Considering lead-time bias in evaluating the effectiveness of lung cancer screening with real-world data

Losses of lifetime employment duration and productivity for patients with different subtypes and stages of lung cancer

BACKGROUND

How different subtypes and stages of lung cancer affect morbidity- and mortality-associated productivity have not been investigated. This study quantified the losses of lifetime employment duration and productivity among patients with various subtypes and stages of lung cancer.

METHODS

We identified nationwide lung cancer patients diagnosed at the ages of 50-64 between 2011 and 2019. Monthly survival probabilities were weighted by monthly employed-to-population ratios and working salaries to estimate lifetime employment duration and productivity. We compared lifetime employment duration and productivity of patients with those of the age-, sex-, calendar year-matched general population for losses of lifetime employment duration and productivity, which were multiplied by pathology and stage shifts based on the first-round screening of Taiwan Lung Cancer Screening in Never Smoker Trial (TALENT) to calculate the savings of lifetime employment duration and productivity.

RESULTS

Lung cancer patients had shorter survival and employment duration than the referents. Patients with lung cancers other than adenocarcinoma experienced greater losses of lifetime employment duration and productivity as compared to adenocarcinoma patients. Applying the estimations of never-smoking patients to 100 lung cancer patients with pathology and stage shifts based on the TALENT, the savings of lifetime employment duration and productivity were 132.2 (95% prediction interval: 116.2-147.4) years and 3353 (95% prediction interval: 2914-3802) thousand US dollars, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Early diagnosis of lung cancer would save the losses of employment duration and lifetime productivity. Future evaluation of the cost-effectiveness of lung cancer screening could consider incorporating these societal impacts.

Lung cancer screening in Brazil: recommendations from the Brazilian Society of Thoracic Surgery, Brazilian Thoracic Association, and Brazilian College of Radiology and Diagnostic Imaging

Although lung cancer (LC) is one of the most common and lethal tumors, only 15% of patients are diagnosed at an early stage. Smoking is still responsible for more than 85% of cases. Lung cancer screening (LCS) with low-dose CT (LDCT) reduces LC-related mortality by 20%, and that reduction reaches 38% when LCS by LDCT is combined with smoking cessation. In the last decade, a number of countries have adopted population-based LCS as a public health recommendation. Albeit still incipient, discussion on this topic in Brazil is becoming increasingly broad and necessary. With the aim of increasing knowledge and stimulating debate on LCS, the Brazilian Society of Thoracic Surgery, the Brazilian Thoracic Association, and the Brazilian College of Radiology and Diagnostic Imaging convened a panel of experts to prepare recommendations for LCS in Brazil. The recommendations presented here were based on a narrative review of the literature, with an emphasis on large population-based studies, systematic reviews, and the recommendations of international guidelines, and were developed after extensive discussion by the panel of experts. The following topics were reviewed: reasons for screening; general considerations about smoking; epidemiology of LC; eligibility criteria; incidental findings; granulomatous lesions; probabilistic models; minimum requirements for LDCT; volumetric acquisition; risks of screening; minimum structure and role of the multidisciplinary team; practice according to the Lung CT Screening Reporting and Data System; costs versus benefits of screening; and future perspectives for LCS.

Estimation of disability free life expectancy in non small cell lung cancer based on real world data

To quantify the societal impact of disability in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), this study estimated the disability-free life expectancy (DFLE), loss-of-DFLE and explored their associations with quality-adjusted life expectancy (QALE) and loss-of-QALE. We interlinked national databases and applied a rolling-over algorithm to estimate the lifetime survival function for patients with NSCLC. Using the EuroQOL-5 Dimension (EQ-5D) and Barthel index (BI), we repeatedly measured the quality-of-life and disability functions of NSCLC patients who visited our hospital from 2011 to 2020. Age-, sex-matched referents were simulated from lifetables of the same calendar year of diagnosis. We categorized BI scores ≤ 70 as in need of long-term care and constructed linear mixed models to estimate the utility values and disability scores. We collected 960 cases and 3088 measurements. The proportions of measurements without disability at age 50-64 and in stage I-IIIa, 50-64 and stage IIIb-IV, 65-89 and stage I-IIIa and 65-89 and stage IIIb-IV were 97.3%, 89.3%, 94.8%,78.3%, corresponding to DFLEs of 15.3, 2.4, 6.8, 1.2 years and losses-of-DFLE of 8.1, 20.7, 4.0, 8.6 years, respectively, indicating that advanced stage had a stronger effect than old age. Survivors in advanced stages showed increased demands for assistance in almost all subitems. The DFLEs seemed to be approximate to the QALEs and the latter were shorter than the former due to discomfort and depression. From a societal perspective, future health technology assessment should consider the impact of lifetime duration of functional disability. Early diagnosis of NSCLC may decrease the burden of long-term care.

