Application of ensemble machine learning algorithms on lifestyle factors and wearables for cardiovascular risk prediction

Unveiling wearables: exploring the global landscape of biometric applications and vital signs and behavioral impact

The development of neuroscientific techniques enabling the recording of brain and peripheral nervous system activity has fueled research in cognitive science. Recent technological advancements offer new possibilities for inducing behavioral change, particularly through cost-effective Internet-based interventions. However, limitations in laboratory equipment volume have hindered the generalization of results to real-life contexts. The advent of Internet of Things (IoT) devices, such as wearables, equipped with sensors and microchips, has ushered in a new era in behavior change techniques. Wearables, including smartwatches, electronic tattoos, and more, are poised for massive adoption, with an expected annual growth rate of 55% over the next five years. These devices enable personalized instructions, leading to increased productivity and efficiency, particularly in industrial production. Additionally, the healthcare sector has seen a significant demand for wearables, with over 80% of global consumers willing to use them for health monitoring. This research explores the primary biometric applications of wearables and their impact on users' well-being, focusing on the integration of behavior change techniques facilitated by IoT devices. Wearables have revolutionized health monitoring by providing real-time feedback, personalized interventions, and gamification. They encourage positive behavior changes by delivering immediate feedback, tailored recommendations, and gamified experiences, leading to sustained improvements in health. Furthermore, wearables seamlessly integrate with digital platforms, enhancing their impact through social support and connectivity. However, privacy and data security concerns must be addressed to maintain users' trust. As technology continues to advance, the refinement of IoT devices' design and functionality is crucial for promoting behavior change and improving health outcomes. This study aims to investigate the effects of behavior change techniques facilitated by wearables on individuals' health outcomes and the role of wearables in promoting a healthier lifestyle.

Transforming the cardiometabolic disease landscape: Multimodal AI-powered approaches in prevention and management

The rise of artificial intelligence (AI) has revolutionized various scientific fields, particularly in medicine, where it has enabled the modeling of complex relationships from massive datasets. Initially, AI algorithms focused on improved interpretation of diagnostic studies such as chest X-rays and electrocardiograms in addition to predicting patient outcomes and future disease onset. However, AI has evolved with the introduction of transformer models, allowing analysis of the diverse, multimodal data sources existing in medicine today. Multimodal AI holds great promise in more accurate disease risk assessment and stratification as well as optimizing the key driving factors in cardiometabolic disease: blood pressure, sleep, stress, glucose control, weight, nutrition, and physical activity. In this article we outline the current state of medical AI in cardiometabolic disease, highlighting the potential of multimodal AI to augment personalized prevention and treatment strategies in cardiometabolic disease.

A robust framework for enhancing cardiovascular disease risk prediction using an optimized category boosting model

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a leading cause of mortality worldwide, and it is of utmost importance to accurately assess the risk of cardiovascular disease for prevention and intervention purposes. In recent years, machine learning has shown significant advancements in the field of cardiovascular disease risk prediction. In this context, we propose a novel framework known as CVD-OCSCatBoost, designed for the precise prediction of cardiovascular disease risk and the assessment of various risk factors. The framework utilizes Lasso regression for feature selection and incorporates an optimized category-boosting tree (CatBoost) model. Furthermore, we propose the opposition-based learning cuckoo search (OCS) algorithm. By integrating OCS with the CatBoost model, our objective is to develop OCSCatBoost, an enhanced classifier offering improved accuracy and efficiency in predicting CVD. Extensive comparisons with popular algorithms like the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm, the seagull optimization algorithm (SOA), the cuckoo search algorithm (CS), K-nearest-neighbor classification, decision tree, logistic regression, grid-search support vector machine (SVM), grid-search XGBoost, default CatBoost, and grid-search CatBoost validate the efficacy of the OCSCatBoost algorithm. The experimental results demonstrate that the OCSCatBoost model achieves superior performance compared to other models, with overall accuracy, recall, and AUC values of 73.67%, 72.17%, and 0.8024, respectively. These outcomes highlight the potential of CVD-OCSCatBoost for improving cardiovascular disease risk prediction.

