a higher mean average age compared to patients with low grade or no post-operative complications (74 years vs 70 years, p = 0.01). Univariate analysis revealed patients with atrial fibrillation, COPD, ischaemic heart disease and heart failure had an increased risk of high grade complications. Multivariate analysis revealed pre-existing atrial fibrillation (OR 2.70, 95% CI 1.53–4.89, p <0.01) and COPD (OR 2.02 1.07–3.80, p = 0.029) were independently associated with an increased risk of high grade complications.

Conclusion

Pre-existing atrial fibrillation and COPD are independent risk factors for high grade complications. Targeted perioperative management is necessary to optimise outcomes.

Older adults with cancer and their caregivers - current landscape and future directions for clinical care

Despite substantial improvements in the outcomes of patients with cancer over the past two decades, older adults (aged ≥65 years) with cancer are a rapidly increasing population and continue to have worse outcomes than their younger counterparts. Managing cancer in this population can be challenging because of competing health and ageing-related conditions that can influence treatment decision-making and affect outcomes. Geriatric screening tools and comprehensive geriatric assessment can help to identify patients who are most at risk of poor outcomes from cancer treatment and to better allocate treatment for these patients. The use of evidence-based management strategies to optimize geriatric conditions can improve communication and satisfaction between physicians, patients and caregivers as well as clinical outcomes in this population. Clinical trials are currently underway to further determine the effect of geriatric assessment combined with management interventions on cancer outcomes as well as the predictive value of geriatric assessment in the context of treatment with contemporary systemic therapies such as immunotherapies and targeted therapies. In this Review, we summarize the unique challenges of treating older adults with cancer and describe the current guidelines as well as investigational studies underway to improve the outcomes of these patients.

Impairment of Hypoxia-Induced CA IX by Beta-Blocker Propranolol-Impact on Progression and Metastatic Potential of Colorectal Cancer Cells

The coexistence of cancer and other concomitant diseases is very frequent and has substantial implications for treatment decisions and outcomes. Beta-blockers, agents that block the beta-adrenergic receptors, have been related also to cancers. In the model of multicellular spheroids formed by colorectal cancer cells we described a crosstalk between beta-blockade by propranolol and tumour microenvironment. Non-selective beta-blocker propranolol decreased ability of tumour cells to adapt to hypoxia by reducing levels of HIF1α and carbonic anhydrase IX in 3D spheroids. We indicated a double action of propranolol in the tumour microenvironment by inhibiting the stability of HIF1α, thus mediating decrease of CA IX expression and, at the same time, by its possible effect on CA IX activity by decreasing the activity of protein kinase A (PKA). Moreover, the inhibition of β-adrenoreceptors by propranolol enhanced apoptosis, decreased number of mitochondria and lowered the amount of proteins involved in oxidative phosphorylation (V-ATP5A, IV-COX2, III-UQCRC2, II-SDHB, I-NDUFB8). Propranolol reduced metastatic potential, viability and proliferation of colorectal cancer cells cultivated in multicellular spheroids. To choose the right treatment strategy, it is extremely important to know how the treatment of concomitant diseases affects the superior microenvironment that is directly related to the efficiency of anti-cancer therapy

Prevalence of diabetes in Japanese patients with cancer

Cancer patients with diabetes experience a poorer prognosis, yet the population burden of this multimorbidity remains unknown. This study aimed to estimate the latest incidence and prevalence of cancer with diabetes mellitus in Japan. We used projection of cancer incidence and latest survival data from population-based cancer registries. The incidence of cancer associated with diabetes was estimated separately for patients with pre-existing diabetes and those without diabetes, and used to estimate the 5-year cancer prevalence for those with and without diabetes. The prevalence of pre-existing diabetes in cancer patients at any cancer site was estimated to be 20.7% (647,160 men and women). Among cancer sites, diabetes prevalence was high in patients with liver and pancreatic cancers in both sexes. In conclusion, our study shows a large burden of diabetes in cancer patients in Japan, which warrants further attention by health practitioners and policy-makers.