Molecular Monitoring in Endometrial Cancer-Ready for Prime Time?

SUMMARY

Efforts are under way to define the role of minimally invasive strategies for molecular monitoring and risk stratification in endometrial cancer. A recent publication aims to define the association between circulating tumor DNA level and disease stage in patients with newly diagnosed endometrial cancer and determine whether sequencing of longitudinal cell-free DNA samples can be used for disease monitoring and detection of progression or recurrence. These results accelerate the current knowledge of molecular follow-up in endometrial cancer. See related article by Ashley et al., p. 410.

PM2.5 exposure and risk of lung adenocarcinoma in women of Taiwan: A case-control study with density sampling

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

The prevalence of smoking among women in Taiwan is <5%, but the incidence of lung cancer remains high. This study determined the association between PM_2.5 (fine particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of ≤2.5 μm) exposure and lung cancer among women in Taiwan.

METHODS

In total, 21,301 female lung cancer cases nationwide were newly diagnosed between 2012 and 2017. Each case was age-, sex- and calendar year-matched with four controls randomly selected from the general population. Allowing a latent period of 5 years, we estimated the PM_2.5 and nitrogen dioxide (NO₂ ) exposures for each individual according to the residential changes from 2000. We adopted self-reported smoking statuses for the cases, while those of controls were estimated using annual surveys in each residential county. We performed multiple logistic regression analyses to examine the associations between PM_2.5 and NO₂ exposures and incident lung cancer cases.

RESULTS

The ORs of lung adenocarcinoma for the third (30.5-35.1 μg/m³ ), fourth (35.1-39.3 μg/m³ ) and fifth PM_2.5 exposure quintiles (39.3-48.1 μg/m³ ) relative to the first quintile were 1.10 (95% CI: 1.04-1.16), 1.12 (95% CI: 1.06-1.19) and 1.10 (95% CI: 1.04-1.16), respectively, after adjusting for smoking, residence and comorbidities. A dose-response relationship (p = 0.004) was found. The associations persisted with a 10-year latency and were not detected for small-cell and squamous cell carcinoma after control for smoking. We did not observe a similar effect for NO₂ exposure.

CONCLUSION

Residential PM_2.5 exposure higher than 30 μg/m³ was associated with an increased risk of lung adenocarcinoma in women of Taiwan.

Cost-effectiveness of screening smokers and ex-smokers for lung cancer in the Netherlands in different age groups

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of screening smokers and ex-smokers for lung cancer in the Netherlands.

METHODS

A Markov model was used to evaluate the health effects and costs of lung cancer screening from the healthcare perspective. The effects and costs of ten screening scenarios with different start and stop ages of screening were examined across a lifetime horizon in a cohort of 100,000 smokers and ex- smokers 50 years and older.

RESULTS

The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) of screening smokers and ex-smokers aged 50-60 years, 50-70 years, and 50 years and older are below the cost-effectiveness threshold of € 20,000 per quality adjusted life year (QALY) gained. Screening 50-60-year-old smokers and ex-smokers was the most cost-effective scenario with an ICER of € 14,094 per QALY gained. However, screening smokers and ex-smokers 50 years and older yielded the highest QALYs and resulted in an ICER of € 16,594 per QALY, which is below the threshold of € 20,000 per QALY. All screening scenarios compared to no screening resulted in CERs between the € 14,000 and € 16,000 per QALY gained. The efficiency frontier showed that screening smokers and ex-smokers in the age groups 70 years and older, 60-70 years, 60 years and older are excluded by extended dominance by no screening, screening smokers and ex-smokers aged 50-60 years and 50-70 years.

CONCLUSION

This study showed that lung cancer screening is cost-effective in the Netherlands.

Smoldering multiple myeloma: Reviewing the rationale for intervention

Smoldering multiple myeloma has been recognized for over 40 years and represents a pre-symptomatic phase of the 2nd most common hematologic malignancy. 1/3 of patients will remain asymptomatic at 10 years. There is an identifiable subset of patients that will develop CRAB within 2 years of recognition and these patients are considered for therapeutic intervention before the development of potentially irreversible complications. Obstacles to widespread implementation of therapeutic guidelines are limited by the variable definitions associated with this high-risk group as well as the poor concordance between classification schemes. Analysis of clinical trial outcomes as well as uniform eligibility helps determine whether a given patient should be considered for therapeutic intervention outside of a clinical trial.