Application of machine learning in measurement of ageing and geriatric diseases: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

As the ageing population continues to grow in many countries, the prevalence of geriatric diseases is on the rise. In response, healthcare providers are exploring novel methods to enhance the quality of life for the elderly. Over the last decade, there has been a remarkable surge in the use of machine learning in geriatric diseases and care. Machine learning has emerged as a promising tool for the diagnosis, treatment, and management of these conditions. Hence, our study aims to find out the present state of research in geriatrics and the application of machine learning methods in this area.

METHODS

This systematic review followed Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines and focused on healthy ageing in individuals aged 45 and above, with a specific emphasis on the diseases that commonly occur during this process. The study mainly focused on three areas, that are machine learning, the geriatric population, and diseases. Peer-reviewed articles were searched in the PubMed and Scopus databases with inclusion criteria of population above 45 years, must have used machine learning methods, and availability of full text. To assess the quality of the studies, Joanna Briggs Institute's (JBI) critical appraisal tool was used.

RESULTS

A total of 70 papers were selected from the 120 identified papers after going through title screening, abstract screening, and reference search. Limited research is available on predicting biological or brain age using deep learning and different supervised machine learning methods. Neurodegenerative disorders were found to be the most researched disease, in which Alzheimer's disease was focused the most. Among non-communicable diseases, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, cancer, kidney diseases, and cardiovascular diseases were included, and other rare diseases like oral health-related diseases and bone diseases were also explored in some papers. In terms of the application of machine learning, risk prediction was the most common approach. Half of the studies have used supervised machine learning algorithms, among which logistic regression, random forest, XG Boost were frequently used methods. These machine learning methods were applied to a variety of datasets including population-based surveys, hospital records, and digitally traced data.

CONCLUSION

The review identified a wide range of studies that employed machine learning algorithms to analyse various diseases and datasets. While the application of machine learning in geriatrics and care has been well-explored, there is still room for future development, particularly in validating models across diverse populations and utilizing personalized digital datasets for customized patient-centric care in older populations. Further, we suggest a scope of Machine Learning in generating comparable ageing indices such as successful ageing index.

Machine learning for dynamic and early prediction of acute kidney injury after cardiac surgery

OBJECTIVE

Acute kidney injury after cardiac surgery increases morbidity and mortality. Diagnosis relies on oliguria or increased serum creatinine, which develop 48 to 72 hours after injury. We hypothesized machine learning incorporating preoperative, operative, and intensive care unit data could dynamically predict acute kidney injury before conventional identification.

METHODS

Cardiac surgery patients at a tertiary hospital (2008-2019) were identified using electronic medical records in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV database. Preoperative and intraoperative parameters included demographics, Charlson Comorbidity subcategories, and operative details. Intensive care unit data included hemodynamics, medications, fluid intake/output, and laboratory results. Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes creatinine criteria were used for acute kidney injury diagnosis. An ensemble machine learning model was trained for hourly predictions of future acute kidney injury within 48 hours. Performance was evaluated by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and balanced accuracy.

RESULTS

Within the cohort (n = 4267), there were approximately 7 million data points. Median baseline creatinine was 1.0 g/dL (interquartile range, 0.8-1.2), with 17% (735/4267) of patients having chronic kidney disease. Postoperative stage 1 acute kidney injury occurred in 50% (2129/4267), stage 2 occurred in 8% (324/4267), and stage 3 occurred in 4% (183/4267). For hourly prediction of any acute kidney injury over the next 48 hours, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.82, and balanced accuracy was 75%. For hourly prediction of stage 2 or greater acute kidney injury over the next 48 hours, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.95 and balanced accuracy was 86%. The model predicted acute kidney injury before clinical detection in 89% of cases.

CONCLUSIONS

Ensemble machine learning models using electronic medical records data can dynamically predict acute kidney injury risk after cardiac surgery. Continuous postoperative risk assessment could facilitate interventions to limit or prevent renal injury.

Risk factors for high CAD-RADS scoring in CAD patients revealed by machine learning methods: a retrospective study

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate a variety of machine learning (ML) methods to predict the association between cardiovascular risk factors and coronary artery disease-reporting and data system (CAD-RADS) scores.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study. Demographical, cardiovascular risk factors and coronary CT angiography (CCTA) characteristics of the patients were obtained. Coronary artery disease (CAD) was evaluated using CAD-RADS score. The stenosis severity component of the CAD-RADS was stratified into two groups: CAD-RADS score 0-2 group and CAD-RADS score 3-5 group. CAD-RADS scores were predicted with random forest (RF), k-nearest neighbors (KNN), support vector machines (SVM), neural network (NN), decision tree classification (DTC) and linear discriminant analysis (LDA). Prediction sensitivity, specificity, accuracy and area under the curve (AUC) were calculated. Feature importance analysis was utilized to find the most important predictors.

RESULTS

A total of 442 CAD patients with CCTA examinations were included in this study. 234 (52.9%) subjects were CAD-RADS score 0-2 group and 208 (47.1%) were CAD-RADS score 3-5 group. CAD-RADS score 3-5 group had a high prevalence of hypertension (66.8%), hyperlipidemia (50%) and diabetes mellitus (DM) (35.1%). Age, systolic blood pressure (SBP), mean arterial pressure, pulse pressure, pulse pressure index, plasma fibrinogen, uric acid and blood urea nitrogen were significantly higher (p < 0.001), and high-density lipoprotein (HDL-C) lower (p < 0.001) in CAD-RADS score 3-5 group compared to the CAD-RADS score 0-2 group. Nineteen features were chosen to train the models. RF (AUC = 0.832) and LDA (AUC = 0.81) outperformed SVM (AUC = 0.772), NN (AUC = 0.773), DTC (AUC = 0.682), KNN (AUC = 0.707). Feature importance analysis indicated that plasma fibrinogen, age and DM contributed most to CAD-RADS scores.

CONCLUSION

ML algorithms are capable of predicting the correlation between cardiovascular risk factors and CAD-RADS scores with high accuracy.

The role of artificial intelligence in hypertensive disorders of pregnancy: towards personalized healthcare

INTRODUCTION

Guidelines advise ongoing follow-up of patients after hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) to assess cardiovascular risk and manage future patient-specific pregnancy conditions. However, there are limited tools available to monitor patients, with those available tending to be simple risk assessments that lack personalization. A promising approach could be the emerging artificial intelligence (AI)-based techniques, developed from big patient datasets to provide personalized recommendations for preventive advice.

AREAS COVERED

In this narrative review, we discuss the impact of integrating AI and big data analysis for personalized cardiovascular care, focusing on the management of HDP.

EXPERT OPINION

The pathophysiological response of women to pregnancy varies, and deeper insight into each response can be gained through a deeper analysis of the medical history of pregnant women based on clinical records and imaging data. Further research is required to be able to implement AI for clinical cases using multi-modality and multi-organ assessment, and this could expand both knowledge on pregnancy-related disorders and personalized treatment planning.

Estimation of Physiologic Pressures: Invasive and Non-Invasive Techniques, AI Models, and Future Perspectives

The measurement of physiologic pressure helps diagnose and prevent associated health complications. From typical conventional methods to more complicated modalities, such as the estimation of intracranial pressures, numerous invasive and noninvasive tools that provide us with insight into daily physiology and aid in understanding pathology are within our grasp. Currently, our standards for estimating vital pressures, including continuous BP measurements, pulmonary capillary wedge pressures, and hepatic portal gradients, involve the use of invasive modalities. As an emerging field in medical technology, artificial intelligence (AI) has been incorporated into analyzing and predicting patterns of physiologic pressures. AI has been used to construct models that have clinical applicability both in hospital settings and at-home settings for ease of use for patients. Studies applying AI to each of these compartmental pressures were searched and shortlisted for thorough assessment and review. There are several AI-based innovations in noninvasive blood pressure estimation based on imaging, auscultation, oscillometry and wearable technology employing biosignals. The purpose of this review is to provide an in-depth assessment of the involved physiologies, prevailing methodologies and emerging technologies incorporating AI in clinical practice for each type of compartmental pressure measurement. We also bring to the forefront AI-based noninvasive estimation techniques for physiologic pressure based on microwave systems that have promising potential for clinical practice.

Predicting Cardiovascular Rehabilitation of Patients with Coronary Artery Disease Using Transfer Feature Learning

Cardiovascular diseases represent the leading cause of death worldwide. Thus, cardiovascular rehabilitation programs are crucial to mitigate the deaths caused by this condition each year, mainly in patients with coronary artery disease. COVID-19 was not only a challenge in this area but also an opportunity to open remote or hybrid versions of these programs, potentially reducing the number of patients who leave rehabilitation programs due to geographical/time barriers. This paper presents a method for building a cardiovascular rehabilitation prediction model using retrospective and prospective data with different features using stacked machine learning, transfer feature learning, and the joint distribution adaptation tool to address this problem. We illustrate the method over a Chilean rehabilitation center, where the prediction performance results obtained for 10-fold cross-validation achieved error levels with an NMSE of 0.03±0.013 and an R2 of 63±19%, where the best-achieved performance was an error level with a normalized mean squared error of 0.008 and an R2 up to 92%. The results are encouraging for remote cardiovascular rehabilitation programs because these models could support the prioritization of remote patients needing more help to succeed in the current rehabilitation phase.

Smart Consumer Wearables as Digital Diagnostic Tools: A Review

The increasing usage of smart wearable devices has made an impact not only on the lifestyle of the users, but also on biological research and personalized healthcare services. These devices, which carry different types of sensors, have emerged as personalized digital diagnostic tools. Data from such devices have enabled the prediction and detection of various physiological as well as psychological conditions and diseases. In this review, we have focused on the diagnostic applications of wrist-worn wearables to detect multiple diseases such as cardiovascular diseases, neurological disorders, fatty liver diseases, and metabolic disorders, including diabetes, sleep quality, and psychological illnesses. The fruitful usage of wearables requires fast and insightful data analysis, which is feasible through machine learning. In this review, we have also discussed various machine-learning applications and outcomes for wearable data analyses. Finally, we have discussed the current challenges with wearable usage and data, and the future perspectives of wearable devices as diagnostic tools for research and personalized healthcare domains.

A Powerful Paradigm for Cardiovascular Risk Stratification Using Multiclass, Multi-Label, and Ensemble-Based Machine Learning Paradigms: A Narrative Review

Background and Motivation: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) causes the highest mortality globally. With escalating healthcare costs, early non-invasive CVD risk assessment is vital. Conventional methods have shown poor performance compared to more recent and fast-evolving Artificial Intelligence (AI) methods. The proposed study reviews the three most recent paradigms for CVD risk assessment, namely multiclass, multi-label, and ensemble-based methods in (i) office-based and (ii) stress-test laboratories. Methods: A total of 265 CVD-based studies were selected using the preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses (PRISMA) model. Due to its popularity and recent development, the study analyzed the above three paradigms using machine learning (ML) frameworks. We review comprehensively these three methods using attributes, such as architecture, applications, pro-and-cons, scientific validation, clinical evaluation, and AI risk-of-bias (RoB) in the CVD framework. These ML techniques were then extended under mobile and cloud-based infrastructure. Findings: Most popular biomarkers used were office-based, laboratory-based, image-based phenotypes, and medication usage. Surrogate carotid scanning for coronary artery risk prediction had shown promising results. Ground truth (GT) selection for AI-based training along with scientific and clinical validation is very important for CVD stratification to avoid RoB. It was observed that the most popular classification paradigm is multiclass followed by the ensemble, and multi-label. The use of deep learning techniques in CVD risk stratification is in a very early stage of development. Mobile and cloud-based AI technologies are more likely to be the future. Conclusions: AI-based methods for CVD risk assessment are most promising and successful. Choice of GT is most vital in AI-based models to prevent the RoB. The amalgamation of image-based strategies with conventional risk factors provides the highest stability when using the three CVD paradigms in non-cloud and cloud-based frameworks.